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  • Study Confirms ‘Abrupt Changes’ in Antarctica – And The World Will Feel Them : ScienceAlert

    Study Confirms ‘Abrupt Changes’ in Antarctica – And The World Will Feel Them : ScienceAlert

    Antarctica has long been seen as a remote, unchanging environment. Not any more.

    The ice-covered continent and the surrounding Southern Ocean are undergoing abrupt and alarming changes.

    Sea ice is shrinking rapidly, the floating glaciers known as ice shelves are melting faster, the ice sheets carpeting the continent are approaching tipping points and vital ocean currents show signs of slowing down.

    Related: Earth’s Continents Are Drying Out at an Unprecedented Rate, Study Warns

    Published today in Nature, our new research shows these abrupt changes are already underway – and likely to significantly intensify in the future.

    Several authors of this article have witnessed these startling changes during fieldwork on the ice. These changes spell bad news for wildlife, both iconic and lesser known. But the changes will reach much further.

    What’s happening in Antarctica right now will affect the world for generations to come, from rising sea levels to extreme changes in the climate system.

    Antarctica’s enormity can give the illusion of permanence. But abrupt changes are arriving. (David Merron Photography/Getty Images)

    What is an abrupt change?

    Scientists define an abrupt change as a climatic or environmental shift taking place much faster than expected.

    What makes abrupt changes so concerning is they can amplify themselves. For example, melting sea ice allows oceans to warm more rapidly, which melts more sea ice. Once triggered, they can be difficult or even impossible to reverse on timescales meaningful to humans.

    While it’s common to assume incremental warming will translate to gradual change, we’re seeing something very different in Antarctica. Over past decades, the Antarctic environment had a much more muted response overall to human-caused climate warming compared to the Arctic. But about a decade ago, abrupt changes began to occur.

    Shrinking sea ice brings cascading change

    Antarctica’s natural systems are tightly interwoven. When one system is thrown out of balance, it can trigger cascading effects in others.

    Sea ice around Antarctica has been declining dramatically since 2014. The expanse of sea ice is now shrinking at double the rate of Arctic sea ice. We found these unfolding changes are unprecedented – far outside the natural variability of past centuries.

    The implications are far reaching. Sea ice has a reflective, high-albedo surface which reflects heat back to space. When there’s less sea ice, more heat is absorbed by darker oceans. Emperor penguins and other species reliant on sea ice for habitat and breeding face real threats. Less sea ice also means Antarctica’s ice shelves are more exposed to waves.

    sea ice in antarctica in late summer, large chunks of ice floating on ocean.
    The expanse of ocean covered by sea ice began shrinking in 2014 and the rate is accelerating. (Ted Mead/Getty Images)

    Vital ocean currents are slowing

    The melting of ice is actually slowing down the deep ocean circulation around Antarctica. This system of deep currents, known as the Antarctic Overturning Circulation, plays a critical role in regulating Earth’s climate by absorbing carbon dioxide and distributing heat.

    In the northern hemisphere, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is facing a slowdown.

    We’re now observing a similar risk in Southern Ocean currents. Changes to the Antarctic Overturning Circulation may unfold at twice the rate of the more famous North Atlantic counterpart.

    A slowdown could reduce how much oxygen and carbon dioxide the ocean absorbs and leave vital nutrients at the seafloor. Less oxygen and fewer nutrients would have major consequences for marine ecosystems and climate regulation.

    Melting giants

    The West Antarctic Ice Sheet as well as some regions of East Antarctica are now losing ice and contributing to sea level rise. Ice loss has increased sixfold since the 1990s.

    The West Antarctic Ice Sheet alone has enough ice to raise global sea levels by more than five metres – and scientists warn we could be nearing the point where this ice sheet could collapse even without substantial further warming, though this might take centuries to millennia.

    These enormous ice sheets represent the risk of a global tipping point. They contribute the greatest uncertainty to projections of future sea level rise because we don’t know just how quickly they could collapse.

    Worldwide, at least 750 million people live in low-lying areas near the sea. Rising sea levels threaten coastal infrastructure and communities globally.

    Wildlife and ecosystems under threat

    Antarctica’s biological systems are also undergoing sudden shifts. Ecosystems both under the sea and on land are being reshaped by warming temperatures, unreliable ice conditions and human activity bringing pollution and the arrival of invasive species.

    It’s essential to protect these ecosystems through the Antarctic Treaty, including creating protected areas of land and sea and restricting some human activities. But these conservation measures won’t be enough to ensure emperor penguins and leopard seals survive. That will require decisive global action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

    A group of penguins standing on an icy beach, ship in the water in the background, Antarctica
    Antarctica’s biological systems are also undergoing sudden shifts. (DreamPictures/DigitalVision/Getty Images)

    Which future?

    Antarctica is often seen as a symbol of isolation and permanence. But the continent is now changing with disturbing speed – much faster than scientists anticipated.

    These abrupt changes stem largely from the extra heat trapped by decades of unchecked greenhouse gas emissions. The only way to avoid further abrupt changes is to slash emissions rapidly enough to hold warming as close to 1.5°C as possible.

    Even if we achieve this, much change has already been set in motion. Governments, businesses and coastal communities must prepare for a future of abrupt change. What happens in Antarctica won’t stay there.

    The stakes could not be higher. The choices made now will determine whether we face a future of worsening impacts and irreversible change or one of managed resilience to the changes already locked in.The Conversation

    Nerilie Abram, Chief Scientist, Australian Antarctic Division and Professor of Climate Science, Australian National University; Ariaan Purich, Senior Lecturer in Climate Science, Monash University; Felicity McCormack, Antarctic Research Fellow and Senior Lecturer, Monash University; Jan Strugnell, Professor of Marine Biology and Aquaculture, James Cook University, and Matthew England, Deputy Director of the ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science and Scientia Professor in Oceanography, UNSW Sydney

    This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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  • A strategic reset in India’s regional diplomacy? – Editorials

    A strategic reset in India’s regional diplomacy? – Editorials

    EDITORIAL: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s upcoming visit to China later this month — his first since 2018 — to attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit comes at a pivotal moment amid shifting global power dynamics.

