Exploring Valuation After a Strong 48% Rally in 2024

RWE (XTRA:RWE) stock has been on the move lately, and many investors are keeping an eye on the utility’s performance across European and international markets. The company’s ability to generate consistent revenue growth makes it a key name to watch in the sector.

See our latest analysis for RWE.

RWE’s steady run has caught the eye lately, especially after a robust rally that’s seen the share price jump nearly 48% year-to-date and surge over 27% in the last 90 days. Momentum is clearly building, with the one-year total shareholder return also standing strong at 41.8%, highlighting both recent excitement and solid long-term value for investors.

If you want to broaden your perspective beyond utilities, now’s a great time to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With RWE’s impressive rally and steady fundamentals, investors are left to wonder if the recent gains signal a bargain waiting to be seized or if the market has already taken the company’s future growth prospects into account.

With RWE shares last closing at €43.74 and the most-watched narrative suggesting a fair value of €47.16, there is a visible gap between current price and what analysts believe is justified. This difference is drawing fresh attention from market observers, and the stage is set for a closer look at the catalysts shaping those projections.

Major policy tailwinds in core markets, the U.K. retention of a single price zone, extension of CfD periods to 20 years, higher auction price caps, and the new U.S. “Big Beautiful Bill” with tax incentives are expected to provide greater revenue visibility and de-risk project cash flows. These factors may support higher recurring revenues and improved earnings quality over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what aggressive financial forecasts are behind that premium? The narrative is anchored in bold growth drivers and a future multiple that is turning heads. Don’t miss the surprisingly optimistic projections that could change how you value RWE.

Result: Fair Value of €47.16 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, unpredictably weak wind conditions or supply chain disruptions could quickly challenge RWE’s current growth outlook and prompt investors to reassess their expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this RWE narrative.

Taking a different approach, our DCF model estimates RWE’s fair value at €26.80, which is significantly lower than the current share price. This means that, despite the optimism shown by analyst targets, a cash flow-based perspective sees the stock as overvalued. Is the market too optimistic about RWE’s growth, or is the DCF being too cautious?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

RWE Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out RWE for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 920 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you want a second opinion or enjoy digging into the numbers yourself, it takes less than three minutes to build your own perspective and Do it your way.

A great starting point for your RWE research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include RWE.DE.

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