Category: 3. Business

  • Dollar slips as traders eye next week’s Fed meeting

    Dollar slips as traders eye next week’s Fed meeting

    The U.S. dollar slipped on Friday but held within recent ranges against major currencies as traders awaited next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where policymakers are widely expected to cut interest rates.

    The dollar index, which measures the currency against six peers, was down 0.1% at 98.994, not far from Thursday’s five-week low of 98.765. For the week, the index was down 0.5%.

    The euro was about flat at $1.16433, not far from Thursday’s three-week high of $1.1681.

    Traders are pricing a nearly 90% chance of a Fed rate cut next week, and potentially two more reductions next year, LSEG data showed.

    “This week, some soft labor market data releases from alternative sources helped crystallize what still appears to be an overdone 90% probability of a cut next week,” Antonio Ruggiero, FX & macro strategist at Convera, said.


    Morgan Stanley said on Friday it now expects the Fed to deliver a quarter-percentage point rate cut in December, joining peers JPMorgan and BofA Global Research, following dovish remarks from central bank policymakers.
    All three brokerages previously expected the Fed to hold rates steady in December. “The dollar also continues to look overvalued relative to major peers, with the softer tone therefore fully justified,” Ruggiero said.

    Data on Friday that showed U.S. consumer sentiment improved in early December did little to boost the dollar.

    Separately, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased 0.3% in September after gaining 0.3% in August, the BEA said. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE Price Index gained 0.2% after climbing 0.2% in August, the report delayed by the recent government shutdown showed.

    Investors are also weighing the prospect of White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett taking over as Fed chair after Jerome Powell’s term ends in May. Hassett is expected to push for more rate cuts.

    The dollar “remains slightly offered on the view that the Fed will cut rates next week and that the arrival of Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair will somehow make the Fed more dovish,” said Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING.

    YEN FIRMS

    The yen, which has been supported in recent sessions by expectations that the Bank of Japan could raise rates this month, edged up on Friday, rising 0.1% to 155.295 to the dollar.

    BOJ officials are ready to raise rates on December 19 in the absence of any major economic shocks, Bloomberg reported on Friday, a day after Reuters reported three sources as saying a hike this month was likely.

    “As the funding currency of choice in the carry trade, some unwinding in light of higher JPY rates is poised to boost the yen,” Convera’s Ruggiero said.

    Sterling was about flat on the day at $1.3329, not far from the previous session’s six-week peak of $1.3385.

    Next week sees a parade of central bank policy decisions, with the Reserve Bank of Australia’s coming on Tuesday, the Bank of Canada’s on Wednesday and the Swiss National Bank’s on Thursday in addition to the Fed’s statement on Wednesday.

    That continues the following week with the BOJ, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Sweden’s Riksbank.

    Leading cryptocurrency bitcoin fell for the second straight day, slipping 3% to $89,701.

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  • OGDC ramps up unconventional gas plans

    OGDC ramps up unconventional gas plans

    OGDCL’s crude oil output stood at 32,000 bpd at the end of last financial year, but it has now crossed 34,000 barrels through renewed efforts. photo: REUTERS


    ISLAMABAD:

    State-run Oil & Gas Development Company (OGDC) is planning a major expansion of unconventional gas developments from early next year, aiming to boost production and reduce reliance on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG).

    Pakistan has long been viewed as having potential in both tight and shale gas, which are trapped in rock and can only be released with specialised drilling, but commercial output has yet to be proved. Managing Director Ahmed Lak told Reuters that OGDC had tripled its tight-gas study area to 4,500 square kilometres after new seismic and reservoir analysis indicated larger potential. Phase two of a technical evaluation will finish by end-January, followed by full development plans.

    The renewed push comes after US President Donald Trump said that Pakistan held “massive” oil reserves, a statement analysts said lacked credible geological evidence.

    “We started with 85 wells, but the footprint has expanded massively,” Lak said, adding that OGDC’s next five-year plan would look “drastically different”.

    Early results point to a “significant” resource across parts of Sindh and Balochistan, where multiple reservoirs show tight-gas characteristics, he said.

    OGDC is also fast-tracking its shale programme, shifting from a single test well to a five- to six-well plan in 2026-27, with expected flows of 3-4 million standard cubic feet per day (mmcfd) per well. If successful, the development could scale to hundreds or even more than 1,000 wells, Lak said.

    He said shale alone could eventually add 600 mmcfd to 1 billion standard cubic feet per day of incremental supply, though partners would be needed if the pilot proves viable. The company is open to partners “on a reciprocal basis”, potentially exchanging acreage abroad for participation in Pakistan, he said.

