Category: 3. Business

  • A Great Year for US Stocks? Not Compared to Rest of the World

    A Great Year for US Stocks? Not Compared to Rest of the World

    An S&P 500 chart displayed during the Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. initial public offering (IPO) on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Thursday, Oct. 9, 2025. Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. and its private equity owner raised $826.3 million in an initial public offering, pricing the shares at $22 each, the top of a marketed range.

    Check a ranking of the best-performing equity indexes this year and the US doesn’t crack the Top 10. You won’t find it in the Top 25, either. Double that, and the S&P 500 is still absent.

    The tally needs to unfurl all the way to 66 before the world’s most valuable equity index shows up — leaving it way behind Greece’s Athex and even Israel’s TA-35. It’s one of the worst relative performances since the global financial crisis for the US benchmark.

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    The underperformance is even more surprising given the S&P 500’s  rally to countless records in 2025. But it’s still trailing most developed market benchmarks like Germany’s DAX and Japan’s Nikkei 225, and lags behind gauges in South Korea, Spain and Ghana, when measured in dollars.

    That last qualifier is critical, though not determinant. The US currency has fallen  this year, helping to boost returns on foreign bourses in dollar terms. That’s certainly the thrust behind gains of at least 39% in Colombia and Morocco.

    But even in local-currency rankings, the S&P 500 comes in just 57th, hardly befitting of a measure home to the six most valuable companies in the world, along with the likes of Coca-Cola Co., McDonald’s Corp. and Walt Disney Co.

    The underperformance, market participants say, owes just as much to a broader shift in the mindset among foreign investors, who have started targeting domestic champions as President Donald Trump wages a global trade war. Tensions ramped up on Friday after the president renewed threats of tariffs on China. Even in the US, they’re being more selective, with a focus on big tech rather than broad-based indexes.

    Added to that is a growing sense of concern about political and fiscal stability in the world’s largest economy. Trump’s tax and spending bill is projected to blow out the deficit. The government has been shut down since the start of October, the president is increasingly threatening the central bank’s independence and public investment decisions have become less policy-based.

    Together, the moves have shaken confidence in America, weakened the dollar and helped stoke a torrid rally in gold. While long-term Treasury yields haven’t exploded in any similar fashion, they’ve been elevated relative to recent years.

    “The deteriorating US fiscal situation and increasing policy uncertainty are eroding investor confidence in the US market, weakening the dollar, and prompting investors to explore opportunities in non-US markets,” said Jasmine Duan, senior investment strategist at RBC Wealth Management Asia.

    Of course, strategists have for years been predicting an imminent rotation away from US equities and those calls have fallen flat. The dollar’s slide has eased in recent weeks as political stresses mount around the world, from France to Japan to Argentina.

    And while the S&P 500 is lagging well behind the top three — Ghana, Zambia and Greece with gains of at least 61% — its  rally this year has created about $6 trillion in market value, equivalent to more than a third of the entire capitalization of the Stoxx 600.

    The US is also coming off of back-to-back years with gains north of 20%, easily outstripping the likes of the Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225. If you take stock of performances since the end of 2022 to 2024, the S&P 500 ranked 10th.

    Lasting Outperformance

    Still, there are evident reasons that global equity markets may continue to outperform. European interest rates are half the level in the US, giving corporates access to cheaper financing. Companies trade at valuations about 35% lower than in America.

    And so in Germany, Rheinmetall AG has more than tripled to lead the DAX to a  gain as the government promises to step up defense spending. European banks, long laggards, have been revitalized. In Spain, Banco Santander SA has almost doubled in value.

    South Korea’s Kospi index has risen  this year as investors speculate the new president’s push for shareholder-friendly policies will boost returns. The nation’s standing as a sophisticated chipmaker has given it domestic champions in artificial intelligence, with Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. rising after deals to supply chips to OpenAI.

    “Asia has been a great platform to bring diversification in our portfolio, and to express our preference for looking for alpha within asset classes,” said Sophie Huynh, portfolio manager and strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management.

    Similarly in Japan, expectations for a pro-stimulus lawmaker to become the next prime minister have pushed stocks to all-time highs. SoftBank Group Corp.’s  surge has powered the Nikkei 225. Defense equipment makers Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd. and Japan Steel Works Ltd. also rallied this month on optimism around more government spending.

    Global money managers are returning to China after years of aversion, drawn by advances in high-tech industries. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s plans to ramp up AI spending, and Huawei Technologies Co.’s aim to challenge Nvidia Corp. helped Chinese stocks log their best run of monthly gains since 2018. The Hang Seng Tech Index’s year-to-date advance of  is more than double that of the Nasdaq 100.

    Too Expensive

    The S&P 500’s stellar run from its April low has stretched valuations to levels that have raised alarm and prompted investors to diversify exposure. The index trades at 22 times forward earnings, a premium of 46% to the rest of the world. It’s also famously top-heavy, with mega-cap tech and its smaller brethren accounting for more than one-third of the index by weighting. A 53% rally in the two years starting at the end of 2022 had left foreign investors over-exposed to American equities.

    “Investors should be rebalancing, taking profits from their US allocation and increasing exposure to Europe, Asia and emerging markets,” said Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Man Group, the world’s largest publicly traded hedge fund. “The US will continue to lag other markets.”

