Author: admin

  • US Stocks Set for Gains With Consumers in Focus: Markets Wrap

    US Stocks Set for Gains With Consumers in Focus: Markets Wrap

    (Bloomberg) — US stocks are poised to resume their rally at record highs as traders bet that data on Friday will show signs of strain on US consumers, bolstering the case for interest rate cuts.

    S&P 500 futures edged higher 0.1% after a flat session, following back-to-back record closes earlier in the week. Intel Corp. rose more than 2.5% in premarket trading on a report that the Trump administration is in talks to buy a stake in the struggling chipmaker. Applied Materials Inc. slumped after a weaker-than-expected outlook.

    Listen to the Stock Movers podcast on Apple, Spotify or anywhere you listen.

    US Treasuries edged higher across the curve, with yields on the policy-sensitive two-year note falling one basis point to 3.72%. The dollar weakened 0.3%.

    Economists expect government data on Friday to show a solid increase in July retail sales, driven by incentives that boosted vehicle purchases and a surge in online spending during Amazon’s Prime Day event. However, underlying fundamentals are likely soft, with many consumers avoiding goods marked up by tariffs, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

    “In this market bad news are good news,” said Anthi Tsouvali, a multi-asset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “I think investors are positioned to expect that the number will probably be lower than consensus.”

    In Europe, the Stoxx 600 advanced 0.2% toward the highest level since March amid guarded hopes that Friday’s US-Russia summit could be an initial step toward brokering a peace deal in Ukraine and thawing relations.

    While a deal to end the war in Ukraine is likely still far away, “we do expect some progress in today’s meeting and a path set for further discussions,” said Mohit Kumar, chief European strategist at Jefferies International. “If we move toward a peace deal, it would be positive for the European markets.”

    In Asia, shares in Hong Kong weakened 1% after data showed China’s economy slowed in July with factory activity and retail sales disappointing, suggesting the US trade war is starting to weigh on the world’s No. 2 economy. Japanese shares gained 1.7% after the country’s economy expanded faster than expected last quarter.

    Corporate News:

    The Trump administration is in talks with Intel Corp. to have the US government take a stake in the beleaguered chipmaker, according to people familiar with the plan. Applied Materials Inc., the largest American producer of chipmaking gear, plunged in late trading after giving a disappointing sales and profit forecast. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. bought shares of UnitedHealth Group Inc. in the second quarter, sending the health insurer’s stock soaring in post-market trading. Pandora A/S shares slumped the most since April after the Danish jewelry maker warned of weak demand in Europe and uncertainty over tariffs. Some of the main moves in markets:

    Stocks

    The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.2% as of 10:14 a.m. London time S&P 500 futures rose 0.1% Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.2% Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7% The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.7% The MSCI Emerging Markets Index was little changed Currencies

    The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3% The euro rose 0.3% to $1.1687 The Japanese yen rose 0.6% to 146.80 per dollar The offshore yuan was little changed at 7.1837 per dollar The British pound rose 0.1% to $1.3552 Cryptocurrencies

    Bitcoin rose 0.9% to $119,033.2 Ether rose 2.6% to $4,654.67 Bonds

    The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.28% Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 2.74% Britain’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 4.65% Commodities

    Brent crude fell 0.9% to $66.25 a barrel Spot gold rose 0.1% to $3,340.04 an ounce This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

    –With assistance from Anand Krishnamoorthy.

    ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

    Continue Reading

  • Successful World Rugby Educator course concludes in Kimberley

    Successful World Rugby Educator course concludes in Kimberley

    Held from 11 to 14 August in Kimberley, the course represents a significant advancement in SA Rugby’s commitment to broadening and diversifying its educator base, in line with the objectives of the Destination 2027 Strategic Plan.

    The course was facilitated by a team comprising Hilton Adonis (World Rugby Master Trainer), Neville Heilbron, Selvyn Colby, David Dobela, and Bongani Qumbu.

    “This course directly supports our ‘Destination 2027’ goals to broaden the educator base across all 15 unions, standardise training methodologies in line with global best practice, and create aspirational pathways for coaches and educators from grassroots to elite levels,” said Adonis, SA Rugby’s Senior Manager for Training and Education.

    “We are building a system that reflects the full spectrum of South African rugby, ensuring that our educator pool is as diverse, skilled, and representative as the players and communities they serve.”

    Participants explored modules covering educator delivery styles, understanding client populations, learning and assessment strategies, facilitation techniques, and risk management. The course placed strong emphasis on reflective practice and competency-based learning – cornerstones of SA Rugby’s evolving training and education ecosystem.

    The participants were Marlene Adams, Sherwin Carelse, Henley du Plessis, Aschin Klein (all Free State), Mortan Coetzee, Jacques Mew, Joseph-John Molale, Andre Wait (all Griquas), and Laurence Christie (Golden Lions).

    “By investing in educator development, SA Rugby is laying the foundation for a more inclusive, sustainable, and high-performing rugby environment,” added Adonis.

    “The Kimberley course exemplifies how strategic training initiatives can drive change, elevate standards, and foster a rugby culture that is truly reflective of South Africa’s diversity.”