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  • Assessing W. P. Carey’s 22% Rebound and Cash Flow Outlook in 2025

    Assessing W. P. Carey’s 22% Rebound and Cash Flow Outlook in 2025

    • Wondering if W. P. Carey is still a bargain after its rebound, or if the easy money has already been made? Let us unpack what the current share price is really implying about future cash flows.

    • Despite a soft patch recently with the stock down 1.6% over the last week and roughly flat over 30 days, W. P. Carey is still up 22.1% year to date and 25.8% over the past year, suggesting sentiment has improved markedly.

    • That shift in mood has come alongside W. P. Carey’s ongoing repositioning of its portfolio toward more resilient, longer lease assets and a simplified structure focused on core net lease properties. Investors have been watching how these moves might stabilize income and reduce risk in a higher rate environment, which helps explain the stronger share price over the last year.

    • On our quick valuation checks, W. P. Carey scores a modest 2 out of 6, hinting at some value on offer but not screamingly cheap. Next, we will walk through the main valuation approaches that drive that score, then finish by looking at a more complete way to judge whether the stock really fits your portfolio.

    W. P. Carey scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.

    A Discounted Cash Flow model takes W. P. Carey’s adjusted funds from operations, projects them into the future, then discounts those cash flows back to today to estimate what the business is worth in $.

    On this basis, W. P. Carey is generating roughly $1.04 billion of free cash flow today, and analysts expect this to rise steadily over time. By 2028, projected free cash flow reaches about $1.37 billion, and Simply Wall St then extrapolates those analyst estimates further out to 2035, with discounted values for each year reflecting the time value of money and risk.

    Adding up all those discounted cash flows yields an intrinsic value of about $151.33 per share. Compared with the current share price, the model implies the stock is trading at a 56.2% discount to its estimated fair value. This suggests meaningful upside if the cash flow trajectory plays out as expected.

    Result: UNDERVALUED

    Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests W. P. Carey is undervalued by 56.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 906 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

    WPC Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2025

    Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for W. P. Carey.

    For a profitable REIT like W. P. Carey, the price to earnings ratio is a useful cross check on valuation because it directly compares what investors pay today with the profits the business generates each year. In general, companies with faster, more reliable growth and lower risk can justify a higher PE, while slower growth or higher uncertainty usually deserves a lower, more conservative multiple.

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  • Recruitment Announcement for Team Leaders and High-Level Talents at DIMST job with Dongguan Institute of Materials Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (DIMST, CAS)

    Recruitment Announcement for Team Leaders and High-Level Talents at DIMST job with Dongguan Institute of Materials Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (DIMST, CAS)

    The Dongguan Institute of Materials Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (abbreviated as DIMST, CAS) was jointly established on January 20, 2025 by the Chinese Academy of Sciences, the People’s Government of Guangdong Province, and the People’s Government of Dongguan. It is located in the Pilot Start-up Area of the Comprehensive National Science Center in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (Songshan Lake Science City), with a first-phase campus area of 263 mu. On September 28, 2025, DIMST received approval from the Central Institutional Organization Commission to be established as a central public institution. On December 6, 2025, DIMST was officially inaugurated, marking a new stage of high-quality development.

    Led by Academician Wang Weihua, DIMST is structured around three major domains: frontier science in new materials, major industrial demands, and research paradigm transformation. With the mission of addressing fundamental scientific frontier issues and key applied challenges in the field of new materials, and of fostering the development of new quality productive forces, the Institute aims to promote the establishment of new research paradigms in materials science and technology and to drive future innovation in new materials technologies. Leveraging the advantages of major national scientific and technological infrastructures, the Institute focuses on fundamental and generic technologies and applied research related to strategically important core materials urgently needed by the nation, facilitating full integration of innovation and industrial chains. At the same time, it strives to attract top-tier talent and high-level research platforms in the materials field, deliver breakthroughs in key core technologies, and become a leading research institution in China’s new materials sector—serving as a source of original innovation, a hub for industrial technology diffusion, and a national center for cultivating innovative talent.

    DIMST will earnestly implement General Secretary Xi Jinping’s requirements for the Chinese Academy of Sciences—namely the “Four Firsts” and the “Two Accelerations and One Effort.” The Institute will accelerate efforts to secure strategic high ground in materials science, tackle bottleneck problems in key materials, deepen the integration of scientific and technological innovation with industrial innovation, support industrial upgrading in the Greater Bay Area, and explore new AI-driven research paradigms. It is committed to contributing to China’s high-level scientific and technological self-reliance and the building of a strong scientific and technological nation.

