Category: 3. Business

  • Jamie Oliver to relaunch Italian restaurant chain in UK six years after collapse | Jamie Oliver

    Jamie Oliver to relaunch Italian restaurant chain in UK six years after collapse | Jamie Oliver

    Jamie Oliver is to revive his Jamie’s Italian restaurant chain in the UK, more than six years after the celebrity chef’s brand collapsed.

    Jamie’s Italian is poised to be relaunched in the spring, starting with a restaurant in London’s Leicester Square.

    Oliver’s return to the UK restaurant scene is being backed by Brava Hospitality Group – the private equity-backed group that runs the Prezzo chain – which intends to relaunch the brand across the UK.

    “As a chef, having the chance to return to the high street is incredibly important to me,” he said. “I will drive the menus, make sure the sourcing is right, the staff training, and ensure the look and feel of the restaurant is brought to life in the right way.”

    Jamie’s Italian was first launched with his mentor, the chef Gennaro Contaldo, in Oxford in 2008. The brand was expanded to about 40 sites at its peak, before a series of restructuring programmes started to reduce the number of locations from 2017.

    Two years later the now 50-year-old was forced to call in the administrators after a sales process that sought to bring in new investment into the business proved unsuccessful.

    In an email to staff at the time, Oliver blamed “the well-publicised struggles of the casual dining sector and decline of the UK high street, along with soaring business rates”.

    Oliver’s return comes at a time when the hospitality industry faces several challenges including soaring food inflation, increasing wage costs and lacklustre trade as consumers rein in spending on non-essentials amid higher household bills.

    “In theory it’s not the easiest time to return but conversely, I think it’s the perfect time,” Oliver said. “I believe the mid-market needs excitement, surprise and delight and that’s exactly what I am planning on delivering.”

    The failure of Jamie’s Italian in 2019 resulted in 1,000 job losses.

    After the collapse of the UK business, the Jamie’s Italian brand continued to operate overseas and it has more than 30 restaurants in 25 countries. Overall, Oliver still has about 70 restaurants around the world run by franchise partners.

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    Ed Loftus, the global director of Jamie Oliver Restaurants, said the partnership with Brava “marks an exciting next chapter” for the group in the UK.

    “Our priority is making the first location exceptional,” he said. “The public will ultimately determine how quickly and how far we grow.”

    Financial filings released in October showed that Oliver and his wife, Jools, paid themselves £2.5m in dividends for the second year in a row, as pre-tax profits at their core media and restaurant empire slumped.

    Pre-tax profits at Jamie Oliver Holdings (JOH) fell by £1m to £2.4m last year. This was despite a 6% rise in sales to £28.6m, helped by an increase in restaurant income after the November 2023 opening of his first directly run restaurant since the collapse of his UK empire.

    JOH includes Oliver’s media interests such as TV production, books, endorsements, his cookery school and his restaurant, as well as franchise income from the overseas outlets, fees for promoting the supermarket Tesco, and royalties from products bearing his name.

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  • Rolls-Royce signs strategic collaboration partnership with Assystem, AtkinsRéalis and Frazer-Nash to support its nuclear growth ambitions

    Rolls-Royce signs strategic collaboration partnership with Assystem, AtkinsRéalis and Frazer-Nash to support its nuclear growth ambitions

    Rolls-Royce Submarines has signed an innovative contract with industry experts Assystem, AtkinsRéalis and Frazer-Nash to boost collaboration and gain benefit from the unique nuclear capabilities of each company.

    The new Capability Assured Strategic Partnership (CASP) backs UK based businesses and represents a step forward in bringing together nuclear capability to better support the UK Royal Navy’s submarines programme and the wider Defence Nuclear Enterprise.

    With a value of up to £400m, this strategic alliance represents one of the largest single supply chain contracts in the history of Rolls-Royce Submarines. Having worked with all three partners for over 20 years, they are uniquely placed to support its future growth ambitions in advanced nuclear technologies.

    It represents a long-term commitment from the partners to deliver the collective engineering capabilities, nuclear expertise, and other professional services that Rolls-Royce can utilise to meet growing demand from the Ministry of Defence, and beyond.

    In March 2023, it was confirmed that Rolls-Royce Submarines would provide all the nuclear reactor plants that will power new attack submarines as part of the tri-lateral agreement between Australia, the UK and US.

