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  • IDF tries to force civilians out of Gaza City as ground offensive continues | Gaza

    IDF tries to force civilians out of Gaza City as ground offensive continues | Gaza

    Israeli troops pressed ahead with a ground offensive into Gaza City on Wednesday, making further efforts to force more people to flee their homes and travel to overcrowded and unsafe areas in the south of the devastated territory.

    The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said on Wednesday they had carried out 150 air and artillery strikes ahead of the ground operation that began early on Tuesday morning.

    Two army divisions are working their way slowly towards the city centre and are expected to be joined by a third in the coming days.

    Several of the airstrikes brought down apartment blocks in the midst of tented camps inhabited by displaced people. Israel claims the buildings were being used by Hamas for surveillance.

    On Tuesday night Gaza City’s al-Rantisi children’s hospital was hit. According to the Gaza health ministry, half the hospital’s 80 patients managed to flee the building but the rest, including four children in intensive care and eight premature babies, remained.

    Overnight strikes killed 16 people, according to local hospitals, bringing the total Palestinian death toll in two years of war to 65,000. On Tuesday, a UN human rights commission published a report concluding that Israel has been committing genocide in Gaza.

    The coast road leading south from Gaza City has been packed with families trying to flee the offensive. On Wednesday, the IDF announced the opening of a second route, through the middle of the Gaza Strip, for two days to try to encourage the exodus.

    Israeli army drops evacuation leaflets over Gaza City as civilians flee – video

    However, many residents of Gaza City and the rest of the north are very unlikely to have received any of the text messages or social media posts put out by the IDF because strikes in the region have damaged the telephone network.

    Of the million Palestinians living in and around Gaza City, the Israeli military estimates 350,000 people have left and moved south over the past month. The UN estimate is 238,000, including about 50,000 in the last 48 hours.

    The United Nations voiced grave concerns on Wednesday about food and other supplies running out in northern Gaza, where many are already experiencing famine, after Israel closed the only crossing there last week.

    “There are grave concerns over fuel and food stock depletion in a matter of days as there are now no direct aid entry points into northern Gaza and resupply from south to north is increasingly challenging due to mounting road congestion and insecurity,” the UN’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) said in a statement.

    Gaza City residents unable to leave as Israel strikes residential building – video

    Contrary to Israeli claims, none of the Palestinians interviewed by the Guardian in recent weeks have said they came under pressure from Hamas to stay in the city. Many residents said they had been unable or reluctant to leave for multiple other reasons.

    Some are physically unable to move, weakened by many months of near starvation, and some cannot afford the costs of transport or the price of a rudimentary plastic sheeting tent at their destination.

    Very many consider the south to be as dangerous as Gaza City. Israel has frequently bombed the “humanitarian zone” it established at al-Mawasi. The sprawling camp there was hit by an Israeli strike overnight, killing two parents and their child.

    Many Israeli security officials, including the IDF chief of staff, Lt Gen Eyal Zamir, have privately questioned the wisdom of the offensive, in terms of its human cost and because they think there is little chance it will achieve its stated goal of the total destruction of Hamas.

    There have been no security checks of the mass of people fleeing south, so most observers believe it probable that Hamas militants will regroup elsewhere. IDF officials have estimated there are between 2,000 and 3,000 Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters ready for battle in the city centre, but IDF intelligence estimates suggest that is only a small fraction of their surviving forces.

    Many Israeli observers and commentators believe the real motives for the offensive are political: to keep Israel in a state of war so as to fend off early elections in which Benjamin Netanyahu’s hard-right coalition could be unseated, and to make Gaza City uninhabitable so as to put pressure on Palestinians to leave and for other countries to receive them.

    Cogat, the Israeli defence ministry body that administers access to Gaza, on Wednesday issued advice to Palestinians in the territory who wanted to leave.

    Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s far-right finance minister, described Gaza as a “real estate bonanza” on Wednesday, Hebrew media reported.

    Speaking a property development conference in Tel Aviv, Smotrich said he was talking to “the Americans” and that “the demolition, the first stage in the city’s renewal, we have already done. Now we just need to build.”

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  • Champions League: Ex-Newcastle defender Lloyd Kelly’s Juventus form

    Champions League: Ex-Newcastle defender Lloyd Kelly’s Juventus form

    It has been a wild few days for former Bournemouth and Newcastle United defender Lloyd Kelly – the sort of week that turns a player into a cult hero with a club’s fans.

    And this is no ordinary club. This is Juventus, arguably the most famous club in Italy and one of the superpowers of European football.

    First, Kelly netted his first goal for Juve on Saturday, helping them to a 4-3 victory against last season’s Champions League finalists Inter Milan in the iconic Derby d’Italia.

    Then the former England Under-21 centre-back grabbed a dramatic late equaliser in Tuesday’s incredible 4-4 draw at home to Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League.

    His goal against Dortmund was the first time an English player had scored for the Italian club in the Champions League – and the second Briton to do so, after Welshman Aaron Ramsey, who poked home a Cristiano Ronaldo free-kick in 2019.

    The 26-year-old went from villain to hero against Dortmund, having given away a penalty as his side trailed 4-2 going into the fourth minute of added time.

    However the ‘Old Lady’ rallied and scored twice in two minutes to somehow earn a draw, with Kelly’s equaliser coming in the 96th minute.

    Four days earlier against Inter, Kelly opened the scoring at Allianz Stadium – the first top-flight goal of his career – in his 22nd appearance for Juve in all competitions.

    It made him the first English defender to score for the Turin club in Serie A.

