Category: 3. Business

  • Swiss luxury watchmakers drop after Trump tariff shock

    Swiss luxury watchmakers drop after Trump tariff shock

    (Reuters) -Swiss luxury watchmakers’ shares, including Richemont and Swatch, were volatile in early trade on Monday, underscoring the challenges for the industry after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 39% tariff on Swiss imports.

    The sector, which exported watches worth 26 billion Swiss francs ($32.79 billion) in 2024, is already under pressure from a stronger franc and falling global demand.

    Watch exports are on track to hit their lowest levels since the pandemic in 2020.

    Shares in Richemont and Swatch were both down 0.8% at 0825 GMT, paring back losses after earlier falling as much as 3.4%, and 5%, respectively.

    Monday was the first day of trading following the U.S. tariff announcement, as markets were closed on Friday for the Swiss National Day.

    “The impact of the U.S. tariffs, if they stay at 39%, could be devastating for numerous brands in Switzerland,” said Jean-Philippe Bertschy, an analyst at Vontobel.

    “We expect a strong negative impact for watches in the entry- to mid-price segments,” he said.

    The U.S. is Switzerland’s leading foreign market for watches, accounting for 16.8% of exports worth about 4.4 billion francs ($5.45 billion), according to the Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry.

    Shahzaib Khan, who runs a business exporting Swiss luxury watches, said many brands would not be able to deal with the 39% tariff rate.

    “I suspect … there won’t be any goods being shipped to the U.S. until the situation clears,” he said.

    While Richemont generated 32% of its full-year 2025 sales in the watches category, its exposure to the United States market should be just below 10% of overall sales, analysts at Jefferies said.

    Swatch, meanwhile, generated 18% of its 2024 sales in the United States, with its CEO saying the company had raised prices by 5% following the first tariffs announcement in April.

    (Reporting by Isabel Demetz; Editing by Amanda Cooper, Adam Jourdan and Joe Bavier)

    Continue Reading

  • Clyde & Co’s MEA employment team defended GSB Capital Ltd in a landmark case in the DIFC Courts : Clyde & Co

    Clyde & Co’s MEA employment team defended GSB Capital Ltd in a landmark case in the DIFC Courts : Clyde & Co

    Clyde & Co’s Middle East & Africa (MEA) employment team has successfully defended its client, GSB Capital Ltd, in a landmark case in the DIFC Courts ((1) AES Middle East Insurance Broker LLC; (2) AES Financial Services (DIFC) Limited; and (3) AES Financial Services Limited v GSB Capital Limited – CFI-060-2023).



    Clyde & Co’s MEA employment team defended GSB Capital Ltd in a landmark case in the DIFC Courts

    AES International brought multiple claims against GSB including unlawful inducement, breach of confidence, and conspiracy in connection with GSB’s recruitment of 4 employees from AES in 2022. The trial took place over 10 days in March 2025.

    H.E. Justice Le Miere handed down his decision on 9 July 2025. In a 172-page judgment, the Court rejected every one of the allegations levelled at GSB Capital Limited and its founders, Ross Whatnall & Alison Whatnall.

    Read the Court’s Amended Judgment

    The Clyde & Co team was led by employment partner Ben Brown, with David True (Senior Associate), Stephen Doherty (Serle Court Chambers) and Patrick Tomison (Outer Temple Chambers).

    Ben Brown said: “We are delighted for our clients, who have had to endure two years of hard-fought litigation against claimants who went to extraordinary lengths to try and stifle legitimate competition. The judgment fully vindicates our client and shows that proceedings ought never to have been commenced against them. We were right to fight these claims every step of the way. This case is yet another example of our position as the go-to firm for high stakes employment litigation in the region”.

