Category: 3. Business

  • The Targeted Pulse: FDA Approvals, Trial Updates, and ASH 2025 Previews | Targeted Oncology

    The Targeted Pulse: FDA Approvals, Trial Updates, and ASH 2025 Previews | Targeted Oncology

    Welcome to this week’s edition of The Targeted Pulse, your weekly wrap-up of the top developments in oncology. This week, we saw FDA decisions, learned about care-changing trial data, and got a preview of the most anticipated 67th American Society of Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting and Expositionabstracts. From regulatory designations for promising new drugs to crucial clinical trials, here are the top stories that shaped the week.

    The FDA has granted premarket approval to the IsoPSA blood-based in vitro diagnostic kit, intended to aid clinicians in deciding whether to proceed with prostate biopsy. It is indicated for men aged ≥ 50 years with elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels.

    Unlike traditional PSA testing, IsoPSA leverages the IsoClear™ platform to analyze structural characteristics (isoforms) of the PSA protein, offering enhanced specificity. Clinical utility is recognized by inclusion in NCCN and AUA/SUO guidelines, as it improves risk stratification for high-grade (Gleason score ≥7) prostate cancer. The test is expected to decrease unnecessary biopsies stemming from benign PSA elevations.

    The phase 3 OptiTROP-Lung05 trial demonstrated that the combination of sacituzumab tirumotecan (sac-TMT), a TROP2-directed antibody-drug conjugate [ADC], plus pembrolizumab (Keytruda) offers a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) compared with pembrolizumab monotherapy for first-line treatment of advanced, PD-L1-positive non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

    This study marks the first time an ADC combined with an immune checkpoint inhibitor has met a primary end point in the first-line NSCLC setting. The regimen also showed a positive trend in overall survival (OS) with a manageable safety profile. This combination represents a new, highly effective, and novel therapeutic option for clinicians managing these patients.

    The FDA has granted traditional approval to pirtobrutinib (Jaypirca), a highly selective, noncovalent Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor, for adults with relapsed or refractory chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) or small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL). This indication specifically targets patients previously treated with a covalent BTK inhibitor.

    The decision is based on the phase 3 BRUIN-CLL-321 trial, which showed a statistically and clinically significant PFS benefit. Median PFS was 11.2 months (95% CI, 9.5–11.4) with pirtobrutinib vs 8.7 months (95% CI, 7.2–10.2) for investigator’s choice of therapy (HR, 0.58; P =.0105). This noncovalent agent provides a mechanism to continue BTK pathway targeting after resistance to covalent inhibitors.

    The Targeted Oncology® poll highlighted several practice-changing abstracts for the 67th ASH Annual Meeting and Exposition, primarily in multiple myeloma (MM), CLL, and myelofibrosis. The most anticipated presentation is the phase 3 MajesTEC-3 trial, which evaluated the combination of the bispecific antibody teclistamab plus daratumumab (Tec-Dara) against standard-of-care regimens in relapsed/refractory MM. The data demonstrated statistically and clinically significant improvements in PFS and OS for Tec-Dara. These findings support establishing the Tec-Dara regimen as a new standard of care early in the R/R MM treatment landscape. Other highly anticipated data include primary results for pirtobrutinib in previously untreated CLL/SLL (LBA-3).

    The bispecific HER2-directed ADC TQB2102 demonstrated robust activity in the phase 2 TQB2102-II-01 trial as a neoadjuvant therapy for HER2-positive breast cancer. Its novel design targets 2 non-overlapping HER2 epitopes to enhance blockade.

    The 6.0 mg/kg regimen administered over 8 cycles achieved the highest total pathologic complete response rate at 76.9% (90% CI, 62.3%–87.6%). The drug exhibited a favorable safety profile, with grade 3 treatment-related adverse events occurring in 27.9% of patients across all cohorts. These compelling efficacy and safety data support the ongoing randomized phase 3 evaluation of TQB2102 against standard neoadjuvant regimens in this patient population.

    Continue Reading

  • Is USA Rare Earth’s 2025 Valuation Justified After 49.9% Gain and Policy Driven Hype?

    Is USA Rare Earth’s 2025 Valuation Justified After 49.9% Gain and Policy Driven Hype?

    • Wondering if USA Rare Earth is actually worth the hype at its current price, or if the story has already run ahead of the fundamentals? This breakdown is designed to give you a clear, valuation focused view.

    • USA Rare Earth has been anything but quiet lately, jumping 28.0% over the last week and climbing 39.2% year to date. This is even though the 30 day move is roughly flat at -0.8% and the 1 year gain sits at 49.9%.

    • Much of that momentum has been fueled by ongoing headlines around US efforts to secure domestic supplies of critical minerals and reduce dependence on overseas rare earth processing. As USA Rare Earth positions itself as part of that strategic supply chain, investors are starting to price in the potential upside and the risks that come with policy driven demand.