    This increase in demand from the Ministry of Defence and the AUKUS agreement means Rolls-Royce plans to double the footprint of its Raynesway site in Derby to support both UK and Australian defence programs. Delivering the Defence Industrial Strategy, the build of new manufacturing and office facilities will create more than 1,000 skilled roles across a range of disciplines, including manufacturing and engineering, plus hundreds more across the supply chain.

    Rolls-Royce has powered the UK Royal Navy’s nuclear submarines for over 65 years and is the only private company in the world with the nuclear capability to manage reactor design, manufacture and decommissioning within one single entity.


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  • French dispute gives EU judges chance to clarify trade mark law, says expert

    French dispute gives EU judges chance to clarify trade mark law, says expert

    Fabian Klein of Pinsent Masons said the Court of Justice of the EU (CJEU) should confirm that the impression considered to be left on consumers by trade marks should be assessed by looking at what they might confer about the characteristics of goods or services those marks cover in tandem with what they might also confer about the companies behind them.

    Providing that clarification would account for the different legal functions of a trade mark, he said.

    Klein was commenting after advocate general Nicholas Emiliou issued his non-binding opinion in a trade mark case that has come before the CJEU – and ahead of the CJEU issuing its formal judgment in the case in the months ahead.

    The case referred to the CJEU involves a dispute that has arisen in France over trade mark rights asserted in relation to, among other things, luxury leather accessories. The dispute, which has reached the French Supreme Court, is between rival manufacturers Fauré Le Page Paris SAS (FLP Paris) and Goyard ST-Honoré SAS (Goyard).

    FLP Paris was established in 2009, but Goyard claims that a trade mark the company has registered gives consumers the misleading impression that company was established in 1717 and that, as a result, the goods it produces that are covered by the mark are made according to the know-how of a centuries-old company and are of a certain quality. Goyard has argued that this runs contrary to French and EU trade mark law.

    EU trade mark law provides that applicants should be refused registration of trade marks that “are of such a nature as to deceive the public, for instance as to the nature, quality or geographical origin of the goods or service”. Where trade marks of that kind have already been registered, they are liable to be declared invalid.

    The Fauré Le Page brand is centuries old. The ‘Fauré Le Page’ trade mark previously belonged to a company called Maison Fauré Le Page, which was dissolved in 1992. Maison Fauré Le Page had sold leather accessories in Paris since 1716. FLP Paris acquired the mark in 2009 from the company that it was transferred to when Maison Fauré Le Page dissolved.

    Subsequently, FLP Paris registered further trade marks for ‘Fauré Le Page 1717’ and one of its sister companies began selling leather goods bearing that branding in a shop in Paris and within a department store. Goyard asked the French courts to declare the Fauré Le Page 1717 trade marks invalid.

    Goyard was initially unsuccessful with its court action in France, but in 2021 the Paris Court of Appeal sided with it. Fauré Le Page appealed against that judgment before the French Supreme Court, which has now asked the CJEU to help it resolve the dispute by clarifying how EU trade mark law is to be interpreted. To help the CJEU in that task, advocate general Emiliou was assigned to examine the legal questions the case raises and issue a non-binding opinion. That opinion was published last week.

    According to advocate general Emiliou, EU trade mark law is to be interpreted as meaning that the inclusion, in a trade mark, of a year which may be understood by the public as indicating the year of establishment of the trade mark’s proprietor, when that is not the case, cannot, in itself, lead to the invalidity of that mark.

    Instead, Emiliou said, a trade mark can only be declared invalid on the basis that it deceives the public if it is “of such a nature as to deceive the public as to a characteristic of the goods or services that it covers and must constitute a sufficiently specific designation of that characteristic”. He added that any circumstance external to the mark itself or the list of goods and services covered by it, as presented at the time of the application for registration, should not be taken into account in that assessment. This includes the actual year of establishment of the trade mark’s current owner, he said.

    Klein said the opinion “does not consider the full range of functions that a trade mark serves”.

