Qualys (QLYS) shares are trending slightly higher so far this month, showing around a 1% positive return over the past week. This comes at a time when the broader technology sector continues to face market volatility. Investors are keeping an eye on valuation and trends after recent pullbacks.
See our latest analysis for Qualys.
Zooming out, Qualys’s share price has slipped nearly 8% year-to-date but still posts a positive 1-year total shareholder return of around 6%. This reflects a mix of investor caution and enduring belief in its growth story. The momentum has faded recently, although its longer-term track record highlights an ability to deliver for shareholders.
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With Qualys trading below its analyst price target and fundamentals showing steady growth, the key question now is whether the stock is undervalued and offering potential upside, or if the market has already priced in future gains.
The current narrative fair value for Qualys lands at $141, which is noticeably higher than its last closing price of $128.05. This gap highlights ongoing optimism about the company’s prospects and sets the foundation for the key thinking driving this estimate.
Adoption of Qualys’ new cloud-native risk operations center (ROC) and Agentic AI platform positions the company as a leading pre-breach risk management provider. It offers unified orchestration, automation, and remediation across both Qualys and non-Qualys data. This opens incremental greenfield opportunities and should support higher ARPU and expanded TAM, leading to durable revenue and earnings growth.
Read the complete narrative.
What exactly propels this bullish narrative? Behind the ambitious price target are bold expectations about rising average customer spend, new platform launches and growing demand from global organizations. Want to see how much future growth, profit expansion and technology innovation must deliver in reality to make these numbers stack up? Find out what the consensus is betting on and what needs to go right by reading the full breakdown.
Result: Fair Value of $141 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, rapid AI innovation and new pricing models could disrupt Qualys’s momentum if competitors advance more quickly in development or if customer adoption trends unexpectedly shift.
Find out about the key risks to this Qualys narrative.