Thinking about whether Global Business Travel Group stock is a real bargain or just flying under the radar? You are not alone. Figuring out the true value of this stock has plenty of investors curious.
The share price jumped 8.4% over the past week, but it is still down 1.7% for the month and sits nearly 18% below where it was a year ago. This hints at both fresh optimism and lingering skepticism in the market.
Recently, industry updates and M&A discussions have kept Global Business Travel Group in the spotlight. Investors are weighing announcements about new strategic partnerships and travel demand trends, all of which are shaping sentiment around the stock’s future potential.
If you are keeping score, Global Business Travel Group currently rates a 6 out of 6 on our valuation checklist, meaning it is deemed undervalued on every single metric we track. Let’s dive into what that score really means, and stick around for a look at an even more insightful take on valuation coming later in the article.
Find out why Global Business Travel Group’s -17.9% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model determines a company’s intrinsic value by projecting its future free cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars. This approach helps investors assess whether a stock’s current price fairly reflects its future earning power.
For Global Business Travel Group, the latest reported Free Cash Flow stands at $129.7 Million. Projections point to continued growth, with analysts expecting FCF to reach $425 Million by 2028. Although detailed analyst estimates end at five years, Simply Wall St extends the outlook by extrapolating steady growth up to 2035, with future cash flows peaking at $625.9 Million. All projections are in US dollars.
Using these figures, the DCF model estimates the stock’s fair value at $14.21 per share. This valuation signals a substantial discount because the current market price sits about 45.8% below this intrinsic value.
In summary, Global Business Travel Group appears undervalued at today’s prices based on the DCF analysis alone, which may be of interest to value-focused investors.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Global Business Travel Group is undervalued by 45.8%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 920 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
GBTG Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Global Business Travel Group.
The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is often considered a reliable benchmark for valuing profitable companies, especially when earnings may be less consistent year over year. This ratio is particularly useful in sectors like hospitality, where revenue growth can signal underlying business health even when profits fluctuate due to temporary costs or investments.
Investors should keep in mind that normal or fair P/S ratios reflect not just a company’s growth prospects, but also risk factors such as market volatility and profit consistency. Companies with better growth outlooks or lower risks typically command higher multiples, while slower or riskier businesses tend to trade at discounts.
Currently, Global Business Travel Group trades at a P/S ratio of 1.60x. For comparison, the industry average sits at 1.66x, and close peers average 3.45x. Simply Wall St’s proprietary Fair Ratio, which accounts for the company’s unique combination of earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap, and risk profile, stands at 2.12x.
This Fair Ratio offers a tailored benchmark and is more insightful than a straight comparison to peers or the industry average, as it incorporates projections and qualitative factors that standard multiples do not reflect.
In this case, Global Business Travel Group’s current P/S ratio is clearly below the Fair Ratio. This points to attractive value at current levels, suggesting the stock is undervalued by this metric.
Result: UNDERVALUED
NYSE:GBTG PS Ratio as at Nov 2025
PS ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1443 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is a story-driven framework for investing, where you connect your perspective about a company—its opportunities, risks, and the reasons behind its potential—directly with the numbers, such as forecasts of future revenue and profit margins, to form a unique view of fair value.
Unlike static data points, Narratives invite you to actively consider how business events and your own research shape the financial future you expect. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, millions of investors use Narratives as a simple tool to articulate their reasoning, see how their story translates into numbers, and instantly compare the resulting Fair Value to the current market price.
Narratives make it easier to decide when to buy or sell by updating dynamically as new information, such as earnings results or industry news, emerges. For example, some Global Business Travel Group Narratives are built around bullish views that integration of acquisitions and digital expansion will drive fair value as high as $11.00 per share, while more cautious investors, focusing on uncertain travel demand and integration risks, arrive at targets as low as $7.00.
Do you think there’s more to the story for Global Business Travel Group? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
NYSE:GBTG Earnings & Revenue History as at Nov 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include GBTG.
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