    For now, buying from foreign investors remains on pace for a record, as fears of a recession recede. Their purchases make sense given the US is home to the key players in the AI frenzy, led by Nvidia.

    But many are moving money, according to a Bank of America Corp. survey of fund managers. Global investors were a net 14% underweight US stocks in September, while being 15% overweight euro-zone peers and 27% overweight emerging markets. There’s also evidence foreigners are being more selective, and why not? Just six stocks account for over 50% of the S&P 500’s gain this year. In fact, a gauge that strips out market-cap biases is up just  this year.

    “The last two years have only been about the US and nothing else because tech earnings were surging while everything else was down to flat,” said Beata Manthey, head of European and global equity strategy at Citigroup Inc. “This year, the growth differential between the AI trade and the rest of the world has narrowed, and it’s going to narrow even more next year. So there are more themes to choose from.”

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  • I had a front-row seat to the social media revolution in global affairs roles at Twitter and Meta. The same mistakes are happening in AI

    I had a front-row seat to the social media revolution in global affairs roles at Twitter and Meta. The same mistakes are happening in AI

    I’m not a tech naysayer. Far from it. But we’re doing it again.

    A new era of technology is taking off. AI is reshaping economies, industries, and governance. And just like the last time, we’re moving fast, breaking things, and building the plane while flying it (to use some common tech phrases). These mantras have driven innovation, but we’re now living with the unintended consequences.

    For over a decade, I worked in the engine room of the social media revolution, starting in U.S. government, then at Twitter and Meta. I led teams engaging with governments worldwide as they grappled with platforms they didn’t understand. At first, it was intoxicating. Technology moved faster than institutions could keep up. Then came the problems: misinformation, algorithmic bias, polarisation, political manipulation. By the time we tried to regulate it, it was too late. These platforms were too big, too embedded, too essential.

    The lesson? If you wait until a technology is ubiquitous to think about safety, governance, and trust then you’ve already lost control. And yet we are on the verge of repeating the same mistakes with AI.

    The new infrastructure of intelligence

    For years, AI was viewed as a tech issue. Not anymore. It’s becoming the substrate for everything from energy to defence. The underlying models are getting better, deployment costs are dropping, and the stakes are rising.

    The same mantras are back: build fast, launch early, scale aggressively, win the race. Only now we’re not disrupting media instead we’re reinventing society’s core infrastructure. 

    AI isn’t just a product. It’s a public utility. It shapes how resources are allocated, how decisions are made, and how institutions function. The consequences of getting it wrong are exponentially greater than with social media.

    Some risks look eerily familiar. Models trained on opaque data with no external oversight. Algorithms optimised for performance over safety. Closed systems making decisions we don’t fully understand. Global governance void whilst capital flows faster than regulation.

    And once again, the dominant narrative is: “We’ll figure it out as we go.”

    We need a new playbook

    The social media era playbook of move fast, ask forgiveness, resist oversight won’t work for AI. We’ve seen what happens when platforms scale faster than the institutions meant to govern them.

    This time, the stakes are higher. AI systems aren’t just mediating communication. They’re starting to influence reality from how energy is transferred to how infrastructure is allocated during crises. 

    Energy as a case study

    Energy is the best example of an industry where infrastructure is destiny. It’s complex, regulated, mission-critical, and global. It’s the sector that will either enable or limit the next phase of AI.

    AI racks in data centres consume 10-50 times more power than traditional systems. Training a large model requires the same energy as 120 homes use annually. AI workloads are expected to drive a 2-3x increase in global data centre electricity demand by 2030.

    Already, AI is being embedded in systems optimising grids, forecasting outages, and integrating renewables. But without the correct oversights, we could face scenarios where AI systems prioritise industrial customers over residential areas during peak demand. Or crises where AI makes thousands of rapid decisions during emergencies that leave entire regions without power and no one can explain why or override the system. This is not about choosing sides. It is about designing systems that work together, safely and transparently.

    Don’t repeat the past

    We’re still early. We have time to shape the systems that will govern this technology. But that window is closing. So, we must act differently. 

    We must understand that incentive structures shape outcomes in invisible ways. If models prioritise efficiency without safeguards, we risk building systems that reinforce bias or push reliability to the edge until something breaks.

    We must govern from the beginning, not the end. Regulation shouldn’t be a retroactive fix but a design principle. 

    We must treat infrastructure as infrastructure. Energy, compute, and data centres must be built with long-term governance in mind, not short-term optimisation. 

    We cannot rush critical systems without robust testing, red teaming and auditing. Once embedded at scale, it’s nearly impossible to reverse harmful design choices.

    We must align public, private, and global actors, which can be achieved through truly cross-sector events like ADIPEC, a global energy platform that brings together governments, energy companies and technology innovators to debate and discuss the future of energy and AI.  

    No company or country can solve this alone. We need shared standards and interoperable systems that can evolve over time. The social media revolution showed what happens when innovation outpaces institutions. With AI, we get to choose a different path. Yes, we’ll move fast. But let’s not break the systems we depend on. Because this time, we’re not just building networks. We’re building the next foundation of the modern world.

