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  • Eli Lilly’s obesity pill will rival Novo Nordisk’s oral Wegovy drug

    Eli Lilly’s obesity pill will rival Novo Nordisk’s oral Wegovy drug

    A sign with the company logo sits outside of the headquarters of Eli Lilly in Indianapolis, Indiana, on March 17, 2024.

    Scott Olson | Getty Images

    Eli Lilly‘s stock is still recovering after the drugmaker released trial data earlier this month on its closely watched obesity pill that underwhelmed Wall Street.

    In a key late-stage trial, Eli Lilly’s pill, orforglipron, caused less weight loss and had higher side effects than what analysts were expecting. The pill’s efficacy also appeared to come in slightly below that of Novo Nordisk‘s oral semaglutide for obesity, which showed strong data in a separate study.

    Shares of Eli Lilly fell about 13% on the day the trial results were released, although they’re up about 12% since then.

    But some analysts say Eli Lilly’s daily pill, if approved, could still be a viable competitor in the weight loss drug space — even if it will likely be second to enter the market. It’s a highly lucrative area that is eager for more convenient options that could ease the supply shortfalls and access hurdles created by the pricey weekly injections currently dominating it.

    Analysts note that Eli Lilly’s pill could have a few advantages over the daily oral version of Novo Nordisk’s weight loss drug semaglutide, which is on track to become the first needle-free alternative for obesity to win approval in the U.S. later this year. Eli Lilly hopes to launch its pill globally “this time next year,” CEO David Ricks told CNBC in early August.

    Both drugs work by mimicking a gut hormone called GLP-1 to suppress appetite and regulate blood sugar. But while Novo Nordisk’s pill is a peptide medication, orforglipron is a small-molecule drug.

    That means Eli Lilly’s pill is absorbed more easily in the body and doesn’t require dietary restrictions like Novo Nordisk’s does. Orforglipron will also be easier to manufacture at scale, which is crucial as demand for obesity and diabetes injections outpaces supply.

    Neither company has released prices for its respective pill, but some analysts said Eli Lilly’s drug could potentially have a lower price than Novo Nordisk’s pill. That would be a notable edge, as many health plans in the U.S. still don’t cover obesity treatments.

    “It’s a little bit of an apples and oranges comparison because Novo Nordisk could have difficulty manufacturing enough of the product, given the high cost and requirements to manufacture oral semaglutide,” Leerink Partners analyst David Risinger said in an interview. 

    “Whereas Lilly plans to blanket the world with orforglipron, and very quickly it will generate dramatically more sales,” he continued. “It can launch globally in an extraordinary manner with lower prices and with no food intake consideration.”

    Goldman Sachs analysts seem to agree, based on a note in August. They forecast daily oral pills will capture 24% share — or around $22 billion — of the 2030 global weight loss drug market, which they expect to be worth $95 billion. 

    The Goldman analysts said they expect Eli Lilly’s pill to have a 60% share — or roughly $13.6 billion — of the daily oral segment of the market in 2030. They expect Novo Nordisk’s oral semaglutide to have a 21% share — or around $4 billion — of that segment. The remaining 19% slice will go to other emerging pills, the analysts said.

    The race to develop a more convenient obesity pill has been fraught, as companies such as Pfizer have had to scrap previous contenders and bring forward new ones. Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly are also exploring other experimental oral drugs, along with a slate of other companies such as Viking Therapeutics, Structure Therapeutics, AstraZeneca and Roche

    In a statement, Novo Nordisk CEO Mike Doustar said “we strongly believe in the efficacy” of the oral drug. The Danish company added it will be “laser-focused on getting this product to patients without supply constraints” in the U.S. 

    Dr. Mihail “Misha” Zilbermint, director of endocrine hospitalists at Johns Hopkins Community Physicians, said it’s hard to crown a winner between Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk without knowing how their respective pills will be priced and whether insurance will cover them. 

    “I think both of the drugs are going to be gamechangers,” he said. “When it comes to which company is going to win the game — cost is the biggest issue.”

    Weight loss, side effect comparisons

    It’s difficult to directly compare the results of separate clinical trials, especially as investors wait for Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk to release the full data from their phase three studies.

    Eli Lilly’s ATTAIN-1 trial also followed 3,000 patients, while Novo Nordisk’s OASIS 4 study evaluated a much smaller group of roughly 300. There are currently no studies directly comparing the two drugs, a Novo Nordisk spokesperson said.

    But Novo Nordisk’s oral semaglutide appears to cause a greater level of weight loss than Eli Lilly’s pill based on the available data, said BMO Capital Markets analyst Evan Seigerman. 

    In the trial, the highest dose of Eli Lilly’s pill helped patients lose 12.4% of their body weight on average at 72 weeks. The pill’s weight loss was 11.2% when analyzing all patients regardless of discontinuations.

    Wall Street had hoped Eli Lilly’s pill would generate weight loss of around 15%, the same level as Novo Nordisk’s blockbuster weight loss injection Wegovy. Semaglutide is the active ingredient in Wegovy and its diabetes counterpart Ozempic. 

    Novo Nordisk flags flutter outside its office in Bagsvaerd, on the outskirts of Copenhagen, Denmark, on July 14, 2025.