    Clyde & Co has a dedicated award-winning MEA team of specialist employment lawyers advising businesses across the region. Named Employment Team of the Year at the Oath Middle East Awards 2023, and highly ranked in Chambers Global and Legal 500, its employment specialists assist regional and multinational clients with the full range of issues which arise in the workplace on a day-to-day basis, including: workforce and regulatory investigations; disputes and labour court litigation; employment issues arising out of corporate restructurings, outsourcings and mergers and acquisitions; recruitment issues and complying with workforce nationalisation requirements; immigration requirements; employment documentation; entitlements under local labour laws; training on applicable local labour laws; employee relations issues; termination of employment and handling disciplinary issues; and post-termination issues such as enforcing restrictive covenants and protecting confidential information and employment litigation.

    The MEA employment team strive to empower employers with tools for managing employment law intricacies: Law at Work is an innovative electronic platform which provides comprehensive insights, analyses, and resources to allow employers and legal professionals to navigate the intricate landscape of employment law in the UAE, KSA and Qatar.

    With over 35 years of experience in MEA, Clyde & Co is one of the largest international law firms with over 80 partners and over 540 staff operating through 12 offices and associated offices in Abu Dhabi, AccraCairoCape TownDar es SalaamDohaDubaiJeddahJohannesburgKumasi, Nairobi, and Riyadh. Clyde & Co supports international and local organisations throughout the wider region with a full-service offering of local specialists across most business sectors and services of law, including commercial, commercial disputes, corporate, cyber risk, data protection & privacy, employment & immigration, finance, global recoveries, insolvency & reorganisation, intellectual property, international arbitration, projects & construction, real estate, regulatory & investigations, and technology, outsourcing & data.

    Continue Reading

  • Modern Laundry, Reimagined with Samsung OMO Wash Days Campaign – Samsung Newsroom South Africa

    Modern Laundry, Reimagined with Samsung OMO Wash Days Campaign – Samsung Newsroom South Africa

     

    Laundry has always been about detergent and water. But what if the secret to cleaner clothes wasn’t just about what you use – but how you use it?

     

    With the OMO Wash Days campaign, Samsung South Africa is shining a spotlight on the hidden power of its intelligent washing machines, showing how features like EcoBubble™, AI Wash, and Auto Dispense are transforming the humble laundry cycle into a smarter, more sustainable routine.

     

    Rethinking Detergent Performance

    Too often, detergent is not optimally used – leading to ineffective cleaning, and sometimes, clothing fabric damage. Samsung’s technology reimagines how detergent works by maximising its potential through engineering precision and smart automation.

     

    EcoBubble™: Cool Water Cleaning That Works

    Samsung’s EcoBubble™ technology pre-mixes detergent with air and water to create a soapy foam before the wash even begins. These bubbles penetrate fabrics faster and more evenly, activating the cleaning agents at lower temperatures.

     

    Why It Matters:

    • Enables effective soil [1] removal in cool water, thus reducing energy usage
    • Prevents shrinkage [2] and colour fading in delicate items.
    • Ensures detergent is fully activated and absorbed [3].

     

    AI Wash [4]: Intelligent Cycles That Think for You

    AI Wash uses four smart sensors to detect load weight, fabric type, soil levels, and water clarity, then automatically adjusts water, detergent, and cycle duration in real-time.

     

    User Benefits:

    • Convenience and intelligent cycles that think for you
    • Washes tailored to the exact condition of each load
    • Takes care of your clothes and washes them thoroughly and gently

     

    This is laundry care that adapts to your lifestyle – and to every sock, shirt, or school uniform you throw in the drum.

     

    Auto Dispense [5]: Fill Once, Many Washes

    Measuring cups are a thing of the past. Samsung’s Auto Dispense feature holds detergent and softener in dedicated compartments, then automatically dispenses the perfect amount for each load.

     

    Why It Works:

    • Helps to eliminate detergent waste
    • Reduces the chance of detergent residue on clothing
    • Can run for multiple loads without needing a refill – ideal for busy homes

    SmartThings AI Energy mode

    You can monitor and reduce your energy usage with AI Energy mode, which lets you easily check the power consumption and estimates your electricity bill. For certain cycles, it reduces energy use by over 19% [6] with the same performance, by reducing the use of a heater and increasing the cycle time.

