Category: 3. Business

  • Trump Media Stock Slump Deepens as Election Bump Erased, Losses Mount – Bloomberg.com

    1. Trump Media Stock Slump Deepens as Election Bump Erased, Losses Mount  Bloomberg.com
    2. Trump Media Lost $54.8 Million Last Quarter As Bitcoin Bet Backfires  Forbes
    3. Trump Media announces Q3 ended with $3.1B in financial assets  TipRanks
    4. Trump Media & Technology Group Archives  Media Play News
    5. Trump Media & Technology Group earned $15.3 million in Q3 from options premiums related to bitcoin securities  Bitget

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  • Here’s our price target and rating on Qnity, our newest stock to ride the AI chip boom

    Here’s our price target and rating on Qnity, our newest stock to ride the AI chip boom

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  • Freedom Holding Corp. to Build $2B Sovereign AI Hub in Kazakhstan Powered by NVIDIA

    Freedom Holding Corp. to Build $2B Sovereign AI Hub in Kazakhstan Powered by NVIDIA

    LAS VEGAS, Nov. 7, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Freedom Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FRHC), a financial services and technology company has signed an agreement with the Ministry of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development of the Republic of Kazakhstan to develop a $2 billion Sovereign AI Hub in Kazakhstan. The hub will be operated by Freedom Holding Corp. and powered by sovereign exascale NVIDIA AI infrastructure, as part of a major strategic initiative to accelerate Kazakhstan’s and Central Asia’s AI leadership.

    The Ministry will support favorable conditions for hosting and operating large-scale AI systems and lead related talent development programs. The anticipated hub is planned to be located at a site in Kazakhstan with 100 MW of available power, with Freedom Holding Corp. serving as the principal financing and implementation partner.

    “Working with NVIDIA is an important step in implementing Kazakhstan’s national AI strategy. We are building the foundation of a sovereign AI ecosystem that will strengthen our economy, enhance competitiveness, and unlock new opportunities for the entire region,” said Zhaslan Madiyev, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Development.

    “We are excited to be part of this transformative initiative to strengthen Kazakhstan’s position in the global AI landscape. By combining our expertise with NVIDIA’s advanced technologies and the visionary support of the Ministry, we aim to build a robust foundation for AI innovation and drive long-term growth throughout the entire Central Asian region,” said Timur Turlov, CEO of Freedom Holding Corp.

    About Freedom Holding Corp.

    Freedom Holding Corp. provides financial services in 21 countries, including Kazakhstan, the United States, Cyprus, Poland, Spain, Uzbekistan, and Armenia. The Company’s principal executive office is located in New York City. In Kazakhstan, Freedom is actively developing its financial and digital ecosystem, which includes Freedom Bank, Freedom Broker, the insurance companies Freedom Life and Freedom Insurance, as well as a lifestyle segment that features Arbuz.kz, Freedom Ticketon, and Aviata. Freedom Holding Corp. shares are traded on the U.S. technology exchange NASDAQ, the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE), and the Astana International Exchange (AIX) under the ticker symbol FRHC. Freedom Holding Corp. is regulated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and is a member of the Russell 3000 Index.

    Contact

    Head of Public Relations
    Natalia Kharlashina
    Freedom Holding Corp.
    [email protected]
    +77013641454

    Photo – https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2817486/Freedom_Holding_Corp.jpg

    SOURCE Freedom Holding Corp.

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  • The UK’s rich tap their social circles to borrow millions quickly

    The UK’s rich tap their social circles to borrow millions quickly

    Unlock the Editor’s Digest for free

    Rich individuals are increasingly making multi-million-pound loans to fellow wealthy people who need money faster than banks can provide or who might not pass “know your customer” checks, according to their advisers.

    Loans of between £3mn and £10mn are becoming more popular as banks step back. But they can also be worth more than £50mn, secured by assets including property, company shares, art, jewellery, yachts and private jets.

    Adam Russ, Deutsche’s global head of wealth management and business lending, said lenders often knew borrowers through their social circles: “When we lend money, whether you’re a bank or a person, it starts with character — it’s the first thing you assess.”

    One area of investment attracting private lenders is real estate as property developers face financing gaps.

    The declining attractiveness of London prime property, due to higher interest rates, stamp duty and the departure of rich people from the UK, has made development opportunities riskier and less appealing to banks.