    Kelly, who joined Juventus in February, did not score in the Premier League during his time at Bournemouth or Newcastle, and his previous goal – in a Cherries FA Cup tie – was 18 months ago.

    Now he has now scored in back-to-back matches for the first time in his career – in one of Italy’s biggest fixtures and a Champions League thriller.

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  • Flying cars crash into each other at air show in China

    Flying cars crash into each other at air show in China

    Two flying cars crashed into each other at a rehearsal for an air show in China which was meant to be a showcase for the technology.

    The Xpeng AeroHT vehicles collided in mid-air, with one catching fire during landing, the company said in a statement to Reuters.

    The company said people at the scene were safe, but CNN reported one person was injured in the crash, citing an anonymous company employee.

    The rehearsals on Tuesday were for the Changchun Air Show, set to start later this week in north-east China.

    BBC News has contacted Xpeng for comment.

    Footage on Chinese social media site Weibo appeared to show a flaming vehicle on the ground which was being attended to by fire engines.

    One vehicle “sustained fuselage damage and caught fire upon landing,” Xpeng AeroHT said in a statement to CNN.

    “All personnel at the scene are safe, and local authorities have completed on-site emergency measures in an orderly manner,” it added.

    The electric flying cars take off and land vertically, and the company is hoping to sell them for around $300,000 (£220,000) each.

    In January, Xpeng claimed to have around 3,000 orders for the vehicle.

    The Chinese company is one of the largest manufacturers of electric vehicles (EVs) in the world, recently expanding into Europe.

    The flying cars are made by its subsidiary, AeroHT.

    There are still considerable hurdles for this form of transport in terms of infrastructure, regulation and public acceptance.

    However, some analysts say China is attempting to replicate the success it has had with EVs, by pushing early adoption of a tech that will eventually become widely used.

    It has said it wants to lead the world in the “low-altitude economy”.

    Last year, a pioneering European flying car firm was bought by a Chinese firm.

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  • Ferrari at Fuji for penultimate round of 2025 FIA WEC

    Ferrari at Fuji for penultimate round of 2025 FIA WEC

    Just three weeks after the previous round contested in the United States, Ferrari heads to Japan for the 6 Hours of Fuji, the seventh and penultimate event of the 2025 FIA World Endurance Championship season. The historic Japanese track hosts a race of great importance for the championship, with the Maranello-based manufacturer arriving at the foot of Mount Fuji leading the FIA World Endurance Championship Manufacturers’ standings. The crew of the number 51 499P, featuring Alessandro Pier Guidi, James Calado, and Antonio Giovinazzi, also leads the Drivers’ standings.

    The two factory-entered Ferrari 499Ps, fielded by Ferrari – AF Corse, the number 50 and 51 cars, will line up for the 6 Hours of Fuji alongside the privateer AF Corse entry in Giallo Modena livery. The race will kick off at 11 a.m. on Sunday, 28 September (local time).

    One-hundredth world championship race. The 6 Hours of Fuji, held at the foot of Japan’s most famous volcano, marks the 100th race in FIA WEC history since the championship began in 2012. Over more than a decade, Ferrari has secured 63 wins in the series: seven overall victories in the Hypercar standings, three in LMGT3, thirty-one in LMGTE Pro, and twenty-two in LMGTE Am.

    The situation. The seventh round of the season carries particular weight in the championship standings battle. After finishing second at COTA with Antonio Fuoco, Miguel Molina, and Nicklas Nielsen in the number 50 499P, and fifth with teammates Pier Guidi, Calado, and Giovinazzi in the sister number 51 car, the Prancing Horse heads to the track aiming for another top result in the overall standings. With 25 points awarded to the winner, the 6 Hours of Fuji round could be crucial for the world championship before the season finale in Bahrain on 8 November.

    Fresh from celebrating with AF Corse in Texas after securing the FIA World Cup for Hypercar Teams – a competition reserved for independent entries – the crew comprising Ferrari official driver Yifei Ye and his teammates Robert Kubica and Phil Hanson will return on the track in Japan.

    The standings. Ferrari is leading in the FIA World Endurance Championship Manufacturers’ standings with 203 points, 65 clear of its nearest rival. Pier Guidi, Calado and Giovinazzi top the world Drivers’ standings with 115 points, 15 ahead of Ye, Kubica and Hanson; Fuoco, Molina and Nielsen lie fourth, 40 points behind the leader – with all crews still in contention for the title.

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  • New therapies boost deep brain stimulation accuracy in epilepsy

    New therapies boost deep brain stimulation accuracy in epilepsy

    In a new study, researchers have discovered that deep brain stimulation targeting the centromedian nucleus could help patients with drug-resistant epilepsy improve seizure control.

    Brain with epilepsy


    It is estimated that one-third of the 50 million people worldwide with epilepsy are resistant to anti-seizure medications. These patients, having drug-resistant epilepsy, have few treatment options beyond surgery to control their seizures. Even surgical interventions become difficult in many of these patients due to challenges in pinpointing the source of their seizures – such as the seizures originating from multiple regions of the brain.

    In a recent review article, published in Brain Network Disorders, from the University Hospital La Princesa in collaboration with the University Medical Center of the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, researchers reviewed advanced approaches to improve CM targeting during deep brain stimulation (DBS). This is a treatment that involves an implanted device delivering an electrical current directly to areas of the brain, which has been highlighted as a promising alternative – offering partial seizure control for patients who are not eligible for surgery.

    How deep brain stimulation works

    In DBS, electrical impulses are delivered to parts of the brain using precisely implanted electrodes. Electrical stimulation of the anterior nucleus of the thalamus is already approved for epilepsy in Europe and Canada.