    The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

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  • Morgan Housel: Wealth requires long-term effort

    Morgan Housel: Wealth requires long-term effort

    Alistair Berg | Digitalvision | Getty Images

    When it comes to how we approach money, “no one is crazy,” Morgan Housel wrote in his bestselling 2020 book on building wealth, “The Psychology of Money.”

    And when it comes to the way we spend money, the decisions we make are just as personal, Housel, a partner at Collaborative Fund, writes in his new book, “The Art of Spending Money.”

    “It’s an art because it’s subjective,” Housel told CNBC.com in an interview ahead of the book’s Oct. 7 publication.

    Those decisions are crucial to building and maintaining wealth, he says: “Wealth is always a two-part equation — it’s what you have minus what you want.”

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    Here’s a look at more stories on how to manage, grow and protect your money for the years ahead.

    How people aspire to spend their money is often strongly influenced by society, marketing or social media, Housel said.

    But those spending habits may not actually make you happy in life, he said. And what you value today may not be what you value 20 years from now.

    “I think the biggest aspect is that you have to figure it out for yourself,” Housel said.

    CNBC spoke with Housel about how to balance social expectations with personal values, and the questions we need to ask ourselves to better align our spending and values.

    The conversation has been edited and condensed for clarity.

    ‘If nobody was watching, how could I live?’

    Morgan Housel, author of “The Psychology of Money” and partner at the Collaborative Fund.

    Morgan Housel

    Lorie Konish: You write about external versus internal benchmarks when it comes to spending. What are some examples of that?

    Morgan Housel: Buying a bigger house might make you happier if it makes it easier to have your friends and family over. But it’s the friends and family that are making you happy. That’s the internal benchmark. Spending money on a vacation might make you happier if it’s the only time that it allows you to detach from your daily life and from your job so that you can spend time with your friends and family. But you have to acknowledge that it is that that is making you happy.

    The external benchmark would be trying to get the attention, mainly of strangers. And a lot of people do that. I do this. It’s a very normal and natural thing, the assumption of, if I had this car, if I was wearing these clothes, if I lived in this house, if I posted these pictures on social media, other people will respect and admire me.

    It’s not that it is black-and-white false in that situation, it’s that we overestimate how much strangers are paying attention to you. Because the truth is, most of the time they are thinking about themselves. They’re thinking about their own car, their own clothes. And if they do look at you and say, “Wow, she has a really nice car,” they’re probably not admiring you. They’re imagining themselves in that car and daydreaming about the respect and admiration they would receive.

    LK: It’s like that choice between utility and status that you write about, with utility making your life better and status changing other people’s opinions of you. Should you be striving for one over the other?

    MH: I think we have to acknowledge that status is not a bad thing. I engage with it. We all do in our own way. If you were to dress exactly as you wanted to, that fits your personality, it might exclude you from certain social groups and job opportunities.

    So, having a certain level of status signaling is not bad. The point is, we overestimate the respect and admiration we’re going to get from it.

    If nobody was watching, how could I live? If nobody except maybe my immediate family could see the way that I was living, how would I choose to live? I would not want a fancy sports car. I would probably want a nice pickup truck that gave me a lot of utility. I would not want a house in the most exclusive, expensive zip code. I would want a house with a beautiful view, wherever that might be. If nobody was watching, I would just want to do X, Y and Z that really feeds my soul and makes me happy.

    The knee-jerk reaction is to lean more towards the social signaling side, because so much of the modern world is geared towards that. It’s always a balance. It’s just that our balance tends to be in the wrong direction.

    ‘What actually matters in terms of building wealth’

    LK: You write that FOMO, the fear of missing out, is one of the most dangerous financial reactions to exist. How can we avoid that?

    MH: If I see somebody getting wealthier, that’s only a small part of what’s going on behind the scenes. And there’s a great quote from [entertainer] Jimmy Carr where he says, “Everyone is jealous of what you’ve got, no one is jealous of how you got it.” And so even if you can see somebody getting wealthier, you can’t see the quality of their relationships, you can’t see their health, you can’t see their confidence. You can’t see all these other things that make an enormous impact and the quality and the happiness of their life.

    What actually matters in terms of building wealth over the course of your life is not how quickly you got rich this year, it’s how long you can keep your compounding going. If you can earn nearly average returns for an above-average period of time, you can do extraordinarily well. The normal intuition among even very smart people is that if you want to get rich, you need to do it fast, very quickly. And it is not intuitive, even if it is accurate and right, that the way to actually get rich is to be merely average for a very long period of time.

    That’s why FOMO can be so dangerous. It pushes us towards the wrong end of the equation. It pushes us towards getting rich fast, whereas I think the much more durable way to actually build a big fortune is to get rich slow.

    LK: We’re constantly making spending decisions that will influence our futures versus what we enjoy today. How do we strike a balance there?

    MH: It’s never as simple as, spend your money today, live for today, like the YOLO attitude. And it’s never as simple as, save for tomorrow, you need to compound your money and build your wealth. It’s always just a balance of, what are you going to regret in the future?

    Everyone’s propensity for regret is going to be different. Yours is different from mine, and vice versa. Looking back at your life at some point in the future, whether that’s a year from now or 50 years from now, what are you going to look back on and say, I wish I did that differently?