    On Tuesday in New Delhi, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi underscored the significance of India-China ties, stating, “History and reality prove once again that a healthy and stable China-India relationship serves the fundamental and long-term interests of both our countries.” His remarks were not mere diplomatic pleasantries, but a clear invitation for India to adopt a more strategic and forward-looking regional vision.

    India appears to be reassessing the long-term costs of sustained hostility with China — its second-largest trading partner and a leading force behind the rapidly expanding BRICS economic cooperation bloc. With India set to assume the BRICS presidency next year, and as global economic alignments shift, New Delhi may be recalibrating its China policy in light of broader geopolitical trends, including its increasingly complicated ties with the United States.

    Notably, tensions with Washington flared over India’s refusal to credit President Donald Trump with brokering a ceasefire during last May’s military confrontation with Pakistan. Yet, even as it explores a potential thaw with China, the Modi government’s South Asia policy remains constrained by a narrow, ideologically-driven worldview rooted in Hindu nationalism and enduring hostility towards Pakistan.

    The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has consistently leveraged anti-Pakistan sentiment for domestic political gains. This has reduced India’s regional engagement to a series of tactical manoeuvres rather than a coherent long-term strategy for peace and cooperation. The latest of these confrontational moves in May resulted in a forceful military retaliation from Pakistan, underlining the risks of such short-sighted approaches.

    Similarly, while India continues to view China as a strategic competitor economic ties between the two continue to deepen. The two nations also share converging interests in multilateral platforms like the SCO and BRICS, which advocate for multipolarity, non-alignment, and inclusive regional development. Since the disruption of global trade triggered by President Trump’s tariff wars, India, like many others, has found itself navigating a delicate balance between economic pragmatism and geopolitical rivalry.

    In this context, Modi’s visit to China has the potential to be more than just a diplomatic formality. It offers India a valuable opportunity to adopt a broader, more mature foreign policy that prioritises regional cooperation over confrontation. That would mean moving away from zero-sum narratives of vengeance, and embracing the principle of indivisible security — a core tenet of both the SCO and BRICS.

    As the world transitions toward a multipolar order, stability in South Asia cannot be built on religious nationalism or military posturing. If India truly aspires to a leadership role in the Global South, it must shed ideological rigidity and commit to a consistent strategic vision — one that values diplomacy over division, and constructive engagement with both Pakistan and China over enmity.

    Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

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  • Neuroscientists split on whether memories can be extracted from preserved brains

    Neuroscientists split on whether memories can be extracted from preserved brains

    Can memories truly be read from the brain’s structure alone? A global survey of neuroscientists reveals surprising agreement on some points, and sharp divides on others, with implications for future brain preservation and emulation.

    Survey: What are memories made of? A survey of neuroscientists on the structural basis of long-term memory. Image Credit: Vitalii Vodolazskyi  / Shutterstock

    A recent paper published in the journal PLOS One surveyed neuroscientists to evaluate their beliefs about how memories are stored.

    Recall of long-term memories enables one’s behaviors to be shaped by a lifetime’s experience. Earlier experiences must create some form of a memory trace in the brain for this to be possible.

    Evidence suggests that long-lived memories are retained by relatively static and stable neurophysiological aspects. Moreover, long-term memories could be recalled even after prolonged global neuronal inactivity and depolarization, for example, during deep hypothermic circulatory arrest.

    This distinction highlights that memory formation and recall rely on different processes, with formation disrupted by protein synthesis inhibition but recall largely unaffected once memories are established.

    This means that the retention of long-term memories does not require ongoing global electrophysiological activity. Neuroscientists have suggested structural candidates for the physical basis of long-term memory, such as synaptogenesis, synaptic strength alterations, neuronal excitability alterations, intracellular phosphorylation, epigenetic modifications, and axonal myelination changes, as well as perineuronal net and extracellular matrix modifications.

    Engrams, the neurophysiological substrates responsible for long-term memory, have been actively pursued over the past decade. Despite technological advances in the artificial manipulation of engrams and claims of a consensus that memories are stored in ensembles of synaptic connections, the extent of unanimity in the neuroscientific community about the neurophysiological basis of long-term memory is unclear.

    The study and findings

    In the present study, researchers surveyed neuroscientists on the structural basis of long-term memories. The survey was conducted between August and October 2024 in two cohorts of neuroscientists: 1) Computational and Systems Neuroscience (COSYNE) attendees with an abstract listed in conference booklets between 2022 and 2024, and 2) researchers with publications related to the neurophysiology of memory, i.e., engram experts.

    The survey comprised 28 questions across six domains: demographics, theoretical implications of memory storage, structural basis of long-term memories, whole-brain emulation feasibility, brain preservation, and familiarity and comfort with topics discussed. A rank correlation analysis evaluated the relationships between participants’ responses to different questions. In total, 312 neuroscientists responded, with approximately three-quarters completing all mandatory sections of the survey.

    They were initially asked if they believed extracting information of a specific, non-trivial long-term memory from a static synaptic connectivity map was theoretically possible. Over 45% of respondents agreed this would be possible, but 32.1% disagreed. When multiple choices were presented for what additional information might be needed for memory readout, “measurements of dynamically changing neuronal activity” was the most common choice. Other common selections included contextual information about experiences and mental states, as well as sensory input and motor output.

    Further, most participants (70.5%) agreed that long-term memories are maintained by synaptic strengths and neuronal connectivity patterns. Besides, participants were asked to provide subjective probability estimates on whether memory-related information could be theoretically extracted from brains preserved using available techniques, e.g., aldehyde-stabilized cryopreservation (ASC). The median subjective probability estimate for this question was 41%. However, the distribution was bimodal, with peaks near 75% and 10%, showing that views were sharply divided rather than clustered around the median.

