The bull market probably didn’t die last week. But its recent ructions might offer a glimpse of its eventual demise, the way bouts of angina can foreshadow a heart attack. The S & P 500 index survived the week virtually unchanged, but only after absorbing its third 3-4% pullback in five weeks, after going six months without even one. At Friday’s morning low (which was fractionally above the prior Friday’s low), the index was back to a level first reached in late September. On both Fridays, the index managed to rebound to nearly the same spot around 6,730. Revisiting that level from the third week in September brought it back to the blissful moment when I asked here , “What do you get for the market that already has everything?” That was right after the Federal Reserve cut rates into a then-solid-seeming economy, the AI-infrastructure momentum was thrilling investors and another bountiful earnings season lay just ahead. .SPX 3M mountain S & P 500, 3 months Since then, by definition, the market has flattened out and chopped around, making numerous new highs along the way that didn’t stick, as the anticipated good news already priced in turned more ambiguous. While the churning this month has not yet broken beyond the bounds of a routine consolidation within a long-running uptrend, last week all three of the core premises of the bull market came under fresh scrutiny. A handful of widely circulated cautious reports on the AI buildout tried to quantify just how aggressive the assumptions for future revenue must be to guarantee a proper return, while the industry’s rising use of debt for data-center finance stirred old memories of past credit ruptures. The consensus belief that the Federal Reserve would continue to trim rates toward a lower “neutral level” as insurance against further labor-market weakness was challenged by concerted hawkish messaging from Fed members casting a cut in significant doubt. The broad expectation that 2026 would be a “clean” year for policy, when tax benefits kick in, tariff effects are lapped and deregulation can dispense relief is looking less certain, with a potential Supreme Court disallowance of some tariffs prolonging the improvisational protectionism. The thing is, once stock prices start to wobble, the nagging worries will be right there waiting to be noticed and invoked, whether they are the cause or not. Signs of the top? Once Nvidia fails on two attempts to push above the $200 price level and the $5 trillion market-cap threshold, ears start to open to “Big Short” legend Michael Burry’s warnings about GPU accounting methods. And when, in the same week, Burry is found to have closed his hedge fund while Warren Buffett publishes his last Thanksgiving letter to investors before handing over the CEO title of Berkshire Hathaway, traders’ “signs of the top” alarms start to chirp. And the beeps only get louder when all that happens within days of a disorderly Bitcoin breakdown and the GenZ-courting brokerage firm Robinhood starting a service to send literal cash to clients via a delivery app. Maybe, though, the Nasdaq 100 had simply got too extended, momentum strategies too crowded, fast-money too overconfident in low-quality stocks and valuations too elevated to withstand a normal rally pause? Here’s the forward price/earnings ratio of the Nasdaq 100, which during the current three-year AI-propelled bull market had been capped at 28 – until last month. Two weeks ago, this column noted the S & P 500 was riding one of the half-dozen longest streaks in decades without at least a 5% drop, “which suggests the clock is ticking at least faintly on this orderly advance,” but went on to note that the first 5% pullback, “whenever it comes, has typically not marked the ultimate top of a bull market.” Likewise, the brutal purge in recent weeks of the “high-beta,” or most volatile and aggressive, stocks has been destabilizing to the indexes but has not swamped every corner of the market. Strategas Group technical strategist Chris Verrone noted on Friday that in general the peak in beta as a characteristic does not usually coincide with an absolute top for the overall market. The tape tried its best to rotate away from this danger, with everyone suddenly observing the ferocious comeback in the healthcare sector, which had been cheap and unloved for months during its serious underperformance until a spark was lit by some drug-pricing deals and then tactical players took to using the group as a source of “anti-momentum” during this selloff in the AI high-flyers. December rate cut? The repricing of Fed-policy expectations is likely to leave Wall Street in suspense over the coming weeks, now that multiple voting members have stated some resistance to endorsing a rate cut on Dec. 10. This raises the stakes for the resumption of official economic data releases with the government now open. The market itself has been showing some encroaching concern over softening consumer conditions for a while now. The notion of a bifurcated “K-shaped” economy favoring wealthy asset owners over moderate-wage earners has quickly become a cliché. In the past month, the observation that the new fiscal package will generate higher income-tax refunds in the first quarter has gone from “No one is talking about this” to “Everyone is banking on this” to rescue the 2026 growth story. Will no rate cut in a few weeks raise the specter of a policy blunder? It’s not clear yet. Renaissance Macro Research founder Jeff DeGraaf put it this way on Friday: “Changing expectations is one thing, making a policy mistake is another, and