Category: 3. Business

  • TCS and SINTEF Forge Partnership to Deploy Artificial Intelligence for Improving Elderly Care

    TCS and SINTEF Forge Partnership to Deploy Artificial Intelligence for Improving Elderly Care

    New partnership to tackle a range of societal challenges starting with elderly healthcare, followed by energy, mobility and smart and secure communities, leveraging AI and GenAI for social good

    PRESS RELEASE

    OSLO | MUMBAI, November, 11, 2025: Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) (BSE: 532540, NSE: TCS), a global leader in IT services, consulting, and business solutions, announced a partnership with Norwegian research and development company SINTEF—one of Europe’s largest, independent research foundations. Drawing on TCS’s extensive experience in deploying Artificial Intelligence (AI) and digital solutions for clients in industries such as healthcare, energy, and smart cities, and SINTEF’s strong research capabilities, the partnership aims to create scalable, real-world innovations.

    Together, they will focus on using Social AI to improve elderly care, building on SINTEF’s successful eHealth initiative, SMILE (Smart Inclusive Living Environments). SMILE is a platform designed to help senior citizens live independently and safely in their own homes. It acts as both a communication tool and a support system, connecting seniors with family members, caregivers, and even peers in their community. By enabling easy communication, reminders and access to health services, SMILE fosters active living and social engagement.

    With multidisciplinary expertise within technology, natural sciences and social sciences, SINTEF works to create innovation through development and research assignments for business and the public sector in Norway and abroad.

    Alexandra Bech Gjørv, President and CEO of SINTEF, said, “Rooted in the heritage of the world-renowned Tata Group, we recognize TCS’ ambition in creating long term value for its clients, employees, and the community at large. SINTEF shares similar values, and I believe that together, we can improve the quality of life and help the elderly in Norway to be able to stay healthy, in the comfort of their homes much longer. We are looking forward to collaborating with TCS.”

    What makes this initiative innovative is the use of Social AI to understand the unique needs of each individual and personalize their care. By combining advanced research and with digital technology, the platform not only improves elderly care but also sets the stage for smarter more inclusive healthcare solutions in the future.

    Sapthagiri Chapalapalli, Head of Europe at Tata Consultancy Services, said, “The most impactful ideas are often generated in collaboration with external partners, startups, and academia. We are excited to begin our collaboration with SINTEF. Combining the academia research, TCS’ deep domain expertise and experience of implementing AI strategies will be turning ideas into action. Together with SINTEF, the identification of specific, practical AI use cases that address real business challenges focusing into usability and human-centric approach will become to full circle. Our digital technologies will add scale and speed to SINTEF’s research and innovation activities, enabling these projects to have an even greater reach and impact for society.”

    TCS has been operating in the Nordic region since 1991. A total of around 20,000 experts serve the company’s Norwegian, Finnish, Swedish, and Danish customers. For the past 15 years, TCS has been consistently ranked as one of the best IT consulting service providers in the Nordic region by its customers. TCS has also received the Top Employer recognition in Norway for eleven consecutive years.

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  • Risk in Context Podcast: Maximizing value in private equity exits

    Risk in Context Podcast: Maximizing value in private equity exits

    Following a prolonged period of historically low exit volumes and extended holding periods, private equity activity is regaining momentum, with 215 significant deals announced in the first half of 2025, totaling more than US$300 billion in enterprise value.

    As private equity firms consider exiting their investments, it is important that they remain vigilant and focus on identifying and addressing potential risks early in the process to safeguard value and optimize returns. Human capital considerations, tailored insurance solutions, and innovative transactional risk insurance solutions are helping firms navigate challenges in an evolving risk landscape.

    In this episode of Risk in Context, Paul Knowles, the Global Head of Marsh’s Private Equity and M&A Practice, speaks with Katie Gensheimer, Chief Client Officer for Marsh’s North American Private Equity and Mergers and Acquisitions business, Dhruv Mehra, who leads Mercer’s Global Private Equity client teams, and Philipp Giessen, who leads Marsh’s Private Equity and M&A Practice in Germany. They discuss the current private equity landscape and its impact on exit strategies, the people-related issues that funds should consider in their exit strategy, and the insurance solutions that can help firms mitigate risks.

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  • Debating Gas Security of Supply in Europe

    Debating Gas Security of Supply in Europe

    Present yesterday, 10 November 2025, at the Florence School of Regulation (FSR), the President of the International Gas Union (IGU), Mr Andrea Stegher, took part in a debate on Europe’s energy security of supply with representatives from the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and The European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG) and the Oxford Institute of Energy Studies (OIES).

    The debate on “Security of Supply” formed part of FSR’s 3-day specialised training on the Regulation of Gas Markets, targeted at leading Gas industry experts and practitioners.

    As global Gas markets undergo profound transformation, driven by geopolitical shifts, decarbonisation imperatives, and rapidly evolving regulatory landscapes, the need for informed and strategic decision-making has never been greater.

    The IGU President remarked: ”While some may perceive that European security of supply is less of an issue three years after the 2022 crisis, we have to continue investing in Gas resources and infrastructure to promote resilience of energy supplies both for the already well developed markets – where Gas plays an increasingly essential flexibility role to balance the power systems while continuing to heat homes and providing essential molecules to industries – and in developing countries where Gas will play an essential role in eradicating energy poverty”.

