Inter Milan’s players celebrate after a Serie A football match between Roma and Inter Milan in Rome, Italy, Oct.18, 2025. (Xinhua)
Inter Milan’s Ange-Yoan Bonny celebrates his goal during a Serie A football match between Roma and Inter Milan in…
Inter Milan’s players celebrate after a Serie A football match between Roma and Inter Milan in Rome, Italy, Oct.18, 2025. (Xinhua)
Inter Milan’s Ange-Yoan Bonny celebrates his goal during a Serie A football match between Roma and Inter Milan in…
In a recent announcement, EROAD downgraded its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance, reported up to NZ$150 million in North American asset impairments, and outlined a renewed focus on Australia and New Zealand alongside scaled-back North American activities.
This shift comes as challenges in North America, including a key customer loss and slower enterprise sales, prompt the company to reallocate resources toward emerging opportunities in its core markets.
With the company’s refocus on electronic road user charging in Australia and New Zealand, we’ll examine how this shapes EROAD’s investment narrative.
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To be comfortable holding EROAD shares right now, you’d need conviction in its ability to execute a fresh regional pivot following major shortfalls in North America. The company’s reset, moving growth focus and resources to Australia and New Zealand’s road user charging opportunities, marks a fundamental shift in its investment story. While previous catalysts centered on U.S. expansion and telematics innovation, the market’s sharp reaction to asset impairments and guidance cuts suggests near-term growth drivers will depend on how quickly EROAD can win or retain clients and secure contracts linked to new charging regimes in its home markets. The immediate risk is execution: reestablishing momentum in Australia and New Zealand is not guaranteed, and the heavy NZ$150 million impairment underscores uncertainty over any future North American contributions. The recent share price drop signals these risks are now firmly front and center for investors. On the flip side, the road to recovery in core markets comes with its own hurdles investors need to keep front of mind.
Despite retreating, EROAD’s shares might still be trading 43% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate EROAD’s fair value anywhere from NZ$1.20 to NZ$4.96 per share. This wide range reflects big differences in expectations around EROAD’s growth rebound in Australia and New Zealand after its US setback. Comparing such varied outlooks with the company’s new strategic focus, it pays to see how your own view lines up.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on EROAD – why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
The combination of pembrolizumab (Keytruda) and lenvatinib (Lenvima) elicited promising progression-free survival (PFS) outcomes in patients with uveal melanoma who were both HLA-A*02:01–negative and –positive with a manageable safety profile, according to findings from the phase 2 PLUME trial (NCT05282901) presented at the 2025 ESMO Congress.1
The study met its primary end point in both patient cohorts, with an observed PFS rate of 31.8% at 27 weeks (95% CI, 13.9%-54.9%) in patients who were HLA-A*02:01–negative and naïve for treatment with tebentafusp (Kimtrak). In patients who were HLA-A*02:01–positive and were pretreated with tebentafusp, the PFS rate at 27 weeks was 60.7% (95% CI, 40.6%-78.5%).
“It was observed in phase 3 studies of tebentafusp2 that treatments administered after tebentafusp might display improved activity compared [with] historical data,” said Manuel Rodrigues, MD, medical oncologist at Institut Curie and presenter of the PLUME data.1
The combination of lenvatinib and pembrolizumab “showed encouraging activity, especially in patients previously treated with tebentafusp, suggesting potential synergy between these treatments,” Rodrigues added.
Regarding safety, the overall profile was consistent with prior trials involving pembrolizumab and lenvatinib. There were no treatment-related deaths. With lenvatinib, 76% of patients held the dose, 26% had dose reductions, and 4% discontinued. With pembrolizumab, 22% of patients held the dose and 4% discontinued.
The most common any-grade treatment-related adverse events were fatigue (81.8% in the tebentafusp-naive cohort vs 69% in the pretreated cohort), hypertension (77.3% vs 69%), diarrhea (45.5% vs 65.5%), hypothyroidism (45.5% vs 65.5%), arthralgia (40.9% vs 58.6%), cytolytic hepatitis (40.9% vs 58.6%), mucositis (45.5% vs 41.4%), dysphonia (31.8% vs 44.8%), and abdominal pain (27.3% vs 44.8%).
While the findings were promising, Rodrigues urged caution when interpreting the results, due to the small sample size and single-arm design. Rodrigues noted that biomarker analyses and real-world comparisons were ongoing to further refine patient selection.
PLUME was an academic, monocentric, single-arm phase 2 trial conducted at the Institut Curie in Paris, France.A total of 51 patients who were naïve to immune checkpoint inhibitors were enrolled and split into 2 cohorts by HLA-A*02:01–negative (n = 22) and –positive/pretreated with tebentafusp (n = 29).
Treatment consisted of pembrolizumab 200 mg intravenously every 3 weeks for a maximum of 35 cycles and lenvatinib 20 mg orally daily until progression. Chest, abdomen, and pelvic CT scans and liver MRIs were mandatory every 9 weeks. The primary end point was 27-week PFS (after 9 cycles).
As Rodrigues explained in his presentation, uveal melanoma has a unique biology to melanoma of the skin, with one-third of patients developing metastases and over 90% of those patients developing liver metastases. The current median overall survival (OS)is about 20 months.
Tebentafusp, a bispecific TCR–anti-CD3 fusion protein targeting gp100, was the first therapy to improve OS in patients with metastatic uveal melanoma; however, the benefit is limited to patients who are HLA-A*02:01–positive, which is about 45% of patients. Further, checkpoint inhibitors like pembrolizumab have shown limited efficacy due to low mutational burden and an immunosuppressive microenvironment.
The rationale of adding lenvatinib lies in its VEGFR/FGRF blockade that can normalize vasculature, reduce tumor-associated macrophages, and enhance T-cell infiltration. The combination of lenvatinib and pembrolizumab has shown promise in endometrial and renal cancers, where the combination has outperformed monotherapy.
DISCLOSURES: Rodrigues declared personal financial interests with Immunocore, GSK, AstraZeneca, and Abbvie; institutional financial interests with Johnson & Johnson, Merck, and Daiichi-Sankyo; and nonfinancial interests with Merck, which provided product samples for the PLUME trial.
REFERENCES:
1. Rodrigues M. PLUME: A single-arm phase II trial of pembrolizumab plus lenvatinib in metastatic uveal melanoma (mUM). Presented at: 2025 ESMO Congress; October 17–20, 2025; Berlin, German. Abstract LBA58.
2. Nathan P, Hassel JC, Rutkowski P, et al. Overall Survival Benefit with Tebentafusp in Metastatic Uveal Melanoma. N Engl J Med. 2021 Sep 23;385(13):1196-1206. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2103485.
Published on: Oct 19, 2025 08:31 am IST
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