- ‘Not total damage’: IAEA suggests Iran could return to enrichment Samaa TV
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‘Not total damage’: IAEA suggests Iran could return to enrichment – Samaa TV
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Oil falls on prospect of more OPEC plus supply, easing risks in Mideast
Business
Brent crude futures fell 66 cents, or 0.97%, to $67.11 a barrel
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil prices fell 1% on Monday as an easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East and the prospect of another OPEC+ output hike in August boosted the supply outlook.
Brent crude futures fell 66 cents, or 0.97%, to $67.11 a barrel by 0031 GMT, ahead of the August contract’s expiry later on Monday. The more active September contract was at $65.97, down 83 cents.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 94 cents, or 1.43%, to $64.58 a barrel.
Last week, both benchmarks posted their biggest weekly decline since March 2023, but they are set to finish higher in June with a second consecutive monthly gain of more than 5%.
A 12-day war that started with Israel targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities on June 13 caused Brent prices to surge above $80 a barrel after the U.S. bombed Iran’s nuclear facilities and then slump to $67 after President Donald Trump announced an Iran-Israel ceasefire.
The market has stripped out most of the geopolitical risk premium built into the price following the Iran-Israel ceasefire, IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note.
Further weighing on the market, four delegates from OPEC+, which includes allies of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, said the group was set to boost production by 411,000 barrels per day in August, following similar-size output increases for May, June and July.
OPEC+ is set to meet on July 6 and this would be the fifth monthly increase since the group started unwinding production cuts in April.
In the U.S., the number of operating oil rigs, an indicator of future output, fell by six to 432 last week, the lowest level since October 2021, Baker Hughes said.
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Hazlewood rips through West Indies after hosts set 301 to win first Test – MSN
- Hazlewood rips through West Indies after hosts set 301 to win first Test MSN
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- WI vs Aus 1st Test – Cummins lauds middle order ‘Those three were brilliant’ ESPNcricinfo
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Khawaja Asif stresses priority of public over personal interests – RADIO PAKISTAN
- Khawaja Asif stresses priority of public over personal interests RADIO PAKISTAN
- Could early warnings have prevented River Swat tragedy? Dawn
- Saif urges Punjab govt to refrain from politicising natural disasters nation.com.pk
- A shrinking rock: A silent state Pakistan Today
- KP govt took no steps to prevent incidents like Swart tragedy: Khawaja Asif Dunya News
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Canadian Prime Minister Carney says trade talks with US resume after Canada rescinded tech tax
Intense debate in Senate on Trump’s big budget bill as group warns of bigger deficit and millions getting uninsured
WASHINGTON: Debate is underway in the Senate for an all-night session Sunday, with Republicans wrestling President Donald Trump’s big bill of tax breaks and spending cuts over mounting Democratic opposition — and even some brake-pumping over the budget slashing by the president himself.
The outcome from the weekend of work in the Senate remains uncertain and highly volatile. GOP leaders are rushing to meet Trump’s Fourth of July deadline to pass the package, but they barely secured enough support to muscle it past a procedural hurdle in a tense scene the day before. A handful of Republican holdouts revolted, and it took phone calls from Trump and a visit from Vice President JD Vance to keep it on track.
GOP Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina announced Sunday he would not seek reelection after Trump badgered him for saying he could not vote for the bill with its steep Medicaid cuts. A new analysis from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget
Office found that 11.8 million more Americans would become uninsured by 2034 if the bill became law. It also said the package would increase the deficit by nearly $3.3 trillion over the decade.
But other Senate Republicans, along with conservatives in the House, are pushing for steeper cuts, particularly to health care, drawing their own unexpected warning from Trump.
“Don’t go too crazy!” the president posted on social media. “REMEMBER, you still have to get reelected.”
All told, the Senate bill includes some $4 trillion in tax cuts, making permanent Trump’s 2017 rates, which would expire at the end of the year if Congress fails to act, while adding the new ones he campaigned on, including no taxes on tips.
The Senate package would roll back billions in green energy tax credits that Democrats warn will wipe out wind and solar investments nationwide, and impose $1.2 trillion in cuts, largely to Medicaid and food stamps, by imposing work requirements and making sign-up eligibility more stringent.
Additionally, the bill would provide a $350 billion infusion for border and national security, including for deportations, some of it paid for with new fees charged to immigrants.
If the Senate can push through overnight voting and pass the bill, it would need to return to the House. Speaker Mike Johnson has told lawmakers to be on call for a return to Washington this coming week.
Democrats ready to fight all night
Unable to stop the march toward passage of the 940-page bill, the Democrats as the minority party in Congress is using the tools at its disposal to delay and drag out the process.