the market is walking a messaging tight rope. It’s likely the primary driver behind the recent improvement in healthcare vs. technology names and speaks more broadly to the defensive vs. cyclical performance story. Credit spreads and financials will be an important arbiter in this story. For now, they’re seeing this as an adjustment of expectations, not the crossing of a policy Rubicon.” Whether GDP perks up or not, corporate results are holding up their end of the bargain for now. More than a third of S & P 500 companies have raised earnings guidance this quarter. Outside the bust-to-boom pandemic period, this trend was last seen in late 2017, near the end of a strong, calm market advance similar to the one that began last April. (While encouraging that corporate profitability can continue to act as a cushion for a while, that upwelling of optimism at the end of 2017 – fueled by a just-passed tax cut and excitement over “run-it-hot” economic policies to come – gave way to an early-2018 volatility eruption as the well-known pattern of choppy mid-term election years played out.) Along with the running debate over the Fed-economy interplay, the bull-bear argument over the fundaments of the AI-investment blitz will simply be with us indefinitely. We have arguments that it’s not a bubble at all, a bubble in the making, a bubble that’s peaked, or not a bubble because so many are calling it a bubble. The talk is silly, crucial, impossible to settle and necessary all at once. Is it healthy that the skeptical view of this massive societal bet is so widely propagated? Probably. Is it somewhat reassuring that the market is punishing the likes of Meta and Oracle and CoreWeave as seeming either poor stewards of capital or strategically disadvantaged? Sure. Does it inoculate the market from further excesses building or massive impairment of portfolios? Nope. For a nifty illustration of how the perceived winners and losers can shift in a hurry as the market tries to price all versions of the future rushing toward us, the aggressive tech-focused hedge fund Coatue Management, run by Philippe Laffont, more than tripled its stake in Alphabet last quarter, as reported late Friday. Just last June, Laffont released a list of what it expects will be the 40 largest tech companies in 2030 and omitted Alphabet entirely. It’s tough to get too comfortable with any market view in such quick-shifting sands. Seasonal patterns must still be considered among the positives — for what that’s worth in a year when such historical tendencies haven’t helped much. Yet bitcoin’s inability to stanch the bleeding as it nears a 25% loss over five weeks remains unnerving. It’s undeniable that the tape has shown resilience keeping the recent dips brief and shallow, but it has resulted in incomplete pullbacks that have failed to create a cleansing flush and could compound perhaps into next year to set up a tougher setback. With all that said, the odds and weight of the evidence continue to suggest this setback is not the onset of “the big one,” though the early stages of an eventual more consequential peak might not look and feel all that different.
Category: 3. Business
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New campaign urges Reading residents to recycle food waste
A local authority is encouraging its residents to recycle “every crust, peel and coffee ground” to help the environment and local farmers.
Reading Borough Council will give residents a free roll of food waste caddy liners over the festive season to encourage recycling.
Karen Rowland, the council’s environmental services and community safety lead, said Reading was recycling less food waste per household than Bracknell Forest and Wokingham and this gave residents “no excuse not to start”.
The council said all households and most flats in the Berkshire town already have access to weekly food waste collections but nearly 30% of general waste still consists of food that could be recycled.
Ms Rowland said: “Every crust, peel and coffee ground you recycle helps to create renewable energy and nutrient-rich compost used by local farmers.
“It’s a simple way we can all do something positive for our community and the planet.”
She said many local people were passionate about the environment but the authority would also be providing stickers to locals as “a gentle reminder” that food waste belongs in the caddy and not the grey non-recyclable bin.
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A Fresh Look at BellRing Brands (BRBR) Valuation Following Recent Lack of Major Headlines
BellRing Brands (BRBR) shares have been relatively flat today, gaining just under 0.1%. While there is no significant headline moving the stock at the moment, it is still worth looking at how the company currently stands in the market.
See our latest analysis for BellRing Brands.
Bullish runs earlier this year have faded for BellRing Brands, with a 1-year total shareholder return of negative 62.6% and the share price currently at $26.96. While revenue and profit have shown solid growth, recent momentum has shifted clearly to the downside. This reminds investors that sentiment can turn quickly even for fundamentally healthy companies.
If today’s volatility has you wanting to broaden your view, consider using our tool to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
The question now is whether BellRing Brands is presenting a compelling value given its current declines, or if the market is already factoring in the future growth outlook and leaving little room for upside for new investors.