    In accordance with the needs of the ten major research divisions and two supporting sections of DIMST, DIMST is now globally recruiting leaders for twelve research divisions. The divisions are introduced as follows:

    Division of Frontier and Interdisciplinary Sciences

    Focusing on the long-term scientific and technological development needs of the nation, this division primarily utilizes major national research facilities such as the China Spallation Neutron Source, synchrotron radiation light sources, and attosecond laser platforms to conduct fundamental and applied basic research. Its mission is to address interdisciplinary scientific problems that are difficult to resolve by other means, in areas such as quantum materials, structural materials, energy materials, and advanced particle detection materials.

    Division of Microscopic Science and Technology in the Greater Bay Area

    This division aims to investigate structural and compositional information at the atomic scale. It is dedicated to high-level research on new theories and technologies in electron microscopy and diffraction physics, with a particular focus on quantitative electron microscopy and its applications in solid-state physics and materials science. The division also seeks to advance the development and application of electron microscopy in fields such as nanotechnology, materials science, and physics, thereby promoting technological innovation and interdisciplinary integration.

    Division of Electronic Information Materials and Devices

    Aiming to meet the major national needs of the next-generation electronic information industry, this division focuses on typical application scenarios in the era of big data, such as high-density information sensing, communication, computation, and storage. In response to the critical material demands of next-generation post-Moore information devices and chips, the division concentrates on interdisciplinary research involving emerging electronic information materials and devices based on electrical, magnetic, and optical principles. Research directions include spin quantum materials and devices, two-dimensional semiconductor and optoelectronic materials and devices, silicon-based optoelectronic heterogeneous integration technologies, oxide semiconductor materials, topological quantum materials, and single-crystal copper functional thin films.

    Division of Amorphous Materials

    This division is dedicated to developing amorphous alloys and high-entropy amorphous materials with high glass-forming ability, thermal stability, and long-term service reliability. It conducts research on nonequilibrium condensed matter physics and new theoretical frameworks for emerging materials, promotes the integrated development of structural and functional properties in amorphous materials, and explores industrial applications in next-generation power electronics, communication equipment, and related fields.

    Division of New Energy Materials

    This division conducts research on key materials for transportation electrification, renewable energy storage, and clean energy applications. Focusing on critical technologies such as solid-state lithium batteries, green hydrogen energy, and photocatalytic conversion, it aims to advance the realization of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and to strengthen the nation’s strategic scientific and technological capabilities.

    Division of Biomedical Materials

    This division focuses on the research and development of key materials in the biomedical field, such as nanomedicines and tissue engineering materials. It aims to address critical scientific challenges and technological bottlenecks in areas including intelligent responsive drug delivery systems, novel diagnostic and therapeutic platforms, tissue engineering scaffolds, and smart extracellular matrix materials. The division is committed to advancing key technologies and methodologies for precision medicine and providing strong support for the high-quality development of the national biomedical materials industry.

    Division of Advanced Scientific Instruments and Equipment

    Targeting the material science community’s needs for specialized research instruments, this division develops high-sensitivity, high-resolution, high–signal-to-noise–ratio, and wide dynamic range radiation position detectors, image sensors, and dosimeters for neutrons, X-rays, gamma rays, and ultraviolet–visible–near-infrared light. It also conducts research on quantum sensing and imaging technologies, as well as on the imaging methodologies, key materials, and critical components for optoelectronic and quantum devices.

    Division of Intelligent Materials Informatics

    This division aims to develop a new paradigm that integrates artificial intelligence with materials science, establishing an innovative “AI + Materials” research framework. It focuses on advancing intelligent R&D technologies for materials science and building a world-class materials science database that is internationally leading and protected by independent intellectual property rights. Based on high-quality databases, the division develops large-scale materials science models and, utilizing advanced AI technologies and data platforms, constructs recommendation systems for both forward and inverse design of high-performance materials tailored to application needs. Furthermore, it builds intelligent engines for parsing multi-source heterogeneous literature and develops automated infrastructures for experimentation and materials fabrication, thereby enabling automated iteration and development of new materials.

    Materials Data Center

    The Materials Data Center focuses on the cutting-edge intersection of materials science and artificial intelligence. With sustained research efforts in the areas of amorphous materials and physics, as well as AI-assisted new materials design, the center is committed to integrating computational simulation, data science, and deep learning technologies to deeply explore structure–property relationships in materials. Its goal is to drive the precise design and development of new materials and to establish unified standards and an integrated data-sharing platform for materials in the Greater Bay Area.