     

    Flex Auto Dispense System

    Get great washing results with less effort, thanks to the Flex Auto Dispense System. It automatically dispenses the optimal amount of detergent and softener for each load, based on the cycle and load size. The system is compatible with a variety of detergents and softeners and can store enough for up to 25 loads – or up to 47 loads when using detergent only in the Flex Dispense [7] compartment.

     

    The OMO Wash Days campaign aligns with Samsung’s broader commitment to sustainability, efficiency, and intelligent living. Together with trusted, low-suds eco-detergents like OMO, Samsung’s washing machines make detergent work smarter, reduce waste, and simplify daily life.

     

    Whether you’re a parent, a professional, or you don’t want to continue wasting water and detergent, Samsung’s smart laundry innovations ensure that every drop of detergent delivers maximum impact – with less effort, less waste, and better results.

     

    [1] Results may vary depending on actual usage conditions

    [2] Results may vary depending on actual usage conditions

    [3] Results may vary depending on actual usage conditions

    [4] Actual results may vary depending on individual use

    [5] Only available on WW6400D

    [6] Based on internal testing with IEC 8lb load except for Small Load Cycle (IEC 4lb load). Results may vary depending on the actual usage conditions.

    [7] Expected number of loads. Detergent compartment can hold general detergent for up to 25 loads. Flex compartment can hold one of the following softener for up to 34 loads, general detergent for up to 22 loads or speciality detergent for up to 29 loads.

    Continue Reading

  • China Anti-acne Cosmetics Market Analysis Report and Growth Forecasts 2025-2030

    China Anti-acne Cosmetics Market Analysis Report and Growth Forecasts 2025-2030

    Company Logo

    China’s Anti-acne Cosmetics Market, valued at USD 795.5 million in 2024, is set to reach USD 1.48 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 11.50%. Rising acne cases, especially among youth, drive demand for dermatologically formulated products. Local manufacturers like Proya and Pechoin lead innovation with consumer-centric solutions.

    Dublin, Aug. 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — The “China Anti-acne Cosmetics Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report by Treatment (Creams & Lotions, Cleanser & Toners, Laser and Light Therapies, Chemical Peel), Gender, Distribution Channel with Growth Forecasts, 2025-2030” has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com’s offering.

    China’s Anti-acne Cosmetics Market, valued at USD 795.5 million in 2024, anticipates reaching USD 1.48 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 11.50%.

    The surging incidences of acne are pivotal to the market’s expansion.This high occurrence propels the necessity for advanced, accessible, dermatologically advanced products, marking China as a crucial growth hub for manufacturers and brands targeting acne-related skincare. Within the Chinese youth demographic, acne remains notably prevalent. A 2024 NCBI study highlights that over half of primary and secondary students and 44.5% of university undergraduates face acne challenges. This substantial prevalence signals a ripe consumer base for anti-acne cosmetic products.

    Additionally, distinct regional variations, with Southern China exhibiting a higher rate (46.3%) compared to Northern China (34.2%), suggest tailored marketing strategies to address these disparities. The burgeoning awareness surrounding skincare and personal appearance, especially among younger demographics, is anticipated to fuel ongoing demand for anti-acne cosmetics in China.

    There is a growing trend towards self-treatment, which further stimulates the anti-acne cosmetics sector. A 2023 study by the Chinese Medical Association Publishing House highlights that 75.8% of students use topical applications, while a mere 45.6% seek professional medical advice. This indicates a notable shift towards over-the-counter solutions rather than clinical interventions, particularly appealing to a youthful demographic seeking quick and convenient remedies.

    Leading domestic manufacturers are pivotal in propelling industry growth by offering cutting-edge products in categories such as creams, cleansers, masks, peels, and specialized treatments. Proya Cosmetics in Hangzhou exemplifies this with innovative acne care integrations of modern dermatological research and consumer-friendly designs. Shanghai-based Pechoin merges traditional Chinese medicinal principles with contemporary skincare, offering tailored products for sensitive skin. Inoherb, collaborating with Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, delivers herbal-based solutions that manage oil production and inflammation.

    Continue Reading

  • Taiwan shares end down after bad job data, market showing in U.S.