With BellRing Brands last closing at $26.96 and the most widely followed narrative estimating fair value near $50, attention on the margin between current price and potential upside remains high. The story behind this calculation gives insight into what could move the share price next.
Expansion into new product formats (single-serve, non-dairy almond milk shakes, indulgence lines) and increased innovation pipelines allow BellRing to address evolving consumer preferences and new consumption occasions. This supports both revenue growth and margin accretion as more premium, differentiated offerings gain traction.
Read the complete narrative.
Which precise innovation or shift in consumer trends is driving this bold valuation? A single assumption ties together brand momentum, earnings strength, and future profitability. Don’t miss out—the details could surprise even experienced investors.
Result: Fair Value of $50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, sustained margin pressure from rising input costs or unexpected shifts in consumer demand could quickly challenge the current bullish outlook for BellRing Brands.
Find out about the key risks to this BellRing Brands narrative.
If you see things differently or want to test your own investment thesis, you can easily craft and share a personal view in just minutes. Do it your way.
A great starting point for your BellRing Brands research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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Assessing Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) Valuation After Recent Share Price Volatility
Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) shares have seen notable movement lately, as investors process recent developments and shifts in the broader market landscape. While no major event stands out this week, the company’s fundamentals remain in focus for long-term holders.
See our latest analysis for Alibaba Group Holding.
Alibaba’s share price has been through a volatile stretch lately, with a strong rally earlier this year giving way to some recent pullbacks. Even with the latest 7.3% dip over the past month, the stock still boasts an impressive 81% share price return year-to-date and a remarkable 101% total shareholder return over the past three years. This signals that momentum has been building despite short-term moves.
If Alibaba’s rebound has you rethinking where to look next, consider broadening your perspective and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership
Given Alibaba’s sizeable rebound and the solid growth in both revenue and net income, investors are left to wonder: is the market undervaluing its future, or is all that growth already reflected in the price, leaving little room for upside?
According to StefanoF, Alibaba’s current share price of $153.80 is significantly higher than the narrative’s fair value estimate of $107.09. This substantial gap raises important questions about what investors are paying for and whether near-term optimism is justified at these levels.
While Alibaba shows strong operational momentum, particularly in AI and cloud services, the current stock price appears to fully reflect near-term growth prospects given macro headwinds and geopolitical risks.
Read the complete narrative.
Curious what ambitious assumptions drive this bold fair value? The narrative uses a detailed cash flow model and makes bets on future growth, profit margins, and sector leadership. Want to discover which key numbers and trends caused such a valuation gap? Uncover the specifics that set this analysis apart.
Result: Fair Value of $107.09 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, mounting US-China trade tensions and renewed regulatory pressures could challenge current optimism. These factors could quickly shift the market’s perception of Alibaba’s valuation.
Find out about the key risks to this Alibaba Group Holding narrative.
Looking at one of the most common approaches, Alibaba’s price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.4x, which is well below its industry average of 20.5x, the peer average of 38.8x, and even the market’s fair ratio estimate of 27.4x. This suggests the market may not be fully pricing in Alibaba’s growth potential, or it could reflect lingering skepticism or perceived risks. Could this gap signal a bargain ahead, or is it a warning sign investors should heed?
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US retailers try to handle change after penny’s demise
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US retailers fear they will be short-changed by the demise of the penny, warning of new costs and potential legal liabilities.
Trade groups redoubled a campaign for legislative relief this week as Congress returned to Washington after the extended government shutdown and the last new copper penny was struck by the US Mint.
President Donald Trump ordered a halt to penny production earlier this year as a money-saving measure, as each coin cost nearly four times more to make than its face value.
The US followed other large economies in phasing out the smallest unit of physical currency as inflation eroded its value. Canada stopped making its penny in 2012, while Australia’s one-cent coin was discontinued in 1992.
But the US effort stands out for its speed: the Mint ended large-scale penny production in June and the Federal Reserve has already suspended distribution from a majority of its 165 coin hubs.
“When Canada did this, it took them three years,” said Austen Jensen of the Retail Industry Leaders Association, which represents the largest US store chains. “We are just moving at lightning speed, and it’s spreading much quicker than what anybody anticipated in the industry.”
The American Bankers Association, an industry lobby group, has written to the Fed requesting they reopen the closed coin terminal locations.
