Category: 3. Business

  • Uptick in domestic travel, dry summer helped draw more tourists to Cape Breton

    Uptick in domestic travel, dry summer helped draw more tourists to Cape Breton

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    A mild spring, dry summer and comfortable fall helped contribute to a banner year for tourism operators in Cape Breton.

    Destination Cape Breton CEO Terry Smith says an increase in domestic travellers and free museum admission were also factors that made 2025 one of the most profitable years on record for the island’s tourism industry.

    That success was reflected in the numbers at Highland Village Museum in Iona, N.S., which saw an increase in visitors of about 10 per cent compared to 2024, representing its best season since pandemic restrictions halted the industry.

    “We welcomed over 30,000 visitors through our doors, which is a fairly decent increase from last year,” said Melissa Blunden, executive director of the outdoor living history museum that celebrates Scottish Gaelic culture in Nova Scotia.

    Blunden said the museum saw a large uptick in visitors from the Atlantic provinces and from across Canada, with the hot summer weather providing tourists with more opportunity to experience Highland Village. 

    Americans visiting despite tensions

    Roughly 1,500 people visited the museum during the 64th annual Highland Village day concert on Aug. 2, which Blunden said was also the busiest day across the province for museums in Nova Scotia. 

    With ongoing diplomatic tensions between Canada and the United States, many Canadians decided to stay close to home this year, but Smith said island tourism operators reported that Americans were still eager to visit the Maritimes, and specifically Cape Breton.

    Highland Village had a healthy number of visitors from the U.S., Blunden said, and also saw large numbers from across Europe, especially during the fall.

    Statistics Canada indicated that U.S. visitors to Canada slid by 10 per cent in June. While region-wide data won’t be released to the public until early next year, Smith said early signs from Cape Breton operators point to strong numbers.

    “What we’re hearing from operators is that we wouldn’t say there was an increase in American visitors, but it seems that it was holding its own,” he said. “So Americans were definitely still considering Cape Breton Island as a destination to visit.”

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  • Will ‘guest beer’ rules support small Scottish breweries ?

    Will ‘guest beer’ rules support small Scottish breweries ?

    “It’s fluctuating, and it’s been hard the last couple of years,” says Vinny Rosario, founder of Moonwake Beer Co. in Leith.

    He is part of one of the roughly 150 small, independent breweries in Scotland.

    They’re all included in new rules that can see independent breweries have their products sold at “tenant pubs”, those owned by breweries but run by external people.

    So how are the “guest beer” rules working for breweries like his?

    Since July 2025 when they were introduced, it has been a mixed bag.

    “There are a lot of breweries in Scotland, but there are also a lot of beer drinkers,” says Vinny.

    “On an average week, we make 7,000 to 10,000 litres of beer.”

    He believes there is a place for the smaller players, but admits it is hard to compete with the biggest brands.

    “They have more market access; they own pubs or lines.”

    For Vinny, the new rules haven’t made too much difference.

    “There was a lot of hope and hype, but pubs can be disincentivised by their landlords.

    “There’s a lot of red tape, so they don’t want any more added to their bottom line,” he says.

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  • UK and Germany sign £52m contract for cutting-edge artillery

    UK and Germany sign £52m contract for cutting-edge artillery

    • State-of-the-art military artillery that can move at speeds of up to 100km/h secured under £52 million contract.
    • Joint deal speeds up delivery of military kit to both the UK and Germany – demonstrating deepening defence cooperation.
    • Partnership strengthens NATO capabilities of collective defence – strengthening interoperability.

    Military artillery that can fire on the move and hit targets 70km away has been secured under a major £52 million contract between the UK and Germany.

    The deal means the UK will receive a cutting-edge Early Capability Demonstrator (ECD) platform of the RCH 155, with two more going to Germany for joint testing.

    This joint procurement demonstrates deepening defence cooperation between the UK and Germany under the Trinity House agreement signed in October 2024 – a landmark defence agreement that committed both nations to military collaboration.

    RCH 155 is a long-term solution for the British Army’s Mobile Fires Platform requirement. Soldiers currently operate the 14 Archer artillery systems, which are the short-term replacement for the AS90 guns gifted to Ukraine.

    The RCH 155 is mounted on to a BOXER armoured vehicle and it can:

    • Fire 8 rounds per minute while moving at speeds up to 100km/h.
    • Hit targets in any direction without repositioning.
    • Travel 700km without refuelling – similar to the driving distance from Cornwall to Newcastle.
    • Operate with only 2 crew members thanks to cutting-edge automation.

