- Why investors are increasingly fatalistic The Economist
- Nvidia shares rise on stronger-than-expected revenue, forecast CNBC
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says he checks out Nvidia memes on the internet the-decoder.com
- Nvidia is earning substantial profits thanks to the surge in AI enthusiasm Bitget
- NVIDIA Writes History: From Graphics to God-Tier AI Infrastructure Quasa.io
Category: 3. Business
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Why investors are increasingly fatalistic – The Economist
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Has Britain become an economic colony? | Technology
Two and a half centuries ago, the American colonies launched a violent protest against British rule, triggered by parliament’s imposition of a monopoly on the sale of tea and the antics of a vainglorious king. Today, the tables have turned: it is Great Britain that finds itself at the mercy of major US tech firms – so huge and dominant that they constitute monopolies in their fields – as well as the whims of an erratic president. Yet, to the outside observer, Britain seems curiously at ease with this arrangement – at times even eager to subsidise its own economic dependence. Britain is hardly alone in submitting to the power of American firms, but it offers a clear case study in why nations need to develop a coordinated response to the rise of these hegemonic companies.
The current age of American tech monopoly began in the 2000s, when the UK, like many other countries, became almost entirely dependent on a small number of US platforms – Google, Facebook, Amazon and a handful of others. It was a time of optimism about the internet as a democratising force, characterised by the belief that these platforms would make everyone rich. The dream of the 1990s – naive but appealing – was that anyone with a hobby or talent could go online and make a living from it.
US tech dominance wasn’t the result of a single policy decision. Yet it was still a choice that countries made – as is highlighted by China’s decision to block foreign sites and build its own. While that move was far easier under an authoritarian system, it also amounted to an industrial policy – one that left China as the only other major economy with its own full digital ecosystem.
The pattern was sustained through the 2000s and 2010s. Cloud computing was quickly cornered by Amazon and Microsoft. No serious European or UK competitor emerged to challenge platforms such as Uber or Airbnb. These companies have undoubtedly brought us convenience and entertainment, but the wealth of the internet has not spread as widely as many hoped; instead, US firms took the lion’s share, becoming the most valuable corporations in history. Now the same thing is happening with artificial intelligence. Once more, the big profits look destined for Silicon Valley.
How did all this meet with such little resistance? In short, the UK and Europe followed the logic of free trade and globalisation. Nations, according to this theory, should focus only on what they do best. So just as it made sense for the UK to import French burgundies and Spanish hams, it also seemed logical to rely on American technology rather than trying to do it locally. Better to specialise instead in the UK’s own strengths, such as finance, the creative industries – or making great whisky.
But when it comes to these new platforms, the analogy with regular trade breaks down. There is a vast difference between fine wines and the technologies that underpin the entire online economy. Burgundies can be pricey, but they don’t extract value from every commercial transaction or collect lucrative data. The trade theories of the 1990s masked the distinction between ordinary goods and what are, in effect, pieces of market infrastructure – systems essential to buying and selling. That’s what Google and Amazon represent. A better analogy might be letting a foreign firm build toll roads across the country, charging whatever it likes to use them.
We’re seeing this again with the build-out of artificial intelligence. During President Trump’s state visit in September, the UK proudly celebrated Google and Microsoft’s investments in “datacentres” – vast warehouses of computer servers that power AI systems. Yet datacentres are the bottom rung of the AI economy, private infrastructure that simply channels profits back to US headquarters.
In another timeline, the UK could have been a true leader in AI. US researchers were once far behind their British and French counterparts. Yet, in a move neither Washington nor Beijing would have permitted, the UK cheerfully allowed the sale of most of its key AI assets and talent over the last decade or so – DeepMind’s purchase by Google being the most famous example. What remains is an AI strategy consisting of the supply of electricity and land for datacentres. It’s like being invited to a party only to discover you’re there to serve the drinks.
If tech platforms are indeed like toll roads, the logical step would be to limit their take – perhaps by capping fees or charging for data extraction. Yet no country has done so: we accept the platforms but fail to regulate their power as we do with other utilities. The European Union has come closest, with its Digital Markets Act, which regulates how dominant platforms treat dependent businesses. The US government, for its part, is also at the mercy of its homegrown tech giants, yet Congress remains paralysed.