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  • 4 in 5 Supply Chain Leaders expect disruptions to persist for two more years, Maersk survey finds

    4 in 5 Supply Chain Leaders expect disruptions to persist for two more years, Maersk survey finds

    Copenhagen – The polycrisis-driven disruptions in global supply chains show no signs of abating – and likely won’t for the foreseeable future. That’s the key takeaway from a comprehensive survey conducted by Maersk among its European customer base. The findings reveal that a significant majority of cargo owners expect the current volatile environment to persist for at least another 12 to 24 months.

    The survey, which gathered insights from over 900 companies across Europe, highlights the continued strain on supply chains amid geopolitical tensions, shifting trade policies, and tariff uncertainties.

    More than 78% of the supply chain professionals surveyed said they anticipate that geopolitical dynamics, trade tariffs, and international trade regulations will impact their operations over the next one to two years. Nearly half (48%) expressed deep concern about the geopolitical climate, and 4 out of 5 recognised supply chain challenges as a factor impacting their business growth.

    To counter these challenges, businesses are actively diversifying their sourcing strategies. Three out of four respondents indicated they are either already sourcing from multiple geographies or plan to do so – a notable increase from Maersk’s 2024 survey, where only 53% were considering new sourcing locations. Furthermore,

    • 4 out of 5 businesses are strengthening the relationship with their logistics provider and key suppliers,
    • 3 out of 5 businesses are investing in supply chain visibility and agility to increase resilience,
    • 3 out of 4 businesses said they’re adapting to alternative trade routes.


    European businesses certainly haven’t had it all their own way over the past five years, and the ever-changing global environment facing them is definitely here to stay for the near future. Ultimately, though, it’s about turning the prevailing uncertainty into opportunities. One shared attitude among our customers has become abundantly clear: Now is not the time to lament the cards we’ve been dealt – now is the time to take action and grow. More and more European businesses are refusing to sit back and wait for volatility to ease. Instead, they are looking to build smarter, more resilient networks that support their ambitions for growth.

    Aymeric Chandavoine

    President Europe at A.P. Moller – Maersk


    Waiting and doing nothing is the worst thing cargo owners can do, Lars Karlsson confirms. Maersk’s Global Head of Trade & Customs Consulting knows this from more than four decades’ experience in customs and tariffs. Tariffs stand for the most recent heavy disruption for global trade. Lars Karlsson and Maersk’s global team of 2,700 Maersk customs brokers helped cargo owners across the globe to stay on top of the dynamic developments when the US tariffs hit virtually overnight any possible country.

    “That left many supply chain managers without sleep at night,” Lars Karlsson remembers the days and weeks after the US announced its import tariff package to the world in April. “However, with the right tools and partners you can control even such a black swan event,” he continues. “You need to be proactive and become more agile in a geopolitical environment like today. To achieve this, you need full control of your global customs data, have it digitally in one central platform where you can blend it with the data of sudden tariff changes as they happen.”

    Recent work of his team has proven that those companies who instantly started to gather their global customs data on the “Maersk Trade and Tariff Studio” platform after the announcement of the US import tariffs in April, have been much better prepared for any following overnight tariff changes than those that took a ‘wait-and-see’ approach.

    That tariffs will stay on top of the agenda going forward is strongly supported by the survey’s results. The Top 3 challenges that European businesses expect from evolving geopolitics are:

    • 46% of the participants in the survey told Maersk that they expect fluctuations in import and export costs,
    • 43% expect increased trade tariffs,
    • 40% expect uncertainty in global trade policies.

    Read the full report here: European Business Growth 2025 | Maersk

    About Maersk

    A.P. Moller – Maersk is an integrated logistics company working to connect and simplify its customers’ supply chains. As a global leader in logistics services, the company operates in more than 130 countries and employs around 100,000 people. Maersk is aiming to reach net zero GHG emissions by 2040 across the entire business with new technologies, new vessels, and reduced GHG emissions fuels*.

    *Maersk defines “reduced GHG emissions fuels” as fuels with at least 65% reductions in GHG emissions on a lifecycle basis compared to fossil of 94 g CO2e/MJ.


    For further information, please contact:



    Rainer Horn

    Senior Media Relations Manager, Logistics & Services business


    Email Rainer Horn

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  • UK grocery price inflation slows as retailers launch pre-Christmas promotions | Supermarkets

    UK grocery price inflation slows as retailers launch pre-Christmas promotions | Supermarkets

    The pace of grocery inflation in Britain slowed last month as retailers ramped up promotions before Christmas, providing a little relief for consumers bracing for further tax rises in this month’s budget.

    Grocery inflation stood at 4.7% in the four weeks to 2 November, easing from 5.2% in the previous four weeks, according to figures from Worldpanel by Numerator, formerly known as Kantar.

    Official data published last month showed overall UK inflation held steady at 3.8% in September, with food inflation slowing. The next official figures are due on 19 November, shortly before the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, presents her budget on 26 November.

    Worldpanel said prices were rising fastest in markets such as chocolate confectionery, fresh meat and coffee and were falling fastest in household paper, sugar confectionery and dog food.

    It said grocery sales grew 3.2% year on year over the four-week period – with spending on deals rising 9.4% compared with an increase of 1.8% on full priced goods.

    Fraser McKevitt, the head of retail and consumer insight at Worldpanel, said: “Christmas ads are hitting our screens and the race to the big day is on in the supermarket sector. Retailers are very alive to the financial struggles that some households are facing, not least ahead of this year’s budget.

    “They’re eager to show how they’re offering shoppers value for money, putting the emphasis on price cuts rather than multibuy offers.

