Category: 3. Business

  • 9 Tech Companies With Names Inspired by ‘the Lord of the Rings’

    9 Tech Companies With Names Inspired by ‘the Lord of the Rings’

    “The Lord of the Rings,” or LotR to those in the know, isn’t just standard reading among those in the tech industry.

    It also inspires their ventures.

    Billionaire PayPal cofounder Peter Thiel, for instance, has started several companies inspired by the J.R.R. Tolkien series.

    The fantasy trilogy, a sequel to 1937’s “The Hobbit,” was first published in the mid-1950s. It follows an unlikely hero, Frodo Baggins, as he and a team of allies adventure across Middle Earth to destroy a powerful ring that could bring darkness to the world if it fell into the hands of Sauron, the dark lord.

    On Halloween in 2018, the Salesforce Tower, a hallmark of the San Francisco skyline, was lit to resemble the ever-watchful “Eye of Sauron.”

    “‘Lord of the Rings’ represents a group of people going out and doing something extraordinary,” Quinn Reilly, a longtime fan who helped organize the Salesforce tower lighting, previously told BI. “That’s not unlike the mission that most startups set out to go on.”

    Here is an ongoing list of Silicon Valley’s top “Lord of the Rings”-inspired companies.

    Erebor


    Palmer Luckey, wearing a Hawaiian shirt with a pineapple print, speaking at a conference.

    Palmer Luckey pays homage to Tolkien with his latest endeavor, Erebor.

    Getty Images/Patrick T. Fallon



    Billionaire tech founder Palmer Luckey’s new digital bank for startups and cryptocurrency companies is named after the Lonely Mountain, the wealthy subterranean kingdom and Dwarven stronghold in “The Lord of the Rings.”

    The bank is set to be valued at $2 billion, sources told BI, and has funding from Thiel, via his Founders Fund, and Joe Lonsdale, via 8VC.

    Anduril


    Two hands present a sword with an enscription

    The ‘Anduril’ sword belongs to Aragorn, the hero of “The Lord of the Rings” series. This was a prop used in the film trilogy. Anduril is also the name of Palmer Luckey’s defense tech startup.

    Peter Macdiarmid/Getty Images



    Another Luckey venture, the defense-tech startup Anduril, founded in 2017, is named after the legendary sword used by Aragorn, a hero in “The Lord of the Rings” story. Anduril means “Flame of the West.”

    The company has been at the forefront of AI-powered innovations in warfare, from drones to autonomous weapons systems.

    Palantir

    Palantir — founded in 2003 by Peter Thiel, Joe Lonsdale, Stephen Cohen, and Alex Karp — is a government-focused software giant. It takes its name from the mystical, all-powerful seeing stone in “The Lord of the Rings” series.

    Mithril Capital


    : Entrepreneur and venture capitalist Peter Thiel visits "FOX & Friends" at Fox News Channel Studios on August 09, 2019 in New York City.

    Billionaire Peter Thiel has named several of his companies after “The Lord of the Rings.”

    John Lamparski/Getty Images



    Thiel launched Mithril Capital in 2012 to invest in late-stage startups. The firm, which counts Vice President JD Vance among its alumni, takes its name from a valuable and rare precious metal used to make armor and jewelry in “The Lord of the Rings.” It’s a symbol of wealth and status.

    Durin Mining

    The startup, founded by Ted Feldmann last year, builds and automates drill rigs for mineral discovery. Its name is inspired by a lineage of dwarf kings in “The Lord of the Rings.” Dwarves are famous for their mining skills.

    Rivendell One LLC


    rivendell lord of the rings

    A scene from Rivendell, the fictional elven sanctuary, in “The Lord of the Rings” movies.

    New Line Cinema



    Rivendell, often described in the novels as a hidden sanctuary in Middle Earth, is home to the elven kingdom. It is also a trust that Thiel uses to invest and manage his Facebook shares.

    Lembas LLC

    Lembas, another investment vehicle Thiel founded, is a special food made by elves in “The Lord of the Rings” series. It’s light and nutritious and a good snack that sustains elves as they travel across Middle Earth.

    Valar Ventures

    Valar Ventures, a venture capital firm cofounded by Thiel, Andrew McCormack, and James Fitzgerald, is a reference to a group of powerful beings with godlike powers revered in Middle Earth.

    There’s also a startup called Valar that is building gigasites for nuclear reactors.