    Continue Reading

  • Everything you need to know about frame running from Gavin Drysdale

    Everything you need to know about frame running from Gavin Drysdale

    Gavin Drysdale still remembers the first time he ran. Using a metal frame called a frame runner, the five-year-old Drysdale fell in love with running instantly. 

    “I can remember falling in love with the sense of freedom and speed that frame running gave me. It was the first time I had run independently without any support from others,” Drysdale said. “The feeling never gets old.” 

    Now he is a two-time world champion, and in three years, he will see his event shine at the Paralympic Games.

    For the first time in Paralympic history, the LA28 Paralympic Games will include the men’s and women’s 100m T72 events. The LA28 Paralympic Opening Ceremony will take place on 15 August 2028 at the Stadium in Inglewood.

    For many athletes including Drysdale, it is a dream come true. 

    “It will be amazing to see frame running on the biggest stage of all,” said Drysdale, who communicates using an electronic device. “I’m trying to not get too carried away with myself. 

    “There is a lot of hard work to be done between now and LA28, but I would love to be there. I will play a part in Paralympic history and most importantly help to showcase frame running to the world.” 

     

    What is frame running?  

    In the new Paralympic event, athletes with coordination impairments use a three-wheeled frame to run on an athletic track. 

    “The sport gives people the opportunity to run independently, who otherwise would not. It’s a very fun and exciting sport to watch, and I promise I’m not being biased saying that,” Drysdale said. 

    The LA28 Paralympic Games, which take place from 15-27 August 2028, will feature more than 4,000 athletes competing in 560 medal events across 23 sports. Para athletics action will take place at the iconic LA Memorial Coliseum, which hosted the Opening and Closing Ceremonies of the Olympic Games in 1932 and 1984.

    Though new to the Paralympic programme, frame running made its World Championship debut at Dubai 2019. Drysdale and Kayleigh Haggo became the first-ever world champions in frame racing, winning the 100m RR3 events. At the Paris 2023 World Championships, Drysdale won the men’s 100m T72, with his teammate Rafi Solaiman taking silver and Brazil’s Vinicius Marques taking bronze. Australia’s Maria Strong won gold in the women’s event, followed by Magdalena Andruszkiewicz of Poland and Judith Tortosa Vila of Spain. 

    The men’s and women’s 100m T71 and T72 events will also be held at this year’s World Championships in New Delhi, India. 

    Gavin Drysdale won the men’s 100m RR3 event at the Dubai 2019 Para Athletics World Championships. @Bryn Lennon/Getty Images

     

    To the Paralympic spotlight

    Five years after discovering frame running, Drysdale won his first medal at the Scottish Disability Sport Junior Championships in Grangemouth, Scotland. He topped the podium at the World Para Athletics European Championships, a year before taking historic gold at the 2019 World Championships.

    Off the athletics track, Drysdale works as a Project Officer at World Abilitysport. In June, he attended the International Paralympic Committee Athletes’ Forum in Germany, representing the organisation.

    Now, with LA28 on the horizon, Drysdale is excited about what is to come. 

    “I can’t believe this is actually happening,” Drysdale said. “The inclusion of frame running in the Paralympic programme has been a dream of mine and my fellow athletes for a long time. To now be able to see it as a reality is absolutely amazing.” 


    Gavin Drysdale discovered frame running at age 5. @Gavin Drysdale

     

    He hopes to be part of history at LA28, and he says he is ready. He even shared the key to success. 

    “Without giving away all my secrets, I will say it’s very similar to all Para sports. I would not have achieved what I have done without a great team around me, not only on the track but also off the track,” he said.

    “I need to make sure I am being consistent with my efforts in the same way all those working in frame running have done to allow myself and others to have this Paralympic pathway today.”

    And when it comes down to it, Drysdale believes success starts with joy. 

    “Most importantly, you need to make sure you’re enjoying what you’re doing. One of my coaches always used to say, ‘A happy athlete is a fast athlete.’”

     

    Discover more about the LA28 Paralympic Games
     


    Continue Reading

  • Iron ore heads for weekly loss as China’s property demand softens (SCO:COM:Commodity) – Seeking Alpha

    1. Iron ore heads for weekly loss as China’s property demand softens (SCO:COM:Commodity)  Seeking Alpha
    2. Property woes cast long shadow over China’s steel and iron ore demand  Splash247
    3. China: Tangshan rolling mills mandated to suspend production  BigMint
    4. Iron ore slides on weak China data, lower steel prices  ET Manufacturing
    5. MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (August 15)  Shanghai Metals Market

    Continue Reading

  • “Hacked” Microbes Help Identify Methane Sources

    “Hacked” Microbes Help Identify Methane Sources

    Roughly two-thirds of all emissions of atmospheric methane — a highly potent greenhouse gas that is warming planet Earth — come from microbes that live in oxygen-free environments like wetlands, rice fields, landfills and the guts of cows.

