If you’re holding TKO Group Holdings stock or considering it for your portfolio, you may be facing a classic investor’s dilemma: whether to hold, buy more, or think about taking some chips off the table after that impressive run. Over the past year, TKO Group Holdings has risen by 63.6%, which is a notably strong performance compared to most stocks. Even after accounting for a recent 6.1% drop over the past month, the stock remains up 30.9% year-to-date. This signals plenty of interest and perhaps some changing perceptions about its future prospects.
What has driven these movements? Recent headlines have focused on the group’s ongoing integration of major sports and entertainment properties, along with strategic partnerships that have caught investor attention. Some of the momentum earlier in the year can be traced to enthusiasm around new media rights deals and expansion into international markets, highlighting TKO’s global ambitions. Not every news cycle has been a net positive, though. Recent concerns about regulatory uncertainties and higher-than-average volatility appear to have tempered sentiment and may explain the latest dip.
With all that activity in mind, let’s look at the numbers. Using the valuation score, a straightforward method that adds one point for each of six checks passed, TKO Group Holdings currently scores 0 out of 6. At first glance, that result may seem concerning, but the story is rarely so straightforward. Next, we’ll examine how different valuation approaches compare to TKO’s current price and explore a smarter way to understand what the market may be overlooking.
TKO Group Holdings scores just 0/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is a popular valuation method that forecasts a company’s future cash flows and discounts them back to today’s value in dollars. By doing this, investors can estimate what a business is intrinsically worth right now, based on its ability to generate cash in the future.
For TKO Group Holdings, the latest reported Free Cash Flow stands at $721.8 million. Analyst estimates project robust growth in the coming years, with free cash flow expected to reach $1.99 billion by 2029. Estimates for the next five years are based on analyst predictions, while projections beyond that use extrapolation. This methodology combines analysts’ near-term insights with longer-term industry assumptions to provide a balanced outlook.
The DCF model estimates TKO’s intrinsic value at $157.40 per share. Compared with the current market price, this implies the stock is trading at an 18.7% premium. In other words, it is 18.7% overvalued according to this approach.
Result: OVERVALUED
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for TKO Group Holdings.
TKO Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests TKO Group Holdings may be overvalued by 18.7%. Find undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.
For profitable companies like TKO Group Holdings, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is a widely used and practical way to judge valuation. The PE ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings, making it especially relevant for established companies with consistent profits.
What is considered a ‘fair’ PE ratio can vary depending on expectations for future growth and perceived risk. Generally, the faster a company’s earnings are likely to grow or the safer its profits, the higher the PE investors will be willing to pay. The opposite is true for companies facing uncertainty or low growth prospects.
At the moment, TKO Group Holdings trades at a PE ratio of 72.77x. That is noticeably higher than the Entertainment industry average of 27.32x and also above the company’s peer average of 61.11x. However, simply comparing to peers or the sector paints only part of the picture. This is where Simply Wall St’s “Fair Ratio” comes in, which is designed to provide a more tailored benchmark. By factoring in specifics like TKO’s earnings growth, profit margins, market cap, risk profile, and industry trends, the Fair Ratio helps define what a reasonable PE should be for the stock today.
The Fair Ratio for TKO Group Holdings is 36.13x. Compared to the company’s actual PE of 72.77x, the stock appears significantly overvalued on this metric, even after accounting for its growth potential and sector characteristics.
Result: OVERVALUED
NYSE:TKO PE Ratio as at Oct 2025
PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier, we hinted that there’s an even smarter way to understand valuation, so let’s introduce you to Narratives. A Narrative is a simple but powerful tool that lets you connect your personal story and insights about a company directly to its financial forecast and fair value calculations, making your investment thesis more tangible and actionable.
With Narratives, you’re no longer just crunching numbers. You’re building a story about TKO Group Holdings, outlining your assumptions for future revenue, profit margins, and fair value, and seeing how these compare with the market. This feature is accessible to everyone on the Simply Wall St Community page, where millions of investors share and update their own perspectives.
Narratives help you decide when to buy, hold, or sell by instantly comparing your Fair Value estimate to the current stock price, making the decision-making process more grounded and flexible. As new developments, news, or earnings come in, Narratives update dynamically so your outlook stays current.