    Sauron Systems


    Sauron

    The Eye of Sauron in “The Lord of the Rings.”

    YouTube/Warner Bros



    This home security system that leverages AI is named after Sauron, the main character of “The Lord of the Rings,” who seeks the powerful ring to rule all of Middle Earth. The Eye of Sauron is ever-watchful and all-seeing.


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  • Where China’s own investors are urged to hide out in the second half

    Where China’s own investors are urged to hide out in the second half

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  • Researchers Attempt to Uncover the Origins of Creativity in Diffusion Models

    Researchers Attempt to Uncover the Origins of Creativity in Diffusion Models

    In a recent paper, Stanford researchers Mason Kamb and Surya Ganguli proposed a mechanism that could underlie the creativity of diffusion models. The mathematical model they developed suggests that this creativity is a deterministic consequence of how those models use the denoising process to generate images.

    In rough terms, diffusion models are trained to sort of uncover an image from an isotropic Gaussian noise distribution that is the outcome of the training process from a finite set of sample images. This process consists of gradually removing the Gaussian noise by learning a scoring function that points in gradient directions of increasing probability.

    If the network can learn this ideal score function exactly, then they will implement a perfect reversal of the forward process. This, in turn, will only be able to turn Gaussian noise into memorized training examples.

    This means that, to generate new images that are far from the training set, the models must fail to learn the ideal score (IS) function. One way to explain how this occurs is by hypothesizing the presence of inductive biases that may provide a more exact account of what diffusion models are actually doing when creatively generating new samples.

    By analyzing how diffusion models estimate the score function using CNNs, the researchers identify two such biases: translational equivariance and locality. Translational equivariance refers to the model’s tendency to reflect shifts in the input image, meaning that if the input is shifted by a few pixels, the generated image will mirror that shift. Locality, on the other hand, arises from the convolutional neural networks (CNNs) used to learn the score function, which only consider a small neighborhood of input pixels rather than the entire image.

    Based on these insights, the researchers built a mathematical model aimed at optimizing a score function for equivariance and locality, which they called an equivariant local score (ELS) machine.

    An ELS machine is a set of equations that can calculate the composition of denoised images and compared its output with that of diffusion models such as ResNets and UNets trained on simplified models. What they found was “a remarkable and uniform quantitative agreement between the CNN outputs and ELS machine outputs”, with an accuracy of around 90% or higher depending on the acutal diffusion model and dataset considered.

    To our knowledge, this is the first time an analytic theory has explained the creative outputs of a trained deep neural network-based generative model to this level of accuracy. Importantly, the (E)LS machine explains all trained outputs far better than the IS machine.

    According to Ganguli, their research explains how diffusion model create new images “by mixing and matching different local training set image patches at different locations in the new output, yielding a local patch mosaic model of creativity”. The theory also helps explain why diffusion models make mistakes, for example generating excess fingers or limbs, due to excessive locality.

    This result, while compelling, initially excluded diffusion models that incorporate highly non-local self-attention (SA) layers, which violate the locality assumption in the researchers’ hypothesis. To address this, the authors used their ELS machine to predict the output of a publicly available UNet+SA model pretrained on CIFAR-10 and found that it still achieved significantly higher accuracy than the baseline IS machine.

    According to the researchers, their results suggest that locality and equivariance are sufficient to explain the creativity of convolution-only diffusion models and could form the foundation for further study of more complex diffusion models.

    The researchers also shared the code they used to train the diffusion models they used in the study.


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  • UK carmakers on track to meet EV sales target despite intense lobbying to lower quota | Automotive industry

    UK carmakers on track to meet EV sales target despite intense lobbying to lower quota | Automotive industry

    Carmakers are on track to meet existing UK electric car sales targets despite having successfully lobbied the government to water them down.

    Electric car sales made up 21.6% of sales in the first half of 2025, only marginally below the 22.06% share needed to meet existing rules once concessions are taken into account, according to an analysis by New AutoMotive, a thinktank.

    The Conservative government under Rishi Sunak brought in the zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandate. It forced carmakers to sell an increasing proportion of electric cars or face steep fines of up to £15,000 for every vehicle above their fossil fuel quota.

    However, in April the business secretary, Jonathan Reynolds, confirmed the Labour government would relax the rules after an intensive lobbying campaign by the UK car industry against the policy.

    The Vauxhall maker Stellantis blamed its decision to close its Luton van factory on the mandate, although earlier comments by executives appeared to undermine that argument.