    Scientists estimate that targeting the CM, with its extensive cortical and subcortical connections, could be an effective avenue for treating general and frontal lobe seizures,

    Attention is now turning towards another thalamic target, the centromedian nucleus (CM). Scientists estimate that targeting the CM, with its extensive cortical and subcortical connections, could be an effective avenue for treating general and frontal lobe seizures, including those associated with conditions like Lennox–Gastaut syndrome.

    However, targeting the CM is not easy. It is small, deeply located and is near other thalamic nuclei – making it hard to pinpoint using standard imaging methods. This raises the risk of faulty electrode placement, leading to poor surgical outcomes. These limitations have hindered CM-DBS from being widely adopted.

    Advanced approaches to improve CM targeting

    “Our primary goal was to reduce targeting errors and expand the clinical viability of CM-DBS,” says Dr Torres Díaz, corresponding author of the study. “By integrating advanced imaging and neurophysiology, we can more confidently localise the CM, especially in patients with complex anatomy or structural abnormalities.”

    High-resolution MRI techniques

    The review highlights the use of high-resolution MRI sequences, such as magnetisation-prepared 2 rapid acquisition gradient echo (MP2RAGE), which enhances the contrast between the CM and surrounding thalamic structures for clearer anatomical differentiation. Combined with three-dimensional brain atlases and image gradient analysis – MP2RAGE enables more precise visualization of the CM.

    Other MRI techniques discussed include quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) and edge-enhancing gradient echo with multi-image co-registration and averaging (EDGE-MICRA) – which also hold promise for improving CM delineation.

    Intraoperative microelectrode recordings

    Intraoperative microelectrode recordings (MER) allow surgeons to record electrical activity from deep brain structures and differentiate neighbouring tissues based on neural firing patterns. Studies indicate that the CM exhibits distinctive ‘tonic activity’ and ‘lower spike rates’ compared to adjacent nuclei like the ventral lateral nucleus. MER provides a neurophysiological signature that can guide electrode placement during DBS surgery.

    Diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) tractography

    DTI tractography can identify relevant brain pathways, improving stimulation by targeting specific circuits. Studies have shown that optimal CM stimulation sites are closely linked to fibre tracts connecting the CM to the brainstem, cerebellum, sensorimotor cortex and supplementary motor area. Patients whose electrodes were aligned with these pathways experienced significant reductions (50 percent or more) in seizure frequency.

    DTI tractography can identify relevant brain pathways, improving stimulation by targeting specific circuits.

    “Through the review of our own patient series, we found that patients who responded most favourably to CM-DBS had strong structural and functional links between the stimulation site and specific brain networks involved in motor regulation and arousal,” Dr Torres Díaz explained. “This highlights the importance of targeting not just a nucleus, but the circuits it controls.”

    Toward tailored, life-changing treatment

    The review offers a comprehensive roadmap for implementing CM-DBS in patients with drug-resistant epilepsy. By combining imaging modalities, electrophysiological mapping and connectivity analysis, surgical teams can accurately implant electrodes while accounting for differences in brain structure and seizure networks. This tailored approach has the potential to improve outcomes while minimising surgical risks.

    “As diagnostic tools advance and improve our understanding of brain networks, CM-DBS could offer life-changing results for patients once deemed untreatable,” concludes Dr Torres Díaz. “Precision targeting is not just a technical achievement; it is a path to renewed hope for people with the most challenging forms of epilepsy.”

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  • Dermatologists Share 15 Foods to Eat for Better Skin Health

    Dermatologists Share 15 Foods to Eat for Better Skin Health

    While having an established skincare routine (full of the best retinols, moisturizers, and peptide serums) goes a long way towards a glowing complexion, adding the best foods for skin health to your routine helps from the inside out.

    According to research in Clinical, Cosmetic and Investigational Dermatology, maintaining healthy skin may help you slow the development of age-related illnesses, plus improve mental health, self-esteem, and social engagement, all of which are key to aging happily.

    Meet the experts: Noah Gratch, M.D., a dermatologist at MDCS Dermatology in New York City; Courtney Pelitera, M.S., R.D., C.N.S.C., a registered dietitian with Top Nutrition Coaching; Lena Bakovic, M.S., R.D.N., C.N.S.C., a registered dietitian nutritionist at Live It Up.

    Here, experts share the nutrients to look for to boost skin health, plus the tasty picks to add to your plate. Some of these are also a part of the MIND diet, DASH diet, and Mediterranean diet—meaning these powerhouse picks pack a nutritional punch.

    Best foods for skin health

    There are some key nutrients to keep in mind when choosing foods to boost your complexion. “Vitamins A, C, and E are big ones to be incorporating into your diet,” says Noah Gratch, M.D., a dermatologist at MDCS Dermatology in New York City. “Vitamin A supports skin cell turnover, which helps maintain smooth, even skin. Vitamin C supports collagen production and helps fight free radicals that could damage the skin. Vitamin E also works to protect the skin from environmental stressors.”

    In addition to these vitamins, healthy fats and protein are important. “Omega-3 fatty acids help maintain the skin’s lipid barrier, keeping it hydrated,” explains Dr. Gratch. “Protein is essential for collagen and elastin production, helping with skin firmness.”

    Ultimately, though, maintaining a balanced, whole-food diet is the best way to keep your skin looking supple. “Diets high in whole fruits, vegetables, and whole grains with lean protein sources are going to provide the best results for skin health,” says Courtney Pelitera, M.S., R.D., C.N.S.C., a registered dietitian with Top Nutrition Coaching. Here are some of the best foods for skin health to add to your plate.