    Tom Little | Reuters

    Meanwhile, the 25-milligram dose of Novo Nordisk’s oral semaglutide helped patients lose up to 16.6% of their weight on average at 64 weeks, according to results from the trial presented at a medical conference in 2024. That weight loss was 13.6% when the company analyzed all patients regardless of whether they stopped the drug. 

    A Novo Nordisk spokesperson added that 20% of weight loss was observed in nearly one-third of patients in the trial.

    Still, the slightly lower efficacy of Eli Lilly’s pill may not be significant enough to deter patients from taking it. 

    “For many patients, 12% is a really great number,” said Seigerman. “There’s definitely a market there” for orforglipron.

    In a note earlier this month, Bank of America analysts shared a similar sentiment. 

    “Yes, weight loss fell a bit short, but ask 100 prescribers whether this new data will really make a difference in who they’d put on orforglipron, and our belief is the vast majority would say, ‘not really,’” they wrote, referring to Eli Lilly’s trial data. 

    Some investors raised concerns about the side effects and discontinuation rates in the trial of Eli Lilly’s pill. But Seigerman said the drug’s tolerability data — how well patients tolerate it — appears to be relatively in line with that of Novo Nordisk’s oral semaglutide. 

    About 10.3% of patients who took the highest dose of Eli Lilly’s pill — 36 milligrams — discontinued treatment due to side effects, compared with around 2.6% of those who took a placebo.

    Those side effects were mainly gastrointestinal, such as nausea and vomiting, and mild to moderate in severity. An estimated 24% of those who took the highest dose of Eli Lilly’s pill reported vomiting, while 33.7% had nausea. 

    Leerink’s Risinger said he is watching to see how persistent those gastrointestinal issues are once Eli Lilly presents the full data. 

    The side effects in the trial on Novo Nordisk’s pill were mostly gastrointestinal-related: 30.9% of those who took oral semaglutide reported vomiting and 46.6% reported nausea, according to the trial results. 

    Johns Hopkins’ Zilbermint said it’s difficult for him to decide which one has a better safety and tolerability profile based on the available data. 

    Meanwhile, Seigerman pointed to a different factor “that will also matter a lot”: dietary requirements. 

    Food requirements, manufacturing, price 

    Unlike Eli Lilly’s pill, patients need to take Novo Nordisk’s oral semaglutide in the morning on an empty stomach with no more than four ounces of plain water. They’re instructed to wait 30 minutes before eating, drinking or taking other oral medicines.

    Seigerman said that could be a hurdle for some patients. 

    For example, “if you’re a parent with kids and you have to take this drug and wait half an hour before you can drink your coffee, you’re going to drive yourself crazy, especially if you have to take this every day,” he said. “I try to think about the real-world use of these drugs in a market like this. It’s going to matter.” 

    Leerink’s Risinger said oral semaglutide will also be “extremely expensive to manufacture” since it is a peptide medication, and “is likely going to have to be priced higher than orforlipgron.”

    A Novo Nordisk spokesperson said the pill will be made mostly in the U.S., and the company is excited about the potential the pill “provides millions of Americans living with obesity.”

    “Currently, all typical launch readiness activities [for the pill] are fully underway and building momentum,” the spokesperson said. They added that over the past decade, the company has invested $24 billion in the U.S. to expand manufacturing capacity and fuel research and development. That includes investments aimed at increasing manufacturing of active pharmaceutical ingredients and capacity for the final stages of production for both current and future injectable and oral products. 

    Small molecules are chemically simpler and easier to produce at scale, making them generally cheaper for companies to formulate. But it is still unclear how Eli Lilly will price orforglipron. 

    During an earnings call in August, Eli Lilly’s Ricks said the pricing will be based on the value orforglipron brings, considering health-care savings and the comorbidities it can address.

    In the note earlier this month, Goldman Sachs analysts said they expect the pill to be “priced at parity” to Eli Lilly’s tirzepatide, the active ingredient in the company’s obesity injection Zepbound and diabetes counterpart Mounjaro, which list for just over $1,000 for a month’s supply. 

    “They should be cheaper than injections because they are easier to produce. But it does not mean they will be cheaper,” Johns Hopkins’ Zilbermint said. “We just don’t know — for example, we don’t know how much went into research and development.”

    Seigerman said commercialization strategies will also be key when the pills compete on the market. 

    He questioned whether Novo Nordisk will lean into the deal it recently struck with CVS‘s pharmacy benefit manager, Caremark. Under the deal, Caremark started to prioritize Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy on its standard formularies on July 1, making that weekly injection the preferred GLP-1 drug for obesity over Zepbound. 

    But it is unclear whether oral semaglutide could receive a similar preferential status.

    Seigerman also questioned whether Eli Lilly will offer orforglipron through its direct-to-consumer pharmacy, LillyDirect. That offering bypasses insurers and pharmacy benefit managers, allowing patients to directly purchase Zepbound and some of Eli Lilly’s other drugs from the company. 

    Seigerman said he expects “a lot of nuances in the go-to-market campaign for these drugs,” adding “that’s going to matter.”

    Other competitors trail behind

    Other obesity pills are in earlier stages of development, making it difficult to directly compare them to the drugs from Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk without longer and larger trials. 

