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If you are wondering whether Core Natural Resources at around US$95 per share still offers value, you are not alone. This article is here to help you weigh what the current price might be implying.
The stock has seen a 3.9% decline over the last week, while returns sit at 7.8% over 30 days, 6.1% year to date, 6.2% over 1 year, 72.8% over 3 years and a very large gain over 5 years.
Recent coverage has focused on Core Natural Resources as an energy name that has already moved a long way over several years. This naturally raises questions about how much optimism is already in the share price. That backdrop is useful context as we look at whether the current valuation still makes sense after such a strong long term run.
Our valuation summary currently gives Core Natural Resources a 5 out of 6 valuation score. Next we will walk through the main valuation approaches behind that result, then finish with a way to think about value that can add another layer to your analysis.
Find out why Core Natural Resources’s 6.2% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company could be worth today by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to the present. It is essentially asking what all those future dollars are worth in today’s terms.
For Core Natural Resources, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $61.6 million. From there, analysts and internal estimates project annual Free Cash Flow out over the next decade, including $797 million in 2026 and $690.2 million in 2027, with later years extrapolated rather than based on direct analyst forecasts.
When all those projected cash flows are discounted back, the DCF model points to an estimated intrinsic value of about $260.34 per share. Compared with the current share price around $95, this implies the stock is about 63.4% undervalued according to this method.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Core Natural Resources is undervalued by 63.4%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 868 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Core Natural Resources.
For companies that are already generating revenue, the P/S ratio is a useful way to gauge what investors are willing to pay for each dollar of sales, especially when earnings are less meaningful or volatile.

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