China’s grip on U.S. imports just hit a new low. According to the latest U.S. Census Bureau data, China’s share of total U.S. imports dropped to 7.1% in Maythe weakest showing since 2001. That’s down 4.3 percentage points from the same time last year and less than half the 14.8% peak reached in September 2024, before Donald Trump reentered the White House and doubled down on tariffs. While this trend has been building since Trump’s first term, it appears to be picking up speedand investors are watching where that demand is now heading.
One answer? Taiwan. Its share of U.S. goods imports has nearly doubled in a year, reaching close to 6%just 1.2 percentage points behind China. That rise is no coincidence. AI demand is still red hot, and Taiwan’s dominance in semiconductor manufacturing puts it at the center of that boom. Companies like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:TSM) could be quietly gaining even more strategic importance as supply chains reroute away from the mainland.
Vietnam’s also moving up the ladder. Matching Taiwan’s near-6% import share, Vietnam is benefiting from a mix of locally made products and rerouted Chinese goods. But the story isn’t all upside. Earlier this week, the U.S. slapped a 40% tariff on certain Vietnam-origin products tied to Chinese componentsintroducing a new layer of friction. For investors, this trade reshuffling could signal opportunity in the region’s manufacturing hubsbut it comes with complexity that can’t be ignored.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.