    But so far, some experts think they pale in comparison.

    For example, Viking Therapeutics on Tuesday released mid-stage trial data that disappointed investors, sending its stock down as much as 40%. 

    Jared Holz, Mizuho health care equity strategist, said in an email Tuesday that the results on Viking’s drug “look inferior” to those of Eli Lilly’s pill “on almost all metrics.” 

    Viking’s once-daily pill helped patients lose up to 12.2% of their weight at around three months, with no plateau, which means patients could lose even more in a longer-term study.

    Holz pointed to the high rate of patients who discontinued Viking’s drug for any reason over 13 weeks, which was around 28%. Meanwhile, around a quarter of people discontinued Eli Lilly’s pill, orforglipron, for any reason over 72 weeks.

    That’s “a much longer trial and therefore [Lilly] looks far better head-to-head,” Holz said.

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  • The Implementation of a New Inpatient Admission Sheet in the Department of Pediatrics at the Atbara Teaching Hospital: A Quality Improvement Project

    The Implementation of a New Inpatient Admission Sheet in the Department of Pediatrics at the Atbara Teaching Hospital: A Quality Improvement Project


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  • Efficient self-healing framework for smart distribution networks

    Efficient self-healing framework for smart distribution networks

    Post-fault self-healing

    Case (A): application of self-healing methodology on the IEEE 33-bus test system using CYME software

    The self-healing methodology was applied to the IEEE 33-bus test system using CYME software, with a fault simulated in Sect. 8 due to its suitability for fault isolation and multiple reconfiguration options to restore power with minimal switch operations. The self-healing protection system responds by opening switches Sw-8 and Sw-9 to isolate the fault, resulting in a power disruption to Sects. 8 through 17, as shown in Fig. 7. This outage affects a total unserved consumer load of 815 kW.

    Network reconfiguration was effectively carried out using self-healing techniques to strategically manage switch operations, ensuring optimal load transfer and power restoration for consumers affected by the outage in Sect. 8. The optimal setup for Sect. 8 involves opening switch Sw-9 and closing the normally open tie switch Sw-35, as outlined in Table 4, for scenarios both with and without distributed generation (DG). This configuration facilitates the transfer of 815 kW through the tie line switches after fault isolation. The resulting network layouts are illustrated in Fig. 8.

    Case (B): application of the self-healing system using matlab/simulink

    In this study, the simulation framework for evaluating self-healing mechanisms in power distribution networks is developed using MATLAB/Simulink, with the IEEE 33-bus test system serving as the foundational topology. This section delineates the configuration of the simulation environment, encompassing the hardware and software infrastructure, alongside a comprehensive description of the model components, including bus configurations, load profiles, power sources, and switching mechanisms.

    Central to the simulation is the control unit model, precisely designed in MATLAB/Simulink to coordinate the operation of smart protection devices. The Simulink model represents the dynamic behavior of these devices, offering a graphical representation of their interactions within the distribution network. Key components include bus signal blocks, which emulate protective relays with configurable parameters such as overcurrent settings, time delays, and trip characteristics; circuit breaker blocks, which model the response to fault conditions through controlled opening and closing actions; and switch blocks, which simulate network reconfiguration by isolating faulty segments or redirecting power flow. The control unit block integrates decision-making algorithms, processing inputs from sensors and relays to execute coordinated actions, such as fault isolation or power restoration.

    Additionally, a measurement unit block collects and processes real-time system data, providing critical inputs for the control unit’s decision-making process. This model facilitates the simulation of diverse fault scenarios, enabling thorough analysis of device coordination, response times, and the overall efficacy of the smart protection system in enhancing the reliability and stability of the distribution network. Figure 10 shows the Simulink control unit, integrating relays, breakers, and switches.

    Fig. 10

    The configuration of the system components in the Simulink model. (a) The Simulink model with integrating components, system units, relays, breakers, and switches. (b) The bus current and voltage monitoring components in the measurement system unit. (c) The logic unit model diagram in the control system.

    The self-healing approach was implemented in MATLAB/Simulink using protective devices capable of receiving remote commands to respond rapidly to faults. In this scenario, a fault is simulated in Sect. 8, as shown in Fig. 11. When the fault occurs, the current exceeds its rated limit, prompting the monitoring unit to detect the abnormal current surge. This triggers a signal to the comparison unit, which evaluates the currents in each feeder segment against the relay settings. To isolate the fault, the comparison unit sends a signal to switch Sw-8, which opens within 0.02 s. Consequently, the power supply to Sects. 8 through 17 is disrupted, resulting in an unserved consumer load of 815 kW.

    Fig. 11
    figure 11

    The IEEE 33 bus test system is supported with 2 DGs Simulink mode.

    Figure 12 demonstrates that when implementing the self-healing process without distributed generators (DGs), the minimum voltage of 0.90 p.u. presented at bus 17, and the system losses calculated to be 144.97 kW. With the integration of DGs, the minimum voltage improved to 0.973 p.u. at bus 17, and the losses were substantially reduced to 48.6 kW as detailed in Table 4. Figure 12 presents the post-fault voltage profile, while Fig. 13 compares branch currents.

    Fig. 12
    figure 12

    The IEEE 33-bus system voltage profile with and without 2 DGs in MATLAB.