    • Right now, USA Rare Earth scores a 2/6 valuation check score. This means it screens as undervalued on 2 of our 6 metrics, and in the next sections we will unpack those traditional valuation approaches before finishing with a more holistic way to judge whether the current price really makes sense.

    USA Rare Earth scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

    A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates what a business is worth today by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to their present value. For USA Rare Earth, this uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity framework.

    The company is currently burning cash, with last twelve month free cash flow at around -$39.0 Million. Analyst forecasts and subsequent extrapolations see this negative cash flow deepening to roughly -$114.4 Million in 2026 before turning positive and climbing to about $438.5 Million by 2035. These later years rely on Simply Wall St extrapolations once analyst coverage runs out.

    When all those projected cash flows are discounted back, the model arrives at an intrinsic value of about $40.05 per share. Compared with the current share price, this implies the stock is trading at roughly a 57.0% discount, suggesting the market is heavily discounting the long term cash flow recovery story.

    Result: UNDERVALUED

    Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests USA Rare Earth is undervalued by 57.0%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 907 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

    USAR Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

    Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for USA Rare Earth.

    For asset heavy businesses in the metals and mining space, the price to book ratio is often a useful reality check because it compares what investors are paying in the market with the accounting value of the company’s net assets. In theory, faster growth and lower risk justify a higher multiple, while slower growth or higher uncertainty should pull a fair price to book closer to, or even below, the value of the underlying assets.

    Continue Reading

  • Company linked to raid on illicit weight-loss drug facility still selling unlicenced drugs | Consumer affairs

    Company linked to raid on illicit weight-loss drug facility still selling unlicenced drugs | Consumer affairs

    The company linked to the largest global raid on an illicit weight-loss drug facility is still selling unlicenced drugs to thousands of customers, a Guardian investigation has found.

    Just over a month after the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) raided the site and released images of seized products with the Alluvi brand name visible, the company is still selling replicas of retatrutide. It is understood that nobody has yet been arrested in connection to the raid.

    Retatrutide, which has not yet completed clinical trials, is an experimental injection developed by the US drugmaker Eli Lilly that targets three gut hormones: GLP-1, GIP and glucagon. Because it remains in clinical trials and is not approved for use, any sale to consumers is illegal. Despite this, counterfeit versions are being widely promoted on social media, with Alluvi – which did not respond to a request for comment – emerging as a key seller.

    The MHRA seized unlicensed medication said to be worth £250,000 in its October raid. Photograph: MHRA/PA

    During the October raid, the MHRA carried out one of the largest single seizures of trafficked weight-loss drugs ever recorded globally. Officers confiscated tens of thousands of empty pens ready to be filled, raw chemical ingredients, and more than 2,000 unlicensed retatrutide and tirzepatide branded Alluvi pens destined for customers.

    They also found large quantities of sophisticated packaging and manufacturing equipment, along with about £20,000 in cash suspected to be linked to medicines trafficking.

    Despite this, Alluvi Healthcare Limited continues sales on multiple Telegram channels, one of which has nearly 3,000 subscribers. On 27 October, shortly after news of the raid emerged, one of its channels showed Alluvi-branded retatrutide pens, stating, “we are still fully in stock via telegram”.

    Alluvi’s website is also still up and running as of 5 December, selling a “retatrutide 40mg x2 Bundle (R&D Only) for £339.99”. It advises customers: “If you’re using retatrutide for the first time, it’s essential to follow a gradual dosing plan to allow your body to adjust and minimise side effects.”

    Buying retatrutide illegally carries serious risks. Because the drug is still experimental, products sold online or through unofficial channels are unregulated and may not contain the correct ingredients or dosage, and may not be sterilised to the correct standard.

    Contaminated or incorrectly dosed injectable hormones can cause infections, dangerous blood sugar crashes, pancreatitis and cardiovascular side-effects. Using an unfinished clinical-trial drug outside legitimate medical settings is unsafe and potentially life-threatening.

    One person who bought the Alluvi pen told the Guardian, speaking anonymously, that they had experienced severe “gastrointestinal issues, unstable peaks and troughs of energy, and dehydration”.

    One of Alluvi’s Telegram channels also shares a video claiming to show a Royal Mail employee assuring buyers that “orders will be scanned in and they will be out for delivery”, and prompting the worker to say “from Alluvi”. The post promised next-day delivery.

    On 1 December, the same account advertised that its “pens [are] in stock”, offering a 25% discount and directing customers to another Telegram channel for payments. Another Telegram channel – with over 2,000 members – includes a plethora of customers talking about their experiences taking the counterfeit weight-loss drugs.

    The Guardian has seen evidence suggesting that payments for Alluvi products are being processed by an e-commerce business called Nutri Collectiv. Screenshots of orders indicate that customers buy what is described as a “weight loss plan”, with payments routed through Stripe, allowing the transactions to masquerade as fitness-programme purchases and avoid detection.