    “It’s not just the Grinch who’s looking for savings, with just shy of 30% of consumer spending at the grocers on promoted items in October, a figure that we expect to go even higher as we get closer to Christmas.”

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    The Worldpanel data showed strong sales at Ocado – which registered a 15.9% jump in sales compared with a year earlier – Lidl and Tesco, which has made significant gains on rivals so far this year. Asda continued to struggle, with sales down 3.9%.

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  • TIA Portal V21 combines engineering efficiency with higher plant availability | Press | Company

    TIA Portal V21 combines engineering efficiency with higher plant availability | Press | Company

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  • Wessex Water must pay £11m over wastewater failures, says regulator | Water industry

    Wessex Water must pay £11m over wastewater failures, says regulator | Water industry

    Wessex Water has been ordered to pay £11m over wastewater failures and told to spend it on improvements to reduce sewage spills and other measures.

    Ofwat, the industry regulator for England and Wales, said that Wessex Water and its shareholders would fund a total enforcement package of £11m, none of which will be paid for by customers through bills.

    The watchdog found that Wessex Water failed to operate, maintain and upgrade its wastewater network adequately to ensure that it could cope with the flows of sewage and wastewater.

    The company, which this year increased its bills by an average of 20%, or £113, serves households across Bristol, Dorset and Somerset, as well as most of Wiltshire and parts of Gloucestershire and Hampshire.

    The measures Wessex Water has been ordered to take include helping private landowners to seal their sewer pipes, reducing spills at specific storm overflows by bringing forward investment, installing additional monitoring equipment and helping customers to sustainably manage rainwater at their properties.

    It is the sixth case in Ofwat’s “largest and most complex set of investigations” into all companies in the sector and their management of water treatment works and networks. The regulator has already this year imposed total penalties of more than £240m on Yorkshire Water, Thames Water, Northumbrian Water, Anglian Water and South West Water.

    Lynn Parker, the senior director for enforcement at Ofwat, said: “Our investigation has found that Wessex Water failed to effectively operate, maintain and upgrade its wastewater assets, which meant there were spills from storm overflows when there should not have been.

    “To their credit, the company has been one of the more proactive in investigating and rectifying the problems identified. However, there remain breaches which must be accounted for and corrected.

    “We understand that the public wants to see transformative change. That is why we are prioritising this sector-wide investigation which has so far held five wastewater companies to account.”

    Wessex Water has invested more than £150m since 2020 on upgrading storm overflows in its region, and has plans for the next five years to address many of the wastewater issues. However, Ofwat said there remained further measures that the company needed to take, and which the watchdog would continue to closely monitor.

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    In June, the government banned bonuses for water companies that failed to protect the environment from the worst pollution incidents, after widespread public outrage over the extent of sewage in Britain’s rivers and seas. The chief executive of Wessex Water, Ruth Jefferson, was among those blocked. She was in line to receive £4m in total bonuses for the last financial year.

    Water companies in England could face more, and automatic, fines for sewage dumping under new Environment Agency powers. Investigations into pollution can take years and fewer than 1% have resulted in a prosecution.

    Wessex Water has been contacted for comment.

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  • Apple removes gay dating apps from Chinese App Store at Beijing’s request

    Apple removes gay dating apps from Chinese App Store at Beijing’s request

    Flag of China and LGBT rainbow flag

    Alxeypnferov | Istock | Getty Images

    Apple has confirmed that it has removed two popular gay dating apps from its Chinese iOS Store, following an order from Beijing’s main internet regulator and censorship authority.

    It comes following reports of the apps — Blued and Finka — suddenly disappearing from the iOS App Store over the weekend. 

    In a statement shared with CNBC, Apple confirmed that it was behind the action and defended the company’s position, stating that it must follow the laws of the countries where it operates.

    “Based on an order from the Cyberspace Administration of China, we have removed these two apps from the China storefront only,” the company said, though they clarified that the apps had already been unavailable in other countries.

    However, a “lite” version of the Blued app is still available for download on the China App Store, CNBC confirmed Tuesday.

    The Wire had been the first to report that Apple had made the move at Beijing’s order.

    The disappearance of Blued and Finka is the latest example of China’s crackdown on app stores in recent years.

    Grindr, a popular gay dating app from the U.S., was removed from the iOS store in 2022, days after the Cyberspace Administration of China began a crackdown on content it considered illegal and inappropriate. 

    Later in 2023, Beijing announced new policies requiring all apps serving local users to register with the government and receive licenses. That move had resulted in a wave of foreign apps being removed from iOS. 

    The following years have also seen regulators continue to appeal directly to companies like Apple to remove certain apps due to issues with their content. 

    In April 2024, Apple removed Meta’s WhatsApp and Threads from iOS following an order from the CAC, citing national security concerns.

    Apple has proven a willingness to comply with these requests in China, which represents its largest oversea market outside the U.S.

    The takedown of Blued and Finka also likely reflects increasing crackdowns and censorship of the LGBTQ community in China. In recent years, the government has shuttered major advocacy groups, including the Beijing LGBT Center. 

    While homosexuality was decriminalized in China in 1997, same-sex marriage remains unrecognized. 

    CNBC’s Evelyn Cheng contributed to this report.