    Fig. 13
    figure 13

    Voltage profile before/after fault isolation with DG.

    Figure 13 offers the voltage profile before/after activation of the fault event in the self-healing system. The pre-fault voltage at bus 9, steady at 0.984 p.u., demonstrates the enhanced steady-state condition achieved through optimal DGs placement. Following the fault, the voltage stabilizes at 0.972 p.u. The slight voltage reduction at bus 9 is due to load redistribution and line impedance effects post-reconfiguration, yet it remains within the acceptable range of 0.95–1.05 p.u. Additionally, Fig. 13 indicates that the post-restoration minimum system voltage is 0.94 p.u. at bus 32. This robust dynamic response highlights the system’s capability to maintain voltage stability during fault conditions, reinforcing its reliability as a key feature of a smart grid.

    Table 4 The optimal switching plan after isolating the fault at sect. 8.

    Figure 14 illustrates the branch current loading in the IEEE 33-bus system under two conditions: normal operation and post-fault isolation. During normal operation, the main feeder carries a load current of 106.2 A per phase. Following a fault in section 8 and the subsequent self-healing process with fault isolation, the total recovered load current across the 33-bus system reduces to 74.6 A per phase, as detailed in Table 5.

    Fig. 14
    figure 14

    Branch currents before/after fault isolation.

    Table 5 Simulation results before and after fault isolation and service restoration using 2DGs.

    Figure 15 displays a time-domain plot of the voltage magnitude at bus 9 during a fault in Sect. 8, simulated using MATLAB/Simulink. The x-axis represents time in seconds, and the y-axis shows the voltage value in per unit (p.u.). Before the fault, the voltage was stable at approximately 0.98 p.u., reflecting the improved voltage profile due to DGs placed at buses 6 and 32.

    Fig. 15
    figure 15

    Voltage on bus-bar 9 before and after the application of the self-healing process, using DGs, during a fault occurrence.

    At the fault onset (t = 0.1 s.), the voltage drops sharply due to the disturbance. Within 0.02 s., the fault is detected and isolated by opening switch Sw-8, resulting in a transient voltage dip. The self-healing process then activates, opening switch Sw-9 and closing switch Sw-35 to restore power. At t = 0.16 s, the voltage stabilizes at approximately 0.97 p.u., confirming successful power restoration. This rapid recovery, achieved within 60 ms, highlights the effectiveness of the control unit and DG support in mitigating voltage sags and ensuring system stability. During the fault event, the self-healing approach underscores the system’s capability to maintain stability and ensure reliable power restoration. The self-healing system significantly reduced overall power losses by 76% (from 202.66 kW to 48.6 kW).

    Although direct comparisons with other studies are limited by the lack of standardized benchmarks for the IEEE 33-bus system, Table 6 compares the quantitative performance of the proposed self-healing framework based on PSO for DG placement with related works in the literature. The comparison includes voltage-profile improvement, loss reduction, and service restoration time. Additionally, a comparison between the base case load conditions before and after optimal DG placement is presented in Table 3.

    Table 6 Comparison of the proposed work with other works on a 33-bus system.

    The proposed self-healing mechanism demonstrates robust performance under varying load conditions and fault scenarios, including multi-point faults and real-time load variations, through its adaptive control strategy and optimized network reconfiguration. It adapts to different load conditions through PSO-based DG placement and network reconfiguration, ensuring voltage stability and minimizing losses.

    In fault scenarios, the system effectively handles single-point faults and is also capable of managing multi-point faults using the same control strategy. It utilizes automated switching and centralized control functions for monitoring, fault detection, isolation, and reconfiguration, all managed by a central control unit through fully controlled switches. Specifically, only three switches are used per fault: one bus-bar switch is tripped to isolate the faulty section based on a protection relay signal; the next downstream bus-bar switch is automatically tripped to isolate the faulty line; and finally, the tie switch is closed automatically to restore service to the healthy sections.

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  • The Hidden Ingredients Behind AI’s Creativity

    The Hidden Ingredients Behind AI’s Creativity

    The original version of this story appeared in Quanta Magazine.

    We were once promised self-driving cars and robot maids. Instead, we’ve seen the rise of artificial intelligence systems that can beat us in chess, analyze huge reams of text, and compose sonnets. This has been one of the great surprises of the modern era: physical tasks that are easy for humans turn out to be very difficult for robots, while algorithms are increasingly able to mimic our intellect.

    Another surprise that has long perplexed researchers is those algorithms’ knack for their own, strange kind of creativity.

    Diffusion models, the backbone of image-generating tools such as DALL·E, Imagen, and Stable Diffusion, are designed to generate carbon copies of the images on which they’ve been trained. In practice, however, they seem to improvise, blending elements within images to create something new—not just nonsensical blobs of color, but coherent images with semantic meaning. This is the “paradox” behind diffusion models, said Giulio Biroli, an AI researcher and physicist at the École Normale Supérieure in Paris: “If they worked perfectly, they should just memorize,” he said. “But they don’t—they’re actually able to produce new samples.”

