Exploring Mercedes-Benz (XTRA:MBG) Valuation After Recent Share Price Gains

Mercedes-Benz Group (XTRA:MBG) shares closed at €57.02, with returns over the past month showing a 7% gain. Investors watching the automaker may be weighing recent performance against longer-term growth, including an 18% total return over the past year.

See our latest analysis for Mercedes-Benz Group.

With a recent 7% 1-month share price return, Mercedes-Benz Group is showing signs of positive momentum after a steady stretch. This is supported by an 18.5% total shareholder return over the past year, suggesting that many investors see long-term growth potential building for the storied automaker.

If the auto sector’s momentum has your attention, there are plenty of opportunities to discover among global peers. See the full list for free.

But with shares trading roughly 22% below estimated intrinsic value and still trailing analyst targets, investors may wonder whether the market is overlooking Mercedes-Benz Group’s potential or if future growth is already reflected in today’s price.

The latest consensus narrative points to Mercedes-Benz Group trading below its estimated fair value, with analysts expecting modest upside beyond the current price. This sets the stage for a forward-looking view shaped by emerging industry catalysts and premium segment opportunities.

Expansion into electric vehicles, digital platforms, and advanced in-car technologies is expected to support premium pricing, recurring revenues, and long-term earnings growth. Operational efficiency, supply chain optimization, and sustainability initiatives aim to strengthen cost resilience, net margins, and adaptability to shifting industry dynamics.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious about the hidden logic behind that valuation? Find out which bold revenue, margin, and growth forecasts analysts are betting on to justify their price target. The real story is in the details analysts used to shape this fair value. Explore the full breakdown and see what sets this forecast apart.

Result: Fair Value of €60.96 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, persistent trade tensions and weaker Chinese demand remain key risks that could quickly shift the current outlook for Mercedes-Benz Group.

Find out about the key risks to this Mercedes-Benz Group narrative.

If you have a different perspective or want to dig deeper into the numbers, you can shape your own outlook and narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Mercedes-Benz Group research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include MBG.DE.

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