Maersk raises full-year guidance amid volatile external environment


Copenhagen, Denmark – A.P. Moller – Maersk A/S (Maersk) achieved strong results in the second quarter with revenue growth of 2.8% and EBIT reaching USD 845m. While down sequentially, Maersk results were in line with the previous year despite significant geopolitical uncertainty and continued rate pressure. The performance was driven by continued strong results in Terminals, volume growth in Ocean and increased profitability in Logistics & Services and further supported by continued operational improvements and ongoing cost discipline in all business segments. Given the more resilient market demand outside of North America, Maersk raises its full-year 2025 financial guidance as per the table below.


We have had a strong first half of the year, driven by consistent follow through on our operational improvement plans and the successful launch of the Gemini Cooperation. Our new East-West network is raising the bar on reliability and setting new industry standards. It has been a key driver of increased volumes and solid delivery of our Ocean business. Even with market volatility and historical uncertainty in global trade, demand remained resilient, and we’ve continued to respond with speed and flexibility. As our customers navigate these complex challenges, we remain committed to helping them build stronger and more adaptable supply chains— making sure they are ready to not just weather disruption, but to grow through it.

Vincent Clerc

CEO of Maersk


Ocean delivered good results in a quarter marked by significant volatility in demand and rates. Volumes grew 4.2% compared to the same quarter last year, mainly driven by exports out of Asia, with freight rates picking up in the quarter, while still being under pressure both sequentially and compared to previous year. The Gemini Cooperation was successfully phased in fully in June with reliability scores above the 90% target in its first few months of operation.

Logistics & Services continued to focus on operational efficiency and delivering sustainable profitability improvement. EBIT increased by 39% to USD 175m and EBIT margin was 4.8%, up from 3.5% in the same quarter last year. The margin growth was driven by strong cost discipline and increased productivity.

It was another strong quarter in Terminals with record-high volumes and revenue. Volumes increased 9.9% and were supported by the successful phase-in of the Gemini cooperation adding more Maersk Ocean volumes to the Terminals business. EBIT increased by 31% to USD 461m driven primarily by strong operational and joint venture performance. ROIC increased to 15.4%, up from 12.2% in the same quarter last year.

Financial guidance

Given the more resilient market demand outside of North America, Maersk raises its full-year 2025 financial guidance as per the table below. The expected global container market volume growth has been revised to between 2% and 4% (previously between -1% and 4%). At this time, disruption in the Red Sea is still expected to last for the full year.






Guidance 2025

EBITDA Underlying
(Previously: 6.0-9.0)

EBIT Underlying
(Previously: 0.0-3.0)

Free cash flow or higher
(Previously: -3.0 or higher)

CAPEX (Unchanged)
2024-2025

CAPEX (Unchanged)
2025-2026


Guidance 2025


USDbn


EBITDA Underlying
(Previously: 6.0-9.0)


8.0-9.5


EBIT Underlying
(Previously: 0.0-3.0)


2.0-3.5


Free cash flow or higher
(Previously: -3.0 or higher)


-1.0


CAPEX (Unchanged)
2024-2025


10.0-11.0


CAPEX (Unchanged)
2025-2026


10.0-11.0

Maersk’s guidance for 2025 is subject to considerable macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties impacting container volume growth and freight rates.

Cash distribution to shareholders

Distribution of cash to shareholders during the quarter was USD 864m of which USD 514M was from share buy-backs.

Highlights Q2

Revenue










USD million

2025

2024


USD million


Ocean


2025


8,572


2024


8,370


USD million


Logistics & Services


2025


3,668


2024


3,632


USD million


Terminals


2025


1,307


2024


1,089


USD million


Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.


2025


-417


2024


-320


USD million


A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated


2025


13,130


2024


12,771

EBITDA










USD million

2025

2024


USD million


Ocean


2025


1,443


2024


1,407


USD million


Logistics & Services


2025


419


2024


348


USD million


Terminals


2025


458


2024


408


USD million


Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.


2025


-22


2024


-19


USD million


A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated


2025


2,298


2024


2,144

EBIT










USD million

2025

2024


USD million


Ocean


2025


229


2024


470


USD million


Logistics & Services


2025


175


2024


126


USD million


Terminals


2025


461


2024


353


USD million


Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.


2025


-20


2024


14


USD million


A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated


2025


845


2024


963

CAPEX










USD million

2025

2024


USD million


Ocean


2025


964


2024


578


USD million


Logistics & Services


2025


139


2024


159


USD million


Terminals


2025


141


2024


135


USD million


Unallocated activities, eliminations, etc.


2025


34


2024


32


USD million


A.P. Moller – Maersk consolidated


2025


1,278


2024


904

Sensitivity guidance

Financial performance for Maersk for 2025 depends on several factors subject to uncertainties related to the given uncertain macroeconomic conditions, bunker fuel prices and freight rates. All else being equal, the sensitivities for 2025 for four key assumptions are listed below:









Factors

Change

Effect on EBIT (Rest of 2025)


Factors


Container freight rate


Change


+/- 100 USD/FFE


Effect on EBIT (Rest of 2025)


+/- USD 0.7bn


Factors


Container freight volume


Change


+/- 100,000 FFE


Effect on EBIT (Rest of 2025)


+/- USD 0.01bn


Factors


Bunker price (net of expected BAF coverage)


Change


+/- 100 USD/tonne


Effect on EBIT (Rest of 2025)


+/- USD 0.1bn


Factors


Foreign exchange rate (net of hedges)


Change


+/- 10% change in USD


Effect on EBIT (Rest of 2025)


+/- USD 0.1bn

About Maersk

A.P. Moller – Maersk is an integrated logistics company  working to connect and simplify its customers’ supply chains. As a global leader in logistics services, the company operates in more than 130 countries and employs around 100,000 people. Maersk is aiming to reach net zero GHG emissions by 2040 across the entire business with new technologies, new vessels, and reduced GHG emissions fuels*.

*Maersk defines “reduced GHG emissions fuels” as fuels with at least 65% reductions in GHG emissions on a lifecycle basis compared to fossil of 94 g CO2e/MJ.


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