    To generate images, diffusion models use a process known as denoising. They convert an image into digital noise (an incoherent collection of pixels), then reassemble it. It’s like repeatedly putting a painting through a shredder until all you have left is a pile of fine dust, then patching the pieces back together. For years, researchers have wondered: If the models are just reassembling, then how does novelty come into the picture? It’s like reassembling your shredded painting into a completely new work of art.

    Now two physicists have made a startling claim: It’s the technical imperfections in the denoising process itself that leads to the creativity of diffusion models. In a paper presented at the International Conference on Machine Learning 2025, the duo developed a mathematical model of trained diffusion models to show that their so-called creativity is in fact a deterministic process—a direct, inevitable consequence of their architecture.

    By illuminating the black box of diffusion models, the new research could have big implications for future AI research—and perhaps even for our understanding of human creativity. “The real strength of the paper is that it makes very accurate predictions of something very nontrivial,” said Luca Ambrogioni, a computer scientist at Radboud University in the Netherlands.

    Bottoms Up

    Mason Kamb, a graduate student studying applied physics at Stanford University and the lead author of the new paper, has long been fascinated by morphogenesis: the processes by which living systems self-assemble.

    One way to understand the development of embryos in humans and other animals is through what’s known as a Turing pattern, named after the 20th-century mathematician Alan Turing. Turing patterns explain how groups of cells can organize themselves into distinct organs and limbs. Crucially, this coordination all takes place at a local level. There’s no CEO overseeing the trillions of cells to make sure they all conform to a final body plan. Individual cells, in other words, don’t have some finished blueprint of a body on which to base their work. They’re just taking action and making corrections in response to signals from their neighbors. This bottom-up system usually runs smoothly, but every now and then it goes awry—producing hands with extra fingers, for example.

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  • Microbiome characteristics associated with lymph node metastasis in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma

    Microbiome characteristics associated with lymph node metastasis in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma

    Patient characteristics

    This study included 36 LSCC patients with lymph node metastasis and 72 without lymph node metastasis. The demographic characteristics of the study cohort are presented in Table 1. There were no significant differences between the two groups in terms of age, sex, smoking status, or alcohol consumption (P > 0.05). The clinical data of the patients are summarized in Supplementary Table S2.

    Table 1 Demographic and clinical characteristics of participants.

    Comparison of microbial diversity between LSCC patients with and without lymph node metastasis

    We assessed the microbial diversity in the LN + and LN- groups of LSCC across different sample types. For α-diversity, compared to LN- patients, LN + patients exhibited lower microbial richness in tumor tissues, adjacent normal tissues, and lymph node tissues, whereas the inverse trend was observed in oral rinse samples, as measured by Shannon, Simpson, Chao1, and Observed OTUs indices. However, none of these differences reached statistical significance (Fig. 1a). For β-diversity, PCoA based on Bray-Curtis distances at the genus level revealed distinct clustering between LN + and LN- groups in tumor tissues (P = 0.0004, PERMANOVA), whereas adjacent normal tissues and lymph node tissues showed no significant compositional differences (Fig. 1b). Additionally, compared to tissue samples, microbial taxa in oral rinse samples from both groups exhibited a closer clustering pattern.

    Fig. 1

    Microbial diversity in tumor tissues, adjacent normal tissues, lymph node (LN) tissues, and oral rinses samples of LSCC patients with (LN+) and without (LN-) lymph node metastasis. (a) Comparison of α-diversity between groups. P values were calculated using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. (b) Principal coordinate analysis (PCoA) plot. P values were derived from permutational multivariate analysis of variance (PERMANOVA). P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. NT, tumor tissues from LN- patients; MT, tumor tissues from LN + patients; NC, adjacent normal tissues from LN- patients; MC, adjacent normal tissues from LN + patients; NL, non-metastatic lymph node tissues; ML, metastatic lymph node tissues; NW, oral rinses from LN- patients; MW, oral rinses from LN + patients.

    Microbial structural discrepancy in lymph node metastasis and non-metastasis groups of LSCC

    We compared the relative abundances of the top 15 genera across different sample types (tumor tissues, adjacent normal tissues, lymph node tissues, and oral rinses) in LSCC patients with and without lymph node metastasis (Fig. 2). In tumor tissues, significant differences in microbial composition were observed between the LN + and LN- groups. Specifically, Ralstonia accounted for a substantially higher proportion in LN + tumor tissues compared to LN- tumors (0.172 ± 0.212 (mean ± SD) vs. 0.034 ± 0.079, LN + vs. LN- tumor tissues), whereas Fusobacterium was more prevalent in LN- tumors (0.044 ± 0.077 vs. 0.138 ± 0.169). In contrast, adjacent normal tissues and lymph node tissues exhibited similar microbial profiles between groups, with Ralstonia remaining the most abundant genus in both sample types, regardless of metastatic statu. For oral rinse samples, the overall microbial composition was more similar between LN + and LN- patients. Streptococcus, Neisseria, and Prevotella_7 were consistently the top three abundant genera in both groups. Full statistical data, including percentage distributions and P values for all genera across comparative groups (Supplementary Table S3).