    This was an idea I got from Daniel Kahneman, the late psychologist, where he said if you want to be a good investor, you need a very well-calibrated sense of your future regret. Volatility in the stock market is only a risk to the extent that you’re going to regret it at some point in the future. If you ask most investors today, “How much do you regret the fact that you experienced the bear market of 2011?”, they’re going to be like, “What? I forgot that even existed. I don’t even think about it anymore.” So it wasn’t actually a risk.

    ‘Wealth is always a two-part equation’

    LK: You write about the parable of the Mexican fisherman, who works only a few hours a day. He then meets an American businessman who advises him to work hard for 10 years and invest and grow his business so that he can then retire and work for a few hours a day. The irony is that he already has that lifestyle. We have this concept of always needing more, but when do you have enough? And how do you get comfortable with that?

    MH: I want to live in a society in which the vast majority of people wake up every morning and say, “This is not enough,” because that’s the seed of innovation. That’s the seed of progress. The reason that I think my kids and grandkids will live in a much better world than you and I do today is because they and their peers will wake up every morning and say, “It’s not enough. I need to go solve more problems, build more wealth.”

    This is not a societal problem. This is a societal benefit. But at the individual level, it can create a situation where your dreams are always one step away and you never get any kind of fulfillment in life.

    Wealth is always a two-part equation — it’s what you have minus what you want.

    Almost all of our emphasis and effort in the financial world goes towards the former, how can you have more? How can you build more? I think the second half of that equation is actually more important part, because some sense of control over it. I have no control over what the stock market’s going to do this year, but I do have control over what I want and my ability to be a little bit more content.

    When people daydream about having a bigger house or a nicer car, by and large what they are doing is they are imagining themselves being content with those things in the future. You imagine yourself in that house saying, “This is all I want. I don’t need anything else.”

    So a lot of times when people are chasing happiness with money, part of the problem is that happiness is always a fleeting emotion. No one is happy for extended periods of time. If I tell you a funny joke, you don’t laugh for 10 years, you laugh for 30 seconds.

    What we’re going for is contentment, just getting to a point where we say, “I’m good and I appreciate what we have.” It’s much easier said than done. A lot of my material aspirations are to impress strangers. And when I remind myself that no one’s paying attention, then those desires tend to drop. No one’s thinking about you as much as you are.

    When you come to terms with that, you can use your money for something that is actually way more valuable to you, which is independence.

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  • The Ocean’s ‘Twilight Zone’ Is Under Threat — We Must Act Now

    The Ocean’s ‘Twilight Zone’ Is Under Threat — We Must Act Now

    Motion 035: Protection of Mesopelagic Ecosystem Integrity goes to vote at the World Conservation Congress this October. It urges nations not to authorize commercial fishing or other harmful activities in the deep ocean until we understand it better. If passed, this motion would be a crucial step toward ensuring that life in the deep layers of the ocean continues to thrive, and human activity in this space proceeds only when proven to pose no harm.

    By Silvie Alexander, Kristin Kleisner, Dr. Lance Morgan, Chris Dorsett and Kristina Gjerde.

    Beneath the waves, between 200 and 1,000 meters deep, lies one of Earth’s most mysterious and vital ecosystems: the mesopelagic zone, also known as the Ocean Twilight Zone. Though shrouded in darkness, this vast layer spans the globe and harbors an estimated 90% of all fish biomass, making it the largest unexploited ecosystem on the planet.

    Until recently, this deep sea zone remained largely unknown. But as scientific discovery begins shedding light on the mesopelagic’s immense ecological and climate value, a new threat is rising: industrial exploitation. 

    Fishing fleets are eyeing this zone for extraction as demand for fishmeal and fish oil increases. Other potential activities like deep-sea mining and marine carbon dioxide removal technologies also threaten the integrity of the mesopelagic ecosystem and its services. 

    Equipped with a large, scoop-like jaw, this fish’s name—gulper eel—sums up its ability to expand its throat and stomach to accommodate food much larger than itself. Its balloon-like capacity is a helpful adaptation for an opportunistic eater—the tiny teeth that line its jaws certainly wouldn’t be up to the job alone. Photo: Paul Caiger/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

    If we are serious about fighting climate change and preserving ocean health, the world must act now to protect this fragile, extraordinary ecosystem before it is too late. An upcoming vote at the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Conservation Congress is the first step. 

    Lungs of the Ocean

    Though invisible from the surface, the mesopelagic zone isn’t lifeless. It is teeming with bioluminescent fish, jellyfish, and otherworldly creatures, many of which remain unnamed, unstudied, or entirely undiscovered. But what makes this region truly exceptional is the essential role it plays in regulating our climate.

    Each night, billions of mesopelagic organisms perform the largest animal migration on Earth: migrating to the surface to feed on carbon-rich plankton, then returning to the depths by day. This nightly movement pulls massive amounts of carbon from surface waters to the deep ocean, where it can be sequestered for hundreds to thousands of years.

    It is estimated that mesopelagic species help transport 2-6 gigatons of carbon every year, more than double the annual emissions from all the world’s cars. And that is a conservative range based on our limited knowledge of the region’s biomass. Some scientists estimate migrating mesopelagic organisms facilitate the sequestration of over half the carbon stored by the ocean’s biologic carbon pump, with others positing they are responsible for up to 90% of deep ocean carbon storage. 

