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As financial traders milled around 26 floors up in a tower in the Canary Wharf district of London, there was little sign of nerves ahead of Rachel Reeves’s second budget – until the surprise accidental early release of the government’s official economic analysis started to move markets.
Headline numbers from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) flashed through on banks of computer screens, followed shortly by the detailed analysis itself.
“Boom! There’s your 200-pager,” said Will Marsters, a sales trader at Saxo UK, a trading platform that hosted the Guardian for the announcement. The leak triggered a race across trading desks in the City of London to understand the implications of the leaked forecasts – and laughter at the hapless forecaster.
Traders at Saxo UK gathered for the budget announcement. Photograph: Sean Smith/The Guardian
It was a chaotic start to the budget, but more important for financial investors and the Treasury was the reaction on currency and bond markets. The Labour government was desperate to avoid a repeat of the Liz Truss “mini-budget” debacle, when borrowing costs surged, eventually bringing about the downfall of the Conservative government.
The reaction on Wednesday was choppy, but not dramatic by the standards of the Truss government. The yield on the benchmark 10-year gilt – a measure of the cost of government borrowing – dropped quickly from 4.5% to about 4.42%. A few minutes later it was back up above 4.52%.
By the late afternoon yields had fallen back once more, to 4.4%. The declining borrowing cost over the day will likely be a relief for Reeves – and a sign that markets do not think lending money to the UK has become more risky.
“The tempered growth didn’t seem too optimistic, which eroded some of the risk premium,” said Marsters.
Graph showing dip in cost of borrowing over the day
Neil Wilson, an investor strategist at Saxo UK, said: “There’s no great stinging surprise that has upset markets. That has allowed it to be a bit of a relief.”
However, he wondered about the credibility of the forecasts: governments often promise to tighten budgets in later years in order to make the sums add up. With elections expected around the same time, he said the prospect of welfare cuts or tax rises in four years’ time was remote.
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“You’re saying we’re going to buy fiscal restraint by the end of the parliament,” Wilson said. “‘Don’t worry about welfare – we’ll sort it out’.”
‘Everyone was fearing the worst,’ said one trader at Saxo UK. Photograph: Sean Smith/The Guardian
The value of the pound also jumped in initially volatile trading after the OBR leak. It then fell as low as $1.3124, before recovering by late afternoon to $1.3229 – an increase of 0.5% for the day.
Mike Owen, another sales trader, said: “Everyone was fearing the worst, so the price action is, ‘Phew’. It’s such a minefield to try to get through it.”
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Plaintiffs said misleading ads inflate burger sizes
Lawyers for plaintiffs unavailable for comment
Nov 26 (Reuters) – A federal judge dealt a setback to customers suing Burger King over advertising for its Whopper sandwiches, saying their claims were too disparate to justify certifying a nationwide class action.
The lawsuit by 19 customers in 13 U.S. states accused Burger King of misleadingly and materially inflating the size of nearly all menu items online and on in-store ordering boards.
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These included Whoppers whose burgers allegedly appeared to “overflow” the buns and be 35% larger than they are, with more than double the meat.
But in a decision on Tuesday, U.S. District Judge Roy Altman in Miami said the state consumer protection laws underlying the lawsuit had many differences. He also said individualized claims would predominate because the plaintiffs bought burgers in an “almost-infinite variety” of shapes and sizes.
“It may be that every single one of those burgers was smaller than every single menu-board item Burger King has ever produced. But that’s not the point,” Altman said. “Each putative class member will have seen a particular photo and received a specific burger.”
The judge also said Burger King’s prices have “undoubtedly waxed and waned” since April 1, 2018, the start of the proposed class period, and all class members would need to show when and where they bought burgers, and what they paid.
Lawyers for the plaintiffs did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Altman had rejected Burger King’s bid to dismiss the case in May, but Tuesday’s decision significantly reduces the potential damages.
Burger King said it was satisfied with the decision. It repeated its May statement that the plaintiffs’ claims are false, and that “the flame-grilled beef patties portrayed in our advertising are the same patties used in the millions of burgers we serve to guests across the U.S.”
A federal judge in Brooklyn, New York dismissed a similar lawsuit against McDonald’s (MCD.N), opens new tab and Wendy’s (WEN.O), opens new tab in September 2023.
Burger King is a unit of Restaurant Brands International (QSR.TO), opens new tab. The Toronto-based company’s brands also include Tim Hortons, Popeyes and Firehouse Subs.
Reporting by Jonathan Stempel in New York; Editing by Alistair Bell
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
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