“In those areas [where coin hubs are closed], retailers that want pennies don’t have a source for them,” said ABA senior vice-president for payments Steve Kenneally.
Government officials have no plans to withdraw the 300bn pennies already in circulation. But retailers with dozens of stores each “have been out of pennies for quite a few weeks now”, said Dylan Jeon, senior director of government relations at the National Retail Federation.
Stores short of pennies have been posting signs to inform customers who pay in cash that their change will be rounded.
“If we owe them a penny in change, and can’t give them a penny, we’ll give them a nickel,” said Joel Rampoldt, chief executive of the US division of Lidl, the German grocery chain. But rounding has been “very stressful” for Lidl employees doing it “dozens, hundreds of times in a day”.
Rounding in favour of customers comes at a cost to retailers. Inside US convenience stores, where cash is used in about half of 125mn daily purchases, rounding down would lower industry sales by about $1.25mn a day as cash purchases require two pennies in change on average, according to the National Association of Convenience Stores.
Rounding up or down depending on the value of a purchase would spread the burden. An earlier analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond estimated rounding to the nearest nickel would cost consumers about $6mn a year.
One option, according to the ABA’s Kenneally, is to follow the Canadian model where if the final amount ends in a one, two, six or seven cents, the retailer rounds down to the nearest nickel and if it ends in three, four, eight or nine the amount is rounded up.
Retail groups have been lobbying Congress for legal protection to round purchase values to the closest nickel. They say that at least 10 states and cities require exact change, putting customers paying with cash on equal footing with those using cards or apps. The declining supply of pennies makes that impossible, say the retailers.
Some states set minimum prices for certain items including milk and tobacco, said Jeff Lenard, a spokesman at the convenience store association. “If you round down, that would violate minimum pricing,” he said.
An equal treatment rule also applies to recipients of federal food subsidies under the $100bn Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. Rounding in favour of cash customers would put these beneficiaries at a disadvantage, potentially forcing retailers to break government rules.
A lack of pennies could also complicate stores’ and banks’ ability to cash cheques, a common practice for lower-income households who lack bank accounts, the retail groups said.
Retail groups are hopeful that a bipartisan bill addressing these concerns will soon move through Congress now that the government shutdown is over.
But the uncertainty comes as their members gear up for the holiday shopping season.
“The biggest thing is that this is occurring right now during the craziest time of the year, the most important time of year, which is holiday,” said Jensen, senior executive vice-president of public affairs of RILA, whose members include Walmart, Target and TJX.
Some retailers are taking matters into their own hands to address the coin deficit. Supermarket chain Giant Eagle earlier this month enticed customers to turn over pennies and receive gift cards worth twice as much in return.
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Nobel Sustainability Trust Commends Qatar’s Global Leadership in Sustainability and Innovation
MIAMI, Nov. 15, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Peter Nobel, Chairman of the Nobel Sustainability Trust (NST), and Tracy Wang, Chief Executive Officer of NST, expressed their profound admiration for Qatar’s remarkable achievements and forward-looking vision in sustainability, innovation, and environmental stewardship during their recent visit to Doha.
Nobel Sustainability Trust Commends Qatar’s Global Leadership in Sustainability and Innovation
The delegation from NST was deeply impressed by Qatar’s unwavering commitment to creating a sustainable future, one that not only safeguards the environment but also inspires a global movement toward responsible growth and a better world for generations to come.
In a special meeting, H.E. Abdullah bin Hamad Al Attiya, Minister of Municipality and Chairman of Qatari Diar, shared invaluable insights into Qatar’s strategic approach and the nation’s relentless drive to remain ahead of the curve. His Excellency emphasized how Qatar’s leadership continues to challenge conventional thinking, innovate across sectors, and integrate sustainability into every layer of national development.
The visit also included presentations from other Qatar entities, where NST delegates witnessed first-hand groundbreaking sustainability initiatives. These accomplishments further reinforce Qatar’s position as a beacon of excellence in environmental responsibility and sustainable advancement.
“What we have seen in Qatar is nothing short of inspirational and transformative,” said Peter Nobel, Chairman of the Nobel Sustainability Trust. “Qatar is not only achieving sustainability milestones but is redefining what it means to lead with vision, purpose, and responsibility. The entire nation—its leadership, institutions, and people, should take immense pride in these achievements.”
Tracy Wang, CEO of NST, added: “The spirit of collaboration and innovation we have witnessed here reflects a nation determined to build a legacy of progress. Qatar’s example will serve as a global benchmark for sustainable transformation.”