    Advisers said wealthy individuals were also replacing Russian investors in the UK after many were sanctioned following the invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

    Laura Uberoi, head of private wealth finance at law firm Addleshaw Goddard, said the wealthy needed to borrow because they often had little cash on hand.

    “The trick to being a multibillionaire is having zero liquidity — borrowing is consistently needed by ultra-high net worths to fund their ongoing liquidity needs as well as their next business venture,” she said.

    Nazir Dewji, global department leader for real estate at law firm BCLP, said: “We’ve seen family offices creating debt arms over the last two to three years as an alternative way of investing into real estate.”

    Some loans are given out before development starts, he added, while others were designed to support acquisitions.

    London-based Cohort Capital started making loans six years ago as a family office and has since put together syndicates to make loans. By the end of this year, it will have originated £1.5bn in loans from 15 family offices, which provide 90 per cent of the capital, according to co-founder Matt Thame, with the rest coming from banks.

    Cohort makes short-term loans that average £15mn for acquisitions and refinancing, and has experienced a rise in business as banks retreat, he said.

    One example of a Cohort loan was for a student residence in Paddington, west London, being bought for £85mn. “We funded £60mn in 10 days,” Thame said, charging its typical interest rate of 12 per cent.

    Giuseppe Ciucci, executive chair of high net worth adviser the Stonehage Fleming Group, said family offices were often much faster than banks at providing funds at a “very attractive rate”, particularly when property is pledged as security. “It’s become more of a go-to solution than it used to be.”

    One private banker said a client was an expert in a very small slice of London super-prime property and was therefore comfortable assessing collateral valuations. While many lenders do “know your customer” checks, in this case he did not want to.

    The head of a single family office, who did not want to be named, said: “With real estate there’s a big advantage that it’s quick and easy to take charge over the assets.” Lenders can register charges over an asset at the Land Registry.

    Other types of assets were less appealing, the head of the family office added: “Things like yachts and art are more complex; I would be concerned about them. Famously, yachts move.”

    Uberoi said simple loans started at interest rates of 10 per cent. However, lending using “your funky things” as collateral, such as land without development permission, “can go into the twenties and people will pay it because they want quick money — they will pay it because no one else will lend because the assets are risky”.

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  • New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Announces 1-for-8

    New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Announces 1-for-8

    Hong Kong, China, Nov. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited (hereinafter referred to as “New Century” or the “Company”), a company listed on the NASDAQ, reported that it expects to implement a 1-for-8 reverse stock split on its common stock. The effective date is scheduled to be Friday, November 14, 2025, subject to the Company’s satisfaction of Nasdaq Operations notice requirements, with trading to begin on a split-adjusted basis at the market open on that day. Trading in the common stock will continue on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol “NCEW”. The new CUSIP number for the common stock following the reverse stock split will be G64627113. In the event that the effective date is delayed the Company will update the effective date via a subsequent press release.

    The reverse stock split at a ratio of 1-for-8 shares was approved by the Company’s Board of Directors.

    Upon the effectiveness of the reverse stock split, every 8 shares of the Company’s issued and outstanding common stock will automatically be converted into one share of issued and outstanding common stock. No fractional shares will be issued as a result of the reverse stock split. Instead, any fractional shares that would have resulted from the split will be rounded up to the next whole number. The reverse stock split affects all stockholders uniformly and will not alter any stockholder’s percentage interest in the Company’s outstanding common stock, except for adjustments that may result from the treatment of fractional shares.

    In connection with the reverse stock split, the Company has filed an Amended and Restated Articles of Association with the Financial Services Commission of the British Virgin Islands to reduce the authorized number of shares of the Company’s common stock from 100,000,000 shares to 12,500,000 shares, the reduction at the same ratio as its reduction in the issued and outstanding shares of common stock, with no par value, and there will be no change to the par value per share. The Board of Directors of the Company approved the reverse stock split on October 3, 2025. No stockholders’ approval of the reverse stock split is required pursuant to BVI law.

    About New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited

    New Century is an international freight forwarding company and logistics service provider. Its customers include direct shippers and other freight forwarders. New Century assists its clients in both importing and exporting of goods which principally involves the arrangement of shipment upon receipt of booking instructions from our customers, including sale of cargo space, cargo pick up, off-airport air cargo security screening, palletization, preparation of shipping documentation, arrangement of customs clearance and cargo handling at ports. New Century’s freight forwarding services principally generate revenues from air freight export shipments to regions such as North America, Europe and Asia.