    The MHRA seized counterfeit syringes of weight-loss medication in the raid. Photograph: MHRA

    A Channel 4 investigation found that individuals who spoke negatively about Alluvi had their social media accounts taken over. Two TikTok accounts with millions of followers were used to impersonate legitimate weight-loss influencers who had criticised fake weight-loss drugs. The operators cloned the influencers’ profiles by copying their names and profile pictures, then contacted TikTok claiming to be the real account holders and alleging impersonation.

    TikTok subsequently shut down the legitimate accounts, leaving the fake ones active. Five weight-loss affiliates told Channel 4 they had lost their TikTok accounts in this way.

    Concerns about illicit production models of weight-loss drugs are heightened during the winter months, as it becomes harder to know whether products have been stored correctly.

    Experts warn that colder temperatures can pose risks when it comes to storing weight-loss injections. Jason Murphy, a weight-loss expert and head of pharmacy at Chemist4U, said that winter temperatures can affect storage conditions and that the effectiveness and safety of the drug could be compromised.

    “These drugs are made from living organisms and are highly sensitive to temperature variations and extreme highs or lows,” he added. “Extremely cold temperatures or freezing can damage their protein structure, reduce their medicinal effect, and potentially make them unsafe to use even after thawing … If you believe your weight-loss injection has been frozen, dispose of it immediately.”

    The MHRA declined to comment.

    sarah.marsh@theguardian.com

    Continue Reading

  • Quality improvement project dramatically boosts iron deficiency screening in pregnancy

    Quality improvement project dramatically boosts iron deficiency screening in pregnancy

    Within a year of initiation, a multidisciplinary project to improve screening and treatment for iron deficiency in pregnancy resulted in a sixfold rise in screening rates for iron deficiency in pregnant patients, a 20-fold rise in the number of intravenous (IV) iron infusions, and a significant improvement in median hemoglobin levels.

    Screening rates went from 10% to over 60% within a year. Two-thirds of pregnant patients screened were found to be iron deficient, indicating that this is a very common, but readily fixable problem.”


    Richard Godby, MD, lead author, hematologist at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota

    Women of child-bearing age are at high risk for iron deficiency. Menstruation and low intake of iron-rich foods are some of the most common causes of iron deficiency among women in this age group, Dr. Godby said. In addition, some commonly used medications, such as proton pump inhibitors, can inhibit the body’s ability to absorb iron.

    The body needs more iron during pregnancy. Iron deficiency and anemia during pregnancy have been associated with adverse outcomes such as fetal growth restriction, premature birth, low birth weight, and compromised development of the fetus’s brain and nervous system. 

    Iron deficiency can be diagnosed with a blood test for ferritin, a protein that enables the body to store iron. However, guidelines from the American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology – the professional society that represents most U.S. doctors in this specialty – currently recommend iron deficiency screening only for pregnant women with anemia, which they define as a hemoglobin level below 11 g/dL in the first or third trimester.

    Dr. Godby and his colleagues worked with a multidisciplinary team at the Mayo Clinic to develop and implement a quality improvement project aimed at standardizing the screening and treatment of iron deficiency in pregnancy. They added ferritin testing to the list of recommended lab tests that patients typically undergo at eight to 12 weeks of pregnancy and again at 24 to 28 weeks. If patients had low ferritin levels at eight to 12 weeks, their teams offered to prescribe oral iron supplements. If patients’ ferritin was low at 24 to 28 weeks, the teams offered them an IV infusion of iron dextran.

    To measure the project’s results, the research team compared changes after project implementation between the two cohorts of patients – one treated before implementation (2,097 pregnancies; the Before cohort) and one treated a year later, after implementation (2,429 pregnancies; the After cohort).

    Results showed that, in the Before cohort, just 10% of patients underwent ferritin testing, compared with 63% in the After cohort. Among those tested, 66% in the Before cohort and 69% in the After cohort were iron deficient. Just 0.9% of patients in the Before cohort received IV iron dextran infusions, compared with 21% in the After cohort.

    Among patients who received IV iron infusions, the median hemoglobin level improved from 10.7 to 11.8 g/dL. Patients whose hemoglobin level was 12 g/dL at study entry (above the cutoff of 11 g/dL to be considered anemic according to current guidelines from the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists) saw an increase to 12.8 g/dL. “These findings suggest reassessing the threshold for diagnosing anemia and screening for iron deficiency in pregnancy,” Dr. Godby said. 

    Before the project, 3.1% of pregnancies required a blood transfusion during hospitalization for delivery, compared with 2.7% after the project’s implementation. Most patients who needed blood transfusions had not been tested for iron deficiency. While this difference was not statistically significant, Dr. Godby said, it suggests that a reduction in the need for post-partum blood transfusions could be an additional benefit of treating iron deficiency during pregnancy.

    Dr. Godby noted that nearly all of the patients in both the Before and After cohorts took prenatal vitamins, which are recommended during pregnancy and supposed to contain iron. However, these supplements were usually purchased over the counter rather than prescribed by the health care team. Over-the-counter dietary supplements are not regulated to ensure they contain the ingredients and amounts of ingredients claimed by the manufacturers, he said.