    “It is standing case law that the primary function of a trade mark is to indicate the origin of the goods, and thus to link it to a specific economic operator,” Klein said. “Besides that, it is acknowledged that a trade mark also has a quality function and an advertising function. True, the provisions prohibiting deceiving trade marks focus on elements of the goods or services themselves, not the company behind it. However, a comprehensive trade mark system needs to consider all different trade mark functions, including during the registration phase. I am therefore not fully convinced that the characteristics of the goods or services can or should be separated from the characteristics of its commercial origin.”

    “This seems like an artificial separation that consumers would not make – especially not in the area of luxury goods where prices are rarely justifiable by the characteristics of the goods alone, separated from the company and its reputation,” he said.

    Klein said that, in Germany, even if the courts took the same view as advocate general Emiliou, the use of brands such as the trade marks at issue in this case might be liable to challenge under unfair competition laws.

    He said: “Unfair competition laws prohibit the conveying of false information about the company behind the product. So, even if Fauré Le Page were able to keep its trade mark, the use of the ‘1717’ element of that mark on its products could be prohibited on the grounds of unfair competition.”

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  • Brits overestimate cost of electric cars by £5,000 – lloydsbankinggroup.com

    1. Brits overestimate cost of electric cars by £5,000  lloydsbankinggroup.com
    2. How Subscriptions and Flexible Ownership Models Are Rewriting the EV Adoption Curve  observer.com
    3. British motorists falling for ‘stubborn myth’ as millions overestimate price of electric cars  GB News
    4. Global EV Driver Survey 2025: charging gaps, myths, policy  тарантас ньюс
    5. Why many drivers still hesitate to buy EVs  Daily Times

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  • Accelerating Power Demand from Data Centers Is Poised to Boost New Energy Technologies

    Accelerating Power Demand from Data Centers Is Poised to Boost New Energy Technologies

    “This is a moment of significant growth in power demand,” says Kara Succoso Mangone, the head of the Sustainable Finance Group at Goldman Sachs. “At the same time, we continue to hit record levels of global investment in the energy transition, which includes renewable projects as well as newer, innovative technologies.”

    This megatrend is bringing fresh urgency to the development of groundbreaking energy technologies and longstanding alternatives such as nuclear and geothermal power. It also underscores the critical need for significant investment in the grid, both to address aging infrastructure and to support load growth from a variety of energy sources, including renewables.

    Rising power demand is also driving the need for financing solutions to support the rollout of projects up and down the supply chain. We spoke with Mangone about the opportunities and challenges in this new era.

    What types of energy sources are being procured to meet the accelerating demand for power?

    We are seeing a broad range of approaches to sourcing energy. For many of our clients, there is an opportunity to support this rise in energy demand with traditional sources. That could be existing resources like natural gas in some markets.

    Yet there is also an expectation that this acceleration in energy demand can be met with innovative technologies that produce less greenhouse gas emissions. This may include established renewable sources like solar and wind, or technologies that are higher on the cost curve, such as clean hydrogen and biofuels. A lot of this is dependent on the market and the region. Across the board, we see the benefits of developing a diverse strategy to sourcing energy or taking an all-of-the-above approach.

    Is rising demand a boon for nuclear and geothermal power?

    Yes, it is driving a higher level of engagement on technologies that a few years ago were viewed as too expensive or too far out.

    We’re seeing momentum in nuclear power with clients across our business. There have been a number of deal announcements from hyperscalers committing to the procurement of nuclear fusion and fission power from newly planned and existing plants. The deals are driven by the need for reliable, baseload power, and have led to increased investments in advanced nuclear technologies such as Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). Fusion energy, in particular, is showing signs of progressing towards commercial production, with potential for commercialization in the 2030s.

    We are supporting clients in this space, including through the raise of approximately $1 billion in the public markets for a nuclear power company developing next-generation fission technology. To support the buildout of nuclear capacity, you are also going to need a lot of uranium. This makes its supply chain, including everything from uranium mining to manufacturing the fuel for different SMR designs, really important. In the US specifically, we are doing a lot of work to finance critical supply chains of minerals related to uranium.

    There are additional tailwinds for nuclear right now. You have the US government focused on nuclear development and deployment. Washington sees it as a real solution to the demand problem and is working to de-risk projects which have historically been challenged by delays and cost overruns. This renewed interest in nuclear’s potential is also evident from other governments, which are prioritizing energy security and decarbonization. Nuclear power is largely emissions-free. While it has seen periods of resurgence before, this time may be different because you have all these tailwinds coming together.