    CAUTIONARY STATEMENT CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

    This press release contains “forward-looking statements”. You can identify forward-looking statements as those that are not historical in nature, particularly those that use terminology such as “may,” “should,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “contemplates,” “estimates,” “believes,” “plans,” “projected,” “predicts,” “potential,” or “hopes” or the negative of these or similar terms. The reader is cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. Actual results could vary materially from the expectations and projections of New Century. We base these forward-looking statements on our expectations and projections about future events, which we derive from the information currently available to us. By identifying such information and statements in this manner, the Company is alerting the reader that such information and statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such information and statements. A more complete discussion of the risks and uncertainties facing the Company appears in the registration statement and in the Company’s Annual Information Form and other continuous disclosure filings, which are available on EDGAR at www.sec.gov. Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information and forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. In connection with the forward-looking information and forward-looking statements contained in this press release, the Company has made certain assumptions. Although the Company believes that the assumptions and factors used in preparing, and the expectations contained in, the forward-looking information and statements are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on such information and statements, and no assurance or guarantee can be given that such forward-looking information and statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information and statements. The forward-looking statements discussed in this press release and other statements made from time to time by us or our representatives, may not occur, and actual events and results may differ materially and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions about us, including those described in New Century Logistics’ prospectus filed with the SEC. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking statement as a result of new information or future events or developments, except as required by U.S. federal securities laws.

    Contact:
    ir@nclogistics.com.hk 
    New Century Logistics (BVI) Ltd 
    A-E 33/F King Palace Plaza
    55 King Yip Street 
    Kwun Tong Hong Kong 
    www.nclogistics.com.hk 

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  • OpenAI Asks US to Expand Chips Act Tax Credit to AI Data Centers – Bloomberg.com

    1. OpenAI Asks US to Expand Chips Act Tax Credit to AI Data Centers  Bloomberg.com
    2. Sam Altman says OpenAI’s revenue is ‘well more’ than $13 billion and could hit $100 billion by 2027  Fortune
    3. White House AI czar rules out federal bailout for the sector By Reuters  Investing.com
    4. OpenAI 2025 at around $20 billion ARR, plans to launch cloud business  trendingtopics.eu
    5. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar’s one sentence that ‘forced’ CEO Sam Altman issue a thousand-word clarification  Times of India

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  • Elon Musk Says Optimus Will ‘Eliminate Poverty’

    Elon Musk Says Optimus Will ‘Eliminate Poverty’

    Elon Musk predicts Tesla’s Optimus robot will be a force for economic good — even if it ultimately eliminates much of the need for human labor.

    While the humanoid robots are a production challenge and aren’t launching anytime soon, Tesla has demoed them handing out candy on Halloween, performing Kung Fu with Jared Leto, and dancing onstage at its recent shareholder meeting.

    But Musk says he has an even bigger vision for the robots; he wants them to transform the economy.

    “People often talk about eliminating poverty, giving everyone amazing medical care,” Musk said at the Thursday shareholder event. “There’s actually only one way to do that, and that’s with the Optimus robot.”

    Musk later doubled down: “Optimus will actually eliminate poverty.”

    Minutes earlier, the crowd cheered and broke out into chants of “Elon, Elon!” as shareholders approved Musk’s $1 trillion pay package. The Tesla CEO — who is the world’s richest person — will unlock up to $1 trillion in shares if Tesla achieves a series of lofty targets, including selling one million Optimus robots in the next decade.

    Musk also said that Optimus would change life for incarcerated people at the meeting. Instead of physically jailing prisoners, Optimus could “follow you around and stop you from doing crime,” he said.

    The robots would increase the global economy by a factor of 10, Musk said, or possibly even 100.

    On Tesla’s third-quarter earnings call, Musk imagined a world of “sustainable abundance,” a goal outlined in Tesla’s Master Plan Part IV, with Optimus leading the way. An Optimus robot will have 5x the productivity of a human per year, Musk predicted, because it would be able to operate 24/7.

    “There’s limit to much how much AI can do in terms of enhancing the productivity of humans, but there is not really a limit to AI that is embodied,” Musk said.

    Musk also described how “sustainable abundance” and a robotic future will transform the economy in a recent interview with Joe Rogan.

    “I came to the conclusion that the only way that the only way to get us out of the debt crisis and to prevent America from going bankrupt is AI and robotics,” Musk said.