    As a next step, the team hopes to analyze whether treating iron deficiency in pregnancy improves patients’ quality of life by enabling them to feel better, experience less post-partum depression, return to work sooner, and more.

    Richard Godby, MD, of the Mayo Clinic, will present this study on Sunday, December 7, 2025, at 12:00 noon Eastern time in W304A-D of the Orange County Convention Center.

    Source:

    American Society of Hematology

    Continue Reading

  • Forcing UK banks to support credit unions would help keep loan sharks at bay | Heather Stewart

    Forcing UK banks to support credit unions would help keep loan sharks at bay | Heather Stewart

    Nikhil Rathi, chief executive of the Financial Conduct Authority, made a pilgrimage on Friday from its glass and steel HQ in east London to the Pioneers Museum in Rochdale – the spiritual home of the co-operative movement.

    His unlikely day trip aimed to highlight the City watchdog’s role in opening the way to a doubling of the size of the mutuals sector – a Labour manifesto pledge.

    Among these customer- or worker-owned organisations, including huge companies such as John Lewis and Nationwide building society, are the 350 credit unions.

    These are locally based lenders whose interest rates are capped by law and whose clients tend to include the low-income consumers left behind by major banks. Holding assets of £4.9bn between them, the UK’s credit unions serve about 2 million members. Their US counterparts have more than 143 million.

    The FCA’s new report, which Rathi was in Rochdale to launch, included a series of recommendations aimed at encouraging credit unions to expand, and to offer more services.

    The Treasury has already promised to review the “common bond” – the legal promise that governs each credit union, for example specifying the area it serves – to allow these to adapt more easily to changing circumstances. Ministers have also set aside £30m to fund modernisation – updating credit unions’ IT systems, for example.

    Yet campaigners for fairer lending fret that cash-strapped customers will continue to be left at the mercy of loan sharks unless mainstream banks are forced to do more.

    The need is certainly there. Visiting an employability project on a housing estate in Stockton this week, it was depressing to hear about residents resorting to loan sharks, often unaware of the cheaper and less unpleasant alternative of a local credit union.

    That chimed with evidence from a recent roundtable discussion organised in Glasgow by campaign group the Finance Innovation Lab, where low-income borrowers recounted their experiences to local MPs.

    “When there’s an unexpected cost like that you just need to get it sorted, but you’re left with no good options,” one woman said, citing a broken bed as an example of the kind of expense that can drive consumers into paying extortionate interest rates to unscrupulous lenders.

    Recent research by Fair4All Finance, the government-backed not-for-profit that promotes financial inclusion, found that 1.9 million adults in Britain had turned to unlicensed money lenders or loan sharks in the past year.

    Dr Paul A Jones of Liverpool John Moores University is an expert on the credit union movement. He is optimistic about its future, and argues that some of the impetus for growth must come from within the sector itself.

    “We need more credit unions of a significant size. We need more credit unions to get in the fast lane,” he says. “If you don’t want to, and you want to carry on in your village hall with 1,000 members, no problem, but that’s not where growth is going to come from.”

    He welcomes some of the changes promised by the government – but warns that the constraint on many credit unions is lack of capital. “External investment is going to be important,” he says.

    That’s where the Finance Innovation Lab and a coalition of other charities and lenders argue that legislation is needed, to force the powerful high street banks to play their part.

    The government published its financial inclusion strategy last month, aimed at easing the struggle of consumers to secure affordable banking, insurance and other crucial services. But it included no specific targets, and made few firm demands of the finance sector.

    skip past newsletter promotion

    There was backing for a “small sum lending pilot”, led by Fair4All Finance, “to help expand access to affordable credit in England”. But the scale of the pilot was not specified – and it was unclear how it would differ from existing mutual lenders that already make small loans.

    Campaigners including the actor Michael Sheen, who made a TV documentary on the exorbitant cost of debt for low-paid consumers in his home town of Port Talbot, argue for the much more muscular approach of a “Fair Banking Act”.

    This would be a new law, modelled on the US Community Reinvestment Act, which has been in force for almost 50 years. Under the US version, banks are ranked by regulators according to how well their services reach underserved communities – and obliged to publish strategies to show how they will improve.

    In many cases this then involves working with credit unions, or community development financial institutions (CDFIs) – another form of non-profit lender – hugely expanding the amount of capital these institutions have available to back new lending.

    The coalition promoting the idea, which includes the Finance Innovation Lab alongside a string of mutual lenders and other campaign groups, argues that if such an act were implemented in the UK, it could lead to lending by credit unions and CDFIs to jump from £250m today to up to £3bn a year.

    The proposal is backed among others by the Co-operative party, whose members include 41 Labour MPs, including the Treasury minister James Murray and the Treasury select committee chair, Meg Hillier.

    It is a stretch to imagine the government slapping a Fair Banking Act on an industry that Rachel Reeves has called the “crown jewel in our economy”, but with the sector’s power should come responsibility.