    Taiwan shares end down after bad job data, market showing in U.S.

    Taipei, Aug. 4 (CNA) Shares in Taiwan closed lower Monday as selling was triggered by losses on the U.S. markets at the end of last week on poor job data for July, but the market did recoup some of the early losses, dealers said.

    The Taiex, the Taiwan Stock Exchange’s weighted index, edged down 55.44 points, or 0.24 percent, at the day’s high of 23,378.94 after hitting a low of 23,151.65. Turnover totaled NT$330.74 billion (US$11.06 billion).

    “The U.S. markets continued to dictate the local market as the Taiex came under heavier pressure initially in a knee-jerk reaction to the U.S. losses,” Moore Securities Investment Consulting analyst Adam Lin said.

    He was referring to a 1.23 percent fall in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and a 2.24 percent decline in the tech-heavy Nasdaq index on Friday after weaker-than-expected July nonfarm payrolls data and the huge downward revision of May and June jobs data.

    “The selling on the Taiex was not intolerable at all as many investors were willing to pick up bargains, thinking the worst from the tariff issues was over and that the Taiex would not plunge as it did in April,” Lin said.

    April was when the Donald Trump administration first announced its sweeping tariffs, including a 32 percent across-the-board tariff against goods made in Taiwan, that sent the Taiex plunging nearly 20 percent in a week to a closing low of 17,391.76.

    Despite a 2.65 percent fall in American depositary receipts on Friday, contract chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the most heavily weighted stock here, fell only 0.44 percent to close at NT$1,135.00, off a low of NT$1,125.00.

    TSMC’s recovery from the day’s low helped the broader market recoup about 80 points.

    Among other semiconductor stocks, smartphone IC designer MediaTek Inc. lost 1.48 percent to end at NT$1,330.00, and IC packaging and testing services provider ASE Technology Holding Co. shed 3.28 percent to close at NT$147.50.

    However, United Microelectronics Corp., a smaller contract chipmaker, ended up 0.37 percent at NT$41.20.

    Also supported by late-session buying, iPhone assembler and AI server maker Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. lost 0.83 percent to close at NT$180.00, and Quanta Computer Inc., another AI server supplier, ended down 1.40 percent at NT$281.00.

    “Underperforming the broader market, petrochemical stocks took a beating on falling crude prices after OPEC+ agreed to further increase production in September,” Lin said.

    With the petrochemical index down 5.48 percent, Formosa Plastics Corp. shed 7.00 percent to close at NT$37.85 and Formosa Petrochemical Corp. slid 6.97 percent to end at NT$39.40.

    In addition, Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corp. lost 5.57 percent to close at NT$26.30, and Nan Ya Plastics Corp. ended down 5.40 percent at NT$37.65.

    Bucking the Taiex’s downturn, the financial index rose 1.60 percent.

    “I suspect government-led funds stood behind the buying to bolster investors’ confidence,” Lin said.

    In the sector, Cathay Financial Holding Co. rose 2.12 percent to close at NT$62.50, and Fubon Financial Holding Co. gained 1.69 percent to end at NT$84.00.

    “I expect the Taiex’s consolidation will continue as many investors are waiting for a possible tariff on semiconductors,” Lin said.

    Despite the fall in the index, foreign institutional investors bought a net NT$11.20 billion in shares on the market Monday.

    (By Frances Huang)

    Enditem/ls

    Continue Reading

  • Nvidia might not recover its market share in China

    Nvidia might not recover its market share in China

    Photo illustration of Nvidia’s H20 chip.

    Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

    Nvidia‘s H20 chips are likely to return to China, but tech experts don’t expect them to be met with the same fanfare in the market in light of new competition and regulatory scrutiny. 

    The Trump administration last month gave Nvidia assurances that it would be permitted to resume sales of its H20 chips to China, after their exports had been effectively banned in April. It also announced a new “fully compliant” made-for-China chip.

    The move was seen as a huge win for the company, which had flagged billions in losses due to the policy. But while the H20s might be returning to the Chinese market that doesn’t mean Nvidia will regain its former market share, analysts caution. 