    Tracking atmospheric methane to its specific sources and quantifying their importance remains a challenge, however. Scientists are pretty good at tracing the sources of the main greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide, to focus on mitigating these emissions. But to trace methane’s origins, scientists often have to measure the isotopic composition of methane’s component atoms, carbon and hydrogen, to use as a fingerprint of various environmental sources.

    A new paper by researchers at the UC Berkeley, reveals how the activity of one of the main microbial enzymes involved in producing methane affects this isotope composition and complicates efforts to pinpoint environmental sources. The finding could change how scientists calculate the contributions of different environmental sources to Earth’s total methane budget and lead to a more accurate picture of where exactly atmospheric methane is coming from.

    “When we integrate all the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, we kind of get the number that we’re expecting from direct measurement in the atmosphere. But for methane, large uncertainties exist — within tens of percents for some sources — that challenge our ability to precisely quantify the relative importance and changes in time of the sources,” said UC Berkeley postdoctoral fellow Jonathan Gropp, who is first author of the paper. “To quantify the actual sources of methane, you need to really understand the isotopic processes involved in producing the methane.”

    Gropp teamed up with a molecular biologist and a geochemist at UC Berkeley to, for the first time, employ CRISPR to manipulate the activity of this key enzyme to reveal how methane-producing microbes — methanogens — interact with their food supply to produce methane.

    “It is well understood that methane levels are rising, but there is a lot of disagreement on the underlying cause,” said co-author Dipti Nayak, UC Berkeley assistant professor of molecular and cell biology. “This study is the first time the disciplines of molecular biology and isotope biogeochemistry have been fused to provide better constraints on how the biology of methanogens controls the isotopic composition of methane.”

    Many elements have heavier or lighter versions, called isotopes, that are found in small proportions in nature. Humans are about 99% carbon-12 and 1% carbon-13, which is slightly heavier because it has an extra neutron in its nucleus. The hydrogen in water is 99.985% hydrogen-1 and 0.015% deuterium or hydrogen-2, which is twice as heavy because it has a neutron in its nucleus.

    The natural abundances of isotopes are reflected in all biologically produced molecules and variations can be used to study and fingerprint various biological metabolisms.

    “Over the last 70 years, people have shown that methane produced by different organisms and other processes can have distinctive isotopic fingerprints,” said geochemist and co-author Daniel Stolper, UC Berkeley associate professor of earth and planetary science.

    “Natural gas from oil deposits often looks one way. Methane made by the methanogens within cow guts looks another way. Methane made in deep sea sediments by microorganisms has a different fingerprint. Methanogens can consume or ‘eat,’ if you will, a variety of compounds including methanol, acetate or hydrogen; make methane; and generate energy from the process. Scientists have commonly assumed that the isotopic fingerprint depends on what the organisms are eating, which often varies from environment to environment, creating our ability to link isotopes to methane origins.”

    “I think what’s unique about the paper is, we learned that the isotopic composition of microbial methane isn’t just based on what methanogens eat,” Nayak said. “What you ‘eat’ matters, of course, but the amount of these substrates and the environmental conditions matter too, and perhaps more importantly, how microbes react to those changes.”

    “Microbes respond to the environment by manipulating their gene expression, and then the isotopic compositions change as well,” Gropp said. “This should cause us to think more carefully when we analyze data from the environment.”

    The paper was published Aug. 14 in the journal Science.

    Vinegar- and alcohol-eating microbes

    Methanogens — microorganisms that are archaea, which are on an entirely separate branch of the tree of life from bacteria — are essential to ridding the world of dead and decaying matter. They ingest simple molecules — molecular hydrogen, acetate or methanol, for example — excreted by other organisms and produce methane gas as waste. This natural methane can be observed in the pale Will-o’-the-wisps seen around swamps and marshes at night, but it’s also released invisibly in cow burps, bubbles up from rice paddies and natural wetlands and leaks out of landfills. While most of the methane in the natural gas we burn formed in association with hydrocarbon generation, some deposits were originally produced by methanogens eating buried organic matter.

    The isotopic fingerprint of methane produced by methanogens growing on different “food” sources has been well established in laboratory studies, but scientists have found that in the complexity of the real world, methanogens don’t always produce methane with the same isotopic fingerprint as seen in the lab. For example, when grown in the lab, species of methanogens that eat acetate (essentially vinegar), methanol (the simplest alcohol), or molecular hydrogen (H2) produce methane, CH4, with a ratio of hydrogen and carbon isotopes different from the ratios observed in the environment.

    Gropp had earlier created a computer model of the metabolic network in methanogens to understand better how the isotope composition of methane is determined. When he got a fellowship to come to UC Berkeley, Stolper and Nayak proposed that he experimentally test his model. Stolper’s laboratory specializes in measuring isotope compositions to explore Earth’s history. Nayak studies methanogens and, as a postdoctoral fellow, found a way to use CRISPR gene editing in methanogens. Her group recently altered the expression of the key enzyme in methanogens that produces the methane — methyl-coenzyme M reductase (MCR) — so that its activity can be dialed down. Enzymes are proteins that catalyze chemical reactions.