    Beliefs about the physical basis of memory. a) Responses to the question ‘To what extent do you agree with the following statement: “Given the scientific knowledge assumed in Point A existed, it would be theoretically possible to read out the information corresponding to at least one specific non-trivial memory from a static snapshot of the structure (including biomolecules) of an organism

    Beliefs about the physical basis of memory. a) Responses to the question ‘To what extent do you agree with the following statement: “Given the scientific knowledge assumed in Point A existed, it would be theoretically possible to read out the information corresponding to at least one specific non-trivial memory from a static snapshot of the structure (including biomolecules) of an organism’s entire brain.” b) Responses to the question ‘Some neuroscientists have suggested that, while molecular and subcellular details play a role, the majority of information for long-term memories is likely physically stored in the brain at the level of neuronal connectivity patterns and ensembles of synaptic strengths (e.g., Poo et al., 2016). To what extent do you agree with the following statement: “The structural basis of long-term memories primarily consists of lasting changes in neuronal connectivity and ensembles of synaptic strengths, rather than in molecular or subcellular details.” c) Participants’ views on the critical scale for memory encoding in the brain. 

    In addition, the median probability estimate was 40% for the question asking whether a whole-brain emulation was theoretically possible using a preserved brain, assuming only the generic knowledge of neuronal subtypes’ electrophysiological properties. The median probability increased to 62% in a scenario where active recordings could be taken before brain preservation.

    To the question asking by which year a whole-brain emulation would exist for mouse, human, or Caenorhabditis elegans, the median estimate predicted that a brain would be emulated around 2045 for C. elegans, 2065 for a mouse, and 2125 for a human. The researchers found that participants’ views did not vary by their primary approach to neuroscience, i.e., theoretical, wet-lab, or both.

    Besides, participants’ education level had no significant effect. Nevertheless, there were significant relationships between the theoretical views of respondents and their practical predictions. That is, the probability estimates for extracting information on long-term memories from a preserved brain were associated with the theoretical viewpoints of participants.

    These probability estimates were robustly correlated with participants’ belief in the theoretical possibility of memory extraction from static brain structure and the possibility of whole-brain emulation without dynamic recordings. However, preservation expertise, neural modeling expertise, or memory expertise did not correlate with ASC probability estimates. A small but significant negative correlation was observed with age (ρ = −0.23), indicating that older participants tended to assign lower probabilities to successful memory extraction from preserved brains.

    Conclusions

    In sum, the findings shed light on the beliefs of the neuroscientific community regarding the physical basis of long-term memory. Most participants endorsed that long-term memories are maintained by synaptic strengths and neuronal connectivity patterns rather than subcellular or molecular details. Nevertheless, there was no consensus on which neurophysiological scale or feature is critical for storing memory.

    Some boundaries emerged, such as a general agreement that atomic-level biomolecular states are irrelevant, while subcellular structures at ~500 nm resolution would need to be included. Between these scales, however, no clear consensus was reached.

    Correlation analyses further demonstrated that beliefs about whole-brain emulation and memory extraction were closely linked, showing internal consistency between theoretical stances and practical predictions.

    Overall, these findings have implications for theoretical neuroscience and technological developments aimed at preserving and extracting memory-related information.

    The authors also noted important limitations, including low survey response rates, the assumption of ideal preservation conditions, and the restricted cohorts studied. They further emphasized that potential ethical and societal implications, such as mental privacy and life extension via brain emulation, warrant careful consideration.

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  • Nvidia Asks Suppliers to Halt H20 Work, Information Says

    Nvidia Asks Suppliers to Halt H20 Work, Information Says

    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang.

    Nvidia Corp. has instructed component suppliers including Samsung Electronics Co. and Amkor Technology Inc. to stop production related to the H20 AI chip, the Information reported, citing unidentified sources.

    Nvidia issued those orders this week after Beijing urged local companies to avoid using the H20, the Information said, referring to a chip designed specifically for the Chinese market.

    Most Read from Bloomberg

    A production suspension would raise questions about fundamental demand for the H20, a less-powerful version of Nvidia’s cutting-edge AI accelerators that competes with capable chips from the likes of Huawei Technologies Co. and Cambricon Technologies Corp.

    Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. both recently secured Washington’s approval to resume lower-end AI chip sales to China, on the controversial and legally questionable condition that they give the US government a 15% cut of the related revenue.

    But their Chinese customers are under pressure to adopt homegrown chips instead — part of a broader objective to build a world-class domestic industry and wean the country off US technology.

    In past weeks, Chinese authorities have sent notices to a range of firms discouraging use of the less-advanced semiconductors, Bloomberg News has reported. That followed warnings about alleged security risks in the H20 chips, after Washington officials said they were considering ways to equip chips with better location-tracking capabilities.

    Nvidia — which is due to report earnings next week — has repeatedly denied it builds such features or backdoors into its product. Representatives for Amkor didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment after normal hours. A Samsung representative declined to comment.

    “We constantly manage our supply chain to address market conditions,” an Nvidia spokesperson said.

    “As both governments recognize, the H20 is not a military product or for government infrastructure. China won’t rely on American chips for government operations, just like the US government would not rely on chips from China. However, allowing US chips for beneficial commercial business use is good for everyone.”

    It’s unclear whether the Information’s story relates to new production of the H20 or stockpiles of unfinished AI accelerators. Semi-finished semiconductors are “piling up” at Amkor, which packages chips for customers like Nvidia, the Information reported.

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  • Influence of selected cognitive performances on musculoskeletal injury occurrence in adult male professional Slovenian PrvaLiga football players in a prospective cohort study

    Influence of selected cognitive performances on musculoskeletal injury occurrence in adult male professional Slovenian PrvaLiga football players in a prospective cohort study

    Our data suggest a possible but non-significant association between individual basic and complex (executive) cognitive functions and muscoloskelettal injuries in professional male football players. However, due to the non-significant results across the assessed cognitive functions, our hypothesis could not be confirmed.

    Although not statistically significant, we found that players with higher TMT-ratio-scores—indicating poorer cognitive flexibility or set-shifting ability—had 64% higher odds of injury. Athletes in open-skill sports like football must quickly adapt to unpredictable changes on the field (e.g., positions of teammates, opponents, and the ball) while making rapid decisions (e.g., pass, tackle, dribble) under time constraints16. This constant adjustment may require cognitive flexibility31. Athletes with lower cognitive flexibility may struggle to react and adapt motor responses to unexpected events, increasing their injury risk. Initial evidence suggests that lower cognitive performance, such as reduced cognitive flexibility, may lead to unfavourable biomechanics during jump landing tasks, which involve time-sensitive decisions and may increase the risk of knee injuries21. In this context, the observed potential association between higher TMT ratio scores and increased injury risk in the present study appears plausible.