    Fig. 2
    figure 2

    The relative abundance of the top 15 genera in tumor tissue, adjacent normal tissue, lymph node (LN) tissue, and oral rinse samples. NT, tumor tissues from LN- patients; MT, tumor tissues from LN + patients; NC, adjacent normal tissues from LN- patients; MC, adjacent normal tissues from LN + patients; NL, non-metastatic lymph node tissues; ML, metastatic lymph node tissues; NW, oral rinses from LN- patients; MW, oral rinses from LN + patients.

    LEfSe analysis identified differentially abundant genera between LN + and LN- groups across various sample types, with heatmaps illustrating relative abundance patterns (Fig. 3). In tumor tissues, the relative abundance of Ralstonia, Methyloversatilis, Delftia, Lactobacillus, and Methylobacterium-Methylorubrum was significantly higher in the LN + group than in the LN- group. Conversely, Fusobacterium, Peptococcus, Sneathia, Moraxella, and [Eubacterium] saphenum group were significantly less abundant in LN + tumor tissues. Metastatic and non-metastatic lymph nodes also exhibited distinct microbial profiles. Bdellovibrio, 1174-901-12, and Ramlibacter were significantly enriched in metastatic lymph nodes, whereas Roseburia, TM7x, Coriobacteriaceae UCG-002, [Eubacterium] nodatum group, Bifidobacterium, and Monoglobus were more abundant in non-metastatic lymph nodes. For oral rinse samples, several genera displayed significant differences between LN + and LN- patients. In LN + patients, the relative abundance of Corynebacterium, Selenomonas, Centipeda, Peptoniphilus, F0058, and Lawsonella was elevated, while [Eubacterium] nodatum group and Oceanivirga were reduced.

    Fig. 3
    figure 3

    Differential microbial composition between LN + and LN- groups in LSCC patients across tumor tissue, adjacent normal tissue, lymph node tissue, and oral rinse samples. A linear discriminant analysis (LDA) score threshold of |LDA Score| ≥ 2 was used to identify genera with significant differences between LN + and LN − LSCC patients across different sample types. The bar plot displays these differentially abundant genera, while the heatmap illustrates their relative abundance. NT, tumor tissues from LN- patients; MT, tumor tissues from LN + patients; NC, adjacent normal tissues from LN- patients; MC, adjacent normal tissues from LN + patients; NL, non-metastatic lymph node tissues; ML, metastatic lymph node tissues; NW, oral rinses from LN- patients; MW, oral rinses from LN + patients.

    Venn diagram analysis of microbial community distribution revealed shared and unique microbial features across different sample types in LSCC (Fig. 4a). At the genus level, 227 genera were universally present in all four sample types, with no genus exclusively unique to any single sample type. Additionally, 29 genera, including 1174-901-12, Pandoraea, Hoeflea, and Sphingobium, were shared among tumor tissues, adjacent normal tissues, and lymph node tissues but were absent in oral rinse samples. And 7 genera (Pseudoalteromonas, Comamonas, Oceanivirga, CL500-29 marine group, Citrobacter, F0332, and Conservatibacter) were detected in tumor tissues, lymph node tissues, and oral rinse samples, but not in adjacent normal tissue. Notably, all genera identified in lymph node tissues were concurrently observed in tumor tissues.

    Fig. 4
    figure 4

    Venn diagrams illustrate the distribution of microbial communities in tumor tissue, adjacent normal tissue, lymph node tissue, and oral rinse samples. (a) Overlapping and unique genera across sample types are presented, with a heatmap depicting the relative abundances of genera. (b) Overlapping and distinct distributions of differentially abundant genera across sample types are shown, further visualized by a heatmap. NT, tumor tissues from LN- patients; MT, tumor tissues from LN + patients; NC, adjacent normal tissues from LN- patients; MC, adjacent normal tissues from LN + patients; NL, non-metastatic lymph node tissues; ML, metastatic lymph node tissues; NW, oral rinses from LN- patients; MW, oral rinses from LN + patients.

    We then examined the distribution of genera that exhibited significant differences in relative abundance between the LN + and LN- groups across different sample types (Fig. 4b). No genera exhibited significant abundance differences in all four sample types. However, 17 genera (Ralstonia, Bulleidia, Fusobacterium, etc.) showed differential abundance exclusively in tumor tissues between the LN + and LN − groups. Distinctly differentially abundant genera were also identified in adjacent normal tissues, lymph nodes, and oral rinses. Furthermore, [Eubacterium] nodatum group was shared between lymph node and oral rinse samples, showing consistent enrichment in LN- groups for both sample types.

    Functional analysis of metastatic and non-metastatic LSCC patients

    The relative abundances of the top 20 predicted metabolic pathways were compared between specimens from the LN + and LN- groups (Fig. 5). Tumor tissues were enriched in pathways related to nucleotide metabolism (e.g., UMP biosynthesis I, superpathway of adenosine nucleotides de novo biosynthesis II), carbohydrate utilization (e.g., Calvin-Benson-Bassham cycle, pentose phosphate pathway [non − oxidative branch] I), and lipid biosynthesis (e.g., phosphatidylglycerol biosynthesis II [non − plastidic], CDP − diacylglycerol biosynthesis I). In contrast, adjacent normal tissues and lymph node tissues exhibited more similar functional profiles, characterized by pathways associated with energy metabolism, fatty acid synthesis, and amino acid biosynthesis, such as aerobic respiration I (cytochrome c), palmitate biosynthesis (type II fatty acid synthase) and superpathway of branched chain amino acid biosynthesis. Oral rinse samples displayed a distinct functional profile, including pathways involving not only nucleotide and carbohydrate metabolism, but also peptidoglycan biosynthesis (peptidoglycan biosynthesis III). In addition, inter-individual variability in pathway distribution within each group was relatively low across all sample types, indicating functional consistency among patients with the same lymph node metastasis status.

