Category: 3. Business

  • Ex-Fed Governor Adriana Kugler resigned after violating trading rules | World News

    Ex-Fed Governor Adriana Kugler resigned after violating trading rules | World News


    By Amara Omeokwe

     


    Former Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler, whose abrupt resignation allowed President Donald Trump to install an ally at the US central bank, violated Fed ethics rules and was subject to an internal probe when she stepped down in August, documents released Saturday showed.

     


    In her final weeks at the Fed, Kugler sought to address a problem with her financial holdings, but Chair Jerome Powell denied her request for a necessary waiver ahead of the central bank’s July 29-30 policy meeting, according to a Fed official. She skipped the meeting and announced her resignation days later.

     
     


    The Office of Government Ethics on Saturday released Kugler’s latest financial disclosures, which included previously undisclosed trading in multiple individual stocks in 2024 — some of which occurred during the Fed’s blackout period — in violation of the agency’s ethics rules. 

     


    Fed ethics officials referred the matter to the agency’s inspector general earlier this year, the form showed. They also declined to certify the disclosures, which Kugler filed about a month after her resignation. An IG spokesman said Saturday that an investigation is ongoing.

     


    Kugler’s resignation gave Trump an earlier-than-expected opportunity to fill a slot on the Fed’s board in the midst of his intense pressure campaign urging policymakers to drastically lower interest rates. The opening ultimately went to Trump adviser Stephen Miran, who took an unpaid leave of absence from his post as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers and has called repeatedly for rapid rate cuts.

     


    Kugler, who was appointed to the Fed in September 2023 by President Joe Biden, declined to comment.

     


    The former Fed governor announced on Aug. 1 that she would step down effective Aug. 8 — nearly six months before her term was set to end — without citing a reason and after she missed the central bank’s July meeting. At the time, the Fed said her absence was due to a “personal matter.”

     


    Ahead of that meeting, Kugler sought permission to conduct transactions to address what the Fed official described as impermissible financial holdings. It wasn’t immediately clear which holdings were involved in that request.

     


    According to the official, Kugler asked for a waiver to rules requiring top Fed officials to obtain clearance before conducting certain financial transactions and prohibiting them from trading during so-called blackout periods that straddle their policy meetings. Powell denied the request.

     


    Prohibited trades 


    It wasn’t the first time Kugler had run afoul of the Fed’s ethics rules. She acknowledged in disclosures last year that she violated prohibitions on trading when her husband executed several stock trades. 

     


    Kugler said at the time that her spouse made the purchases without her knowledge. The shares were later divested and Kugler was deemed in compliance with applicable laws and regulations, according to the disclosures.

     


    The newly released documents showed previously undisclosed trading in 2024 in individual stocks — which is prohibited for Fed officials and their immediate family members — including Materialise NV, Southwest Airlines, Cava Group, Apple Inc. and Caterpillar.

     


    Some of the trades were also executed during blackout periods, when transactions are prohibited.

     


    That included the purchase of Cava shares on March 13, 2024, days ahead of a March 19-20 meeting and the sale of Southwest shares on April 29, 2024, on the eve of the Fed’s April 30-May 1 gathering. The disclosure also lists several fund transactions that fell within blackout periods. 

     


    A footnote connected to the Jan. 2, 2024, sale of Materialise NV shares read: “Consistent with her September 15, 2024, disclosure, certain trading activity was carried out by Dr. Kugler’s spouse, without Dr. Kugler’s knowledge and she affirms that her spouse did not intend to violate any rules or policies.”

     


    Financial disclosure 


    The disclosure covered calendar years 2024 and 2025 through her resignation. Top Fed officials are required to submit disclosures annually and after leaving the central bank, and to report periodic financial transactions. 

     


    A spokesperson for the Fed’s Office of Inspector General on Saturday confirmed the office received a referral from the board’s ethics section related to Kugler’s filing.

     


    “We have opened an investigation and, consistent with our practice, we are unable to comment further until our investigation is closed,” the person said.

     


    Powell introduced tougher restrictions on investing and trading for policymakers and senior staff at the central bank in 2022. That followed revelations of unusual trading activity during 2020 by several senior officials.

