Category: 3. Business

  • How the AI market could splinter in 2026

    How the AI market could splinter in 2026

    The AI market is tipped to splinter in 2026.

    The last three months of 2025 were a rollercoaster of tech sell-offs and rallies, as circular deals, debt issuances, and high valuations fueled concerns over an AI bubble.

    Such volatility may be an early sign of how AI investment is set to evolve as investors pay closer attention to who is spending money and who is making it, according to Stephen Yiu, chief investment officer at Blue Whale Growth Fund.

    Investors, especially retail investors who are exposed to AI through ETFs, typically have not differentiated between companies with a product but no business model, those burning cash to fund AI infrastructure, or those on the receiving end of AI spending, Yiu told CNBC.

    So far, “every company seems to be winning,” but AI is in its early innings, he said. “It’s very important to differentiate” between different types of companies, which is “what the market might start to do,” Yiu added.

    This illustration taken on April 20, 2018, in Paris shows apps for Google, Amazon, Facebook and Apple, plus the reflection of a binary code displayed on a tablet screen.

    Lionel Bonaventure | Afp | Getty Images

    He sees three camps: private companies or startups, listed AI spenders and AI infrastructure firms. 

    The first group, which includes OpenAI and Anthropic, lured $176.5 billion in venture capital in the first three quarters of 2025, per PitchBook data. Meanwhile, Big Tech names such as Amazon, Microsoft and Meta are the ones cutting checks to AI infrastructure providers such as Nvidia and Broadcom.  

    Blue Whale Growth Fund measures a company’s free cash flow yield, which is the amount of money a company generates after capital expenditure, against its stock price, to figure out whether valuations are justified.  

    Most companies within the Magnificent 7 are “trading a significant premium” since they started heavily investing in AI, Yiu said.

    “When I’m looking at valuations in AI, I would not want to position — even though I believe in how AI is going to change the world — into the AI spenders,” he added, adding that his firm would rather be “on the receiving end” as AI spending is set to further impact company finances.  

    The AI “froth” is “concentrated in specific segments rather than across the broader market,” Julien Lafargue, chief market strategist at Barclays Private Bank and Wealth Management, told CNBC. 

    The bigger risk lies with companies that are securing investment from the AI bull run but are yet to generate earnings — “for example, some quantum computing-related companies,” Lafargue said. 

    “In these cases, investor positioning seems driven more by optimism than by tangible results,” he added, saying that “differentiation is key.”

    The need for differentiation also reflects an evolution of Big Tech business models. Once asset-light firms are increasingly asset-heavy as they gobble up technology, power and land needed for their bullish AI strategies.

    Companies like Meta and Google have morphed into hyperscalers that invest heavily in GPUs, data centers, and AI-driven products, which changes their risk profile and business model.

    Dorian Carrell, Schroders’ head of multi-asset income, said valuing these companies like software and capex-light plays may no longer make sense — especially as companies are still figuring out how to fund their AI plans.

    “We’re not saying it’s not going to work, we’re not saying it’s not going to come through in the next few years, but we are saying, should you pay such a high multiple with such high growth expectations baked in,” Carrell told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Dec. 1.

    Tech turned to the debt markets to fund AI infrastructure this year, though investors were cautious about a reliance on debt. While Meta and Amazon have raised funds this way, “they’re still net cash positioned,” Quilter Cheviot’s global head of technology research and investment strategist Ben Barringer told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition” on Nov. 20 — an important distinction from companies whose balance sheets may be tighter.

    The private debt markets “will be very interesting next year,” Carrell added. 

    If incremental AI revenues don’t outpace those expenses, margins will compress and investors will question their return on investment, Yiu said. 

    In addition, the performance gaps between companies could widen further as hardware and infrastructure depreciate. AI spenders will need to factor into their investments, Yiu added. “It’s not part of the P&L yet. Next year onwards, gradually, it will confound the numbers.” 

    “So, there’s going to be more and more differentiation.” 

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  • TikTok shopping habits go from budget to Burberry

    TikTok shopping habits go from budget to Burberry

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    What is the best place to buy a luxury watch? In China, more and more high-end shoppers are turning to social media. That is an opportunity for luxury brands seeking younger customers. For social networks themselves — including TikTok, currently the subject of a complex US-China carve-up — it could be a big driver of value.

