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  • LE SSERAFIM Delivers ‘HOT’ Performance as ‘AGT’ Reveals Semifinalists

    LE SSERAFIM Delivers ‘HOT’ Performance as ‘AGT’ Reveals Semifinalists

    Trust LE SSERAFIM to crank the heat.

    The South Korean girl group strutted their stuff on the America’s Got Talent stage Wednesday night (Sept. 10), for a two-song showcase.

    The pop outfit took a pause from the US leg of their EASY CRAZY HOT world tour for a breezy, three-minute medley of “HOT” (English version) and “ANTIFRAGILE.”

    Afterwards, bandmate Huh Yunjin took the mic to share some advice for the AGT hopefuls. “Whatever the outcome, it’s all a part of you,” she remarked. “So what matters is the passion that brought you here. I hope that that stays with you forever. We’re all rooting for you. You guys are so talented and it’s been an honour to share the stage with you.”

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    See latest videos, charts and news

    Earlier this year, the ensemble scored its second No. 1 on Billboard’s Top Album Sales chart as HOT debuted atop the tally. That feat marked LE SSERAFIM’s fifth top 10 in total for the group, which previously reached No. 1 with its last chart entry, 2024’s Crazy.

    A sixth top 10 might not be far off. New music is said to be coming next month.

    While LE SSERAFIM turned up the temperature, ten AGT performers were already sweating on the results of the final Quarterfinal.

    After Tuesday night’s live round, America voted, the results were tallied, and tonight, the winners and eliminations were confirmed.

    Of the eleven acts, seven would go home and the top three would advance to the Semifinal.

    Those top three acts are Birmingham Youth Fellowship Choir, TT Boys and Zak Mirz, respectively, all of whom stay in the competition. As previously reported, Team Recycled head direct to the Finals after winning Howie Mandel’s Golden Buzzer.

    The podium finishers will compete with eight others that moved ahead in NBC’s talent show via America’s vote in the previous quarterfinals. They are Chris Turner, Jessica Sanchez, Sirca Marea, Jourdan Blue, LightWire, Bay Melnick Virgolino, Leo High School Choir, and Unreal Crew.

    Next up, the Semifinal on Tuesday, Sept. 16 and the chance to nab the Semifinal Golden Buzzer.
    The winner of AGT, now in its 20th season, wins a $1 million grand prize.

    Watch the big reveal from the final Quarterfinals round below.

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  • Children across South Asia face escalating nutrition crisis: UNICEF-Xinhua

    DHAKA, Sept. 11 (Xinhua) — Children across South Asia face an escalating nutrition crisis, with millions suffering from undernourishment, anaemia and obesity, according to a report released by the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) here Wednesday.

    UNICEF warns that unless urgent action is taken, the futures of millions of children will be at risk.

    UNICEF’s new report “Feeding Profit: How Food Environments are Failing Children” finds that the number of children aged 5-19 living with overweight has increased fivefold to 70 million in South Asia since 2000.

    While 48 percent of the school-going adolescents in the region reported that their schools offer food services, such as canteens or tuck shops, the quality of the food available is a major concern.

    Unhealthy options, including packaged snacks (61 percent), fast foods (55 percent), and sugar-sweetened beverages (55 percent), were reported as disturbingly common.

    Notably, in Bangladesh, UNICEF said this pattern was particularly pronounced.

    The report revealed that packaged and fast foods are more prevalent than healthier alternatives, such as freshly cooked meals, fresh vegetables, and fruits.

    This trend is a key contributor to the rising public health challenge of childhood overweight and obesity.

    While only 8 percent of children in Bangladesh are currently living with overweight, the easy accessibility of unhealthy foods in a critical environment like schools poses a significant risk to future health outcomes.

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  • Rising G7 debt back at centre of bond market storm – Reuters

    1. Rising G7 debt back at centre of bond market storm  Reuters
    2. Global Long-End Yields Surge as Fiscal Risks Drive Structural Repricing  Connect CRE
    3. Fiscal Guardrails: Global Debt Levels and Looming Government Spending Pressures  American Enterprise Institute
    4. Mike Bell: Watch out for debt and currency devaluation  Investment Week
    5. The Looming Shadow of Debt: How Government Spending is Driving Up Long-Term Bond Yields  FinancialContent

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  • Experts warn tiny plastics in arteries may raise heart attack risk

    Experts warn tiny plastics in arteries may raise heart attack risk

    Experts reveal how plastic particles lodged in arteries could heighten heart disease risk, demanding urgent attention from clinicians and policymakers.

    Microplastics and nanoplastics: tiny threats for cardiovascular diseases? Image Credit: Shutterstock

    In a recent article published in the journal Cardiovascular Research, researchers discussed whether nanoplastics (NPs) and microplastics (MPs) are emerging risk factors for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs).

    The ubiquity of plastics has led to an environmental crisis with profound health implications. While plastics were initially regarded as revolutionary materials due to their durability and versatility, they have become pervasive pollutants that fragment into NPs and MPs and infiltrate the food chain, ecosystem, and the human body. NPs and MPs have been detected in several human tissues, including the brain, blood, liver, lungs, placenta, and atheroma.

    The authors first reported that NPs and MPs accumulate in atherosclerotic plaques in a prior NEJM cohort study, which is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. In particular, individuals with detectable NPs and MPs in their plaques had an exact 4.5-fold increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) than those without. These findings, along with preclinical evidence, suggest that NPs and MPs play an active role in promoting MACE or atherogenesis.

    Furthermore, NPs and MPs may act as carriers of toxic substances, such as pesticides, herbicides, and heavy metals, which can damage the cardiovascular system. Indirect mechanisms such as gut microbiota dysregulation have also been proposed. This raises new and urgent cardiovascular research questions and challenges the conventional view of atherosclerosis by introducing a novel risk factor. However, longitudinal human studies establishing causality are currently lacking, and extensive studies with diverse populations are needed to corroborate these findings.

    Implications for translational and clinical research

    The presence of NPs and MPs in atherosclerotic plaques highlights an emergent risk factor and might require integration into prevention strategies. While cardiovascular risk factors, including smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and obesity, are well established, environmental pollutants and their role in CVDs have gained substantial attention in recent years.

    While the toxic effects of air pollution have long been linked to higher cardiovascular mortality, the discovery that NPs and MPs may have comparable effects implies that cardiovascular medicine must broaden its focus also to include environmental cardiology. Whether NPs and MPs directly contribute to plaque destabilization or formation, or their presence is simply an environmental exposure marker, remains unknown. The complexity of measuring and dosing MPs and NPs limits comparability across studies.

    In preclinical models, NPs and MPs have been found to induce endothelial dysfunction, oxidative stress, apoptosis, pyroptosis, and vascular inflammation, suggesting that they might not be mere bystanders. Another fundamental question is how NPs and MPs enter the vascular system and build up in plaques. Although potential routes include inhalation of airborne particles, ingestion via contaminated water and food, and absorption through the skin, which sources are more relevant remains unclear. Uncertainty also exists about which particle sizes and polymer types are most pathogenic, with early hypotheses suggesting that nanoplastics may penetrate biological barriers more readily.

    Prevention strategies and therapeutic perspectives

    Addressing the cardiovascular impact of plastics necessitates both primary and secondary prevention strategies. Primary prevention efforts should focus on decreasing the contamination of plastics in the environment and in humans. However, this poses a significant economic and political challenge, with current regulatory measures described as weak, and legacy contamination is expected to persist for at least a century even if production were to stop today. Secondary prevention strategies should aim at alleviating the effects of NPs and MPs in the human body.

    Current anti-atherosclerotic therapies may offer some protection if a role for NPs and MPs in inflammation, apoptosis, and endothelial dysfunction is substantiated in humans. Drugs such as statins, glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors may counteract vascular inflammation, even if they do not address the root cause. In addition, exploratory strategies to enhance gastrointestinal elimination are being considered, including dietary fibres, probiotics, and bile-acid sequestrants.