    Division of Functional Ceramic Materials

    As an important scientific research platform, the division will focus on well-defined objectives—the research, development, and preparation of advanced ceramic materials; extreme-performance testing and characterization; and comprehensive corrosion validation. Guided by domestic demand for advanced ceramics and supported by the major research facilities of DIMST, the division aims to align closely with the innovation needs of industrial development. It is expected to establish a national-level R&D center for advanced ceramic materials and a world-class open and shared platform for testing and verification.

    Laboratory for Materials Preparation and Characterization

    The Materials Preparation and Characterization Platform has established first-class open-access service units and projects covering materials synthesis, microstructural and compositional characterization, comprehensive optical/electrical/magnetic/mechanical/thermal property measurements, as well as precision machining. Leveraging its advanced equipment and highly skilled technical personnel, the platform is dedicated to providing strong technical support for both academic research and industrial R&D. It offers a wide range of services, including materials preparation, characterization, and comprehensive project-based collaborations, to universities, enterprises, and research institutes. Through joint projects, collaborative research, and problem-oriented partnerships, the platform provides integrated solutions for scientific challenges and new material development. To date, the platform has received over RMB 200 million in equipment investment and has made 85 sets of large-scale instruments available for open access. All instruments are configured under the principle of “uniqueness where others lack, superiority where others possess,” featuring advanced performance, broad applicability, comprehensive functional attachments, and wide operational ranges under extreme testing conditions.

    Laboratory for Micro–Nano Fabrication and Device Preparation

    Through the introduction and deployment of advanced semiconductor equipment, as well as the recruitment and cultivation of specialized talent teams, this laboratory is building a comprehensive technology service and innovation platform that integrates micro–nano fabrication, device preparation, testing and characterization, R&D, and pilot-scale production. It enables controllable processing and testing of structures and devices for wide semiconductor materials, spanning scales from the micrometer to the nanometer and even the atomic level.

    The laboratory establishes core functions for the wide semiconductor field, including public technical services, common technology research, fabrication and prototyping, talent training, equipment validation, and material verification. It provides a full research and development cycle and complete technical support infrastructure for the development and pilot testing of new materials, new processes, and new products in the wide semiconductor industry.

    Job Responsibilities

          1. The head of a research division is responsible for defining the division’s academic direction and development roadmap, as well as formulating its talent development and scientific research plans; the head of a supporting section is responsible for developing and implementing the platform’s medium- and long-term strategic plans and technical roadmaps.
          2. Undertake relevant scientific research tasks, manage research projects, and ensure the achievement of high-quality research outputs, including publications and patent applications.
          3. Lead the division in collaboration with domestic and international research institutions and enterprises to promote world-class technological innovation, research breakthroughs, and practical applications.
          4. Promote the intelligent development of the team by exploring pathways for integrating artificial intelligence with existing research areas, and by establishing an intelligent research system.

    Position Requirements

          1. Possess a global strategic vision and an innovative mindset, with the ability to accurately grasp the developmental trends at the forefront of global science and technology, as well as the directions of major national strategic needs.
          2. Be a leading expert in the relevant professional field, having made significant contributions that have greatly advanced academic progress or high-tech innovation and integration, and be recognized by peers both domestically and internationally.
          3. Have served as the principal investigator or equivalent leader in major national-level scientific and technological projects.
          4. As an academic leader, possess notable academic influence, strong organizational and leadership capabilities, and the ability to guide a team in producing major scientific achievements.
          5. Be in good health and fully capable of performing the duties required by the position.

    At the same time, DIMST is conducting a long-term global recruitment of high-level talents in the following research areas:

    Artificial intelligence–empowered materials, electronic information materials, new energy materials, amorphous materials, polymer materials, biomedical materials, microscopic science, interdisciplinary science, advanced scientific instruments and equipment, functional ceramic materials, and materials characterization technologies.

    Recruitment Targets and Requirements

    I. Academic Leading Talents

          1. Possess a global strategic vision and an innovative mindset, with the ability to accurately grasp the developmental trends at the forefront of global science and technology, as well as the directions of major national strategic needs.
          2. Be a leading expert in the relevant professional field, having made significant contributions that have greatly advanced academic progress or high-tech innovation and integration, and be recognized by peers both domestically and internationally.
          3. Have served as the principal investigator or equivalent leader in major national-level scientific and technological projects.
          4. As an academic leader, possess notable academic influence, strong organizational and leadership capabilities, and the ability to guide a team in producing major scientific achievements.
          5. Be in good health and fully capable of performing the duties required by the position.