    Fig. 5
    figure 5figure 5

    The relative abundance of the top 20 predicted microbial metabolic pathways in tumor tissue, adjacent normal tissue, lymph node (LN) tissue, and oral rinse samples. NT, tumor tissues from LN- patients; MT, tumor tissues from LN + patients; NC, adjacent normal tissues from LN- patients; MC, adjacent normal tissues from LN + patients; NL, non-metastatic lymph node tissues; ML, metastatic lymph node tissues; NW, oral rinses from LN- patients; MW, oral rinses from LN + patients.

    LEfSe analysis further revealed differentially abundant metabolic pathways between LN + and LN- groups across the four sample types (Fig. 6). In tumor tissues, pathways related to aerobic energy production (e.g., aerobic respiration I [cytochrome c]) and ubiquinol biosynthesis were enriched in LN + tumor tissues, while LN- tumors were characterized by pathways associated with basic biosynthetic functions, including pyruvate fermentation to acetate and lactate II and superpathway of L-aspartate and L-asparagine biosynthesis. In metastatic lymph node tissues, mycolate biosynthesis, which is a pathway associated with bacterial pathogenicity, was significantly enriched. And in oral rinse samples, the LN + group showed increased abundance of pathways involved in bacterial cell wall synthesis, such as poly (glycerol phosphate) wall teichoic acid biosynthesis and peptidoglycan biosynthesis II (staphylococci).

    Fig. 6
    figure 6

    Differential predicted microbial metabolic pathways between LN + and LN- groups in LSCC patients across tumor tissue, adjacent normal tissue, lymph node tissue, and oral rinse samples. A linear discriminant analysis (LDA) score threshold of |LDA Score| ≥ 1.5 was used to identify pathways with significant differences between LN + and LN- LSCC patients across different sample types. The bar plot displays these differentially abundant pathways, while the heatmap illustrates their relative abundance. Only pathways with LDA > 2.5 are shown in tumor tissues due to the large number of differentially abundant functions. NT, tumor tissues from LN- patients; MT, tumor tissues from LN + patients; NC, adjacent normal tissues from LN- patients; MC, adjacent normal tissues from LN + patients; NL, non-metastatic lymph node tissues; ML, metastatic lymph node tissues; NW, oral rinses from LN- patients; MW, oral rinses from LN + patients.

    Microbial classification models for stratifying LSCC patients by lymph node metastasis status

    To evaluate the potential of microbial features in distinguishing LSCC patients with and without lymph node metastasis, we developed random forest classifiers using microbial genera from tumor tissues, lymph node tissues, and oral rinses. For each sample type, 25 key genera were selected as classification features (Fig. 7a). The classifier based on lymph node tissues achieved an AUC of 84.31% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 81.76% − 86.85%), followed by tumor tissues (AUC = 84.11%, 95% CI: 81.75% − 86.46%) and oral rinses (AUC = 79.88%, 95% CI: 77.09% − 83.11%) (Fig. 7b). To evaluate biological relevance, PERMANOVA analyses were applied to the 25 key genera from each sample type. Significant differences in microbial community structure between LN + and LN- groups were identified in tumor tissues (P = 0.0001), lymph node tissues (P = 0.0006), and oral rinses (P = 0.005) (Supplementary Figure S2).

    Fig. 7
    figure 7

    Identification of microbial biomarkers for lymph node metastasis in LSCC patients by random forest models. (a) Mean Decrease Accuracy (MDA) values from random forest models based on 25 selected microbial biomarkers in tumor tissues, lymph nodes, and oral rinses. (b) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC) values for tumor tissues, lymph nodes, and oral rinses. (c) MDA values of 17 tumor-specific differentially abundant genera in tumor tissues and lymph nodes. (d) ROC curves and AUC values based on the 17 tumor-specific differentially abundant genera in tumor tissues and lymph nodes.

    We further explored the classification potential of 17 tumor-specific differentially abundant genera (Ralstonia, Bulleidia, Fusobacterium, etc.) between the LN + and LN- groups (Fig. 7c). A classifier trained on these 17 genera effectively distinguished LN + from LN- patients in tumor tissues (AUC = 84.11%, 95% CI: 81.75% − 86.46%) but showed moderate performance in lymph node tissues (AUC = 63.15%, 95% CI: 57.59% − 68.71%) (Fig. 7d).

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  • Aboveground biomass estimation using multimodal remote sensing observations and machine learning in mixed temperate forest

    Aboveground biomass estimation using multimodal remote sensing observations and machine learning in mixed temperate forest

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  • Multi-fault diagnosis and damage assessment of rolling bearings based on IDBO-VMD and CNN-BiLSTM

    Multi-fault diagnosis and damage assessment of rolling bearings based on IDBO-VMD and CNN-BiLSTM

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  • Is It Ever Legal—or Ethical—to Remove DRM?

