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Hello, everybody—this is Gavin Verhey on behalf of the Pauper Format Panel. Today, we are making a change in Pauper. We want to walk you through the background of the change and why we’re making it.
We’ll start with the top line:
Back in March, we unbanned
At the time, we said this:
“Our hope is that the deck ends up, at best, an option in the metagame beneath the very best decks. If it ends up not being played after some experimentation, that’s a fine outcome. If it ends up fringe or playable but not in the best decks, that’s the ideal outcome. These scenarios will leave it unbanned.
“If it breaks through and enables one of the three most successful decks in the metagame, however, we will likely ban
First, let’s dive into data and results.
High Tide’s results started off slow as people began working to coalesce on the best versions. Eventually, players have refined the deck into a strong
There are a couple flexible card slots, but the majority of decklists tend to have near-identical main decks. Here’s a recent version that won a Magic Online challenge:
4 Brainstorm
1 Deep Analysis
1 Gigadrowse
3 Hidden Strings
4 High Tide
4 Ideas Unbound
13 Island
4 Merchant Scroll
4 Lórien Revealed
1 Muddle the Mixture
4 Peer Through Depths
3 Pieces of the Puzzle
4 Preordain
4 Psychic Puppetry
2 Reach Through Mists
2 Snow-Covered Island
2 Stream of Thought
1 Deep Analysis
2 Blue Elemental Blast
2 Dispel
1 Envelop
3 Fallaji Archaeologist
2 Gigadrowse
1 Muddle the Mixture
3 Snap
In terms of win rate, the deck started at just above 50% when it comes to its Magic Online win rate and didn’t have a large real-world showing at events like Paupergeddon—that’s more than fine. However, I’m really glad we took the extra time, because we have watched
Unlike many other decks, it tends to vary a lot from week to week—despite its success, it has a smaller portion of the metagame and can be very matchup dependent (more on that later). It’s a deck that takes a large amount of play skill and experience to pilot optimally, and it’s very possible that it has taken time to slowly rise for that reason. While, as far as we can tell, the play rates online and in real life tend to be lower, historically complicated and slow combo decks tend to not show up as much in droves.
The success of
It’s not uncommon for a
Speaking from my own personal experience, I have played a lot of
The
While it’s far from the only deck that can take a lot of time to execute—a deck like Familiars can also make games go long and monopolize the clock—at least in those cases you get to take another turn and play Magic. With
This additionally compounds in matters of tournament logistics. Because a single turn can take so long, even when plays are made at a reasonable pace, if the
While neither of these on their own are reasons for a ban—for example, we’re not taking action against Cycle Storm for its long turns—these factors in conjunction with it being a strong deck to play make it a serious problem and compound the issues.
While
To give some examples, against Mono-Blue Faeries, Tide’s worst matchup, some weeks its win rate has dipped below 20%. That is massively polar! While other matchups that don’t have Game 1 interaction have done the opposite. You sit down for Game 1 and you already often know who is going to win the first game (unless there’s a horrendous draw involved).
The result of this has been twofold.
The first is that decks that are advantaged or have a chance against
The second piece, though, which is problematic, is that it has made it a lot more about decks racing past one another to see who can win first. Something a lot of players enjoy about Pauper is the incremental nature of the format. But if you’re trying to beat
Put another way:
Of course, after sideboarding, players gain access to options against and disruption for
Despite the play rates being moderate, the impact on the format is outsized.
Ultimately, we had to ask ourselves the question, “Is
It’s a deck that has had outlier win rates, is hard to interact with, has caused large ripple effects, and creates a poor play and tournament experience.
Taking these elements into account together, we collectively made the decision to ban
I want to stress that we are still happy with the experiment here. Trying something out, letting the community experiment with a card, creating discussion, and learning an outcome about a card that has essentially never been legal in the wider Pauper format is a positive result, even if the outcome was banning the card again. We have no plans for future trial unbans at this time, but I also wouldn’t be surprised to see us try it again in the future.
I will say that while we did need extra time to see how the format evolved with a deck this complicated and that took time to fully see the impact of, we do want to apologize for the moving window here. While each individual reason made sense—asking for more time over the summer to see how the deck played out and aligning with the regular announcement cadence once the window moved up two weeks—it still created a shifting date as players were trying to make plans and understand if they should invest time into learning this deck and acquiring the cards. This isn’t generally what you should expect from us, and we’ll try to not let this happen in any future trial unbans.
So, what about the other cards in the format?
Well, we looked across the whole format for any other changes to be made at this time. The deck which most caught our eye as potentially in the range of a ban is the
However, as mentioned earlier, we believe
The other deck we have had our eye on are the new Spy Combo decks that have been showing up. Here’s an example from a recent Magic Online Challenge, noting there is still experimentation with the exact mix of cards.
3 Avenging Hunter
4 Balustrade Spy
2 Dread Return
2 Elves of Deep Shadow
3 Forest
2 Gatecreeper Vine
4 Generous Ent
4 Land Grant
4 Lead the Stampede
2 Lotleth Giant
3 Masked Vandal
1 Mesmeric Fiend
4 Overgrown Battlement
3 Quirion Ranger
3 Saruli Caretaker
1 Snow-Covered Forest
4 Sagu Wildling
1 Swamp
3 Tinder Wall
3 Wall of Roots
4 Winding Way
2 Faerie Macabre
2 Fang Dragon
1 Flaring Pain
3 Healer of the Glade
3 Mesmeric Fiend
2 Nylea’s Disciple
2 Scattershot Archer
This fairly new hybrid combo deck can kill fast with
Overall, the format has looked healthy—which is partially why we were reserved about making this change. The impacts of a deck like
Pauper Championships kick off this week on Magic Online, and I know we’ll eagerly be watching to see what happens both there and at Paupergeddon later this month out in Italy. As always, we’ll be out there reading everything you all have to write about this as well.
Thanks for reading, playing the format, and being up for trying something as experimental as a trial unban. It was a worthwhile experiment, and maybe we’ll try it again in the future.
This has been Gavin Verhey, now signing off on behalf of the Pauper Format Panel.
Alex Ullman
Alexandre Weber
Emma Partlow
Gavin Verhey
Mirco Ciavatta
Paige Smith
Ryuji Saito
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