    Robots like Optimus will make working “optional” in the future, Musk said.

    “We’ll have, in a benign scenario, universal high income,” Musk said. “Anyone can have any products or services that they want. But there will be a lot of trauma and disruption along the way.”

    Musk isn’t the only business leader touting the prospects of a universal basic income. Musk’s friend-turned-foe Sam Altman ran a pilot studying basic income in 2024. Facebook cofounder Chris Hughes has expressed support for UBI, as has eBay founder Pierre Omidyar.

    There’s an economic irony here, Musk told Rogan.

    “The capitalist implementation of AI and robotics, assuming it goes down the good path, is actually what results in the communist utopia,” he said.

    What will humans do in Musk’s robotic future? Certainly not working, Musk wrote in an October X post.

    “AI and robots will replace all jobs,” he wrote. “Working will be optional, like growing your own vegetables, instead of buying them from the store.”

    Musk is no stranger to making bold, highly ambitious predictions — he’s called himself “pathologically optimistic” and said that he has “an issue with time.”

    Tesla is currently in the design stage for Optimus, which Musk has said has proven challenging — especially when it comes to the robot’s hands. Musk said that he eventually expects to be able to sell Optimus for $20,000 to $30,000 once the robots hit volume production.


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  • What caused the stock market’s lackluster week — plus, an earnings season update

    What caused the stock market’s lackluster week — plus, an earnings season update

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  • Speech by Governor Miran on stablecoins and monetary policy

    Speech by Governor Miran on stablecoins and monetary policy

    Thank you, I really appreciate the opportunity to speak to you today.1

    I am excited to be discussing stablecoins. This innovation has been unfairly treated as a pariah by some, but stablecoins are now an established and fast-growing part of the financial landscape. Putatively, stablecoins were originally intended to facilitate holding and trading cryptocurrency. But their proliferation has been aided by providing users with a stable store of value, a means of payment, and the ability to move capital quickly, irrespective of territorial borders.

    Demand for dollars continues to be strong, so it’s no surprise that a more efficient means of accessing dollars has become increasingly popular. With the passage this year of the GENIUS Act (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act), there is now a clear regulatory pathway in the U.S. for stablecoin issuers to broaden their reach and solidify stablecoins as a core part of the payment system. I believe economic research has some catching up to do. Economists meticulously study demand for dollar assets and consider how monetary policy may be affected, and the rapid growth of stablecoins affects the supply of loanable funds in the U.S. economy. I am encouraged that the Federal Reserve is taking steps to recognize the importance of stablecoins for the payment system; greater transparency and rising adoption should help us consider their effect on monetary policy as well.2

    Stablecoins and Dollars

    Essentially all stablecoins are denominated in dollars, and their success is at least partly due to the U.S. dollar’s enduring status as the world’s preferred currency.3 Stablecoins are also contributing to the dollar’s dominance by allowing an ever-growing share of people around the globe to hold assets and conduct transactions in the most trusted currency.

    My thesis is that stablecoins are already increasing demand for U.S. Treasury bills and other dollar-denominated liquid assets by purchasers outside the Unted States and that this demand will continue growing. All else equal, this new demand lowers borrowing costs for the U.S. government. However, as a central banker, my focus is on what I believe may be a substantial and long-term force putting downward pressure on a crucial guideline for monetary policymakers known as r*. The neutral rate, or r*, is the policy interest rate that neither stimulates nor restricts economic activity when the economy is operating at its potential once the transitory effects of cyclical economic shocks have abated. There are several open questions with respect to the impact of stablecoins on U.S. monetary policy: How many assets will be managed by stablecoin issuers? Will the funds come from domestic or foreign sources, and where might substitution pull funds out of the banking system? What are the systemic risks related to runs on stablecoins? Since monetary policy must be forward looking, my colleagues and I would be best served exploring these topics now. In these remarks, I’ll focus on the consequences for monetary policy if stablecoin growth follows industry expectations. In short, stablecoins may become a multitrillion dollar elephant in the room for central bankers.