     


    Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Dallas Fed chief Robert Kaplan each announced their early retirement after the revelations, with Rosengren citing ill health. The Fed’s internal watchdog ultimately cleared the pair of legal wrongdoing, but chastised them for undermining public confidence in the central bank.

     


    The new rules, which the Fed said at the time were aimed at supporting the public’s confidence in the impartiality and integrity of policymakers, boosted financial disclosure requirements, among other measures.

     


    Senator Elizabeth Warren, a Democrat from Massachusetts who has long called for stricter ethics rules at the central bank, released a statement Saturday calling for bipartisan legislation “to make the Fed more transparent and accountable.”

     


    The latest scandal “makes clear that the Fed still doesn’t have the guardrails or culture of accountability the American people expect,” Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott said in a statement.

     


    “The next Fed Chair must restore integrity, strengthen transparency, and end the pattern of insiders playing by their own rules,” he added.

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  • Fresh Sales Guidance and Strong Earnings Bring Valuation Back Into Focus

    Fresh Sales Guidance and Strong Earnings Bring Valuation Back Into Focus

    Henry Schein (HSIC) just lifted its 2025 sales growth guidance, signaling management’s confidence after reporting stronger sales and net income for the quarter compared to last year. This outlook could prompt a closer look from investors.

    See our latest analysis for Henry Schein.

    Following the upbeat sales and earnings update, Henry Schein’s share price has climbed 12.9% over the past month, signaling renewed momentum after a year of gradual gains. Despite this recent boost, the long-term total shareholder return remains just modestly positive, which hints there is still room for the valuation story to play out.

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    Yet with Henry Schein’s shares now enjoying a solid rally and analyst targets still offering only a moderate premium, the key question remains: is there value left to unlock, or has the market already priced in future growth?

    With Henry Schein’s most widely followed narrative setting fair value at $75.15, the current price of $71.43 suggests modest upside could remain. The stage is set by ongoing operational changes and improved momentum, fueling debate among market watchers.

    The company is experiencing strong growth in high-margin businesses such as Specialty Products, Technology, and private-label offerings, and expects over 50% of non-GAAP operating income to come from these segments. This supports structurally higher gross margins and is likely to drive earnings expansion. Investments in digital workflow, AI solutions, and integrated cloud-based practice management platforms are accelerating recurring SaaS revenues and client retention. Henry Schein is positioned to benefit from the ongoing digital transformation of healthcare, which should support both revenue growth and improved margins.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Curious about the numbers driving this narrative? The forecast hinges on a blend of margin upgrades, aggressive digital investment, and surprising long-term financial assumptions. What bold moves tip the valuation scales? Dive in to uncover the real foundation behind the headline price target.

    Result: Fair Value of $75.15 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

    However, persistent pricing pressures and ongoing staffing shortages could easily cap both Henry Schein’s earnings trajectory as well as its ambitious long-term outlook.

    Find out about the key risks to this Henry Schein narrative.

    If this outlook does not match your own thinking, or you prefer to examine the numbers yourself, you can shape your own view of Henry Schein’s prospects in just a few minutes. Do it your way

    A great starting point for your Henry Schein research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

    Make your next move count by tapping into fresh, high-potential markets before the crowd. Don’t let the best ideas pass you by.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

    Companies discussed in this article include HSIC.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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  • Did Supply Chain Pressures Reveal a New Challenge for Arista Networks’ (ANET) Long-Term Growth Story?

    Did Supply Chain Pressures Reveal a New Challenge for Arista Networks’ (ANET) Long-Term Growth Story?

    • In the past week, Arista Networks reported third-quarter results with revenue of US$2.31 billion and net income of US$853 million, as well as guided fourth-quarter revenue between US$2.3 billion and US$2.4 billion.

    • While the company continues to see substantial demand for its AI networking solutions, management pointed to ongoing supply chain constraints and longer lead times as major growth hurdles in the near term.

    • We’ll examine what the supply chain challenges highlighted by management could mean for Arista Networks’ long-term growth narrative.

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    To believe in Arista Networks, you must have conviction in the company’s leadership in AI-driven networking and its ability to capture share as hyperscalers and enterprises upgrade their infrastructure. The latest quarterly results confirm customer demand remains robust, particularly for AI infrastructure, but supply chain delays and component shortages continue to be the single most important near-term headwind. For now, this challenge appears to be limiting growth but has not altered the core demand catalyst central to Arista’s story.