    Concluding remarks

    Together, NPs and MPs represent an unprecedented challenge in CVD. They may emerge as a novel cardiovascular risk factor if their role in CVD development and atherogenesis is confirmed. A multidisciplinary approach, incorporating public health, molecular biology, epidemiology, and pharmacology, may be necessary to address this issue. Overall, cardiovascular medicine should adapt to the challenges posed by these new environmental threats.

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  • High prevalence and clinical correlates of sarcopenia and metabolic sy

    High prevalence and clinical correlates of sarcopenia and metabolic sy

    Introduction

    Sarcopenia is characterized by the age-related loss of skeletal muscle mass (SMM) and decreased muscle strength and function.1,2 Sarcopenia may increase the risk of disability, falls, fractures, dysphagia, cognitive impairment, hospitalization, and all-cause mortality in elderly populations and severely impair quality of life.3,4 Several studies have reported that sarcopenia was associated with depression, and depression was a risk factor for sarcopenia.5–9 However, most of these studies focused on the elderly population in communities, but not on patients with major depressive disorder (MDD). Studies related to sarcopenia among patients with MDD or depression were rare.10–12 None of these studies related to sarcopenia among MDD patients used standard criteria to diagnose sarcopenia and focused on the prevalence of sarcopenia.

    MDD was related to obesity, insulin resistance, and inflammation, which were linked to metabolic syndrome (MetS).13 Therefore, MetS was common among patients with MDD.14,15 MDD was associated with a 4-fold increased risk for premature death, largely due to cardiovascular diseases (CVDs).16 MetS might mediate the close relationship between depression and CVDs.16 Moreover, MetS was associated with increased all-cause and disease-related mortality among patients with MDD.17 During the treatment of depression, some antidepressants, antipsychotics, and mood stabilizers were associated with weight gain and/or MetS.18–20

    Low physical activity was associated with MDD, sarcopenia, and MetS.21–23 Sarcopenia might induce gain in fat through several pathways, including decreased physical activity, decreased non-exercise activity, and others.24 Therefore, some patients with sarcopenia might develop sarcopenic obesity, which was linked to MetS and associated with increased CVDs and all-cause mortality.25 On the other hand, increased obesity and reduced metabolic health also contribute to sarcopenia.24 Therefore, obesity, which was an important risk factor of MetS, and sarcopenia might develop into a vicious cycle. Among the symptoms of MDD, decreased motivation and fatigue might induce decreased physical activities,26 which might lead to weight gain and reduced muscle mass and power. Appetite changes, including hyperphagia and poor appetite, might affect body mass index (BMI), which was associated with MetS and sarcopenia. Therefore, patients with MDD might simultaneously suffer from sarcopenia and MetS, such as sarcopenic obesity.

    As described above, depression, sarcopenia, and MetS interacted with each other. Therefore, sarcopenia and MetS were related to metabolic health and should be investigated simultaneously. However, to the best of our knowledge, no study has simultaneously investigated sarcopenia and MetS among patients with MDD. This might result from sarcopenia and MetS appearing to be two distinct conditions at first glance because sarcopenia was associated with poor nutrition and lower BMI;22,23 conversely, MetS was associated with obesity and higher BMI.27 This issue was important because depression, sarcopenia, and MetS were associated with an increased risk of CVDs.16,28 Investigation of sarcopenia and MetS among patients with MDD could help physicians to find, treat, and prevent the two disorders.

    This study was conducted in Taiwan, which is located in the Asian area. Several factors related to sarcopenia and MetS may contribute to the differences observed between Asian and Western countries, including diagnostic criteria, BMI cutoff points, lifestyle, and diet.27,29–31 For example, the BMI cutoff point for overweight in Asian populations (23 vs 25) is lower than the standard WHO definition.32 Moreover, this study was conducted during the COVID-19 pandemic period. Some special factors related to the COVID-19 pandemic period might inflate the prevalence of sarcopenia and MetS, including reduced physical activity due to lockdown, mood symptoms due to decreased social activities, and other lifestyle changes. This study might help further understand sarcopenia and MetS among MDD patients in the Asia-Pacific region during the COVID-19 pandemic period.

    Therefore, the study aimed to investigate the percentages, clinical characteristics, and risk factors of sarcopenia and MetS among patients with MDD. We hypothesized that two disorders were common among patients with MDD.

    Methods

    Subjects

    The study was performed in the psychiatric outpatient clinic of Chang Gung Memorial Hospital at Linkou, a medical center in northern Taiwan. Subjects with MDD and health controls (HCs) were enrolled from August 2021 to January 2024. Consecutive outpatients with a diagnosis of MDD documented in their medical charts were considered eligible for inclusion. A board-certified psychiatrist interviewed the eligible subjects and confirmed each criterion of MDD based on the DSM-V criteria.26 Moreover, medical charts were reviewed. To avoid symptoms of sarcopenia being confounded by other psychiatric and medical diseases, three exclusion criteria were established: 1) catatonic features, psychotic symptoms, or severe psychomotor retardation; 2) a history of substance use disorders, except for cigarette and alcohol, without full remission in the past four weeks; 3) neurological and medical disorders, which may affect movements and activities, such as stroke, brain injuries and tumors, Parkinson’s disease, epilepsy, heart failure, renal failure, rheumatic arthritis, cancers, and others.22 Patients with the first exclusion criteria were excluded because they might be unable to obey orders to accept the examination of the tests for sarcopenia. This study enrolled MDD subjects under pharmacotherapy in outpatient clinics, but not drug-naïve patients, to reflect real-world outpatient clinical practices.

    The HCs were enrolled from hospital employees and residents in the communities. Their age and gender matched those of the MDD subjects. At enrollment, the investigators interviewed the HCs. The HCs with a lifetime history of MDD, other mood disorders, and psychotic disorders were excluded. Other exclusion criteria for the HCs were the same as those for MDD subjects. The HCs underwent the same evaluations for mood symptoms, sarcopenia, and MetS as the subjects with MDD, using the same tools.

    This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Chang Gung Memorial Hospital (code 202002150A3, approved on 17 March 2021). Written informed consent based on the guidelines regulated in the Declaration of Helsinki was obtained from all participants.

    Evaluation of Sarcopenia

    Dual-energy X-ray Absorption was performed. Grip Strength was measured using a handgrip dynamometer. Six-meter gait speed and a five-time chair stand test were evaluated. A Short Physical Performance Battery was administered.

    Based on the 2019 Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) diagnostic criteria,29 low appendicular skeletal muscle index (ASMI) was defined as dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry <7.0 kg/m2 in men and <5.4 kg/m2 in women. Low muscle strength was defined as handgrip strength <28 kg for men and <18 kg for women. Criteria for low physical performance included a six-meter gait speed of <1.0 m/s, a Short Physical Performance Battery score of ≤9, or a 5-time chair stand test of ≥12 seconds. Sarcopenia was defined as low ASMI plus low muscle strength and/or low physical performance.