The Nobel Sustainability Trust reaffirmed its commitment to showcasing Qatar’s accomplishments on the world stage, recognizing the nation as a leading force in sustainable development, innovation, and the pursuit of a better future for all.
About Nobel Sustainability Trust (NST):
The Nobel Sustainability Trust, founded by members of the Nobel family, promotes global initiatives and partnerships that advance sustainable innovation, renewable energy, and responsible development. The Trust honors and collaborates with leaders and nations that exemplify excellence in shaping a sustainable world.Photo – https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2823639/Nobel_Sustainability_Trust.jpg
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Banco Santander and ionQ Show Innovation Requires Both Money and Math
Welcome to the Wall Street Week newsletter, bringing you stories of capitalism about things you need to know, but even more things you need to think about. I’m David Westin, and this week Ana Botín, executive chair of Banco Santander, told us the reasons for her bank’s success this year. Plus, we delved into the strange new world of quantum computing. If you’re not yet a subscriber, sign up here for this newsletter.
By all accounts the largest bank in Spain, Banco Santander has had a very good year. Executive Chair Ana Botín points to high profits, “for shareholders, great value creation,” and a “share price up 100%.” With all that success, she sees more yet to come: “Our multiples are still very attractive compared to US banks.”
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Jana Partners push to break up Cooper Cos. could change the stock’s outlook
Company: Cooper Companies (COO)
Business: The Cooper Companies is a global medical device company. It operates in two business units: CooperVision and CooperSurgical. The CooperVision segment is involved in the contact lens industry, while the CooperSurgical segment is involved in the fertility and women’s health care market through its diversified portfolio of products and services, including fertility products and services, medical devices, cryostorage (such as cord blood and cord tissue storage) and contraception. CooperVision’s products include MyDay daily disposable, MyDay daily disposable toric, MyDay Energys, MyDay multifocal, Biofinity & Biofinity XR, Biofinity Energys. CooperSurgical’s portfolio includes INSORB, Lone Star, and the Doppler Blood Flow Monitor. It also offers a suite of single-use cordless surgical retractors with an integrated multi-light-emitting diode (LED) light source and dual smoke evacuation channels, and single-use surgical suction devices with an integrated, cordless radial LED light source.
Stock Market Value: $14.41 billion ($72.49 per share)
Activist: Jana Partners
Ownership: n/a
Average Cost: n/a
Activist Commentary: Jana is a very experienced activist investor founded in 2001 by Barry Rosenstein. They made their name taking deeply researched activist positions with well-conceived plans for long term value. Rosenstein called his activist strategy “V cubed.” The three “Vs” were: (i) Value: buying at the right price; (ii) Votes: knowing whether you have the votes before commencing a proxy fight; and (iii) Variety of ways to win: having more than one strategy to enhance value and exit an investment. Since 2008, they have gradually shifted that strategy to one which we characterize as the three “Ss”: (i) Stock price – buying at the right price; (ii) Strategic activism – sale of company or spinoff of a business; and (iii) Star advisors/nominees – aligning with top industry executives to advise them and take board seats if necessary.
What’s happening
On Oct. 20, Jana announced that they took a position in Cooper Cos. and plan to push for strategic alternatives, including a potential transaction to combine its contact lens unit with peers such as Bausch + Lomb.
Behind the scenes
Cooper Cos. is a leading global medical device company operating through two segments: CooperVision and CooperSurgical. CooperVision (66% of revenue) is focused on the sale of contact lenses. CooperVision is the global leader by contact wearers and second in terms of market share (26%), competing against Johnson and Johnson (37%), Alcon (26%), and Bausch + Lomb (10%).
The global soft contact lens market is estimated to be worth about $11 billion and is growing at 4% to 6% annually. The segment has numerous tailwinds including a steady shift into silicone hydrogel 1-day lenses (about 40% of consumers are still using non-daily lenses), global growth in contact users, and high barriers to entry for competitors. As such, this is a great business that generates EBITDA margins in the mid-30s.
CooperSurgical (33% of revenue) is focused on women’s health services, with 60% of its fiscal year 2024 revenue derived from office and surgical (Paragard IUDs, stem cell cryostorage, medical devices) and 40% from fertility (IVF consumables, equipment, genomic and donor services). Fertility treatment is a $2 billion global market, also expected to grow at a 4% to 6% pace annually.
