Category: 3. Business

  • Asia FX Talk – USD pauses rally as government shutdown drags on

    Asia FX Talk – USD pauses rally as government shutdown drags on

    The broad US dollar (DXY) has paused its recent rally, after encountering technical resistance and amid rising concerns over the economic impact of the government shutdown. There are, however, signs of a potential breakthrough. Several Democratic lawmakers appear open to supporting a short-term funding measure that could end the shutdown. Such a deal may include provisions to protect civil servants from layoffs.

    Kevin Hassett, a key economic advisor to President Trump, warned that flight disruptions could hamper economic activity. The Federal Aviation Administration has ordered airlines to cut flights by 10% starting 14 November. These disruptions come at a critical time, with the Thanksgiving holiday approaching on 27 November. Reduced flight capacity could dampen consumer spending and tourism. Reflecting this uncertainty, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index fell to 50.3 in November, down from 53.6 in October and below Bloomberg’s consensus forecast of 53.0.

    Meanwhile, Fed Vice Chair Jefferson stated that monetary policy remains data-driven, assuring markets that the Fed still has access to sufficient macro data despite the lack of official releases during the government shutdown. Fed’s Williams added that the upcoming December policy meeting will require careful balancing. Inflation remains high, while the economy shows resilience.

    In Japan, Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi has signalled a change in fiscal policy. The government will no longer be reviewing the long-held goal of primary budget surplus on a single-year basis.

    Regional FX

    The US dollar (DXY) has pulled back a bit, but Asian FX performance has been mixed. KRW and TWD led regional losses last week, falling 2.1% and 0.7% against the US dollar, respectively. Foreign equity outflows were particularly strong from South Korea and Taiwan last week, with US$4.8bn and US$2.4bn of outflows respectively, driven by concerns over lofty AI valuations. KRW and TWD’s movements last week were consistent with foreign equity outflows.

    In contrast, the ringgit has strengthened by 0.6% against the US dollar last week, moving below the key 4.18 level against the US dollar and recording about 7% gain year to date. This brings our 2025 year-end forecast of 4.1500 within reach, and the risk is for ringgit to strengthen further towards the 2024 high of around 4.0950 level against the US dollar. We expect the ringgit to appreciate further against the US dollar, supported by resilient domestic demand, prudent fiscal management, and a narrowing policy rate gap with the US. Malaysia’s industrial production rose 5.7%yoy in September, up from 4.8% in August and beating Bloomberg consensus of a 5.4% rise. The recent strength in CNY has also had a positive spillover effect on the ringgit.

    Meanwhile, China’s CPI surprised to the upside, rising by 0.2%yoy, and coming in above the Bloomberg consensus of -0.1%. The better-than-expected print likely reflects holiday demand for travel, food, and transport. However, a still weak inflation outlook, coupled with decelerating credit growth, suggest looser macro policy support is likely.

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  • Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: Focus on U.S. Shutdown -2- – Morningstar

    Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: Focus on U.S. Shutdown -2- – Morningstar

    1. Week Ahead for FX, Bonds: Focus on U.S. Shutdown -2-  Morningstar
    2. Lenskart listing, Infosys buyback and FII trends among 7 factors to steer markets this week  The Economic Times
    3. ‘Mkts learning to live with Trump; sentiment split’  metroindia.net
    4. Week Ahead for FX, Bonds : Focus on U.S. Shutdown -2-  MarketScreener
    5. Stock market outlook for the week: Inflation, corporate earnings and more in focus; key factors to look o  Times of India

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  • JGBs Edge Lower, Tracking Declines in U.S. Treasurys

    0019 GMT — JGBs edge lower in early Tokyo trade, tracking this morning’s mild price declines in Treasurys amid signs that the U.S. government shutdown may end. Both JGBs and Treasurys tend to move in tandem. The U.S. Senate is weighing a possible Sunday evening vote to fund the federal government through January and end the shutdown. There may also be some negative sentiment arising from this morning’s release of the BOJ’s Summary of Opinions from the October meeting, which included one showing it’s likely that conditions for taking a further step toward rate normalization have almost been met. The 10-year JGB yield is up 1.5 bps at 1.690%. (ronnie.harui@wsj.com)

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  • First Oral PCSK9 Inhibitor Rivals Injectables – Medscape