    II. Outstanding Young Talents

          1. In general, candidates should hold a formal teaching or research position in a well-known overseas university, research institute, or corporate R&D organization, with at least three consecutive years of relevant work experience. For those who have obtained a Ph.D. degree overseas and demonstrated exceptionally outstanding achievements, the work experience requirement may be appropriately relaxed.
          2. Possess substantial research experience, innovative academic ideas, and technical methodologies, with the ability to propose new research directions, actively undertake scientific research tasks, and promote high-quality research outputs.
          3. Have achieved research or technological accomplishments recognized by peers in the field and demonstrate strong potential to become an academic leader or outstanding talent in the relevant discipline.
          4. Generally be no more than 35 years of age.

    Compensation and Benefits

    1. Competitive Salary:

    Offer of an internationally competitive remuneration package.

    2. Central government-affiliated public institution staff establishment.

    3. Comprehensive Team-Building Support:

    Team establishment funding will be determined on a case-by-case basis. Successful applicants will receive allocated quotas for postdoctoral fellows and graduate students, as well as ample office and laboratory space.

    4. Housing Support:

    Eligible candidates will receive either a municipal housing purchase subsidy or the opportunity to obtain a preferential housing unit with full property rights.

    5. World-Class Research Platforms:

    More than 1 billion RMB has been invested to establish a comprehensive, world-class research infrastructure system covering materials design, preparation, processing, characterization, measurement, and simulation, with over 210 sets of advanced instruments available for open access.

    6. Social Security and Additional Benefits:

    Five Social Insurances(Endowment Insurance, Medical Insurance, Unemployment Insurance, Employment Injury Insurance and Maternity Insurance), Housing Provident Fund and Enterprise Annuity are provided at the highest standard. Qualified overseas high-level and urgently needed talents are eligible for a 15% preferential individual income tax policy. Assistance is available for obtaining work and residence permits in China, as well as support for children’s education and spousal employment.

    Spouses without current employment are eligible for a special monthly allowance for up to three years:

    • Academic Leading Talents: RMB 8,000/month
    • Outstanding Young Talents: RMB 5,000/month

    7. Additional Benefits:

    Free access to fitness and recreational facilities (gym, tennis courts, basketball courts, badminton hall, table tennis room, and swimming pool), complimentary yoga classes, a leisure café, annual health check-ups, holiday benefits, and various union-organized activities.

    Application Materials and Procedures

    1. Curriculum Vitae (CV):

    Please include a list of 5–8 representative publications.

    2. Letter of Self-Recommendation:

    A statement describing your motivation for application and suitability for the position.

    3. Summary and Plan:

    A summary of your previous research/work experience and a proposal outlining your future research or work plan.

    4. References:

    The names, contact information, and recommendation letters of two referees in the same or closely related field.

    5. Supporting Documents:

    • A copy of your passport or national ID;
    • Proof of current employment;
    • Highest degree certificate(s);
    • Professional qualification certificates (if applicable);
    • List of academic publications (please specify first and corresponding authorship);
    • Copies of awards, patents, and documentation of technology transfer achievements;
    • Any other materials you consider relevant to your application.

     

    Please compile all the above application materials into a single folder and send it to renshi@dimst.ac.cn.

    The email subject line should be formatted as:

    “Application for xx Team Leader/High-Level Talent + Name + Research Field.”

    All application materials will be treated with strict confidentiality. Candidates who pass the preliminary screening will be notified by phone or email for an interview.

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  • Kerb buying and selling rate of US dollar – Business Recorder

    1. Kerb buying and selling rate of US dollar  Business Recorder
    2. Rupee records gain against US dollar  Business Recorder
    3. Foreign exchange rates in Pakistan for today, December 05, 2025  Profit by Pakistan Today
    4. Rupee gains 3 paisa against dollar  Daily Times
    5. Dollar slips again in interbank market as downward trend continues  Dunya News

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  • After ‘the change’: How menopause affects women’s labour and health outcomes

    By 2030, approximately 1.2 billion women worldwide will either be undergoing the menopause transition or be post-menopausal (Delanerolle et al. 2025). Although menopause is medically defined as the moment when a woman’s menstrual period has been missing for 12 months, hormonal changes and debilitating symptoms typically start years earlier during a period called ‘perimenopause’ and may extend for years after transitioning. Common symptoms, which can be bothersome at best and incapacitating at worst, include vasomotor symptoms (e.g. hot flushes and night sweats), sleep disruption, migraines, bone health deterioration, and emotional symptoms such as depression and anxiety (Monteleone et al. 2018). Despite the disruptive nature of this unavoidable biological process, its labour and health impacts have been understudied, particularly from a causal perspective.