    Among recent announcements, management’s updated revenue guidance for the fourth quarter, US$2.3 billion to US$2.4 billion, directly aligns with how supply constraints are tempering near-term growth, even as demand outpaces current delivery capabilities. This guidance makes clear that Arista’s strongest catalyst, the AI networking cycle, is being held back in the short term by execution risks surrounding supply chain and inventory management.

    By contrast, some investors may be surprised at how even healthy backlog isn’t a guarantee of smoother profitability if…

    Read the full narrative on Arista Networks (it’s free!)

    Arista Networks’ outlook anticipates $13.6 billion in revenue and $5.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario implies a 19.5% annual revenue growth rate and a $2.1 billion increase in earnings from the current $3.3 billion level.

    Uncover how Arista Networks’ forecasts yield a $163.87 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price.

    ANET Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

    While consensus views highlight current supply chain hurdles, the most optimistic analysts were projecting US$15.4 billion in revenue by 2028 before the recent news. If you focus on rapidly growing recurring software revenue and believe these high targets are realistic, your outlook may be much more upbeat than others’. As recent announcements evolve, it’s important to remember your perspective can shift as narratives and numbers change.

    Explore 18 other fair value estimates on Arista Networks – why the stock might be worth 14% less than the current price!

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes – extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

    Our daily scans reveal stocks with breakout potential. Don’t miss this chance:

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

    Companies discussed in this article include ANET.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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  • The past year for Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad (KLSE:YSPSAH) investors has not been profitable

    The past year for Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad (KLSE:YSPSAH) investors has not been profitable

    It’s easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Investors in Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad (KLSE:YSPSAH) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 14%. That’s disappointing when you consider the market returned 4.1%. At least the damage isn’t so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 8.2% in that time.

    Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they’ve been consistent with returns.

    We’ve found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

    To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it’s a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

    Unfortunately Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad reported an EPS drop of 31% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 14% the share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment — or it may have expected earnings to drop faster.

    The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

    KLSE:YSPSAH Earnings Per Share Growth November 16th 2025

    We’re pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It’s always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad’s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

    As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It’s fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad the TSR over the last 1 year was -9.5%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

    While the broader market gained around 4.1% in the last year, Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad shareholders lost 9.5% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn’t be so upset, since they would have made 1.4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about…

    We will like Y.S.P. Southeast Asia Holding Berhad better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

    Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Malaysian exchanges.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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  • Exploring Valuation Following Strong Year-to-Date Share Price Gains

    Exploring Valuation Following Strong Year-to-Date Share Price Gains

    Société Générale Société anonyme (ENXTPA:GLE) shares have seen movement this week, catching the attention of investors who are curious about the drivers behind the price shifts. Many are weighing recent performance in comparison to longer-term trends.

    See our latest analysis for Société Générale Société anonyme.

    This week’s price moves for Société Générale Société anonyme have come on the back of a stellar run, with the share price up over 114% year-to-date and a 1-year total shareholder return of nearly 130%. Short-term momentum has been mixed; however, the bigger picture suggests investors are recalibrating their outlook as risk appetite shifts and growth potential gets reassessed.

    If you’re curious where else opportunity may be building, now’s an ideal moment to broaden your perspective and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

    With the stock trading below analyst price targets and still showing a sizable intrinsic discount, is Société Générale Société anonyme currently undervalued, or has the market already priced in all the expected growth?

    With Société Générale Société anonyme’s fair value estimate coming in above the current share price, analysts see potential upside driven by strategic growth initiatives. This sets the stage for a deeper dive into what is fueling that higher valuation outlook.

    Accelerating digital transformation, exemplified by Boursorama/BoursoBank surpassing client targets six quarters ahead of schedule and being recognized as the best digital bank in France, positions Société Générale to capture fee and commission income growth, drive operating leverage, and lower cost-to-income ratios. This supports future revenue and net margin expansion.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Why are analysts giving Société Générale Société anonyme the benefit of the doubt? Their positive outlook hinges on ambitious profit growth targets, bolder margin assumptions, and a future earnings multiple that could shift industry expectations. Can these optimistic projections hold up? Uncover the pivotal forecasts and find out what is really moving the fair value needle.