    Mesobot is a hybrid remotely operated vehicle designed specifically to study life in the ocean twilight zone. It can maneuver under its own power for more than 24 hours, using its cameras and lights to slowly follow individual animals while making a variety of other measurements and even taking samples.
    Mesobot is a hybrid remotely operated vehicle designed specifically to study life in the ocean twilight zone. It can maneuver under its own power for more than 24 hours, using its cameras and lights to slowly follow individual animals while making a variety of other measurements and even taking samples. Photo: Marine Imaging Technologies, LLC/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

    As science deepens its understanding of the mesopelagic zone and its species, it is increasingly evident that it is one of the planet’s most powerful climate stabilizers. Without it, Earth could be significantly hotter and climate impacts far more extreme. 

    In addition to carbon transport, mesopelagic organisms form the foundation of oceanic food webs, serving as vital prey for economically and culturally significant species such as tuna, swordfish, sharks, sperm whales, and sea lions. In other words, what happens in the mesopelagic zone ripples out across entire ocean ecosystems and affects the communities and industries that depend on them.

    Moreover, it is clear a vast number of species have evolved to the unique attributes of this dynamic deep sea environment, yet scientists have only catalogued a fraction. Considering the contributions biodiversity makes to science and life saving medicines every year, this is an invaluable benefit that we cannot afford to lose.

    A New Gold Rush in the Deep Sea

    Despite its societal, ecological, and climate value, the mesopelagic zone is now in the crosshairs of industrial-scale exploitation. Fishing companies are exploring it as a new source of fishmeal and fish oil (FMFO), used in aquaculture, livestock, and even pet food.

    This bejeweled beauty is a strawberry squid (Histioteuthis reversa), sampled from the ocean twilight zone, a about 1,000 meters (~3,300 feet) deep. A member of the cock-eyed squid group, this cephalopod is so named for its mismatched eyes: the larger one looks up into the dim light, while the smaller one points downward to scan for flashes of bioluminescence, indicating a potential meal. It is also known as the reverse jewel squid due to photophores that resemble jewels covering its body. The strawberry squid is a source of food for many of the large apex predators that dive down into the twilight zone to feed.
    This bejeweled beauty is a strawberry squid (Histioteuthis reversa), sampled from the ocean twilight zone, a about 1,000 meters (~3,300 feet) deep. It is a source of food for many of the large apex predators that dive down into the twilight zone to feed. Photo: Paul Caiger/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

    Currently, about 30% of global wild-caught fish are ground into FMFO. But as fisheries falter under climate stress and overfishing, attention is shifting to deeper, more abundant mesopelagic species. For industry, it is a business opportunity. For the planet, it is a dangerous gamble. 

    We Have More to Learn – And We Must Learn Fast

    It is worth emphasizing that we know shockingly little about the mesopelagic zone. We do not know how many species live there, how long they live, how they reproduce, or how resilient they are to disturbance. We do not know how fast these ecosystems recover from disruption, or if they can recover at all.

    Unlike more familiar fisheries, there is no baseline data, no harvest limits, and no management frameworks. It is, quite literally, a scientific black box. While there may be some level of extraction that is sustainable, we do not know what these levels may be or how economic gains weigh against the damage exploitation could cause. There is research underway exploring this, but we need more before we alter this system. 

    Ultimately, we cannot manage what we do not measure. Fishing before we have the necessary knowledge in hand is a reckless gamble we simply cannot afford. The stakes for ocean health, biodiversity, and the global climate are too high.

    A Global Call to Action 

    Recognizing this threat, the Marine Conservation Institute, the Environmental Defense Fund, and Ocean Conservancy are working to pass a motion at the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) that would place a precautionary pause on mesopelagic exploitation and spur the research needed to answer key questions.

    Motion 035: Protection of Mesopelagic Ecosystem Integrity, goes to vote at the World Conservation Congress this October. It urges nations not to authorize commercial fishing or other harmful activities in the mesopelagic until we understand it better. If passed, this motion would be a crucial step toward ensuring the mesopelagic zone continues to thrive, and human activity in this space proceeds only when proven to pose no harm.

    This is not about halting all human activity in the ocean – it is about acting responsibly, and understanding that the ocean, and particularly the mesopelagic zone, is more than a resource; it is a life-support system for us and our planet.

    The ocean twilight zone hosts and incredible diversity of animals with a wide range of unusual adaptations that equip them to thrive in their unique environment. Despite the seemingly harsh conditions, scientists think the twilight zone harbors far more life than previously believed, including many undiscovered species.
    The ocean twilight zone hosts and incredible diversity of animals with a wide range of unusual adaptations that equip them to thrive in their unique environment. Despite the seemingly harsh conditions, scientists think the twilight zone harbors far more life than previously believed, including many undiscovered species. Photos: Paul Caiger, Nancy Copley, Larry Madin/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

    The mesopelagic zone is one of Earth’s last truly untouched frontiers. Once lost, we do not know what will happen and we have no guarantee we can restore it.

    We have a narrow window of opportunity to make the right choice. The mesopelagic zone has served us and our planet silently for millennia. Now it is time we speak up for it.