Democrats forced a full reading of the text, which took some 16 hours. Then senators took over the debate, filling the chamber with speeches, while Republicans largely stood aside.
“Reckless and irresponsible,” said Sen. Gary Peters of Michigan. “A gift to the billionaire class,” said Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
Sen. Patty Murray, the ranking Democrat on the Appropriations Committee, raised particular concern about the accounting method being used by the Republicans, which says the tax breaks from Trump’s first term are now “current policy” and the cost of extending them should not be counted toward deficits.
“In my 33 years here in the United States Senate, things have never — never — worked this way,” said Murray, the longest-serving Democrat on the Budget Committee.
She said that kind of “magic math” won’t fly with Americans trying to balance their own household books.
“Go back home and try that game with your constituents,” she said. “We still need to kick people off their health care — that’s too expensive. We still need to close those hospitals — we have to cut costs. And we still have to kick people off SNAP — because the debt is out of control.”
Sanders said Tillis’ decision not to seek reelection shows the hold that Trump’s cult of personality has over the GOP.
“We are literally taking food out of the mouths of hungry kids,” Sanders said, while giving tax breaks to Jeff Bezos and other wealthy billionaires.
GOP leaders unphased
Republicans are using their majorities to push aside Democratic opposition, and appeared undeterred, even as they have run into a series of political and policy setbacks.
“We’re going to pass the ‘Big, beautiful bill,” said Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, the Budget Committee chairman.
The holdout Republicans remain reluctant to give their votes, and their leaders have almost no room to spare, given their narrow majorities. Essentially, they can afford three dissenters in the Senate, with its 53-47 GOP edge, and about as many in the House, if all members are present and voting.
Trump, who has at times allowed wiggle room on his deadline, kept the pressure on lawmakers to finish.
He threatened to campaign aginst Tillis, who was worried that Medicaid cuts would leave many without health care in his state. Trump badgered Tillis again on Sunday morning, saying the senator “has hurt the great people of North Carolina.”
Later Sunday, Tillis issued a lengthy statement announcing he would not seek reelection in 2026.
Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina state is one of the few Republicans opposed to Trump’s big bill with its steep Medicaid cuts. (AP Photo/ File)
In an impassioned evening speech, Tillis shared his views arguing the Senate approach is a betrayal of Trump’s promise not to kick people off health care.
“We could take the time to get this right,” he thundered. But until then, he said he would remain opposed.
Democrats can’t filibuster, but can stall
Using a congressional process called budget reconciliation, the Republicans can muscle the bill through on a simple majority vote in the Senate, rather than the typical 60-vote threshold needed to overcome objections.
Without the filibuster, Democrats have latched on to other tools to mount their objections.
One is the full reading of the bill text, which has been done in past situations. Democrats also intend to use their full 10 hours of available debate time, now underway.
And then Democrats are prepared to propose dozens of amendments to the package that would be considered in an all-night voting session — or all-day, depending on the hour.
GOP senators to watch
As Saturday’s vote tally teetered, attention turned to Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, who was surrounded by GOP leaders in intense conversation. She voted “yes.”
Several provisions in the package are designed for her state in Alaska, but some were out of compliance of the strict rules by the Senate parliamentarian.
A short time later, Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., drew holdouts Sen. Rick Scott of Florida, Mike Lee of Utah and Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming to his office. Vance joined in.
Later, Scott said, “We all want to get to yes.”
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President, PM pledge to uphold democratic values – RADIO PAKISTAN
- President, PM pledge to uphold democratic values RADIO PAKISTAN
- International Day of Parliamentarism observed today Ptv.com.pk
- PM calls to strengthen democratic institutions The Express Tribune
- President, PM reaffirm commitment to strengthen parliamentary institutions Samaa TV
- Parliament is true voice of democracy: Speaker Sindh Assembly Associated Press of Pakistan
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Gas becomes dearer as 50% hike notified
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ISLAMABAD:The government on Sunday notified an increase in the fixed charges on gas bills by 50% and also jacked up gas tariffs for non-residential consumers.
According to a notification issued by the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) on Sunday, the fixed charges were increased by Rs200 to Rs600 for the protected category of domestic consumers.
In the non-protected category, the fixed charges were increased from Rs1,000 to Rs1,500 for monthly consumption of up to 1.5 hm3. Likewise, the fixed charges for consumption exceeding 1.5 hm3 were jacked up to Rs3,000.
The protected category includes a domestic consumer whose average consumption of last 4 winter months (November to February) shall be below or equal to 0.9 hm3. In contrast, the non-protected category includes a domestic category whose average consumption of last 4 months shall be above 0.9 hm3.