    Evaluation of Indices of MetS

    For subjects with MDD and HCs, 12-hour fasting blood samples were collected and analyzed. Indices of MetS were measured, including fasting plasma glucose, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL), and triglycerides. Using standard instruments, an investigator measured waist circumference, body height and weight, and systolic and diastolic blood pressure (BP). BMI was calculated. BMI≥23, which includes overweight and obesity, was considered as overweight for easy understanding.32 Moreover, the elderly age was defined as age ≥ 60 years.33

    Based on the new International Diabetics Federation definition,27 there are five criteria for MetS, including 1) central obesity (waist circumference ≥ 90 cm in men and ≥ 80 cm in women for South Asians) or a BMI > 30 kg/m2; 2) elevated (≥ 150 mg/dL) triglycerides or specific treatment for this lipid abnormality; 3) reduced (< 40 mg/dL in males and < 50 mg/dL in females) HDL or specific treatment for this lipid abnormality; 4) elevated (systolic BP ≥ 130 or diastolic BP ≥ 85 mm Hg) BP or treatment of previously diagnosed hypertension; 5) elevated (≥ 100 mg/dL) fasting plasma glucose or previously diagnosed type II diabetes. Three abnormal findings out of the five criteria would qualify subjects for the MetS. Moreover, the total cholesterol/HDL cholesterol ratio (TC/HDL-C ratio) was measured.34

    Evaluation of Depression, Anxiety, Somatic Symptoms, and Cognitive Function

    The severities of depression and anxiety were measured using the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HAMD) and the anxiety subscale of the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS-A), respectively.35,36 The severity of somatic symptoms in the past week was evaluated using the somatic subscale (SS) of the Depression and Somatic Symptoms Scale (DSSS).36 The SS is composed of five pain and five non-pain symptoms. The ranges of scores for the HAMD, HADS-A, and SS were 0–52, 0–21, and 0–30, respectively. A higher score represented a greater severity of symptoms. Full remission of depression was defined as the HAMD score ≤7.35 The Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), designed to screen for mild cognitive impairment and early signs of dementia, was used to evaluate cognitive functions.37 The MoCA score range was 0–30; a higher score indicated better cognitive function.

    Statistical Methods

    Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS for Windows 28.0. The Chi-square test, the independent t-tests, and the one-way ANOVA with Bonferroni correction were used in appropriate situations.

    Binary logistic regression models were used to investigate the independent factors associated with sarcopenia and MetS. The dependent variables were sarcopenia and MetS. The independent variables consisted of 13 variables, including gender, present age, years of formal education, employed or not, married or not, HAMD, SS, HADS-A, and MoCA scores, BMI, smoking or not over the past one month, alcohol use or not over the past one month, and habit of exercise or not. These independent variables were selected because previous studies have reported that older age, underweight, physical inactivity, impaired cognitive function, depressive severity, smoking, and alcohol use were associated with sarcopenia.1,22,23,38

    To understand the association of some categorical variables with sarcopenia and MetS. The second model of binary logistic regression was performed. Among the above 13 independent variables, three continuous variables (including present age, BMI, and the HAMD score) were replaced by three categorical variables, including elderly (age ≥ 60 years) or not, overweight (BMI ≥ 23) or not, full remission of depression (HAMD score ≤ 7) or not. The other 10 independent variables were the same. A two-tailed p-value < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.

    Results

    Demographic and Clinical Variables of Subjects

    This study enrolled 225 subjects with MDD and 225 HCs. Table 1 shows the demographic variables, indices of sarcopenia and MetS, the severity of depression, anxiety, and somatic symptoms, and cognitive function. There were no significant differences in age and the percentage of gender between MDD subjects and HCs. MDD subjects had lower years of education and percentages of married and employed status than HCs. For the total sample, MDD subjects had significantly greater severities of depression, anxiety, and somatic symptoms and poorer cognitive function than HCs.

    Table 1 Demographic and Clinical Variables Among Patients with Major Depressive Disorder and Health Controls

    Among 225 MDD subjects, 209 (92.9%) accepted at least one kind of antidepressant treatment. The most common antidepressants were serotonin-specific reuptake inhibitors (n =128, 56.9%) and serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (n = 68, 30.2%). Sixteen subjects (7.1%) were treated with mood stabilizers for augmentation. Antipsychotics were used in 71 subjects (31.5%) for augmentation. Benzodiazepines and hypnotics were prescribed in 148 (65.8%) and 111 (49.3%) subjects for anxiety and insomnia, respectively. Table 2 shows the most commonly used medications in the study. The treatment durations for these medications were over three months.

    Table 2 The Most Commonly Used Medications in This Study

    One hundred forty-six subjects (64.9%) reported regular exercise over the past month, with walking (n = 57) and yoga (n = 19) being the most common exercises. Forty-four (19.6%) subjects reported alcohol use (a mean of 6.6±7.9 days) over the past month. Forty-seven (20.9%) subjects reported smoking over the past month. Most smokers were not heavy smokers, as 68.1% smoked 10 or fewer cigarettes per day. Compared with non-smokers, smokers were younger (49.7±13.0 vs 55.1±13.0 years, p = 0.01), more likely to be male (42.6% vs 23.0%, p = 0.01), and more likely to be employed (70.2% vs 41.6%, p = 0.001).

    Indices and Percentages of Sarcopenia and MetS

    For indices of sarcopenia, no significant difference was noted in the ASMI between MDD subjects and HCs (Table 1). Handgrip strength in female MDD subjects was lower than that in female HCs. The unqualified percentages for handgrip strength and three physical performance tests in the MDD subjects were higher than those in HCs.

    For the indices of MetS, MDD subjects had significantly higher triglycerides, waist circumference, and fasting glucose than HCs. There was no significant difference in HDL cholesterol and systolic and diastolic BP between MDD subjects and HCs. Moreover, MDD subjects had a significantly higher TC/HDL-C ratio than HCs.

    MDD subjects had higher percentages of sarcopenia (41.3% vs 15.6%, p < 0.001), MetS (40.9% vs 28.9%, p = 0.01), sarcopenia, and/or MetS (68.9% and 40.4%, p < 0.001), and both the two disorders (13.3% vs 4.0%, p = 0.001) than HCs (Figure 1). Elderly MDD subjects also had higher percentages of sarcopenia (53.3% vs 27.6%, p = 0.002), MetS (60.0% vs 42.1%, p = 0.035), sarcopenia and/or MetS (89.3% and 60.5%, p < 0.001), and both two disorders (24.0% vs 9.2%, p = 0.017) than elderly HCs (Figure 2). Among elderly MDD subjects, 100% and 85.2% of the subjects with BMI <23 and BMI ≥ 23 suffered from sarcopenia and/or MetS, respectively (Figure 3). There was no significant difference in the percentage of sarcopenia and/or MetS between elderly MDD subjects (85.2%) and elderly HCs (73.8%) with BMI ≥ 23. However, elderly MDD with BMI < 23 had a significantly higher percentage of sarcopenia and/or MetS (100.0% vs 44.1%, p < 0.001) than elderly HCs with BMI < 23.

    Figure 1 The percentages of sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome among outpatients with major depressive disorder (A) and healthy controls (B).

    Abbreviations: S, sarcopenia; M, metabolic syndrome; S+M, sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome.

    Figure 2 The percentages of sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome among elderly outpatients with major depressive disorder (A) and elderly healthy controls (B).

    Abbreviations: S, sarcopenia; M, metabolic syndrome; S+M, sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome.

    Figure 3 The percentages of sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome among elderly major depressive disorder outpatients with BMI < 23 (A) and BMI ≥ 23 (B).

    Abbreviations: S, sarcopenia; M, metabolic syndrome; S+M, sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome.

    Differences in Clinical Variables Between MDD Subjects with and without Sarcopenia and MetS

    Table 3 shows MDD subjects with sarcopenia had significantly older age, lower years of education and BMI, and greater severities of depression, anxiety, and somatic symptoms than those without. MDD subjects with MetS had significantly older age, lower years of education, higher BMI and TC/HDL-C ratio, lower anxiety severity, and poorer cognitive function than those without.