    Menopause is having a moment

    As female labour force participation increases and the world population ages, middle-aged women are becoming a larger share of the workforce. Consequently, the public discussion about menopause has recently taken off in policy circles, academia, and social media, led primarily by women at this stage in their lives. Such public momentum needs to be supported by rigorous research to effectively trigger social and policy changes, as has been the case with other biological events affecting women.

    For instance, research on the effects of menstruation on schooling outcomes, such as drop-out rates and absenteeism, led to campaigns to increase school sanitation and access to menstrual technologies (Oster and Thornton 2011) and interventions to reduce period stigma (Macours 2025). On a different front, the literature documenting the ‘child penalty’ (Kleven, Landais, and Leite-Mariante 2025, Steinhauer et al. 2019) has derived into a policy debate about how to reduce the disproportionate childbearing costs borne by women and close the gender gap with paid leave, affordable childcare, or a reshaping of gender norms (Kleven, Olivero, and Patacchini 2025).

    Thus, causal evidence of the impacts of menopause on female work and health outcomes is relevant to inform policymakers and employers, support women during this transition, and potentially mitigate its costs. For instance, a notable and controversial mitigation strategy for menopausal symptoms is the use of hormone replacement therapy (HRT). HRT was commonly prescribed since the 1960s until the (now highly contested) Women’s Health Initiative Study in 2002 linked it to higher risks of heart attacks, strokes, blood clots, and breast cancer. The publication of this study led to an unexpected and abrupt decrease in HRT take-up rates, which Daysal and Orsini (2014) exploit to provide evidence on the positive impact of this medical treatment on women’s employment. However, overall, the evidence on the protective role of HRT on work and, additionally, health outcomes is still scarce.

    The emerging evidence on the hidden costs of menopause

    Most of the existing evidence on the effects of menopause on labour and health outcomes is correlational. The timing of menopause varies across women, typically occurring during the late 40s or early 50s, with an average age of 51, when women’s careers and family lives may also be undergoing major changes. Consequently, obtaining causal evidence requires disentangling the impact of menopause from other correlated factors.

    A few studies use quasi-experimental methods to provide such causal estimates, such as Bryson et al. (2022), who find that early menopause (before age 45) reduces the employment rate of women in their 50s. More recently, Conti et al. (2025) use administrative data from Sweden and Norway and an event study to estimate the ‘menopause penalty’ and find that receiving a menopause diagnosis decreases women’s full-time employment and earnings and increases public transfer receipts. Abrahamsson et al. (2025) combine register and survey data with the date of menopause from Norway and similarly find decreases in earnings for women with more severe menopause-related symptoms.

    Our recent research, part of this emerging literature, estimates the causal effects of the menopause transition on labour and health outcomes for US women (Juarez and Marquez-Padilla 2024). We use the National Longitudinal Survey of Young Women (1988-2003) and the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation (1997-2006), two longitudinal surveys that provide information on the exact timing of menopause (the age of the last menstrual period), together with labour, health, and socio-demographic variables. Leveraging the variation in menopause age between women, we use an event study and a difference-in-difference framework, in the spirit of the child penalty literature, and set our event time as two years before a woman’s last period to capture the point at which hormonal changes and symptoms sharply increase, during perimenopause (Politi et al. 2008).

    A key advantage of our research is that we do not need to proxy for the event time (a woman’s last menstrual period) using age, genetic markers, or medical diagnoses. Thus, we can estimate the effects of menopause for all women, independent of menopause severity or access to healthcare and with little measurement error. As impacts may be heterogeneous across cohorts defined by menopause age and over time, we use the imputation procedure proposed by Borusyak et al. (2024) to estimate them.

    Our results show that menopause decreases women’s probability of employment, by about 10 percentage points, three years after menopause and increases their probability of working part-time by about 10 percentage points, if employed (Figure 1). We do not find significant effects on monthly earnings for women who remain employed but do find significant increases in the probability of receiving Social Security disability benefits (5 percentage points), and a large fall in the probability of being married or living with a partner (of up to 20 percentage points).