    Experimenting with these CRISPR-edited microbes — in a common methanogen called Methanosarcina acetivorans growing on acetate and methanol — the researchers looked at how the isotopic composition of methane changed when the enzyme activity was reduced, mimicking what is thought to happen when the microbes are starved for their preferred food.

    They found that when MCR is at low concentrations, cells respond by altering the activity of many other enzymes in the cell, causing their inputs and outputs to accumulate and the rate of methane generation to slow so much that enzymes begin running both backwards and forwards. In reverse, these other enzymes remove a hydrogen from carbon atoms; running forward, they add a hydrogen. Together with MCR, they ultimately produce methane (CH4). Each forward and reverse cycle requires one of these enzymes to pull a hydrogen off of the carbon and add a new one ultimately sourced from water. As a result, the isotopic composition of methane’s four hydrogen molecules gradually comes to reflect that of the water, and not just their food source, which starts with three hydrogens.

    This is different from typical assumptions for growth on acetate and methanol that assume no exchange between hydrogen derived from water and that from the food source.

    “This isotope exchange we found changes the fingerprint of methane generated by acetate and methanol consuming methanogens vs. that typically assumed. Given this, it might be that we have underestimated the contribution of the acetate-consuming microbes, and they might be even more dominant than we have thought,” Gropp said. “We’re proposing that we at least should consider the cellular response of methanogens to their environment when studying isotopic composition of methane.”

    Beyond this study, the CRISPR technique for tuning production of enzymes in methanogens could be used to manipulate and study isotope effects in other enzyme networks broadly, which could help researchers answer questions about geobiology and the Earth’s environment today and in the past.

    “This opens up a pathway where modern molecular biology is married with isotope-geochemistry to answer environmental problems,” Stolper said. “There are an enormous number of isotopic systems associated with biology and biochemistry that are studied in the environment; I hope we can start looking at them in the way molecular biologists now are looking at these problems in people and other organisms — by controlling gene expression and looking at how the stable isotopes respond.”

    For Nayak, the experiments are also a big step in discovering how to alter methanogens to derail production of methane and redirect their energy to producing useful products instead of an environmentally destructive gas.

    “By reducing the amount of this enzyme that makes methane and by putting in alternate pathways that the cell can use, we can essentially give them another release valve, if you will, to put those electrons, which they were otherwise putting in carbon to make methane, into something else that would be more useful,” she said.

    Reference: Gropp J, Bill M, Lloyd MK, Stein RA, Nayak DD, Stolper DA. Modulation of methyl–coenzyme M reductase expression alters the isotopic composition of microbial methane. Science. 2025. doi: 10.1126/science.adu2098

    This article has been republished from the following materials. Note: material may have been edited for length and content. For further information, please contact the cited source. Our press release publishing policy can be accessed here.

    Continue Reading

  • Pakistan tops global equity rankings in US dollar returns

    Pakistan tops global equity rankings in US dollar returns

    Brokers are busy in trading at Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in Karachi on Wednesday, November 27, 2024. — PPI
    • Bloomberg ranks Pakistan best performer in two-year gains.
    • Pakistan outperforms India, China in regional market standings.
    • Moody’s upgrade, reforms bolster Pakistan’s equity momentum.

    Pakistan has claimed the top spot globally for equity market performance in US dollar terms over the past year, a standout economic achievement, The News reported.

    India, meanwhile, has slipped behind regional and emerging market peers as tariff hikes triggered sector-wide sell-offs, foreign investor withdrawals and weaker market confidence. The Sensex delivered only a 3.2% return in USD during FY25, far short of Pakistan’s strong gains.

    If the Alaska summit falters, US President Donald Trump vows to further intensify tariffs beyond 50%, which could slow India’s real GDP by 0.3-0.6 percentage points. 

    This would heighten export losses, particularly in textiles and apparel, widening trade imbalances and straining weaker export-oriented sectors. The risks to employment and small and medium enterprises (SMEs) viability would also increase.

    “Pakistan’s equity market indeed led globally in USD terms, especially when considering the two-year cumulative returns. During fiscal year 2024-25 (FY25), Pakistan’s benchmark KSE-100 Index delivered a 55.5% return in US dollar terms and 58.6% in Pakistani rupee terms,” the bourse experts said while quoting fact-based data.

    Pakistan ranked third globally behind Ghana and Slovenia and was eighth-best in FY25 alone, according to Bloomberg — as a single year’s performance. But over the two-year period (FY24 and FY25), Pakistan emerged as the world’s best-performing equity market in USD terms.

    “So yes, especially looking at the two-year cumulative picture, Pakistan did top the global charts in USD terms,” they said.

    Pakistan’s performance outpaced many markets, including India’s. For FY25, Pakistan significantly outperformed India’s BSE Sensex, which returned just 3.2%, as per AHL data.

    In Asia, the KSE-100 beat regional markets like China (+14.8%) and India (+6%) in terms of returns. Indian markets have been under pressure due to concerns like tariffs, foreign investor outflows and slowing earnings, leading to multi-week losing streaks and cautious sentiment.

    India performed modestly and faced headwinds in 2025 — and trailed Pakistan in USD-based equity performance.

