Curious whether Deutsche Bank’s stock is still good value after its recent rally? Let’s break down what seasoned investors need to know.
The stock has soared an eye-catching 95.7% over the last year and is up 82.1% year-to-date, though it dipped slightly by 1.5% over the past month.
Much of this momentum has been fueled by renewed optimism around the banking sector, as well as Deutsche Bank’s ongoing restructuring efforts. These efforts have garnered positive media attention and investor confidence worldwide.
For those focused on fundamentals, Deutsche Bank scores a 4 out of 6 on our valuation checks. This is a solid signal, but let’s dig deeper into traditional valuation approaches before revealing an even more insightful way to assess whether the stock is a bargain.
Deutsche Bank delivered 95.7% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Capital Markets industry.
The Excess Returns valuation model helps investors assess whether a company is creating value above its cost of capital by comparing its return on equity to the required return. This approach focuses on both the efficiency of Deutsche Bank’s investments and its future growth prospects, rather than just current earnings or cash flows.
Deutsche Bank’s Book Value stands at €40.49 per share, while its Stable EPS is projected at €3.61 per share, based on weighted return on equity estimates from 11 analysts. The bank’s Cost of Equity is €3.78 per share, resulting in a small negative Excess Return of €-0.17 per share. With an average return on equity of 9.52%, the company’s ability to generate returns just trails the required rate, and the Stable Book Value is forecast to be €37.88 per share according to 7 analyst projections.
Using the Excess Returns method, Deutsche Bank’s intrinsic value implies the stock is currently 14.6% undervalued compared to its market price. This suggests the market may not yet be fully appreciating Deutsche Bank’s efforts to improve its earnings and capital efficiency.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Deutsche Bank is undervalued by 14.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 920 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
DBK Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Deutsche Bank.
The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is widely considered a key tool for valuing profitable companies like Deutsche Bank, as it directly reflects how much investors are willing to pay for each euro of earnings. For established banks with steady profits, the P/E ratio can quickly indicate whether the stock price is in line with its financial performance.
What makes a “normal” P/E ratio? It is shaped by the company’s expected earnings growth, its profit stability, and the level of risk investors perceive in the business and industry. Fast-growing, lower-risk companies generally command higher P/E multiples, while mature or riskier firms often trade at lower levels.
Deutsche Bank currently trades at a P/E of 11.3x. This is below the Capital Markets industry average of 14.7x and also sits under the peer average of 17.8x. However, there is a more tailored benchmark to consider: the Simply Wall St Fair Ratio. For Deutsche Bank, the Fair Ratio is estimated at 26.5x, a proprietary metric that blends the company’s earnings outlook, profit margins, industry positioning, market capitalization, and risk factors. The Fair Ratio provides a more nuanced context than peers or industry averages alone because it takes into account how Deutsche Bank’s unique mix of strengths and risks affect its intrinsic value.
When comparing Deutsche Bank’s actual P/E of 11.3x to its Fair Ratio of 26.5x, the stock appears significantly undervalued, suggesting that the current price does not fully reflect the bank’s improved earnings prospects and position within its sector.
Result: UNDERVALUED
XTRA:DBK PE Ratio as at Nov 2025
PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1443 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives.
A Narrative is simply your story behind the numbers, an investor’s personal perspective on a company’s future that connects what you believe will happen next with a specific financial forecast and a fair value estimate. Narratives make investing more approachable because they link Deutsche Bank’s unique business drivers, key risks, and competitive advantages directly to concrete figures such as projected earnings, revenues, profit margins, and assumed valuation multiples. This approach helps transform complex financials into a story you can take action on.
This tool, available to millions of users on Simply Wall St’s Community page, empowers you to create, adjust, and follow Narratives that reflect your own views or those of other investors. By continuously updating with the latest earnings, news, and company events, Narratives allow you to compare your estimated fair value with Deutsche Bank’s current share price and decide when you think it is time to buy, hold, or sell.
For example, some investors’ Narratives assume Deutsche Bank will trade at €35.00 per share thanks to strong earnings and revenue growth. Others build a more cautious scenario with a fair value of just €10.93, reflecting higher risk or slower profit improvement.
Do you think there’s more to the story for Deutsche Bank? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
XTRA:DBK Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include DBK.DE.
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