    Carmakers are aiming for a headline target of 28% electric sales to avoid fines this year, but “flexibilities” within the rules mean the effective target – as calculated by New AutoMotive – is much lower.

    That is because manufacturers are allowed to borrow electric sales from later years and to gain credit for cutting emissions by selling more hybrids. After the government climbdown manufacturers are to be given more freedom on how they meet their yearly targets and to face lower fines.

    Ben Nelmes, the chief executive of New AutoMotive, said: “Carmakers are within touching distance of their targets for 2025 before taking into account the government’s decision to weaken the targets for this year.

    “This impressive progress should reassure ministers that ambitious targets spur the innovation and dynamism the UK needs to achieve net zero and get ahead in the global shift towards electric vehicles.”

    Weakening the rules could benefit individual carmakers in particular. New AutoMotive’s analysis suggests the Japanese carmaker Nissan is the farthest away from what it needs to achieve in 2025, as it waits for its factory in Sunderland in northern England to start production of its new Leaf electric car.

    Toyota and JLR, maker of the Jaguar and Land Rover brands, are also well behind their effective targets.

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    The decision to weaken the targets is expected to mean significant extra carbon emissions, despite government claims that the impact would be “negligible”.

    The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders chief executive, Mike Hawes, said that with one in four new car buyers choosing an EV last month, the market was moving forward “but not at the pace needed”.

    “The headline figures belie the fact that just 13% of private buyers have gone fully electric this year, with growth driven by fleets which benefit from compelling fiscal incentives,” said Hawes.

    “The lack of natural demand among private consumers has forced manufacturers into unsustainable discounting and led them to seek increased regulatory flexibilities to avoid the double whammy of having to incentivise sales and pay punitive fines.”

    Britons were wary of going electric for a number of reasons, including higher vehicle costs and an inconsistent and expensive array of public charge points, Hawes said, adding: “The best way to encourage drivers to trade in their older, more polluting vehicles for new zero emission ones would be for government to emulate other countries and reintroduce the compelling purchase incentives it once provided.”

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  • OPEC’s New Supply Shock Nails On Oil Market’s Return to Surplus

    OPEC’s New Supply Shock Nails On Oil Market’s Return to Surplus

    The latest oil supply shockwave unleashed by OPEC+ is set to swell a surplus later this year, pressuring prices for producers the world over while answering US President Donald Trump’s calls for lower fuel costs.

    OPEC and its allies have reason to believe the surge will find buyers, at least in the short-term, and price hikes by group leader Saudi Arabia following the decision symbolize that confidence. But even before Saturday’s surprise move — taken after just 10 minutes on a video conference call — global oil markets already seemed to be on borrowed time before the arrival of a winter glut.

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  • Why That Guy Who Sold Bitcoin at $100 Wasn’t Actually Stupid

    Why That Guy Who Sold Bitcoin at $100 Wasn’t Actually Stupid

    Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.

    A Reddit post struck a nerve in the crypto community, sparking heated debate over one of investing’s most painful questions: When do you take profits?

    The post’s central thesis is brutally simple: Despite what keyboard warriors claim today, virtually everyone who bought Bitcoin in its early days would have sold long before it reached current prices. And according to the poster—and basic investment principles—they would have been right to do so.

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    The Reddit discussion reveals a fundamental tension between investment theory and human psychology. As one commenter noted, “If you 500x an investment yeah you sold lol.”

    The math is compelling: If you bought Bitcoin at $1 and watched it climb to $100, you’d have made a 10,000% return. Taking profits at that point wasn’t paper hands—it was prudent risk management. The fact that Bitcoin later reached $60,000+ doesn’t retroactively make selling at $100 a mistake.

    “Nothing is guaranteed in investing,” the original poster emphasized. “Anyone who saw their investment multiply by 1000x and didn’t cash out was essentially gambling.”

    One of the most insightful comments came from a user who highlighted how net worth influences selling decisions. A college student watching $500 turn into $10,000 faces a completely different calculus than a wealthy investor seeing the same percentage gain on a larger portfolio.

    For the student, that $10,000 could mean a reliable car, reduced student debt, or a house down payment. For someone with substantial assets, letting it ride might make more sense as “play money.”

    This observation cuts to the heart of position sizing and risk management—concepts that crypto’s “diamond hands” culture often overlooks.