    The first to benefit from this trend has been Douyin, TikTok’s sister platform in China. There, shoppers buy luxury items the same way they buy lipstick or air fryers: by tapping into a livestream. A chatty host demos products and makes jokes, while viewers can buy anything they see on the stream with a single tap. It has become the default way millions of young consumers shop in the country.

    Douyin sold 46 per cent more merchandise by value in the year to July than it did in the same period of 2024, according to the company. It became the third-largest online shopping platform in China last year. European brands have taken notice. Versace has hosted livestreams and opened an official Douyin flagship store. Burberry joined the platform’s “Super Brand Day” and collaborated with Douyin to dress virtual avatars.

    TikTok is trying to replicate Douyin’s success globally by rolling out many of the same features in markets such as the US, including in-app checkout systems, product search tabs and shoppable videos. Its brand makes its push into luxury a tough sell: outside China, TikTok’s commerce business is more like a virtual dollar store.

    Its efforts may nonetheless bear fruit. After all, TikTok and its ilk have a strong following among the young. More than half of Gen Z discovers products on Instagram and TikTok, according to Emarketer. Gen Z’s share of global luxury spending is expected to rise from 4 per cent today to 25 per cent by 2030, according to BCG.

    This suggests that luxury groups — which have historically been cautious about selling on social media due to brand dilution concerns — may reconsider. Staying away from TikTok would mean missing out on their largest group of future customers.

    Even if the luxury companies themselves prove hard to sway, they are not the only ones selling handbags. The market for second-hand fashion and luxury is growing rapidly. The global resale market size is projected to reach up to $360bn in the next five years, according to BCG. An average annual growth rate of 10 per cent means resale is growing nearly three times faster than the primary luxury market. Resale platforms like The RealReal have seen rising shopper demand and growing investor interest.

    With younger consumers increasingly important and sellers proliferating, the next phase of the luxury market overlaps neatly with social media platforms. Future luxury buyers are now forming their brand loyalties, and TikTok is becoming the place where they do it.

    june.yoon@ft.com

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  • Middle East IPOs fall by a third as post-pandemic boom fades

    Middle East IPOs fall by a third as post-pandemic boom fades

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    Listings in the Middle East have dropped more than a third to the weakest level since 2020, as lower oil prices put pressure on Saudi Arabia’s economy and sell-offs of newly floated companies deterred investors.

    Companies in the region had raised $6.5bn in initial public offerings by the end of November, compared with $9.9bn in the same period last year, according to financial data platform Dealogic.

    Listings for the full year are set to be the weakest since companies raised $2.4bn in 2020, and down sharply from 2022 when IPOs pulled in $22.5bn from 62 deals.

    In addition to weaker oil prices, investors and bankers have blamed poor performances by newly listed companies and a dearth of privatisations, after offerings by state-owned companies and financial regulatory reforms had driven a healthy pipeline of deals after the pandemic.

    Ali Khalpey, head of Middle East at Cantor, said the slowdown came after a “very strong run” and investors were now “looking back and taking stock of where valuations were . . . It’s no longer ‘let’s all pile into an IPO’.”

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    Carl Tohme, Dubai-based fund manager at hedge fund Cheyne Capital, said Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had “enjoyed three or four years of really positive momentum” due to weakness in China, a strong dollar and “the structural story with all the reforms” in oil-rich Gulf countries.

    “Now, you have China that is investable again and doing very well, [and] the dollar is weak, especially against emerging market currencies. While the fundamental story of population growth in the UAE is still strong, the Saudi story is challenged mainly by the lower oil price,” he said.

    The UAE’s markets in Dubai and Abu Dhabi have raised just $1bn this year, down from $6bn last year and a high of $12bn in 2022.

    A much-anticipated IPO by Etihad, Abu Dhabi’s national carrier, failed to materialise this year. Dubai’s stock market suffered a setback when local online classifieds company Dubizzle pulled its planned listing, saying it was waiting for “optimal timing”.

    Saudi facilities management company EFSIM this month became the latest to cancel an IPO, pulling a flotation that was expected to give it a valuation of almost $300mn.