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  • A Correlational Study on CALLY Index as a Potential Predictive Indicat

    A Correlational Study on CALLY Index as a Potential Predictive Indicat

    Introduction

    Acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) is a critical cardiovascular emergency defined by a tear in the inner layer of the aorta, allowing blood to enter the middle layer and create a false channel.1 Epidemiological data indicate that, without timely surgical intervention, the mortality risk increases by 1% to 2% each hour, with more than half of patients dying within 48 hours.1–4Emergency surgical repair is currently the only effective treatment.5,6 However, despite advances in surgical techniques, recent studies report that 30-day postoperative mortality remains high, highlighting the urgent need for effective preoperative risk assessment.7–9

    ATAAD pathobiology involves a surge of systemic inflammation, endothelial injury, tissue hypoperfusion, and ischemia–reperfusion during surgery.10,11 Pro-inflammatory mediators such as interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), and C-reactive protein (CRP) amplify matrix degradation, impair microcirculatory flow, and increase the risk of mortality.10,11 Concomitantly, catabolic stress and hepatic reprioritization of protein synthesis depress serum albumin,12 while neuroendocrine stress leads to stress-induced lymphopenia, reflecting impaired cellular immunity.13,14 Each of these processes has been individually linked to adverse outcomes after aortic surgery. Based on this, we prespecified that lower CALLY would be associated with a higher risk of postoperative in-hospital mortality.

    The C-reactive protein–albumin–lymphocyte (CALLY) index is a composite biomarker integrating inflammatory, nutritional, and immunologic status and has gained attention in cardiovascular research. Multiple prospective cohorts have shown an inverse association between CALLY and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in cardiovascular disease populations.15–17 In NHANES V, each 1-unit increase in CALLY was associated with an 18% lower risk of all-cause mortality.17 In coronary revascularization, patients in the lowest CALLY quartile had a 2.3-fold higher 5-year mortality than those in the highest quartile.15 However, whether CALLY predicts mortality in surgically managed acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) remains unknown.

    Compared with traditional single-dimension inflammatory ratios such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), CALLY combines CRP, albumin, and lymphocyte counts to capture complementary biology and has shown superior discrimination in other diseases while relying on routine laboratory tests.18,19 Notably, current ATAAD risk stratification paradigms often rely on postoperative or late-presenting biomarkers (eg, D-dimer >5 mg/L, lactate >4 mmol/L),20 which do not meet the time-sensitive needs of emergency preoperative triage. In contrast, CALLY provides a multidimensional snapshot of preoperative pathophysiology.

    Accordingly, this study aimed to: (1) assess the association between preoperative CALLY and postoperative in-hospital mortality (POIM) in surgically treated ATAAD; and (2) develop a preoperative risk prediction model incorporating CALLY to enable early identification of high-risk patients and inform perioperative decision-making.

    Materials and Methods

    Study Population

    This retrospective cohort study analyzed 522 consecutive ATAAD patients diagnosed at Union Hospital affiliated to Fujian Medical University between October 2015 and July 2024. Patients hospitalized between October 2015 and July 2022 were included in the training cohort, while those hospitalized between August 2022 and July 2024 were included in the external validation cohort. A predictive model was constructed, and a nomogram was plotted based on the training cohort. Internal validation was performed using the K-fold cross-validation technique, and external validation was conducted using regression equations developed from the training cohort.21

    Data Collection

    Diagnosis was confirmed by computed tomography angiography (CTA) and/or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) according to the 2022 ESC Guidelines on Aortic Diseases. Clinical data were extracted from electronic medical records using a standardized case report form, including:

    Demographics: Age, sex, pre-existing hypertension (defined as systolic BP ≥140 mmHg or antihypertensive use).Emergency Department Workup: Blood samples collected via antecubital venipuncture within 30 minutes of admission for:Hematological profiling: White blood cell (WBC), neutrophil, monocyte, platelet, and lymphocyte counts (Sysmex XN-9000 analyzer) Biochemical profiling: Random glucose, troponin I (TNI; ARCHITECT STAT assay), creatine kinase (CK),CRP; immunoturbidimetry, albumin (bromocresol green method), D-dimer (immunofluorescence), uric acid (UA; enzymatic colorimetry), fibrinogen (Clauss method), serum creatinine (modified Jaffe method).

    The CALLY index was calculated as:

    CALLY Index=Albumin x lymphocyte count/(CRP x 10)

    Inclusion criteria included adult patients 18 years of age and older who underwent ATAAD surgery. The exclusion criteria for this study were as follows: (1) patients with diseases that affect initial counts of blood cell populations and/or in-hospital mortality, such as malignancies, hematological disorders, and infectious diseases; (2) patients with severe organ dysfunction, such as hepatic or renal failure; (3) patients taking medications that may affect the parameters of the complete blood count (eg, chemotherapeutic agents, such as cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, etc).; (4) patients with suspected subclinical myocardial involvement (eg, chronic inflammation or history of acute infection); (5) patients using intra-aortic balloon counterpulsation pumps (IABP); and (6) patients with incomplete clinical data. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Fujian Medical University Affiliated Union Hospital (2020 KY 082).Ultimately, a total of 522 patients were enrolled in the study. Medical records were used to collect basic clinical characteristics, imaging manifestations, surgical data, and clinical outcomes of the subjects. Consent was obtained from all subjects and their legal guardians after providing them with relevant information. This study was a retrospective observational analysis of informed consent based on the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki. We guaranteed the confidentiality and anonymity of all patient data, which were used only for data analysis purposes. Figure 1 illustrates the procedure for inclusion of patients.

    Figure 1 Flowchart of Patient Enrollment.

    Primary Endpoint

    The primary endpoint was POIM, defined as all-cause death occurring during the index hospitalization following surgery, including patients discharged against medical advice due to irreversible clinical deterioration.