    Interestingly, performance on the TMT-4 test version, as well as the magnitude of the absolute TMT difference score—both measures of executive functions such as working memory and cognitive flexibility24—were far from sigmificantly related to injury risk. This may suggest that the proportional index of the TMT-ratio-score, which expresses executive performance relative to basic processing abilities, provides a more nuanced and sensitive measure of cognitive efficiency related to injury risk in professional football players. This makes sense insofar as playing performance and potential biomechanical injury risk factors in motor-cognitively challenging game situations seem to depend on a combination of basic and complex cognitive processes6,7,9,16, rather than a more isolated, specific domain like working memory or cognitive flexibility, which are predominantly reflected by the TMT-4 and the absolute difference score24. It is important to emphasize that this finding is hypothesis-generating and requires further investigation in larger, adequately powered studies. However, since the predictive value of the TMT-ratio-score was not statistically significant, showed only moderate sensitivity and specificity, and was only marginally better than age as a predictor—combined with its lower test-retest reliability compared to the individual TMT subtests28—this trend should be interpreted with caution. Future prospective studies should further explore and confirm the injury-predictive potential of these cognitive functions using the TMT or other established tests (e.g., task switching paradigms like PsyToolkit) before drawing more definitive conclusions about the predictive value of cognitive performance measures. Additionally, future research should investigate other executive functions not explicitly assessed in the present study such as working memory and inhibitory control, which are also critical for rapid decision-making during athletic tasks21. These domains can improve with training32 and may influence injury risk, making them important targets for assessment and prevention.

    The association between higher age or more years of playing and an increased risk of injury in football players is well-documented33,34 and was also observed in our dataset. This relationship may reflect accumulated musculoskeletal load and degeneration, slower recovery times, or age-related declines in neuromuscular function35. Our findings suggest that any predictive influence of cognitive performance should be interpreted within the context of age-related risk. Future studies should further investigate whether cognitive factors interact with or mediate the effects of age on musculoskeletal injury risk.

    Regarding more basic cognitive processes such as visual search and perception, we found a potential link to injury risk. Specifically, players with shorter TMT-1 completion times, indicating faster visual search, tended to show approximately 40% decreased odds of injury. However, this effect was not statistically significant, and thus the potential association should be interpreted with caution. Larger, adequately powered confirmatory studies are warranted to explore this relationship further. Previous studies have suggested that injured athletes might outperform uninjured ones on visual perception tests such as the TMT-1. For example, Stone et al.36 proposed that athletes recovering from ACL injuries might adopt a postoperative strategy that compensates for proprioceptive deficits by increasing visual control. This cortical compensatory mechanism has been supported by previous systematic evidence37. However, since injury history (e.g., prior ACL injuries) was not explicitly assessed in our sample, we cannot determine whether such a mechanism was present among the injured players in this study. As a result, any interpretation regarding visual compensation influencing TMT performance remains speculative and should be treated with caution. The same applies to the observed, non-significant trend between faster TMT-5 performance—indicative of faster hand motor execution speed—and an approximately 36% reduction in injury odds. Future research should explore whether pure motor speed represents an additional injury risk factor in football players, beyond cognitive processing speed.

    Contrary to our hypothesis, we did not find a relationship between injury risk and either visuomotor vigilance (i.e., simple and choice reaction speed) or visuospatial short-term memory (CORSI). Regarding visuomotor vigilance, our findings diverge from previous evidence. Systematic reviews have reported that 7 out of 914 and 5 out of 6 studies6 identified a link between slower upper-extremity visuomotor speed and increased injury risk, primarily in team sport athletes. Several methodological and participant-related differences may account for this discrepancy. First, the methods used to assess visuomotor reaction time varied. For example, one study12 included in the reviews used the Dynavision Assessment and Training System, which involves standing participants completing reaction time tasks with upper extremity movements combined with visual search. This setup offers higher ecological validity, as it more closely mimics the visuomotor demands of real sports. In contrast, our test involved seated participants responding to visual stimuli on a computer screen via key presses, which requires lower motor demands and may therefore underestimate real-world cognitive–motor challenges. Although some of the other reviewed studies also used PC-based reaction tests in a seated position, most employed the ImPACT neurocognitive test battery, which may differ slightly from the tasks used in our PsyToolkit-based assessments. Second, participant characteristics differed substantially. Prior research primarily involved high school and collegiate athletes in team sports6,14, whereas our sample comprised older, professional male football players. It is possible that those athletes exhibit less variability in basic visuomotor reaction times due to their highly advanced performance levels. However, executive functions—such as cognitive flexibility—may still show meaningful individual differences even at high performance levels, potentially explaining their greater relevance in our findings.

    Regarding visuospatial memory, previous reviews reported mixed findings. Four out of 9 studies14 and 4 out of 6 studies6 examined visual memory (mostly using ImPACT), but only one study (Swanik et al., 2007) in both reviews found a significant relationship with injury risk. Notably, none of these studies used the CORSI test to assess visuospatial memory specifically, limiting direct comparisons. Future research is warranted to determine whether visuospatial memory, as measured by tasks like CORSI, lacks predictive value for injury risk.

    Practical implications and future research

    Based on our study’s results, we cannot recommend integrating cognitive tests into pre-season performance and injury risk screenings for injury prevention in professional men’s football. However, beyond basic cognive processes such as visul perception, our findings provide initial indications of the potential relevance of executive function, specifically cognitive flexibility and set-shifting abilities. Further studies are needed to better understand the prognostic value of executive cognitive function measures before making specific recommendations for injury risk screening. Specifically, prospective studies, including female players and other key predictors such as age and years of playing as well as previous or preseason injuries, are needed to better understand the potential additional prognostic value of basic cognitive and particularly executive function measures. With regard to the outcome variable, we also suggest a more detailed analysis of injury occurrence, including mechanisms (contact vs. non-contact), locations (e.g., lower limbs), severity (e.g., downtimes), number and types of injuries (e.g., ligament sprains or tears), which was not feasible due to the limited sample size.