    In a recent report, global equity research and brokerage firm Bernstein forecast that Nvidia’s AI chip market share in China would drop to 54% in 2025, from 66% the year prior. 

    This drop is only partly owed to complications with resuming chip supply, as Chinese AI chipmakers have been seizing more of the booming domestic market. 

    “U.S. export controls have created a unique opportunity for domestic AI processor vendors, as they are not competing with the most advanced global alternatives,” Bernstein’s report said, noting growing prominence of Chinese players such as Huawei, Cambricon and Hygon. “The localization ratio of China’s AI chip market will surge from 17% in 2023 to 55% by 2027.”

    Other analysts such as The Futurum Group CEO Daniel Newman were more bullish about Nvidia’s bounce back in China. However, he also flagged potential market share erosion from Nvidia customers that might have found success with Chinese rivals while the H20 controls were in place. 

    It’s also worth noting that Bernstein’s predictions assume that broader U.S. chip restrictions will remain largely unchanged. That creates a dynamic where Chinese companies continue to develop and offer advanced chips, possibly eroding demand for outdated U.S. offerings.

    Further easing?  

    Ahead of rolling back the H20 restrictions, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had been lobbying for more access to China, claiming export controls were inhibiting U.S. tech leadership.  

    While Trump administration officials had said the rollback was part of trade negotiations, analysts have echoed Nvidia’s basic argument that chip controls for the China market should be eased, thereby creating more dependency on U.S. tech offerings.

    “The assumption is that by keeping U.S. technology companies in the China game, the U.S. can preserve and even grow its geopolitical leverage,” Reva Goujon, director at Rhodium Group, told CNBC. 

    In a report last month, Rhodium Group said that this logic may see the administration shift to a “sliding scale” approach to export restrictions that could allow U.S. chipmakers greater access to China as Huawei and other Chinese chipmakers continue to upgrade.

    However, while Chinese AI developers will be happy to have increased access to Nvidia chips, Beijing isn’t expected to slow its efforts to steer companies toward homegrown AI infrastructure, according to Goujon. 

    She noted that the Cyberspace Administration of China’s recent summons to Nvidia was an obvious signal of the state’s intention to intervene in the local AI infrastructure market.

    New Beijing scrutiny

    According to the Cyberspace Administration of China, Nvidia met with Beijing officials on Thursday regarding national security concerns posed by the H20 chips, including potential backdoors that would allow parties in the U.S. to access or control them. 

    Beijing’s move appeared to come in response, at least partially, to new laws proposed in the U.S. that would require semiconductor companies such as Nvidia to include security mechanisms and location verification in their advanced AI chips. Nvidia later denied that its chips have any “backdoors” that would allow external access or control. 

    The move by Beijing was also likely an attempt to create some hesitation among Chinese AI developers looking to buy the new H20s, according to Futurum’s Newman.

    “China wants to leave some levers in place to potentially restrict outside AI chips at some point down the line if and when it feels its homegrown technology is truly competitive,” Newman said. 

    Beijing has previously restricted American chipmakers’ business in China amid periods of intense technology and trade tensions between the two countries. Micron Technology, for instance, failed a cybersecurity review in 2023 and was subsequently blocked from critical IT infrastructure.

    “The continued complexity of China-U.S. trade relations could bring further complications [for Nvidia] as negotiations continue and as China attempts to cement its own AI strategy,” Newman added. 

    Continue Reading

  • Vietnam's VinFast in talks to boost local sourcing as first India plant opens – Reuters

    1. Vietnam’s VinFast in talks to boost local sourcing as first India plant opens  Reuters
    2. T.N. CM Stalin inaugurates VinFast’s EV manufacturing plant in Thoothukudi  The Hindu
    3. VinFast sets up Chennai showroom: Vietnamese EV maker’s biggest outlet in India; targets 35 across nation  The Times of India
    4. VinFast speeds into India after U.S. U-turn  Rest of World
    5. VinFast’s Strategic Expansion in India: A Catalyst for Global EV Dominance and Shareholder Value  AInvest