    India, while underperforming and showing signs of stress, was not necessarily at its lowest ebb. Domestic investment and some forward-looking optimism suggest there’s still potential for recovery.

    According to Indian newspapers, when India’s export tariffs began increasing — from 25% initially to a total of 50%—Indian equity markets reacted sharply. On August 7, 2025, Sensex fell 492 points ( 0.61%) and Nifty dropped 156 points ( 0.64%).

    Later that day, Sensex slid 671 points ( 0.84%) to 79,867, and Nifty declined 208 points ( 0.85%) to 24,362 — with all sectors in the red. Moody’s warned that the tariff hike could derail India’s manufacturing ambitions, hurt its ability to attract investments, and weigh on growth—citing over $900 million in FII outflows in August alone, after $2 billion in July. Sensex and Nifty dropped ~2.9% in July.

    However, amid US support during tariff tensions, on July 31, following Trump’s announcement of increased tariffs on Indian goods, Pakistan’s equity market rallied as the KSE-100 rose by about 1.3% (roughly 1,800 points). This was driven by investor optimism around a US pledge to help develop Pakistan’s massive oil reserves.

    The latest credible analysis indicates potential economic losses India may face if the Alaska summit between Trump and Putin fails — leading to further US tariff escalation against India (already at 50%) — along with broader economic implications.

    Moody’s Ratings warns that the 50% tariffs could slow India’s real GDP growth by around 0.3 percentage points, reducing forecasts from ~6.3% for FY2025–26. Barclays estimates slightly smaller effects: a 30 basis point (0.3 percentage point) drag on GDP growth, highlighting the economy’s resilience due to its strong domestic demand. Other economic studies suggest national GDP could be reduced between 0.1% to 0.6%, depending on the duration and breadth of the tariff measures.

    Tariffs now affect 55% of US-bound Indian shipments, hitting vital export sectors like textiles, jewelry, apparel and footwear. This could lead to up to 70% reductions in these goods’ competitiveness in the US market.

    The apparel sector alone could lose around $5 billion over seven months in export revenues.

    Analysts warn that labor-intensive manufacturing and MSMEs will be especially vulnerable — potentially leading to job losses, weakened foreign exchange inflows and dampened investor sentiment. 

    India’s merchandise trade deficit rose to an eight-month high of $27.35 billion in July 2025, ahead of tariff enforcement—signaling rising import bills and sluggish export growth.


    Continue Reading


  • 1. Territory

    Russia occupies around a fifth of Ukraine after more than three years of fighting but continues to demand land. Earlier this week the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said Russia wanted the rest of Donetsk oblast, 9,000 square kilometres of territory, in return for a ceasefire. Zelenskyy said Ukraine could not agree, particularly for so little in return. Ukraine’s public would also be unlikely to accept handing over more land to the invader.

    Kyiv is willing to accept a ceasefire on the current frontlines, which would be followed by discussions about the future status of occupied territory. It is a particularly sensitive issue. Russia has sought formal recognition of at least some of the territory it has seized, most notably Crimea, but at best Ukraine is only likely to accept a de facto occupation. An alternative is that the status of occupied territories be parked for a future negotiation – “in 25 years time”, suggested John Foreman, a former British defence attache to Moscow.


  • 2. Security guarantees

    Russia says it wants Ukraine to be neutral, though in practice this means a weak neighbour with no ties to the west. In previous negotiations, still referenced by the Kremlin, it has demanded that Kyiv’s military be reduced to a token 50,000. It also still calls for the country to be “denazified”, interpreted as a call for the replacement of Zelenskyy.

    Ukraine would like to join Nato, though this has been rejected by the US, leaving it searching for bilateral or multilateral security guarantees from its western allies. Britain and France have promised to lead a predominantly European “reassurance force” that will enter Ukraine in the event of a stable ceasefire, though Russia is opposed to this.

    On Wednesday France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, said Trump had said the US was also prepared to be part of security guarantees to prevent war breaking out again. It is unclear what Trump is prepared to offer though, and a Japan or South Korea style bilateral guarantee looks unlikely. Meanwhile, unless Russia is prepared to accept that Ukraine can determine its own security arrangements, agreed progress appears impossible.


  • 3. Sanctions and trade

    Russia wants economic sanctions that have been imposed on Moscow to be lifted. Trump, however, can only speak for the US, with the UK and the EU likely to be more hostile, unless Ukraine has signed up to an overall peace agreement. The Kremlin also wants to go further, and today Putin’s adviser, Yuri Ushakov, said the leaders would discuss wider cooperation, “including in the trade and economic sphere”, as part of a proposed arrangement between the two countries. Without tangible progress on other topics, a unilateral relaxation of sanctions by the US would be surprising.


  • 4. War crimes, reparations and reconstruction

    War crimes and claims for reparations cannot be set aside as part of a peace agreement. The international criminal court (ICC) has an arrest warrant out against Putin over the forced transfer of about 20,000 children from Ukraine to Russia. Zelenskyy has asked that the youngsters are returned in the first stage of any peace discussions, but the ICC demand will not disappear. Ukraine “remains under an obligation to investigate war crimes and crimes against humanity against its own citizens”, says human rights lawyer Wayne Jordash from Global Rights Compliance.