    The ecological validity of many cognitive assessments—including those used in the present study, which often involve simple button presses performed in a seated position—has been questioned38,39,40,41,42. Such static tests may not adequately reflect the dynamic cognitive–motor demands athletes face in competitive settings, thereby limiting their potential to transfer to real-world performance contexts. Rather than relying on isolated cognitive screenings, practitioners should embed cognitive demands within sport-specific tasks that more accurately reflect real-game conditions. Araujo et al.39,40 emphasized the importance of ecological cognition, highlighting the dynamic interaction between perception, decision-making, and action. Although initial evidence suggests that combining cognitive and motor tasks may enhance transfer to on-field performance43, more ecologically valid approaches are needed. Agility tasks—such as reactive change-of-direction drills, or unplanned landing and cutting tasks that require time-constrained motor reactions to visual cues, as well as dual-task scenarios (e.g., jumping or cutting combined with simultaneous cognitive demands like counting backward or performing a Stroop interference test)44—inherently integrate perceptual, cognitive, and physical demands (e.g. change of direction and velocity45.

    Agility-based training and assessment tasks offer a promising approach by simultaneously targeting concentric and eccentric strength as well as perceptual and cognitive skills46. Both agility and lower extremity strength directly—which are highly related and directly affect acceleration and deceleration cycles in athletes—are critical for team sport performance and may also play a role in injury prevention47. By requiring athletes to quickly perceive visual cues, make rapid decisions, and execute explosive movements, such tasks closely replicate the multifactorial demands of actual game situations. This integrated approach reflects sport-specific challenges more accurately than static, isolated tests. Initial evidence supports the effectiveness of agility-based training in improving sprint speed, change-of-direction ability, reaction time, lower-limb strength, and flexibility in team sport athletes48. Thus, beyond further exploring the injury predictive value of executive functions, research is needed to determine whether more ecologically valid approaches provide added value for injury risk assessment.

    Limitations

    One major advantage of our study is its prospective design, which allows us to quantify the predictive role of various cognitive performance measures on future injury occurrence in professional football players. Another strength is the high homogeneity of the sample, with both groups being similar in key characteristics such as sport, performance level, playing time, and anthropometrics. However, this study is not without limitations: Due to multicollinearity among the various TMT measures, separate regression analyses were necessary, precluding the identification of the single most predictive cognitive outcome within one comprehensive model. Nevertheless, the primary model yielded lower AIC and BIC values, indicating superior parsimony and thereby supporting the chosen analytical approach. Due to the limited sample size, the potential impact of playing positions on cognitive performance was not explored.

    Injury diagnoses were made by each team’s medical staff using their usual procedures in real-world settings, which supports the ecological validity of the data, but these diagnoses were not centrally reviewed or validated by the authors. Although all teams employed licensed professionals and followed standardized definitions22, some variability in diagnostic accuracy and reporting consistency cannot be ruled out. Only musculoskeletal injuries from the observed seasons were reported, leaving the potential impact of head injuries (e.g., concussions) on cognitive performance and injury risk unclear49. Severe primary injuries (e.g., ACL tears) are a significant risk factor for re-injuries50, but since previous injuries were not reported, their influence on injury occurrence remains speculative. We only received the total number of injuries and downtime, so it was unclear how downtime was distributed to players with multiple injuries. This limited our ability to examine the effect of cognitive performance on injury severity. Finally, only four teams provided injury data, meaning the exclusion of potential selection bias and the representativeness of the results for the entire league cannot be guaranteed. Furthermore, our results regarding the relationship between cognitive performance and injury risk may only be partially generalizable to players in other national leagues, as varying performance levels could influence this association. However, when considering injury incidence rates alone, our data appear comparable to those reported in other professional leagues. Lopez-Valenciano et al.2 demonstrated that injury incidence in the top five European leagues does not significantly differ from that in other countries’ professional leagues. Additionally, we acknowledge limitations including the lack of data on injury type, mechanism, and history (e.g., ACL reconstruction), which could act as confounding variables influencing results and should be considered in future research.

    A post-hoc sensitivity analysis based on effect sizes from comparable studies (e.g., Swanik et al., 200751 suggests that a sample of approximately 128 participants would be required to reliably detect medium effects (Cohen’s d = ~ 0.5, Alpha = 0.05, power = 0.80). Our sample of 78 players may therefore have limited statistical power to detect such effects.

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  • India dogged by Trump spotlight on Russian oil

    India dogged by Trump spotlight on Russian oil

    This article is an on-site version of the India Business Briefing newsletter. To receive it in your inbox regularly, sign up if you’re a premium subscriber, or upgrade your subscription here.

    Good morning. There is no dearth of drama in this country. The monsoon session of parliament closed yesterday with the house in uproar over last-minute legislation that would allow the government to remove elected senior officials who have been arrested over criminal charges. In a country where the average legal case takes between five to 15 years for resolution, removing elected representatives from their posts before they are convicted can be a dangerously undemocratic tool.   

    In today’s newsletter, we take a look at the other big surprise the government pulled this week: a death knell for online games that involve real money. But first the Russian oil situation, which seems to have divided the world — with India at the centre. 


    Russian roulette

    Is Russian oil the new trade deal? It’s beginning to look that way, if the amount of newsprint dedicated to the subject is anything to go by. Reports suggest New Delhi has now restored its oil procurement from Moscow after a brief dip in July, and placed advance orders for the next two months. Russia’s charge d’affaires Roman Babushkin told the press on Wednesday that oil exports to India are expected to continue at similar levels “despite the political situation”. He also expressed hope of trilateral talks soon between India, China and Russia. Meanwhile, external affairs minister S Jaishankar is in Moscow, urging Russian companies to deepen their engagement with India and seeking solutions to address the trade imbalance between the two countries, since India is now a major importer.