    Unlike traditional artillery that needs to stop and set up before firing, this system shoots while on the move, making it faster and harder for adversaries to target.

    Minister for Defence Readiness and Industry, Luke Pollard MP said:

    The British Army will soon have new artillery that can fire on the move. This builds on lessons from Ukraine enabling our Army to hit targets 70km away and move fast away from returning fire so they can fire again.

    The war in Ukraine has demonstrated the importance of being able to fire rapidly and move, and it is such lessons that are informing our procurement decisions and helping us deliver on the Strategic Defence Review.

    As part of the contract, the UK and Germany will share test data and facilities, ensuring both nations get world-class equipment. This means both nations are accelerating procurement timelines whilst reducing costs – delivering better value for taxpayers and enhanced capability for both Armed Forces.

    Edward Cutts, Senior Responsible Owner of Mobile Fires in the Army, said:

    This joint demonstrator programme exemplifies the strength and ambition of the Trinity House Agreement. By working hand-in-hand with Germany, we’re not only accelerating the delivery of world-class artillery capability for the British Army, but doing so more efficiently and cost-effectively than either nation could achieve alone.

    The RCH 155 represents a step-change in mobile artillery – combining devastating firepower with the ability to rapidly reposition. This collaboration ensures our soldiers will be equipped with cutting-edge technology whilst strengthening the interoperability between UK and German forces that is vital to NATO’s collective defence.

    The contract agreement supports the Strategic Defence Review – ensuring defence is an engine for growth in this parliament and supporting skilled jobs across the UK defence industry.

    The deal strengthens military ties between the UK and Germany – vital for NATO’s collective defence as global threats on the world stage evolve.

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  • Abu Dhabi Finance Week 2025 (ADFW) sets records as world’s most influential financial event – مكتب أبوظبي الإعلامي

    1. Abu Dhabi Finance Week 2025 (ADFW) sets records as world’s most influential financial event  مكتب أبوظبي الإعلامي
    2. ABGM Attracts 11 Global Institutions Managing Over $9T in Assets  cairoscene.com
    3. Vanar and Worldpay Take the Stage at Abu Dhabi Finance Week to Advance Agentic Payments  Crypto Reporter
    4. Ubuntu Tribe CEO Mamadou Toure joins global finance leaders at Abu Dhabi Finance Week (ADFW)  Condia

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  • Former Wessex Water boss received £170,000 bonus despite ban on performance pay | Executive pay and bonuses

    Former Wessex Water boss received £170,000 bonus despite ban on performance pay | Executive pay and bonuses

    The former chief executive of Wessex Water received a £170,000 bonus from its parent company last year despite a ban on performance-related pay after criminal pollution failures on his watch.

    Colin Skellett received a total of £693,000 in pay from the water company’s Malaysian-owned parent company, YTL Utilities (UK), including the bonus, according to its accounts up to June 2025.

    The bonus prompted strong criticism from the Liberal Democrats, which said it showed that the government’s bonus ban was “nowhere near strong enough”.

    Wessex was banned from paying bonuses for the year after it was criminally convicted in November 2024 for a sewage pumping station failure six years earlier, which killed more than 2,000 fish and resulted in the company paying a fine of £500,000. In June the government banned bonuses covering the 2024-25 financial year for the chief executives and finance bosses of Wessex and five other companies. Wessex received another £11m fine last month over more sewage failures.

    However, the water industry regulator, Ofwat, said that Skellett was able to retain the bonus under the law, because it was related to a different part of the parent company’s business. YTL is developing housing, offices and an arena in an area north of Bristol known as Brabazon.

    A spokesperson for Wessex and YTL said that the bonus “entirely relates to his new role and was entirely funded by YTL. In his new role Colin is responsible for YTL UK group businesses including the development of Brabazon New Town”.

    The large pay packets for water company bosses have become controversial in recent years amid widespread outrage over sewage leaking into Britain’s rivers and seas.

    Wessex Water paid Skellett £157,000 for three months’ work from July to September 2024, when he stepped down as chief executive after 36 years in charge. However, Skellett stayed on as chief executive of the parent company, and continues to draw a large salary.

