Jeans rarely make Wall Street headlines, but the denim feud between American Eagle and Gap has investors paying attention.
In late July, American Eagle rolled out its Sydney Sweeney campaign with the tagline “Sydney Sweeney has great jeans.” The ad went viral, but not in the way the company hoped. Critics slammed it as “rage-bait,” sparking backlash over its racially-charged undertones.
For a moment, Wall Street didn’t care. Shares surged as much as 24% — the biggest percentage gain in 25 years. But the boost was fleeting. According to Bloomberg Second Measure, sales slid year over year, dropping from 17.5% the week of July 20 to nearly 11% by July 27. Online traffic also dipped.
Gap, meanwhile, leaned into nostalgia. Its “Better in Denim” campaign tapped into Y2K vibes, featuring girl group KATSEYE with Kelis, singing “Milkshake.” The campaign clicked with consumers, sending engagement soaring and giving shares a 4% lift in August.
Ad campaigns can move the needle in the short term, but building an investment strategy around them is like buying jeans for the logo instead of the fit — flashy now, disappointing later.
For denim retailers, 2025 has been more about headlines than hard numbers.
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) has had a rough run, with shares down about 25.9% since the start of the year. A pre-earnings rally lifted the stock to $12.55 in mid-May, but momentum stalled when the company pulled its outlook and posted a deeper-than-expected loss. Shares fell below $11 before inching back to $12.85 by August 29.
That rebound lined up with the company’s Sydney Sweeney campaign — a pop culture play that put American Eagle back in the spotlight. But analysts caution it may not translate into lasting gains.
“Near term, there is risk that the recent Sydney Sweeney campaign added momentum,” Bank of America analysts wrote. “However, we do not assign a high likelihood that momentum from this campaign can fully inflect the business over the long run.”
The controversy hasn’t helped. Allegations by critics surfaced that the “Sydney Sweeney’s got great genes” campaign carried undertones linked to eugenics, a discredited genetic theory often invoked by white supremacists. Sweeney also came under scrutiny for being a registered Republican, drawing attention from President Donald Trump.