    The World Bank estimated that the total cost of reconstruction and recovery in Ukraine – where most of the war has been fought – amounts to €506bn (£435bn). After a resolution of the UN general assembly, a register for reparation claims has been set up by the Council of Europe to record eligible claims for compensation. However, Russia has so far refused to help fund reconstruction, leaving Ukraine to find alternative ways to fund its postwar rebuilding. An option is to seize Russian assets held abroad, amounting to around $280bn (£207bn), but achieving international consensus around seizure has been difficult.


  • 5. Other issues

    There are many other practical concerns. Ukraine is calling for the release of all prisoners of war alongside an initial ceasefire. Russia holds more than 8,000 Ukrainian PoWs and Ukraine a smaller amount, making one-for-one swaps tricky. But there have been dozens of exchanges since the start of the war, and this may be one of the simpler issues to agree upon.

    Early in the war, Russia seized the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe. Soon after it was shut down, but the site remains in Russian-held territory and there are signs that Russia wants to restart it and connect it to the country’s energy grid, a forced transfer that Ukraine will not recognise, but may be powerless to prevent.


Continue Reading

  • ‘Kept fighting despite the odds’: the Russian journalists who risked everything to report the truth | Documentary films

    ‘Kept fighting despite the odds’: the Russian journalists who risked everything to report the truth | Documentary films

    In the fall of 2021, the director Julia Loktev traveled from her Brooklyn home to Moscow, with the intent to film some friends under pressure. That summer, the Russian government had cracked down on the remaining independent media in the country, designating outlets and journalists it found irksome as “foreign agents”. Loktev, who moved to the US from the Soviet Union at age nine, had several journalist friends now required to submit detailed financial reports to the government and affix an all-caps disclaimer to any output, be it an article or an Instagram post of their cat, declaring it the work of a foreign agent.

    Loktev began shadowing her friend Anna Nemzer, a host on the country’s only remaining independent news channel, TV Rain (Dozhd, in Russian), which was on the growing list of “foreign agents” meant to chill any press critical of Vladimir Putin’s regime. She was particularly interested in Sonya Groysman and Olga Churakova, two female journalists in their 20s who, with youthful gusto, started the podcast Hi, you’re a foreign agent to document how their new notoriety impacted their lives. “I thought I was making a film about these young journalists who were dealing with this. I thought it was going to be called ‘The Lives of Foreign Agents,’” Loktev recalled recently. “I thought I was making a film about people trying to figure out how you live in a country where you oppose the government. How long can you keep working? How do you keep fighting when you live under a regime you oppose?”

    Instead, Loktev’s film, My Undesirable Friends: Part One — Last Air in Moscow, became a record of Russian independent media’s last gasps under Putin, a time capsule of a world that no longer exists. Loktev tells us so in the opening minutes of this astonishing five-hour film (now playing in theaters, with a break between chapters 1-3 and 4-5): “The world you are about to see no longer exists,” she says over footage of bright storefronts in Moscow. “None of us knew what was about to happen.” In February 2022, four months after Loktev started filming, Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, a shock even to the clear-eyed journalists who had reported on Putin’s mobilization of troops in the days and weeks prior. Within a week, much of the country’s civil society and independent press fled. The first chapter of My Undesirable Friends, filmed in October 2021, ends with a chilling note: every person you just saw now lives in exile.

    Much of My Undesirable Friends thus plays out like a thriller, with characters trying to figure out their next move with what we know to be limited time. On some level, they know it, too, even if they do not yet believe it. “A year from now, we’ll remember October 2021 as Eden,” Groysman tells Loktev in the first chapter. “In a year, half your characters won’t be in Russia, and someone will certainly end up in jail.” Most of the independent journalists Loktev followed are young women just old enough to remember a time when Russian society was freer, and are loathe to let it go without a fight. At one point, Groysman shows the camera a bunch of magazines that she kept from 2012, her senior year of high school, that support LGBTQ+ rights or bolster the late opposition leader Alexei Navalny or encourage dissent, all unimaginable a decade later.

    Groysman and Churakova form part of a tight core of journalists, across a handful of remaining outlets, who anchor the film with disarming warmth and humor; in one scene, as Loktev films Groysman folding laundry at her unsettled Moscow apartment, the latter jokingly chastises: “An American journalist is digging through Russian dirty laundry!” The two podcast hosts overlap with Ksenia Mironova, a fellow journalist whose fiance, Ivan Safronov, was indefinitely jailed on trumped-up charges after he investigated Russian defense contracts. (Safronov was sentenced to 24 years in prison in September 2022, a sham verdict meant to threaten journalists.) Mironova calmly recounts how the authorities upended their apartment in the raid that took Safronov away – a terrifying possibility within a dark range of common intimidation tactics. “All of our characters have been searched, some of their places were bugged,” said Loktev. “They were constantly afraid of when they would have to leave, or when they would have to stop working or worse, when they would be arrested.”

