What Do Surging Innodata Shares Signal After Recent Nasdaq 100 Inclusion in 2025?

If you’re eyeing Innodata stock and wondering whether it deserves a spot in your portfolio, you’re not alone. This is a company that’s made headlines for its meteoric rise. In just the past year, Innodata shares have soared an astonishing 322.6%, and the gains grow even more jaw-dropping when looking further back: over 2,000% in three years and nearly 2,900% across the past five. While the last week saw a minor dip of -4.6%, the stock was up 18.7% in the last month and is already up over 100% for 2024 so far. Clearly, there’s serious excitement (and some volatility) surrounding Innodata among investors and traders.

Behind some of these moves are broader market trends and investor enthusiasm for companies driving digital transformation, a space where Innodata has steadily carved out a recognized position. The impressive long-term rally suggests there’s been a major shift in how the market views Innodata’s growth prospects and risk, from an under-the-radar play to a company many now see as a winner in AI-driven data services.

But has the stock’s explosive run made it expensive, or is there still value hiding under the hood? According to our valuation ‘scorecard,’ Innodata is currently considered undervalued in 0 out of 6 widely-followed valuation checks, giving it a score of 0. That might raise some eyebrows after such a strong advance, but a number alone doesn’t tell the whole story.

Let’s walk through the major valuation approaches analysts use for companies like Innodata, and see what each one reveals. And stick around, because at the end, I’ll share a more insightful way to understand if the market is pricing Innodata right.

Innodata scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company’s intrinsic value by projecting its future free cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars. This approach helps investors understand what a business is fundamentally worth based on the cash it is expected to generate in the years ahead.

For Innodata, the starting point is its latest reported Free Cash Flow (FCF) of $32.58 million. Analyst forecasts see FCF moderating to $26.04 million by the end of 2026, with slight declines projected through 2035. While analysts provide estimates for up to five years, further projections are extrapolated and indicate generally flat to mildly decreasing cash flows into the next decade.

Simply Wall St’s two-stage DCF calculation arrives at an intrinsic value of $16.42 per share. With the company’s current share price well above this estimate, the implied discount suggests Innodata stock is a hefty 383.8% overvalued by this method.

Continue Reading