    As for geothermal power, it, too, may be a beneficiary of rising demand. Today it makes up a fraction of global electricity generation but is a proven technology that has the potential to scale. For next-generation systems, both continued innovation to de-risk projects and significant investment are crucial for widespread, cost-effective deployment. We helped raise $244 million in capital in 2024 to help a client accelerate deployment of next-generation geothermal technology. 

    Which energy technologies will be the fastest to develop and bring to market?

    This depends on the market and the region. Governments face the challenging task of balancing energy affordability and reliability with climate objectives. As such, they are focused on building power systems and infrastructure with a level of resiliency and responsiveness that can adapt to an evolving landscape.

    So, I do think this concept of fastest to develop is really dependent on what the natural or available resources are in a particular country, and what their competitive advantage may be. In many markets today, traditional sources like natural gas will be the fastest to market.

    This may also be renewables, which set a record for deployment globally in 2024 for the 23rd year in a row, according to the International Energy Agency. In some countries—Thailand, Vietnam—it is cheaper to produce solar power than it is to procure fossil fuel power. It’s important to consider supply chains as well since they provide critical components, including rare earths for batteries which remain heavily concentrated in China.

    In some cases, there is also significant opportunity to leverage better efficiency and grid solutions that can curtail demand and optimize resource use. This includes investments to better integrate diverse energy sources and enhance grid resilience, such as smart grid technologies and infrastructure upgrades.

    Beyond traditional energy sources and renewables that are at commercial scale, there are other technologies, such as fuel cells, which are quickly ramping in their speed to market. Fuel cell systems, which convert chemical energy into electricity, can be rapidly deployed. These systems are often designed as modular units that can be installed in less than a year to provide reliable power for critical infrastructure like data centers. This is a key advantage.

    Which emerging technologies are shaping up to be the most affordable?

    There are a few forces at work in terms of affordability. Adoption of new innovations has really jumped. Look at electric vehicle (EV) sales, which increased by 3.5 million units sold last year, to 17 million globally. This increase year over year is more than all of the EVs sold in 2020. China has obviously ramped up significantly in the space.

    On the other hand, hydrogen and carbon capture have historically faced slower adoption, largely due to their higher current costs and less mature technology.

    Even so, carbon capture is viewed as a technology that is very important to fulfill decarbonization goals. If you imagine we’re in a world in which energy demand is growing and therefore power production is growing and greenhouse gas emissions may grow, carbon capture could be an important tool for governments and corporations that want to maintain their commitment to the reduction of emissions.

    Over time, further innovation can help drive down the cost of these technologies and there are also ways to encourage adoption vis-à-vis policy incentives. These can either help on the supply side to reduce production costs or catalyze demand by making the technologies more accessible and cheaper for end-users.

    And which energy technologies are poised to be the most reliable?

    This is a really important consideration given the confluence of megatrends we see. There is the onshoring of manufacturing, a heavy focus by governments on energy security, the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence, and the rapid buildout of data centers to support it. Reliable power is critical.

    There are traditional energy sources that provide reliability today like natural gas. At a lower emissions profile you have renewables like solar and wind, but they come with challenges related to intermittency. This is where long-duration energy storage technologies become crucial, offering solutions to store excess renewable power and dispatch it when needed. This improves grid stability and reliability while mitigating price volatility. Nuclear is also a source of low-carbon, reliable power.

    How will financing play a role in the development of new energy innovations, particularly decarbonization-related technologies?

    We’re seeing a broad range of ideas and capital flowing through public and private markets. For instance, private capital raises for advanced nuclear have surged 13 times compared to 2023. And for geothermal, we’ve seen roughly $900 million in private capital directed towards next-generation technologies and projects over the last five years. Financing is essential for scaling solutions like power storage and grid modernization, where we are also spending time with clients, especially when you consider the massive opportunity: Goldman Sachs Research estimates that the cumulative market for digital infrastructure and power funding on a global basis is about $5 trillion.

    Beyond new energy technologies, what additional themes are clients focused on with respect to the energy transition?