    Figure 1 Labour outcomes around the menopause transition

    Notes: Each graph shows the estimated average treatment effects by year, using the imputation method by Borusyak et al. (2024), with their 95% confidence intervals. The vertical dashed line indicates the reference period, two years before menopause. The reported mean dependent variable is calculated at the reference period. Data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Young Women (1988-2003). Standard errors are clustered at the individual level.

    Regarding health outcomes, we find strong detrimental effects on bone health, such as increases in the probabilities of being diagnosed with osteoporosis and experiencing bone fractures, but no significant effect on other common chronic conditions, such as diabetes or hypertension.

    We also find that HRT take-up increases around menopause, as expected, but it is significantly stronger for white and high-socioeconomic-status women, as proxied by their education, than for women who are non-white or of low socioeconomic status, suggesting inequalities in access to medical treatment during this transition.

    HRT use may be correlated with the severity of menopausal symptoms or labour market attachment. Thus, to overcome this endogeneity and provide causal estimates of the protective role of HRT on work and health outcomes, we estimate our baseline models separately for women who experienced menopause before and after the 2002 publication of the Women’s Health Initiative Study, which, as mentioned, exogenously lowered HRT uptake (Daysal and Orsini 2014). Our results show that the negative impacts of menopause are mostly significant after the publication of the Women’s Health Initiative Study, suggesting that HRT mitigates the menopause labour penalty and protects bone health.

    Changing ‘the change’: Implications for policy

    Decades after experiencing the child penalty (the median age at first birth in 1980 was 22.6; see Eickmeyer et al. 2017), the ‘menopause penalty’ comes at a time when women’s labour market outcomes could be peaking: for 1995-2005, the median income for 55-year-old men exceeded that of 45-year-olds, while the reverse is true for women (Smith 2022).

    Our findings on the protective role of HRT for work and bone health, along with the inequalities in access to HRT by race and education, underscore the need to expand menopause-related medical care to reduce labour market gaps – both between men and women and among women of different backgrounds.

    More broadly, increasing access to healthcare services and medical training about menopause, reducing social stigma, understanding social norms surrounding women’s retirement (Wang 2024), and adapting workplace and employer practices to support women’s labour market attachment are all potential avenues to mitigate the costs of menopause. Furthermore, supporting women’s labour and health during the menopausal transition could also lead to a range of long-term benefits, such as better pensions and less economic dependency in old age. Our results on the protective role of HRT on bone health suggest that expanded access to menopause-related care can protect women against frailty and physical dependency as well, which is costly for them, their families, and society as a whole.

    Editors’ note: This column is published in collaboration with the International Economic Associations’ Women in Leadership in Economics initiative, which aims to enhance the role of women in economics through research, building partnerships, and amplifying voices.

    References

    Abrahamsson, S, M Barschkett, and M Flatø (2025), “Beyond hot flashes: The career cost of menopause”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 17789.

    Borusyak, K, X Jaravel, and J Spiess (2024), “Revisiting event-study designs: Robust and efficient estimation”, Review of Economic Studies 91(6): 3253–85.

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    Conti, G, et al. (2025), “The menopause ‘penalty’”, NBER Working Paper No. 33621.

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  • Access Denied


    Access Denied

    You don’t have permission to access “http://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/electric-power/120525-low-temperatures-push-up-us-northeast-power-gas-prices” on this server.

    Reference #18.c8a0d517.1764988770.fcc87141

    https://errors.edgesuite.net/18.c8a0d517.1764988770.fcc87141

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  • The Future of Finance? Google Is Bringing Betting Odds Directly To Your Screen, Sparking Calls For ‘Addiction Warnings’

    The Future of Finance? Google Is Bringing Betting Odds Directly To Your Screen, Sparking Calls For ‘Addiction Warnings’

    Google announced earlier this month that it will integrate odds from online betting platforms Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket into its Google Finance tools amid pushback from lawmakers over the evolution of modern-day gambling.

    The integration of these “event contract” sites will enable users to “ask questions about future market events and harness the wisdom of the crowds,” according to a company blog post. The decision, however, comes as both Kalshi and Polymarket navigate a complex web of state and federal regulations.

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    Kalshi and Polymarket maintain their platforms offer “event contracts” between private parties that should be regulated like commodities rather than traditional gambling subject to state oversight; an argument that has received pushback from government officials, NBC Chicago said. Companies like Kalshi and Polymarket should “package sports betting as events contracts” to circumvent established gaming regulations, state attorneys general claimed in a lawsuit in June.