    Table 3 Differences in Demographic and Clinical Variables Between MDD Patients with and without Sarcopenia and Metabolic Syndrome

    Table 4 shows MDD subjects with the two disorders had significantly greater severities of depression and somatic symptoms than those with only MetS. Moreover, MDD subjects with only sarcopenia had significantly greater severities of depression, anxiety, and somatic symptoms than those with only MetS. MDD subjects with the two disorders and with only MetS had significantly poorer cognitive function than those without the two disorders. MDD subjects with the two disorders and with only MetS had a higher TC/HDL-C ratio than those with only sarcopenia and without the two disorders.

    Table 4 Differences in Demographic and Clinical Variables Among Four Subgroups of MDD Subjects

    Difference in the Percentages of Sarcopenia and MetS Between MDD Subjects with and without Three Categorical Variables

    Table 5 shows that elderly age increased the risk of sarcopenia and MetS. Full remission of depression significantly decreased the risk of sarcopenia. Being overweight reduced the risk of sarcopenia and increased the risk of MetS.

    Table 5 Differences in Percentages of Sarcopenia and Metabolic Syndrome Between MDD Patients with and without Three Categorical Variables

    Independent Factors Associated with Sarcopenia and MetS

    For the independent factors of sarcopenia (Table 6), older age and more severe depression increased the risk of sarcopenia in regression model I; however, cigarette smoking and higher BMI decreased the risk of sarcopenia. In regression model II, elderly age increased the risk of sarcopenia; conversely, full remission of depression and overweight decreased the risk of sarcopenia. For the independent factors of MetS, older age and higher BMI increased the risk of MetS in regression model I. Elderly age and overweight increased the risk of MetS in regression model II.

    Table 6 Independent Variables Associated with MDD Subjects with Sarcopenia and Metabolic Syndrome

    Discussion

    The study aimed to investigate the percentages, clinical characteristics, and risk factors of sarcopenia and MetS among MDD outpatients. This study found that sarcopenia and MetS were common among MDD outpatients. MDD subjects had higher percentages of sarcopenia (41.3% vs 15.6%) and MetS (40.9% vs 28.9%) than HCs. Most (68.9%) MDD subjects, especially elderly MDD subjects (89.3%), faced a dilemma that they might suffer from at least one of two disorders, regardless of whether they were overweight or not.

    In the regression model I, lower and higher BMI were associated with increased risks of sarcopenia and MetS, respectively. In regression model II, overweight was associated with an increased risk of MetS and a decreased risk of sarcopenia. Our results demonstrated a clinically significant paradox: BMI had dual roles, with overweight being a protective factor for sarcopenia but a risk factor for MetS. Previous studies also reported that being underweight was a risk factor for sarcopenia.22,23 Our results demonstrated that most (68.9%) MDD patients, especially elderly patients (89.3%), might suffer from at least one of the two disorders. Therefore, encouraging elderly MDD patients to lose weight to prevent MetS might increase the risk of sarcopenia. Our result demonstrated that elderly MDD subjects with BMI < 23 had a high percentage (81.0%) of sarcopenia (Figure 3). Appropriate exercise could improve the two disorders simultaneously because exercise can improve physical fitness and glycemic and lipid profiles,21 and a combination of resistance exercise with aerobic and balance training could improve the quality of life in sarcopenia.39

    The results that high prevalences of sarcopenia and MetS among patients with MDD might result from several factors (Figure 4). 1) Symptoms of MDD, including fatigue, lack of motivation, and somatic symptoms, might cause physical inactivity. Poor appetite and hyperphagia might cause loss of SMM and weight gain, respectively. Insomnia might simultaneously cause decreased SMM, increased fat mass, and impaired physical performance;40,41 2) Side effects of pharmacotherapy, such as weight gain and sedation, might cause physical inactivity and MetS;18 3) Chronic stress might lead to loss of SMM and metabolic dysfunction.42,43 4) Oxidative stress was associated with MDD, sarcopenia, and MetS.44–46 In this study, MDD subjects had higher waist circumference and a higher percentage of being overweight than HCs (Table 1). One previous study reported that MDD was associated with increased visceral and subcutaneous adipose tissue.47 High-fat mass and obesity were simultaneously associated with sarcopenia and MetS.1,27 In fact, some of the above factors might interact and simultaneously increase the risk of sarcopenia and MetS. This might partially explain the high comorbidity of sarcopenia and/or MetS among patients with MDD in this study.

    Figure 4 The associations of depressive symptoms and side effects of pharmacotherapy with sarcopenia and metabolic syndrome.

    The regression model I shows that greater depressive severity was associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia. Conversely, full remission of depression was associated with a decreased risk of sarcopenia. Our study found that unqualified percentages for handgrip strength and three physical performance tests in the MDD subjects were higher than those in HCs. However, there was no significant difference in the ASMI between MDD subjects and HCs. This demonstrated that a higher percentage of sarcopenia among patients with MDD might result mainly from decreased muscle strength and poorer physical performance tests. One previous study reported that depression was associated with reduced handgrip strength among elderly people in communities.48 Although two studies reported that depression was associated with decreased SMM in men but not in women,11,49 some studies reported that depressive mood was not associated with decreased SMM, but was associated with decreased muscle strength and worse physical performances.50,51

    Several points were worth noting. 1) Elderly MDD subjects (89.3%), especially those with BMI < 23 (100%), had a high percentage of sarcopenia and/or MetS. This demonstrated that the two disorders should be screened in elderly MDD subjects. Based on the aspect of comorbid with sarcopenia and/or MetS, elderly MDD subjects with BMI < 23 had significantly poorer health conditions (100.0% vs 44.1%, p < 0.001) than elderly HCs with BMI < 23. 2) MDD patients with MetS had poorer cognitive function than those without. One review article reported that metabolic disturbances were associated with cognitive dysfunction in MDD patients.52 3) MDD subjects with only sarcopenia had worse depression, anxiety, and somatic symptoms than those with only MetS (Table 4). This demonstrated that mood symptoms in MDD subjects with sarcopenia were more severe than those with MetS. 4) Smoking was associated with a decreased risk of sarcopenia in regression model I (Table 6). However, previous studies reported that smoking was a risk factor for sarcopenia.22,53 One study reported that cumulative dose and smoking duration were positively associated with sarcopenia; moreover, the risk of sarcopenia increased with increasing duration of smoking after more than 40 years.54 Most of the smokers in this study were not heavy smokers, with a mean age of 49.7 years. The negative impacts of smoking on sarcopenia among the smokers in this study might be limited. The result that smokers were associated with less sarcopenia in this study might result from the fact that the smokers were younger and more likely to be employed than the non-smokers. Whether smoking was a significant factor related to sarcopenia among MDD patients might need more evidence. 5) In Table 2, the three antidepressants, quetiapine, and valproic acid were associated with weight gain to different degrees after long-term treatment.18,20,55 Aripiprazole had a low risk of causing weight gain.55 Lamotrigine was not associated with weight gain.56 One study reported that Z-drugs and benzodiazepines do not appear to impact weight.57

    Several limitations should be noted. 1) This study was observational. Pharmacotherapy was not controlled. Polypharmacy was associated with sarcopenia.1 2) One review article reported that sarcopenia prevalence in elderly Asia people based on different diagnostic modalities ranged from 7.5% (95% CI: 6.0%–9.4%) to 20.8% (18.9%–23.0%).2 The percentage of sarcopenia was high (27.6%) in elderly HCs. This might be because this study enrolled MDD subjects and HCs during the COVID-19 pandemic. Decreased physical activities due to lockdown or avoiding going outside might cause worse physical performances, decreased SMM, and increased obesity. 3) This study adopted a cross-sectional design, and the subjects were recruited based on all eligible cases during a fixed period. As mentioned in the introduction, no previous study has simultaneously investigated the two disorders among patients with MDD. The effect size of the two disorders was difficult to estimate. Therefore, the study did not conduct a priori power analysis. 4) This study focused on patients with MDD. Therefore, variables related to depression were overemphasized, and other confounding factors were under-addressed.