    1. First Oral PCSK9 Inhibitor Rivals Injectables  Medscape
    2. Merck PCSK9 Pill Results Point to Extremely Low Cholesterol Future  The New York Times
    3. Efficacy and Equity With Oral PCSK9s: Ann Marie Navar, MD, PhD  AJMC
    4. Merck Reports Significant Phase 3 Results For Enlicitide Decanoate In LDL-C Reduction  Pulse 2.0
    5. More Drugs to Fight High Cholesterol Are Emerging  The Wall Street Journal

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  • Catchment Analyzer: San Antonio International Airport in Focus | ASM Global Route Development

    Catchment Analyzer: San Antonio International Airport in Focus | ASM Global Route Development

    Despite being just 66 miles from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, San Antonio International Airport dominates its core catchment, achieving a 69% total market share. Unsurprisingly, of the passengers leaking from this area, Austin-Bergstrom captures 77%, followed by Houston George Bush Intercontinental Airport capturing 17%.

    Interestingly, on the three routes where San Antonio is leaking the most passengers to Austin (to Los Angeles International Airport, New York Newark Liberty International Airport and San Francisco International Airport), a significant number of passengers are located close to San Antonio.

    Resident passengers using Austin to travel to LAX, EWR and SFO in 2023

    In Jul-2025, San Antonio Airport received a USD13.3 million grant from the US FAA under the Airport Infrastructure Grants (AIG) programme to support key elements of the airport’s new terminal development as it enters its fourth phase of construction.

    The airport broke ground on the new terminal in Dec-2024, with the project to include over 800,000sqft of terminal space, 35,700sqft of concessions space and up to 17 gates.

    The terminal is scheduled for completion in 2028 and forms the cornerstone of the airport’s USD2.5 billion Elevate/SAT expansion and capital improvements programme.

    Catchment Analyzer data is helping airports stay on top of the changing passenger behaviour trends of their catchment area, uncovering underlying patterns rather than relying on pure volume metrics.

    Recent CAPA News highlights for San Antonio International Airport

    San Antonio International Airport secures USD13.3m AIG grant for terminal development project

    San Antonio International Airport received (07-Jul-2025) a USD13.3 million grant from the US FAA under the Airport Infrastructure Grants (AIG) programme. Funding will support key elements of the airport’s new terminal development as it enters its fourth phase of construction, such as mass excavation, drilled piers and design assist work for mechanical, electrical and plumbing systems as well as baggage handling systems. The terminal project is the cornerstone of Elevate/SAT, a USD2.5 billion expansion and capital improvements programme.

    San Antonio International Airport confirms parking structure, Ground Transportation Centre project

    San Antonio International Airport announced (14-May-2025) it is moving forward with the design and construction of a new parking structure and Ground Transportation Centre. The project aims to provide expanded public parking for up to 2000 vehicles, as well as a central location for shuttles, rideshares, taxis and future mobility services. The structure will also be designed to accommodate future development of an eVTOL operations area.

    Spirit Airlines launches Atlanta-San Antonio service

    Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport, via its official Twitter account, announced (10-Apr-2025) Spirit Airlines launched San Antonio service. The service operates daily with A320 equipment. Delta Air Lines, Frontier Airlines and Southwest Airlines also operate the route, according to OAG.

    CLICK HERE to find out more about Catchment Analyzer and book your demo now.

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  • UK firms plan 3% pay rises in coming year, see AI hit to jobs, survey shows – Reuters

    1. UK firms plan 3% pay rises in coming year, see AI hit to jobs, survey shows  Reuters
    2. AI’s hidden recession: How fewer jobs and cultural backlash create a governance crisis  Fortune
    3. The Most Terrifying Graph I Have Ever Seen  Medium
    4. Don’t blame AI for your job woes  The Economist
    5. Artificial intelligence and the labor market  LBBW

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  • Growth in global demand for ‘green’ office buildings slows amid Trump policies | Commercial property

    Growth in global demand for ‘green’ office buildings slows amid Trump policies | Commercial property

    The growth in global demand for “green” office buildings has slowed after Donald Trump’s assault on environmental protection policies caused a slump in interest in the US, according to a survey of construction industry professionals.