    Avocados

    “Avocados are rich in healthy fats as well as Vitamins C and E,” says Dr. Gratch. A study published in the Journal of Cosmetic Dermatology found that eating avocado daily may even increase skin elasticity and firmness.

    Salmon

    “Salmon is packed with omega-3 fatty acids to help reduce inflammation and keep the skin hydrated,” Dr. Gratch says. Other types of fatty fish, like mackerel and sardines, deliver the same benefits.

    Eggs

    Whether you like them scrambled, hard-boiled, or over easy, experts say they’re great for your skin. “Eggs are a great source of vitamins A and E, which support cell growth and promote healthy skin hydration,” says Dr. Gratch.

    Pumpkin seeds

    Pumpkin seeds are a tasty source of zinc, which is vital for skin health, says Lena Bakovic, M.S., R.D.N., C.N.S.C., a registered dietitian nutritionist at Live It Up. “Zinc plays an important role in wound healing, inflammation, and immune function,” she adds.

    Chickpeas

    “Chickpeas are rich in protein, vitamin E, zinc, and magnesium, and help reduce inflammation and support collagen production,” Dr. Gratch explains. Their mild flavor also means you can enjoy them in chilis, salads, grain bowls, and more.

    Flaxseeds

    If you’re looking for a plant-based source of omega-3 fatty acids, Bakovic recommends flaxseeds. Research shows that they help keep skin moist and combat the processes that promote premature aging and collagen breakdown.

    Berries

    Whether you opt to eat blueberries every day or are looking for reasons to add more strawberries, raspberries, or blackberries to your plate, experts say these help boost skin health. “Antioxidants found abundantly in plant-based foods like berries work to protect cells from oxidative stress damage,” says Bakovic. “This plays a role in healthy skin maintenance.”

    Quinoa

    Like berries, Bakovic says that quinoa is a whole grain that is rich in antioxidants—particularly quercetin, which research in Frontiers in Pharmacology found promotes skin barrier repair and reduces pigmentation and scarring for people with acne.

    Turmeric

    Bakovic recommends seasoning your food with the spice. Research in the International Journal of Molecular Sciences has shown that curcumin, the active ingredient in turmeric, may help prevent premature skin aging, treat inflammation from psoriasis and acne, protect against sun damage, and reduce wound healing times.

    Olive oil

    “Use this in cooking and dressings,” suggests Pelitera. “Olive oil is a good source of mono and polyunsaturated fatty acids, providing support for healthy [cells and] tissues.”

    Walnuts

    “Nuts are great snack options that contain vitamin E, selenium, and healthy fats to nourish and protect the skin,” Dr. Gratch says. Walnuts are a great pick because they contain the highest concentration of omega-3 fatty acids of any nut, per UC Davis Health (they’re also a palatable source, if fish isn’t your thing).

    Bell peppers

    This colorful, crunchy veggie “provides a good source of vitamin C and vitamin A while also being high in water content for a source of hydration,” Pelitera says. Enjoying every color will ensure you’re getting a wide variety of antioxidants and beneficial plant compounds.

    Almonds

    “Almonds are a powerful source of vitamin E, which is a fat-soluble vitamin and essential for skin health,” says Pelitera. Almond butter will deliver the same perks—just choose one made with just the nuts.

    Dark chocolate

    “Dark chocolate is a good source of polyphenols, which can help inhibit enzymes that degrade collagen and elastin, which are important for encouraging supported skin structure and function,” Pelitera explains.

    Water (and water-rich foods)

    Yes, it’s not technically a food, but hydration is so important to healthy skin that H2O has to be on this list. “Drinking sufficient daily amounts of water as well as consuming foods with high water content (such as cucumbers and watermelon) helps to maintain skin moisture levels, working towards reducing the appearance of fine lines and wrinkles,” Bakovic explains.

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  • World Athletics Championships 2025: Noah Lyles, Letsile Tebogo, Andre De Grasse and Gout Gout safely through to 200m semis

    World Athletics Championships 2025: Noah Lyles, Letsile Tebogo, Andre De Grasse and Gout Gout safely through to 200m semis

    The men’s 200m is hotting up nicely, with Noah Lyles and Letsile Tebogo cruising through their heats at the 2025 World Athletics Championships on Wednesday 17 September.

    Lyles and Tebogo both triumphed in their races, with reigning world champion Lyles setting a time of 19.99 seconds in heat 4, and Botswana’s Olympic champion Tebogo 20.18 in the final heat of the evening.

    But sterner tests most definitely lie ahead for both, who will be joined in the semi-finals by the likes of the USA’s Kenny Bednarek, Britain’s Zharnel Hughes and Australia’s 17-year-old sprint sensation Gout Gout, who brought loud cheers from the crowd after finishing third in his first race in a major international championships.

    In heat 1, Alexander Ogando came through in first position in 20.10 seconds, ahead of South Africa’s Wayde van Niekerk (20.19) – the Rio 2016 400m Olympic champion and world record holder. Ogando has high hopes for these championships, claiming the top step on the podium is his goal: “I’m going for gold and some records that need to be broken,” he said.

    Heat 2 saw Zimbabwe’s Tapiwanashe Makarawu (19.91) and the USA’s Courtney Lindsey (19.95) both dip under the 20-second mark to claim first and second in their heat. Jamaica’s Adrian Kerr (20.13) was third fastest to book his place in the semi-finals.

    Bednarek looked calm and composed as he took the win in his heat in a time of 19.98. After narrowly missing out on the medals with his fourth-place finish in the 100m, the Oklahoma-native will be desperate for a place on the podium in the half-lap event.