    Nevertheless, they keep working. Mironova keeps reporting, even as she breaks when sending care packages to Safronov that will almost certainly never reach him. So do Irina Dolinina and Alesya Marokhovskaya, even after their studio is bugged and they lose their rare trial contesting the foreign agents label. So does Elena Kostyuchenko, an exceptionally daring reporter for the storied investigative outlet Novaya Gazeta, even after several of her colleagues have been killed; at the outset of the invasion, she manages to slip into Ukraine. So does Nemzer, the host of a short-lived TV Rain program called “Who’s Got the Power?” on civil society leaders, even as the noose tightens on free speech in the country. Just before going on air with her university thesis advisor to talk about the detention of her parents’ friend, an academic also designated a “foreign agent”, Nemzer reflects on the surreality of the collapse in real time: “It’s this constant attempt, on one hand, not to panic or become hysterical – everything is OK, everything is OK. On the other hand, you can’t allow yourself to get used to this.”

    Again and again, each journalist tries to articulate the strange cognitive dissonance of life going on as the society you knew crumbles. There are several scenes of warm camaraderie – birthday parties, group dinners, New Year’s wishes for a better year in 2022 that now feel haunted. Frank conversation of daunting opposition and unbelievable risks are mixed with references to Harry Potter – Putin makes an easy comparison to Voldemort – and Instagram trends. What is an acute crisis to independent journalists seems minor to many other Russians – Michelin-star restaurants open in Moscow, cafes are full. Several have relatives who are not as critical of the regime; Marokhovskaya must hide her girlfriend from her conservative family. As a sociologist tells Groysman: “This feeling that we’re in a state of war, and everyone around us is not, is typical for totalitarian regimes.”

    It is hard, as an American writer, not to see reflections in the current US administration, which has made moves strikingly, chillingly similar to Putin. “When I was making this, it felt like something that happens over there,” said Loktev. “And just in the last six months, it’s startling how many things in the film are being echoed here.” Journalists kicked out of the presidential press pool in favor of uncritical sycophants. Universities cowed and sanctioned. The firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics chief over unflattering data, the erasure of Trump’s impeachments from the Smithsonian, the purging of the Kennedy Center board – all mirror actions taken by the Putin regime.

    Ksenia Mironova. Photograph: Julia Loktev

    “We’re experiencing something we have not experienced before, and we don’t know how to deal with it,” said Loktev of the US. “We go outside, there’s nice cafes, life looks normal. And meanwhile, men in hooded masks are snatching people into unmarked vans.” The dissonance coursing through Loktev’s film – so much calm, amid so much catastrophe – is “how life looks when this happens. That is how life looks under an authoritarian regime. It’s just not how we imagine it.”

    For Loktev’s subjects, life and work are inextricable; both cratered abruptly after the state shut down TV Rain and other outlets, threatening criminal penalties. As captured in the final chapter, most fled that night, hopping on the next available flight – to Istanbul, to Tbilisi, to Mongolia – with whatever they could pack in two hours. Loktev stayed one extra day, to make sure her footage uploaded to the cloud, in case her drives were confiscated. She is at work on Part Two, titled Exile, which picks up two days after the mass exodus, as her subjects continue to work from the US and Europe, trying to report honestly on Russia for Russian audiences.

    In the third chapter, in late December 2021, Nemzer acknowledges how futile that task could be, even before the disastrous invasion. In a commemorative year-end video for TV Rain, she recalls a year spent asking human rights activists why they keep working when they’re persecuted; asking lawyers why they keep going to court when it’s rigged; asking journalists why they keep investigating when exposure changes nothing. The answer, always, was to create a record of truth. “Sometimes I ask myself, ‘God, what am I doing?’” she says. “I have one answer. If all these people are creating a record, then I’m going to try too.”

    My Undesirable Friends stands as its own staggering record, of people “who kept fighting despite the odds, who were continuing to speak the truth,” said Loktev. “They kept doing this even as they were named foreign agents, even as they risked arrest. They just kept doing it.”

    Continue Reading

  • Women who faced stalking may be at higher risk of heart disease- Earth.com

    Women who faced stalking may be at higher risk of heart disease- Earth.com

    Stalking not only invades your privacy but also quietly leaves a mark on your heart. According to new research, women who had been stalked or obtained a restraining order were more likely to develop heart disease or stroke later in life.

    According to the data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on intimate partner violence, about one third of women have experienced stalking at some point in their lives. 


    Rebecca B. Lawn, study author and a research associate at Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health and the University of British Columbia, highlighted that violence against women can have long-lasting health effects.

    “Stalking is often seen as a form of violence that does not involve physical contact, which may make it seem less serious,” said Lawn. As a result, doctors often fail to recognize it as a possible risk factor.

    In her previous research, Lawn and her team found that sexual assault and workplace harassment could lead to high blood pressure in women.

    The latest research goes a step further, focusing on how being stalked may contribute to long-term cardiovascular problems.  

    Stalking linked to heart disease

    To investigate this, researchers analyzed data collected from 66,270 participants, aged 36 to 56 at the start of the study. They were part of the Nurses’ Health Study II, an ongoing U.S. survey launched in 1989.

