Category: 3. Business

  • Evaluating Valuation After Strong Share Price Growth

    Evaluating Valuation After Strong Share Price Growth

    Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX) has shown solid share price growth over the past quarter, with shares climbing nearly 69% in that time. Investors are likely watching closely as the company continues to ride this positive momentum.

    See our latest analysis for Westgold Resources.

    Looking beyond the past quarter, Westgold Resources’ momentum stands out, with an 88.6% share price return year-to-date and a 92.1% total shareholder return over the last year. That kind of sustained outperformance hints that investors are starting to recognize its progress and growth potential, particularly after management’s recent positive updates.

    If this kind of strong momentum has you wondering what other opportunities are out there, now’s a great chance to broaden your scope and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

    With shares up strongly and investor optimism running high, the key question now is whether Westgold’s current price truly reflects the company’s fundamentals or if there remains untapped value for those considering a buy.

    Westgold Resources’ most widely followed valuation narrative suggests the shares have room to run, as its fair value estimate sits well above the latest close. Market optimism is high, yet the reasoning behind this impressive valuation hinges on specific developments that analysts believe could be major game changers.

    Extensive mine and infrastructure upgrades, specifically at Bluebird-South Junction, Beta Hunt, and the Higginsville plant, are expected to materially lift volumes, grades, and operational efficiency over FY ’26. These factors support net margin expansion as higher-quality ore feeds, cost savings, and productivity gains take hold.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Think this is just another bullish take? The calculation behind this upside view leans on projected gains in margins and some aggressive profit forecasts for the next few years. Wondering how analysts arrive at a price nearly a fifth above today’s? Find out the forecasted numbers and the financial logic driving this bold valuation.

    Result: Fair Value of $6.83 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

    However, persistent low ore grades or failure to deliver expected cost reductions could quickly undermine these bullish forecasts and slow Westgold’s upward momentum.

    Find out about the key risks to this Westgold Resources narrative.

    While the fair value estimate sees upside, a look at the price-to-earnings ratio tells a starkly different story. Westgold trades at 148.2 times earnings, which is far above the Australian metals and mining industry’s 19.6x and its peers’ average of 27.5x. Even compared to the fair ratio of 36.2x, the current multiple stands out as steep. This raises the risk the shares might be priced for perfection. Are the expectations built into this premium justified, or could sentiment turn sharply if ambitions are not met?

    See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

    ASX:WGX PE Ratio as at Nov 2025

    If you want to take a different perspective or have your own insights to test, it takes less than three minutes to shape your version of the narrative. Do it your way

    A great starting point for your Westgold Resources research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Seize your chance to uncover untapped opportunities beyond Westgold. Don’t give other investors the first move. Fresh ideas could put you ahead of the market.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

    Companies discussed in this article include WGX.AX.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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  • Klarna Group’s Stock Slides 24% as New Payment Partnerships Spark Valuation Debate

    Klarna Group’s Stock Slides 24% as New Payment Partnerships Spark Valuation Debate

    • Wondering if Klarna Group might be undervalued, or if the recent market buzz is masking hidden risks? You are definitely not alone, and now is the perfect time to dig deeper.

    • In the last month, Klarna Group’s stock has dropped by 24.3%, and it is down a striking 36.6% year-to-date. This performance puts the company firmly on the radar of both contrarian investors and those watching for warning signs.

    • Recently, Klarna has been making headlines with announcements about expanding its payment solutions and forming new partnerships with major retailers. These developments are grabbing investor attention and adding to the stock’s volatility. They could indicate new growth opportunities, but they also raise questions about the sustainability of Klarna’s current strategy and how the market is reacting to these bold steps.

    • According to our valuation checklist, Klarna Group is undervalued in only 1 out of 6 checks right now. Next, we will break down what the numbers actually say and then show you a smarter way to really understand what “fair value” means for stocks like Klarna.

    Klarna Group scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

    The Excess Returns valuation model examines how effectively Klarna Group generates returns above its cost of equity, essentially measuring how much real value is created for shareholders after accounting for the capital invested in the business. This model is especially relevant for financial firms, where return on invested capital and sustainable growth are key drivers of actual intrinsic value.