    GENIUS Act

    While I tend to view new regulations skeptically, I’m greatly encouraged by the GENIUS Act. This regulatory apparatus for stablecoins establishes a level of legitimacy and accountability congruent with holding traditional dollar assets. For the purposes of monetary policy, the most important aspect of the GENIUS Act is that it requires U.S.-domiciled issuers to maintain reserves backed on at least a one-to-one basis in safe and liquid U.S. dollar–denominated assets. These reserves can be held in bank deposits, short-term Treasurys, overnight repurchase agreements (repos) or reverse repos backed by U.S. Treasurys, or government money market funds. Depending on the source of funds used to invest in stablecoins, it may constitute new loanable funds in the U.S. economy or the overall amount of money available for borrowing and lending.

    Even stablecoins outside the ambit of the GENIUS Act are likely to boost demand for Treasurys and other dollar-denominated assets. Stablecoins that do not comply with the GENIUS Act can invest reserves in a much broader range of assets but, to be viewed as reliable stores of value, will likely end up still investing substantially in U.S. dollar securities with minimal credit risk.

    The inter-quartile range of private-sector estimates compiled by Federal Reserve staff roughly projects stablecoin uptake reaching between $1 trillion and $3 trillion by the end of the decade. For reference, the Fed grew its holdings of U.S. Treasury securities by just over $3 trillion during the latest round of quantitative easing in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. In total, under $7 trillion in Treasury bills are outstanding today. If these forecasts prove accurate, the magnitude of additional demand from stablecoins will be too large to ignore.

    Potential for Broad Adoption

    The innovation of public blockchains means that stablecoins can trade freely on rails that anyone in the world can use. This advancement represents potentially transformational change for consumers and businesses outside the U.S., particularly those in emerging market economies (EMEs) or even advanced foreign economies (AFEs) with burdensome restrictions on their payment systems. In many jurisdictions, low-friction payment rails are unavailable. Banking services to convert local currency or assets into dollars may be limited. Basic banking services themselves may be limited. And billions of people worldwide are subject to capital controls preventing convertibility and access to dollars. Globally, savers disproportionately favor dollar-denominated assets, and the ubiquity of capital controls is indicative of that revealed preference.

    For stablecoins to enter widespread use, there must be a bridge from local fiat currencies into stablecoins. One can imagine many possible bridges, often already in use for existing dollar vehicles: Remittances from immigrants working in the U.S. might take the form of stablecoins; exporters may receive portions of their payment in stablecoins, perhaps undeclared if domiciled in jurisdictions that proscribe stablecoin use; people might trade local currency for cryptocurrency and then use that cryptocurrency to buy a stablecoin; or they might trade physical cash or goods or services or other assets for stablecoins. Stablecoins merely make it easier to traverse some of these bridges and increase incentives for doing so because once stablecoins are in circulation in an economy, they can circulate more freely and cheaply behind capital controls than traditional forms of dollar payments.4

    These bridges will not be frictionless or have infinite capacity. For people who want to use dollars either as a store of value or a means of payment but are unable to do so, stablecoins make it incrementally easier. Stablecoins will not instantly obliterate barriers to dollar use, but they will perforate those barriers.

    Reserve assets and currency provided by the U.S. are global public goods, but some jurisdictions prohibit their citizens’ enjoyment of them. Stablecoins might establish an easier means for the financially repressed to enjoy these global public goods and evade draconian restrictions on their finances. For individuals and businesses in many nations, especially those in which dollars are used for large purchases like homes, this also leapfrogs the challenges of high and unstable inflation or volatile exchange rates.

    To be fair, stablecoin growth may not live up to the forecasts I cited earlier. Potential limits on yield and reward arrangements could limit adoption, particularly in open economies. The presumption that the crypto industry will grow at the prodigious rates of recent years cannot be taken for granted. But even with these considerations, it seems likely to me that the growth in stablecoin usage outside the U.S. will continue at a high rate.

    One important distinction is that if domestically purchased stablecoins are financed with bank deposits, or foreign purchases are financed with existing dollar-denominated holdings, then that doesn’t affect the amount of loanable funds in the financial system. Further, there’s some risk that a flow of deposits out of the U.S. banking system and into stablecoins could disintermediate banks, affecting the transmission of monetary policy and stunting the velocity of money.

    However, because GENIUS Act payment stablecoins do not offer yield and are not backed by federal deposit insurance, I see little prospect of funds broadly fleeing the domestic banking system. The real opportunity in stablecoins is to satiate untapped foreign appetite for dollar assets from savers in jurisdictions where dollar access is limited; by contrast, users in the U.S. and AFEs like the euro zone already freely access Treasurys, dollars, and other instruments that offer yield or deposit insurance. I therefore expect most demand for stablecoins to come from locales unable to access dollar-denominated saving instruments, boosting demand for dollar assets.

