A Closer Look at Henlius (SEHK:2696) Valuation Following Recent Market Moves

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (SEHK:2696) shares have caught investors’ attention following recent trading activity. Although the company did not issue any formal announcements, the stock’s movements this week invite a closer look at the drivers behind its current valuation.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Henlius Biotech.

This week’s surge has propelled Shanghai Henlius Biotech further into the spotlight, with short-term momentum helping to reverse some of the volatility seen over the past quarter. While the share price has pulled back 1.36% in the last day, it is still up 8.23% for the week and stands out with a remarkable year-to-date share price return of 193.83%. In the bigger picture, long-term investors have enjoyed a stellar 221.16% total shareholder return over the past year, reflecting both capital gains and income. The stock’s strong run suggests renewed optimism about its growth potential and market position.

If the recent rally in biotech has sparked your curiosity, consider expanding your search with our healthcare stocks screener See the full list for free.

Yet with this impressive rally and the stock currently trading nearly 47% below consensus analyst targets, investors are left to wonder whether Shanghai Henlius Biotech remains undervalued, or if the market is already factoring in all future growth.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.4x, putting the stock above both the industry and peer averages. With a last close price of HK$69.05, investors are paying a premium compared to other Asian biotech companies.

The P/E ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay today for a dollar of future earnings. In high-growth industries like biotech, a higher P/E can sometimes be justified if the market expects rapid profit expansion. However, this figure should be weighed against the company’s actual growth prospects and risks.

Shanghai Henlius Biotech’s P/E ratio exceeds the Asian Biotechs industry average of 40.8x and the peer group average of 37.9x. Even when considering the estimated fair P/E ratio of 23.5x, the current valuation remains elevated, suggesting the market is pricing in strong future growth or other catalysts. Significant deviation from the fair ratio could mean the market expects exceptional performance, or it may signal over-optimism that could correct.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Shanghai Henlius Biotech

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 41.4x (OVERVALUED)

However, slower than expected revenue growth or increased competition could quickly undermine the optimism currently reflected in Shanghai Henlius Biotech’s share price.

Find out about the key risks to this Shanghai Henlius Biotech narrative.

While the market assigns a premium price-to-earnings ratio to Shanghai Henlius Biotech, our DCF model reaches a different conclusion. The SWS DCF model indicates the shares are trading about 45.5% below their fair value. This suggests the stock may be undervalued on a cash flow basis. Could the market be missing something, or is it simply cautious about future growth?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

2696 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Shanghai Henlius Biotech for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 914 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you think there’s another angle to Shanghai Henlius Biotech’s story, you can dive into the numbers and craft your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Shanghai Henlius Biotech research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include 2696.HK.

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