    Perhaps the tastiest heat of the night included Lyles, Hughes and Canada’s Andre De Grasse, as well as Liberia’s Joseph Fahnbulleh. But if Lyles was feeling any nerves, he didn’t show them, as he smiled and stuck his tongue out playfully to the crowd before dominating his race.

    De Grasse came fourth in the heat, with only the top three qualifying automatically, but his time was fast enough to see him through to the next round.

    Tebogo was up last and, after a false start had ended his 100m campaign just days earlier, may have been forgiven for feeling a little nervous heading into this race.

    However, after starting in the outside lane, the 22-year-old raced to victory to calm any jitters and keep hopes alive for a second consecutive major championships gold.

    In heat 5, one of the biggest cheers of the night was reserved for Australia’s Gout, the teenage sprint star who is taking the world by storm.

    And he didn’t disappoint in his race, coming home third to claim an automatic spot in the semis. The question now turns to whether he can make it through to a first final and continue to fulfil the enormous potential he has shown in his fledgling career.

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  • The Influence of Characteristics and Indexes (NLR, PNI, and SII) Evalu

    The Influence of Characteristics and Indexes (NLR, PNI, and SII) Evalu

    Introduction

    Infectious endocarditis (IE) is a life-threatening infection of the inner lining of the heart muscle (endocardium) and cardiac valves. IE has significant morbidity and high mortality rates. Rapid diagnosis, causative agent identification, prognostic evaluation and timely treatment initiation are critically important. Managing IE is complex; following procedures should include clinical signs, imaging, and laboratory results.1,2

    With the rapid development of medical knowledge in recent years, significant progress has been made in diagnosing and treating IE. However, the frequency of IE, which is approximately 13/100,000, has increased in recent years.3,4 IE-associated mortality rates (15–30%) continue to be high,4 and there are various severe complications. Identifying high-risk patients is essential in improving infective endocarditis (IE) outcomes. Although early diagnosis and prompt treatment are critical in the management of infective endocarditis, accurate prediction of patient prognosis is also crucial. This study focuses on the prognostic value of inflammation-based indices assessed at admission. Risk stratification helps us determine the appropriate time to perform surgery, prevent complications, and identify patients at risk of mortality. However, there is limited data on the prognostic significance of NLR, PNI, and SII specifically in IE, and their comparative predictive performance has not been well defined in this context in the literature.

    Many potential biomarkers associated with pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory processes represent pathophysiological pathways of disease processes. Indicators such as white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) are used to assess the severity of inflammation. Thus, readily accessible and inexpensive inflammatory indicators, such as peripheral blood cell ratios, have drawn the attention of medical researchers.

    Numerous biomarkers including the platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII = platelet count × neutrophil count/lymphocyte count) have been assessed as a promising indicator of adverse outcomes in various infectious, inflammatory, and immune-related disorders. The prognostic nutritional index (PNI), based on serum albumin and lymphocyte concentrations, is a new inflammation-based risk score that predicts outcomes in various patient populations. Despite their increasing use in other clinical settings, it remains unclear how these indices can meaningfully influence risk-based clinical decisions in IE. Clarifying this could enhance early prognostic assessment using simple and cost-effective tools.

    This study aimed to investigate the influence of characteristics and indexes (NLR, PNI, and SII) evaluated at admission on the mortality prediction of IE patients. The findings are expected to significantly increase the understanding and management of IE, contributing to the medical community.

    Materials and Methods

    Patients who were treated and followed up consecutively with the diagnosis of infective endocarditis at Bakırköy Dr. Sadi Konuk Training and Research Hospital between May 2014 and May 2024 were retrospectively evaluated to identify risk factors for mortality. Infective endocarditis was diagnosed by the infectious disease specialist according to the Modified Duke criteria2 and confirmed by the cardiology specialist. Patients who were HIV positive, under the age of 18, or had no criteria for the definitive diagnosis of endocarditis, were excluded from the study. Only patients with complete data for all laboratory variables required for the analysis were included.

    Patients who survived were compared with those who died of endocarditis during hospital stay in terms of risk factors for mortality. Clinical information (including demographic characteristics, laboratory findings, comorbidities, prosthetic valve, blood culture results, echocardiography findings, the presence of urinary and central venous catheters, hospitalization and intensive care unit stays within the last 3 months, clinical outcomes, complications, and surgical interventions) was retrieved retrospectively from the hospital’s information operating system.

    Demographic Data included gender, age, presence of echocardiography findings, fever, having microbiological evidence, native or prosthetic valve endocarditis; comorbidities (predisposing heart disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, chronic renal failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, immunosuppressive therapy), intravenous (iv) drug use, previous history of endocarditis, surgical intervention; complications (Embolic Phenomenon, Cardiac Complication, Neurological Complications, Affected heart valve); laboratory data including leukocyte counts, hemoglobin values, lymphocyte counts, platelet counts, CRP, ESR, procalcitonin, albumin, ALT, AST, and total cholesterol values were compared between survivor and non-survivor patients.

    Chronic pulmonary dysfunction was defined as FEV1/FVC < 70% predicted, renal dysfunction was defined as GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or serum creatinine > 1.5 mg/dL, “predisposing heart disease” was clarified as including prior history of valvular or congenital heart disease, or presence of prosthetic valves.

    Three sets of blood cultures were collected at 30-minute intervals without waiting for a febrile period. Each set contained one aerobic and one anaerobic bottle, inoculated with 10 mL of blood per bottle. Two sets of control blood cultures were repeated every 48 hours after the initiation of therapy until sterile blood cultures. Blood samples were cultured in BACTEC (Beckton Dickinson, USA). Identification was performed using both conventional methods and automated systems, Phoenix BD (Becton Dickinson, USA) until 2020 and VITEK 2 Compact (bioMeriux, France) thereafter. Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing was evaluated according to the standards set by EUCAST (European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing). The time for the last blood culture positivity refers to the number of days from hospital admission to the last positive blood culture result.