    Despite Wessex Water describing his YTL job as a “new role”, Skellett has been a director of YTL Utilities (UK) since May 2002. In the last decade alone he has received £8.4m in pay for that job – including £3.4m in bonuses, according to the accounts for the business, which is the highest UK-registered company in the corporate structure. That is double the £4.2m he received in the same decade for his apparently separate but much more prominent job running Wessex Water Services – putting his total pay at £12.6m over 10 years.

    MPs and Ofwat have already raised questions over the lack of transparency over payments to water bosses from other group companies. The Guardian in August revealed that the boss of Yorkshire Water, Nicola Shaw, had received £1.3m in undisclosed extra pay via an offshore company. Shaw was also allowed to keep the pay, after Ofwat determined it was not a performance-related bonus.

    Earlier this month Shaw told the BBC that it had been a “mistake” for Yorkshire Water to hide the payments, although she would not commit to refusing the extra pay in the future.

    “I do understand that we need to be transparent because people need to trust us. We’re providing the water and taking away the wastewater for them in Yorkshire and they need to trust us,” she said.

    The Guardian’s reporting prompted Ofwat to consult on changes to force water companies to reveal pay from other companies in the same group from next year.

    Anna Sabine, the Liberal Democrat MP for Frome and East Somerset, said: “For far too long, water company fat cats have been taking huge bonuses for pouring filthy sewage into our rivers.

    “It is absolutely disgusting that the chief executive receive any kind of bonus after Wessex Water’s reckless and blatant disregard for nature, and even more disgusting that Ofwat allowed them to accept it on a technicality. The government needs to get far tougher with these water companies to end the sewage scandal, and put a full stop to bonuses until they do.”

    A YTL spokesperson denied that the bonus was a “technicality”, saying it related to the nine months after Skellett stepped down from Wessex Water.

    Ofwat itself is due to be abolished and replaced with a new regulator, with a government white paper setting out its new plans for the water expected in January.

    A chart showing the structure of the YTL group’s companies in Jersey, Malaysia and the Cayman Islands, as well as the UK businesses that include Wessex Water.

    Wessex Water was bought in 2002 by Malaysian group YTL, which was founded by the late billionaire businessman Yeoh Tion Lay. YTL, which is ultimately controlled by a company based in Jersey, bought Wessex Water from Enron, a US energy trading firm that collapsed because of an enormous fraud. Skellett stayed on as chief executive until last year.

    YTL Utilities (UK) describes Wessex Water as its “principal subsidiary”. The vast majority of its £1bn revenues in the year to June came from water-related business. That included £653m from Wessex Water, and £240m from Water2Business, a joint venture with South West Water owner Pennon Group. However, YTL Utilities (UK) also made a £1.6m profit on £110m in revenues from the property development.

    Skellett’s YTL pay packet for the last financial year was essentially unchanged from the £691,000 he received in the 2024 financial year, on top of his £313,000 total pay for Wessex Water. He received the same £170,000 bonus in 2024 – pushing his total pay for that year above £1m.

    A spokesperson for the environment department said the government had imposed “the toughest enforcement framework the sector has ever seen”, and added: “For the first time, we introduced criminal liability for water bosses who cover up illegal sewage spills, and the power to ban unfair bonuses – which resulted in £4m in bonuses for 10 water bosses being blocked this summer. We expect water companies to follow both the letter and spirit of the law.”

    An Ofwat spokesperson said: “The new rule on executive performance-related pay is already having a positive impact – we have blocked more than £4m of potential bonuses in 2024-25.

    “Wessex Water did not award any performance-related pay for its regulated activity. The payment to its former CEO was outside the scope of the rule as it was awarded for work not related to the regulated company.

    “Transparency matters for customers and the public. For next financial year we are proposing an update to water company annual reporting to include more transparent disclosures on remuneration.”

    The government’s environment department was approached for comment.

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  • North East super donors urge others to give to boost blood stocks

    North East super donors urge others to give to boost blood stocks

    Just two per cent of the population keep the nation’s blood stocks afloat by donating regularly, NHSBT said.

    Andrew Bruce, 58, a fire safety adviser from West Auckland in County Durham, is a super donors who donates blood, stem cells, plasma and platelets.

    He said he was almost at his 99th donation and that even though stem cell donation was painful he would “definitely do it again”.

    “It’s a few hours of pain to give someone the chance of life or to extend their life,” he said.

