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ASICS (TSE:7936) has seen its stock shift in recent trading sessions, drawing attention from investors curious about evolving trends. Looking at recent price moves, the shares have tracked a modest range this month with slight downward pressure.

See our latest analysis for ASICS.

Stepping back, ASICS has delivered standout long-term results, with a total shareholder return of 25.4% over the last year and an astonishing 415.75% in the past three years. While the last few months saw some mild share price weakness, the bigger picture still points to sustained momentum and renewed interest from investors looking for growth in consumer brands.

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With shares still trading at a notable discount to analyst targets and robust fundamentals in play, the key question is whether ASICS remains undervalued or if the market has already accounted for its next stage of growth.

ASICS currently trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 31.5x, far above both its peer average and the luxury sector as a whole. This raises questions about whether such a premium is warranted for the brand’s earnings outlook.

The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors are paying for each unit of profit. In consumer brands like ASICS, this multiple often reflects not just present profitability but also expectations for future growth and brand strength.

Despite strong recent earnings growth and a robust return on equity, this 31.5x multiple is more than double the industry average of 14.9x and also well above our estimated fair ratio of 23.1x. The current valuation suggests that the market is highly optimistic about future performance, potentially pricing in ambitious targets for sustained growth and profitability. If expectations fade, the multiple could contract significantly to better align with peers or its intrinsic potential.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for ASICS

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 31.5x (OVERVALUED)

However, slowing revenue growth and a potential pullback from recent highs could expose the stock to volatility if market sentiment shifts.

Find out about the key risks to this ASICS narrative.

Taking a different approach, our SWS DCF model estimates ASICS to be overvalued, with shares trading above the model’s calculated fair value of ¥3,286. While multiples suggest high optimism, the DCF model indicates that future cash flows may not fully support the current market price. Could analyst optimism be running ahead of fundamentals?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out ASICS for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 914 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you see things differently or want to uncover your own perspective, it’s easy to analyze the numbers and tell your version of the story in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding ASICS.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include 7936.T.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

SailPoint (SAIL) has seen its stock move lately, with investors keeping an eye on the company’s recent performance numbers and trends. Shares changed only slightly in the last day but have lagged over the past month, showing a cautious sentiment around the name.

See our latest analysis for SailPoint.

Looking at the bigger picture, SailPoint’s 1-month share price return of -15.04% highlights a notable loss of momentum. This result caps off an already weak trend so far this year, despite steady demand for its identity security solutions. In a single stroke, the stock has underperformed both recently and over the longer term, signaling that appetite for risk in this corner of enterprise software remains muted.

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With shares sitting well below analyst targets, the question facing investors now is whether SailPoint’s recent weakness signals a buying opportunity or if the market has already factored in all of its future growth prospects.

SailPoint trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 10.6x, which is notably higher than both its peer group and industry averages. For investors, this premium valuation raises the question of whether the company’s revenue growth profile is strong enough to justify such a hefty price tag.

The price-to-sales ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of revenue. It is a popular metric for software companies, many of which are still working towards consistent profitability, because it focuses on revenue generation rather than profit. When a P/S ratio stands well above the norm, the market is often anticipating robust revenue growth or defensibility.

In SailPoint’s case, the current P/S of 10.6x is elevated compared to both the US Software industry average of 4.9x and its peer group average of 8.6x. In addition, our fair P/S ratio estimate is 7.1x, suggesting further downside if expectations moderate. The market is clearly assigning a premium that is above historical or sector benchmarks, implying high confidence in future sales growth or strategic positioning.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for SailPoint

Result: Price-to-Sales of 10.6x (OVERVALUED)

However, slowing revenue growth or persistent operating losses could challenge investor confidence and force a reassessment of SailPoint’s elevated valuation.

Find out about the key risks to this SailPoint narrative.

While the price-to-sales ratio points to an overvalued stock, another angle comes from the SWS DCF model. This method looks at the present value of expected future cash flows, rather than just revenue.

Our DCF model finds SailPoint trading above its estimate of fair value. This suggests investors might be paying a premium for future growth that is not yet guaranteed. Could this mean further downside risk, or is the market simply seeing something others miss?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out SailPoint for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 914 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

If you see things differently or want to dig into the details yourself, building your own analysis is quick and straightforward. Try it out: Do it your way

A great starting point for your SailPoint research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Take control of your portfolio and seize opportunities now. Expand your watchlist by checking out these handpicked stock ideas, each targeting a key trend in today’s market.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include SAIL.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com