Wondering if Star Bulk Carriers is still good value after such a strong run, or if you are turning up late to the party? This breakdown will help you decide whether the current price makes sense.
The stock has climbed 2.8% over the last week, 12.4% over the past month, and is up 31.9% year to date, adding to an impressive 351.3% gain over five years that has put it firmly on value hunters radar.
Recent moves have been driven less by a single headline and more by a steady drumbeat of optimism around dry bulk shipping, with improving freight rate expectations and tighter vessel supply dynamics lifting sentiment across the sector. At the same time, investors are weighing cyclical risks and global trade uncertainty, which makes a closer look at valuation especially important now.
On our checks Star Bulk Carriers currently scores a 3 out of 6 valuation score. This suggests pockets of undervaluation but also areas where the market might be more fairly priced. Next, we will unpack the standard valuation methods investors rely on before exploring a more powerful way to frame what the stock is really worth.
Star Bulk Carriers delivered 30.2% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Shipping industry.
The Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a business is worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them back to today to reflect risk and the time value of money. For Star Bulk Carriers, this approach starts with last twelve month free cash flow of about $237 million and builds out a two stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model.
Analysts and internal estimates see free cash flow rising steadily, with projections such as $428 million in 2026 and around $1.49 billion by 2035, all expressed in $. Earlier years are informed by analyst forecasts, while the later years are extrapolated by Simply Wall St using a slowing growth profile as the business matures.
When all of these discounted cash flows are added together, the DCF model indicates a fair value of roughly $111.18 per share. Compared with the current share price, this implies the stock is trading at about an 81.6% discount to its estimated intrinsic value, which suggests there could be meaningful upside if these cash flow assumptions prove accurate.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Star Bulk Carriers is undervalued by 81.6%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 907 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
SBLK Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Star Bulk Carriers.
For profitable companies like Star Bulk Carriers, the price to earnings ratio is a useful way to gauge how much investors are willing to pay today for each dollar of current earnings, making it a straightforward lens for comparing valuation. What counts as a normal or fair PE depends heavily on how fast earnings are expected to grow and how risky those earnings are, with faster growing or lower risk businesses typically justifying higher multiples.
Star Bulk currently trades on a PE of 37.88x, which sits well above the broader shipping industry average of about 10.08x and also above the peer group average of around 5.22x. Simply Wall St goes a step further by estimating a Fair Ratio of 43.96x, a proprietary view of what the PE should be once factors like expected earnings growth, profitability, industry, market cap and company specific risks are accounted for. This tailored Fair Ratio can be more informative than simple peer or industry comparisons because it adjusts for the fact that not all shipping companies share the same outlook or risk profile.
Since the current PE of 37.88x is below the Fair Ratio of 43.96x, this lens indicates that Star Bulk Carriers may be undervalued on an earnings multiple basis.
Result: UNDERVALUED
NasdaqGS:SBLK PE Ratio as at Dec 2025
PE ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1452 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple way to connect your view of Star Bulk Carriers future with the numbers you see on screen. A Narrative is your story for the company, where you spell out how you think revenue, earnings and margins will evolve, and then link that story to a financial forecast and ultimately to a fair value estimate. On Simply Wall St, millions of investors build and compare these Narratives in the Community page, using them as an accessible tool to decide when to buy or sell by checking whether their Fair Value sits above or below the current Price. Narratives update dynamically as fresh news, earnings or guidance come in, so your fair value and conviction can evolve with the facts. For example, one Star Bulk Narrative might lean into fleet modernization, tight vessel supply and capital returns to support a fair value near the top of the current analyst range, while a more cautious Narrative could emphasize aging ships, leverage and trade volatility to anchor valuation closer to the low end.
Do you think there’s more to the story for Star Bulk Carriers? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
NasdaqGS:SBLK Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include SBLK.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
If you are wondering whether Estée Lauder Companies is finally a bargain or just a value trap at a lower price, this breakdown will walk through what the numbers are really telling us about the stock.
After a deep multi year slump, the shares have bounced sharply, with the price up 11.8% over the last week, 19.8% in a month, and 42.1% year to date, although the 3 year and 5 year returns of 53.8% and 54.0% are still well underwater.
Recently, investors have been watching management’s strategic reset and moves to streamline the portfolio and refocus on higher margin brands, alongside ongoing recovery expectations in key travel retail and premium beauty markets. Together, these developments have shifted sentiment from pure pessimism to cautious optimism and have helped fuel the latest rebound.
Despite that rally, our valuation checks only score Estée Lauder at 1/6, which means it screens as undervalued on just one of six metrics we track. Next, we will look at those different valuation approaches and, towards the end, explore an even more holistic way to think about what this business might really be worth.
Estée Lauder Companies scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a business is worth by projecting the cash it can generate in the future and discounting those cash flows back to today’s dollars.
For Estée Lauder Companies, the latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $0.82 billion. Analyst forecasts and subsequent extrapolations by Simply Wall St point to Free Cash Flow rising to roughly $2.0 billion by 2030, with interim projections stepping up steadily over the next decade. These projections are based on a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach that blends near term analyst expectations with longer term, slowing growth assumptions.
Combining all those discounted cash flows results in an estimated intrinsic value of about $106.22 per share. Compared to the current share price, this implies the stock is only about 1.0% undervalued, which is effectively in line with where the market is pricing it today.