    Plasma donations, used to create immunoglobulin medicines, only take about 30 to 40 minutes and Mr Bruce said the experience was not “unpleasant”.

    “It’s really easy to do and there is a real need out there for more donors.” he added.

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  • ‘Adoption matters at Christmas more than ever’

    ‘Adoption matters at Christmas more than ever’

    In the UK, 2,940 children are waiting to be adopted with a family – with 1,430 of those waiting more than 18 months since entering care.

    Adoption agency Adoption Focus said there is a shortfall of around 1,525 adoptive families.

    The agency said each statistic represents a child spending yet another Christmas without the one thing they need most – belonging.

    Gail was adopted at three weeks old, with no knowledge of her background and the couple said they wanted to provide a loving home to a child in need.

    John said: “We adopted with a voluntary agency because they are independent not for profit organisations.

    “Their focus is purely on finding the best outcome for children and they have supported us all the way.”

    He said the process was comprehensive, including a four-day preparation training course, followed by a six month home study period with weekly visits from a social worker.

    “Every aspect of our lives was explored. The process was very thorough, but not intrusive”, added John.

    Anna Sharkey, CEO of Adoption Focus, said fewer people are coming forward to explore the adoption process due to a persistent belief that adoption is a long, difficult, and invasive process.

    She said: “There’s an adoption crisis happening quietly in the background of our society and it’s not being talked about enough.

    “These are children who have already experienced loss, trauma, and instability, and they deserve the chance of a permanent, loving home.”

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  • Beef farming in 2026 – a forecast – Teagasc

    Beef farming in 2026 – a forecast – Teagasc

    Driven largely by tight supplies, export demand and higher prices, Irish beef farmers are finishing 2025 in a stronger position than ever before. But what does the outlook for 2026 look like?

    This topic was broached by Jason Loughrey, Research Economist at Teagasc, who reviewed the performance of the Irish beef sector in 2025 and provided a forecast for 2026 at the recent Teagasc Outlook 2026 Conference.

    Estimates for the 2025 season, as shared by Jason Loughrey and based on analysis with Kevin Hanrahan, Head of Rural Economy and Development Programme, show that gross margins on single suckling and cattle finishing farms are estimated to rise by 126% and 23%, respectively in 2025. The extent of the rise witnessed on cattle finishing farms was somewhat dampened by the higher prices paid for stock once finishers returned to the marketplace to restock; weanling prices increased by 70%, whereas store cattle prices climbed by 60% this year. Overall, across the cattle rearing and cattle finishing farms, net margins for 2025 are estimated to be €837/ha and €457/ha, respectively, in 2025.

    Jason Loughrey

    Jason Loughrey

    Looking ahead to next year, Jason Loughrey explained: “2025 has been a very good year, but there is always difficulty in forecasting forward.”

    As a major buyer of Irish beef, he explained that assessing performance of the UK market is essential when providing a forecast for the year ahead. In 2025, this market accounted for 43% of Irish beef export volumes, followed by France at 12% and the Netherlands at 8%. Of note was that beef production had declined 4.3% in the UK in the first 10 months of 2025, while overall beef production across the EU was 3.9% lower in the EU in the January to August period 2025 versus 2024.

    “UK beef production is forecast to decline by 1-2% next year. Irish finished prime cattle are expected to decline by 4%, so a continued tightness in both markets is forecast for next year,” he explained.

    “Given the signals from the marketplace, we are forecasting a 5% increase in finished cattle prices over the average price received in 2025, along with a 3% increase in store cattle prices, while total costs are expected to increase by 1%.  Overall, this is forecast to result in gross margins increasing on finishing cattle farms by 16%.

    “Considering the risks faced by finishers, we would probably expect some reversal in weanling prices relative to what we have observed this year. Taking that into account, along with a 1% increase in the total cost of production, we’re forecasting a decrease in average gross margin of about 5% on cattle rearing farms,” Jason Loughrey explained.

    Provided the output prices and costs align with the forecast, he added: “We are looking at margins well above historical averages and probably some convergence between the margins witnessed between single suckling and cattle finishing enterprises.

    “While single suckling was well ahead of cattle finishing this year on the average margin, you’re probably looking at some narrowing of the gap in 2026.”

    For the year ahead, Teagasc economists are forecasting an average net margin of €767/ha on single suckling farms and €616/ha on cattle finishing farms.

    For further insights and information, view the full Situation and Outlook for Irish Agriculture 2026 here.