For example, some investors may see TKO Group Holdings’ fair value as high as $180 based on aggressive growth expectations, while others set it below $120 due to risk concerns. This showcases just how diverse and useful these perspectives can be.
Do you think there’s more to the story for TKO Group Holdings? Create your own Narrative to let the Community know!
NYSE:TKO Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include TKO.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
Created from the bodies of war-wounded soldiers for an unnamed emperor, the first modern cyborg, Soldier 241, appears in a one-act play, Blood and Iron, published in the Strand Magazine in October 1917. Like the invention of the robot three…
As the Australian market shows signs of a modest upswing, buoyed by geopolitical developments and commodity price movements, investors are keenly observing potential growth opportunities. In this environment, companies with high insider ownership often attract attention as they may indicate strong confidence from those closest to the business, making them intriguing prospects for those seeking growth in the current economic climate.
Name
Insider Ownership
Earnings Growth
Wisr (ASX:WZR)
12.6%
89.9%
Titomic (ASX:TTT)
11.3%
74.9%
Polymetals Resources (ASX:POL)
37.7%
108%
Pointerra (ASX:3DP)
19%
110.3%
Newfield Resources (ASX:NWF)
31.5%
72.1%
IRIS Metals (ASX:IR1)
21.6%
144.4%
Findi (ASX:FND)
33.6%
91.2%
Echo IQ (ASX:EIQ)
19.1%
49.9%
BlinkLab (ASX:BB1)
35.5%
101.4%
Adveritas (ASX:AV1)
17.3%
96.8%
Click here to see the full list of 96 stocks from our Fast Growing ASX Companies With High Insider Ownership screener.
Here’s a peek at a few of the choices from the screener.
Simply Wall St Growth Rating: ★★★★☆☆
Overview: Catapult Sports Ltd is a sports science and analytics company that develops and supplies technologies to enhance athlete and team performance across various regions including Australia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas with a market cap of A$2.11 billion.
Operations: The company’s revenue is derived from three main segments: Tactics & Coaching ($36.66 million), and Performance & Health ($63.47 million).
Insider Ownership: 14.5%
Catapult Sports, recently added to the S&P/ASX 200 Index, has completed a follow-on equity offering of A$130 million. The company is forecast to achieve earnings growth of 68.69% annually and become profitable within three years, outpacing the average market growth. While revenue growth at 15% per year is slower than desired for high-growth entities, it still surpasses the Australian market’s average rate. The company’s recent acquisition discussions and insider ownership could drive strategic advantages.
ASX:CAT Earnings and Revenue Growth as at Oct 2025
Simply Wall St Growth Rating: ★★★★☆☆
Overview: Mineral Resources Limited, with a market cap of A$8.84 billion, offers mining services across Australia, Asia, and internationally through its subsidiaries.
Operations: The company’s revenue segments include A$601 million from Lithium, A$2.33 billion from Iron Ore, and A$3.30 billion from Mining Services.
Insider Ownership: 11.4%
Mineral Resources is poised for significant earnings growth, with profits expected to rise 63.57% annually, surpassing the Australian market’s average. Despite a challenging financial year with a A$904 million loss and substantial debt of A$5.3 billion, no major insider selling occurred recently. The company plans asset sales to improve its balance sheet while new board appointments aim to bolster governance expertise. Trading at favorable valuations compared to peers enhances its investment appeal amidst these strategic changes.
ASX:MIN Ownership Breakdown as at Oct 2025
Simply Wall St Growth Rating: ★★★★☆☆
Overview: Supply Network Limited supplies aftermarket parts for the commercial vehicle market in Australia and New Zealand, with a market cap of A$1.62 billion.
Operations: The company’s revenue segment is primarily from the provision of aftermarket parts for the commercial vehicle market, generating A$349.46 million.
Insider Ownership: 40%
Supply Network’s recent inclusion in the S&P Global BMI Index underscores its solid market position. The company reported robust financial performance, with sales reaching A$348.83 million and net income of A$40.02 million for the year ended June 2025. Forecasted earnings growth at 14.34% annually outpaces the Australian market average, while insider ownership remains stable with no significant selling activity recently observed. The appointment of Karen Phin as a director enhances board independence and expertise in capital management strategies.