    The banks escaped the windfall tax that many on the left had hoped to see in the budget, and which the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) argued could raise £8bn a year. It does not seem too much to ask that, in return, they put a fraction of that sum behind supporting the local, mutual lenders that help to keep the loan sharks at bay.

    Continue Reading

  • Why Analysts See KLCC Property Holdings Berhad’s Story Shifting Despite Steady Fair Value Estimate

    Why Analysts See KLCC Property Holdings Berhad’s Story Shifting Despite Steady Fair Value Estimate

    KLCC Property Holdings Berhad’s latest narrative update keeps the fair value estimate steady at about RM 8.95 per stapled security, even as analysts dial back long term revenue growth expectations and nudge up the discount rate. This combination points to a stock where resilient core assets and cash flows help offset higher perceived risk and softer growth assumptions. Read on to see how investors can monitor these evolving assumptions and stay ahead of future shifts in the story.

    Stay updated as the Fair Value for KLCC Property Holdings Berhad shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on KLCC Property Holdings Berhad.

    🐂 Bullish Takeaways

    • The recent cluster of KinderCare Learning price target cuts to $6 by Barclays, BMO Capital and Goldman Sachs, alongside their Equal Weight, Outperform and Neutral stances, illustrates how analysts can still acknowledge operational execution and cost discipline even as they temper long term growth assumptions. This pattern mirrors how KLCC Property Holdings Berhad’s resilient cash flows can justify a steady fair value despite more conservative forecasts.

    • BMO Capital’s positive tone on KinderCare’s Q3 adjusted EBITDA beat, driven by lighter SG&A, underscores how the Street tends to reward visible cost control and margin stewardship. This is a useful guide for KLCC investors tracking management’s ability to protect earnings quality and support the RM 8.95 valuation anchor.

    🐻 Bearish Takeaways

    • Goldman Sachs’ move on KinderCare from Buy to Neutral, with a sharp target cut from $20 to $6, shows how quickly sentiment can pivot when structural growth concerns emerge. This is a reminder that KLCC’s own fair value could come under pressure if slower demand or asset specific risks begin to challenge the current growth and discount rate assumptions.

    • Across Barclays, BMO Capital and Goldman Sachs, the common thread of lower targets highlights a cautious bias around decelerating growth and softening occupancy. This reinforces the need for KLCC holders to watch for similar early warning signs in leasing trends, rental reversions and portfolio occupancy that could signal downside risk to today’s valuation.

    Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

    KLSE:KLCC Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    • Declared a third interim dividend of 2.11 sen per ordinary share for the financial year ending 31 December 2025, with payment scheduled for 30 December 2025 to stapled securities holders on record as of 4 December 2025, reinforcing the group’s income distribution track record.

    • Announced the appointment of Encik Ahmad Hakimi bin Muhammad Radzi as Chief Financial Officer effective 1 November 2025, succeeding Encik Rohizal bin Kadir under a group talent mobility initiative, signaling a planned and orderly transition in financial leadership.

    • Recorded impairment charges for the third quarter ended 30 September 2025, including a write off of property, plant and equipment amounting to RM 39,000, highlighting ongoing portfolio housekeeping but with a relatively limited impact on the overall balance sheet.

    Continue Reading

  • What Liquidity Support And Upgrades Mean For Bank Negara Indonesia’s Evolving Valuation Story

    What Liquidity Support And Upgrades Mean For Bank Negara Indonesia’s Evolving Valuation Story

    Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) has seen its fair value estimate trimmed only marginally from Rp5,031.85 to Rp4,996.85, even as analyst sentiment has become more constructive on the back of planned liquidity support measures. The slight uptick in projected revenue growth to 20.14% and a nearly unchanged discount rate of 14.19% underscore how the narrative is shifting more on risk reward perception than on fundamentals. Read on to see how these subtle recalibrations can reshape expectations and how you can stay on top of future narrative shifts as they unfold.

    Stay updated as the Fair Value for Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) shifts by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero).

    🐂 Bullish Takeaways

    • Goldman Sachs upgraded Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) to Buy from Neutral, signaling a more constructive view on the bank’s risk reward profile.

    • The firm set a price target of Rp5,180, implying modest upside from the latest fair value estimate and reflecting confidence that the bank can translate improved liquidity into sustainable growth.

    • Goldman Sachs argues the bank is well positioned to benefit from the government’s planned liquidity injection into deposits, which should support system wide funding stability and ease balance sheet pressures.

    🐻 Bearish Takeaways

    • Even with the upgrade, the price target suggests only incremental upside, indicating that some of the benefit from liquidity support may already be reflected in Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero)’s valuation and limiting near term rerating potential.

    Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

    IDX:BBNI Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    • PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for December 15, 2025, in Jakarta and electronically via the PT Kustodian Sentral Efek Indonesia platform, highlighting potential changes in corporate governance or capital structure.