    U.S. senators including five Democrats and one Republican addressed that concern in a letter to Commodity Futures Trading Commission Acting Chair Caroline Pham September “By claiming to be federally regulated … issuers of sports event contracts can avoid myriad state [gaming] laws, including licensing and background investigations, minimum age requirements, federal anti-money laundering rules, and consumer protections such as addiction warnings and integrity monitoring,” the lawmakers wrote.

    Trending: 7 Million Gamers Already Trust Gameflip With Their Digital Assets — Now You Can Own a Stake in the Platform

    Nearly 80% of American voters support keeping prediction market regulation at the federal level rather than under state gambling authorities, according to a poll of 1,219 people nationwide commissioned by Kalshi and conducted by Axis Research. Eighty-nine percent of respondents agreed all Americans should have the freedom and ability to choose whether or not to engage in these markets regardless of their own participation.

    Among those surveyed, 75% of Republicans and 71% of Democrats supported a federal regulatory approach to prediction markets. “American voters want the freedom to choose how to invest their own money without state-level interference,” Kalshi Head of Corporate Development Sara Slane said in a LinkedIn post. “The current federal regulatory structure is best equipped to oversee this financial activity, a point underscored by Congress.”

    Prediction markets currently fall under the jurisdiction of the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, which oversees event-based contracts that allow participants to trade on the likelihood of future outcomes.

    See Also: Missed Tesla? EnergyX Is Tackling the Next $200 Billion Opportunity — Lithium

    Polymarket and Kalshi have faced criticism over controversies regarding event outcome determinations. For instance, Polymarket’s bet on whether Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy would appear in public wearing a suit before July sparked disputes about what qualifies as “a suit,” Event Horizon reported.

    Meanwhile, Kalshi users expressed frustration after the company refused to pay out bets when former X CEO Linda Yaccarino announced she was leaving the company, reported Event Horizon.

    The Trump administration has become a key player in Kalshi and Polymarket’s market dynamics. Donald Trump Jr., the president’s eldest son, serves as a formal adviser to both companies. The CFTC in May dropped a case against Kalshi initiated by Biden-era regulators, clearing the way for Polymarket to regain U.S. market access as indicated by the CFTC in September. In October, Trump’s social media platform Truth Social announced plans to launch Truth Predict, a crypto-based event betting service.

    Read Next: Wall Street’s $12B Real Estate Manager Is Opening Its Doors to Individual Investors — Without the Crowdfunding Middlemen

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    © 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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  • Six huge mistakes to avoid at your work Christmas party

    Six huge mistakes to avoid at your work Christmas party

    Recruitment and workplace expert Roxanne Calder says work parties ain’t what they used to be. (Source: Getty/Roxanne Calder)

    For something supposed to be fun, work Christmas parties can be surprisingly high stakes in the modern workplace. It used to be a harmless night out, a couple of drinks, a few dance moves and a half-remembered story for the next day.

    Now, it resembles a social experiment: part celebration, part networking roulette and yes, part unspoken performance review. Add the habitual filming and posting to socials, and you have an event where your reputation unravels faster than the night unfolds.

    Twenty years ago, a Christmas party faux pas stayed in the room. Or at worst, lived on as a foggy nextday memory, mercifully free of evidence. Today, it’s broadcasted, viewed, and shared. No fog here, just a filtered soft lens blur.

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    This week, an executive at National Australia Bank’s online lender UBank was reportedly sacked after behaving inappropriately including being photographed in a mock terrorism act at the work Christmas party.

    Celebrations and parties are important physical manifestations or artefacts of an organisation’s culture. And the Christmas party remains a significant event and ritual. So how do you celebrate without courting office infamy or worse? A few guiding principles can help:

    One of the great myths of the Christmas party is that hierarchy levels out. The boss is wearing a novelty jumper and reindeer ears, colleagues are laughing more loudly than usual, and the whole event feels looser. But alcohol does not cancel power dynamics; it simply dims the lights.

    It can make the hierarchy more visible. People reveal how they really relate to authority once their guard lowers. Hybrid work has made this more complicated. After years of reduced in-person interaction, people are socially rusty. Judgment slips not because people are reckless, but because their social reflexes are not being fully exercised.

    Remember: the Christmas party is not a night off from workplace dynamics. Respect for roles, boundaries and authority should be maintained.

    Phones have become the hidden guests at every workplace event. No one means harm; they are filming a toast, a joke, or the office limbo competition, but context rarely survives the camera roll. A harmless moment can look vastly different when cropped, shared, or viewed by someone who wasn’t there.

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