    Along with resilience, resource scarcity—including water scarcity—is a theme that is definitely top-of-mind for many of our clients. They are trying to think through how to evaluate the potential risks associated with climate change. This is true whether you are an asset manager or a corporation with an integrated supply chain around the world.

    There is an opportunity side to this as well given private finance for nature-related investments and natural capital assets has increased 11-fold between 2020 and 2024, to more than $102 billion. Nature-based solutions have emerged as an important financing mechanism to restore, protect, and manage landscapes that can sequester carbon and improve biodiversity.

    Scaling commercial solutions in this area requires a sophisticated approach to measuring impacts. As a result, we are working with clients and non-profit partners to look at ways to advance AI models that can help improve nature-related insights. While the natural capital market is still in nascent stages, it’s certainly an area where we are seeing increasing engagement from our clients.

    Read more about how Goldman Sachs is delivering market-based solutions to clients in our recent Sustainability Report.

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  • Toyota introduces the GR GT3

    Toyota introduces the GR GT3

    The Toyota GR GT3 embodies the Toyota Gazoo Racing (TGR) philosophy of continuous improvement in racing car design. Toyota Motor Corporation chairman Akio Toyoda, also known as Master Driver Morizo, oversaw the GR GT3’s collaborative development process. Professional drivers Tatsuya Kataoka, Hiroaki Ishiura and Naoya Gamou, amateur driver Daisuke Toyoda, and the company’s inhouse test drivers worked closely with the project engineers. The approach was to listen, understand and respond to drivers’ needs. The result is the GT GT3.

    A racing car made for drivers

    The GR GT3 has inherited the GR GT’s three major advantages: a low centre of gravity, lightweight with high rigidity, and fine-tuned aerodynamics. Designed according to FIA GT3 standards – the top category of production vehicle racing cars – it is a car for winners, yet driveable by anyone.

    The Toyota Driver First Philosophy behind the GR GT’s design is just as important for GT3, where professionals and amateurs compete together. Alongside the GR GT3 improvement process, TGR is rolling out a comprehensive customer service to ensure all drivers feel like racing drivers at the wheel.

    All parts were tested on simulators and then tested at the company test centre in Shimoyama and at international circuits Fuji and Nürburgring.

    Development is expected to continue until around 2027, with the intention of replacing the Lexus RC GT3 entry in the LMGT3 class at the 24 Hours of Le Mans and the FIA World Endurance Championship.

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  • Shehbaz govt using Israeli spyware to spy on Baloch people, reveals Amnesty News24 –

    Shehbaz govt using Israeli spyware to spy on Baloch people, reveals Amnesty News24 –

    Pakistan projects itself in opposition of Israel as it has never recognised it as a sovereign nation, and it does not keep any bilateral relations with the country. But, behind the curtains, the story is all together a different one. 

    Pakistan secretly enjoys friendly relations with Netanyahu govt

    Pakistan enjoys secret friendly relations with Israel. It has not only maintained its relations, but also spying against its own people with the help of Israel. 

    The Pakistani government is using Israeli spyware and it is using it against its people in Balochistan. The government is monitoring the movement of Baloch people with the help of spyware, Amnesty International has revealed in its report. 

    ‘Israeli spyware is being used in Pak’

    Amnesty International says in its report that spyware developed by an Israeli company is being actively used by Pakistan. Amnesty says in its report named, ‘Intellexa Leaks’ in which a story of a lawyer in Balochistan was narrated. According to a report, the lawyer received a mysterious link on his Whatsapp from an anonymous number, and later he contacted Amnesty International. 

    The Amnesty security lab checked the link and on the basis of technical behaviour of the infection server identified it as a predator attack. Predator has been developed by Israeli company, Intellexa which is a very aggressive spyware. Amnesty International said in its report that the investigation of the link is based on sensitive documents and other elements. The internal document contained sales and marketing materials and training video. 

    Report was published collectively

    The investigation took place for months and the report was published collectively by inside story in Greece, Haaretz in Israel  and WAV in Switzerland. Google had started sending notifications to hundreds of its users in Pakistan and several other nations of spyware threat.  

    On the other hand, Pakistan has rejected the reports published by Amnesty International. On the condition of anonymity, a senior intelligence officer told Dawn that the attempt was to malign the image of Pakistan, and he stressed that there was no truth in the story. 