    Cardiology physicians examined patients suspected of IE with transthoracic and multiplane transesophageal echocardiography at admission or with patient consultation. Echocardiographic data included routine parameters and the presence of vegetation and abscesses.

    We calculated the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) as follows: PNI = (10 × serum albumin [g/dL]) + (0.005 × lymphocytes/μL) and the Systemic Immune Inflammation Index (SII) as follows: SII = (platelet count × neutrophil count)/lymphocyte count at admission.5,6

    Indications for surgery were severe heart failure, severe valve dysfunction, prosthetic valve infection, invasion beyond the valve leaflets, recurrent systemic embolization, large mobile vegetations, or persistent sepsis despite adequate antibiotic therapy for more than 5–7 days.7 In our hospital, cardiologists and cardiovascular surgeons collaborate to make surgical decisions regarding IE based on the established guidelines but specific to the patient.1

    Statistical Analysis

    Continuous variables were expressed as mean ± standard deviation, while categorical variables were expressed as numbers and percentages. The chi-squared test was used to compare categorical variables. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 26.0 (IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY, USA). Differences with p < 0.05 were considered to be statistically significant. The distribution of variables was evaluated using the Shapiro–Wilk and Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests. Non-parametric tests (Mann–Whitney U-test and chi-squared test) were applied to data that were not normally distributed. Variables included in the multivariate analysis (multivariate regression analysis) were selected based on statistical significance in the univariate analysis (p < 0.05) and their clinical relevance, as supported by the literature. Given the limited number of mortality events in our cohort, the number of variables was restricted to minimize the risk of overfitting. This approach aimed to maintain a balance between statistical significance and clinical plausibility while respecting the event-per-variable principle.

    Results

    In this study, seventy-eight patients diagnosed with definite IE, 47 (60%) male and 31 (40%) female, were retrospectively analyzed. The mean age of men, women, and all patients was 56.25 ± 17.86, 57.18 ± 21.2 years, and 56.3 ± 17.76 years, respectively.

    The most common comorbidity was hypertension (n = 30, 38.5%), followed by coronary artery disease (n = 26, 33.3%) and diabetes mellitus (n = 22, 28.2%). Fifteen patients (19.2%) had chronic kidney failure. Fifty-eight patients were hospitalized and/or in intensive care in the last three months. Forty-nine patients had urinary catheters, and 41 patients had central venous catheters. A history of hospitalization at intensive care in the last 3 months was found to be in 58 (74%) patients overall and 32 (78%) of the deceased patients. In our study population, 4 of the patients had a prior history of infective endocarditis and 3 patients reported intravenous drug use.

    Mortality rates were 52.5% (n:41). Notably, the mean age of non-survivor patients was significantly higher than the mean age of survivor patients (64.21 ± 2.42 years vs 47.59 ± 2.63 years, p < 0.001; Table 1). Among the non-survivors, surgery was not performed in 6 patients due to high operative risk and in 7 patients due to early-onset cerebrovascular events following diagnosis.

    Table 1 Demographic Data of Survivor and Non-Survivor Patients

    When the demographic characteristics of survivors and non-survivors were compared, the statistically significant findings were age, embolic phenomenon (p:0.013), cardiac complication (p:0.031), and neurological complication (p: 0.003) (Table 1).

    To undergo cardiac surgery was found to be significant between survivor (22 of 37 patients) and non-survivor patients (15 of 41 patients), statistically (p = 0.043).

    The mean time for the last blood culture positivity in 47 patients was 13 ± 8.9 days, as that mean time was 10 days in survivor patients and 13 days in non-survivor patients.

    Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia was found in 17 (21.7%) patients. The rates of methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) were 52.9%. Other pathogens were coagulase-negative staphylococci (12.8%), enterococci (11.5%), and streptococci (5%), respectively. Other identified agents included Gram-negative bacteria and Candida species. Blood culture did not yield in 39.7% of patients. Blood cultures yielded in 56.1% of the deceased patients.

    The neutrophil count was significantly higher in patients who died than in those who survived (8090 ± 953 vs 15077 ± 1719, p < 0.001; Table 2). NLR index significantly differed between survivor and non-survivor patients; this index was higher in non-survivor patients (p < 0.001). Lower PNI (p = 0.012) and higher SII (p = 0.002) rates were found to be significant between patients who died and those who survived, respectively, in univariate analysis (Table 2).

    Table 2 Laboratory Parameters in Survivors and Non-Survivors

    ROC analysis revealed that the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic inflammatory index (SII), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) were statistically significant in predicting mortality. When the cut-off value for NLR was set at 11.1, sensitivity was 56.1% and specificity was 43.9% (AUC: 0.756; p < 0.001). When the cut-off value for SII was set at 2819.6 sensitivity was 51.2% and specificity was 41.5% (AUC: 0.699; p = 0.001). When the PLR value was set at 56.1% sensitivity and 43.9% specificity, no statistical significance was found (AUC: 0.434, p = 0.311, Cut-Off = 138.6). When the PNI cut-off was set at 29.5, the sensitivity was 58.5% and the specificity was 41.5% (AUC: 0.335; p = 0.009).