    Looking at Klarna Group’s latest data, the company has a Book Value of $6.32 per share and is projected to achieve a Stable Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.27, based on weighted future Return on Equity estimates from 8 different analysts. The estimated Cost of Equity stands at $0.64 per share. However, the calculated Excess Return is negative, at $-0.37 per share. Klarna’s average Return on Equity is a modest 3.37%, with a forecasted Stable Book Value of $8.09 per share, as estimated by 5 analysts.

    When applied, the Excess Returns model implies an intrinsic value that is significantly below Klarna’s current share price. The model indicates the stock is overvalued by 15,675.1%. This reflects that Klarna is struggling to generate returns high enough to justify its capital cost and market valuation.

    Result: OVERVALUED

    Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Klarna Group may be overvalued by 15675.1%. Discover 926 undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.

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  • From milking stalls to mobile apps: UN-supported project powers rural revival in Indonesia

    From milking stalls to mobile apps: UN-supported project powers rural revival in Indonesia

    Members of the South Bandung Farming Cooperative (KPBS) have recorded a 38 per cent increase in productive loans and a 43 per cent rise in sales volumes over the past two years, following the introduction of a new business app.

    “Easier access to financing means higher loan volumes, which in turn means more cattle and higher income for our farmers,” said Head of KBPS Aun Gunawan. “This is how financial inclusion leads to improved livelihoods.”

    UN Indonesia/Miklos Gaspar

    Dairy farmers in Indonesia are using a new business-focused app which is helping them to boost sales.

    Founded in 1969, KPBS has 5,000 members and produces 70,000 tons of milk a day. The cooperative operates its own dairy plant, using around 15 per cent of its milk production to manufacture yoghurt and mozzarella cheese, while the remainder is sold to dairy companies in the region. 

    In addition, the cooperative runs a hospital, veterinary service, and a bank—all designed to support members and enhance their well‑being and competitiveness.

    Holistic and healthy

    “We take a holistic approach, and for us it is all about health—not only the health of farmers and their cattle, but also financial health,” Mr Gunawan explained to the heads of United Nations agencies in Indonesia, who visited KPBS as part of their annual Leadership Dialogue on shaping the UN’s trajectory in the country.

    The International Labour Organization (ILO) is now supporting the cooperative in implementing this vision, leveraging digitization to strengthen financial inclusion. The project is implemented in cooperation with the Indonesian Financial Services Authority (OJK) and the Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs.

    A worker checks the pH of semi-fermented milk as part of the cheese-productioin process.

    UN Indonesia/Miklos Gaspar

    A worker checks the pH of semi-fermented milk as part of the cheese-productioin process.

    “KPBS was already a strong, well‑managed business before our involvement,” said Simrin Singh, ILO Country Director for Indonesia and Timor‑Leste. “The tools we have provided have catalyzed further improvements and enhanced livelihoods.”

    Through the Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system business app – introduced by the ILO under a project funded by the Government of Switzerland – farmers can now track their income and expenses, including the cost of fodder provided by the cooperative. 

    They also have 24/7 access to the cooperative’s veterinarians, who can reach farms within 30 minutes. 

    The app records individual animals’ veterinary data, including vaccination schedules, enabling milk collection points to segregate milk from recently vaccinated cows. If mixed with regular milk, such milk could reduce the day’s overall quality—and therefore the selling price.

    Higher volume, better price

    “These practical improvements have contributed not only to higher volumes but also to better prices per litre sold,” Mr Gunawan said.

    The most significant impact, however, has been improved access to finance. The cooperative has operated its own bank since 1993 to provide farmers with credit. 

    With the ERP system, loan applications have become simpler and more accessible, Ms Singh explained. The bank can now view farmers’ financial data – income, liquidity, and outstanding debt – directly through the system, resulting in a higher rate of approved applications.

    Applications have also increased. With the integrated ERP tool, farmers no longer need to travel and queue to complete forms; they can apply directly through the app, where their financial history is already recorded and available to the lending team. 