    What You Can Do

    If you are an ocean advocate:

    • Share the importance of Motion 035 and the mesopelagic zone.
    • Amplify on social media and to your networks.
    • Encourage IUCN members to vote “Yes.”

    If you are an IUCN Member:

    • Read, comment on, and vote in support of the motion.
    • Urge others to protect this extraordinary and essential ecosystem.

    About the authors: Silvie Alexander (Blue Carbon Intern at Environmental Defense Fund), Kristin Kleisner (Lead Senior Scientist and AVP, Ocean Science at Environmental Defense Fund), Dr. Lance Morgan (marine biologist and president of Marine Conservation Institute), Chris Dorsett (Vice President, Conservation, Ocean Conservancy) and Kristina Gjerde (Senior High Seas Advisor to IUCN’s Global Marine and Polar Programme).

    Featured image: Paul Caiger, Nancy Copley, Larry Madin/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

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  • Cable stripped from rail line at Shenfield causes disruption

    Cable stripped from rail line at Shenfield causes disruption

    Cables have been stripped from an area near a major rail junction causing disruption for weekend passengers, a train operator said.

    Greater Anglia said the theft between Shenfield and Brentwood, in Essex, resulted in a “loss of signalling” and the lines being blocked to London Liverpool Street on Saturday morning.

    Network Rail and British Transport Police teams were sent to replace the cables in order to reopen the railway, with trains then resuming about lunch time.

    A Greater Anglia spokesman said it was “sorry for the disruption” and affected passengers would be able to claim compensation for any delays.

    The spokesperson added Saturday travel tickets could now be used on Sunday instead.

    It was expected to take up to three hours before the train timetable was back to normal.

    Greater Anglia said trains would be delayed, altered and cancelled in order to get crews and vehicles back into the correct places.

    Signalling problems were first reported early on Saturday, before Greater Anglia later said the cable has been stolen.

    Shenfield is a major junction for many services, including trains using the Great Eastern Main Line.

    The blocked lines had prevented trains from running between Shenfield, Romford and London.

    Passengers had also been unable to travel as normal on intercity trains between Norwich, Ipswich and London Liverpool Street.

    Routes between Clacton-on-Sea, Colchester, Braintree Town and Southend Victoria to Liverpool Street were blocked too.

    Passengers from Norwich were told to travel to London via Cambridge instead on GTR trains between Ely and London King’s Cross.

    The incident also affected trains on the Elizabeth line between Stratford and Shenfield.

    Greater Anglia, which runs trains across the East of England and into London, is to be brought into public ownership on Sunday.

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  • Australia’s March Toward 100 Percent Clean Energy

    Australia’s March Toward 100 Percent Clean Energy

    “[The clutch] is like 1950s technology—it’s really boring,” Westerman said (“boring,” for grid operators, is the highest form of praise). ​“The marginal cost of putting this in is like nothing compared to the cost of the plant.”

    A company called SSS has built these clutches for decades. One is nearly operational in the state of Queensland at the Townsville gas-fired plant, which Siemens Energy is converting into what it calls a ​“hybrid rotating grid stabilizer.” Siemens says this project is the world’s first such conversion of a gas turbine of this size.

    That particular retrofit took about 18 months and involved some relocating of auxiliary components at Townsville to make room for the new clutch. So it’s not instantaneous, but far easier than building a new synchronous condenser from scratch, and about half the cost, per Siemens.

    Some novel long-duration storage techniques also provide their own spinning mass. Canadian startup Hydrostor expects to break ground early next year on a fully permitted and contracted project in Broken Hill, a city deep in the Outback of New South Wales.

    Broken Hill lent its name to BHP, which started there as a silver mine in 1885 and has grown to one of the largest global mining companies. More recently, the desert landscape played host to the postapocalyptic car chases of Mad Max 2. Now, roughly 18,000 people live there, at the end of one long line connecting to the broader grid.

    Hydrostor will shore up local power by excavating an underground cavity and compressing air into it; releasing the compressed air turns a turbine to regenerate up to 200 megawatts for up to eight hours, serving the community if the grid connection goes down and otherwise shipping clean power to the broader grid.

    But unlike batteries, Hydrostor’s technology uses old-school generators, and its compressors contribute additional spinning metal.

    “We have a clutch spec’d in for New South Wales, because they need the inertia,” Hydrostor CEO Jon Norman said. ​“It’s so simple; it’s like the same clutches on your standard car.”

    Transmission grid operator Transgrid ran a competitive process to determine the best way to provide system security to Broken Hill in the event it had to operate apart from the grid, Norman said. That analysis chose Hydrostor’s bid to simply insert a clutch when it installs its machinery.

    The project still needs to get built, but if up-and-coming clean storage technologies could step in to provide that grid security, it wouldn’t all have to come from ghostly gas plants lingering on the system.

    “It’s a different feeling [in Australia]—there’s a can do, go get ​’em, ​‘put me in coach’ attitude,” said Audrey Zibelman, the American grid expert who ran AEMO before Westerman. ​“When you’re determined to say how best to go about this, as opposed to why it’s hard or why it doesn’t work, the solutions appear.”

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  • Some of the largest exchanges and financial institutions are embracing betting platforms and crypto. Is it just for the fees?