    Visitors in traditional white clothing stand in front of an Etihad Airways Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner.
    Etihad’s IPO failed to materialise this year © Christopher Pike/Bloomberg

    Private businesses in the region also get crowded out as investors favour state-owned companies that enjoy monopolies and offer investors steady and secure dividends.

    Anita Gupta, chief investment officer at Dubai-based Wealthbrix Capital Partners, said: “I would say that we are spoiled in this market . . . [by] very high dividend-yielding entities with quality assets.”

    In contrast, shares of some of the highest-profile companies that listed last year have slumped.

    That created “a big overhang in the market”, said Finlay Wright, head of equity markets for the Middle East and Asia at Rothschild. “It makes people nervous around the outlook for other entities that might come.”

    Delivery company Talabat has sunk about 25 per cent since its Dubai listing in December 2024, in the Gulf’s biggest IPO of the year. Lulu Retail, a supermarket chain, has fallen about 40 per cent since its debut in Abu Dhabi in November last year, while grocer Spinneys has lost about 6 per cent since floating in Dubai. 

    Dubai’s two IPOs of 2025 capitalised on soaring property prices, with construction company ALEC, majority owned by the Dubai government, raising $381mn. Dubai Holding, owned by the emirate’s ruler, raised $584mn floating a real estate investment trust. IT group Alpha Data raised $163mn in Abu Dhabi, the exchange’s sole IPO this year. 

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    Saudi Arabia, the region’s largest economy, has had the most IPOs so far, with 36 companies joining Riyadh’s Tadawul stock exchange and raising $4bn — roughly the same as last year despite the all-share index falling about 12 per cent year to date. Riyadh typically attracts a higher number of smaller listings than the UAE.

    But investor confidence has been weighed down by lower oil prices and a widening fiscal deficit, which have led the government to reassess some megaprojects aimed at revamping its oil-reliant economy.

    Share prices of major companies that listed on Riyadh’s bourse this year have slumped. Budget airline Flynas is down 17 per cent since raising $1bn in June, while packaging maker United Carton Industries has fallen 40 per cent since it raised $160mn the previous month.

    Several companies “have missed the earnings guidance which had been out in the market, and that has a very negative effect on price performance”, said Rothschild’s Wright.

    Smaller Gulf countries have been unable to capitalise on last year’s momentum, with Bahrain and Kuwait — which both managed one IPO last year — having none in 2025. Oman raised $333mn from one listing this year, having secured $2.5bn in three IPOs in 2024.  

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  • Silver price in Pakistan for today, December 25, 2025 – Profit by Pakistan

    1. Silver price in Pakistan for today, December 25, 2025  Profit by Pakistan
    2. Gold, silver prices hit record high  Dawn
    3. New all-time high: gold price per tola gains Rs2,000 in Pakistan  Business Recorder
    4. ‘FOMO’ fuels gold rally  The Express Tribune
    5. Gold prices hit record high in Pakistan – Dec 24, 2025  samaa tv

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  • S&P 500 hits new high as Santa rally begins

    S&P 500 hits new high as Santa rally begins

    The S&P hit a record high on Wednesday, with broad-gains across sectors supporting the main indexes during a shortened Christmas eve session. The benchmark S&P touched an intraday record high of 6,921 points, surpassing its previous peak in October, as investors continued to bet on more interest rate cuts from the Fed Reserve next year following mixed economic data. The US economy grew at its fastest pace in two years in the third quarter, government data showed on Tuesday. Reuters

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  • Claro Peru and Huawei Deploy World’s First Commercial EcoMatrix Site

    Claro Peru and Huawei Deploy World’s First Commercial EcoMatrix Site

    [Lima, Peru, December 24, 2025] Claro Peru, one of the country’s leading telecommunications providers, and Huawei successfully deployed the world’s first commercial EcoMatrix site.

    Featuring a highly integrated design that enables simplified and green deployment of all sub-3 GHz bands on a single pole, Huawei EcoMatrix outperforms conventional counterparts in actual tests across a host of metrics: 1.8 dB better coverage, 30% less antenna installation space required, and 35% site-wide energy saving. These strengths will help deliver higher-quality mobile network services for Peruvian consumers and drive the country’s digital transformation.