If the UK wanted to take a different path, to resist this economic colonisation and extraction, it could partner with the European Union and perhaps Japan in order to develop a joint strategy – one that forces platforms to support local businesses and nurtures alternatives to mature US technologies. So far, though, alongside other nations disadvantaged by American dominance, it has been slow to adapt, instead hoping that the 90s playbook will still work, despite evidence to the contrary.
The truth is that we now live in a more cynical and strategic era. One way or another, the world needs an anti-monopoly framework with far greater force than anything seen so far. Wherever you live, it’s clear the world would be better off with more firms from different countries. The alternative is not only costly but politically dangerous, feeding resentment and dependence. We can do better than a future where what counts as economic freedom is merely a choice between relying on the United States, or relying on China.
Tim Wu is a former special assistant to President Biden and author of The Age of Extraction: How Tech Platforms Conquered the Economy and Threaten Our Future Prosperity (Bodley Head).
Further reading
The Tech Coup by Marietje Schaake (Princeton, £13.99)
Supremacy by Parmy Olson (Pan Macmillan, £10.99)
Chip War by Chris Miller (Simon & Schuster, £10.99)
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How long will the dearth of US data persist?
The dearth of data on the state of the US economy caused by the federal government shutdown is set to continue after the Bureau of Economic Analysis postponed two releases that had been due on Wednesday next week.
The BEA said on Thursday that its planned releases of data on third-quarter GDP and September inflation would be rescheduled to dates to be advised, adding to investor uncertainty after fears of tighter than anticipated monetary policy contributed to the jitters hitting stock markets in recent days. With the Federal Reserve due to make its next decision on interest rates on December 10, the postponements risk leaving policymakers with even less to go on.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected GDP to come in at an annualised pace of 3 per cent in the three months to September 30, down from 3.8 per cent in the second quarter. Despite the expected decline, a 3 per cent reading would be a further sign that the economy has held up after a negative reading in the first quarter.
A separate Reuters poll showed inflation holding steady, with the index of core personal consumption expenditures — the Fed’s preferred metric of inflation that strips out volatile food and energy prices — expected to have risen 2.9 per cent in the month, unchanged from the rate in August.
The BEA’s double postponement came after the Bureau of Labor Statistics said that its closely watched report on non-farm payrolls for October had been cancelled outright.
Fed chair Jay Powell said last month that the lack of adequate data caused by the shutdown would be a factor in policymakers’ thinking. “What do you do when you’re driving in the fog? You slow down,” Powell said, adding that there was “a possibility” this would influence the debate at next month’s meeting.
Questions have also surfaced over the true health of the world’s largest economy and whether investments in artificial intelligence have masked other issues. Last month, the IMF upgraded its outlook for the US but warned that an “investment surge” in AI had helped the economy avoid a slowdown. Alexandra White
What will the UK Budget mean for sterling?
The pound has weakened in recent weeks, falling to its lowest against the euro in two years as weak inflation and poor economic data opened the door to more Bank of England interest rate cuts.
Also weighing on sterling have been fiscal concerns, underlined by the UK government dropping plans to raise income tax in Wednesday’s Budget — with investors closely tracking the government’s commitment to balancing its books.
“There’s a lot of bad news already priced into sterling,” said Steven Englander, head of FX research at Standard Chartered, pointing to the government’s fiscal “black hole”.
Analysts say this could go one of two ways. If investors view the government’s policies as doing enough to restore health to public finances — with a comfortable margin of spending “headroom” — then “the pound will appreciate, because some of this risk premium will be priced out”, said Tomasz Wieladek, chief European economist at T Rowe Price. If not, the pound could stay low, or weaken further.
“The issue will be whether the market believes that the policies that are announced are going to be effective, and getting to the objectives they’ve declared,” said Englander.
But many analysts see the Budget as likely to be negative for the pound if the government tightens the public finances, sapping growth, but also manages to enact measures that reduce inflation.
“Anything that over the next year or two reduces the disposable income of households, the Bank of England will see as a shock to demand, and cut rates more than expected,” delivering bad news for sterling, Wieladek added.
There is also the continued undercurrent of a potential leadership challenge to Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, especially if the Budget proves unpopular with those on the left of the ruling Labour party.
“Lingering political risks are unlikely to allow for a full removal of [sterling’s] risk premium, even in the event of a smoothly delivered budget from a market perspective,” said Shreyas Gopal, FX strategist at Deutsche Bank. Rachel Rees
Will Germany continue to disappoint?