    Conclusion

    MDD subjects had higher percentages of sarcopenia (41.3% vs 15.6%), MetS (40.9% vs 28.9%), and sarcopenia and/or MetS (68.9% vs 40.4%) than HCs. Most (68.9%) MDD subjects, especially elderly subjects (89.3%), faced a dilemma that they might suffer from at least one of the two disorders, no matter whether they were overweight or not. Therefore, the two disorders should be screened in MDD patients. A higher percentage of sarcopenia among MDD patients than HCs might mainly come from decreased muscle strength and worse physical performance. MDD subjects with sarcopenia had worse depression than those without. MDD subjects with MetS had poorer cognitive function and a higher TC/HDL-C ratio than those without. Being overweight was independently associated with a decreased risk of sarcopenia and an increased risk of MetS, respectively. Full remission of depression was associated with a decreased risk of sarcopenia. Therefore, treatment of depression might reduce the risk of sarcopenia. The cross-sectional design was unable to clarify the causal relationships regarding the bidirectional relationships between depression, sarcopenia, and MetS. In future studies, potential confounding by psychopharmacotherapy needs further prospective investigations.

    Data Sharing Statement

    The data supporting the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author.

    Ethics Approval

    This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Chang Gung Memorial Hospital (code 202002150A3, approved on 17 March 2021). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.

    Acknowledgments

    The authors wish to thank Miss Ingrid Kuo and the Center for Big Data Analytics and Statistics at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital for creating the illustrations used herein.

    Funding

    Funding for this study was provided by grants from Chang Gung Memorial Hospital Research Programs (CMRPG3L1541 and CMRPG3M1801) and National Science and Technology Council Research Programs, Taiwan (NSTC 112-2314-B-182A-034-); the funding source had no further role in study design; in the collection, analysis or interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the paper for publication.

    Disclosure

    All authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest in this work.

    References

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    49. Heo JE, Shim JS, Song BM, et al. Association between appendicular skeletal muscle mass and depressive symptoms: review of the cardiovascular and metabolic diseases etiology research center cohort. J Affect Disord. 2018;238:8–15. doi:10.1016/j.jad.2018.05.012

    50. Hayashi T, Umegaki H, Makino T, Cheng XW, Shimada H, Kuzuya M. Association between sarcopenia and depressive mood in urban-dwelling older adults: a cross-sectional study. Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2019;19(6):508–512. doi:10.1111/ggi.13650

    51. Szlejf C, Suemoto CK, Brunoni AR, et al. Depression is associated with sarcopenia due to low muscle strength: results from the ELSA-Brasil study. J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2019;20(12):1641–1646. doi:10.1016/j.jamda.2018.09.020

    52. Liu CS, Carvalho AF, McIntyre RS. Towards a “metabolic” subtype of major depressive disorder: shared pathophysiological mechanisms may contribute to cognitive dysfunction. CNS Neurol Disord Drug Targets. 2015;13(10):1693–1707. doi:10.2174/1871527313666141130204031

    53. Liu J, Zhu Y, Tan JK, Ismail AH, Ibrahim R, Hassan NH. Factors associated with sarcopenia among elderly individuals residing in community and nursing home settings: a systematic review with a meta-analysis. Nutrients. 2023;15(20):4335. doi:10.3390/nu15204335

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    55. Dayabandara M, Hanwella R, Ratnatunga S, Seneviratne S, Suraweera C, de Silva VA. Antipsychotic-associated weight gain: management strategies and impact on treatment adherence. Neuropsychiatr Dis Treat. 2017;13:2231–2241. doi:10.2147/NDT.S113099

    56. Devinsky O, Vuong A, Hammer A, Barrett PS. Stable weight during lamotrigine therapy: a review of 32 studies. Neurology. 2000;54(4):973–975. doi:10.1212/wnl.54.4.973

    57. Allison KC, Parnarouskis L, Moore MD, Minnick AM. Insomnia, short sleep, and their treatments: review of their associations with weight. Curr Obes Rep. 2024;13(2):203–213. doi:10.1007/s13679-024-00570-3

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  • Oprah Winfrey, Usher, Nick Jonas, Mindy Kaling and others attend an intimate Ralph Lauren show – The Washington Post

    1. Oprah Winfrey, Usher, Nick Jonas, Mindy Kaling and others attend an intimate Ralph Lauren show  The Washington Post
    2. Nick Jonas & Priyanka Chopra Join Jessica Chastain, Ariana DeBose, & More Stars at Ralph Lauren NYFW Show!  Just Jared
    3. A whisper of softness: Ralph Lauren opens New York Fashion Week with minimalist grace  Malay Mail
    4. Ralph Lauren’s SS26 collection strikes a balance between strength and sensuality  RUSSH
    5. ‘Minimalist’ Ralph Lauren designs kick off New York Fashion Week  Iosco County News Herald

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  • Indonesia’s new finance chief moves fast with $12 billion economic boost

    Indonesia’s new finance chief moves fast with $12 billion economic boost

    Indonesia’s new finance minister unveiled a roughly $12 billion cash injection to stimulate lending, proving his commitment to President Prabowo Subianto’s growth agenda barely two days into the job.

    The government will transfer half of the 400 trillion rupiah in cash reserves that it holds with the central bank to state-owned lenders, Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa told lawmakers in a hearing on Wednesday, without giving a time frame. The reserve pile has accumulated due to past underspending, and some should be tapped to support the economy, he said.

    Continue Reading

  • Genes play an active role in shaping the gut bacteria, study finds

    Genes play an active role in shaping the gut bacteria, study finds

    New research from the University of Sydney’s Charles Perkins Centre has found that genes play an active role in shaping the bacteria found in our gut, questioning the idea that gut health is influenced only by diet. 

    The gut microbiome is increasingly seen as vital to overall health, with Australia’s gut health supplement industry valued at over $400 million in 2024.

    After decades of research linking the gut microbiome to almost every chronic disease, it may seem like we’re all being held hostage by the bugs that live inside us.


    While gut microbes certainly influence everything from diabetes to depression, this study has revealed that our bodies aren’t just passive hosts.”


    Dr. Stewart Masson from the Charles Perkins Centre, first author of the new study in EMBO J

    The researchers found that mice with certain genes produced natural peptides – or small proteins – called alpha-defensins, which act as gardeners of the microbiome, shaping which gut bugs thrive and weeding out undesirable bacteria. The mice with alpha-defensins had healthier microbiomes and were much less likely to develop insulin resistance, a key cause of type 2 diabetes and heart disease.

    Importantly, alpha-defensin peptides are also found in people, which the researchers believe is highly relevant to human health.

    Professor David James, joint Interim Academic Director of the Charles Perkins Centre, said: “Our work suggests that our DNA actively works to shape a healthy gut microbiome, and these microbial-shaping peptides could one day, if harnessed, become a new weapon against obesity and diabetes.”

    Insulin resistance, chronic disease and diet: Genes play important role

    The researchers were originally studying genetic influences of insulin resistance in mice when they noticed that certain mice were less prone to the condition had genes that changed the production of defensin peptides in cells lining the intestine.

    “Defensin peptides are present in a wide range of organisms, from plants to mice and humans, and are thought to be the earliest precursor to an immune system,” Dr Masson said. “Mice and humans seem to have evolved many defensin genes, each making a different peptide. It is thought that this diversity allows our immune system to fend off a wide range of attackers”. 

    The researchers found that mice whose genes made more alpha-defensins were healthier than mice who made less.

    To test these findings, the researchers then synthesised the defensin peptides in the lab and fed them to mice without the genes. The experiments showed that this protected mice from the negative effects of an unhealthy diet.

    “These initial findings are exciting because they show we can potentially use peptides to address chronic diseases from diabetes to obesity to depression – all of which have been linked to the health of our microbiome over decades of research,” Dr Masson said.