    Result: Fair Value of €64.58 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

    However, challenges remain if interest rates remain low or if cost controls stall. Both of these factors could pressure margins and mute earnings growth moving forward.

    Find out about the key risks to this Société Générale Société anonyme narrative.

    Readers who want to dig deeper or see things differently can explore the numbers for themselves and craft a personal narrative in just minutes, so why not Do it your way?

    A great starting point for your Société Générale Société anonyme research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Why limit your strategy to one stock? Make the most of Simply Wall Street’s powerful screener and discover unique opportunities across different sectors before everyone else.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

    Companies discussed in this article include GLE.PA.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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  • AI Debt Explosion Has Traders Searching for Cover: Credit Weekly

    AI Debt Explosion Has Traders Searching for Cover: Credit Weekly

    (Bloomberg) — As tech companies gear up to borrow hundreds of billions of dollars to fuel investments in artificial intelligence, lenders and investors are increasingly looking to protect themselves against it all going wrong. 

    Banks and money managers are trading more derivatives that offer payouts if individual tech companies, known as hyperscalers, default on their debt. Demand for credit protection has more than doubled the cost of credit derivatives on Oracle Corp.’s bonds since September. Meanwhile, trading volume for credit default swaps tied to the company jumped to about $4.2 billion over the six weeks ended Nov. 7, according to Barclays Plc credit strategist Jigar Patel. That’s up from less than $200 million in the same period last year.   

    “We’re seeing renewed interest from clients in single-name CDS discussions, which had waned in recent years,” said John Servidea, global co-head of investment-grade finance at JPMorgan Chase & Co. “Hyperscalers are highly rated, but they’ve really grown as borrowers and people have more exposure, so naturally there is more client dialogue on hedging.”

    A representative for Oracle declined to comment. 

    Trading activity is still small compared with the amount of debt that is expected to flood the market, traders said. But the growing demand for hedging is a sign of how tech companies are coming to dominate capital markets as they look to reshape the world economy with artificial intelligence. 

    Investment-grade companies could sell around $1.5 trillion of bonds in the coming years, according to JPMorgan strategists. A series of big bond sales tied to AI have hit the market in recent weeks, including Meta Platforms Inc. selling $30 billion of notes in late October, the biggest corporate issue of the year in the US, and Oracle offering $18 billion in September.   

    Tech companies, utilities, and other borrowers tied to AI are now the biggest part of the investment-grade market, a report last month from JPMorgan shows. They’ve displaced banks, which were long the biggest portion. Junk bonds and other major debt markets will see a wave of borrowing too, as firms build thousands of data centers globally. 

    Some of the biggest buyers of single-name credit default swaps on tech companies now are banks, which have seen their exposure to tech companies surge in recent months, traders said. 

    Another source of demand for the derivatives: equity investors looking for a relatively cheap hedge against the shares dropping. Buying protection on Friday against Oracle defaulting within the next five years cost about 1.03 percentage point, according to data provider ICE Data Services, or around $103,000 a year for every $10 million of bond principal protected. In contrast, buying a put on Oracle’s shares falling almost 20% by the end of next year might cost about $2,196 per 100 shares as of Friday, amounting to about 9.9% of the value of the shares protected. 

    There is good reason for money managers and lenders to at least look at cutting exposure now: An MIT initiative this year released a report indicating that 95% of organizations are getting zero return from generative AI projects. While some of the biggest borrowers now are companies with high cash flow, the technology industry has long been fast changing. Firms that were once big players, such as Digital Equipment Corp., can fade into obsolescence. Bonds that seem safe now may prove to be considerably riskier over time or even default, if profits from data centers fall short of companies’ current expectations, for example. 

    Credit default swaps tied to Meta Platforms Inc. began actively trading for the first time late last month, after its jumbo bond sale. Derivatives tied to CoreWeave have also started trading more actively. Its shares tumbled on Monday after the provider of AI computing power lowered its annual revenue forecast due to a delay in fulfilling a customer contract.