    Some of the largest exchanges and financial institutions are embracing betting platforms and crypto. Is it just for the fees?

    By Gordon Gottsegen

    If legacy financial institutions don’t embrace new technology, their competitors may leave them in the dust

    New York Stock Exchange parent company Intercontinental Exchange announced a $2 billion investment into prediction-markets platform Polymarket.

    This past week, Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, announced a $2 billion investment into prediction-markets platform Polymarket. On the same day, S&P Dow Jones Indices (SPGI), the company behind stock-market indexes like the S&P 500 SPX, announced a partnership with fintech company Dinari to create a crypto-focused index.

    Although these are two different legacy financial institutions partnering with two different fintech companies, both announcements referenced one thing: tokenization.

    Tokenization refers to the creation of a digital identifier for a real-world asset, which allows that asset to trade on a blockchain, like bitcoin (BTCUSD) does. For now, tokenization of the entire stock market is a far-off dream. But that doesn’t mean financial institutions aren’t thinking about it: Companies like Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) and Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) have both experimented with tokenizing stocks.

    But when you think about the New York Stock Exchange, which was started in 1792, and Standard & Poor’s, which traces its history back to 1860, you may not think of two companies that like to move fast and break things.

    So why are these two financial-industry behemoths moving in the same direction all of a sudden? The answer is two-fold. Firstly, they see it as an opportunity to bring in new sources of revenue. And secondly, if they don’t innovate, their competitors may leave them in the dust.

    Racing to where the puck is going

    In its partnership announcement, S&P Dow Jones Indices said that it plans to create the S&P Digital Markets 50. Similar to the S&P 500, the S&P Digital Markets 50 will be a market-tracking index that follows 15 of the largest cryptocurrencies and 35 U.S.-listed companies in the crypto space.

    S&P said this new index reflects a growing demand for crypto.

    “Cryptocurrencies and the broader digital-asset industry have moved from the margins into a more established role in global markets. Our expanded index suite offers market participants consistent, rules-based tools to evaluate and gain exposure to this segment,” Cameron Drinkwater, chief product and operations officer at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said in the announcement.

    That demand is also there for prediction markets. While the crypto industry may have had a head start on prediction markets, companies like Polymarket and Kalshi are growing rapidly – and now processing hundreds of millions, or even billions, of dollars in volume each month.

    Also read: Here’s why Wall Street is betting against DraftKings and FanDuel – and going all in on Polymarket and Kalshi

    “Polymarket knows where the puck is going,” Joe Saluzzi, head of equity trading at Themis Trading, told MarketWatch. “And where I think they’re going is something called tokenization.”

    Saluzzi said that tokenization of all sorts of assets, including stocks, is something that many people in the financial system are talking about. While many are excited about it, he said, there’s also an undercurrent of competition.

    In the movie “The Big Short,” there’s a scene where some of the main characters go to the S&P ratings agency and ask about how bonds get their AAA rating. When the woman at the agency reveals that all mortgage-backed bonds get AAA ratings, she blurts out that if she doesn’t give the banks the ratings they want, they’ll take their business elsewhere.

    Although the movie is a Hollywood dramatization of what actually happened during the 2008 financial crisis, Saluzzi made an analogy to this scene and said it may be how financial institutions are now thinking. If they don’t move quickly to embrace crypto, tokenization and prediction markets, then their competitors will.

    Financial incentives

    Financial institutions don’t adopt new technology merely for the sake of innovation. They do it when there’s a business incentive.

    For example, retail brokerage Robinhood makes money when its customers place trades. That tends to happen more when markets are up, noted Paul Rowady, director of research at Alphacution Research Conservatory, who tracks investor and market flows.

    “When the market goes down, like it did in 2022, the client equity of Robinhood goes down in correlation with that. And I think that that’s true of all these guys,” Rowady told MarketWatch.

    So what does Robinhood do to keep its customers active when market conditions aren’t favorable? They expand into new product verticals, like prediction markets.

    “If the market goes down, the exchanges and Robinhood want their user base to be able to gamble on sports,” Rowady said. Getting into prediction markets is a way for these financial companies to hedge by diversifying their businesses.

    Robinhood makes money on transaction-based revenue. For stock exchanges like Intercontinental Exchange, they make money providing financial data to institutional clients; that includes selling things like prop data, colocation fees and access to high-speed data ports.

    As markets grow and see more volume, they also create more data. Prediction markets are still dwarfed by the stock market, but they’re growing rapidly. Thomas Peterffy, the founder and chair of Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR), said that he believes prediction markets will be larger than the stock market within the next 15 years. If that happens, stock exchanges may want to hedge their bets by looking into new markets.

    Read: After a big 2024 election, why prediction markets could soon eclipse the stock market

    But when S&P creates an index, the business incentive may be a little more simple.

    “Create an index. Get paid,” Saluzzi said. “Somebody licenses it out, you can create an ETF based on your index, and the index companies just collect the toll.”

    Saluzzi noted that it always comes back to financial institutions making sure they get paid. These are businesses, and they have to make money in order to continue operating. That doesn’t mean there’s some sort of malicious intent; crypto and prediction markets have grown organically based on retail-investor demand.

    “In the end, it’s giving the people what they want. The retail [investors are] demanding this,” Saluzzi said.

