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Earlier in November 2025, Restaurant Brands International announced a joint venture with Chinese asset manager CPE to grow Burger King’s restaurant count in China from about 1,250 to more than 4,000 locations by 2035, backed by a US$350 million investment from CPE.
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This move aligns with RBI’s strategy of expanding via franchise-led models and underlines the significance of China’s rapidly growing consumer market for global quick-service restaurant brands.
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We’ll consider how this ambitious partnership and expansion plan could influence the company’s investment narrative and future growth opportunities.
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To be a shareholder in Restaurant Brands International, you need to believe in the company’s ability to drive profitable growth through its global franchise model, while balancing the risks of international expansion and margin pressures. The recent China joint venture is a meaningful step for long-term unit growth but, in the near term, does not materially resolve the biggest risk: the potential for margin compression from persistent commodity inflation and competitive discounting, especially in the key U.S. and international markets.
The recently completed US$1.21 billion follow-on equity offering stands out in the context of these expansion plans. This fresh capital further strengthens RBI’s ability to fund initiatives like the ambitious China partnership, reinforcing the company’s commitment to international growth as a primary catalyst, while also highlighting the need for disciplined capital allocation should near-term pressures on margins intensify.
By contrast, investors should be aware that executing large-scale international growth ventures can introduce risks that…
Read the full narrative on Restaurant Brands International (it’s free!)
Restaurant Brands International’s outlook anticipates $10.1 billion in revenue and $2.0 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on a 3.5% annual revenue growth rate and a $1.1 billion increase in earnings from the current $862.0 million.
Uncover how Restaurant Brands International’s forecasts yield a $78.25 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Restaurant Brands International range from US$43 to nearly US$87 across 4 separate perspectives. While these views underscore broad uncertainty, the recent China expansion plans highlight that international initiatives can significantly shape future performance, reminding you to explore several alternative viewpoints before making up your mind.
