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Victoria’s Secret (VSCO) shares have seen movement recently, prompting investors to review the retailer’s performance and outlook. The company’s stock is up 59% over the past 3 months, which reflects renewed interest among market watchers.

See our latest analysis for Victoria’s Secret.

After a bumpy start this year, Victoria’s Secret has staged an impressive comeback, with a 26% one-month share price return and momentum building as renewed industry optimism takes hold. While the year-to-date share price is still lower, long-term shareholders have captured a 16.9% total return over the past year.

If you’re intrigued by how turnarounds like this can create opportunities, it might be time to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With the stock’s recent surge but analyst targets lagging behind, the question is whether Victoria’s Secret remains undervalued, or if the current price already factors in all the anticipated future growth.

The most widely followed narrative puts Victoria’s Secret’s fair value well below its last close price, signaling a potential disconnect between analyst models and recent market enthusiasm.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $22.7 for Victoria’s Secret based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $27.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $17.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what kind of growth projections and future profit assumptions drive this punchy valuation? The key takeaway is that most analyst forecasts are based on slow revenue growth, thinning margins, and a higher-than-normal profit multiple. Which number is the real linchpin? The full narrative reveals the bold assumptions behind the current fair value.

Result: Fair Value of $22.70 (OVERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, persistent tariff pressures or a sustained slowdown in mall traffic could quickly undermine the optimistic case for Victoria’s Secret’s recovery.

Find out about the key risks to this Victoria’s Secret narrative.

While analyst models suggest Victoria’s Secret is overvalued versus consensus estimates, our SWS DCF model points in a different direction. Based on projected future cash flows, the stock currently trades 21.6% below its fair value, which suggests potential upside. Which perspective will the market ultimately reward?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Victoria’s Secret for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you have a different perspective or enjoy digging into the numbers yourself, you can put together your own analysis in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Victoria’s Secret research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Don’t settle for missing the next big opportunity. Take action now and supercharge your investment research with these handpicked themes powered by Simply Wall Street’s screener.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include VSCO.

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