    When evaluated according to cut-off values (Table 3), NLR, PNI, and SII affected mortality in the univariate analysis (p = 0.009, p = 0.015, p = 0.015, respectively). On the other hand, no significant difference was found between the groups according to the cut-off value determined for PLR (p = 0.953). Table 4 shows the factors affecting mortality, according to ROC analysis.

    Table 3 ROC Analysis of Inflammatory Indices for Predicting Mortality

    Table 4 Analysis of Factors Affecting Mortality

    According to the results of multivariate analysis (Table 5), low PNI levels were significantly and independently associated with mortality (p = 0.014; HR: 0.092; 95% CI: 0.016–0.617). The risk of mortality was significantly lower in patients who underwent surgery (p = 0.004; HR: 0.093; 95% CI: 0.019–0.467). Cardiac complications significantly increased the risk of mortality (p = 0.024; HR: 6.505; 95% CI: 1.286–32.898). Additionally, older age increases the risk of mortality (p = 0.001; HR: 1.073; 95% CI: 1.027–1.120).

    Table 5 Multivariate Analysis for Mortality

    Discussion

    Mortality rates in cases of infectious endocarditis can vary significantly, depending on the characteristics of the patient, with rates reaching as high as 30%.8 The elevated mortality rate observed in our study (52.5%) could likely be the result of the increased median age of participants and the greater prevalence of comorbid conditions. Culture negativity may also have led to a delay in diagnosis in patients who did not survive; however, late presentation, comorbidities causing clinical deterioration, comorbidities preventing patients having surgery due to high risk may have all contributed to the high mortality in our study.

    In our study, age was identified as an independent risk factor for mortality (p = 0.001; HR: 1.073; 95% CI: 1.027–1.120). Previous studies have also found a high prevalence of IE among hospitalized elderly patients.3 Older individuals with IE have significantly higher long-term mortality rates compared to other age groups.3 Mortality may have been found to be higher because comorbid conditions are more common in the elderly population.

    Neurological (ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and cerebral embolism),9 cardiac10 (coronary embolism, new-onset arrhythmias secondary to embolic involvement, or embolic myocardial infarction), and embolic events10 are known contributors to increased mortality in infective endocarditis. In our study, these complications were significantly more common among non-survivors (p < 0.05) as reported in other articles.9,10 These complications are known to occur as a result of infectious endocarditis and they significantly affect patient mortality. Among them, cardiac complications emerged as an independent predictor of mortality in multivariate analysis (p = 0.024; HR: 6.505), underscoring their prognostic importance. Neurological and embolic complications, while associated with mortality in univariate analysis, did not retain statistical significance after adjustment in multivariate analysis, possibly due to sample size limitations or their collinearity with other variables. Nevertheless, early recognition and management of these complications remain essential for improving patient outcomes.

    Cardiac surgery, when indicated early and performed in a timely manner, may provide a survival benefit despite its associated risks and potential complications. However, the decision to proceed with surgery must balance the risks and benefits for these high-risk patients. In our study, undergoing surgical intervention was significantly associated with decreased mortality in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Importantly, it was identified as an independent protective factor (p = 0.004; HR: 0.093; 95% CI: 0.019–0.467). Among the non-survivor patients, there were 7 patients who were considered to have high operative risk due to comorbid conditions and 6 patients with early-onset cerebrovascular events following diagnosis could not be operated. High-risk comorbidities and conditions that prevent patients having surgery may have also contributed to high mortality rates in our study. These findings are consistent with previous meta-analyses showing that early and appropriate surgical management can reduce both short- and long-term mortality rates.11 It emphasizes the critical importance of surgical options in improving survival outcomes.11 Close monitoring of the cardiac functions of these patients and decision-making for surgery will be beneficial in terms of timely intervention, which will constitute an important step in reducing mortality.

    The rate of methicillin resistance among S. aureus (MRSA) was 52.9%. We can explain this high rate by our high rate of patients with a history of hospitalization in intensive care.

    The variability in the clinical presentation of IE causes a clinical challenge. Early risk stratification and effective management are important to reduce the morbidity and mortality of IE. Therefore, simple blood tests may be useful in assessing prognosis and identifying patients at higher risk for poor outcomes. In general, in patients who have difficulty in their daily activities, who have accompanying cardiac complaints, elevated sedimentation rate, anemia, leukocyte count, elevated procalcitonin, NLR, and PLR, it will be beneficial to use these tests in prognostic evaluation.

    In the medical literature, high-risk patient groups in critically ill populations such as cancer, sepsis, polytrauma, acute ischemic stroke, and acute coronary syndrome has been an important research area. For this reason, various measurements were evaluated. These vary in complexity and range from simple biomarkers based on a single measurement to more complex indices that measure ratios to complex modeling and algorithms that combine multiple methods.

    One of these ratios, NLR, as a cost-effective and easily accessible inflammatory marker, has emerged as an indicator of poor prognosis in infectious diseases. NLR indicates impaired cell-mediated immunity associated with systemic inflammation, and studies focus on its role in predicting outcomes as a simple prognostic marker.12,13 The predictive value of NLR is important in many malignancies, central nervous system events and infectious and cardiovascular diseases.14–17

    Some studies have investigated the relationship between NLR and IE.12,13 Similarly, in our study, NLR levels were significantly higher in non-survivors (p < 0.001), and its predictive value was supported by ROC analysis (AUC: 0.756). However, NLR did not remain an independent predictor in multivariate analysis, possibly due to confounding factors such as age or comorbidities. While exact threshold values remain to be standardized, NLR may still contribute to early prognostic assessment when interpreted alongside other clinical and laboratory findings.