    Critically, while certain genetic strains of mice gained benefit from the defensin peptides, others did not and were, in fact, worse off. 

    “This shows the importance of ‘personalised medicine’, or tailoring treatments to complement the genes of individuals rather than taking a one-size-fits-all approach to medications,” Dr Masson said. “We need to establish how different individuals and microbiomes react to the same treatments, whether they be defensin peptides or common medications already in use.”

    How can beneficial bacteria boost health

    Dr Masson said the team is now looking to expand on the research and explore how it applies to human health.

    “We’re looking to measure these peptides in humans. In particular, measuring them in the gut and looking at the relationship with metabolic health and the microbiome.

    “I’m also interested in defensins beyond diabetes. We know the microbiome is involved in many chronic diseases like cancer; I suspect defensins could play a role in this field.”

    Professor James said that this illustrates the potential power of precision medicine.

    “Our work clearly shows how manipulating the gut microbiome with these peptides benefits some but not others,” he said. “This highlights both the potential of precision medicine and the potential dangers of trying to alter our gut microbiome, such as with supplements or even fad diets, before we know more about how our bodies maintain healthy microbiomes unique to each of us. 

    “We are at the foothills of precision medicine, and the picture looks promising, but we have a long way to go.”

    Source:

    Journal reference:

    Masson, S. W. C., et al. (2025) Genetic variance in the murine defensin locus modulates glucose homeostasis. The EMBO Journal. doi.org/10.1038/s44318-025-00555-5.

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  • Rivers Ravi, Sutlej and Chenab: Over 4,400 villages affected by floods – Pakistan

    Rivers Ravi, Sutlej and Chenab: Over 4,400 villages affected by floods – Pakistan

    LAHORE: Over 4,400 villages have been affected due to the flood situation in the Rivers Ravi, Sutlej and Chenab while the number of people affected by the floods has reached 4.209 million.

    The Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) Punjab has released a detailed report highlighting the extensive damage caused by the recent severe flooding in Rivers Ravi, Sutlej and Chenab.

    According to Relief Commissioner Punjab, more than 4,400 villages have been affected due to the flood situation in these rivers. The total number of people affected by the floods has reached 4.209 million.

    As many as 404 relief camps, 448 medical camps and 421 veterinary camps have been set up in severely flood-affected districts to support the population. About 1.6 million animals have been rescued and moved to safer areas during ongoing rescue and relief operations.

    He also confirmed that the recent floods have claimed the lives of 76 citizens.

    Moreover, Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz Sharif reached Multan for inspecting situation in flood-hit areas.

    During her visit, the Chief Minister conducted an aerial survey of the flood situation in Multan and Jalalpur Pirwala.

    The CM also inspected the flood-affected areas. She met the Suthra Punjab team, praised their work in flood-hit areas, and urged them to keep serving the public wholeheartedly.

    The Chief Minister met with the flood-affected people in Jalapur Pirwala relief camp and heard their problems and directed the administration to resolve their issues. She personally served food to the flood victims.

    Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

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  • Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Post-PKP Frailty: A Retrospective

    Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Post-PKP Frailty: A Retrospective

    Dingjun Xu,&ast; Ziwei Fan,&ast; Zhiyuan Li,&ast; Mengxian Jia, Xiang Fang, Yizhe Shen, Quan Zhou, Changnan Xie, Honglin Teng

    Department of Orthopedics (Spine Surgery), The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, 325035, People’s Republic of China

    Background: Frailty and osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs) exhibit bidirectional causality, yet the impact of percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) on frailty progression remains unclear. This study developed machine learning (ML) models to predict post-PKP frailty and identify key predictors.
    Methods: A retrospective cohort of 4599 PKP patients was categorized into frailty/non-frailty groups based on two-year follow-up. Variables included preoperative baseline data, imaging parameters (fracture number/segments, Genant classification, T2 hyperintensity), clinical characteristics (osteoporosis severity, Visual Analogue Scale scores, residual low back pain [LBP]), and surgical details. After data splitting (4:1 ratio), features were selected to train and optimize ML models, with performance evaluated via area under the curve (AUC). The ML model with the best performance was selected as our final model while using it for external validation. SHAP analysis determined predictor contributions.
    Results: Key features (residual LBP, Genant classification, etc) informed model development. Hyperparameter optimization enhanced performance, with Extreme Gradient Boost achieving superior prediction (AUC 0.950, 95% CI 0.934– 0.965). The model still maintains a good performance in the external test set, with an AUC of 0.845 (95% CI 0.805– 0.884). SHAP identified residual LBP, Genant classification, and postoperative recumbency duration as top predictors.
    Conclusion: ML models effectively predict post-PKP frailty, highlighting modifiable risk factors. Standardized anti-osteoporosis therapy, residual LBP prevention, and reduced postoperative recumbency may mitigate frailty risk.

    Introduction

    Frailty, a clinical syndrome characterized by diminished physiological reserves and multisystem dysfunction, compromises the capacity to withstand minor stressors, thereby predisposing individuals to adverse health outcomes.1,2 Although prevalent across all age groups, frailty demonstrates age-dependent epidemiology, with incidence rates positively correlating with advancing age.3 Global demographic projections estimate the population aged ≥65 years will reach 2 billion by 2050, suggesting an impending escalation in frailty burden.4 Substantial evidence links frailty to critical adverse outcomes including falls, increased hospitalization rates, malignancies, and mortality, which collectively deteriorate elderly health and impose substantial strain on healthcare systems.5–9 Notably, frailty represents a dynamic and potentially reversible state except during terminal decline phases, underscoring the imperative to identify modifiable risk factors for targeted prevention and mitigation strategies.10

    Osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs), a prevalent geriatric condition, have emerged as a critical public health concern due to their substantial morbidity burden in elderly populations.11 Substantial evidence identifies frailty as a significant predictor of osteoporotic fractures in older adults.12 Furthermore, OVCFs exhibit an accumulative effect on both frailty incidence and progression, establishing a bidirectional causal relationship between these two clinical entities.13 However, the differential impacts of post-OVCF intervention strategies on frailty development remain underexplored in current clinical research.

    Since its inception in the 1990s, percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) has been refined through decades of clinical practice and is now established as a gold-standard intervention for OVCFs.14,15 PKP achieves rapid analgesia, stabilizes fractured vertebral bodies, and promotes early mobilization, thereby reducing immobilization-related complications such as pneumonia and thromboembolism.16–18 Nevertheless, procedure-associated adverse events—including refractures, cement leakage, neural compromise, and adjacent-segment vertebral fractures—pose non-negligible risks.19–22 Currently, whether perioperative PKP affect frailty development remains unknown.

    Machine learning (ML) has been widely implemented in disease prognosis prediction, with recent advances showing superior performance in forecasting spinal surgery outcomes compared to traditional statistical models.23 This study applied machine learning to identify key perioperative factors influencing post-PKP frailty development, providing actionable insights for optimizing surgical approach selection and technique modification to reduce frailty incidence.

    Methods

    Patients and Study Design

    The study conducted a retrospective analysis of a dataset obtained from our hospital, spanning from April 2013 to April 2023. The external validation dataset covers April 2017 to April 2022 from Wenzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine. All patients in this study signed an informed consent form prior to undergoing procedure. And ethics approval was obtained from Ethics Committee in Clinical Research (ECCR) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University (KU2025-R062) and Wenzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine (2025-L134; for external validation). The study was conducted according to the Declaration of Helsinki.

    Inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) OVCFs resulting from low-energy trauma (including sprains, heavy lifting, or falls) with MRI-confirmed acute vertebral fractures; (2) T score of bone mineral density (BMD) < −2.5; (3) Patients underwent PKP surgical intervention.

