Ever wondered if Aura Minerals is trading at a bargain or burning a hole in your pocket? You are not alone. Plenty of investors are asking whether now is the right moment to get involved.
The stock has been on a tear, jumping 11.6% over the last week, 24.6% in the past month, and 232.8% year-to-date. These numbers catch the eye of anyone watching for growth stories or shifting risk dynamics.
Recent headlines have focused on Aura Minerals’ operational updates and new project developments, fueling excitement and contributing to its rally. These strategic moves in their business activities are playing a key role in shaping investor sentiment this year.
When it comes to traditional valuation checks, Aura Minerals scores a 3 out of 6 for being undervalued. Let us break down how analysts reach these numbers and why there may be even better ways to understand what the market has missed.
Aura Minerals delivered 258.7% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Metals and Mining industry.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is a forward-looking valuation approach that estimates a company’s intrinsic value by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to present value. This provides a snapshot of what Aura Minerals could be worth today based on expectations of tomorrow’s cash flow generation.
Aura Minerals currently generates Free Cash Flow of approximately $82.43 million. Analyst projections suggest rapid FCF growth, with forecasts reaching $344.03 million by 2026 and $572.10 million in 2029, all in US dollars. After these analyst estimates, further projections out to 2035 are extrapolated to continue the trend. However, these longer-range figures are increasingly speculative.
Based on the DCF model, Aura Minerals has an estimated intrinsic value of $117.39 per share. With shares trading at roughly a 65.8% discount to this calculated value, the analysis signals that the stock is significantly undervalued by the market using these cash flow assumptions.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Aura Minerals is undervalued by 65.8%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 917 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
AUGO Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Aura Minerals.
The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is a widely used valuation multiple, especially suitable for companies like Aura Minerals that are generating revenue but may not have consistent profits or predictable earnings. The P/S ratio offers a clear snapshot of how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s sales. This makes it a useful benchmark in industries where profitability can swing with commodity cycles or project timelines.
Market expectations and risk profiles help frame what counts as a fair P/S ratio. Companies with high growth potential or lower risks often command higher multiples, while slower-growth or more volatile firms are typically valued at lower ratios. Understanding Aura Minerals’ P/S ratio within this context is key for investors deciphering whether the market is too optimistic or pessimistic.
Currently, Aura Minerals trades at a P/S ratio of 4.34x. This stands above the metals and mining industry average of 2.07x and slightly below the peer group average of 5.69x. Rather than relying solely on these broad comparisons, Simply Wall St introduces the proprietary “Fair Ratio.” For Aura Minerals, this benchmark is calculated at 3.58x. The Fair Ratio evaluates what is reasonable for this company by factoring in its growth prospects, profit margins, industry positioning, market capitalization and risk profile. This offers investors a more tailored comparison than blunt peer or sector averages.
Comparing Aura Minerals’ actual P/S ratio (4.34x) to its Fair Ratio (3.58x), the difference is greater than 0.10. This suggests the stock is trading above what would be considered fair based on its fundamentals and growth outlook.
Result: OVERVALUED
NasdaqGS:AUGO PS Ratio as at Nov 2025
PS ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1439 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Let us introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is your story about a company, tying together the numbers you believe in, your forecast for Aura Minerals’ future revenue, earnings, margins, and ultimately what you think is a fair share price. Narratives take company data and connect it directly to your personal perspective, letting you see how your outlook compares to others.
On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are a simple and accessible tool embraced by millions of investors. They dynamically update as new information emerges, such as news or earnings announcements, so your investment decisions always reflect the latest trends and events. By linking a company’s backstory to forecasting and fair value, Narratives help you compare your Fair Value with the current Price.
For example, some investors might believe Aura Minerals is worth far more than the current market price based on aggressive growth assumptions, while others may set a more conservative outlook, highlighting the diversity of perspectives within the Community.
Do you think there’s more to the story for Aura Minerals? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
NasdaqGS:AUGO Earnings & Revenue History as at Nov 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include AUGO.
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