Result: ABOUT RIGHT
Estée Lauder Companies is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment’s notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act.
EL Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025
Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Estée Lauder Companies.
For consumer brands like Estée Lauder Companies, revenue-based metrics are often more useful than earnings because sales are less affected by one-off costs and margin swings. The Price to Sales ratio shows how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of revenue, which makes it a reasonable yardstick for a profitable, established beauty business.
In general, faster, more resilient growth and lower perceived risk justify a higher multiple, while slower or more volatile growth supports a discount. Estée Lauder Companies currently trades on a Price to Sales multiple of 2.62x, which is above both the wider Personal Products industry average of 0.96x and the peer group average of 1.95x. On the surface, that suggests a premium valuation.
Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio framework goes a step further by estimating what a “normal” Price to Sales multiple should be after accounting for factors like earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and company-specific risks. For Estée Lauder Companies, that Fair Ratio is 2.26x, modestly below the current 2.62x. This indicates the shares are trading richer than what those fundamentals would typically support.
Result: OVERVALUED
NYSE:EL PS Ratio as at Dec 2025
PS ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1452 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which are simple, story driven forecasts where you spell out how you think a business like Estée Lauder Companies will grow, translate that view into revenue, earnings and margin estimates, and then see what fair value those assumptions imply. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, millions of investors use Narratives to connect a company’s story to a set of numbers, turning their expectations about things like digital expansion, luxury fragrance growth, or ongoing restructuring risks into a concrete valuation they can compare with today’s share price to help inform a decision. Because Narratives update dynamically when fresh information arrives, such as new earnings, product launches or macro news, your fair value view evolves automatically instead of going stale. For Estée Lauder Companies, one investor might build a Narrative closer to $120 per share based on stronger travel retail and emerging market recovery, while another might lean toward a more cautious Narrative nearer $61, assuming slower demand and margin pressure, and the platform makes those differing perspectives transparent and easy to explore.
Do you think there’s more to the story for Estée Lauder Companies? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
NYSE:EL Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include EL.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
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The blaze occurred just past midnight in Arpora in North Goa, a party hub.
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The projected fair value for Aalberts is €56.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Current share price of €28.64 suggests Aalberts is potentially 50% undervalued
The €37.75 analyst price target for AALB is 34% less than our estimate of fair value
How far off is Aalberts N.V. (AMS:AALB) from its intrinsic value? Using the most recent financial data, we’ll take a look at whether the stock is fairly priced by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting them to today’s value. We will take advantage of the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model for this purpose. Models like these may appear beyond the comprehension of a lay person, but they’re fairly easy to follow.
Remember though, that there are many ways to estimate a company’s value, and a DCF is just one method. Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model.
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We are going to use a two-stage DCF model, which, as the name states, takes into account two stages of growth. The first stage is generally a higher growth period which levels off heading towards the terminal value, captured in the second ‘steady growth’ period. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren’t available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years.
A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today’s value:
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Levered FCF (€, Millions)
€268.5m
€298.1m
€319.8m
€337.9m
€353.0m
€366.0m
€377.4m
€387.7m
€397.2m
€406.1m
Growth Rate Estimate Source
Analyst x4
Analyst x4
Est @ 7.28%
Est @ 5.64%
Est @ 4.49%
Est @ 3.68%
Est @ 3.12%
Est @ 2.72%
Est @ 2.45%
Est @ 2.25%
Present Value (€, Millions) Discounted @ 7.2%
€250
€259
€259
€255
€249
€241
€231
€222
€212
€202
(“Est” = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St) Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = €2.4b
After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the initial 10-year period, we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all future cash flows beyond the first stage. The Gordon Growth formula is used to calculate Terminal Value at a future annual growth rate equal to the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield of 1.8%. We discount the terminal cash flows to today’s value at a cost of equity of 7.2%.
Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= €7.6b÷ ( 1 + 7.2%)10= €3.8b
The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is €6.2b. The last step is to then divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of €28.6, the company appears quite undervalued at a 50% discount to where the stock price trades currently. The assumptions in any calculation have a big impact on the valuation, so it is better to view this as a rough estimate, not precise down to the last cent.
ENXTAM:AALB Discounted Cash Flow December 7th 2025
We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. You don’t have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company’s future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company’s potential performance. Given that we are looking at Aalberts as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we’ve used 7.2%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.292. Beta is a measure of a stock’s volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.
Check out our latest analysis for Aalberts
Strength
Weakness
Opportunity
Threat
Although the valuation of a company is important, it is only one of many factors that you need to assess for a company. It’s not possible to obtain a foolproof valuation with a DCF model. Rather it should be seen as a guide to “what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?” If a company grows at a different rate, or if its cost of equity or risk free rate changes sharply, the output can look very different. Can we work out why the company is trading at a discount to intrinsic value? For Aalberts, we’ve compiled three further aspects you should explore:
Risks: We feel that you should assess the 3 warning signs for Aalberts we’ve flagged before making an investment in the company.
Management:Have insiders been ramping up their shares to take advantage of the market’s sentiment for AALB’s future outlook? Check out our management and board analysis with insights on CEO compensation and governance factors.
Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every Dutch stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Uprooted trees lie along damaged buildings following a landslide in the aftermath of Cyclone Ditwah in Gampola town, in Sri Lanka’s Kandy district. File
| Photo Credit: AFP
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