For most of its history, Cooper was a pureplay vision business, until they added CooperSurgical in the 90s. Initially, this was a small – arguably tax-motivated – add-on. However, the company began heavily investing in this segment in 2017 – spending over $3 billion on the segment since.
The problem with this shift is pretty clear – Cooper is effectively siphoning off cash from a really good contact lens business and then reinvesting it in what most people would judge to be a less attractive business. This is evident in the company’s declining returns on capital, with CooperSurgical now operating at lower margins than they did in 2017 despite these massive investments.
A key factor behind this operational shift may be management changes. The company’s CEO Albert White, who previously led CooperSurgical, assumed leadership shortly after this expansion began. This raises a larger question about the company’s strategic focus, leading many to question why the leader of this company would not have expertise in its core business.
These strategic missteps have been further compounded by near-term headwinds across both segments, some self-inflicted. For CooperVision, the company mismanaged market expectations for the rollout of its new daily lens product, MyDay Energys, which is now behind schedule.
For CooperSurgical, its highest quality business, IVF, has slowed meaningfully, likely attributable to comments from President Donald Trump suggesting potential reimbursements for IVF costs, causing patients to delay treatment in anticipation of this potential coverage. As a result, top-line organic growth fell meaningfully below expectations to 2%, down from 7% the prior quarter, forcing Cooper to significantly lower its full-year guidance at its third-quarter earnings call, sending the company’s share price down 12.85% the following day. Now, Cooper is trading at a 12-month forward P/E of 16.4x — a steep discount to its 10-year average of 23.1x.
All of this has prompted Jana Partners to announce a top portfolio position in Cooper and plans to push for strategic alternatives, including a potential transaction to combine its contact lens unit with peers such as Bausch + Lomb. While a transaction of this nature would typically raise some antitrust concerns, this may actually be the opposite case here.
First, a merger would not result in a market leader, as the combined market share of 36% would be just below market leader J&J’s share of 37% and not too far ahead of Alcon’s 26% share.
Secondly, these businesses are highly complementary with minimal geographical and product overlap, suggesting a reduction in the likelihood of regulatory hurdles. Notably, Bausch + Lomb has not been shy about their potential interest and also sees no regulatory issues, as CEO Brent Saunders has publicly stated that a potential combination with Cooper would “strengthen competition and create a more scaled company in the contact lens segment.”
But Bausch + Lomb is not the only potential acquirer. Companies like European eyewear manufacturer EssilorLuxottica could also have interest and with even less regulatory uncertainty.
As for CooperSurgical, there would certainly be private equity interest, as evidenced by Blackstone and TPG nearing a deal to acquire peer Hologic. However, Cooper shareholders may realize more value from the company cleaning up this portfolio internally – focusing more on the higher-multiple IVF business, shedding certain non-core assets, and potentially putting in new operators to execute a strong turnaround.
Overall, with short-term headwinds likely to ease, Cooper has multiple avenues to recover its discount and open itself up for a potential rerating. Jana’s thesis is straightforward: these two businesses make no sense under the same roof and a strategic combination for the vision business could yield $300 million to 500 million synergies, which is a lot for a business with $850 million in EBITDA. But step one in their plan is convincing management that separating the two businesses is the right strategic move; and despite growing public attention, there is no guarantee that management, especially with this type of operating history, will agree.
Should management resist, this campaign changes dramatically from a strategic thesis to a leadership/governance thesis, likely centered on appointing a new CEO with a deep background in the contact lens industry to refocus the company on its core, while still positioning it for a separation down the line.
Jana is not outwardly calling for a management change and White may even be the best person to lead a standalone CooperSurgical business. But activism is about the power of the argument and Jana seems to make a persuasive one here. Let’s hope for all involved that management sees it that way.
Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional research service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio manager of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist investments.
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Berkshire Hathaway’s surprising new tech stake
As Warren Buffett gets closer to stepping down as CEO at the end of next month, he told shareholders he will be “going quiet,” but only “sort of.”
More on his Thanksgiving letter, which looks like it could become a substantial annual tradition, below.
First:
A surprising stake
There was a notable surprise in Berkshire Hathaway’s end-of-Q3 equity portfolio snapshot, released after Friday’s closing bell.
Someone in Omaha purchased more than 17.8 million Class A shares of Google’s parent, Alphabet.
They are currently valued at $4.9 billion, making them the biggest Q3 addition in dollar terms.
The news sent the stock 3.5% higher in after-hours trading.