ASX:SNL Ownership Breakdown as at Oct 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.The analysis only considers stock directly held by insiders. It does not include indirectly owned stock through other vehicles such as corporate and/or trust entities. All forecast revenue and earnings growth rates quoted are in terms of annualised (per annum) growth rates over 1-3 years.
Companies discussed in this article include ASX:CAT ASX:MIN and ASX:SNL.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
As the Australian stock market experiences a modest upswing amid geopolitical developments and commodity fluctuations, investors are keenly observing opportunities that may arise from undervalued stocks. In this context, identifying stocks trading below their intrinsic value can be particularly appealing, as they present potential for growth when market conditions stabilize.
Name
Current Price
Fair Value (Est)
Discount (Est)
Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU)
A$0.715
A$1.17
38.6%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)
A$3.20
A$5.66
43.5%
Resimac Group (ASX:RMC)
A$1.12
A$2.17
48.3%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)
A$4.81
A$9.13
47.3%
Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR)
A$1.22
A$2.12
42.4%
James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)
A$34.13
A$61.30
44.3%
Credit Clear (ASX:CCR)
A$0.285
A$0.47
39.2%
CleanSpace Holdings (ASX:CSX)
A$0.70
A$1.38
49.3%
Betmakers Technology Group (ASX:BET)
A$0.195
A$0.32
38.7%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)
A$0.37
A$0.71
48.1%
Click here to see the full list of 32 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.
Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.
Overview: Eagers Automotive Limited owns and operates motor vehicle dealerships in Australia and New Zealand, with a market cap of A$7.97 billion.
Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from car retailing, amounting to A$12.23 billion, with an additional contribution of A$54.69 million from property.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 14.0%
Eagers Automotive is trading at A$30.57, below its fair value estimate of A$35.54, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a recent strategic partnership with Mitsubishi and a follow-on equity offering raising A$501 million, interest payments are not well covered by earnings. However, earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 21.6% annually over the next three years, surpassing the Australian market’s growth rate of 14.3%.
ASX:APE Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
Overview: NRW Holdings Limited offers diversified contract services to the resources and infrastructure sectors in Australia, with a market cap of A$2.21 billion.
Operations: The company’s revenue is derived from three main segments: Mining at A$1.54 billion, MET at A$932.02 million, and Civil at A$823.72 million.
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.3%
NRW Holdings is trading at A$4.81, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$9.13, suggesting undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a decline in net income to A$27.67 million for FY2025 and insider selling, earnings are projected to grow substantially at 30.6% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market’s growth rate of 14.3%. However, the dividend yield of 3.43% is not adequately covered by earnings.
ASX:NWH Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
Overview: Vault Minerals Limited is involved in the exploration, mine development, operations and sale of gold and gold/copper concentrate in Australia and Canada, with a market cap of A$4.85 billion.
Operations: The company’s revenue segments consist of Deflector (A$477.79 million), Sugar Zone (A$0.23 million), Mount Monger (A$287.58 million) and Leonora Operation (A$666.50 million).
Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 38.6%
Vault Minerals, currently priced at A$0.72, is trading well below its estimated fair value of A$1.17, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. The company has shown a turnaround with net income reaching A$236.98 million from a loss last year and sales jumping to A$1.43 billion from A$620 million. Earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 21% annually over the next three years, supported by a share repurchase program targeting up to 10% of issued capital.
ASX:VAU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include ASX:APE ASX:NWH and ASX:VAU.
This article was originally published by Simply Wall St.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
As the Australian market experiences a soft upswing, buoyed by optimistic trade talks and rising commodity prices, investors are keenly watching small-cap stocks for potential opportunities. In such an environment, undiscovered gems often possess strong fundamentals and resilience to broader market fluctuations, making them appealing candidates for growth-oriented portfolios.