    When centuries-old financial institutions start moving quickly, it’s a sign that the demand is there.

    -Gordon Gottsegen

    This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

    (END) Dow Jones Newswires

    10-11-25 0700ET

    Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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  • China’s rare earth gambit reveals the next phase of its economic warfare – Politico

    1. China’s rare earth gambit reveals the next phase of its economic warfare  Politico
    2. China tightens export controls on rare-earth metals: Why this matters  Al Jazeera
    3. What critical minerals are on China’s export control list now?  Dawn
    4. China’s Rare Earth Leverage Is the Frontline of 21st Century Geopolitics  The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine
    5. China flexes clout over EV, battery supply-chain with new round of export curbs  Automotive News

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  • EU need for 'digital sovereignty' does not mean protectionism, German minister says – Reuters

    1. EU need for ‘digital sovereignty’ does not mean protectionism, German minister says  Reuters
    2. Forrester’s 2026 European Predictions: Despite Europe’s Push For Regulatory Simplification And Digital Sovereignty, U.S. Tech Dominance Will Prevail  Yahoo Finance
    3. EU need for ’digital sovereignty’ does not mean protectionism, German minister says By Reuters  Investing.com

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  • ‘Happy Gilmore’ Producer Buys Spyware Maker NSO Group

    ‘Happy Gilmore’ Producer Buys Spyware Maker NSO Group

    Research published this week indicates that North Korean scammers are trying to trick US companies into hiring them for architectural design work, using fake profiles, résumés, and Social Security numbers to pose as legitimate workers. The hustle fits into longstanding campaigns by the hermit kingdom to steal billions of dollars from organizations around the world using careful planning and coordination to pose as professionals in all different fields.

    Under pressure from the Department of Justice, Apple removed a series of apps from its iOS App Store this month related to monitoring US Immigration and Customs Enforcement activity and archiving content related to ICE’s actions. As more apps are removed, multiple developers told WIRED this week that they aren’t giving up on fighting Apple over the decisions—and many are still distributing their apps on other platforms in the meantime.

    WIRED examined increasing warnings from software supply chain security researchers that the proliferation of AI-generated software in codebases will create an even more extreme version of the code transparency and accountability issues that have come up with widespread integration of open source software components. And Apple announced expansions of its bug bounty program this week, including a maximum $2 million payout for certain exploit chains that could be abused to distribute spyware, and additional bonuses for exploits found in Apple’s Lockdown Mode or in beta versions of new software.

    But wait, there’s more! Each week, we round up the security and privacy news we didn’t report in depth ourselves. Click the headlines to read the full stories. And stay safe out there.

    The notorious spyware vendor NSO Group, known for developing the Pegasus malware, has faced financial issues since losing a long legal battle against the secure messaging platform WhatsApp as well as a lawsuit filed by Apple. Now, the company, which has long had Israeli ownership, has been purchased by a group of US-based investors led by movie producer Robert Simonds, who helped finance Happy Gilmore, Billy Madison, The Pink Panther, Hustlers, and Ferrari, among many other films. The deal is reportedly worth “several tens of millions of dollars” and is close to completion. Israel’s Defense Export Control Agency (DECA) within the Ministry of Defense will need to approve the sale. Use of mercenary spyware has increased within some US federal government agencies since the beginning of the Trump administration.

    Hundreds of national security and cybersecurity specialists who work in the US Department of Homeland Security have faced mandatory reassignment in recent weeks to roles related to President Donald Trump’s mass deportation agenda. Bloomberg reports that affected workers are largely senior staffers who are not union eligible. Workers who refuse to move roles will reportedly be dismissed. Members of DHS’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) who have faced reassignment reportedly worked on “issuing alerts about threats against US agencies and critical infrastructure.” For example, CISA’s Capacity Building team has faced a number of reassignments, which could hinder access to emergency recommendations and directives for high-value federal government assets. Workers have been moved to agencies including Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Customs and Border Protection, and the Federal Protective Service.

    A recent breach of a third-party customer service provider used by the communication platform Discord included a trove of data from more than 70,000 Discord users that contained identification documents as well as selfies, email addresses, phone numbers, some home location information, and more. The data was collected as part of age verification checks, a mechanism that has long been criticized for centralizing users’ sensitive information. 404 Media reports that the breach was perpetrated by attackers who are attempting to extort Discord. “This is about to get really ugly,” the hackers wrote in a Telegram channel on Wednesday while posting the stolen data.

    US Immigration and Customs Enforcement inked a $825,000 contract in May with TechOps Specialty Vehicles (TOSV), a Maryland-based company that manufactures equipment and vehicles for law enforcement. The company provides products including rogue cellphone towers that are used for phone surveillance and sometimes called “stingrays” or “cell-site simulators.” Public records reviewed by TechCrunch show that the agreement describes how the company “provides Cell Site Simulator (CSS) Vehicles to support the Homeland Security Technical Operations program” and is a modification for “additional CSS Vehicles.” TOSV also began a similar $818,000 contract with ICE in September 2024, prior to the start of the Trump administration. In an email to TechCrunch, TOSV president Jon Brianas declined to share details about the contracts but confirmed that the company does provide cell-site simulators. The company does not manufacture them itself, he said.

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