    Exclusion criteria were as follows: (1) history of spinal surgery; (2) presence of frailty at admission; (3) pathological vertebral fractures secondary to malignancies or infections; (4) fractures with spinal cord compression accompanied by neurological deficits (eg, numbness and/or muscle weakness); (5) incomplete medical records; (6) cognitive impairment precluding independent communication; (7) incomplete follow-up data.

    Baseline Data and Primary Outcome

    In the study, population characteristics [age, sex, weight, height, body mass index (BMI), smoking, drinking, hypertension, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia], perioperative imaging features (severe osteoporosis, the number of fractured vertebrae, segmental classification of spine fractures, Genant classification, T2 hyperintensity in soft tissue, restoration of anterior vertebral height, and kyphosis, preoperative and immediate postoperative Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) scores, anesthetic features [American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System (ASA classification), type of anesthesia, and anesthesia duration], and surgical and perioperative information (surgical time, intraoperative blood loss, volume of bone cement used, bone cement extravasation, duration of postoperative recumbency, and duration of hospitalization). In addition, residual low back pain (LBP) was evaluated according to following criteria during the one-year follow-up period: defined as persistent pain occurring in the original pain site postoperatively, with a VAS score of ≥4.

    The 2-year interval sufficiently meets both PKP prognostic assessment criteria and longitudinal frailty monitoring requirements.24–27 So the primary outcome was postoperative frailty after PKP at two-years follow-up. Frailty was diagnosed according to the Fried criteria.1

    Radiographic Characteristics

    1. Severe osteoporosisDual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA)-derived T-scores exceeding −3.5.28
    2. Genant classification29
    3. T2 hyperintensity in soft tissueHyperintensity in the dorsal soft tissues at or below the fracture level was observed on preoperative T2-weighted MRI sequences.
    4. Restoration of anterior vertebral heightThe anterior vertebral body height of the fractured vertebra was measured on sagittal radiographs both preoperatively and postoperatively, with the difference quantified as the restoration.
    5. KyphosisKyphosis angle was quantified on sagittal radiographs by measuring the angle between the superior endplate of the adjacent superior vertebra and the inferior endplate of the adjacent inferior vertebra. Kyphosis was defined as a postoperative-to-3-month angular change >10°.

    Feature Selection

    The guidelines for developing ML models were followed for the present study.30 The patient cohort that underwent PKP was divided into training and testing subsets with a ratio of 4:1. Consequently, we obtained a Dataset 1 and a Dataset 2, with 3679 and 920 patients respectively.

    To alleviate the potential bias caused by our limited sample size, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression was employed to select features.23 Features were selected based on the λ.1-s.e. (standard error) criterion.31 And λ serves as the penalty parameter, determining the degree to which the function is shrunk. Lasso regression coefficient of each variable was shown in Supplementary Table 1.

    Model Training and Testing

    The model was established using five ML algorithms below: XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boost), LightGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine), AdaBoost (Adaptive Boosting), GBDT (Gradient Boosting Decision Tree), and SVM (Support Vector Machine) with the RBF (radial basic function) kernel. Based on the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC-ROC), the optimal hyperparameters were optimized by grid search to improve the predictive performance of our models.23,32 And the hyperparameters for each model were shown in Supplementary Table 2.

    The testing set was used to evaluate the predictive power of each model. These assessments were performed using various metrics, including AUC-ROC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV). In brief, discrimination was assessed using AUC-ROC for binary classification.33 Calibration of the ML models was evaluated by calibration plots. The Brier score was recognized as a measurement of the models’ discrimination and calibration.34 Additionally, the net benefit of each model was analyzed using decision curve analysis.35 Ultimately, utilizing the ML model that demonstrated the best predictive performance, we ranked and visualized the contribution of each predictor to the model’s predictive performance using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) value analysis.36

    Statistical Analysis

    In the study, mean ± SD was used to represent continuous variables and frequency [proportion (%)] was used to represent categorical variables. Intergroup comparisons were employed using Student’s unpaired t-test and Chi-Square tests. Comparisons with values of P < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Lasso regression was conducted using R programming language (4.2.3). And AdaBoost, GBDT, and SVM were trained using Python (scikit-learn = 1.1.3). XGBoost, LightGBM, and SHAP value analyses were respectively trained using Python (xgboost = 2.0.1), Python (lightgbm = 3.2.1), and Python (shap = 0.43.0).

    Result

    Patient Data

    This study enrolled 4599 patients from a single-center cohort and 561 from an external validation cohort who underwent PKP. Comprehensive demographic profiles and clinical characteristics of both cohorts are summarized in Table 1.

    Table 1 Patients’ Demographic and Clinical Characteristics

    Baseline Predictive Performance

    Based on the λ.1-s.e. criterion, seven features were selected using Lasso regression (Figure 1 and Supplementary Table 1) for the subsequent model developing. The resulting features encompassed residual LBP, severe osteoporosis, Genant classification, T2 hyperintensity in soft tissue, the number of fractured vertebrae, and the duration of postoperative recumbency.

    Figure 1 (A) The coefficient profiles of the 29 features were analyzed by Lasso regression. (B) Based on the λ.1-s.e. criterion, there were seven features selected using Lasso regression. The two dotted vertical lines were drawn at the optimal scores by minimum criterion (λ.min) and λ.1-s.e. criterion, respectively. At the λ.1-s.e. criterion, the selected features included residual LBP, severe osteoporosis, Genant classification, T2 hyperintensity in soft tissue, the number of fractured vertebrae, and the duration of postoperative recumbency.

    Abbreviations: Lasso, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; s.e., standard error; LBP, low back pain.

    The default hyperparameters for each model were shown in Supplementary Table 2. The comparative analysis of the baseline predictive performance of the ML models in the validation set (10-fold cross-validation) was shown in Supplementary Figure 1 and Supplementary Table 3. As shown in Figure 2 and Table 2, the XGBoost model demonstrated the superior baseline predictive performance in testing sets, achieving an AUC-ROC [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 0.946 (0.930–0.963), an accuracy of 0.882, a sensitivity of 0.885, a specificity of 0.881, a PPV of 0.647, a NPV of 0.969, and a Brier score of 0.072. Furthermore, the calibration curve of the XGBoost model was fitting the perfect situation (Supplementary Figure 2). And the decision curves indicated that XGBoost, GBDT, and SVM models performed well in clinical usefulness (Supplementary Figure 3).

    Table 2 Comparison of Brier Score, AUC-ROC, Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, PPV, NPV of the Baseline Prediction Performance for ML Models in Testing Sets

    Figure 2 The baseline predictive performance for ML models in the testing dataset. (A) The ROC curves for ML models. (B) The AUCs for ML models.

    Abbreviations: ML, machine learning; ROC, receiver operating characteristics; AUC, the area under curve; XGBoost, Extreme Gradient Boost; LightGBM, Light Gradient Boosting Machine; AdaBoost, Adaptive Boosting; GBDT, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree; SVM, Support Vector Machine.

    The Performance of ML Models with the Optimal Hyperparameters

    The hyperparameters of each model were optimized by grid search. And the optimized hyperparameters for each model were shown in Supplementary Table 2. The comparative analysis of the ML predictive performance after hyperparameter optimization in the validation set (10-fold cross-validation) was shown in Supplementary Figure 4 and Supplementary Table 4. Interestingly, after hyperparameter optimizing, the XGBoost model still demonstrated the best predictive performance in the testing set, with an AUC-ROC (95% CI) of 0.950 (0.934–0.965), an accuracy of 0.884, a sensitivity of 0.890, a specificity of 0.882, a PPV of 0.651, a NPV of 0.970, and a Brier score of 0.066 (Figure 3 and Table 3). And the calibration curve of the hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost model was very close to the ideal calibrated curve (Supplementary Figure 5). As shown in Supplementary Figure 6, XGBoost, LightGBM, GBDT, and SVM models possessed excellent clinical benefit.