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    Not everyone agreed with the “everyone would have sold” narrative. Several commenters claimed to have held through massive gains, with one user reporting 300x returns while vowing to “never sell Bitcoin even at x3000.”

    These holders share a common belief: Bitcoin represents a fundamental shift away from traditional currency, making it a “once in a lifetime” investment opportunity. As one put it, “Bitcoin’s price is only expected to rise and fiat is only expected to plummet.”

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  • Q2 2025 Recap: 7 Top FDA Approvals

    Q2 2025 Recap: 7 Top FDA Approvals

    The second quarter of 2025 delivered a wave of impactful FDA approvals across a spectrum of rare and chronic diseases, expanding treatment options and advancing precision medicine. Highlights included the first-ever therapies approved for immunoglobulin G4-related disease with inebilizumab and alkaptonuria with nitisinone, marking long-awaited milestones for underserved patient communities. New approvals for atrasentan in IgA nephropathy and beremagene geperpavec gene therapy for recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa also broke new ground in nephrology and dermatology, respectively, providing innovative options where few existed before.

    Meanwhile, regulatory progress in respiratory and infectious diseases brought approvals like once-daily roflumilast foam for scalp and body psoriasis, mepolizumab for eosinophilic COPD, and clesrovimab for RSV prevention in infants, reflecting a trend toward targeted therapies that simplify treatment and improve adherence. Additionally, the approval of twice-yearly lenacapavir for HIV prevention offered a transformative new approach to PrEP, while new treatments for giant cell arteritis and generalized myasthenia gravis underscored the quarter’s broad reach in expanding care.

    Check out this Q2 2025 FDA news month in review for a recap of HCPLive’s coverage of the top FDA approvals and research from the past few months:

    Top FDA Approvals in Q2 2025:

    1. Atrasentan (Vanrafia)
    Date: April 2, 2025

    Indication: Reducing proteinuria in patients with IgA nephropathy (IgAN)

    Background: Approval based on interim results from the phase 3 ALIGN trial, where atrasentan demonstrated significant reductions in proteinuria. These findings support its use as a disease-modifying therapy in IgAN, addressing a critical unmet need in this patient population.

    Related Content: Understanding Atrasentan (Vanrafia) for IgA Nephropathy, with Richard Lafayette, MD

    2. Inebilizumab (Uplizna)
    Date: April 3, 2025

    Indication: Treatment of adults with immunoglobulin G4-related disease (IgG4-RD)

    Background: Approval supported by data from the phase 3 NATRON trial, in which inebilizumab significantly reduced the risk of disease flare compared to placebo. This marks the first FDA-approved therapy specifically for IgG4-RD, a chronic fibroinflammatory condition previously managed with less targeted treatments.

    3. Beremagene Geperpavec (Vyjuvek)
    Date: April 29, 2025

    Indication: Treatment of recessive dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (RDEB)

    Background: Approval based on data from the GEM-3 trial, showing Vyjuvek, a topical gene therapy, significantly improved wound healing and skin integrity in patients with RDEB. Vyjuvek is the first gene therapy approved for this devastating genetic skin disorder.

    4. Upadacitinib (Rinvoq)
    Date: April 29, 2025

    Indication: Treatment of giant cell arteritis (GCA) in adults

    Background: Approval based on results from the SELECT-GCA trial, where upadacitinib achieved sustained remission and reduced glucocorticoid use. This provides a novel oral treatment option for patients with GCA, expanding therapeutic choices for this inflammatory vascular disease.

    5. Nipocalimab (Zilbrysq)
    Date: April 30, 2025

    Indication: Treatment of generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG) in adults and children aged ≥12 years

    Background: Approval based on data from the Vivacity-MG study, which demonstrated that nipocalimab significantly improved muscle strength and reduced disease severity in patients with gMG, offering a new targeted therapy for this neuromuscular disorder.

    6. Mepolizumab (Nucala)
    Date: May 22, 2025

    Indication: Treatment of eosinophilic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)

    Background: Approval based on phase 3 trials demonstrating mepolizumab significantly reduced exacerbation rates in patients with elevated eosinophil counts. Mepolizumab becomes the first biologic approved for this COPD phenotype, marking an advance in personalized respiratory care.

    7. Roflumilast Foam 0.3% (Zoryve)
    Date: May 22, 2025

    Indication: Treatment of plaque psoriasis involving the scalp and body in patients aged ≥12 years

    Background: Approval supported by positive results from the phase 3 ARRECTOR trial, where once-daily roflumilast foam provided significant improvements in psoriasis affecting hard-to-treat areas like the scalp. This non-steroidal topical option expands treatment choices for patients.

