Why Analysts See SAP’s Narrative Shifting Amid New Risks and Growth Drivers

SAP’s price target has seen a minor downward adjustment, with the fair value decreasing slightly from €288.67 to €287.58 and the discount rate lowered from 6.36% to 6.32%. This subtle change reflects updates in analyst expectations, which have been shaped by evolving revenue forecasts and adjustments to underlying assumptions. Readers interested in how these shifting outlooks could impact SAP’s future performance should stay tuned for insights on tracking the ongoing narrative and its implications.

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Analyst sentiment on SAP has been dynamic in recent months, reflecting both confidence in the company’s long-term potential and ongoing scrutiny of its near-term challenges. Below is a synthesis of the key takeaways from recent research notes.

🐂 Bullish Takeaways

  • JPMorgan’s Toby Ogg raised his price target to EUR 310 from EUR 290, reaffirming an Overweight rating and highlighting continued confidence in SAP’s growth outlook.

  • Barclays increased its price target to $348 from $322, maintaining an Overweight rating. While acknowledging some softness in cloud guidance and software declines, Barclays noted more positive sentiment around the macro environment and a robust Q4 pipeline. This suggests improving prospects for revenue acceleration next year.

  • Oddo BHF upgraded SAP to Outperform from Neutral and slightly bumped its price target to EUR 284. Oddo BHF described the recent share pullback as a buying opportunity and credited SAP’s earnings resilience even in a weaker macroeconomic backdrop.

  • Jefferies reiterated its Buy rating and a EUR 290 price target, highlighting SAP’s “multiple levers of growth and sensible strategic choices to sustain durable growth.” Jefferies expects the stock to rebound following recent weakness, pointing to management’s transparent approach and growth execution.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

  • BMO Capital took a more cautious view, lowering its price target to $320 from $330 while keeping an Outperform rating. While recognizing solid Q3 results, BMO noted some disappointment around the Q4 guidance and flagged uncertainties about near-term growth momentum.

  • Some analysts expressed concerns around valuation, with suggestions that much of the upside may already be reflected in SAP’s current share price. Ongoing risks tied to macroeconomic conditions and the pace of cloud revenue conversion were also noted.

Together, these perspectives highlight that while many on Wall Street remain positively disposed towards SAP’s strategic direction and execution capabilities, certain reservations persist, particularly regarding near-term revenue dynamics and valuation levels. Investors should continue to monitor how well SAP balances its growth ambitions with transparency and cost discipline to deliver on the expectations set by recent analyst commentary.

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