    Is It Ever Legal—or Ethical—to Remove DRM?

    Whatever you think about Digital Rights Management software, it’s hard to argue with the fact that it’s annoying. Such technology exists, in theory, to protect the intellectual property of the companies that create music, movies, and games, but it can also get in the way of you enjoying books, music, and videos the way you want to.

    Say, for example, that you bought a bunch of books on the Amazon Kindle platform but later decided you wanted to switch to a Kobo device (or vice versa). The DRM systems on both platforms are designed to prevent you from migrating your books from one platform to the other, meaning you might need to pay again just to read a book on the Kobo you already paid for on the Kindle.

    Software exists that can remove this DRM. It requires doing some research and jumping through some technical hoops, but it could save you from having to buy the same media a second time. But is it legal?

    Illegal, but Unlikely to Be Enforced

    Let’s rip off the Band-Aid: The act of removing DRM from any kind of copyrighted work is broadly illegal in the US under section 1201 of title 17, United States Code, which was passed with the Digital Millennium Copyright Act in 1998.

    The rule is pretty clearly written: “No person shall circumvent a technological measure that effectively controls access to a work protected under this title.”

    I asked to Derek Bambauer, a law professor at the University or Florida who specializes in internet law, cybersecurity, and intellectual property, whether there are any exceptions to this. Bambauer tells me there is very little legal ambiguity here.

    “Exceptions are in there, but they’re really narrow,” he says, emphasizing that First Amendment arguments tend not to work where intellectual property is concerned.

    But will removing DRM from a file you paid for end up with you going to jail or being sued? Maybe not, says Bambauer, as companies typically don’t bother pursing it.

    “We all kind of casually violate copyright constantly,” he says, mentioning that the photocopied comic strips on his office door are technically a violation. With finite resources, the owners of intellectual property simple can’t sue everyone. “Companies tend to only go after people who are distributing copyrighted works with others.”

    “If the DRM removal is just for personal consumption, it’s hard to detect,” Bambauer says, “and it’s not worth it for companies go after that. One, the music industry tried that, and it was a horrible failure. And two, it’s just a lot easier to go after the creators and distributors of the tools.”

    And that’s what companies do: attempt to shut down or block the distribution of software that removes DRM from files. Bambauer says this is the reason most of such software tends to be made by people outside the US and is distributed on websites outside US jurisdiction. He also emphasized that sharing files with others after removing the DRM is far more likely to attract lawsuits from companies.

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  • How Payoneer’s Partnership With Stripe May Influence PAYO’s Cross-Border Payment Strategy

    How Payoneer’s Partnership With Stripe May Influence PAYO’s Cross-Border Payment Strategy

    • Earlier this month, Payoneer announced a partnership with Stripe to expand its Online Checkout solution for cross-border SMBs in Asia Pacific, enabling acceptance of Buy Now Pay Later options and major digital wallets through webstores.
    • This collaboration leverages Stripe’s technology to enhance payment acceptance, customer conversion rates, and fraud prevention, marking a move by Payoneer to broaden its SMB-focused financial solutions via high-impact partnerships.
    • We’ll explore how the expanded checkout offerings, including Buy Now Pay Later and digital wallets, may influence Payoneer’s investment narrative.

    Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

    Payoneer Global Investment Narrative Recap

    To be a shareholder in Payoneer, you need to believe in the company’s ability to expand its platform for global SMB payments while navigating intensifying competition and advances in blockchain technology. The recent Stripe partnership could boost adoption of Payoneer’s checkout solution by broadening digital payment methods, but the most important near-term catalyst remains its ability to grow higher-margin B2B services. The biggest current risk, escalating competition from fintech and traditional banks, remains largely unaltered by this announcement, as top rivals continue to roll out similar offerings.

    Among recent announcements, Payoneer’s collaboration with Citi, enabling blockchain-based treasury transfers, stands out as especially relevant since it addresses one of the key threats: long-term disruption from blockchain-powered payment rails. While this supports Payoneer’s efforts to modernize its platform and potentially defend market share, the competitive pressure from larger integrated payment networks persists as a core challenge.

    Yet in contrast, investors should be aware of the ongoing risk that new competitors may compress Payoneer’s margins, especially as market standards and client…

    Read the full narrative on Payoneer Global (it’s free!)

    Payoneer Global’s narrative projects $1.3 billion in revenue and $130.7 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 8.2% yearly revenue growth and a $30.9 million earnings increase from $99.8 million today.

    Uncover how Payoneer Global’s forecasts yield a $9.81 fair value, a 40% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    PAYO Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

    Simply Wall St Community members offer three fair value estimates for Payoneer stock, ranging from US$6.07 to US$11.02 per share. With competitive threats from both fintech start-ups and large incumbents, it is worth considering how varied these outlooks are before you form your own view.

    Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Payoneer Global – why the stock might be worth 13% less than the current price!

    Build Your Own Payoneer Global Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

    • A great starting point for your Payoneer Global research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free Payoneer Global research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate Payoneer Global’s overall financial health at a glance.

    Ready For A Different Approach?

    Right now could be the best entry point. These picks are fresh from our daily scans. Don’t delay:

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.
    It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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