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  • Wealthy ‘Silver Spenders’ are now driving investment opportunities

    Wealthy ‘Silver Spenders’ are now driving investment opportunities

    The growing wealth and enhanced spending power of the over-50s is poised to accelerate a range of investment opportunities across multiple sectors in the U.K., according to investors.

    Market pros say this age group — dubbed the “Grey Pound” or “Silver Spenders” — is gaining greater control over its assets. With greater wealth and more discretionary income, a larger chunk of this demographic is increasingly seen as the new “idle rich.”

    Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell, said that the over-50s were an increasingly influential demographic within the consumer space.

    “Those still working might be well advanced in their career, paid off their mortgage, and have lots of disposable cash. They might have worked hard for decades and feel like they deserve to splash the cash,” Coatsworth told CNBC.

    “Those in retirement might be in the generation that received generous defined benefit pension schemes and collect a tidy sum to fund an extravagant lifestyle,” he added.

    Coatsworth said the group wants to protect as much of their wealth as they can from taxation, which means seeking advice on tax, investments, and general financial planning.

    Compounding assets

    Alyx Wood, co-founder and chief investment officer at Kernow Asset Management, said there was a clear subset of winners and losers within this cohort.

    Day-to-day life for “a lot of” them is still “quite tough and normal,” but there are others who are “just absolutely nailing it in terms of compounding their assets,” he said.

    This latter wealthier segment is developing an appetite for luxury goods “that they’ve never had before,” as well as for “higher-end” wealth management and insurance services.

    These customers are increasingly seeking out “content, story, getting involved, a purpose” that extends beyond traditional passive returns, Wood added.

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    Hiscox.

    He highlighted names like insurance group Hiscox and privately-owned wealth managers Evelyn Partners as potential winners as older consumers turn to certain premium wealth management and insurance products.

    “The banks are trying to buy back into the wealth management industry,” said Wood, pointing to the reported interest in Evelyn Partners from NatWest Group and Barclays as private equity owners Permira and Warburg Pincus seek to exit. “I expect you’ll see a few of those.”

    Wood, a contrarian stock picker whose hedge fund specializes in U.K. equities, last month outlined a major position on Saga plc at the annual Sohn London investment conference, which he said was also partly a wager on the strength of the “Silver Pound.”

    He said people living their “Saga years,” a reference to the travel and insurance brand that focuses on the over-50s, will account for about 60% of all U.K. consumer spending by 2030.

    Saga — which makes up about 10% of Kernow’s portfolio — is a “materially undervalued” business, whose share price could surge over 400% in the next few years, Wood added.

    ‘The list goes on’

    Wood said that Pets At Home, the London-listed specialist retailer of pet food, toys, and accessories, was another name facing near-term pressures that could ultimately emerge as a beneficiary of the trend, as older consumers buy more for their pets and spend less on their children.

    “Experiences and material goods will rank highly on their list of places to spend money – such as holidays, nice meals, fancy cars, home renovations, beauty products, wellness,” Coatsworth said of the cohort. “The list goes on.”

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    Pets At Home.

    Coatsworth also said that the healthcare sector was a likely winner, as an ageing population will mean rising demand for medicine and treatment.

    “Private care homes, retirement villages and property investors with medical providers as tenants are among the winners from this trend,” Coatsworth told CNBC via email.

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  • Europe’s growth prospects depend on German spending spree, economists say

    Europe’s growth prospects depend on German spending spree, economists say

    Europe’s hopes of a return to growth in 2026 rest largely on Germany’s €1tn debt-funded spending drive on infrastructure and defence, according to a Financial Times survey.

    Yet the 88 economists polled are split over whether Berlin’s fiscal push will deliver a “European renaissance” or fade amid entrenched structural weaknesses and geopolitical uncertainty.

    With its largest economy stuck in recession since late 2022, Europe needed a return of “animal spirits” to power a recovery driven by domestic demand, said Nick Kounis, chief economist at ABN Amro.

    Eurozone growth is expected to slow by 0.2 percentage points next year to 1.2 per cent in 2026, before picking up to 1.4 per cent in 2027, according to the FT survey. The forecast broadly matches the European Central Bank’s latest staff projections.