The revised tariff also applies to various institutional and commercial entities. Government institutions, semi-government bodies, hospitals, and educational institutions will now be charged Rs3,175 per MMBTU. For traditional tandoors (bread ovens), gas rates have been set between Rs110 and Rs700 per MMBTU, depending on usage levels.
Commercial consumers will now pay Rs3,900 per MMBTU, while general industrial users will be charged Rs2,300 per MMBTU. Captive power producers — industries generating their own electricity — will pay Rs3,500 per MMBTU, and CNG stations will be billed at Rs3,750 per MMBTU.
Cement factories will face the highest tariff among industrial users, with rates set at Rs4,400 per MMBTU. Fertilizer plants will be charged Rs1,597 per MMBTU. For K-Electric and other electricity generation companies, the new tariff has been fixed at Rs1,225 per MMBTU.
The Oil & Gas Regulatory Authority last month determined the Estimated Revenue Requirements (ERR) for FY 2025-26 for both SNGPL and SSGCL. According to the determinations, SNGPL requires revenues of Rs534.5 billion and SSGCL requires revenues of Rs354.2 billion to sail through the FY 2025-26 respectively. The cumulative revenue requirements of both the Sui companies are Rs888.6 billion for the FY 2025-26.
The law mandates the federal government to ensure that the consumer gas sale prices should not be less than the revenue requirement determined by the Authority. At the previous notified consumer gas sale prices effective February 01, 2025 the estimated revenues of both Sui companies by end FY 2025-26 were Rs847.714 billion.
Some of the members of the ECC criticized giving guaranteed 24% return on assets to Sui companies, which discourage efforts to improve efficiency by reducing line losses.
The prices were changed to meet a condition of the International Monetary Fund to biannually adjust the gas prices.
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Marginally improving fiscal planning – Business
Drawing comfort from the Iran-Israel ceasefire and adhering to the two-week schedule for the budget debate, the National Assembly last week passed a relatively improved version of the proposed federal budget for 2025-26. While its core remained largely unchanged, subtle in form and far from ideal, it was nonetheless a step forward.
The Finance Bill, set to become law upon presidential assent, is notably more people and business-friendly, and less autocratic in tone, than the original draft presented by Finance Minister Aurangzeb Khan on June 10.
It has significantly raised the taxable income threshold, moderately reduced income tax rates for salaried middle class, slightly lowered the super tax on businesses, adopted a more lenient stance on tax frauds and property and car transactions by non-filers, increased the minimum wage, and enhanced allocation for the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP), among other measures.
The threshold of taxable income has been more than doubled — from Rs50,000 to Rs1,200,000 annually. Import duty on solar panels was reduced from 18pc to 10pc. The minimum wage was increased from Rs37,000 to 40,000 per month. The Super Tax was cut by 0.5 percentage points. Income tax rates were lowered across several brackets: from 2.5pc to 1pc for the lowest band, from 15pc to 11pc for the next, from 25pc to 23pc for the one above that. The allocation for the BISP was raised from Rs592bn to Rs716bn. The 2.5pc carbon tax was retained, though rebranded as Carbon Support Levy.
The PPP, a key coalition partner of PML-N and holder of the chairpersonship of both Senate and National Assembly Finance Committees, played a pivotal role in driving these improvements, alongside other parliamentarians who actively contributed to the budget debate.
While the changes introduced in the budget offer much-needed relief, they fall short of addressing more substantive concerns. Key critiques remain unaddressed, such as the continued overreliance on regressive indirect taxation, the absence of meaningful efforts to broaden the tax base, insufficient incentives for capital formation and job creation, and the neglect of the vast tax potential of large commercial enterprises operated by security establishment-affiliated trusts.
The Finance Bill that is set to become law is notably more people and business-friendly, and less autocratic in tone than the draft presented earlier
Critics also highlight the need to link the state’s right to impose additional taxes to its performance in delivering promised services, raise the minimum wage to a sustainable level, fully pass on the benefits of declining oil prices to the public, and realign expenditure priorities to align better with the needs of the economy and the people.
It is also worth noting that recent changes to the Parliament’s rules of business, allowing a member of National Assembly Finance Committee from outside the ruling party to critically review the Finance Bill, contributed to a more substantive and balanced debate, ultimately leading to improvements in the original draft.
Salahuddin Safdar, a parliamentary governance expert with the Free and Fair Election Network, noted that while verbatim records of the National Assembly budget sessions are not yet available (making a full assessment premature) the process showed signs of improvement.