    Surgical Protocol

    All patients underwent standardized surgical management:

    Cardiopulmonary Bypass (CPB) Establishment:Median sternotomy with bicaval venous cannulation (24–28Fr).Arterial inflow via femoral artery (18–20Fr) and right axillary artery (12–14Fr) cannulation.Myocardial Protection:Direct antegrade delivery of cold blood cardioplegia (4:1 blood:crystalloid ratio, 4°C) into coronary ostia.Maintenance of myocardial temperature <15°C via topical cooling.Circulatory Arrest Management:Initiation of hypothermic circulatory arrest (HCA) at nasopharyngeal temperature 25–28°C.Unilateral antegrade cerebral perfusion (uACP) via right axillary artery (10 mL·kg−1·min−1 at 20°C).Intermittent bilateral cerebral perfusion during frozen elephant trunk deployment:Left common carotid artery cannulation (8Fr) via side graft.Flow maintenance >800 mL/min with cerebral oximetry monitoring.

    Aortic Reconstruction:Open distal anastomosis using quadrifurcated graft (26–30mm Gelweave).Frozen elephant trunk implantation (Cronus® stent-graft, 26–34mm diameter).Proximal reconstruction with mechanical valve conduit (St. Jude Medical 25–29mm).Reperfusion Strategy: Gradual rewarming (<0.5°C/min) during graft deairing.Modified ultrafiltration (MUF) for inflammatory mediator removal.

    Statistical Methods

    Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS® 26.0 and R version 4.2.3. Continuous variables that followed a normal distribution were expressed as mean ± standard deviation (mean ± SD), while non-normally distributed data were expressed as median (P25, P75). Count variables are expressed as frequencies or percentages.Student’s t-tests were used to compare regularly distributed continuous variables between groups, whereas Mann–Whitney U-tests were used to examine information on continuous variables that did not conform to a normal distribution. The chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was used to compare count data between groups. This was done by calculating the subject’s work characteristic curve (ROC) and selecting the threshold that maximized the sum of sensitivity and specificity.We adopted a prespecified stepwise adjustment strategy to clarify the independent association between the CALLY index and in-hospital mortality. The set of potential confounders was defined a priori based on clinical relevance and literature. We used LASSO regression analysis to identify independent predictors of all-cause mortality (P<0.2) and constructed column-line plots. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the CALLY index for mortality. Furthermore, we evaluated the predictive performance of the nomogram by calculating the area under ROC curve AUC in the training cohort. Internal validation was performed using 5-fold cross-validation, while external validation utilized the same formula applied to the validation cohort over a time period. Calibration curves were used to assess the consistency between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes.Statistical significance was defined as P<0.05.

    Results

    Baseline Characteristics of the Study Population

    After excluding ineligible patients, 522 surgically treated ATAAD patients (395males and 127 females) were enrolled between October 2015 and July 2024 (Figure 1). The cohort had a mean age of 52.24 years (standard deviation [SD] 11.94). During hospitalization, 55 patients experienced in-hospital mortality. A comprehensive summary of baseline characteristics stratified by CALLY quartiles is presented in Table 1. The CALLY index was categorized into four groups based on quartile thresholds: Q1: <0.187; Q2: 0.187–0.580; Q3: 0.580–0.905; and Q4: ≥0.905.

    Table 1 Baseline Characteristics of Patients by CALLY Quartile Groups

    Association Between CALLY Index and in-Hospital Outcomes

    Table 2 presents the in-hospital outcomes stratified by preoperative CALLY index quartiles. There were no significant differences in length of hospital stay among the four CALLY quartile groups (P=0.073). However, significant differences were observed in the incidence of gastrointestinal hemorrhage, acute kidney injury (AKI), and POIM across the quartiles. Patients in the lowest CALLY quartile (Q1) had the highest incidences of gastrointestinal hemorrhage (11.45%), AKI (32.82%), and POIM (26.72%), whereas those in the highest quartile (Q4) had the lowest incidences (2.31%, 9.23%, and 1.54%, respectively; All P<0.001). No significant difference in length of stay across CALLY quartiles.

    Table 2 In-Hospital Outcomes Stratified by Preoperative CALLY

    Preoperative CALLY Index Shows Superior Predictive Performance for Mortality vs Individual Biomarkers

    ROC curves were utilized to evaluate the predictive performance of preoperative CALLY index, lymphocyte count, albumin, and CRP for POIM. The results demonstrated significant predictive capacity of all analyzed parameters for postoperative mortality. Notably, the CALLY index exhibited the highest discriminative power for mortality prediction (AUC = 0.820,P<0.001), outperforming individual biomarkers (Figure 2).

    Figure 2 ROC Curve Analysis Evaluating the Predictive Value of Lymphocyte Count, CRP, Albumin, and the CALLY Index for Postoperative In-Hospital Mortality in ATAAD Patients. The ROC curves compare the discriminative ability of individual biomarkers and the composite CALLY score for predicting postoperative in-hospital mortality. The x-axis represents 1-specificity (false positive rate) and the y-axis represents sensitivity (true positive rate). Each curve demonstrates the trade-off between sensitivity and specificity at different threshold values. The area under the curve (AUC) values are shown in parentheses: CALLY score (blue line, AUC=0.820), C-reactive protein (red line, AUC=0.744), albumin (green line, AUC=0.587), and lymphocyte count (purple line, AUC=0.683). The diagonal grey line represents the line of no discrimination (AUC=0.500), equivalent to random chance. The CALLY score demonstrated superior discriminative performance compared with individual biomarkers, with an AUC significantly greater than 0.5 (P<0.05). AUC values closer to 1.0 indicate better discriminative ability, while values closer to 0.5 suggest poor discrimination.