At this point, we don’t know who made the call.
Buffett has typically made purchases of this size, but it doesn’t feel like his kind of stock.
It is up 51.3% year-to-date, including a 37% climb in the third quarter.
Also, he has traditionally shied away from tech stocks. (He considers Apple a consumer products company.)
At the 2019 Berkshire meeting, Buffett and Charlie Munger lamented that they had “screwed up” by not buying Alphabet earlier because they “could see in our own operations how well that Google advertising was working. And we just sat there sucking our thumbs.”
On that day, the shares were going for around $59, and they gave no indication there were prepared to rectify their error.
Incoming CEO Greg Abel isn’t encumbered by that history, and Buffett has been handing over many of his duties to him.
Or it could be one or both of the portfolio managers, Ted Weschler and Todd Combs.
Stay tuned.
Not so surprising selling
Alphabet was by far the biggest Q3 addition at $4.3 billion, based on the September 30 price, well ahead of a $1.2 billion increase for Chubb.
The biggest decreases, Apple and Bank of America, had been foreshadowed by hints in Berkshire’s 10-Q almost two weeks ago.
(The Verisign reduction was disclosed in early August.)
Berkshire’s Apple position was cut by almost 15%, or $10.6 billion, to around 238 million shares.
It’s down 74% since Berkshire began selling two years ago.
But Apple remains Berkshire’s largest equity position at $64.9 billion, which is 21% of the portfolio’s current value.
The Bank of America reduction was smaller, just 6.1%, or around $1.9 billion.
The remaining 238 million shares are currently valued at $29.9 billion, Berkshire’s third largest position, making up almost 10% of the portfolio’s current value.
It’s been cut by 43% since early last year.
A complete listing of Berkshire’s Q3 13F appears below.
‘Sort of’
Many of the headlines on news stories about Warren Buffett’s Thanksgiving letter on Monday included this quotation: “I’m ‘going quiet.’”
But there was another phrase that followed that line near the top of the letter, getting its own paragraph: “Sort of.”
Warren Buffett speaks during the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 3, 2025.
CNBC
Starting next year, Greg Abel, “a great manager, a tireless worker and an honest communicator,” will be writing the annual meeting to shareholders and answering questions at the annual meeting. Buffett plans to sit on the arena floor with the other directors.
But he wrote, “I will continue talking to you and my children about Berkshire via my annual Thanksgiving message.”
This year’s letter ran a bit more than seven pages, compared to around three pages last year, and sounded a lot like the annual letters he’s been writing for decades, with sections on the importance of luck, getting old, his admiration for Berkshire shareholders, the many friends he has made over the years in Omaha, and his complete confidence in Abel’s ability to run the company.
He also revealed that while hospitalized as a child, he received a fingerprint kit and proceeded to take prints from the nuns caring for him, because “someday a nun would go bad, and the FBI would find that they had neglected to fingerprint nuns.”
(CNBC.com has this summary)
The newsiest bit was his plan to “step up the pace of lifetime gifts” to the three foundations run by his children, who, like Buffett, are getting older. (They are 72,70, and 67.)
He wants to “improve the probability that they will dispose of what will essentially be my entire estate before alternate trustees replace them.”
But he also “wants to keep a significant amount of ‘A’ shares until Berkshire shareholders develop the comfort with Greg that Charlie and I long enjoyed.”
The result, at least for this year, is an increase in the Class B shares (converted from Class A) going to each foundation to 400,000 shares from 300,000 shares last year.
Including a fourth unchanged donation to a foundation named after his late wife, the total as of the date of the gifts increased 17% to $1.3 billion.
Playing a more minor role: Class B shares are up 4% since last year’s gifts.
The entire U.S portfolio as of September 30
BUFFETT AROUND THE INTERNET
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BERKSHIRE STOCK WATCH
BERKSHIRE’S TOP U.S. HOLDINGS – Nov. 14, 2025
Berkshire’s top holdings of disclosed publicly traded stocks in the U.S., Japan, and Hong Kong, by market value, based on today’s closing prices.
Holdings are as of September 30, 2025 as reported in Berkshire Hathaway’s 13F filing on November 14, 2025, except for:
The full list of holdings and current market values is available from CNBC.com’s Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Tracker.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS
Please send any questions or comments about the newsletter to me at alex.crippen@nbcuni.com. (Sorry, but we don’t forward questions or comments to Buffett himself.)
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Also, Buffett’s annual letters to shareholders are highly recommended reading. There are collected here on Berkshire’s website.
