Valuation Revisited After Q3 Revenue Surge and Raised Growth Outlook

Ondas Holdings, following its third-quarter earnings announcement, is seeing renewed attention from investors due to a major revenue surge led by its autonomous systems business. The company’s revenue growth beat expectations.

See our latest analysis for Ondas Holdings.

The powerful rally following Ondas Holdings’ standout Q3 revenue has caught investor attention, with the share price surging 23.6% over the past week and 9.4% in just one day after earnings. Despite a 24.5% dip over the last month, the stock is still up 86% for the past quarter and boasts a staggering 1-year total shareholder return of over 900%. The combination of new acquisitions, raised revenue forecasts, and a record backlog are fueling bullish sentiment and building momentum well beyond short-term swings.

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But is Ondas Holdings still undervalued after such a dramatic run-up, or have investors already priced in all of its future growth? Is there a real buying opportunity here, or has the market moved ahead of the fundamentals?

The narrative sets Ondas Holdings’ fair value at $9.50, which stands well above the last close of $7.18. This gap spotlights a potential valuation disconnect between narrative projections and the current market price.

“Bullish analysts highlight long-term growth opportunities in Ondas’ Autonomous Systems business, pointing to recent successes and new initiatives in the aerospace and defense sectors.”

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what makes this number so compelling? The fair value hinges on bold future revenue forecasts and a profit trajectory typically reserved for market leaders. Dig deeper to discover the exact assumptions driving this ambitious price target, where outsized growth aspirations collide with hard financial projections.

Result: Fair Value of $9.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, significant risks remain, including volatile margins and reliance on defense contracts. These factors could quickly shift investor sentiment if challenges re-emerge.

Find out about the key risks to this Ondas Holdings narrative.

Looking at Ondas Holdings through the lens of its price-to-book ratio paints a very different picture. The company’s ratio stands at 27.6x, far above the US Communications industry average of 1.9x and its peer average of 1.8x. Such a steep premium suggests that investors are expecting substantial future growth, but it also highlights considerable valuation risk if those high hopes are not met. Does this lofty multiple reflect real opportunity or heighten downside risk?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NasdaqCM:ONDS PB Ratio as at Nov 2025

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft your own Ondas Holdings narrative in just a few minutes. Shape the story as you see fit. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Ondas Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include ONDS.

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