    In the US, the narrative continues to be one of punishing India for buying Russian oil, without addressing any of the related contradictions in that position. Earlier this week, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt called the 25 per cent additional tariff on India “sanctions”, a punitive term usually reserved for states seen by the US as threats or rivals. Peter Navarro, Trump’s trade adviser, accused India of funding Russia’s war in Ukraine in a piece for the FT. His commentary was so bereft of logic it gave me a headache. 

    The US position does not mention other countries that buy Russian oil, most notably China, the largest customer. Nor does it address Europe’s procurement of Russia’s pipeline gas, or the US’s own purchase of fertilisers and uranium from Russia. To India, this inconsistency in the Trump administration’s stance indicates that the real issue is not the country’s crude oil procurement strategy, but fallout from stalled trade talks and a cooling of personal ties between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the US president.

    For now, India seems to be digging in its heels and pivoting towards China and Russia, to somehow make up the missing numbers from trade with the US. This is a reflection of both the challenges of dealing with Trump’s whimsy as well as the sign of a failed diplomatic strategy by India. (Within India, the government’s stance of not bending to Trump’s wishes is a narrative that has not had as many fans as I thought it would.)

    What does the future hold? In the short to medium term, all options are wobbly. Neither China nor Russia are strong allies for India, even if all three countries face a common problem in Trump. India is not going to back down from Russian oil until the terms of a US trade deal are finalised. The additional 25 per cent will hit next Wednesday. For now, both sides are holding firm, waiting for the other to blink first. It’s a fool’s game to pick a winner here.

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    2. Tech stocks slipped as investors rotate towards defensive sectors

    3. Uday Kotak has called for support to counter the US tariff “shock”. 

    4. Design software developer Canva is valued at $42bn as IPO rumours swirl. 

    5. This Japanese city is betting on immigrants to breathe life into its economy.

    6. The world’s most wonderful places of worship.

    Join 250+ policymakers, industry executives and investors at the Energy Transition Summit India on September 16 and 17 in New Delhi. Register for a free digital pass here or enjoy 20 per cent off your in-person pass here.

    Game over

     A user checks the Dream11 application of the Indian Premier League cricket tournament, on his mobile phone in New Delhi
    All online and mobile games that involve real money have been delegitimised by this new bill © AFP via Getty Images

    In one fell swoop, the government has threatened the very existence of online games that deal with real money. Both Houses passed a new regulation with a voice vote, and the bill now goes to the president for approval. 

    In the bill, the government said such games have led to serious social, financial, psychological and public health harms, especially to young people and the financially disadvantaged. The games were linked to unlawful activities including money laundering and financial fraud, and called out for using addictive algorithms and aggressive marketing techniques. The new law targets all parties involved — developers of such games, celebrities and influencers who promote them and financial institutions who process gaming transactions will all face hefty fines and even jail time. The ban also extends to offshore entities, closing a loophole that some developers had used in the past.

    Both the sudden emergence of the bill and the tightly worded provisions in it took operators by surprise. Efforts to regulate the industry had until now treated games that required skill differently from those that involved only luck, but the new legislation has done away with this distinction and delegitimised both kinds of games. Several large gaming companies are already in court battling a Rs1.2tn ($14bn) retrospective tax bill. The ban not only questions the fundamental existence of companies such as Dream11, which commands a valuation of $8bn, but also has a network impact on the economy. 

    The gaming industry itself is expected to expand to $9.2bn by 2029 and is a growing contributor to government coffers. Just last September, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman was talking about a 422 per cent annual growth in tax collected from online games, which the government will now lose. These companies are also some of the biggest advertisers both online and on television, spending an estimated $2bn a year.  

    I reached out to a few industry players, who expressed shock about the bill and are weighing next steps, including potentially shifting to an ad-based or subscription revenue model. Operators have also flagged that the new rules will only move the action to the grey market. By the government’s own estimates, some 450mn Indians play these games; at least some of them will find a way to continue despite the law. Some in the industry have lobbied the government by stressing the jobs and tax revenue at stake, but their efforts have been in vain. The sudden regulation is a further blow to what is now becoming a regular bugbear in this newsletter — the ease of doing business. A stable legislative environment is a basic ask, one that has not been provided to these companies.

    But, on the user side, the picture is more complex. For the upper classes, who can afford to lose money in these games, the ban is indicative of an ever-expanding nanny state. For the poor, who now have easy access to mobile phones and data plans but may not have the savvy to understand the dynamics of online gambling or the money to pay for it, this law is a necessary protection. My view on the subject differs depending on which of these Indias I am thinking about, and the existence of several Indias is a perennial difficulty for Indian policymakers and commentators alike. 

    Do you think the government is right in outlawing all games that involve real money? Hit reply or email me at [email protected].

    Go figure

    HSBC’s flash survey for August showed the highest ever growth in India’s private sector since the survey began in 2005. The index tracks monthly changes in combined output across manufacturing and services. Manufacturing growth and international demand were strong during the month, but it was the service sector that broke records. Here are some key figures from the index.

    Read, hear, watch

    I watched Outrageous on the BBC Player on Prime Video. It’s an excellent series about the Mitfords, an aristocratic family with six daughters (and a son) who became famous in the 1930s. One sister married the British fascist leader Oswald Mosley, another was an ardent defender of Adolf Hitler. One was a staunch communist, two of them were writers. With endless arguments and fights, as well as balls and dances and hunting parties, the show is Downton Abbey with a generous dose of pre-world war two reality. 

    I also highly recommend this episode of the London Review of Books podcast, which married my two big loves — books and tennis. Give it a whirl.

    Buzzer round

    The sales of which product, named after a famous actress, helped this company briefly overtake LVMH to become the world’s most valuable luxury corporation by market valuation earlier this year?

    Send your answer to [email protected] and check Tuesday’s newsletter to see if you were the first one to get it right. Note: This question has been edited for clarity.

    Quick answer

    On Tuesday, we asked you to keep the ethics of it aside for a minute and tell us if the permanent relocation of stray dogs to shelters was a practical solution? Here too, we couldn’t find a consensus. Looks like it’s pretty evenly divided.


    Thank you for reading. India Business Briefing is edited by Tee Zhuo. Please send feedback, suggestions (and gossip) to [email protected].