After the November flash estimate for Germany’s purchasing managers’ indices on Friday suggested that manufacturing in the country had fallen ever deeper into contraction, all eyes will be on a flurry of economic data to be released from Monday.
The all-important Ifo business climate survey, to be published by the Munich-based think-tank at the start of the week, is expected to edge up by 0.1 points to 88.5, as analysts polled by Reuters forecast that the assessment of current conditions will have improved a bit in November.
Europe’s largest economy narrowly avoided a technical recession in the third quarter as it stagnated after a 0.1 per cent decline in the second. The Bundesbank said on Thursday in its monthly report that the economy could continue to grow “slightly” in the final three months of the year. The country’s statistical office will release data on consumption, domestic investment and exports for the third quarter on Tuesday.
Despite the long-lasting economic slump, Germany’s labour market is still holding up strongly, with analysts expecting that unemployment, to be reported on Friday, will have remained flat at 2.9mn people in November. Inflation, also to be reported on Friday, is forecast to have risen by 0.1 percentage points to 2.4 per cent, well above the ECB’s medium-term 2 per cent target for the overall currency area. Olaf Storbeck
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Moderna is most shorted stock in S&P 500 as Americans skip jabs
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Roula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.
Vaccine-maker Moderna has become the most shorted company in the S&P 500, with its share price slumping to its lowest level since before the Covid-19 pandemic as people skip jabs.
After months of anti-vax rhetoric from US health secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr, the number of Americans getting Covid shots is down about 24 per cent from this point last year, according to a November 21 report from Jefferies, an investment bank.
Despite plenty of supply, analysts have said vaccine fatigue was contributing to lower Covid vaccination rates in the past few months compared with 2024 or 2023.
“It’s not a huge surprise vaccinations have not picked up as they have in the last two years,” said Seema Shah, medical director of epidemiology and immunisation for San Diego county.
Vaccine shipments were delayed this year, prompting paediatric healthcare providers to wait to administer shots until supplies were stocked, she said.
“Those [delays] definitely caused a slow pick up compared to the last two years,” she added.
Boston-based Moderna has been the S&P 500’s most shorted stock since the end of September, according to S3 Partners. Short sellers had about $622mn of unrealised profits in the company in 2025, S3 said. Moderna shares closed at $23.72 on Friday, down 43 per cent so far this year, and matching its share price in February 2020.
When it joined the S&P 500 index in July 2021, Moderna’s fortunes were flourishing. That year, the US government bought hundreds of millions of Moderna Covid vaccines. Chief executive Stéphane Bancel became a multi-billionaire. Moderna’s 2021 operating margin was higher than Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway.
But Moderna has been unprofitable since 2023, well before Kennedy brought his vaccine scepticism to Washington this year. Its revenues have dropped by more than 80 per cent from 2021.
At an investor day on Thursday, Moderna executives touted a turnaround starting in 2026. The company is expanding sales in markets outside the US and is racing to apply its mRNA technology to attack cancers.
In an interview with the Financial Times, Moderna’s chair, Noubar Afeyan, said the short interest in Moderna’s stock had not changed the company’s behaviour.
“We are concerned about a lot of unknowns. I don’t know that the shorting is adding to the unknowns,” said Afeyan, who is chief executive of Flagship Pioneering, a Boston investment firm that founded Moderna.
People should not forget the detrimental effects of Covid-19, he said, adding that more than 10mn people were living with the long-term symptoms of the virus.
“People have lost the narrative that they are essentially a source of infection for other people,” he said.
“Why should you follow traffic laws? You don’t just put yourself in harm’s way. This is a transmissible disease.” And by not getting vaccinated, “you are not just an innocent bystander but a culprit”.
The US health secretary is a long-standing vaccine sceptic. In June, Kennedy fired all the members of a top vaccine advisory committee, and two months later limited the government’s recommendations for Covid shots.
Last week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which is part of Kennedy’s department, changed its website to say: “Studies have not ruled out the possibility that infant vaccines cause autism.”
In Washington, Moderna has spent more than $1.2mn on lobbying already this year, a record amount for the company.
Because of its exposure to vaccines, Moderna did not make a great acquisition target for giant pharmaceutical companies, said Myles Minter, an analyst at William Blair.