    World’s first commercial EcoMatrix site deployed by Claro Peru and Huawei

    As its services expand, Claro Peru faces mounting challenges in network operations, with OPEX rising year on year. In Latin America, some tower companies calculate lease fees based on wind load area, yet conventional solutions usually have high wind loads due to a large number of devices. Moreover, energy-inefficient base stations consume a lot of energy and raise electricity costs. Claro has also struggled to simplify site deployment and maintenance in multi-band settings.

    Supported by multiple innovations, EcoMatrix precisely addresses these challenges and brings operators four core benefits in network construction.

    • Simplified site deployment: EcoMatrix allows Claro Peru to deploy the 700 MHz, 850 MHz, 1.9 GHz, and 2.6 GHz bands on a single pole, with only three boxes required per site (compared with 15 boxes previously).
    • Extremely low energy consumption: The EcoMatrix radio units integrated GigaGreen RRUs, bringing 35% site-wide energy savings after this commercial deployment in Peru. There is even more energy saving potential, brought by the “0 Bit 0 Watt” deep dormancy feature, and future GigaGreen RRUs which can be flexibly combined into the EcoMatrix solution.
    • Superb performance: EcoMatrix integrates true ultra-wideband RRUs and antennas, and leverages innovative signal direct injection feeding (SDIF) technology to eliminate the need for cables, significantly reducing feeder loss and internal insertion loss, maximizing spectral efficiency and network performance.
    • Optimal evolution: The solution’s modular design allows operators to flexibly and smoothly scale networks by introducing new spectrum resources, even when the antenna installation space is limited. Operators do not need to erect new poles or modernize installed sites, and can deploy networks in phases according to spectrum availability, to better protect their long-term investments.

    Juan David Rodríguez, Chief Technology Officer of Claro Peru, remarked on the solution: “We use Huawei EcoMatrix to deploy more bands at a tower site with a much smaller antenna footprint. Our site and spectrum are now more efficiently utilized, and our network is ready for continuous 5G evolution and flexible spectrum expansion. We are delivering better digital experience to users and contributing to Peru’s digital transformation.”

    EcoMatrix is designed to help operators worldwide boost revenue, reduce costs, enhance efficiency, and achieve sustainability. Claro Peru’s successful deployment validates its value and showcases a path to building a lean, green, and efficient network that scales easily.

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  • Gold price in Pakistan for today, December 25, 2025 – Profit by Pakistan

    1. Gold price in Pakistan for today, December 25, 2025  Profit by Pakistan
    2. Gold, silver prices hit record high  Dawn
    3. New all-time high: gold price per tola gains Rs2,000 in Pakistan  Business Recorder
    4. ‘FOMO’ fuels gold rally  The Express Tribune
    5. Gold prices hit record high in Pakistan – Dec 24, 2025  samaa tv

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  • It’s so cold in the Yukon, some places have been –50 C. Here’s what’s causing the extreme cold snap

    It’s so cold in the Yukon, some places have been –50 C. Here’s what’s causing the extreme cold snap

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    The Yukon has been grappling with an extreme cold weather system that’s pushing the power grid to the brink because it can’t keep up with demand.

    Communities like Faro, about 360 kilometres northeast of Whitehorse, and Carmacks, around 180 kilometres north of the territory’s capital, have been experiencing lows of –50 C since Monday.

    Temperatures started to dip below –30 C earlier this month, and there’s been no relief since. Here’s what’s causing this inclement weather to stick around in the Yukon.

    What’s behind these extreme temperatures?

    “What we’re seeing in Yukon is an Arctic ridge of high pressure,” Environment Canada meteorologist Tanmay Rane told CBC News. “What happens is, once a cold front passes, all the cold air behind it follows the cold front.”

    Since cold air tends to sink because it’s heavier than warm air, it sinks down to the surface, pushing the air surrounding it out of the way. 

    “When it does that, when [cold air] clears the air underneath it, air from aloft comes down to fill that pocket,” Rane said. 

    Air that’s aloft, or higher above the surface, is colder than the air that’s at the surface, so as it fills the pocket left behind, it creates cooler conditions, Rane said.