    Dairy cows feed at a farm in Pangalengan, in West Jave, Indonesia.

    UN Indonesia/Miklos Gaspar

    Dairy cows feed at a farm in Pangalengan, in West Jave, Indonesia.

    “This may sound like a matter of convenience, but it is far more than that,” said dairy farmer Encih Mintarsih. “Farmers cannot easily leave their cattle for half a day, let alone multiple times, to submit an application that may not even be approved. 

    “Now we can apply online and spend our time productively. That makes us far more likely to pursue financing,” she added.

    Towards food self‑sufficiency

    Programmes like this have broader national relevance: strengthening domestic food production and self‑reliance is a top priority for the Government of Indonesia. 

    The country currently imports around 80 per cent of its dairy products. Enhancing the productivity and competitiveness of local milk producers contributes directly to national self‑sufficiency goals.
    It also provides a model for inclusive rural economic growth.

    “In an upper‑middle‑income country like Indonesia, the digital transformation of the economy and improved access to finance are essential for progressing toward high‑income status,” said Gita Sabharwal, UN Resident Coordinator in Indonesia. “For this reason, in close consultation with the Government, digitalization and access to finance are key priorities of the new cooperation framework between the UN and Indonesia.”

    The United Nations Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework (UNSDCF), signed in August 2025 and aligned with the SDGs and Indonesia’s national development agenda, outlines how the UN will contribute to three transformative outcomes in the country, including Economic and Digital Transformation. 

    “This outstanding programme by the ILO demonstrates how the UN can complement the Government’s efforts to accelerate inclusive development using modern technology,” Ms Sabharwal said.

    The project contributes directly to OJK’s Rural Bank Transformation Blueprint, strengthens the inclusive financial ecosystem model, and supports the efforts of the National Committee on Financial Literacy and Inclusion to improve financial literacy and inclusion. It also aligns with national priorities to digitize small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and boost productivity through digital tools.

    “In Indonesia, 90 per cent of jobs are created by SMEs – so improving their competitiveness is critical to ensuring decent work,” Ms Singh said. 

    The intent is for this approach to be rolled out more widely across the country.

    What advice does Mr Gunawan have for other cooperatives and policymakers? “Show farmers clear and tangible benefits, and they will quickly adopt digital technologies,” he said. 

    “Buzzwords like ‘digitization’ and ‘financial inclusion’ must be translated into their daily reality – just as we have done here with the support of the ILO and the UN.”

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  • Chinese pharma is on the cusp of going global – The Economist

    1. Chinese pharma is on the cusp of going global  The Economist
    2. China Ramps Up Experiments on Animals to Help Win Biotech Race  Bloomberg.com
    3. Why China’s pharma market is now a consumer game  Healthcare Asia Magazine
    4. China’s pharma growth shifts from drugs to high-tech manufacturing  Healthcare Asia Magazine
    5. China’s licensing boom reshapes global pharma power  Healthcare Asia Magazine

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  • Bayer reports positive results for blood thinner after 2023 setback

    Bayer reports positive results for blood thinner after 2023 setback

    BERLIN, Nov 23 (Reuters) – German pharma company Bayer (BAYGn.DE), opens new tab reported positive study results for its anticoagulant asundexian on Sunday, two years after a research setback for the promising blood thinner candidate.

    In a Phase III study, a daily dose of 50 milligrams significantly reduced the risk of ischemic stroke compared with a placebo, Bayer said.

    Sign up here.

    Detailed results from the OCEANIC-STROKE study will be presented at an upcoming scientific congress, said Bayer.

    Bayer added that it plans to speak with health authorities worldwide in preparation for the submission of marketing authorisation applications.

    Bayer had originally predicted that asundexian would have peak sales potential of more than 5 billion euros ($5.76 billion) – more than any of its other drugs.

    At the end of 2023, the company had a major setback with the drug after it failed in a pivotal clinical trial involving patients with atrial fibrillation and a risk of stroke.

