Eni (BIT:ENI) reported earnings growth of 4% per year and revenue growth of 3.8% per year, both trailing the broader Italian market’s expectations of 9.7% earnings and 5% revenue growth. The company’s net profit margin shrank to 2.6% from 4.1% a year earlier. With profitability improving over the last five years and high-quality earnings, investors are weighing the premium Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 21.1x (above industry and peer averages) against a market price that still sits below the discounted cash flow fair value.
See our full analysis for Eni.
Next, we will see how these headline figures stack up against the prevailing narratives that investors follow—and where the data might surprise.
See what the community is saying about Eni
-
Analysts forecast that Eni’s profit margin will rise from 2.6% today to 5.8% in three years, even as revenue is projected to decrease by 0.7% per year over the same period.
-
According to the analysts’ consensus view, margin expansion is supported by:
-
Growth in higher-margin businesses like biorefining and sustainable mobility, with new biorefinery projects and partnerships fueling expanded revenue streams and better return on equity.
-
Strategic LNG expansion and diversification, specifically new projects in Africa and Asia, add resilience to earnings and help offset declining revenue in legacy operations.
-
-
Strong margin outlook could underpin future shareholder returns. See how the consensus narrative interprets this shift in direction. 📊 Read the full Eni Consensus Narrative.
-
Persistent losses in Eni’s Versalis (chemicals and downstream) division, with management noting a “lack of meaningful economic recovery” in this European sector, continue to drag on group earnings and introduce ongoing margin pressure.
-
Analysts’ consensus view notes two main risk areas:
-
Legacy businesses like Versalis generate negative free cash flow, and expected only “slight improvement” in margin outlook, raising concerns about lasting drag on net profits.
-
Eni’s upstream expansion in regions such as Africa and Argentina boosts production potential but increases exposure to regulatory and expropriation risks, which could disrupt future revenue streams or lead to asset losses.
-
-
Eni trades at a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 21.1x, far above the industry and peer averages (14.5x and 14.7x). Yet its share price of €15.84 remains below both consensus analyst target (€15.75) and DCF fair value (€19.76).
-
Analysts’ consensus view underlines:
-
The small 2.9% difference between the current share price and the €15.75 consensus target suggests limited immediate upside. This implies the stock is close to being fairly priced in the eyes of most analysts.
-
Holding a valuation premium may weigh on sentiment if Eni’s forecasted growth continues to lag the broader Italian market. However, the DCF fair value offers longer-term support for investors who see further profitability gains.
-