    Alongside that sinking effect, skies have remained clear. Without clouds in the sky to absorb heat radiated from the Earth’s surface and send it back down, Rane said the heat escapes to space overnight, preventing temperatures from rising.

    “So night after night, Yukon is getting colder and colder because of the clear skies, and a high-pressure system like that is pretty stagnant.”

    How low have temperatures gotten?

    Environment Canada issued yellow weather alerts to 11 Yukon communities, including Whitehorse. Here’s how low temperatures have gotten within the past 24 hours:

    • Whitehorse: –44 C
    • Pelly Ranch (Fort Selkirk): –48 C
    • Faro: –50 C
    • Dawson: –45 C
    • Carmacks: –49 C

    Environment Canada’s weather alert issued for Whitehorse has advised that extreme wind chill values can make temperatures feel as low as –50 C, but some moderation of temperatures are expected going into Christmas Day.

    What effect does wind chill have on the cold?

    Windier conditions tend to make you feel colder, according to Environment Canada. Wind chill values are different from recorded temperatures, because they can’t be measured by a thermometer. Rather, they’re measured by how cold your skin would feel in the wind. 

    Wind chill values can tell you how cold you’ll feel outside, which can be different from the recorded temperature. 

    It’s included in weather forecasting when wind speed is expected to be 5 km/h or more and when recorded temperatures are zero or below. 

    Being exposed wind chill values between –48 C to –54 C comes with a severe risk of frostbite. According to Environment Canada, any exposed skin could freeze in less than five minutes and sometimes faster if winds stay consistently above 50 km/h.

    How long could it last?

    Although the cold isn’t going anywhere anytime soon, Rane said temperatures could gradually start to rise by next week.

    “I don’t think it would get any colder,” Rane said. “This Arctic high that’s sitting over Yukon right now will slowly sink down into northern BC and then make its way out.” 

    Once that happens, Rane said he expects that clouds will start coming in, leading to a slow increase in temperature.

    Why could there be blackouts?

    Yukon’s power grid is nearing capacity as electricity usage surged due to the cold. Demand reached a peak on Monday with 123 megawatts of power being pulled from a system that can accommodate 140 megawatts. 

    People sitting behind desks in a legislative assembly.
    Ted Laking, Yukon’s energy minister, says rolling electricity blackouts might be necessary. (Virginie Ann/CBC)

    Ted Laking, the minister responsible for Yukon Energy, said Tuesday that rolling blackouts may be enacted to alleviate the demand, though he added that Whitehorse hasn’t reached that stage yet. 

    If rolling blackouts were to occur, they would happen by neighbourhood. To prepare, Laking has urged Yukon residents to compile emergency kits that would last 72 hours with supplies like flashlights, emergency blankets and food.

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  • Bank lending to private sector hits record Rs1.5 trillion, fueling industrial growth

    Bank lending to Pakistan’s private sector has reached a record Rs1.5 trillion in FY26, marking a significant rise due to reduced government borrowing from the banking system, according to the Pakistan Banks Association (PBA). 

    This surge in financing has led to an 8.33% growth in Large-Scale Manufacturing (LSM), underlining the private sector’s crucial role in driving industrial output and job creation.

    PBA Chairperson Zafar Masud highlighted the positive shift, stating, “When government borrowing moderates, banks promptly deploy capital into business, industry, and agriculture.” This shift in lending reflects the banking sector’s ability to pivot liquidity from sovereign debt into productive areas of the economy, contributing to the recent industrial recovery.

    The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported that private sector credit expanded by Rs187 billion between July and November FY26, driven by easing financial conditions and improved consumer sentiment. 

    However, on a year-over-year basis, private sector credit saw a slight decline of 0.3% due to the high base effect from extraordinary credit expansion in the previous fiscal year.

    The latest SBP figures show bank lending to private businesses reached Rs135.3 billion between July 1, 2024, and December 12, 2025, down from Rs1.47 trillion in the same period last year. For FY25, total private sector credit flows amounted to Rs1.08 trillion.

    Meanwhile, the government’s borrowing from the banking system, including the SBP and commercial banks, was negative during the same period, with Rs166 billion repaid. This marked a contrast to the previous year when the federal government repaid Rs1.662 trillion.