    ($1 = 0.8687 euros)

    Reporting by Joern Poltz. Writing by Miranda Murray. Editing by Jane Merriman

    Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab

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  • UK and Scottish ministers to hold rival Mossmorran summits

    UK and Scottish ministers to hold rival Mossmorran summits

    Phil Sim and

    Megan Bonar,BBC Scotland

    BBC Douglas Alexander, wearing a navy suit and burgundy tie, sitting on a wall next to Kate Forbes who is wearing a dark blazer and pink top. Behind them is a bridge and water.BBC

    Douglas Alexander and Kate Forbes have both planned separate summits

    The Scottish and UK governments have invited each other to meetings amid confusion over efforts to support the closure-threatened chemical plant at Mossmorran.

    Deputy first minister Kate Forbes is to meet with owners ExxonMobil at the Fife ethylene site on Tuesday, aiming to set up a taskforce alongside Scottish Enterprise.

    But Scottish Secretary Douglas Alexander has called for Forbes to instead join a group led by Fife Council, and to attend a meeting of local business leaders set for Monday.

    The plant is due to close in February, with 179 directly employed jobs at risk alongside those of 250 contractors.

    Getty Images A general view of the ExxonMobil site. There are several tall metal cylinders jutting into a grey sky.Getty Images

    The Fife plant is due to close in February

    Forbes was first to announce a summit, saying on Sunday morning that she would visit the plant alongside Scottish Enterprise while inviting groups including unions, the council and the UK government to meet on Tuesday.

    Ms Forbes said: “Our immediate priority is to explore way to retain employment at the site and support the workforce through this period of uncertainty.

    “In the meantime, this summit will bring together all the key stakeholders and I am keen that we consider every possible option to support the workforce at this distressing time.”

    Alexander then wrote to her saying she should get on board with a council-led taskforce instead, saying there should be a “Team Scotland” approach to supporting the workforce.

    Alexander said it was an incredibly difficult time for workers and he hoped the government will attend the meeting.

    He said: “I look forward to meeting Fife Council tomorrow to discuss how working together we can all best support the workers, mitigate the impact of the closure on the wider Fife economy, and look at alternative uses for the site.

    “It is right that the response is focussed on local needs, and has clear governance structures.”

    Map showing Mossmorran plant in relation to Edinburgh and Kirkcaldy

    Staff were told about plans to cease operations at the Fife site during a meeting on Tuesday morning, where details of financial packages and retraining and relocation support were discussed.

    There is a possibility of 50 staff transferring to the Fawley Petrochemical Complex 480 miles (780km) away in Hampshire.

    Contractors at the plant told BBC Scotland News that the closure announcement came as a shock.

    The site has produced ethylene for about 40 years through a process known as thermal or steam cracking.

    Exxon Mobil said it had been seeking a buyer for several months and it would clean up and then demolish the site once production ends.

    Banner saying Analysis, by Phil Sim, Political correspondent

    This bizarre display of synchronised summitry would almost be funny if there weren’t hundreds of jobs on the line.

    The Scottish and UK governments actually do have a history of working together on issues like this, having jointly committed hundreds of millions of pounds to efforts to secure a green future for Grangemouth.

    However, in this case they seem to be talking past each other and communicating by press release.

    Fife is a key battleground between the SNP and Labour, and both are clearly keen to be seen to stand up for local workers. They both immediately announced they would set up taskforces, apparently without coordinating their efforts.

    Ultimately this is a serious enough issue that following this flurry of meetings they will surely get their ducks in a row and figure out a way to cooperate.

    But Grangemouth is also a reminder that if the private company behind the plant decide it’s shutting, there’s little that any government can do to change that, short of stumping up vast sums to nationalise it.

    Finding alternative employment and supporting the workforce into new roles is going to end up being the true test of the “just transition” that is so often talked about.

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  • What Maplebear’s New Partnerships Mean for Its Current Share Price in 2025

    What Maplebear’s New Partnerships Mean for Its Current Share Price in 2025

    • Ever wondered if Maplebear stock is trading at a price that’s a true bargain, or if there’s more risk than meets the eye? You’re not alone. We’re about to break it all down for you.

