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Frankfurt-based DWS is examining whether the boom could unravel at a faster pace, Hoops said in an interview on Thursday, adding that the many retail investors sitting on big gains on stocks such as Nvidia could be quick to sell if sentiment soured.
While institutional investors studied traditional metrics to assess if stocks are overvalued, retail investors often do not and many ‘buy the dip’ when there are declines, Hoops said. How they would behave during a sustained drop was unknown, he added.
DRUMBEAT OF WARNINGS ABOUT POTENTIAL AI BUBBLE
“There’s no playbook, there’s no real history for something like that,” Hoops said at DWS’s London office.
“What’s happening is this most amazing wealth creation (for retail investors)… Nvidia stock is now worth $5 trillion. My question is simply, could it go to $100 trillion? Or would at some point you be the first one to say, ‘You know what, this is getting shaky?’”
The German giant believes AI will transform industries and Hoops did not predict a tumble, but said more evidence was needed beyond efficiency gains to sustain lofty valuations.
DWS still “loves” the data centre sector – which serves AI-driven demand for computing power – and will invest in more built assets, Hoops said, adding it was selling its stake in data centre fund NorthC as it had matured and the time was right.
REINVIGORATING EUROPEAN GROWTH
DWS’s record net inflows of 40.5 billion euros over the first nine months of this year partly reflected some overseas investors diversifying away from the U.S., Hoops said, although he added European governments needed to do more to boost growth.
($1 = 0.8575 euros)
Reporting by Iain Withers and Tommy Reggiori Wilkes, Additional reporting by Naomi Rovnick
Editing by Gareth Jones
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