    • The upcoming meeting is expected to focus investor attention on possible capital raising, dividend policy adjustments, or board level changes, factors that could influence the bank’s medium term strategy and risk profile.

    • Market participants are closely watching the agenda details and regulatory filings around the meeting, as any decisions on capital buffers or funding mix could affect the bank’s cost of capital and its ability to support loan growth.

    Continue Reading

  • The K-shaped Christmas: wealthy few drive holiday spending splurge while many struggle to get by | US economy

    The K-shaped Christmas: wealthy few drive holiday spending splurge while many struggle to get by | US economy

    Entering Printemps in downtown New York City feels like an escape. A slight smell of musk hangs in the air as shoppers weave carefully around racks of coats and shelves of handbags and shoes. For the holidays, the store set up a small ice rink on its second floor where skaters perform on weekends.

    The French luxury retail emporium opened its first New York outlet earlier this year and has said it wants shoppers to feel so comfortable that it feels like their own chic “French apartment”. The store has a bar upstairs, along with a roving champagne cart, and encourages shoppers to sip on their drinks while they browse. Plush carpeting in the dressing room, full of orange and reds, is reminiscent of a Wes Anderson movie set.

    Across the street at Trinity Church, hundreds of people line up for free food and other necessities. Dodge your way past the steaming potholes and snarling traffic and a doorman welcomes you to another world. The atmosphere is so heady that suddenly, when browsing through its racks, a $600 black fur coat seems entirely inexpensive, and the $1,450 leather tabi boots upstairs are an investment.

    On a recent weekday afternoon, fashionably dressed shoppers milled slowly around the store. Some took pictures of the skating rink or of displays of housewares that instructed: “Please ask for assistance – do not touch.”

    Shoppers outside the Printemps department store in lower Manhattan during its grand opening on 21 March 2025 Photograph: Richard Levine/Alamy

    Julien, who declined to give his last name, was visiting the store to pick up a gift for a Secret Santa exchange and said he wasn’t surprised by the prices. “For the brands they have, it’s normal,” he said.

    Kathy, another shopper, said that she offered to take her friend out to lunch at the restaurant located inside the store and see if she could find a certain brand of ballet flats. “This is the only place that carries them,” she said, holding two bright green Printemps bags.

    For a small fraction of Americans, the Printemps fantasy of comfortable luxury is just a way of life. An $890 chapka hat is a sweet gift for a friend, dropping $200 on perfume that smells like freshly cut grass is normal.

    Around the corner from Printemps is the headquarters of the New York Stock Exchange, the ultimate symbol of American wealth and one of the main drivers of all this luxury spending.

    Customers shop in the Printemps sneaker room on 29 March 2025. Photograph: Zuma Press Inc/Alamy

    Over the last few years, many Americans have reported they’re struggling with higher grocery prices, rising healthcare costs and other bills, and have given up on dreams of buying homes. And yet the stock market has only gone up and up.

    The S&P 500 has shot up nearly 86% over the last five years, hitting record highs, especially with the recent AI boom. A ballooning stock market has meant a small percentage of Americans have been striking gold. According to data from the Federal Reserve, Americans in the top 1% of wealth own nearly 50% of the stock market. The top 10% own 87.2% of the market. The bottom 50% of all Americans own just 1.1% of stocks.

    Area chart showing corporate equities and mutual fund shares held, in millions of dollars, by wealth percentile

    Meanwhile, inflation has gone up from a recent low of 2.3% in April to 3% in September, while the unemployment rate has risen slightly, from 4% in January to 4.4% in September. The Yale Budget Lab has estimated that price increases from Donald Trump’s tariffs will cause a 1.2% price rise in the short run, costing the average household $1,700.

    The split between rich and poor has handed Trump the biggest dilemma of his presidency. While the president promised to fix prices, and continues to blame Joe Biden’s presidency for today’s prices, his recent approval ratings show Americans are unhappy about the economy. In the YouGov/Economist poll of Trump’s approval ratings around specific economic issues, he had +5% approval on inflation after his inauguration in January. By 2 November, his ratings dropped to -35%.

    With Republicans facing a tough fight to maintain control of Congress in next year’s midterm elections, Axios reported that Trump is set to embark on a US-wide tour to stare down “criticism that he’s prioritized global issues over pocketbook worries”.

    The interior of the Printemps store in Manhattan on 29 March 2025. Photograph: Carlos Chiossone/Zuma Press Wire via Reuters Connect

    It may prove to be a tough sell. In April 2020, at the very start of the pandemic, economist Peter Atwater came up with an easy way to describe what this divide feels like to Americans: a K-shaped economy. A small few are on the upper part of the “K”, while most Americans feel as if they’re sliding down on the bottom side of the letter.

    To Atwater, the “K” described a time when “those at the bottom experience price inflation at a time when those at the top are experiencing asset inflation”.

    Higher prices affect everyone, no matter a person’s financial status. But inflation doesn’t affect everyone equally.