    Subgroup Analysis

    To validate the consistency of the association between CALLY and in-hospital mortality, subgroup analyses were performed. Interaction analyses revealed no significant interactions between subgroups stratified by age, sex, BMI, hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease, Systolic Blood Pressure(SBP), Diastolic Blood Pressure(DBP), smoking, and alcohol consumption (P>0.05 for all variables, including sex, smoking status, drinking habits, age groups, hypertension, and diabetes). The results are shown in Table 3. In conclusion, the CALLY index can serve as an effective predictor of mortality in patients undergoing surgery for type A aortic dissection, with consistent clinical predictive significance across various clinical subgroups.

    Table 3 Subgroup Analysis of the Associations Between Preoperative CALLY and in-Hospital Mortality

    CALLY Index Serves as an Independent Predictor of Postoperative Mortality in ATAAD Patients

    To avoid multicollinearity, albumin, lymphocyte count, and CRP were excluded from the analysis. The final LASSO-derived model included prehospital emergency care, PT, urea, CK, TNI, lactate, and the CALLY index. Univariate logistic regression revealed that prehospital emergency care (OR = 5.737, 95% CI: 1.808–18.208, P=0.003) and CALLY index (OR = 0.131, 95% CI: 0.110–0.199, P<0.001) were associated with significantly reduced mortality risk, whereas PT (OR = 1.226), urea (OR = 1.175), TNI (OR = 1.136), CK (OR = 1.000), and lactate (OR = 1.252) significantly increased mortality risk (all P< 0.05). In multivariate analysis adjusted for potential confounders, only prehospital emergency care (OR = 4.707, 95% CI: 0.947–23.386, P=0.058), lactate (OR = 1.225, 95% CI: 1.133–1.324, P<0.001), and the CALLY index (OR = 0.048, 95% CI: 0.014–0.162, P<0.001) retained statistical significance, confirming their roles as independent predictors (Table 4).

    Table 4 Univariate and Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses of POIM and Clinical Candidate Predictors

    The CALLY index demonstrated a robust inverse association with mortality risk across multivariate logistic regression models. In the unadjusted model (Model 1), the OR for CALLY was 0.131 (95% CI: 0.110–0.199, P<0.001). After partial adjustment for demographic variables (age, sex, BMI, height, weight) in Model 2, the OR increased to 0.091 (95% CI: 0.019–0.428, P=0.002). Full adjustment in Model 3, incorporating heart rate, blood pressure, serum potassium, sodium, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), yielded a stable OR of 0.059 (95% CI: 0.01–0.336, P=0.001). Across all models, the CALLY index remained a protective factor against all-cause mortality (P<0.05) (Table 5).

    Table 5 Association Analysis of the CALLY Index with in-Hospital Mortality Across Adjusted Models

    Development of a CALLY Index-Based Nomogram

    This study employed a multistage variable screening strategy to optimize the construction of the predictive model. First, univariate logistic regression analysis (with a lenient significance threshold of α=0.2) was performed for preliminary screening of predictors, identifying 31 potential variables, including sex, age, LVEF, height, weight, length of hospital stay, platelet count, white blood cell count, PT, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), urea, CK, TN, lactate, and the CALLY index. Subsequently, the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression algorithm was applied for feature selection. The LASSO regression model achieved optimal performance when the regularization parameter λ was set to 0.031 (based on the minimum criteria of cross-validated error), ultimately retaining seven critical variables: prehospital emergency care,PT, urea, CK, TNI, lactate, and the CALLY index (Figure 3A and B).

    Figure 3 LASSO regression analysis for variable selection in acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) patients. (A) Cross-validation curve for LASSO regression model. The x-axis shows log(λ) and the y-axis the mean binomial deviance (red dots) with ±1 SE error bars (gray). The numbers along the top indicate the count of non-zero coefficients at each λ. Two vertical dotted lines mark the cross-validated choices: λ.min (the value yielding the lowest mean deviance) and λ.1se (the most regularized model whose deviance is within one standard error of the minimum). In this study, we prioritized discrimination and selected the optimal penalty as λ.min=0.0308. (B) Variable coefficient trajectory plot. Each colored trajectory corresponds to one candidate variable and depicts how its standardized coefficient changes as log(λ) increases. As the penalty strengthens, coefficients shrink toward zero; variables whose coefficients reach zero at a given λ are excluded from the model. The sign of each path indicates the direction of association with the outcome, and earlier shrinkage to zero suggests weaker or more redundant signals. The vertical dotted lines match those in Panel A. At λ.min=0.0308, the model retained 7 predictors (non-zero coefficients), which were subsequently entered into the multivariable logistic model and the nomogram.

    A POIM prediction nomogram was developed using predictors selected by LASSO regression: prehospital emergency care, PT, urea, TNI, Lac, CK, and the CALLY index (Figure 4). Each predictor was assigned a score on the “Points” axis proportional to its regression coefficient. For example, lactate >4 mmol/L contributed 25 points, whereas a CALLY index <0.1 contributed 40 points. The total score—obtained by summing all individual scores—maps to the “Probability of Mortality” axis, yielding predicted probabilities from 0% to 90%.