    The PBA also emphasized the banking sector’s liquidity and capitalization, noting that deposits have reached Rs35.1 trillion. The association stated that the recent surge in lending is a direct result of reduced government reliance on domestic banking deposits and structural reforms that have allowed banks to better serve the private sector.

    Muneer Kamal, CEO and General Secretary of the PBA, added that risk-sharing frameworks and market-led mechanisms are essential to making private sector lending more attractive and sustainable.

    Addressing long-standing criticisms, the PBA pointed out that banks have shifted focus toward sectors that traditionally struggled to access credit. Record liquidity has been channeled into small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and agriculture, ensuring more equitable distribution of financing across various sectors.

    The number of SME borrowers increased by 56.9%, rising from 176,246 in June 2024 to 276,578 in June 2025. SME financing jumped by 40.7% to Rs691 billion. 

    Additionally, agricultural credit saw a historic turning point, with the number of farmers accessing credit rising by 7.3% to nearly 2.9 million. Agricultural disbursements hit a record Rs2.57 trillion, a 16.3% increase YoY, further highlighting the banking sector’s renewed engagement with the rural economy.


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  • Blackstone Announces Agreement to Acquire a Landmark Japan Logistics Asset, Marking the Largest Logistics Transaction in the Country This Year

    Blackstone Announces Agreement to Acquire a Landmark Japan Logistics Asset, Marking the Largest Logistics Transaction in the Country This Year

    TOKYO, JAPAN – December 25, 2025 – Blackstone (NYSE: BX) today announced that Real Estate funds managed by Blackstone (“Blackstone”) have entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Tokyo C-NX (the “Asset”), a Grade A logistics asset located in central Tokyo. Valued at over JPY 100 billion (US$641 million), this marks the largest logistics transaction in Japan this year and underscores Blackstone’s commitment to investing in sectors that support Japan’s economic growth.
      
    The Asset – a 1.6 million square feet, 5-story warehouse in Tokyo Bay, within a 15-minute driving distance from the city center – serves as a mission-critical distribution hub. Japan continues to see steady demand for high-quality warehousing solutions, driven by its expanding e-commerce sector – now the fourth-largest globally – and a shift towards a more digitalized economy.
     
    Daisuke Kitta, Head of Real Estate Japan, Blackstone, said: “We are pleased to invest in a premium asset in logistics, a fast-growing sector and one of Blackstone’s highest conviction investment themes. This reinforces our focus on investing in critical industries shaping Japan’s future and demonstrates our ability to offer scale, speed, and certainty to Japanese corporates seeking trusted partners to advance their strategic goals. We are committed to partnering with Japanese businesses and continuing to contribute in meaningful ways to the evolution of Japan’s economy.”
      
    Japan is a high conviction market for Blackstone, where the firm has built partnerships with leading corporates including Seibu Holdings, Kintetsu Group, and Sony Group. In recent years, it has accelerated its investments across businesses. In Real Estate, Blackstone has built a diversified portfolio across logistics, residential, hotels, data centers, and offices. Earlier this year, Blackstone completed the acquisition of Tokyo Garden Terrace Kioicho for $2.6 billion (~JPY 400 billion) in the largest real estate investment at the time by a foreign investor. Blackstone is also building its data center presence in Japan through AirTrunk, a leading data center platform in the Asia Pacific region, further strengthening its position as the world’s largest data center provider and a major investor across the AI value chain.
     
    Blackstone is a significant investor in logistics globally. Over nearly 15 years, the firm has made investments at scale in the United States, Europe, and in the Asia Pacific region across Japan, India, Australia, Greater China, and South Korea.
     
    About Blackstone
    Blackstone is the world’s largest alternative asset manager. Blackstone seeks to deliver compelling returns for institutional and individual investors by strengthening the companies in which the firm invests. Blackstone’s over $1.2 trillion in assets under management include global investment strategies focused on real estate, private equity, credit, infrastructure, life sciences, growth equity, secondaries and hedge funds. Further information is available at www.blackstone.com. Follow @blackstone on LinkedIn, X (Twitter), and Instagram.
     
    Blackstone
    Mariko Sanchanta
    [email protected]
    080 8702 7386
     
    Kekst CNC
    Minako Otani
    [email protected]
    090-3239-9348

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