“You need to see some pretty compelling oncology data” for an acquirer to get interested in buying Moderna, he said.
While big drugmakers were looking to refill their product offerings, “I’m not convinced that declining Covid vaccine revenue is the way to fix that for a big pharma” company, he added.
For now, Moderna said sales to Australia, Canada and the UK would help it to increase revenues by up to 10 per cent next year. In 2027, a Pfizer deal to sell Covid vaccines to the EU expires, opening the European market for Moderna to compete.
Ultimately, Moderna is hoping that its vaccines can generate enough cash to fund its cancer work.
“We see a turning point in our finances and we believe we have a line of sight to break even in 2028,” said Jamey Mock, Moderna’s chief financial officer.
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Napster Said It Raised $3 Billion From A Mystery Investor. Now The “Investor” And “Money” Is Gone
Napster (formerly Infinite Reality) CEO John Acunto
Photo By Carlos Rodrigues/Sportsfile for Web Summit via Getty Images
On November 20, at approximately 4 p.m. Eastern time, Napster held an online meeting for its shareholders; an estimated 700 of roughly 1,500 including employees, former employees and individual investors tuned in. That’s when its CEO John Acunto told everyone he believed that the never-identified big investor—who the company had insisted put in $3.36 billion at a $12 billion valuation in January, which would have made it one of the year’s biggest fundraises—was not going to come through. In an email sent out shortly after, it told existing investors that some would get a bigger percentage of the company, due to the canceled shares, and went on to describe itself as a “victim of misconduct,” adding that it was “assisting law enforcement with their ongoing investigations.”
As for the promised tender offer, which would have allowed shareholders to cash out, that too was called off. “Since that investor was also behind the potential tender, we also no longer believe that will occur,” the company wrote in the email.
At this point it seems unlikely that getting bigger stakes in the business will make any of the investors too happy. The company had been stringing its employees and investors along for nearly a year with ever-changing promises of an impending cash infusion and chances to sell their shares in a tender offer that would change everything. In fact, it was the fourth time since 2022 they’ve been told they could soon cash out via a tender offer, and the fourth time the potential deal fell through. Napster spokesperson Gillian Sheldon said certain statements about the fundraise “were made in good faith based on what we understood at the time. We have since uncovered indications of misconduct that suggest the information provided to us then was not accurate.” The company declined to comment further for this story. In separate cases, the Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Justice are looking into the company and what happened to the investment, respectively; the company is not the target of the latter. (The SEC investigation was originally looking into the company’s $1.85 billion valuation as part of a reverse merger scrapped in 2022, but it is ongoing and could well have broadened in scope. An SEC spokesperson wrote that the agency “does not comment on the existence or nonexistence of a possible investigation.” The DOJ has not yet returned a request for comment.)
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While Napster is now alleging it is a victim, Forbes raised concerns about both the investor and the firm months ago. It all started in January when the company, then called Infinite Reality, reached out to Forbes announcing its $3 billion financing round. It emailed again on February 11, this time pitching Acunto, who then had a 12% stake in the Boca Raton, Florida-based company, as a “prime candidate” for Forbes’ billionaires list. Facing an audience at a live event in Los Angeles in February, he exhorted: “Do you really think that we would talk about $3 billion dollar investments and be one of the largest companies in our space if we really weren’t doing what we’re doing?” In that call he also boasted about how much wealth the company had created for its shareholders. “We have over 600 millionaires,” Acunto claimed.
That’s when Forbes began looking into the company and discovered that all was not as it seemed. There was a string of lawsuits from creditors alleging unpaid bills, a federal lawsuit to enforce compliance with an SEC subpoena (now dismissed) and exaggerated claims about the extent of their partnerships with Manchester City Football Club and Google (per Forbes’ previous reporting). The company also touted “top-tier” investors who never directly invested in the firm, and its anonymous $3 billion investment that its spokesperson told Forbes in March was in “an Infinite Reality account and is available to us” and that they were “actively leveraging” it.
The convoluted history of Napster dates back to 2019 when Acunto bought a bankrupt social media company Tsu. That entity, in turn, merged with, or acquired, at least a dozen (some tiny, some struggling) metaverse, virtual reality, drone and AI companies largely paid for in all-stock mergers at higher and higher valuations. By then known as Infinite Reality, it acquired Napster in March for $207 million and rebranded itself, using the much higher-profile name, in May.