    Related content: Understanding Roflumilast Foam’s FDA Approval for Scalp and Body Psoriasis, with Jennifer Soung, MD

    8. Clesrovimab (Enflonsia)
    Date: June 9, 2025

    Indication: Prevention of RSV lower respiratory tract disease in neonates and infants entering their first RSV season

    Background: Approval based on pivotal phase 2b/3 CLEVER trial data, which showed clesrovimab reduced RSV-associated medically attended lower respiratory infections by 60.5% and hospitalizations by 84.3% through 5 months. Enflonsia is the first RSV preventive given at a fixed 105 mg dose regardless of weight, offering durable protection for infants.

    Related Content: RX Review: RSV Prevention Strategies and the Changing Epidemiologic Landscape

    9. Garadacimab-gxii (ANDEMBRY)
    Date: June 16, 2025

    Indication: Prophylactic prevention of hereditary angioedema (HAE) attacks in patients aged ≥12 years

    Background: Approval based on the phase 3 VANGUARD trial, where garadacimab-gxii achieved ≥99% median reduction in HAE attacks compared to placebo, with 62% of treated patients remaining attack-free. ANDEMBRY is the first HAE therapy targeting factor XIIa, offering once-monthly subcutaneous administration.

    https://www.hcplive.com/view/fda-approves-first-twice-yearly-hiv-prevention-option

    FDA Approves Lenacapavir, First Twice-Yearly HIV Prevention Option

    On June 18, 2025, Gilead announced FDA approval of lenacapavir (Yeztugo) as a twice-yearly injectable pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for preventing sexually acquired HIV in adults and adolescents weighing at least 35 kg. Based on phase 3 PURPOSE 1 and PURPOSE 2 trials, lenacapavir demonstrated superior efficacy with zero HIV infections in cisgender women during the study and significantly fewer infections in men and gender-diverse individuals compared to daily oral PrEP. This novel dosing regimen offers a transformative option to improve adherence and reduce stigma associated with more frequent PrEP dosing.

    FDA Approves Nitisinone (HARLIKU) for Treatment of Alkaptonuria

    On June 19, 2025, Cycle Pharmaceuticals announced FDA approval of nitisinone (HARLIKU) for reducing urine homogentisic acid in adults with alkaptonuria (AKU), making it the first and only treatment approved for this rare genetic disorder. Based on a post-hoc analysis of a 2009 trial, nitisinone demonstrated improvements in patient-reported outcomes and physical function over three years, supporting its efficacy despite the original trial missing its primary endpoint. HARLIKU’s approval offers a long-awaited option to address the significant disease burden, including joint damage and decreased mobility, in AKU patients.

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  • 3 Reasons the US Dollar Is Losing Value — and Why It Might Be Good for Your Wallet

    3 Reasons the US Dollar Is Losing Value — and Why It Might Be Good for Your Wallet

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    The U.S. dollar has long been recognized as an important currency around the world, but there have been growing concerns this year that it may be losing value.

    Be Aware: Fidelity Says This Is a Surprising Risk of Holding Too Much Cash — Do You Have Too Much

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    According to J.P. Morgan, “The U.S. dollar is the world’s primary reserve currency, and it is also the most widely used currency for trade and other international transactions. However, its hegemony has come into question in recent times due to geopolitical and geostrategic shifts.”

    Specifically, J.P. Morgan noted a few reasons the U.S. dollar is losing value. It pointed to the following reasons for de-dollarization, which is the significant reduction in the use of the dollar in world trade and money transactions:

    • In the commodities space, energy transactions are more often being priced in non-USD currencies.

    • U.S. banks are not being involved in new payment systems used for cross-border deals.

    • The USD’s share of FX reserves, a commonly used barometer of dollar importance, has decreased.

    I’m a Financial Advisor: My Wealthiest Clients All Do These 3 Things

    Some financial experts who talked to GOBankingRates said there are a few ways the U.S. dollar losing value may be a good thing for the average American’s wallet.

    Annie Cole, EdD, money coach and founder of Money Essentials for Women, said to think about it this way: Imagine the U.S. dollar is tied equally with the European currency — the euro. Suddenly, the U.S. dollar weakens, making European businesses more likely to look to buy American goods over European goods.