    Table 3 Comparison of Brier Score, AUC-ROC, Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, PPV, NPV of Each ML Model After Optimizing Hyperparameters Using Grid Search in Testing Sets

    Figure 3 The predictive efficiency of ML models with the optimized hyperparameters using the grid search. (A) The ROC curves for hyperparameter-optimizing ML models. (B) The AUCs for hyperparameter-optimizing ML models.

    Abbreviations: ML, machine learning; ROC, receiver operating characteristics; AUC, the area under curve; XGBoost, Extreme Gradient Boost; LightGBM, Light Gradient Boosting Machine; AdaBoost, Adaptive Boosting; GBDT, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree; SVM, Support Vector Machine.

    The performance of the hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost model, trained as described, remained stable in the external test set (AUC: 0.845, 95% CI (0.805–0.884)) (Figure 4 and Table 4). Moreover, in the external test set, the calibration curve of the hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost model also showed strong alignment with the ideal curve (Supplementary Figure 7) and the model still possessed excellent clinical benefit (Supplementary Figure 8).

    Table 4 The Performance of Hyperparameter-Optimized XGBoost Model for Predicting Post-PKP Frailty in the External Test Set

    Figure 4 The ROC curve of the hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost model for predicting post-PKP frailty in the external test set.

    Abbreviations: ROC, receiver operating characteristics; AUC, the area under curve; XGBoost, Extreme Gradient Boost; CI, confidence interval.

    In addition, based on the hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost model, we identified the importance ranking of each Lasso regression-selected feature using the SHAP value analysis. The results were shown in descending order as follows: residual LBP, Genant classification, the duration of postoperative recumbency, severe osteoporosis, T2 hyperintensity in soft tissue, and the number of fractured vertebrae (Figure 5).

    Figure 5 A SHAP analysis of the XGBoost model with the optimized hyperparameters. (A) A visualization for SHAP values of the Lasso-regression-selected features in each sample. The dots in red represented the higher SHAP values, while the blue ones represented the lower values. (B) The selected features were listed in descending order by the average absolute values of SHAP.

    Abbreviations: SHAP, Shapley Additive Explanations; LBP, low back pain.

    Discussion

    In recent years, linear regression and nomograms have been extensively utilized for clinical prognostic prediction and have demonstrated favorable performance in predicting postoperative outcomes following PKP.22,37 Machine learning, which employs extensive datasets to optimize algorithmic performance, demonstrates superior reliability, objectivity, and reproducibility when processing large-scale clinical data38 Emerging evidence suggests that machine learning algorithms outperform conventional statistical methods in predicting clinical outcomes following PKP.39 However, previous studies failed to implement variable selection prior to model development, potentially leading to overfitting and multicollinearity issues. LASSO regression effectively addresses these limitations. In this study, we employed LASSO regression with the λ.1-standard error (λ.1-s.e.) criterion for feature selection, followed by predictive model construction using the identified variables. Our findings identify six significant predictors of postoperative frailty: residual LBP, Genant classification, duration of postoperative recumbency, severe osteoporosis, T2 hyperintensity in paraspinal soft tissues, and number of fractured vertebrae. This model facilitates personalized postoperative rehabilitation protocols tailored to individual patients, providing evidence-based guidance to interprofessional rehabilitation teams to mitigate frailty risk in PKP populations.

    Notably, residual LBP was identified as the most significant predictor of frailty following PKP, consistent with previous studies demonstrating the association between LBP and frailty.40 Residual LBP persistently impairs postoperative recovery and disrupts sleep patterns, with prolonged pain and insomnia contributing to anxiety and depression.41 Furthermore, LBP alters gait characteristics, reduces movement coordination, and induces kinesiophobia. Pavel et al demonstrated that LBP may compromise diaphragmatic function, thereby affecting trunk stability.42 These factors collectively reduce physical activity levels and increase sedentary behavior, ultimately elevating frailty risk.40 Progressive frailty inevitably diminishes health-related quality of life (HRQoL).43 We emphasize that enhanced postoperative pain management and prevention of residual LBP could reduce frailty incidence and provide long-term clinical benefits for patients.

    The Genant classification and number of fractured vertebrae, as preoperative indicators, reflect the severity of vertebral fractures. Since its introduction in 1993,29 the Genant classification has been widely utilized for assessing OVCFs. Higher grades indicate more severe vertebral deformities, characterized by greater buckling of the vertebral cortex or endplates.44 Multilevel vertebral fractures suggest extensive trauma to the spinal system. Severe Genant classifications and a higher number of fractured vertebrae correlate with poorer surgical outcomes, increased incidence of kyphosis, and significant associations with frailty.45 Previous studies have also demonstrated the relationship between severe osteoporotic fractures, multilevel vertebral fractures, and frailty, which aligns with our findings.46 Notably, this study found no correlation between kyphosis progression and frailty, potentially because single-level kyphosis progression does not reflect overall spinal deformity.

    T2 hyperintensity in soft tissue typically indicates muscle edema, hemorrhage, or inflammatory exudates, reflecting functional impairment of the lumbar musculature. Although PKP allows early postoperative ambulation, muscle injury may restrict patient mobility and prolong recovery. Additionally, prolonged bed rest during hospitalization increases frailty risk, underscoring the importance of early mobilization to prevent disuse atrophy.

    Substantial evidence confirms that osteoporosis exacerbates frailty syndrome in older adults through systemic chronic inflammation, nutritional alterations, and endocrine system dysregulation. Chronic inflammation acts as a pivotal determinant of frailty, exerting direct effects while also mediating indirect impacts via intermediate mechanisms.47,48 Consequently, timely anti-osteoporosis therapy is imperative for patients with severe osteoporosis following PKP.49 Beyond pharmacological interventions, balanced physical activity and dietary modifications constitute essential components for preventing or reversing frailty. For patients with established frailty, treatment strategies should be tailored based on specific frailty domains.50

    While our study demonstrates the potential of ML in predicting postoperative frailty, several limitations should be acknowledged. First, the study was retrospective in nature, and the data were collected from a single institution, which may limit the generalizability of the findings. We cannot exclude potential spectrum bias and selection bias in the tertiary medical center cohort, while unmeasured perioperative rehabilitation variables may potentially confound frailty outcomes. Future studies should validate our findings in larger, multicenter, and prospective cohorts. Second, the study focused on a specific PKP for OVCFs. The predictive performance of ML models may vary for other surgical interventions or patient populations. Third, while we identified key predictors of postoperative frailty, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Moreover, the internal dataset exhibited class imbalance that may introduce potential biases in ML model training and optimization—a limitation to be systematically addressed in our subsequent research. At last, this study employed a binary classification of frailty status (frail/non-frail) without stratifying the pre-frail subgroup for comparative analysis. Future research should explore the biological pathways linking these predictors to frailty development.

    Conclusion

    Our findings indicated that the application of ML algorithms, particularly the hyperparameter-optimized XGBoost model, can effectively predict postoperative frailty in patients underwent PKP. Furthermore, the key predictors were identified through SHAP value analysis. Standardized anti-osteoporosis treatment, prevention of residual postoperative low back pain, and reduction of duration of postoperative recumbency are critical factors in avoiding the occurrence of frailty following PKP.

    Acknowledgments

    We sincerely thank Dr. Guangxi Ma from Wenzhou Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine for providing the external validation dataset.

    Author Contributions

    All authors made a significant contribution to the work reported, whether that is in the conception, study design, execution, acquisition of data, analysis and interpretation, or in all these areas; took part in drafting, revising or critically reviewing the article; gave final approval of the version to be published; have agreed on the journal to which the article has been submitted; and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.

    Disclosure

    All authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.

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