Antarctica’s Secret Lakes Could Reshape the Future of Sea Levels

This map of subglacial lakes beneath the Antarctic ice sheet shows 85 lakes newly identified in a study published in Nature in September 2025. The data for this inventory comes from ESA’s CryoSat mission, which used its radar altimetry instrument to acquire data between 2010 and 2020. Red triangles denote the newly discovered active subglacial lakes, while smaller pink triangles are active subglacial lakes that had previously been detected. The grey circles are previously known stable subglacial lakes. Credit: ESA (Data source: Wilson, S. et al., 2025)

Scientists using ESA’s CryoSat satellite uncovered 85 new subglacial lakes in Antarctica, showing how hidden water networks beneath the ice drive glacier movement and affect sea level rise.

Hidden deep beneath Antarctica’s massive ice sheet are hundreds of subglacial lakes that play a vital role in shaping the continent’s frozen landscape. These underground reservoirs influence how glaciers shift and flow, which in turn affects global sea levels.

Drawing on ten years of observations from the European Space Agency’s CryoSat satellite, scientists have uncovered 85 previously unknown lakes located several kilometers beneath the ice near the South Pole. With this discovery, the number of documented active subglacial lakes in Antarctica has risen by more than half, reaching 231 in total.

Rare Insights Into Antarctic Ice Dynamics

The study, released on September 19 in Nature Communications, is especially important because these active lakes periodically drain and refill, offering a rare window into processes occurring far below the surface at the base of the ice sheet. The researchers also identified new underground drainage routes, including five systems of interconnected lakes.

Lead author Sally Wilson, a doctoral researcher at the University of Leeds, emphasized how little is currently understood about these hidden waters. The challenge, she explained, is that they are buried beneath hundreds of meters of ice.

“It is incredibly difficult to observe subglacial lake filling and draining events in these conditions, especially since they take several months or years to fill and drain. Only 36 complete cycles, from the start of subglacial filling through to the end of draining, had been observed worldwide before our study. We observed 12 more complete fill-drain events, bringing the total to 48.”

ESA Earth Explorer CryoSat Mission
ESA’s Earth Explorer CryoSat mission is dedicated to precise monitoring of changes in the thickness of marine ice floating in the polar oceans and variations in the thickness of the vast ice sheets that blanket Greenland and Antarctica. Credit: ESA/AOES Medialab

Why Satellites Matter

This is where satellites were able to contribute valuable data to the research. Observations from the CryoSat mission, which was launched in 2010, were able to produce a dataset spanning from 2010 to 2020.

ESA’s CryoSat satellite, part of ESA’s FutureEO program, measures the thickness of polar sea ice and monitors changes in the height of ice sheets over Greenland and Antarctica and glaciers worldwide. Its main instrument is a radar altimeter, which can detect tiny variations in the height of the ice surface as well as measure sea surface height.

Using a decade of observations from CryoSat, researchers detected localized changes in the height of Antarctica’s icy surface, which rises and falls as the lakes fill and drain at the base of the ice sheet. They could then detect and map subglacial lakes and monitor their filling and draining cycles over time.

Anna Hogg, a co-author on the study and Professor at the University of Leeds, said, “It was fascinating to discover that the subglacial lake areas can change during different filling or draining cycles. This shows that Antarctic subglacial hydrology is much more dynamic than previously thought, so we must continue to monitor these lakes as they evolve in the future.”

View of Antarctic Ice Sheet
This view of the Antarctic Ice Sheet was taken during research into the water bodies hidden underneath the ice sheet. Thanks to a decade of data from the European Space Agency’s CryoSat satellite, the research identified 85 previously unknown lakes several kilometres under the frozen surface surrounding the South Pole. This increases the number of known active subglacial lakes below Antarctica by more than half to 231. Credit: Prof. A. E. Hogg/ Uni. Leeds

A Vital Piece for Sea Level Predictions

Sally explained that observations like these are vital to understanding the structural dynamics of ice sheets and how they affect the ocean around them. “The numerical models we currently use to project the contribution of entire ice sheets to sea level rise do not include subglacial hydrology. These new datasets of subglacial lake locations, extents, and timeseries of change, will be used to develop our understanding of the processes driving water flow beneath Antarctica.”

Martin Wearing, ESA Polar Science Cluster Coordinator, noted, “This research again demonstrates the importance of data from the CryoSat mission to improve our understanding of polar regions and particularly the dynamics of ice sheets. The more we understand about the complex processes affecting the Antarctic Ice Sheet, including the flow of meltwater at the base of the ice sheet, the more accurately we will be able to project the extent of future sea level rise.”

Change in Ice Sheet Surface Height Above Subglacial Lakes in Antarctica
Ice surface elevation changes from mid-2010 to mid-2020 over three subglacial lakes under Antarctica. Lake David 80 is shown on the left with a decreased ice surface elevation of 6 m during the study period. The subglacial lake known as David 2 on the right is associated with an increase in ice surface elevation of 8 meters. A smaller but distinct subglacial lake, named David 180, is located below these, also registering a decreased elevation. Credit: ESA (Data source: Wilson, S. et al., 2025)

How Does a Subglacial Lake Form?

Subglacial meltwater forms due to geothermal heat from Earth’s bedrock surface and frictional heat as ice slides over bedrock. This meltwater can pool on the bedrock surface, and periodically drains. This flow of water has the potential to reduce the friction between the ice and the bedrock it sits on, allowing ice to slide more quickly into the ocean.

Not all subglacial lakes are considered active – many are thought to be stable because they are not known to fill or drain. The biggest known subglacial lake is Lake Vostok underneath the East Antarctic Ice Sheet, holding an estimated 5,000-65,000 cubic km of water beneath 4 km of ice (the water contained in Lake Vostok is enough to fill the Grand Canyon and overflow by at least 25 %). Although Lake Vostok is thought to be stable, if it did drain, it would impact the stability of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, surrounding ocean circulation, marine habitats, and global sea level.

Implications for Climate Modelling

The filling-and-draining cycles of subglacial lakes are an important dataset for icesheet and climate models. By monitoring such phenomena, scientists can improve their understanding of interactions between the ice sheet, bedrock, ocean and atmosphere, which is key to understanding the future stability of ice sheets.

“Subglacial hydrology is a missing piece in many ice sheet models,” said Sally. “By mapping where and when these lakes are active, we can start to quantify their impact on ice dynamics and improve projections of future sea level rise.”

Reference: “Detection of 85 new active subglacial lakes in Antarctica from a decade of CryoSat-2 data” by Sally F. Wilson, Anna E. Hogg, Richard Rigby, Noel Gourmelen, Isabel Nias and Thomas Slater, 19 September 2025, Nature Communications.
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-63773-9

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