    In the years before the financial crisis, the high-grade single-name credit derivatives market saw more volume than today, as proprietary traders at banks, hedge funds, bank loan book managers, and others used the products to cut or boost their risk. After the demise of Lehman, trading volume in single-name credit derivatives dropped, and market participants say it’s unlikely it will return to pre-financial levels. There are more hedging instruments now — including corporate bond exchange-traded funds — plus credit markets themselves have become more liquid as more bonds trade electronically. 

    Click here for a podcast with Oaktree about the lack of discipline in the AI rush

    Sal Naro, chief investment officer of Coherence Credit Strategies, sees the recent increase in single-name CDS trading as temporary. His hedge fund has $700 million in assets under management.

    “There’s a blip in the CDS market right now because of the data center build out,” said Naro. “Nothing would make me happier than to see the CDS market truly be revived.”

    But for now, activity is on the rise, traders and strategists at banks said. The overall volume for credit derivatives tied to individual companies has increased by about 6% over the six weeks ended Nov. 7, to about $93 billion, from the same period a year ago, according to Barclays’ Patel, who analyzed the latest trade repository data.        

    “Activity has picked up,” Dominique Toublan, head of US credit strategy at Barclays, said in an interview. “There’s definitely more interest.”

    –With assistance from David Marino.

    More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

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  • How Manila’s Purveyr Fair puts Filipino brands on the path to rapid growth

    How Manila’s Purveyr Fair puts Filipino brands on the path to rapid growth

    Manila’s Purveyr Fair is part pop-up, part proving ground. A space where Filipino creativity meets commercial opportunity. Founder Marvin Conanan tells us about the event.

    As Southeast Asia’s creative economy continues to grow at pace, the Philippines is making significant strides as a hub for lifestyle and fashion brands with global ambitions. Manila’s annual design, culture and creativity marketplace, Purveyr Fair, spotlights local businesses on the path to rapid growth. Part trade fair, part talent scout, Purveyr has become a key stage for brands to find new markets for both sales and investment. It has grown from showcasing 20 homegrown brands in 2016 to platforming more than 125 at its latest edition. In order to house this year’s event, its biggest ever, Purveyr had to expand into Manila’s World Trade Centre Tent.

    Beyond retail, the fair has become an incubator space where creative entrepreneurs test products and meet investors. Founder Marvin Conanan believes that it’s this mix of commerce and community that sets Purveyr apart. Here he walks Monocle through the Philippines’ creative economy, the new generation of Filipino shoppers, the brands to watch and the opportunities still untapped.

    Sharing the spotlight: Purveyr Fair and its founder, Marvin Conanan (on right), provide a platform for Filipino brands

    What led to launching Purveyr?
    We started as a blog. The goal was to share independent brands and street culture in the Philippines with more people. From covering local spaces for fashion, music, art and design, the vision grew to encompass other methods of helping them to grow and develop. Our first foray into hosting a fair was in a 200 sq m co-working space. About 300 people attended.

    What are the key retail and consumer trends that you’re seeing in Manila?
    Reflecting global shifts, vintage and secondhand retail has taken root in Manila’s youth culture, as pop-ups and fairs breathe new life into the local fashion scene. With exposure to so much more online nowadays, consumers are more informed and more deeply engaged with the products that they buy, the shops they visit, the brands they connect with and the spaces they make time for.

    What are the biggest challenges facing Filipino brands trying to scale up?
    Online congestion. Establishing a space online is easy – getting noticed is the real challenge. On a positive note, the maturity of the Filipino consumer and their developed interest in local brands means that the market has grown considerably. There are now more than enough customers to go around – as our most recent fair has demonstrated.

    Where are the biggest gaps and opportunities for investment and support in Manila?
    There’s a lot missing but perhaps the most significant are private funding and government support. Filipino creatives are left to survive and thrive on their own and this includes the capital-intensive fashion industry. Where opportunities exist, they are rarely long-term. Fashion labels and brands need time to mature, so it takes long-term support and planning to really make a difference.