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  • Biogen and Stoke Therapeutics Present Data that Further Support the Disease-Modifying Potential of Zorevunersen, an Investigational Medicine for the Treatment of Dravet Syndrome, at the 2025 American Epilepsy Society (AES) Annual Meeting – Biogen

    1. Biogen and Stoke Therapeutics Present Data that Further Support the Disease-Modifying Potential of Zorevunersen, an Investigational Medicine for the Treatment of Dravet Syndrome, at the 2025 American Epilepsy Society (AES) Annual Meeting  Biogen
    2. Biogen and Stoke Therapeutics Present Promising Zorevunersen Data for Dravet Syndrome at 2025 American Epilepsy Society Annual Meeting  Quiver Quantitative

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  • Financial markets now certain the RBA will hike interest rates in 2026 | Australian economy

    Financial markets now certain the RBA will hike interest rates in 2026 | Australian economy

    Financial markets are now pricing in a 100% chance the Reserve Bank will hike rates in 2026, in what would be a blow to mortgage holders but may take some steam out of an overheating property market.

    The latest forecasts represent a turnaround from just two weeks ago, when traders were factoring in an even chance that the next RBA move would be a cut by its May meeting.

    It comes as data showed inflation is now moving in the wrong direction, alongside this week’s national accounts and household spending figures which showed the economy is accelerating into the new year.

    Adam Donaldson, the head of interest rates strategy at the Commonwealth Bank, said “the market has come to the conclusion that the Reserve bank won’t be cutting rates any further”.

    “Basically, from February onwards, the market is starting to price some risk that rates will go up.”

    Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed consumer price growth jumped to 3.8% in the year to October – far higher than expected, and well above the top end of the central bank’s 2-3% target range.

    The pain of higher mortgage costs would be a particular blow to the more than 85,000 first-home buyers this year who have enjoyed three rate cuts in 2025 but now face the prospect of higher repayments.

    Chart showing changes to interest rate predictions over time

    Sally Tindall, the director of data insights at Canstar, said there was a dwindling number of banks offering loans at interest rates of below 5%, and that she expected fixed rates to climb higher from here as banks factored in the shifting expectations around the RBA’s cash rate.

    While outsmarting the banks was a hard task, Tindall said it was possible that fixing your mortgage at the lowest possible rate could work out for borrowers.

    “If it suits your finances, right now, based on current forecasts, wouldn’t be the silliest time to fix – but the key is to shop around.”

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    Three rate cuts this year have helped drive a rapid rise in home prices that has pushed affordability to its worst on record.

    As first-time buyers rushed to take advantage of the federal government’s expanded 5% deposit scheme, property investors have flooded into the market.

    Analysts at Westpac this week said they now expected property prices nationwide to rise by about 8% in 2025, and by as much as 14% in Brisbane and Perth.

    But the changed outlook for interest rates means that instead of accelerating to 9% next year, national home values should instead climb by 6% – only cold comfort to those struggling to get on the property ladder.

    All eyes now turn to Tuesday, when the RBA will deliver its final rates decision for 2025 and before the January break.

    Analysts are confident the central bank’s board will hold the cash rate at 3.6%, but will be looking for any pushback against the financial market’s recent “hawkish” outlook.

    While traders have moved swiftly to switch from predicting rate cuts to hikes, most economists believe the RBA is more likely to hold through 2026.

    AMP’s chief economist, Shane Oliver, has “decided to give up on our view of another cut”.

    But Oliver believes financial markets are overestimating the chance of higher rates.

    Unemployment is trending higher, he said, which means the jobs market is still “a little bit soft”.

    “There’s uncertainty around the reliability of the new monthly consumer price index, and consumer spending seems very dependent on getting discounts, which suggests a degree of fragility.”

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  • Is the dominance of the US dollar unravelling under Trump?

    Is the dominance of the US dollar unravelling under Trump?

    The US has long sat at the centre of the global financial system, with the US dollar serving as the backbone of the world economy. Private investors rely on the dollar as a store of value in times of uncertainty.

    Governments and central banks hold dollars to manage the value of their own currencies and as a form of insurance against economic shocks. Key commodities such as oil are also priced in dollars.