    Continue Reading

  • HF Drug Combo Improves Outcomes but Sparks Safety Concerns

    HF Drug Combo Improves Outcomes but Sparks Safety Concerns

    TOPLINE:

    In patients with heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction (HFmrEF/HFpEF), adding the mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) spironolactone to the SGLT2 inhibitor, dapagliflozin significantly lowered the levels of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) compared with dapagliflozin alone, but led to hyperkalemia and a greater decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

    METHODOLOGY:

    • Researchers conducted a prospective crossover trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of combination therapy with dapagliflozin and spironolactone vs dapagliflozin alone in patients with HFmrEF/HFpEF.
    • They included 108 adults (median age, 76 years; 57% women) with symptomatic heart failure (New York Heart Association class II-IV), a left ventricular ejection fraction > 40%, and elevated levels of NT-proBNP (median, 746 pg/mL); all had an eGFR of 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 or more and a serum potassium level of 5.5 mmol/L or lower.
    • Patients were randomly assigned to 12-week treatment sequences of either 10 mg/d dapagliflozin alone or a combination of dapagliflozin and spironolactone, with spironolactone dosed from 25 mg every other day up to 25 mg daily.
    • The primary outcome was the difference in circulating levels of log-transformed NT-proBNP between treatment with the dapagliflozin-spironolactone combination and dapagliflozin alone.
    • Secondary outcomes included the difference in the proportion of patients achieving a reduction of 20% or more in levels of NT-proBNP and effects on parameters such as eGFR, serum potassium levels, and blood pressure.

    TAKEAWAY:

    • The combination of dapagliflozin and spironolactone reduced log NT-proBNP by 0.11 units compared with dapagliflozin alone (P = .035), corresponding to an 11% relative reduction.
    • The odds of achieving a reduction in levels of NT-proBNP of 20% or more were 2.27-fold greater with the combination therapy than with dapagliflozin alone (P = .016).
    • While the combination therapy reduced systolic blood pressure by 5.2 mm Hg (P = .002) compared with dapagliflozin alone, eGFR reduced by 6.4 mL/min/1.73 m2(< .001) and serum potassium increased by 0.32 mmol/L (< .001).
    • Hyperkalemia and declines in kidney function were both more frequent and more pronounced with the combination therapy than with dapagliflozin alone.

    IN PRACTICE:

    “SOGALDI-PEF is the first dedicated randomized trial to evaluate the impact of dapagliflozin/spironolactone combination on clinically important biomarkers and key safety parameters,” the researchers reported. “In patients with HFmrEF/HFpEF, dapagliflozin/spironolactone combination led to a greater NT-proBNP reduction than dapagliflozin or spironolactone alone. A greater eGFR decline and serum potassium increase with dapagliflozin/spironolactone combination was observed,” they added.

    Acute declines in kidney function after the initiation of treatment with an SGLT2 inhibitor or MRA remains “a major reason for premature drug discontinuation,” experts wrote in an editorial accompanying the journal article.

    “A well-intentioned strategy of simultaneous initiation of SGLT2i and MRAs may paradoxically increase the likelihood of premature discontinuation, undermining the benefits of combination therapy,” they added.

    SOURCE:

    This study was led by João Pedro Ferreira, MD, PhD, of the Universidade do Porto in Portugal. It was published online on July 28, 2025, in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.

    LIMITATIONS:

    As a relatively small trial, this study was not adequately powered to evaluate hard clinical outcomes, including hospitalizations or mortality. The administration of treatments in an open-label fashion may have influenced the decisions of physicians and patients. Different operators performed and analyzed the echocardiograms.

    DISCLOSURES:

    This study received support from AstraZeneca-Produtos Farmacéuticos, Lda, and national funds through FCT — Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology. Several authors reported receiving research support and consulting or speaker fees from multiple pharmaceutical and healthcare companies, including AstraZeneca.

    This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication.

