- Karachi’s quagmire Dawn
- You can burn Karachi, but not its spirit The Express Tribune
- Gul Plaza tragedy: 69 bodies ‘handed over’; search for seven families continues Business Recorder
- Gul Plaza fire report exposes lapses in safety and…
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Karachi’s quagmire – Dawn
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Karachi’s quagmire – Dawn
- Karachi’s quagmire Dawn
- 69 victims now identified The Express Tribune
- Gul Plaza tragedy: 69 bodies ‘handed over’; search for seven families continues Business Recorder
- Here’s the Gul Plaza fire incident report Geo News
- Pakistan records…
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Nowcasting Economic Growth with Machine Learning and Satellite Data
Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.
Summary
The absence of reliable data on fundamental economic indicators (e.g. real GDP), combined with structural shifts in the economy, can severely constrain the ability to conduct accurate macroeconomic analysis and forecasting. This paper explores alternatives to address data limitations by integrating machine learning and satellite data to estimate real GDP. Specifically, it finds that incorporating satellite-based nightlight data into a random forest model significantly improves the accuracy of quarterly GDP growth estimates compared with models relying solely on traditional indicators. This empirical application contributes to the emerging nowcasting field to enhance economic forecasting in economies with significant data gaps.
Subject: COVID-19, Econometric analysis, Economic and financial statistics, Economic forecasting, Environment, Health
Keywords: COVID-19, GDP, Machine learning, Macroeconomic forecast, Nowcasting, Pacific Islands, Random Forest, Satellite data
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For the First Time, Scientists Detect Molecule Critical to Life in Interstellar Space
The chemical is known as thiepine, or 2,5-cyclohexadiene-1-thione (C₆H₆S), a ring-shaped sulfur-bearing hydrocarbon produced in biochemical reactions. When examining the molecular cloud G+0.693–0.027, a star-forming region about…
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Auschwitz images are best confined to the archives
Regarding Sarah Hemming’s review of the docudrama Here There Are Blueberries (“We must understand how humans did this”, Theatre, Life & Arts, January 24), my question is why must we now understand behaviour via the long-buried images of…
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Boron Could Be Astrobiology’s Unsung Hero
The light, rare element boron, better known as the primary component of borax, a longtime household cleaner, was almost mined to exhaustion in parts of the old American West. But boron could arguably be an unsung hero in cosmic…
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Spotify Celebrates the 2026 Best New Artist Nominees During a Star-Studded Party in L.A. — Spotify
Adding even more star power to the celebration, some of the biggest names in music and entertainment were in attendance, including Diplo, Zara Larsson, PinkPantheress, Lewis Capaldi, Shaboozey, Benson Boone, John Summit, and
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Let’s allow ideas to travel, not set up cultural borders
The recent backlash over western brands incorporating elements associated with Chinese “Mandarin jackets” highlights a broader challenge for global companies. Some call it “cultural appropriation” (“The ‘standout’ alternative to the…
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5 ways to train your gut to take on 120g of carbs per hour
I’m sitting at my computer, studying a detailed report all about me. It was put together by the School of Sport Sciences at Liverpool John Moores University in collaboration with the leading nutrition company Science in Sport (SiS), and…
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One in seven food delivery businesses in England are ‘dark kitchens’, study shows | Food & drink industry
One in seven food businesses on major delivery platforms, including Deliveroo and Just Eat, is now a “dark kitchen”, a university study shows.
The findings, which shine a light on the scale of the hidden takeaway industry, found that 15% of all online food retailers in England were dark kitchens.
Also known as “cloud”, “ghost” or “virtual” kitchens, they are delivery-only with no customer-facing storefront.
Despite rapid growth, they have – until now – lacked a clear and consistent definition, creating challenges for regulators, local authorities, food safety officers, industry stakeholders and consumers.
Dr Lucie Nield, co-lead investigator from the University of Sheffield, said: “People deserve greater transparency about the food they are ordering online, and these businesses must be held to the appropriate regulatory standards.
“Without this, dark kitchens risk falling through the gap, with potential consequences for public health, particularly by encouraging increased use of online takeaways, greater availability and therefore greater consumption of high fat, salt or sugar food.
“Dark kitchens have previously been poorly defined and under-researched, making their impacts difficult to fully understand.
“Adopting a shared definition is essential for clearer communication, more effective regulation and inspection and for driving public health agendas.”
A dark kitchen on an industrial estate in south London. The sites can help companies lower their operating costs. Photograph: Anna Watson/Alamy The study, which was commissioned by the National Institute for Health and Care Research, brought together multiple university teams to establish the first industry-wide framework for defining and identifying dark kitchens.
Researchers worked with academics, public health professionals, local authorities, national governing bodies, industry workers and consumers to ensure the definition reflected how the businesses operated.
The final wording was: “Technology-enabled commercial kitchen(s) operating primarily for delivery, to fulfil remote, on-demand, consumer online orders of food for immediate consumption.”
The academics also examined the scale of dark kitchens on major delivery apps.
Using data-scraping methods across platforms such as Uber Eats and Deliveroo, they identified clusters of food brands operating from the same postcode, a key indicator of delivery-only hubs.
The study also cross-referenced locations using tools such as Google Maps, highlighting how difficult these businesses can be for consumers and regulators to spot.
Although dark kitchen models offer commercial advantages, including lower operating costs and flexible locations, the research highlighted potential implications for public health.
Unlike traditional takeaways, which can be regulated by local authorities using spatial planning policy, dark kitchens are far less visible.
Management zones around schools, which are designed to limit the density of takeaways and support healthier food environments, do not apply to dark kitchens and may be undermined by their activities.
Researchers also raised concerns around food safety and transparency, particularly for customers with allergies or dietary sensitivities. Because multiple businesses can operate from the same kitchen space, consumers may not always be aware of shared preparation environments or potential allergen cross-contamination.
A survey in 2023 found that 40% of participants bought a takeaway at least weekly, commonly via delivery apps and mainly as a treat or for convenience.
Awareness of dark kitchens was low, with only a quarter having heard of them and just 9% knowingly using one. However, after reading a working definition, more than half said they would consider buying from a dark kitchen, though most wanted this to be made explicit.
The new industry-wide definition is aimed at bringing delivery-only hubs under stricter planning and public health oversight with clearer regulation, inspection processes and consumer understanding.
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