Name
Debt To Equity
Revenue Growth
Earnings Growth
Health Rating
Fiducian Group
NA
10.00%
9.57%
★★★★★★
Rand Mining
NA
10.19%
2.74%
★★★★★★
Euroz Hartleys Group
NA
1.82%
-25.32%
★★★★★★
Hearts and Minds Investments
NA
56.27%
59.19%
★★★★★★
Spheria Emerging Companies
NA
-1.31%
0.28%
★★★★★★
Focus Minerals
NA
75.35%
51.34%
★★★★★★
Djerriwarrh Investments
2.39%
8.18%
7.91%
★★★★★★
Energy World
NA
-47.50%
-44.86%
★★★★★☆
Zimplats Holdings
5.44%
-9.79%
-42.03%
★★★★★☆
Australian United Investment
1.90%
5.23%
4.56%
★★★★☆☆
Click here to see the full list of 60 stocks from our ASX Undiscovered Gems With Strong Fundamentals screener.
Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.
Simply Wall St Value Rating: ★★★★★☆
Overview: Diversified United Investment Limited is a publicly owned investment manager with a market cap of A$1.15 billion.
Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its investment activities, amounting to A$46.71 million.
Diversified United Investment (DUI) has shown resilience with a net income of A$37.99 million for the year ending June 2025, up from A$36.03 million the previous year, reflecting steady growth in earnings per share from A$0.166 to A$0.176. Over five years, earnings have grown at an annual rate of 5%, although recent growth of 5.4% lagged behind the broader Capital Markets industry at 19.3%. The company is debt-free, contrasting with its past debt-to-equity ratio of 9%, which highlights prudent financial management despite significant insider selling recently observed over three months.
ASX:DUI Debt to Equity as at Oct 2025
Simply Wall St Value Rating: ★★★★☆☆
Overview: Peet Limited is an Australian company that focuses on acquiring, developing, and marketing residential land, with a market capitalization of A$894.18 million.
Operations: Peet generates revenue primarily through its Company Owned Projects, contributing A$313.24 million, followed by Funds Management at A$56.39 million and Joint Arrangements at A$51.88 million.
Peet, a notable player in the Australian property scene, has shown resilience with its debt to equity ratio improving from 57.1% to 53.5% over five years. Despite a high net debt to equity ratio of 45.8%, its interest payments are well covered by EBIT at 10.7 times, reflecting robust financial health. The company reported earnings growth of 60% last year, outpacing the real estate industry average of 40.9%. With sales jumping from A$292 million to A$415 million and net income rising from A$36 million to A$58 million, Peet’s strategic review led by Goldman Sachs aims to leverage these strong market conditions further.
ASX:PPC Earnings and Revenue Growth as at Oct 2025
Simply Wall St Value Rating: ★★★★★☆
Overview: Wagners Holding Company Limited is involved in the production and sale of construction and building materials across several countries, including Australia, the United States, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Papua New Guinea, and Malaysia, with a market capitalization of approximately A$565.22 million.
Operations: Wagners Holding generates revenue primarily from Construction Materials (A$257.69 million), Project Services (A$105.71 million), and Composite Fibre Technology (A$68.45 million). The company also earns a small amount from Earth Friendly Concrete, contributing A$0.16 million to its revenue streams.
Wagners Holding, a nimble player in Australia’s construction materials sector, has seen its earnings surge by 120.9% over the past year, outpacing industry growth. The company recently expanded its concrete and quarry operations to capitalize on infrastructure demand in Southeast Queensland. Despite sales dipping to A$431 million from A$481 million last year, net income climbed to A$22.72 million from A$10.28 million, highlighting improved operational efficiency with high-quality earnings and satisfactory debt management at a 12.6% net debt-to-equity ratio. Wagners’ inclusion in the S&P/ASX Emerging Companies Index underscores its growing market presence amidst strategic expansions and sustainability-focused ventures like Composite Fiber Technologies (CFT).
ASX:WGN Debt to Equity as at Oct 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include ASX:DUI ASX:PPC and ASX:WGN.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
President of Xbox game content and studios, Matt Booty, has claimed the company’s competition no longer lies with other game studios and console developers, but “everything else”.
In an interview with The New York Times, primarily…
After four weeks at the top, the Xiaomi 17 Pro Max was finally dethroned as the most popular phone in our database. The Chinese maker won’t be too sad about it, though, as it’s replaced at the top by the newly announced Redmi K90 Pro…
VIENNA, Austria, Oct. 26, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — A new global coalition, the RSV Alliance, has been launched to raise awareness about the risks of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections, with a focus on aging populations and…