    This dominant position, which has given the US enormous privileges including the capacity to borrow money cheaply and the ability to use the global financial system as a tool of statecraft, is often explained through the size and stability of US markets and the strength of its institutions. But beneath these economic fundamentals lies something more intangible: trust.

    Countries and private financial institutions hold dollars, trade in dollars and borrow in dollars because they trust the US to maintain an open, rules-based international order. They also trust the US to honour contracts, protect property rights and manage the world’s financial plumbing responsibly by acting as an international lender of last resort during periods of crisis.

    The dollar system has long had its critics. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, which occurred between 2007 and 2009, emerging economies faced severe spillovers from US monetary policy and growing exposure to dollar-denominated debt. They also witnessed the increasing use of financial sanctions as a tool of US foreign policy.

    China, Russia, India and other countries outside the west began constructing alternative financial infrastructures – new payment systems, currency swap lines and efforts to internationalise their own currencies. What began as a gradual search for some form of protection from US financial power quietly created cracks at the margins of the dollar-based system.

    However, nothing has been as disorienting to the global role of the dollar as the second Trump administration’s overt attacks on the liberal international economic order. The imposition of sweeping trade tariffs, as well as efforts to undermine international and domestic institutions, represent a fundamental break with the promise of responsible American financial leadership.

    Previous predictions of the dollar’s decline have proved premature. But as we argue in a recently published paper, the erosion of trust in the US as the steward of the liberal international order should be taken seriously. What we are seeing is not the immediate collapse of US financial power, but the beginning of a slow transition towards a fragmented, multipolar – and less predictable – global monetary system.

    The US president, Donald Trump, speaks to the press before boarding a flight to the UK in September 2025.
    Bonnie Cash / EPA

    Rupture of trust

    Three developments stand out. First, Washington’s commitment to the liberal economic order under the leadership of Donald Trump is being widely questioned. Rather than acting as the guarantor of open markets, Trump has reframed global trade as a transactional system where countries must “buy down” US tariffs. This means other countries must essentially now buy American Treasuries and other securities in exchange for access to the US market.

    Second, surging US debt is increasing doubts about US fiscal stability. The Trump administration’s major tax cuts and spending plans are projected to create persistent deficits of around 6% of GDP, and US government debt has ballooned to record levels. This has prompted foreign central banks to reduce their dollar holdings.

    Third, the Trump administration is openly attacking and undermining US government agencies and the country’s central bank, the Federal Reserve. Trump has repeatedly threatened to replace the current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, and dismiss other central bank officials since returning to the White House in January.

    Central bank independence is considered a hallmark of credible monetary governance and undermining it raises doubts about whether the US remains a reliable anchor for the global financial system. According to Reuters, European officials are now openly questioning whether the Fed will continue to supply dollars to overseas central banks at times of financial strife.

    Taken together, these actions are striking at the core foundation of dollar dominance: the assumption that the US will behave predictably, responsibly and with institutional restraint.

    Jerome Powell announcing Fed interest-rate policy in front of a US flag.
    Donald Trump has sought to increase his administration’s control over the Fed, frequently demanding that Jerome Powell is replaced.
    Jim Lo Scalzo / EPA

    Despite the turbulence, no single currency is ready to replace the dollar. China’s renminbi still lacks open capital markets and strong legal protections, while the euro lacks a unified fiscal authority. New digital currency platforms remain experimental or speculative.

    Still, the world is moving towards a more fragmented monetary landscape. Countries are diversifying their reserves into gold and other non-dollar assets. At the same time, regional payment systems are proliferating and dollar-denominated lending to emerging economies is declining.

    Commodities are also priced increasingly in currencies other than the dollar. And no longer are only countries like China retreating from the dollar system, even US allies in Europe are encouraging banks to reduce their reliance on dollar funding.

    The global economy is entering a financial interregnum – a period in which the old order is fading but the new one is not yet born. The dollar’s dominance will not vanish overnight as too many institutions and networks still rely on it. But its uncontested supremacy is coming to an end.

    A fragmented financial system will reduce US leverage, while also making the global economy more complex and, possibly, more crisis-prone. The dollar is not dead. But the world is slowly preparing for life beyond dollar hegemony, and the second Trump administration may be the catalyst that turns long-running dissatisfaction into systemic change.

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