    • Maplebear’s share price has seen subtle shifts lately. It ticked up 2.7% over the last month, even after a slight dip of 2.1% in the past week, and it’s down 6.6% since the start of the year.

    • Headlines surrounding Maplebear have brought both excitement and fresh questions as investors digest both opportunity and uncertainty. Recent news has focused on the company’s evolving partnerships and ambitious plans for expanding its on-demand model, which have caught the attention of market watchers and may be helping to shape short-term price trends.

    • On our 6-point valuation scale, Maplebear clocks in at a 2 out of 6, signaling it’s undervalued on two key measures. We’ll unpack what each approach reveals in detail. Make sure to stick around for a smarter way to size up the company’s value at the end of the article.

    Maplebear scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

    A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model estimates what a company is really worth by projecting its future free cash flows and discounting them back to today’s value. This helps investors cut through short-term market noise and focus on the business’s underlying ability to generate cash.

    For Maplebear, the DCF uses the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. Currently, Maplebear generates Free Cash Flow (FCF) of $878.8 Million. Analyst estimates project FCF to increase to $1,080.88 Million by 2029, with further growth anticipated in the following years based on modeled extrapolations.

    Simply Wall St’s DCF analysis values Maplebear’s stock at $94.63 per share. With the current market price reflecting a 57.5% discount to this intrinsic value, the analysis indicates that Maplebear is significantly undervalued according to future cash flow projections.

    Result: UNDERVALUED

    Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Maplebear is undervalued by 57.5%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 926 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

    CART Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

    Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Maplebear.

    The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a popular metric for valuing profitable companies like Maplebear because it reflects how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. It balances market sentiment with the company’s demonstrated ability to generate profits, making it solid for gauging value in established, earnings-generating firms.

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  • How Recent Shifts Are Reshaping the Unisys Growth Story According to Analysts

    How Recent Shifts Are Reshaping the Unisys Growth Story According to Analysts

    Unisys has seen its Fair Value Estimate reduced from $5.75 to $5.25. This reflects a modest shift in analyst sentiment amid evolving market conditions. The unchanged discount rate and flat revenue growth forecast highlight continued uncertainty, with industry headwinds weighing against optimistic long-term projections. As investor opinions remain divided, readers are encouraged to follow along for the latest strategies to track how Unisys’s story develops in the coming months.

    Stay updated as the Fair Value for Unisys shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Unisys.

    Recent analyst coverage of Unisys reflects a divided outlook for the company, with varying opinions on its valuation, growth trajectory, and management’s execution strategy.

    🐂 Bullish Takeaways

    • Needham initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $6 price target. The firm highlights Unisys’s global reach and improving operational environment.

    • There is potential for margin expansion, and the planned removal of Unisys’s U.S. pension plan within five years is seen as a catalyst for a re-rating of the shares, as it would eliminate the pension overhang.

    • Analysts recognize Unisys’s opportunity to return to growth as cyclical pressures ease. Cost control and execution are seen as pivotal strengths.

    🐻 Bearish Takeaways

    • Jefferies initiated Unisys with a Hold rating and a $4 price target. The firm notes stable revenues but would prefer to see a longer period of sustained execution before becoming more positive on the shares.

    • Jefferies remains cautious, citing the need for consistent performance and expressing hesitancy to recommend the stock until execution proves reliable over time.

    Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

    NYSE:UIS Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
    • Unisys lowered its full-year 2025 earnings guidance, now expecting constant currency revenue to decline between 4.0 percent and 3.0 percent due to revised outlooks across both its Legacy & Services and Ex-Legacy & Services segments.

    • The company reported a $55 million goodwill impairment for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, up from $39.1 million a year earlier. This reflects increased challenges within certain business units.

    • Unisys was chosen by the European Commission to lead the EUCybersafe Consortium, providing cybersecurity services to 71 European Union institutions and agencies as part of a four-year contract focused on threat management and incident response.