    The study ran for twenty years, ending in 2021. In 2001, the women reported whether they had been stalked or had requested a restraining order. 

    At the start, none of the participants had a history of stroke or heart attack. The researchers followed them for the next 20 years, tracking reports of stalking against them and the development of heart diseases.

    This approach allowed the team to compare the cardiovascular health of women who had experienced stalking or obtained a restraining order with that of those who had not.

    What the study revealed

    The analysis revealed that nearly 12 percent of participants experienced stalking, and about six percent obtained a restraining order. Around three percent of all participants developed heart disease or stroke during the study period. 

    Among women who had experienced stalking, roughly 41 percent showed an increased likelihood of developing heart problems. Those who had obtained a restraining order faced a 70 percent greater risk of suffering from the disease. 

    Medical records also revealed that women with a prior history of heart conditions or stroke were more likely to have experienced stalking. These patterns caught the attention of cardiology experts.

    Harmony R. Reynolds, immediate past chair of the American Heart Association’s Clinical Cardiology & Stroke Women’s Health Science Committee, said she was surprised to see this link.

    “People subjected to intimate partner violence face about a 30 percent higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease in the next few years compared to others,” said Reynolds.

    She added that childhood trauma, financial stress, and grief are also known risk factors.

    Experts warn about the health risks

    “Our findings suggest that stalking should not be minimized. Stalking can be chronic, and women often report making significant changes in response, such as moving,” said Lawn.

    Reynolds suggested that stress might be a connecting factor that leads to heart problems. “Perhaps because it is our nature to re-think about things that happen to us, making us experience the situation over and over,” she said.

    According to her, social support can help reduce the effects of stress. Talking to trusted family, friends, community members, or professionals can also be beneficial.

    The psychological stress resulting from being stalked could also contribute to adverse effects on heart health. But researchers have yet to explore its detailed biological mechanism more fully.

    According to Lawn, health professionals should take the initiative to raise awareness about these potential health risks and provide resources to support women.

    Future stalking and heart health research

    While these findings are significant, they may not apply to all populations.

    A limitation of the study is that it focused only on non-Hispanic white women who were U.S. registered nurses.

    Previous studies have shown that stalking and other forms of violence are perpetrated more commonly on women from minority social or ethnic groups and those with lower incomes. 

    The study also relied on self-reported incidents of stalking and obtaining a restraining order, which may sometimes be an inaccurate means of collecting data.

    This study opens the door for future research that could confirm the effect of stalking on women’s health in the long term. Researchers could also expand the study to include women from diverse backgrounds.

    They can also focus on understanding the mechanism by which chronic stress from stalking leads to heart conditions. This could help doctors spot problems earlier.

    In the future, better screening, early counseling, and community support could help reduce the hidden health toll of being stalked, which would protect both the mind and the heart.

    The full study was published in the journal Circulation.

    —–

    Like what you read? Subscribe to our newsletter for engaging articles, exclusive content, and the latest updates. 

    Check us out on EarthSnap, a free app brought to you by Eric Ralls and Earth.com.

    —–

    Continue Reading

  • Kristian Nairn is the fifteenth celebrity contestant announced for Strictly Come Dancing 2025

    Kristian Nairn is the fifteenth celebrity contestant announced for Strictly Come Dancing 2025

    Kristian Nairn is the fifteenth and final celebrity joining the new series of Strictly Come Dancing. The multi-award-winning entertainment show, produced by BBC Studios, will return to BBC One and BBC iPlayer for its new series this September.

    Kristian Nairn is an internationally renowned actor, DJ and creative force who has spent over two decades at the forefront of music and entertainment. Kristian is best known for his unforgettable portrayal of Hodor in HBO’s global phenomenon Game of Thrones, a role that earned him a devoted international following and created one of the most iconic and emotional moments in recent TV history. Kristian is also known to millions around the world for his role as Wee John Feeney in two series of the HBO comedy Our Flag Means Death.

    As one of Ireland’s most prolific house DJs, he has played alongside industry icons including Steve Aoki, Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike, Fatboy Slim, and Danny Howard, and has delivered high-energy sets at global superclubs such as Amnesia, Café Mambo, and Hakkasan.

    On joining Strictly Come Dancing, Kristian Nairn says: “This will be a huge challenge for me physically, but I’m ready to rise to it! It’s a surreal and wonderful opportunity to shed one of my left feet!”

    The news was revealed on Vernon Kay’s BBC Radio 2 show, guest hosted by Gary Davies.

    Strictly Come Dancing is a BBC Studios Entertainment production for BBC One and BBC iPlayer and was commissioned by Kalpna Patel-Knight, Head of Entertainment at the BBC. The Executive Producer is Sarah James, the Series Editors are Nicola Fitzgerald and Jack Gledhill. The Commissioning Editor for the BBC is Jo Wallace.

    Strictly Come Dancing will return to BBC One and BBC iPlayer this autumn. Add Strictly to your watchlist on BBC iPlayer now.

    GK

    Follow for more

    Continue Reading