On the day Forbes published its first story about Napster’s questionable funding round, Napster put out a press release claiming to reveal the investor’s identity as advisory firm Sterling Select, citing overwhelming media attention as the reason it did so. Sterling Select is a separate entity from Sterling Equities, the firm that invests the assets of former New York Mets majority owners Fred Wilpon and Saul Katz; the only common owner is David Katz, a partner of Sterling Equities who cofounded Sterling Select. But here it gets even more confusing: Sterling Select was not in fact the “investor”—but instead introduced Napster to other “investors” who in turn wrote the checks, Napster’s chief marketing officer Karina Kogan told Forbes. (The company later amended its press release to reflect that Sterling Select was not the investor.)
Several shareholders told Forbes that by May Acunto had upped the ante, telling them that they would soon be able to sell their shares at $20 a pop, thanks to the mystery investor. That would put the firm’s valuation at $18 billion, and mean it was valued at 240 times its 2024 revenue—50% higher than it claimed even in January. Outwardly it continued on with its business, pushing a pivot to AI away from the metaverse and picking up at least three more companies in part using its stock as currency.
But as the weeks passed, few signs of a big investor emerged. No one could cash out (though a couple of lenders made a big enough fuss to get some money back). More lawsuits alleging nonpayment were filed including one in June in which original owners of virtual reality company Obsess, a company Napster bought in January, claimed they still hadn’t been paid the $22 million they said Napster owed. Napster alleged in a counterclaim that Obsess was the one to “cook its books” and that it bought the company based on allegedly false financial information, which Obsess denied. The case is ongoing. In another case, Sony sued Napster in August for $9.2 million in damages stemming from allegedly unpaid royalties and other fees. (Napster didn’t respond; a clerk filed a certificate of default in October.)
Then came a big round of layoffs in July. An estimated one-third of the staff, or according to one laid-off employee, 100 people, mostly developers, were let go. That person also questioned the hype around some of the product announcements while they were at the company, describing them as “ChatGPT word salad.” In a text message to Forbes at the time, spokesperson Gillian Sheldon explained that the layoffs were the “result of workforce redundancies stemming primarily from the acquisitions we’ve made over the past 18 months … we continue to employ hundreds of full-time team members around the world.” In September, Napster’s chief legal officer Jennifer Pepin and chief financial officer Brian Effrain left the company, according to their LinkedIn profiles. Pepin didn’t respond to a request for comment; Effrain confirmed he is no longer at Napster but declined to comment further.
All along, Napster appears to have been scrambling to raise cash to keep the lights on, working with brokers and investment advisors including a few who had previously gotten into trouble with regulators. Cova Capital, which says it represented the mystery investor, previously got in trouble with broker-dealer watchdog FINRA for recommending private share sales to retail investors without “conducting due diligence sufficient to form a reasonable basis to believe that the offerings were suitable for, or in the best interest of, at least some investors.” FINRA also alleged that Cova, led by CEO Edward Gibstein, didn’t do enough to make sure the issuer actually had the rights to the shares or determine how much the shares had been marked up; Cova paid a fine in March “without admitting to or denying the findings.” Cova employee Vincent Sharpe had also paid fines to settle three customer disputes for allegations of misrepresentation of information and unsuitable investment recommendations at a previous firm; he denied wrongdoing. Laren Pisciotti, who was charged by the SEC for her role in perpetrating an unrelated $120 million fraud scheme last year, appears to have helped Napster raise funds, including short-term, high-interest loans in 2024. Pisciotti, through her lawyer, declined to comment. It’s not clear how many more investors signed on or if any of the above individuals were involved, it apparently raised an estimated tens of millions in additional capital after announcing the $3 billion investment.
If it turns out that Napster knew the fundraise wasn’t happening and it benefited from misrepresenting itself to investors or acquirees, it could face much bigger problems. That’s because doing so could be considered securities fraud. If the company is “ lying to the investor to induce the investor to buy securities … that would be fraud,” says startup lawyer Patrick McCloskey, who is not involved in the case. He emphasized that it depends on whether the funds were on the balance sheet, whether the company believed the funds were really under their control and other factors related to what Napster knew and what it intended.
The one thing that’s certain is that this mystery has not been solved.