    And finally, Christmas is coming. What Filipino brands should we be buying?
    If I had to choose three brands: Carl Jan Cruz, Don’t Blame The Kids and Proudrace. Each has been in the game for quite some time and carved its own path in the industry. Don’t Blame The Kids expanded through numerous collaborations and licensing agreements with global brands – it’s now the most mainstream of the three. Carl Jan Cruz is known for its technical and cultural approach to making clothes, weaving Filipino stories and culture into collections through quality fabrication and design. And lastly, Proudrace has always been recognised as a label to follow by local and global voices, with its understanding of popular culture and creative Manileños. All three are now globally present through retailers, pop-ups and collaborations.

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  • Pop Mart’s Labubu Risks Beanie Baby-Style Collapse, Analyst Says – Bloomberg.com

    1. Pop Mart’s Labubu Risks Beanie Baby-Style Collapse, Analyst Says  Bloomberg.com
    2. Pop Mart’s Labubu dolls fueled a stock surge — now Bernstein says it’s time to sell  CNBC
    3. Pop Mart shares fall after live-streaming incident about pricing  The Business Times
    4. Pop Mart’s share price rebounded as the company gradually increased its production capacity. Management expects stronger sales performance in the fourth quarter.  富途牛牛
    5. Pop Mart’s Shares Drop as Bernstein Warns Results May Disappoint  Bloomberg.com

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  • Labubu craze sweeping two continents

    Labubu craze sweeping two continents

    From sold-out US toy aisles to China’s booming ’emotional consumption’, a tiny monster captures wallets, attention

    A Labubu display at a mart in China. Photo: Reuters


    BEIJING/NEW YORK:

    A fuzzy, toothy-grinned creature called Labubu has quietly transformed shopping habits from US toy aisles to Chinese cultural hotspots, driving a wave of holiday-season consumer excitement that blends collectability, curiosity and the pursuit of personal happiness.

    Across the US, retailers are scrambling to meet demand for blind box toys after Labubu’s explosive popularity this summer pushed mystery collectibles firmly into the mainstream. These tiny mini monsters, often impossible to find on shelves, triggered a nationwide chase.

    American consumers searching for authentic Pop Mart Labubus this season are mostly returning empty-handed, as the dolls sell out within minutes before reappearing on resale platforms for strikingly high prices.

    Their scarcity has inspired rival companies to flood the market with cheaper alternatives. Retail giants such as Walmart and Target have filled holiday gift lists with blind box figurines and trading cards, encouraging repeat buying by concealing each toy’s identity. The trend now stretches from Furby and Barbie variants to Spin Master’s CrystaLynx dragons.

    Target has doubled its blind box assortment for the holidays, expanding into brands such as Baby Three, Miniverse, Zuru’s Minibrands and Aphmau. Retailers expect strong results because shoppers often buy multiple boxes in one go, fuelling a sustained cycle of purchasing.

    Market adviser Juli Lennett said toy makers are enthusiastic because buyers rarely stop at a single box. She noted that customers frequently collect entire series, turning the mystery element into a profitable driver of store traffic and impulse spending.

    Toy prices have climbed due to tariffs on goods made in China, but blind box items remain relatively affordable, making them attractive as stocking stuffers or small gifts for adults and children seeking a brief dose of gratification during the season.

    New Yorker Ashley Harseim said she plans to request a Miniso gift card for the holidays, explaining that she enjoys purchasing mystery figurines featuring familiar characters. She described the surprise element as a welcome “dopamine boost” amid daily routines.

    Harseim buys cat-themed blind boxes costing between six and ten dollars, displaying them on a shelf at home. She said she finds comfort in looking at them after scrolling through her phone, describing the feeling as a tiny moment of relief.

    Collectibles such as Pokémon trading cards have helped revive toy industry growth this year after two years of stagnation. Circana’s retail data showed strong performance for collectibles, though it did not include sales figures for Labubu itself.

    Even with high interest, analysts believe blind box popularity may not meaningfully increase total holiday spending, since many of these items are historically marketed as year-round impulse purchases rather than major seasonal gifts.

    Meanwhile, in China, Labubu has become part of a broader movement known as “emotional consumption”, where young consumers buy goods or experiences that make them feel happy, seen or momentarily transported away from everyday pressures.

    In Beijing, a new themed restaurant allows diners to “time travel” into ancient China, with visitors dressing in traditional hanfu garments while enjoying an eight-course meal and theatrical performances. Labubu dolls are also cited as key emotional purchases within this trend.