“What stood out this time was the review of the Finance Bill by the Assembly’s Standing Committee on Finance,” Mr Safdar observed. “A key shift was the removal of a rule in October last year that had previously barred the bill from committee scrutiny. Additionally, unlike in the past, the committee is now chaired by Syed Naveed Qamar of a coalition partner rather than a member of the ruling party. These procedural changes likely contributed to the amendments made to the original fiscal and taxation proposals.”
Senator Salim Mandviwala, Chair of the Senate Standing Committee on Finance, was candid in his remarks. He outlined the coordination between the Senate and the National Assembly during the budget debate.
“Despite the constraints imposed by International Monetary Fund conditions and the limited manoeuvrability within Pakistan’s power structure, I believe we succeeded in improving the proposed budget. While much more is needed, some progress is better than none. I appreciate the efforts of colleagues in the National Assembly who worked diligently to incorporate changes that addressed key concerns — such as easing the burden on the salaried middle class, improving allocations for pro-poor initiatives, and introducing checks on tax authorities to prevent harassment of businesses and high-net-worth individuals,” Mr Mandviwala said.
This scribe has obtained a copy of the recommendations from the Senate Standing Committee on Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives, which reviewed and proposed revisions to the Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP). When contacted by phone, Senator Quratul Ain Mari, chairperson of the committee stated that the committee had thoroughly vetted all PSDP projects and put forward recommendations aimed at ensuring regionally equitable development spending, eliminating allocations for defunct or poorly conceived projects, and increasing support of initiatives considered critical to improving development outcomes. While these recommendations are not binding, they have been shared with the parliamentary finance committee and legislators for consideration and further action.
Among other issues highlighted in the note, the committee pointed out instances where Sindh has not been treated at par with the other provinces. Notably, schemes of the now defunct Public Works Department (PWD) have been transferred to provincial governments except for Sindh. The committee recommended that all 27 PWD schemes be immediately handed over to the Government of Sindh to ensure adoption of a uniform policy across the country.
Published in Dawn, The Business and Finance Weekly, June 30th, 2025
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Intercepted call of Iranian officials downplays damage of U.S. attack – The Washington Post
- Intercepted call of Iranian officials downplays damage of U.S. attack The Washington Post
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- Iranian nuclear program degraded by up to two years, Pentagon says Reuters
- From War to A Diplomatic Solution – The Iranian Nuclear Program in Regional and Global Perspective Alma Research and Education Center
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Five injured as quake hits Musakhail in Balochistan – Pakistan
QUETTA: A moderate 5. 5 magnitude earthquake struck Musakhail, a remote district of Balochistan that borders Punjab, early on Sunday morning, injuring five people and damaging dozens of mud houses.
The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said that the first tremor struck Musakhail, Rarashram, Kingri, and surrounding areas at 3:24am with a magnitude of 5.5 and a depth of 28km, while the second tremor, measuring 4.8, was recorded at 7:30am.
“Aftershocks continued for a brief period in the affected areas,” officials in Musakhail told Dawn, adding that residents were reluctant to re-enter their homes due to the tremors.
The epicenter of the moderate earthquake was located approximately 60 kilometres north-northeast of Barkhan, a mountainous district headquarters in Balochistan province bordering Punjab. There were also reports that tremors were felt in some bordering areas of Punjab.
Tremors also felt in Rarashram, Kingri and surrounding areas; hundreds of homes partially affected
“The tremors continued to jolt Musakhail, Rarashram, Kingri, and surrounding areas for around 30 seconds, causing many houses to collapse,” local administration officials said, adding that two houses were completely destroyed.
According to initial reports, five people, including a woman, were brought to the rural health centre with injuries sustained from collapsing houses.
“A couple was injured when the roof of their house was badly damaged during the earthquake,” levies officials said, adding that the condition of two injured individuals was serious, and they were shifted to District Hospital Loralai.
The officials added that over a hundred mud houses were partially damaged, rendering many residents homeless, who were being moved to safe locations. The boundary wall of the Government High School in the area also collapsed.
Musakhail Deputy Commissioner Bilal Shabbir confirmed that five people were injured in the quake-related incidents. “The rescue and relief teams reached the affected areas soon after the earthquake,” he told Dawn.
The Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) stated that the district control room was activated immediately after the tremors were felt, and damage assessments are ongoing. Preliminary data indicates that hundreds of homes have been partially affected, and a detailed survey has been initiated.
Meanwhile, Balochistan Government Spokesperson Shahid Rind said in a statement that initial relief operations have begun in Tehsil Kingri of Musakhail. He added that once the final report is compiled, complete details of the losses will be shared.
Tremors were also felt in nearby Barkhan district, adding to concerns in the region. Authorities continue to monitor the situation as aftershocks remain a possibility.
Published in Dawn, June 30th, 2025
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