    • The company expanded its Sustainable Workplace solution in collaboration with Appspace. This initiative aims to deliver advanced space management and real-time workplace data for office environments worldwide.

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  • No recession risk for US economy as a whole, Bessent tells NBC – Reuters

    1. No recession risk for US economy as a whole, Bessent tells NBC  Reuters
    2. Treasury secretary says there won’t be a recession in 2026  NBC News
    3. Bessent: Raising the Debt Ceiling by July Is Essential to Prevent Market Turmoil  Bitget
    4. Bessent says inflation ‘has nothing to do with tariffs’ as U.S. rolls them back: Full interview  Yahoo
    5. Bessent: Interest rate sensitive sectors are in recession, but confident about 2026 growth prospects  MarketScreener

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  • Unions urge Rachel Reeves to deliver ‘living standards budget’ | TUC

    Unions urge Rachel Reeves to deliver ‘living standards budget’ | TUC

    Unions have urged the chancellor to keep focused on raising living standards, targeting child poverty and upping the national minimum wage, in the face of renewed calls from business to change course on employment rights.

    The TUC said that Rachel Reeves must deliver “a living standards budget” on Wednesday to ease the pressure on working households whose incomes have remained stagnant in more than a decade.

    Analysis by the unions showed working people were just £12 a week better off compared with 2008 after a “painful Tory pay hangover”. Real wages grew at an average of just 0.04% each year under the Conservative government between May 2010 and April 2024, it found, while public service workers saw no increase at all.

    It said that had real wages continued to grow as they did from 2000-2008, workers would now be paid £317 per week more.

    Paul Nowak, the TUC general secretary, said: “This budget must be a living standards budget.

    “Households up and down the country [are] still suffering a painful Tory pay hangover – leaving this Labour government with lots of ground to make up.”

    He urged Reeves to “show ambition on the minimum wage”. He also called for action to bring down energy bills, and for scrapping the two-child benefit cap in full.

    The TUC said Reeves should tackle the “child poverty emergency”, announcing new polling by Survation showing 83% of the public agreed no child should be living in poverty in the UK.

    Reeves has signalled she is preparing to lift the two-child cap, according to pre-budget reports.

    Novak said the budget would be “a crucial moment to show ministers are on the side of working people”.

    Business groups meanwhile have renewed calls on the chancellor to “make hard choices for growth” by bringing down the cost of welfare and state pensions, and rethinking the employment rights bill.

    Rain Newton-Smith, the CBI chief executive, said: “If growth is your priority, prove it – make hard choices for it. Against opposition, against short-term politics. Be it welfare, be it pensions increases – show the markets you mean business.”

    She said that Reeves’ 2024 budget had “turned to business to plug a hole” and created £24bn annually in extra costs for businesses, including additional national insurance contributions from employers.

    She added: “How can business hire for growth […] when key government choices pull the other way? When NICs rises and likely changes to salary sacrifice make it more costly to take a chance on people.”

    Speaking to the CBI conference in London on Monday, Newton-Smith will urge the government to “change course on the employment rights bill” which “eight in 10 firms say, in its current form, will make it harder to hire”.

    Lobbying against the bill, which was a key Labour manifesto pledge and extends workers rights on issues such as sick leave and unfair dismissal, has intensified with the Lords unpicking clauses as legislation goes through parliament.

    Some consensus between unions and business has emerged over high energy costs, which the CBI also identified as a major problem, deterring companies from investment when “straining under some of the highest electricity costs in the world”.

    The government is expected to announce some kind of support package on energy bills, along with this weekend’s announcement of a freeze on rail fares, to blunt the impact of wider expected tax rises in the budget.

    The transport secretary, Heidi Alexander, told the BBC on Sunday that the highly anticipated budget – and apparent U-turns on some measures – was coming on the “shifting sands” of changing economic forecasts and that it remained “a very challenging global economic environment”.

    In one concrete measure to tackle the cost of living confirmed in the budget, the Treasury said rail fares would not increase next year – the first absolute freeze in 30 years, after fares had gone up more than 60% in the past 14 years.

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