    Women in ornate clothing wander through the restaurant’s courtyard, posing beneath pavilions as the soft strumming of the Chinese zither echoes across the space. The experience offers a curated escape blending nostalgia, fantasy and cultural pride.

    Before dinner, guests select costumes from an array of Song and Qing dynasty designs. They accessorise with faux-jewel headpieces before visiting make-up stations staffed by artists applying blush and powder to complete the immersive transformation.

    Businessman Carey Zhuang paid 1,000 yuan to dress as a character from the classic Chinese novel ‘Dream of the Red Chamber’. He said the experience was worth it because it allowed him to enjoy the moment rather than prioritise frugality.

    Broadcast host Wu Ke, dressed in lilac hanfu, said she values such experiences despite economic caution in China. She argued that savings accumulated through daily thrift naturally find their way into meaningful experiences like cultural dining or themed outings.

    Teacher Huang Jing, who paid at least 900 yuan for her daughter to dress up and take professional photos, said the restaurant offered far more than a typical meal. She appreciated the cultural connection it provided for younger generations.

    China’s recent fascination with hanfu is strongly tied to emotional spending, according to scholars. The trend encourages identity exploration and helps young people feel connected to what they see as the deeper cultural roots of their heritage.

    Videos and images of hanfu outfits dominate platforms such as Xiaohongshu, generating billions of views and creating a viral ecosystem similar to the one that helped propel Labubu and other collectibles into the national spotlight.

    For many of these consumers, spending on traditional clothing, mystery dolls or immersive dining is not viewed as wasteful. Instead, they describe it as choosing happiness in the midst of economic uncertainty and a rapidly shifting social landscape.

    Labubu’s rise across both markets, although playing out differently, reflects the same emotional shift: a desire for small, immediate joys and the comfort of a surprise that feels personal, meaningful or simply fun in an unpredictable world. 

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  • A Look at Haemonetics’s (HAE) Valuation Following a 51% 30-Day Share Price Surge

    A Look at Haemonetics’s (HAE) Valuation Following a 51% 30-Day Share Price Surge

    Haemonetics (HAE) has seen a lift in its stock price over the past month, gaining more than 51%. This move stands out when compared to the company’s broader track record and recent financial performance.

    See our latest analysis for Haemonetics.

    This kind of sharp 30-day share price return, up more than 51%, signals a dramatic shift in sentiment for Haemonetics. This comes after a challenging year with a 12-month total shareholder return of -17.6%. Recent momentum may hint at renewed optimism about the company’s prospects as investors look past last year’s struggles and consider its potential for recovery.

    If you’re interested in what else might be catching renewed investor attention, it’s a great moment to check out opportunities with other healthcare stocks using our See the full list for free.

    With shares soaring more than 51% in just 30 days, the key question now is whether Haemonetics is truly undervalued or if this surge means future growth is already reflected in the market price.

    Haemonetics’s most widely followed narrative places its fair value at $83, noticeably higher than the recent closing price of $73.49. This difference points to possible upside embedded in key growth and profitability assumptions that diverge from past market trends.

    Rapid innovation and increased adoption of advanced plasma collection systems (NexSys with Persona and Express Plus), as well as new software contracts securing approximately 80% market share, are driving share gains and supporting double-digit organic growth ex-CSL in the plasma segment. These trends are expected to boost both revenue and net margins as upgrades and center conversions accelerate through FY26 and into FY27.

    Read the complete narrative.

    The key to this bullish view? It rests on a blueprint where profit margins climb, recurring revenues expand, and fresh innovation secures market dominance. Want to discover what bold projections lie behind this optimistic price target? The full narrative reveals the details shaping this valuation and the stakes if things do not go to plan.

    Result: Fair Value of $83 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

    However, risks remain. Intensifying competition and dependence on a few core products could threaten Haemonetics’s growth if operational challenges persist.

    Find out about the key risks to this Haemonetics narrative.

    If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, it only takes a few minutes to build your own view. Do it your way

    A great starting point for your Haemonetics research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

    Millions of investors are finding their edge by using targeted stock screeners. Let Simply Wall Street help you spot fresh opportunities before the crowd.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

    Companies discussed in this article include HAE.

    Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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