    Figure 4 Nomogram Based on the CALLY Index for Discrimination of All-Cause Mortality. The nomogram integrates multiple clinical variables to provide individualised risk prediction for all-cause mortality. To use the nomogram, locate the patient’s value for each variable on the corresponding axis and draw a vertical line upward to the “Points” axis to determine the points assigned for that variable. The points for all variables are summed to obtain the “Total Points” score, which corresponds to the predicted probability of death shown on the bottom scale. The variables included are: out-of-hospital emergency care (dichotomous: Yes/No), prothrombin time (PT, seconds), urea (mmol/L), troponin I (TNI, ng/mL), lactate (Lac, mmol/L), creatine kinase (CK, U/L), and CALLY score (0–18 points). The total points range from 0 to 160, corresponding to death probabilities ranging from 0.2 to 0.8. Higher total point scores indicate increased risk of mortality.

    To provide an overall assessment of predictive performance and to benchmark modeling strategies, we subsequently compared the nomogram based on conventional variable screening with a CALLY-guided model using ROC analysis (Figure 5). Model 1 included variables with P<0.05 in univariable analyses and showed good discrimination, with a smoothed ROC AUC of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.75–0.88). Building on this, Model 2 treated the CALLY index as a core predictor and applied LASSO regularization for automated selection among all candidate variables. The ROC curve for Model 2 consistently exceeded that of Model 1, with an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.79–0.91). Across most false-positive-rate ranges, Model 2 achieved higher sensitivity at comparable FPRs, indicating that the CALLY-guided LASSO approach better integrates heterogeneous information while limiting overfitting, thereby providing stronger overall discrimination and enhanced clinical utility.

    Figure 5 Discrimination performance of two modelling strategies: Univariable-screened Multivariable Model Versus CALLY-guided LASSO Model. ROC curves are displayed after loess smoothing for two prespecified models: the multivariable model derived by entering predictors with P<0.05 in univariable analyses (Model 1, blue), which includes the following variables: tricuspid regurgitation, urea, D-dimer index (DDI), hemoglobin, international normalized ratio (INR), aid, N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), total protein, age, TNI, and CRP; and the CALLY-guided model obtained via LASSO regularization across all candidate predictors (Model 2, red). The smoothed lines depict the trend of sensitivity (true positive rate) over the full range of 1–specificity (false positive rate); the grey dashed diagonal denotes no discrimination. AUC values with 95% confidence intervals are shown within the panel: Model 1, AUC 0.811 (95% CI 0.747–0.876); Model 2, AUC 0.849 (95% CI 0.792–0.907). Across most false positive rate ranges, the CALLY-guided LASSO model demonstrates higher sensitivity at comparable false positive rates, indicating superior overall discrimination.

    Nomogram Validation

    A 5-fold internal cross-validation was conducted 400 times in the training cohort and revealed an average AUC value of 0.849 (95% CI: 0.792–0.907) for internal validation, as shown by the red ROC curve in Figure 5. The external validation yielded an AUC value of 0.869 (95% CI: 0.808–0.929) demonstrating the robust accuracy of the model across different cohorts (Figure 6). These results highlight the model’s effectiveness in predicting outcomes reliably. Figure 7 display the results of the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test, yielding P-values of 0.42 and 0.498, respectively, neither of which reached statistical significance. This indicates that the predicted probabilities are consistent with the actual probabilities, suggesting good model fit and reliability. This consistency further supports the model’s effectiveness in clinical application, enhancing predictive accuracy for POIM.

    Figure 6 ROC curve for external validation of the predictive model. The curve illustrates the relationship between sensitivity (true positive rate) and 1-specificity (false positive rate). AUC is reported as 0.869 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.808 to 0.929, indicating robust discriminatory performance of the model in identifying high-risk patients. The diagonal dashed line represents the line of no discrimination (AUC = 0.5).

    Figure 7 Calibration curves for the nomogram with Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test. (A) Training cohort; (B) validation cohort. The X-axis shows the predicted probability of in-hospital mortality, and the Y-axis shows the observed outcomes. H-L tests show good consistency in both two cohorts, with p values of 0.420 and 0.498, respectively.

    Discussion

    ATAAD is a critical cardiovascular emergency with high POIM rates. Although many studies have examined postoperative outcomes in ATAAD patients,22,23 this is the first to assess the relationship between the CALLY index and POIM. We retrospectively analyzed data from 522 patients who underwent emergency surgery for ATAAD at our institution. The results of this study indicate that the CALLY index is a good predictor for identifying high-risk POIM patients with ATAAD. ROC curve analysis revealed that CALLY is a better predictor of in-hospital mortality compared to lymphocyte count, C-reactive protein, or albumin alone. Patients with ATAAD and lower preoperative CALLY levels had an increased risk of in-hospital mortality, consistent with previous studies.15–17 Furthermore, after adjusting for potential confounders, lower preoperative CALLY in ATAAD patients was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Subgroup analysis showed no significant interactions between patient subgroups. Finally, a preoperative risk assessment nomogram model was constructed based on these indicators. We divided the database into a training cohort and a time-period validation cohort according to the patients’ admission dates (2015 to 2022 compared to 2022 to 2024). This approach aligns with a large-sample study, enhancing the predictive capability of the nomogram.21 Furthermore, the nomogram underwent rigorous validation through various methods, including K-fold cross-validation, confirming its robustness.