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  • Eating disorder symptoms in teens can be traced back to family hardship, new study shows

    Eating disorder symptoms in teens can be traced back to family hardship, new study shows

    Eating disorders can affect anybody, no matter their age, gender, ethnicity, socioeconomic status or body size. Yet the myth that eating disorders are “diseases of affluence” persists, and can mean those from wealthier backgrounds are more likely to receive a diagnosis and be able to access treatment.

    In fact, people who experience socioeconomic disadvantage may be more at risk of developing eating disorder symptoms, such as excessive dieting, fasting or binge eating.

    A new study from the United Kingdom followed 7,824 children, roughly half male and half female, from birth to 18 years. It found those born into financial hardship were more likely than others to later experience eating disorder symptoms as teens.

    This means the stereotype that eating disorders only affect the rich is simply not true. And it shows we need to better understand the risk for children from lower-income families, so we can recognise and treat their symptoms earlier.

    What the study looked at

    Previous research has shown eating disorders can affect people from all socioeconomic backgrounds, not just those with higher economic status. But this new study is one of the first to show deprivation in childhood could be a risk factor for eating disorder symptoms in adolescence.

    This new large, long-term study collected data from thousands of people over an 18-year period to investigate the impact of social and financial hardship.

    Researchers looked at parents’ education, job type and where they lived. They also examined income, which was split into five groups from low to high. These were more aspects of social studies than previous research had considered.

    To assess financial hardship, mothers rated how much they struggled to afford daily expenses such as food, heating, clothing, rent and baby items. They used a scale from 0-15, with higher scores indicating greater hardship.

    When the children grew up to be teenagers, researchers assessed eating disorder symptoms in all the young people across the study.

    Patterns of disordered eating included excessive dieting, binge eating, vomiting or using laxatives to get rid of food, and fasting. The teens were also asked how they felt about their bodies – for example, how satisfied they were with their appearance, weight and shape.

    What the study found

    Eating disorder symptoms were higher in young people aged 14–18 whose parents had suffered greater financial hardship when they were babies. For patterns of disordered eating, this meant a 6% higher likelihood for every one point increase between 0 and 15 on the financial-hardship scale.

    The study also found teens whose parents completed less formal education (meaning only compulsory schooling) were 80% more likely to experience disordered eating patterns than those whose parents went to university. For teens with parents in the lowest fifth and fourth income band, the risk was 34–35% higher than those in the top band of income.

    These results are different to other studies on eating disorders, because they show people from low socioeconomic backgrounds have a higher chance of developing eating disorder symptoms.

    The researchers suggest this difference may be because other studies only included participants with a diagnosis or who have sought help. Research has shown those experiencing financial hardship are less likely to be formally diagnosed or access treatment.

    While this study is impressive in its size and results, it has a few limitations. Only around half the participants (55.9%) completed the full study, which may have affected the results.

    Among those who did complete the study, some of their data was missing. This may also have influenced the findings.

    The study also did not measure whether young people had a diagnosed eating disorder – only whether they had symptoms.

    So, it may have captured a wider range of eating disorder experiences, including from those who wouldn’t seek formal support. But it means more research is needed to understand the link between socioeconomic status and formal diagnosis.

    What does this mean?

    People who are born into financial hardship may be more likely to struggle with disordered eating and body image issues in their teenage years than those who are not.

    This not only debunks the stereotype that eating disorders occur only in people from affluent backgrounds, it shows disadvantage can be a risk factor.

    The study sheds light on the inequalities and barriers in recognising and treating eating disorders.

    Rates of people seeking help for an eating disorder are already low – and even lower among people from disadvantaged backgrounds.

    The researchers suggested this could be because people from lower socioeconomic backgrounds may also believe eating disorders mainly affect people from wealthier backgrounds.

    Another reason may be that lower income is linked to higher rates of obesity and being overweight, and this might limit referrals for eating disorder symptoms.

    Eating disorders not associated with thinness, such as bulimia and binge eating disorder, are often less visible and go undetected.

    Better education about eating disorders – in schools and for families and health-care professionals – may help us recognise and treat them earlier.

    But treatment also needs to be more affordable. In Australia, people can access eating disorder treatment sessions under Medicare, but this typically still involves a gap fee which can be up to A$100 or more, depending on the service. More no- or low-cost services are needed to reach everyone who needs them.

    If you have a history of an eating disorder or suspect you may have one, you can contact the Butterfly Foundation’s national helpline on 1800 334 673 (or via their online chat).

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  • ‘Total sperm count going down worldwide’

    ‘Total sperm count going down worldwide’

    Experts have urged swift action to address the impact of plastic additives on declining sperm counts and fertility rates worldwide, The Guardian reports.

    What’s happening?

    Earlier this month, a sixth round of United Nations-convened talks to address the plastics crisis fell apart.

    Since 2022, countries have worked to reach an agreement on a legally binding plastic treaty facilitated by the U.N. Plastic production relies on fossil fuels, and oil-producing nations, such as the United States, have resisted proposed caps on manufacturing.

    As tense treaty negotiations persisted, a second, perhaps seemingly unrelated, issue remained in the news: rapidly dwindling fertility rates. 

    In June, the BBC covered a report from the United Nations Population Fund, concerning “an unprecedented decline” in rates of reproduction. It focused in part on socioeconomic challenges to birth rates, but scientists say these aren’t the only contributing factors.

    Shanna Swan, a professor at the Icahn School of Medicine in New York City, has been investigating links between environmental conditions and reproductive issues for years.







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    She told The Guardian that a notable decline in sperm counts can be attributed “largely, but not entirely … to toxins in the environment that have the ability to interfere with steroid hormones.”

    With such chemicals found in many plastics, the publication noted that average sperm counts have fallen “at a rate of about 1% a year for the past 50 years,” with human fertility more broadly shown to be “diminishing at a similar rate.” 

    Swan emphasized that sperm counts haven’t been dropping steadily, though — the decrease has appeared to be accelerating.

    “If you looked at all of the studies going back to 1973 you [would] see a 1% per year decline. But if you look at studies published after 2000, you see an over 2% decline,” she explained.

