Lea Bank (OM:LEA) delivered a notable set of numbers this quarter, with net profit margins climbing to 32.1%, up from 28.9% last year, and EPS growth hitting 25.8% after several years of declines. Looking forward, analysts expect the bank’s earnings to grow by an impressive 24.8% per year over the next three years, easily outpacing the wider Swedish market forecast of 12.6%. With robust revenue and profit trends, improved margin quality, and a share price of SEK12.8 that currently sits below estimated fair value, the risk-reward outlook appears solid for investors tracking the turnaround story.
See our full analysis for Lea Bank.
The next section sets these latest results alongside the most widely followed narratives for Lea Bank, giving a clearer view of where the numbers confirm the story and where they raise new questions.
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Lea Bank’s net profit margin climbed to 32.1%, well above the industry average, after sitting at 28.9% a year ago. This places it firmly ahead of broader European banks.
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Profitability heavily supports a constructive outlook because
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the bank’s margin improvement coincides with a reversal from years of average 28.4% annual earnings decline and highlights management’s shift in strategy,
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robust net profit margins often make future growth more durable, especially if revenue projections of 30.4% per year are realized.
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Forward guidance expects earnings to rise by 24.8% annually and revenue by 30.4% per year. Both measures significantly outpace the wider Swedish market’s 12.6% and 3.9% growth rates respectively.
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The projected growth path stands out for two reasons:
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Current forecasts set Lea Bank apart from local and regional competitors, emphasizing its growth as not just a rebound but a real shift ahead of market trends,
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such outperformance, if delivered, may establish Lea Bank as one of the region’s faster-growing lenders and support further re-rating by investors watching for sustained upside.
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The share price of SEK12.8 still trades below its DCF fair value of SEK18.13. With a P/E of 11x, it is priced below peer averages of 12.5x but trades slightly above the European industry average P/E of 9.7x.
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This pricing presents a mixed but compelling opportunity:
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investors are getting a discount to both fair value and typical peer multiples, reducing downside risk for value-oriented buyers,
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a modest premium to the wider European bank sector means some caution persists, especially for those prioritizing sector-wide bargains.
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