Why Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Is Down 10.1% After Juniper Deal Challenges and Rising Memory Costs

  • In the past week, Morgan Stanley downgraded Hewlett Packard Enterprise, citing challenges from the Juniper Networks acquisition and the impact of rising memory costs on future profit margins and earnings forecasts.

  • This development highlights analyst concerns around HPE’s ability to manage integration risks while maintaining margin expansion and earnings growth amid industry-wide cost pressures.

  • We’ll look at how margin pressure from higher memory costs and the recent Juniper integration may affect Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s investment narrative.

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To be a Hewlett Packard Enterprise shareholder today, you need confidence in the company’s ability to execute its transition to higher-margin software, services, and AI-centric infrastructure, despite short-term integration risks from the Juniper Networks acquisition and near-term cost pressures from rising memory prices. Morgan Stanley’s recent downgrade underscores concerns that these issues may weigh on anticipated margin expansion, although no material shift has been signaled in the company’s core long-term narrative or fundamental catalyst: successful execution on AI and networking-led growth.

Among recent announcements, HPE’s launch of next-generation Cray supercomputing solutions stands out for its relevance to the investment case. These innovations support the company’s push into AI-ready compute, positioning HPE to benefit from industry AI adoption trends, the very catalyst that could offset margin pressure from integration challenges and higher hardware input costs.

By contrast, investors should keep in mind the potential consequences if Juniper integration risks are not managed effectively and …

Read the full narrative on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (it’s free!)

Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s narrative projects $44.4 billion revenue and $2.7 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 10.3% yearly revenue growth and a $1.6 billion earnings increase from $1.1 billion today.

Uncover how Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s forecasts yield a $26.51 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.

HPE Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Five members of the Simply Wall St Community have estimated HPE’s fair value in a broad range from US$17.90 to US$33.26 per share. Considering concerns about execution on recent acquisitions, these varied outlooks highlight the importance of understanding both upside potential and risks when making investment decisions.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Hewlett Packard Enterprise – why the stock might be worth as much as 62% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include HPE.

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