    Last year’s prediction of 0.9 per cent growth for 2025 proved too downbeat, after the bloc’s economy expanded by 1.4 per cent. Concerns voiced by economists in last year’s FT poll that the ECB had been too slow to cut rates now appear misplaced. “Overall we have been positively surprised about growth resilience in 2025,” said Pia Fromlet, an economist at SEB.

    But economists were unsure “whether the fiscal impulse can translate into durable domestic momentum rather than merely cushioning external shocks”, said Léa Dauphas, chief economist at TAC Economics. TD Securities analyst James Rossiter predicts a “tug of war” between geopolitical uncertainty and expansive fiscal policy.

    Optimists expect that underlying resilience will be reinforced by fiscal stimulus next year. Jan von Gerich, chief strategist at Nordea and among the most bullish respondents with a 2026 growth forecast of 1.5 per cent, said “private consumption has a lot of potential to surprise to the upside”.

    Reijo Heiskanen, chief economist at Finnish lender OP Pohjola, is even more sanguine, predicting a “comeback of [Europe’s] North”.

    Workers at a car plant in China. The EU and individual governments are pursuing a ‘too-little-too-late approach’ to deal with an intensifying ‘China shock’, an economist says © Jing Xuan Teng/AFP/Getty Images

    While views on growth are split, there is broad consensus that the ECB has brought inflation back under control. A large majority of economists expect it to meet its medium-term 2 per cent target in 2027, after undershooting slightly at 1.9 per cent in 2026.

    Three-quarters of respondents expect the ECB to keep its key deposit facility rate unchanged at 2 per cent through the end of 2026. By the end of 2027, economists on average foresee a single rate rise to 2.25 per cent.

    Looking ahead, growth would “hinge less on monetary policy and more on fiscal execution, confidence and progress on structural reforms”, said Sabrina Khanniche, an economist at Pictet Asset Management.

    But not everyone is convinced that Berlin can deliver. “Increased government spending will mechanically lift German growth, but the key question is whether or not it translates into a broader recovery,” said Henry Cook, an economist at MUFG Bank.

    Sceptics warn that billions of euros in new borrowing could end up funding welfare and other current spending rather than fresh investment, while the money allocated to defence might have only a limited impact on growth.

    “The optimism that greeted Friedrich Merz’s announcement earlier this year has faded in recent months,” said Ben Blanchard, an analyst at Absolute Strategy Research.

    “Anyone expecting a significant bounce in Germany’s economic fortunes in 2026 is likely to be disappointed,” warned Aberdeen economist Felix Feather.

    At the same time, large parts of Europe’s industrial base are under mounting pressure from US President Donald Trump’s 15 per cent tariff rate and intensifying competition from Chinese rivals, leaving consumers rattled and reluctant to spend.

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    While US tariffs “so far have not had a meaningful negative impact on Eurozone growth”, said HSBC euro area economist Fabio Balboni, “we might only have seen the tip of the iceberg”. A narrow majority of poll respondents believe that more than half of the overall negative impact from the tariffs has already materialised.

    Apolline Menut, economist at French asset manager Carmignac, warned about the fierce competition from Chinese exporters threatening to “further hollow out” EU industry. The bloc as a whole and individual governments were pursuing a “too-little-too-late approach” to deal with an intensifying “China shock”, she said.

    A bursting of what some economists describe as an “AI bubble” in American equity markets could also weigh on Europe’s growth. “A sharp correction in US tech valuations remains the biggest global risk,” warned Christian Schulz, chief economist at Allianz Global Investors.

    Steep falls in US equities and the dollar would “reverberate also through Europe”, potentially pushing up borrowing costs for governments and companies.

    “The risk of a financial crisis of some sort that spills over into the US economy and the financial sectors and economies of other countries is high and rising,” said John Llewellyn, former OECD chief economist and partner at advisory firm Independent Economics. 

    But some economists sketch more optimistic scenarios, including an end to the war in Ukraine — or at least a durable ceasefire. If a peace deal were “credible and not unfavourable to Ukraine”, it could “significantly reduce geopolitical uncertainty and improve confidence”, argued Christophe Boucher, chief investment officer at ABN AMRO Investment Solutions.

    In that scenario, energy prices could fall while investment and exports rise. Combined with fiscal stimulus from government spending programmes and a potential reversal of households’ high saving rates, this could even trigger a “virtuous cycle” and a “European renaissance”, said Reinhard Cluse, an economist at UBS.

    Additional reporting by Alexander Vladkov in Frankfurt

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