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Where Delta Air Lines Could Be by 2025, 2026, and 2030
Analysts are saying that Delta Air Lines could rise by 2030, with long-term forecasts pointing to meaningful upside as the airline leans on premium travel demand and high-margin loyalty revenue. If you’re bullish on DAL, SoFi lets you trade Delta stock with zero commissions, and new users who fund their account can receive up to 1,000 dollars in stock. You can also earn a 1 percent bonus when transferring investments and keeping them with SoFi through December 31, 2025 — a limited-time incentive for long-term investors.
Delta Air Lines (DAL) is navigating capacity normalization, strong premium travel demand and persistent cost pressures from labor and fuel. The airline is also adjusting its global route networks while monitoring tariff developments that could increase costs and slow fleet expansion. For now, investors should expect continued volatility as Delta balances these competing forces.
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According to Benzinga, Delta is a consensus Buy, with analysts assigning an average price target of 68.69 dollars. The highest target stands at 90 dollars, and the lowest at 39 dollars. The most recent price targets — from BofA Securities, Raymond James and UBS — average 73 dollars, reflecting almost 28 percent upside.
Year
Bullish
Average
Bearish
2025
58.75
55.68
52.04
2026
66.72
52.28
41.19
2027
71.62
56.64
45.81
2028
96.86
71.52
54.71
2029
101.16
80.59
53.8
2030
95.38
74.62
58.81
2031
102.4
81.01
65.43
2032
138.56
102.49
78.18
2033
144.71
115.25
76.88
2040
283.42
210.56
159.91
2050
570.77
444.94
351.92
These projections are based on CoinCodex modeling using historical price action, trend analysis and long-horizon moving averages.
Delta’s premium travel segment remains one of the strongest in the industry, supported by demand for business-class cabins and steady economic strength among higher-income travelers. Its SkyMiles loyalty program — and its partnership with American Express — delivers some of the highest-margin recurring revenue in the airline sector, offering stability even when ticket revenue fluctuates.
The carrier also benefits from effective fuel-cost management, improved labor agreements and growing international travel demand. As global route networks normalize and fleet utilization improves, Delta is positioned to generate stronger cash flow. Ongoing investment in aircraft efficiency, digital upgrades and sustainability initiatives further supports long-term competitiveness.
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AI risks deepening inequality, says head of world’s largest SWF
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Nicolai Tangen, the head of the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund, warned that the accelerating deployment of artificial intelligence risked deepening social and geopolitical inequalities across the globe.
The chief executive of Norway’s $2tn national fund said that as access to advanced models became increasingly expensive, AI had the potential to widen the gap between rich and poor individuals as well as nations.
“You need prior education, you need electricity, you need digital infrastructure . . . There is a potential for this to amplify differences in the world,” Tangen said from his New York office overlooking Bryant Park.
“There is a potential for splitting societies, and there is a real potential for splitting the world into the countries which can afford it and the countries which cannot afford it.”
The 59-year-old executive said that different approaches to regulating AI could also widen growth rates between Europe and the US.
“Here in this country (the US), they’ve got a lot of AI and not so much regulation. In Europe, there is not so much AI but a lot of regulation,” he said, arguing that the EU’s tendency to over-regulate could hold back economic growth.
The former hedge-fund investor said governments and large companies would soon have to grapple with the consequences of uneven adoption, from labour-market disruption to questions of access and fairness.
While AI promises significant productivity gains — he estimates as much as 20 per cent within his own organisation — Tangen said policymakers risked falling behind the speed of technological change.
“We live in a time where it’s totally futile to try to predict anything,” he said. “The focus now has to be on agility, culture and preparing societies for what’s coming.”
Tangen remains an AI optimist. He said that while the extraordinary boom in AI investment carried many of the hallmarks of a bubble, in the long term that might ultimately prove “not too bad” for the global economy.
He said that AI was a “pretty hot space” at the moment, driven by huge enthusiasm and rapid capital inflows, yet also represented a “massive societal transformation” that made traditional valuations hard to assess.
Even if parts of the sector were overinflated, Tangen said, the surge of capital into AI would still fund technologies that improve productivity.
“If it is a bubble, it may not be such a bad bubble,” he said, pointing to potential long-term gains from advances in automation, data processing and model development.
The challenge for investors, he added, was distinguishing genuine breakthroughs from hype in a market dominated by a handful of powerful platform companies.