    In the UNFPA’s June report on fertility rates, the organization emphasized global instability and the rising cost of living as two factors influencing voluntary reproduction. It also identified “fear for the future,” including climate concerns, to be a reason cited by 19 percent of survey respondents as figuring into family planning decisions. 

    Meanwhile, environmental issues seem to be playing another role in the matter.

    Swan noted that additives used to soften plastic (phthalates) and harden it (bisphenols) are known endocrine disruptors. “Phthalates lower testosterone and the bisphenols increase estrogen,” she told The Guardian. Past research from Swan and her colleagues also found that prenatal exposure to phthalates could impact the development of the male reproductive tract, leading to lower sperm counts later in life.

    “When you see that total sperm count going down worldwide, what I believe is you’re seeing an important effect of early exposure to these chemicals,” she concluded.

    What’s being done about it?

    As a part of its fertility report, the UNFPA recommended improving equitable access to “comprehensive reproductive health services,” which could include care that takes environmental research and factors into account.

    And while the U.N.’s plastic treaty efforts have yet to result in an agreement, contacting lawmakers to demand action that curbs plastic production globally is one way to address the issue. 

    Consumers voting with their dollars can help too. At an individual level, using less plastic and replacing one’s most-used items with plastic-free alternatives could reduce direct exposure to endocrine-disrupting chemicals.

    Join our free newsletter for weekly updates on the latest innovations improving our lives and shaping our future, and don’t miss this cool list of easy ways to help yourself while helping the planet.


    Cool Divider

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  • Lil Nas X Arrested for Battery of a Police Officer

    Lil Nas X Arrested for Battery of a Police Officer

    The artist was hospitalized for a possible overdose after charging at officers on Thursday morning

    Lil Nas X was arrested Thursday morning in Los Angeles, according L.A. County Sheriff inmate records. He is being held at the L.A. Police Department’s Valley Jail section in Van Nuys.

    The Grammy-winning rapper, whose real name is Montero Lamar Hill, was hospitalized for a possible overdose after charging at officers in Studio City on Thursday morning. Hill was handcuffed before being transported to a local hospital.

    In a video shared by TMZ, the 26-year-old was filmed walking on Ventura Boulevard in his underwear and a pair of white cowboy boots, incoherently speaking to the person taping him.

    “Upon arrival, the suspect charged at officers and was taken into custody,” the LAPD told USA Today, although they did not identify the suspect at the time. “He was transported to a local hospital for a possible overdose and placed under arrest for Battery on a Police Officer.” Officer Drake Madison later confirmed to the outlet that the incident was related to Hill’s arrest.

    A rep for Lil Nas X did not immediately respond to Rolling Stone‘s request for comment.

    Prior to the arrest, Lil Nas X had dropped a series of bizarre posts on his Instagram page, after deleting all earlier posts two days before. On Wednesday, he shared unreleased music alongside mirror selfies, his art, and piles of junk in what appears to be his home. His display name had been updated to “QUEEN MADELINE.”

    Trending Stories

    This is the second reported hospitalization for the artist this year. In April, Hill posted a video from a hospital bed this April, saying he had suffered from partial facial paralysis. The rapper never shared publicly what caused the incident.

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  • The green room

    The green room


    Out this week

    COMING SOON

    Albums

    Don’t Click Play by Ava Max: Third album by the American singer; follows her sophomore release Diamonds & Dancefloors (2023); includes the singles ‘Lost Your Faith’, ‘Lovin Myself’, and ‘Wet, Hot American Dream’.

    STAR

    Dua Lipa

    The green room

    * Born on 22 August 1995 in London, England to Kosovo Albanian parents.

    * Is the eldest child; has a sister, Rina, and a brother, Gjin. 

    * Started singing at a young age.

    * Was musically inspired by her father who was in a Kosovan rock band.

    * Signed a modelling contract before switching her focus towards music.

    * Released her eponymous debut album in 2017 which includes the songs ‘Be the One’, ‘IDGAF’, and the chart-topping ‘New Rules’.

    * Has since released two more albums: Future Nostalgia (2020) and Radical Optimism (2024).

    * Has also appeared in the movies Barbie (2023) and Argylle (2024).

    * Is engaged to actor Callum Turner.

    Movies

    The green room

    * Eden (starring Jude Law, Vanessa Kirby, Daniel Brühl, Sydney Sweeney, Ana de Armas) – survival thriller, based on a true story; a group of outsiders settle on a remote island with harsh climate and deadly wildlife but realize that their greatest threat is each other.

    * Eenie Meanie (starring Samara Weaving, Karl Glusman, Steve Zahn, Andy García) – heist thriller; a former getaway driver (Weaving) must return for another heist in order to save her ex-boyfriend.

    * Honey Don’t! (starring Margaret Qualley, Aubrey Plaza, Chris Evans, Charlie Day) – dark comedy; a small-town private detective (Qualley) investigates a woman’s death tied to a cult.

    * Afterburn (starring Dave Bautista, Samuel L. Jackson, Olga Kurylenko, Kristofer Hivju) -sci-fi action, based on the Red 5 Comics series; a decade after a solar flare destroyed the Earth’s technology, an ex-soldier (Bautista) tries to find pre-flare objects for powerful clients.

    SPOTLIGHT

    The Bad Guys 2

    The green room

    Cast: Sam Rockwell, Marc Maron, Awkwafina, Craig Robinson, Anthony Ramos, Zazie Beetz, Alex Borstein, Richard Ayoade, Lilly Singh, Danielle Brooks, Natasha Lyonne, and Maria Bakalova 

    Director: Pierre Perifel

    Tagline: Back in badness.

    * Animated adventure; the now-reformed Bad Guys are pulled out of retirement and have to join forces with an all-female criminal squad to perform one last heist.

    * Sequel to The Bad Guys (2022).

    * Has grossed US$94 million on a $80 million budget.

    * Has received positive reviews, with critics finding the film fun but predictable and not as good as the original. 

    *  Score composed by Daniel Pemberton.

    * Is likely to be followed by a sequel as a third film in the series is being planned.

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