    Many publications show the relationship between nutrition immunity and mortality in infection. Evaluation and support of nutrition are important, and various nutritional indices have been reported, especially to evaluate malignancy and intensive care patients.18–20

    PNI calculation allows us to assess a patient’s nutritional status quickly, providing an easy and practical assessment. In our study, lower PNI values were significantly associated with increased mortality (p = 0.012), and PNI was found as an independent predictor of mortality in multivariate analysis (p = 0.014; HR: 0.092; 95% CI: 0.016–0.617). Previous studies have identified PNI < 35 as a marker of severe malnutrition.5,6,20 Our ROC analysis demonstrated a cut-off value of 29.5 for PNI, with a sensitivity of 58.5%, specificity of 41.5%, and an AUC of 0.335. Although the discriminative ability was limited, the multivariate findings support PNI’s prognostic relevance beyond its ROC performance.

    These results underline the importance of baseline nutritional status in influencing outcomes in infective endocarditis.

    SII consists of the neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet count. It is a novel marker for presenting patients’ inflammatory and immune responses. Previous studies have confirmed that increased SII may represent the impaired balance of inflammatory and immunologic status in patients with infection.21–25 In our study, SII values were significantly higher among non-survivors (p = 0.002), and ROC analysis identified a cut-off value of 2819, with a sensitivity of 51.2%, specificity of 48.8%, and an AUC of 0.699, indicating a moderate predictive capacity for mortality. Similarly, SII was reported to be useful in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with IE in recent studies.26 One proposed hypothesis is that vegetation initiation and expansion are due to complex interactions between pathogens and blood cells, including platelets, neutrophils, and other immune cells.27 Increased neutrophil counts in endothelial dysfunction and neutrophils, together with platelets, play an active role in the formation of atherosclerosis.27 SII acts as a marker by simultaneously considering the inflammation and immune status in the host and thus may have the potential to predict IEs.27 However, SII did not retain statistical significance in our study in multivariate analysis (p = 0.477), suggesting that its prognostic utility may be confounded by other factors such as age or nutritional status. While not an independent predictor in our model, SII may still offer valuable insight into patient prognosis when interpreted in conjunction with other clinical and laboratory parameters, particularly in settings where rapid risk stratification is needed.

    The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) has been investigated as a potential prognostic marker in various inflammatory and infectious conditions.15 However, in our study, PLR was not significantly associated with in-hospital mortality in either univariate analysis (p = 0.953) or ROC analysis (AUC: 0.434; p = 0.311). These findings suggest that PLR may have limited value compared to other indices such as NLR, PNI, and SII.

    Although composite clinical scoring systems such as AEPEI,28 EndoSCORE,29 or De Feo30 are available for prognostic assessment in infective endocarditis, they require multiple clinical and laboratory inputs and are not routinely implemented in all centers. In contrast, the indices evaluated in our study (NLR, PNI, and SII) are simple, cost-effective, and readily available from routine admission tests, making them practical complementary tools for early risk stratification.

    Limitations

    Several limitations of this study should be acknowledged. First, it was conducted as a single-center retrospective study. Second, the relatively small sample size (n = 78) may have reduced the statistical power to detect associations between all potential risk factors and mortality. Despite the extended 10-year study period, our sample size is a significant limitation and may affect the generalizability of the findings. Additionally, while we performed univariate and multivariate analyses, the adjustment for potential confounding factors such as comorbidities, disease severity, and treatment timing was limited due to the small sample size. Third, while we analyzed the prognostic value of NLR, PNI, and SII, the lack of established threshold values for these indices in infective endocarditis limits their clinical applicability. As this was an observational study, causal relationships cannot be established, and unmeasured confounding factors may have influenced the findings. Another important limitation of this study is the potential variability in diagnostic and therapeutic practices over the 10-year period. Although all patients were treated according to contemporary standards at the time of admission, clinical protocols and treatment availability may have evolved throughout the study period, potentially influencing outcomes.

    The high mortality rate (52.5%), which is higher than generally reported in the literature, may reflect the characteristics of our patient population, including older age and a higher prevalence of comorbidities. Comorbidities not only cause clinical deterioration but also pose a high surgical risk, preventing patients from having surgery. Future prospective, multicenter studies with larger sample sizes and standardized biomarker cut-off values are needed to validate our findings and determine the optimal use of these indices in clinical practice.

    Conclusion

    Identifying reliable prognostic markers for infective endocarditis is extremely valuable, and it is important to increase the number of studies and gather information on this subject.

    Parameters such as NLR, PNI, and SII emerge as easily calculable and cost-effective measurements. Nevertheless, a common feature among these biomarkers is their limited independent predictive performance for a given condition. To our knowledge, this is among the first studies to evaluate all three inflammation-based indices together in patients with infective endocarditis, providing a more comprehensive and comparative perspective on their prognostic utility.

    Additional studies on infective endocarditis patients should be conducted to obtain more definitive results. However, these indices provide insight into prognosis by aggregating data from multiple factors and help clinicians make critical decisions.

    Ethical Statement

    All procedures were performed by the ethical standards outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki.

    The name of the approving ethics committee was “Clinical Research Ethics Committee of University of Health Sciences, Bakırköy Dr. Sadi Konuk Training and Research Hospital”. The Protocol Number of the ethical approval was 2024/302, Decision Date: October 7, 2024. Approving institution was the same with the authors’ institution.

    Informed Consent Statement

    Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective design of the study. The waiver was obtained by the Clinical Research Ethics Committee of University of Health Sciences, Bakırköy Dr. Sadi Konuk Training and Research Hospital.

    Funding

    The authors received no financial support for this research.

    Disclosure

    The authors do not have any conflict of interest in the study.

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