    Continue Reading

  • FX Daily: Three reasons for the dollar to stay pressured this week | articles

    FX Daily: Three reasons for the dollar to stay pressured this week | articles

    With the start of a new month, we are going to have a very busy week in Central and Eastern Europe. Today, July inflation figures will be released in Turkey. We expect monthly inflation to rise to 2.5% from 1.4% in June due to higher energy prices and automatic tax adjustments. Still, thanks to the base effect, this should lead to a decline in headline inflation from 35.0% to 34.1% YoY.

    Tomorrow, inflation data for the Czech Republic will also be released, where we expect headline inflation to decline from 2.9% to 2.6%, one-tenth below market expectations. On Wednesday, economic data from Hungary and the Czech Republic will follow.

    On Thursday, we expect the Czech National Bank to leave rates unchanged at 3.50%, and the main focus will be on the new forecast and forward guidance regarding the end of the cutting cycle.

    On Friday, inflation in Hungary will be published, where we expect a decline from 4.6% to 4.0%, one-tenth below market expectations. The National Bank of Romania will decide on rates, which should be a non-event at 6.50%, with a focus on new comments on fiscal consolidation and its impact on inflation.

    Friday’s US labour market data shook things up in the CEE region, and the weaker dollar is positive for FX here. The question for today’s opening is whether CEE rates will keep pace with the rally in core rates. Friday’s movement in rate differentials could indicate some mitigation of the positive impact of the weaker USD. However, our baseline view is still a stronger CEE at the end of this story, given the movement in core markets.

    The Czech koruna should see support from a hawkish CNB and new forecasts, and we remain bullish here – but the scope for further rallying is limited and EUR/CZK will likely only slowly grind towards 24.500. After higher-than-expected inflation in Poland last week, we expect EUR/PLN to stabilise in the 4.270-280 range, and we are neutral here. The HUF market is seeing high volatility in rates, which should also be reflected in greater FX volatility. At the same time, this week’s economic data should support a dovish stance, and we therefore expect EUR/HUF to return to the 399-400 range.

    Frantisek Taborsky

    Continue Reading

  • Boeing defence workers go on strike in new blow to aviation giant

    Boeing defence workers go on strike in new blow to aviation giant

    More than three thousand Boeing defence workers went on strike on Monday, in a fresh blow to the embattled aviation giant.

    It comes after union members at operations in Missouri and Illinois, who build F-15 fighter jets and other military aircraft, voted against the firm’s latest offer over pay, work schedules and pensions.

    “We’re disappointed our employees rejected an offer that featured 40% average wage growth”, Dan Gillian, who is the vice president of Boeing’s Air Dominance unit, said in a statement.

    Boeing is struggling to turn itself around after a series of problems, including safety issues and a damaging almost eight-week walkout by passenger plane workers last year.

    The walkout is being led by a local branch of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM) based in St Louis, where Boeing’s defence manufacturing hub is located.

    “3,200 highly-skilled IAM Union members at Boeing went on strike at midnight because enough is enough. This is about respect and dignity, not empty promises,” the union posted on X.

    IAM is one of America’s largest unions, representing roughly 600,000 members in the aerospace, defence, shipbuilding and manufacturing industries.

    It is the first walkout at Boeing’s defence business since 1996, when work stopped for more than three months.

    But last week Boeing’s chief executive Kelly Ortberg downplayed the potential impact of the walkout.

    He highlighted that it would be a lot smaller than a strike last year involving around 30,000 passenger jet workers that cost the firm billions of dollars.

    “I wouldn’t worry too much about the implications of the strike. We’ll manage our way through that,” said Mr Ortberg.

    Boeing has been hit by a series of crises in recent years, including two fatal crashes and a dramatic mid-air blowout of a piece of one of its planes.

    In 2018, a Boeing 737 crashed after taking off from Jakarta, Indonesia, killing all 189 people on board. A few months later, another 157 people died when a Boeing plane crashed shortly after take-off in Ethiopia.

    Separately in 2024, a panel fitted over an unused emergency exit of a Boeing 737 Max came off mid-flight.

    The company delivered just 348 aircraft to its customers last year, its lowest output since the pandemic.

    Continue Reading