— Alex Crippen, Editor, Warren Buffett Watch
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Tesla requires suppliers to avoid made-in-China parts for US cars
Earlier this year, the electric-vehicle maker decided that it would stop using China-based suppliers for Tesla cars that are made in the U.S., according to people familiar with the situation. Tesla and its suppliers have already replaced some China-made components with parts made elsewhere. Tesla is aiming to switch all other components to those made outside of China in the next year or two, some of the people said.
Tesla has been trying to reduce its dependence on China-made components for its U.S. cars since the Covid-19 pandemic disrupted the flow of goods from China, encouraging its China-based suppliers to make components elsewhere including in Mexico. But this year, after President Trump imposed stiff tariffs on Chinese imports, the company accelerated the strategy to cut out Chinese parts, the people said.
China is a major producer and exporter of auto parts—including chips and batteries—and materials that go inside cars. Many of them are cheaper due to China’s huge production scale, lower costs and weak currency.
Tesla executives have been grappling with the uncertainty brought by fluctuating tariff levels in the U.S.-China trade battle, which has made it difficult for the carmaker to formulate a coherent pricing strategy, some of the people said.
The geopolitical tensions between Washington and Beijing and the fallout on the global auto supply chain have only intensified Tesla’s urgency in pursuing the China-free strategy. In recent weeks, fresh disruptions in the supply of automotive chips stemming from a spat between China and the Netherlands have triggered discussions at Tesla about the need to accelerate diversification, some of the people said.
Tesla didn’t respond to a request for comment.
Tesla’s strategy is the latest example of how trade and geopolitical tensions are driving a decoupling of the world’s two largest economies and increasingly redrawing global supply chains. Many American companies are seeking to exclude China-made components or manufacture outside of China when it comes to products for the U.S. market. In turn, Chinese technology companies are erasing American components and technology from their supply chains.
The auto industry has been hit particularly hard by China-U.S. friction because of the global nature of its supply chains and business. This spring, automakers were rattled after China imposed export restrictions on certain rare earths and magnets that are widely used in cars and their production. More recently, carmakers have struggled to secure chips after China blocked the export of semiconductors made by a firm called Nexperia that are used in car lights and electronics.
Nexperia is a Dutch company whose chips are largely manufactured in Europe but ultimately are exported to the world from China, where processing and packaging take place. China blocked the export of the chips after the Dutch government seized control of Nexperia from its Chinese parent, which is on a U.S. trade blacklist.
The Dutch and Chinese governments are still fighting over the issue, even though Beijing has allowed Nexperia chips to be shipped out to some overseas customers following a summit last month between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.
The U.S. is Tesla’s biggest market, and Tesla vehicles running on American roads are produced at the carmaker’s factories in the U.S. In China, Tesla produces cars at its Shanghai plant using mostly locally produced components. The Shanghai-made cars are shipped both within China and overseas, mostly to Asia and Europe, but not to the U.S.
Over the years, Chinese suppliers that Tesla has been working with in China have increasingly been shipping parts globally for the carmaker’s factories elsewhere. A China-based executive said earlier this year that the Shanghai factory had some 400 direct Chinese suppliers, more than 60 of which had supplied Tesla’s global production.
Tesla has been pursuing a strategy of cutting back on made-in-China components for its U.S. cars since Trump’s first administration. As a part of this approach, Tesla has worked with its Chinese suppliers—including those making seat covers and metal casings—to set up factories and warehouses in Mexico and Southeast Asia in recent years, people familiar with the project said.
One Chinese-made component that Tesla is struggling to substitute is the lithium-iron phosphate battery. China’s Contemporary Amperex Technology, or CATL, has been a major supplier to Tesla for the battery, known as LFP.
Until last year, Tesla was selling cars in the U.S. with Chinese-produced LFP batteries, but since then it stopped doing so, because they became ineligible for EV-related tax credits and also due to U.S. tariffs.
Tesla is working to build LFP batteries for energy-storage products in the U.S. In October, the company said it expected its facility in Nevada making such battery products to start running in the first quarter of 2026.
Tesla Chief Financial Officer Vaibhav Taneja said in April that the company was working on manufacturing LFP cells in the U.S., and on “securing additional supply chain from non-China-based suppliers.”
“But it will take time,” he said.
Write to Raffaele Huang at raffaele.huang@wsj.com and Yoko Kubota at yoko.kubota@wsj.com
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