    Implications for Monetary Policy

    The supply–demand balance for loanable funds determines the neutral interest rate, or r*. As I discussed in a recent speech, I believe a range of different factors are putting downward pressure on r* and should be considered in formulating monetary policy.5 Some researchers have tried to estimate how much stablecoin growth might lower interest rates. In 2024, work by Marina Azzimonti and Vincenzo Quadrini estimated that if stablecoins are in widespread use and fully backed by U.S. securities, it could put as much as 40 basis points of downward pressure on interest rates.6

    In estimating the effect of the projected growth of stablecoin issuance on demand for Treasurys and other highly liquid dollar assets, it is helpful to make a comparison to what most researchers believe was a large factor during an era of declining interest rates that began around the turn of the millennium—what former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke called the global saving glut.7 In measuring the global saving glut, Bernanke reported that the annual U.S. current account deficit widened by 4 percentage points of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) from 1996 to 2004.8

    As I mentioned earlier, projections indicate between $1 trillion to $3 trillion of growth in stablecoins over the next several years. Adoption depends on regulatory clarity, institutional integration, and factors emanating from outside the U.S.—for instance, growth in EMEs, foreign exchange fluctuations, foreign political stability, and so forth.

    An additional $2 trillion of foreign demand for dollar assets by the end of the decade would, all else equal, increase the current account deficit by roughly 1.2 percentage points of GDP over this period. This increase would represent about 30 percent of the size of the original global saving glut. More bullish stablecoin-uptake forecasts on the order of $4 trillion would double the size of this effect, making it about 60 percent the size of the original global saving glut. These magnitudes would matter for monetary policy.

    Demand could obviously differ in domestic versus foreign adoption or miss these estimates. My goal is not to pinpoint the most accurate forecast, but to highlight the potential power of this channel. You can fill in your own numbers using this same method—my crystal ball is no clearer than others’. Moreover, the asset mix purchased by the rest of the world 20 years ago differs from that purchased by stablecoin issuers. The effects of a lower neutral rate might therefore manifest in financial markets differently than they did last time.

    Even relatively conservative estimates of stablecoin growth imply an increase in the net supply of loanable funds in the economy that pushes down r*. If r* is lower, policy rates should also be lower than they would otherwise be to support a healthy economy. A failure of the central bank to cut rates in response to a reduction in r* is contractionary.

    If a global stablecoin glut looks like a global saving glut, some other consequences may be replicated, too. For instance, a lower r* increases the odds that the zero lower bound (ZLB) binds in the future, limiting the ability of short-term interest rates to move down to provide accommodation but not restraining their ability to move up to restrict activity. Markets may expect policy to spend more time at the ZLB because of that inability to provide accommodation and get away from zero. That may make the fed funds rate more volatile to the upside with respect to other financial conditions, even as downside volatility remains muted by the ZLB, simulating elements of former Chairman Alan Greenspan’s “conundrum.”9

    Moreover, if a global stablecoin glut is driven by flows out of foreign currencies and into the U.S. dollar, it will, all else equal, make the dollar stronger. Depending on the strength of this effect relative to other forces affecting the Fed’s price-stability and maximum-employment mandates, that might be something that monetary policy reacts to.

    Finally, incremental dollarization may reduce the benefits of floating exchange rates. Exchange rates often function as shock absorbers, adjusting rapidly to changes in relative conditions across countries so that nominal prices don’t have to. If nominal prices are sticky and exchange rates are not, the cyclical distortions associated with those rigidities are less detrimental for the economy. Increased real price rigidity because exchange rates cannot adjust would intensify the volatility of global business cycles. And Fed policy will have a greater effect on foreign economic growth with greater dollarization, increasing business cycle synchronization. Whether this phenomenon would matter for the U.S. and not just for countries that dollarize a portion of their economies remains speculative.10

    America’s capital markets are the world’s deepest, helping to support economic growth, fund new ideas, and allocate capital efficiently. However, our financial infrastructure, not unlike our physical infrastructure, could use a reboot. Stablecoins may well lead the way on this front, facilitating dollar holdings and payments domestically and abroad. While there has been extensive research on the topic since the advent of stablecoins a decade ago, the scope for rapid increases in issuance makes it now even more imperative to consider what widespread adoption may mean for monetary policy, both in the U.S. and abroad.