    The CALLY index is a composite biomarker that integrates inflammatory burden (C-reactive protein), nutritional status (albumin), and immune competence (lymphocyte count). Prior studies have shown that it outperforms several traditional inflammatory markers in prognostic discrimination for malignancies such as hepatocellular carcinoma and gastric cancer.16,19 Zhu et al16 reported inverse associations between the CALLY index and all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer-specific mortality among patients with cancer, indicating that lower values are linked to higher mortality risk. Consistently, studies in colorectal cancer have demonstrated that higher CALLY values are associated with longer overall survival.19 In the cardiovascular domain, the CALLY index has been validated as an important prognostic indicator in patients with coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention; Ji et al15 found that higher CALLY values were protectively associated with both short- and long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after primary PCI for ST-elevation myocardial infarction, and that greater values correlated with less severe coronary lesions. Moreover, beyond oncology and cardiology, the CALLY index is inversely associated with all-cause mortality in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis, supporting its utility for mortality risk stratification in this population.24

    This study demonstrates that a higher CALLY index independently protects against POIM in ATAAD. By combining CRP, albumin, and lymphocyte count, CALLY captures concurrent disturbances in inflammation, nutrition, and immunity more comprehensively than any single marker.Mechanistic evidence supports this association. Albumin is tightly linked to hepatic synthesis, systemic metabolism, and vascular function.25,26 It maintains colloid osmotic pressure, exerts antioxidant and anti-inflammatory effects, and modulates platelet activation, thereby mitigating inflammation, ischemia–reperfusion injury, and vascular dysfunction.27,28 Its redox-active Cys-34 residue scavenges reactive oxygen and nitrogen species.25,26 In ATAAD, low albumin (<32 g/L) inversely correlates with aortic wall oxidative damage, likely because exposure of medial collagen and elastin promotes ROS release and accelerates albumin degradation.13 CRP, an acute-phase protein, amplifies complement activation, phagocytosis, leukocyte function, and inflammatory signaling.29,30 Intimal tearing exposes the vessel wall to circulating blood, rapidly recruiting monocytes and neutrophils that release IL-6, IL-8, and TNF-α, sustaining a cytokine cascade.11,31,32 Lymphocytes provide layered defense via cellular and humoral immunity; in ATAAD, Th1/Th17 subsets may aggravate injury, whereas regulatory T cells and selected B-cell subsets may restrain progression.33

    ATAAD pathobiology magnifies CALLY’s prognostic value. Dissection-induced mechanical stress activates NF-κB and increases IL-6 five- to eight-fold versus stable coronary disease; downstream JAK2/STAT3 signaling accelerates CRP synthesis while suppressing albumin transcription.12,34 The resulting inflammatory surge (often CRP >20 mg/L) coexists with hypoalbuminemia, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome further reduces hepatic albumin synthesis and increases catabolism.3,6 This pattern reflects uncontrolled inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and evolving multiorgan injury, enhancing CALLY’s discrimination.35,36 Lymphopenia adds prognostic information by indicating stress glucocorticoid-induced apoptosis and IL-6-mediated myelosuppression, which raise infection risk.37–39

    CALLY complements routine clinical indicators. Elevated lactate signals perfusion crisis and gut ischemia with endotoxin translocation and TLR4/MyD88-mediated SIRS.40–42 Prolonged prothrombin time denotes coagulopathy and portends adverse cardiovascular outcomes.43 Higher urea reflects metabolic stress and renal hypoperfusion and is associated with poor prognosis.44 Together, these variables delineate the coagulation–metabolic–immune axis underlying organ failure. Compared with traditional markers, CALLY captures multisystem compensatory capacity—albumin as hepatic reserve,45 lymphocytes as stress hematopoiesis,46 and CRP as inflammatory intensity —thereby identifying decompensation thresholds and suggesting actionable targets. Potential strategies include albumin support for hypoalbuminemia and selective IL-6 inhibition for hyperinflammation; resistin may exacerbate endothelial permeability via p38 MAPK and compound capillary leak.47

    Practically, we integrated CALLY into a preoperative nomogram using only readily available variables, enabling rapid risk stratification in emergency settings. Limitations include the retrospective single-center design and modest sample size.

    Overall, CALLY encapsulates ATAAD’s acute inflammatory, nutritional, and immune derangements and independently predicts POIM. Combined with standard clinical data, it offers a timely, low-cost tool for preoperative decision-making and a coherent framework for targeted perioperative care.

    Conclusion

    This study demonstrates that the preoperative CALLY index exhibits strong predictive efficacy for POIM in ATAAD patients. The constructed nomogram model provides a valuable tool for preoperatively identifying high-risk individuals. The clinical significance lies in its capacity to en able rapid risk stratification of multi-organ injury through routine laboratory parameters, thereby guiding time-sensitive surgical decision-making in emergency settings, which may ultimately reduce in-hospital mortality rates.

    Data Sharing Statement

    Full data set available from the corresponding author. However, reanalysis of the full data need be approved by Fujian Medical University Union Hospital.

    Ethics Statement

    The investigation conformed with the principles outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Ethics Committee of Fujian Medical University Affiliated Union Hospital (2020 KY082) Informed consent was obtained from patients before this study.

    Acknowledgments

    The authors appreciate all subjects who participated in this study. We would also like to thank the hospital for supporting the data collection of this study.

    Author Contributions

    All authors made a significant contribution to the work reported, whether that is in the conception, study design, execution, acquisition of data, analysis and interpretation, or in all these areas; took part in drafting, revising or critically reviewing the article; gave final approval of the version to be published; have agreed on the journal to which the article has been submitted; and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.

    Funding

    This work was supported by grants from the Fifth Batch of Hospital Key Discipline Construction Projects (2022YYZDXK01).

    Disclosure

    The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.

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