Tangen said AI was already reshaping the way the Norwegian fund operated — from investment decisions to internal communications.
“Five years ago, the technology department was kind of stuck in a cupboard. Now they are heroes,” he said. “In this organisation, we now have 460 out of 700 people who actually code.”
Driving such change internally has required forcing employees to take mandatory classes.
“Do people like mandatory? They hate mandatory. But if it’s not mandatory, the people who need it the most, they don’t do it,” he said.
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Export-Import Bank to spend $100bn to achieve US energy dominance
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The US Export-Import Bank will invest $100bn to achieve President Trump’s plan for global energy dominance, with a first tranche of deals involving projects in Egypt, Pakistan and Europe, its new chair has said.
John Jovanovic, who was appointed in September, told the Financial Times that the government agency would finance efforts to secure US and allied supply chains for critical minerals, nuclear energy and liquefied natural gas to counter western reliance on China and Russia.
Ex-Im Bank was “back in a big way, and it’s open for business”, said Jovanovic in his first interview after taking over at the helm of the bank.
Its focus would be on bringing “US energy molecules to every corner of the globe” and on addressing the west’s over-reliance on critical mineral supply chains that “are no longer fair”, he said.
“We can’t do anything else that we’re trying to do without these underlying critical raw material supply chains being secure, stable and functioning.”
Ex-Im is one of several US government agencies that have been charged by the White House with supporting energy and mineral projects in an effort to grow domestic industry and shore up western supply chains.
US Export-Import Bank chair John Jovanovic said American LNG would provide energy security to parts of the world ‘that need it most’ The vulnerability of commodity flows has been thrown into sharp relief by the imposition by China this year of export restrictions on rare earth metals and magnets, as well as by the energy crisis in Europe following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Jovanovic said Ex-Im’s early deals would include a credit insurance guarantee for $4bn of natural gas being delivered to Egypt by New York-based commodities group Hartree Partners, and a $1.25bn loan for the giant copper and gold Reko Diq mine being developed by Barrick Mining in Pakistan.
The bank said it authorised $8.7bn in new transactions in the 12 months to the end of September. This does not include a $4.7bn loan that was reapproved in March to support an LNG project in Mozambique led by France’s TotalEnergies.
Jovanovic said Ex-Im had $100bn left to deploy of the $135bn authorised by Congress.
Ex-Im was being “inundated” with requests for support for LNG projects coming from Europe, Africa and Asia, and a series of multibillion-dollar LNG supply deals would be announced in the coming days, he said.
While some development banks have climate change-related mandates that prevent them from investing in fossil fuels projects, Ex-Im cannot exclude them. Jovanovic said American LNG would be a “stabilising factor in providing energy security to parts of the world that need it most”.
Ex-Im’s increased focus on supporting LNG exports and energy security represents a shift of emphasis for the bank, which had been expanding support for renewable energy under former president Joe Biden. Last year it supported $1.6bn in green energy projects, an increase of 74 per cent compared to 2023.
Nuclear energy will be a focus under the bank’s new leadership. Ex-Im was “actively in discussions” about several nuclear projects in south-east Europe where US companies such as Westinghouse were looking to invest, said Jovanovic. It is also looking to back mining projects for uranium — used to make nuclear fuel — the flows of which have moved increasingly into China and Russia.
The White House has stressed the importance of breaking the dependency on China for metals including copper, which is widely used in infrastructure projects, and rare earths, which go into the defence, energy and technology sectors.
Ex-Im was planning to finance critical minerals projects “in a large way” and was working on deals that were “very near the finish line”, said Jovanovic. Much of what was in the pipeline was “orders of magnitude larger” than the $1.25bn Reko Diq loan, he said.
The White House penned a minerals supply deal with Australia in October and was working on similar deals with other nations that Ex-Im was “ready to be a part of,” he added.
Last year Ex-Im provided $5.9bn in medium-to-long-term export credit support, up from $4.7bn in 2023. This ranked it seventh behind the world’s leading export credit agencies, with China ($23.5bn) and Germany ($18.6bn) taking the top two spots, according to Ex-Im’s annual competitiveness report.
The report, which was published in June, warned Ex-Im was being outgunned by rival export credit agencies with James Cruse, Ex-Im’s acting chair at the time, writing: “Ex-Im is running a 20th century [export credit agency] now into the first quarter of the 21st century.”
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