    1. The views expressed here are my own and are not necessarily those of my colleagues on the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee. Return to text

    2. See Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (2025), proceedings of the Payments Innovation Conference, streamed live on October 21, YouTube (Washington: Board of Governors). Return to text

    3. For the list of stablecoins circulating, see the DeFiLlama website at https://defillama.com/stablecoins; at the time of writing, 99.6 percent of stablecoins were denominated in dollars. For more on the enduring global preference for dollars, see Carol Bertaut, Bastian von Beschwitz, and Stephanie Curcuru (2025), “The International Role of the U.S. Dollar – 2025 Edition,” FEDS Notes, (Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, July 18). Return to text

    4. Although many countries have existing black markets for dollars, these are likely to be less preferred to stablecoins because of the difficulty of verifying and saving currency. Relative to stablecoins, physical cash is riskier, and both more difficult and costlier to store or move in large volumes. Moreover, many black market dollars trade at a premium because the amount of dollars available is limited. Return to text

    5. See Stephen I. Miran (2025), “Nonmonetary Forces and Appropriate Monetary Policy,” speech delivered at the Economic Club of New York, New York, September 22. Return to text

    6. See Marina Azzimonti and Vincenzo Quadrini (2024), “Digital Assets and the Exorbitant Dollar Privilege (PDF)” AEA Papers and Proceedings, vol. 114 (May), pp. 153–56. This paper and related work by the same authors—including the 2025 paper “Digital Economy, Stablecoins and the Global Financial System,” NBER Working Paper Series 34066 (Cambridge, Mass.: National Bureau of Economic Research, July)—expand on some of these ideas but do so in a model in which stablecoin issuers can choose to hold much less—or even none—of their assets in Treasury securities. The prediction on the interest rate depends on the fraction of reserves held in Treasury securities by stablecoin issuers. With a low enough fraction, the stablecoin steady-state interest rate can actually also be higher. However, such a pattern does not match what we observe from issuers or the guidelines in the GENIUS Act, and I therefore prefer to assume a high value of the fraction of reserves held in Treasury securities. It follows that the stablecoin steady-state interest rate is lower than the steady-state interest rate in which stablecoins are absent. Return to text

    7. In his 2005 speech that coined the term and launched a thousand papers, then-Fed Governor Ben Bernanke estimated that the global saving glut began around 2001. See Ben S. Bernanke (2005), “The Global Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account Deficit,” remarks delivered at the Sandridge Lecture, Virginia Association of Economists, Richmond, Virginia, March 10. Return to text

    8. After peaking in 1995 at 7.91 percent, the 10-year yield fell to 4.92 percent in January 2001. Return to text

    9. See Alan Greenspan (2005), testimony before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, February 16, 109th Cong. (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office), quoted text in paragraph 23. Return to text

    10. Caballero, Fahri, and Gourinchas (2017) note that once the ZLB for global interest rates is reached, the world economy becomes increasingly interdependent as countries can no longer use monetary policy to insulate their economies from world capital flows; see Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas (2017), “The Safe Assets Shortage Conundrum (PDF),” Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 31 (Summer), pp. 29–46. Return to text

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  • Microsoft to Send 60,000 Nvidia AI Chips to UAE Data Centers

    Microsoft to Send 60,000 Nvidia AI Chips to UAE Data Centers

    This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

    Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) said it will supply more than 60,000 advanced Nvidia (NVDA) artificial intelligence chips to the United Arab Emirates under export licenses cleared by the U.S. Commerce Department.

    The approval, issued in September, permits the transfer of Nvidia’s high-end GB300 Grace Blackwell processors under what officials called strict security and compliance conditions. The chips will be deployed across UAE data centers to expand cloud and AI infrastructure.

    The development comes shortly after President Donald Trump said in a 60 Minutes interview that U.S. authorities would block shipments of the most advanced chips overseas, particularly to China. The UAE deal, however, falls under an earlier license granted with additional oversight.

    The export agreement is linked to the UAE’s pledge to channel about $1.4 trillion into U.S.-based projects in AI and energy, a figure that far exceeds the Gulf nation’s annual GDP of roughly $540 billion.

    Microsoft said the deliveries form part of its $15.2 billion regional technology investment and will support AI access from OpenAI, Anthropic, open-source developers, and its own cloud platforms already running over 21,000 Nvidia GPUs in the UAE.

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