    Cole said this kickstarts a cycle of foreign countries buying American goods, injecting the American economy with outside cash, potentially creating increased demand for American goods and perhaps creating more American jobs.

    According to Andrew Lokenauth, money expert and owner of BeFluentInFinance, “Here’s what I tell my clients — a weaker dollar typically means stronger stock market returns. My portfolio analysis shows that when the dollar drops 10%, multinational companies in the S&P 500 often see earnings jump 15 to 20% due to overseas revenue conversion.”

    Finally, Lokenauth added that inflation from a weakening dollar can benefit homeowners with fixed-rate mortgages. According to him, a 5% annual inflation rate essentially gives a homeowner a 5% discount on their mortgage balance in real terms.

    More From GOBankingRates

    This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: J.P. Morgan: 3 Reasons the US Dollar Is Losing Value — and Why It Might Be Good for Your Wallet

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  • Japan’s rice crisis – Full Story podcast | Japan

    Japan’s rice crisis – Full Story podcast | Japan

    Home-grown rice is a key part of Japanese culture, identity and politics, dating back thousands of years.

    So much so that any disruption can spark a wave of consumer anger, reaching even the highest echelons of power. But as the country grapples with a shortage of the grain, locals are asking whether it’s finally time to learn to love the imported version.

    Reged Ahmad speaks to the Guardian’s Japan and Korea correspondent, Justin McCurry, in Osaka.

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  • RBA tipped to cut cash rate for third time this year in bid to boost household spending | Reserve Bank of Australia

    RBA tipped to cut cash rate for third time this year in bid to boost household spending | Reserve Bank of Australia

    The Reserve Bank is expected to cut the cash rate for the third time this year on Tuesday, in a move that will give further relief to millions of householders with a mortgage – and hopefully spark some life into Australia’s struggling economy.

    The economics teams at Australia’s four largest banks are now unanimous that the RBA board will lower the central bank’s cash rate target by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.6% at the end of the board’s two-day meeting.

    Traders in financial markets are even more bullish, pricing in consecutive 0.25 percentage point rate cuts in July and August, followed by a third by November.

    That would take the cash rate to 3.1% from 3.85%, but experts are less convinced rates will fall that far this year, with most suggesting two cuts, rather than three, is more likely.

    Whatever the case, the outcome will mean interest bills will be hundreds of dollars lower for borrowers, who emerged from the pandemic period with more debt than ever.

    A rate cut on Tuesday will drop the repayment on a $500,000 home loan from $3,200 per month to $3,124 – a saving of $76.

    That’s a saving of about $230 per month by the time the RBA rate cuts in February, May and potentially next week are passed on to borrowers.

    Graph showing the change in price of selected goods and services in Australia

    So far, however, the prospect of lower interest bills for the 3.3m mortgaged households has done surprisingly little to boost consumer spending.

    Total household spending has barely budged this year, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, with signs of life only emerging in the latest figures from May.

    NAB’s head of market economics, Tapas Strickland, said consumption was on track for another weak quarter.

    “That still argues to the view that the RBA should cut rates next week, and quickly bring the cash rate down towards neutral” – or to 3.1% by November, he said.

    Retail sales have been particularly weak.

    After bouncing around wildly as the country went in and out of Covid lockdowns, sales per person, and after adjusting for inflation, have steadily declined to be only 4.5% above pre-pandemic levels, according to figures provided by AMP.

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    Graph showing that real retail spending per person is weak

    While inflation is now firmly under 3% and expected to stay there for the foreseeable future, Australia remains a much more expensive place, a fact we are reminded of every day.

    Prices are 21% higher than they were five years ago, according to the ABS’s consumer price index (CPI).

    Belinda Allen, a senior economist at CBA, said she had been surprised by how consumption was not picking up in response to falling inflation, climbing wages and lower interest rates.

    The CBA’s internal data on its millions of banking customers suggest many Australians are keeping the extra cash in their pockets.

    “We see roughly one-third of all transactions in the economy, (and) there just does seem to have been this shift by the consumer to save and pay down debt rather than spend,” Allen said.

    “We’ve been waiting for this to shift, and it looks like it’s taking longer than we expected.”

    Allen’s early theory is that households remain “scarred” by the experience of the past few years.

    This reticence to spend, alongside the potential fallout from Donald Trump’s trade war, is a key risk to what is otherwise a reasonably positive outlook for the Australian economy in the months ahead, she said.

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