    Building occupiers and investors across North America and South America expressed significantly lower growth in demand for green commercial buildings, a shift that “seems to be in response to a change in US policy focus”, according to a survey of members of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics). Reported demand across the rest of the world also fell, albeit not as sharply.

    Residential and commercial buildings together accounted for 34% of global carbon emissions in 2023, according to the UN Environment Programme. The majority of those emissions came from heating, cooling and powering buildings, although about a fifth came from construction.

    The UN said there was a “critical need for accelerated action in the buildings sector to meet global climate goals”. However, the Rics survey suggested global construction industry professionals were experiencing slower growth in demand.

    Green buildings can use a range of techniques to cut their environmental impact, ranging from using materials that reduce high-carbon concrete, to cutting water use, cutting heat lost through windows, and using renewable energy. Energy efficiency improvements in particular also help to cut operating costs.

    Nicholas Maclean, Rics’s acting president, said: “It seems to me that what we’re seeing at the moment might be a blip.

    “The people who are going to end up using these buildings want them to be sustainable. Everybody, frankly, knows this is the right thing to do.”

    He added that green office buildings tend to have a “competitive advantage” in attracting higher rents, because of demand from large-scale corporate tenants, in particular.

    There were still more US respondents to the survey who reported growth in interest in sustainable commercial buildings. However, the balance of building professionals across the continent reporting higher demand fell sharply, from 25% to 11%.

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    Outside North and South America, the balance reporting growth in demand was 40%, still down from 48% in 2021, the first year of the survey, but far above the US.

    Kisa Zehra, Rics’s sustainability analyst, said government policy and regulations have a “huge impact on the confidence of the market”. The Trump administration has made a concerted effort to dismantle a huge range of environmental protections put in place by Republican and Democratic predecessors, undermining confidence in green standards.

    Rics also highlighted a decline in the number of construction industry professionals who measured their projects’ embodied carbon, such as that emitted in making materials such as steel, glass and concrete, or in the construction process itself. Forty-six percent of construction professionals reported not measuring embodied carbon, up from 34% the year before. Only 16% of respondents said carbon measurement meaningfully informed material choices in project design.

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  • China's major commodity imports ease, except for iron ore – Reuters

    1. China’s major commodity imports ease, except for iron ore  Reuters
    2. China’s Commodities Imports Broadly Weaker as Demand Sags  Bloomberg.com
    3. China Cuts Back On Commodities, Except For Iron Ore  Finimize
    4. China’s Crude Imports Jump as Other Commodity Purchases Falter  Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com
    5. China’s copper imports drop in October as high prices curb buying  Business Recorder

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  • Elon Musk celebrates $1tn Tesla pay vote victory

    Elon Musk celebrates $1tn Tesla pay vote victory

    This article picked by a teacher with suggested questions is part of the Financial Times free schools access programme. Details/registration here.

    Specification:

    Some current wealth and income statistics:

    • In 2025, the world’s 3,028 billionaires have a combined wealth of $16.1tn. This is a similar value to the world’s second-largest economy, China

    • The richest 1 per cent of the world’s population accounts for 43 per cent of the value of all global financial assets

    • The bottom 50 per cent of the world’s population owns just 2 per cent of the value of all global financial assets

    • If Elon Musk achieved an asset value of $1tn, it would make his wealth the equivalent of the 20th largest economy in the world (above Belgium, Taiwan and Argentina)

    • The US Gini coefficient has increased from 0.43 in 1990 to 0.49 in 2024

    Read the article and then answer the questions:

    Elon Musk celebrates $1tn Tesla pay vote victory

    • Outline the difference between Elon Musk’s income and wealth [2]

    • Outline what Elon Musk has to achieve in terms of the value of Tesla to receive his $1tn income payment [2]

    • Using a diagram, explain the Lorenz curve [4]

    • Explain how the Gini coefficient can be used to measure income inequality [4]

    • Outline what an increase in the US’ Gini coefficient from 0.43 in 1990 to 0.49 in 2024 shows [2]

    • Explain two factors that might lead to an increase in income inequality in the US [4]

    • Explain two negative consequences of increasing income inequality in the US [4]

    • Explain two benefits of paying someone like Elon Musk, such as a large income [4]

    Alex Smith, Sevenoaks School, InThinking/thinkIB

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  • A global wealth boom is fueling a rise in family office imposters

    A global wealth boom is fueling a rise in family office imposters

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