    A line chart showing that the wage growth for lower-income households dropped to just 1%, while it rose to 3.7% for higher-income households, compared with same time last year 

    “Those at the top appear to have everything – not only everything, but have it in oversupply,” Atwater said. “Meanwhile, those at the bottom feel like they’re experiencing scarcity in everything that matters – affordability of food, healthcare, education, job opportunity.”

    “If you’re at the bottom, the difference between 2% to 3% inflation over time is significant.”

    Atwater said the phenomenon of the K-shaped economy didn’t start with the pandemic, but with the recovery from the 2008 financial crisis. Many Americans were upset to see the federal government focus stimulus efforts from the top down.

    “What we saw is that it took until about 2018 before those at the bottom began to see any real wage growth,” Atwater said. “But Covid just poured gasoline on that fire.”

    The Red Room Bar at the Manhattan Printemps. Photograph: Carlos Chiossone/Zuma Press Wire via Reuters Connect

    While inflation skyrocketed in 2022 after the Covid pandemic, prices started to cool in the years following. The annualized inflation rate went from 9.1% in June 2022 to 2.3% in April 2025 – the lowest it had been since March 2021. But since the spring, inflation has started climbing again.

    And just as prices have been getting higher, key anti-poverty programs have been cut under the Trump administration, which advocates say has led to more Americans coming under the poverty threshold. Over the last year, the White House tightened enrollment into the national food stamp program and cut funding for housing assistance.

    Research from the Robin Hood Foundation, an anti-poverty non-profit based in New York, found that the city’s poverty rate hit 25% this year – almost double the national poverty rate of 13%.

    “The combination of rising costs, stagnation at the lower-end of the wage scale and reduction in support for helping people meet their basic necessities, these are all driving the poverty rate increase,” said Matthew Klein, chief program officer at Robin Hood.

    Recent data has shown the outsized spending higher-income Americans have been doing compared with those in the bottom tiers of wealth. Bank of America found that low-income household spending has grown 0.7% over the last year, compared with a 2.7% growth for high-income earners.

    A line chart showing that spending growth rose to 0.7% for lower-income households and to 2.7% for higher-income groups, compared with same time last year 

    The trend has been showing up slowly in people’s credit scores. The number of people with super-prime credit scores has climbed simultaneously to the number of people with sub-prime credit scores also rising, according to credit agency TransUnion.

    Chief executives of companies such as Delta, Coca-Cola and McDonald’s have pointed out the K-shaped gap they’re seeing in consumer behavior.

    Delta’s CEO, Ed Bastian, said the company is seeing a lot of growth from its premium customers, who buy business- and first-class tickets. Henrique Braun, the chief operating officer of the Coca-Cola Company, said on an earnings call that the company’s revenue growth is being led by higher sales of its premium products, such as Topo Chico sparkling water and Fairlife protein shakes.

    Meanwhile, McDonald’s CEO, Chris Kempczinski, said that the chain’s middle- and low-income consumers are “feeling under a lot of pressure right now”.

    “It’s a really kind of two-tier economy,” he said. “People are actually skipping breakfast – or they are choosing to just eat at home.”

    Julien, the Printemps Christmas shopper, said he’s seen his business as a custom stylist grow over the last year.

    “Our company is growing, it’s better than last year,” he said. “No complaints there. Rich people are still rich.”

    Continue Reading

  • How Recent Developments Are Rewriting the Story for Fluence Energy Stock

    How Recent Developments Are Rewriting the Story for Fluence Energy Stock

    Fluence Energy’s narrative has brightened as fair value estimates have climbed from $11.47 to $14.97 per share, supported by a more upbeat view on long term revenue growth and demand visibility. With the discount rate nudging lower to 9.42% and revenue growth expectations stepping up to roughly 27.4%, analysts see stronger fundamentals but still emphasize execution and policy risks. As these assumptions continue to evolve alongside new data and research, stay tuned to learn how you can track and interpret future shifts in the story behind this stock.

    Analyst Price Targets don’t always capture the full story. Head over to our Company Report to find new ways to value Fluence Energy.

    🐂 Bullish Takeaways

    • Across recent notes from RBC Capital, JPMorgan, Jefferies, and Barclays, price targets have moved higher into a roughly $10 to $13 range, signaling a modest reset higher in expectations even as most ratings remain Neutral, Sector Perform, Equal Weight, or Underperform.

    • RBC Capital highlighted a solid Q4 and FY26 outlook, pointing to execution on large projects, growing backlog, and rising datacenter related demand as key supports for the current valuation.

    • JPMorgan and Jefferies both referenced an improving backdrop for U.S. Battery Energy Storage System demand, with JPMorgan emphasizing the appeal of utility scale solutions, diversified end markets, and long term cash flow visibility.

    🐻 Bearish Takeaways

    • Despite higher targets, the tone remains guarded, with Jefferies keeping an Underperform rating even after lifting its target to $11 from $5 and stressing the need for clearer proof that a sustained recovery in demand is underway.

    • Barclays, which raised its target to $13 from $8, still sees near term risk from Foreign Entity of Concern rules and expects U.S. bookings to stay muted until there is more clarity. This dynamic could pressure near term execution and limit upside versus current valuation.

    • Across the firms, the emphasis on Neutral or equivalent ratings suggests that, while growth prospects and demand visibility are improving, a meaningful portion of the upside may already be reflected in the share price. This leaves the story sensitive to any missteps in backlog conversion or policy developments.

    Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

    NasdaqGS:FLNC Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    • Fluence Energy initiated fiscal 2026 guidance, targeting revenue of approximately $3.2B to $3.6B, with about 85% of the midpoint already covered by backlog as of September 30, 2025. This highlights strong near term visibility.

    • The company and Torch Clean Energy announced the Winchester solar plus storage project in Cochise County, Arizona, combining two 80 MW solar arrays with 160 MW / 640 MWh of Fluence Gridstack Pro 5000 storage to bolster regional grid reliability and support load growth.

    • The Winchester project will deploy domestically manufactured components in the Gridstack Pro 5000 system, positioning the facility to qualify for domestic content tax credits while advancing U.S. manufacturing and energy security goals.

    • Fluence now has more than 22 GWh of battery storage capacity deployed or contracted across over 90 U.S. projects, reinforcing its expanding role in helping utilities, power producers, and developers build a more reliable and cost effective grid.

    Continue Reading

  • As Key Talent Abandons Apple, Meet the New Generation of Leaders Taking On the Old Guard

    As Key Talent Abandons Apple, Meet the New Generation of Leaders Taking On the Old Guard

    Start the music. Players walk clockwise in a circle. When the music stops, everyone sits in a chair. Big Tech is setting in motion its plans for the next gen of lead designers, engineers, AI chiefs, and even CEOs.

    In Cupertino, Apple execs with familiar faces are retiring or reducing responsibilities. Who’s in and who’s out? Well, chief operating officer Jeff Williams retired in November, and the speculation is that CEO Tim Cook could follow in the near term. Lisa Jackson, who has led Apple’s sustainability efforts since 2013, is now set to retire in January too.

    There’s also the squad of Apple staffers who have been lured away to work with OpenAI, notably Apple’s former chief design officer Jony Ive after his independent stint at LoveFrom. In 2024, Molly Anderson was named industrial design leader, heading up a team of mostly fresh faces. Others have gone to Meta, such as Apple’s VP of human interface design, Alan Dye, who just this week was poached to head up a new Reality Labs design studio. At Apple, he’s been replaced by long-time UI designer Stephen Lemay. Phew.

    In this swirl of shifting talent, John Ternus, who has worked for Apple since 2001, and served as SVP of hardware engineering for the last four years, reporting directly to Tim Cook, is emerging as the frontrunner to succeed Cook as Apple CEO, reportedly as soon as next year. WIRED asked Apple for comment but didn’t hear back before publication.

    Alongside a steady drip of “leaks” on succession planning and Ternus’ position at the front of the pack, since 2023, Ternus has been given more prominence at product launch events. He announced the iPhone Air onstage this past September, and has appeared alongside other senior Apple leaders in press interviews and in-store Apple events.

    “I think they’re testing to see what sentiment is like. Apple likes to control the narrative. So these ‘leaks,’ they’re not happening unintentionally,” suggests Anshel Sag, principal analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy. “Apple’s lost a lot of people. I think it might actually be a net positive because it will create a fresh crop of people that have more power now than they did before.”

    New Names to Know

    It’s always tricky to pick up an individual’s contributions at Apple, beyond the odd detail, such as John Ternus himself reportedly being behind the MacBook’s TouchBar. Bertrand Nepveu worked in the Apple Vision Pro team from 2017 to 2021, after Apple acquired his VR headset startup Vrvana, and now runs Montreal-based VC firm Triptyq Capital. During his three and a half years, mostly working on the Vision Pro’s pass-through capabilities, the team ballooned from 300 to around 1,200. “John Ternus, even though I never worked with him, the feedback I got is that he’s a great product person,” he says, “and I think that’s what is needed for the next phase of Apple, especially with AI and with XR.”

    With this future in mind, Nepveu sees the combination of Ternus-as-CEO working well with other personnel moves at Apple, including the news in March that Rockwell was taking over development of Siri from the head of AI, John Giannandrea. In another major future-facing reshuffle, Giannandrea was replaced this week by Amar Subramanya, who spent 16 years at Google, including work on Gemini and DeepMind, before a six-month stint at Microsoft.

    “Mike Rockwell, I worked with him in the Vision Pro group, I think he’s the right person for that because they [XR and AI] work in tandem,” says Nepveu. “He used to joke that Siri was crap. I liked him because he didn’t drink the Kool-Aid. I was happy when I saw that he got promoted. I think in tandem with someone who is more product-focused [Ternus], it’s the way to go for Apple.”

    Continue Reading