Category: 8. Health

  • How AI Tools for Social Media Depression Detection Are Flawed

    How AI Tools for Social Media Depression Detection Are Flawed

    Yuchen Cao and Xiaorui Shen conducted a systematic review of AI models used in studies detecting depression in social media users and found major flaws.

    Person holding smartphone with a blue screen light illuminating their face in a dimly lit room.
    Social media platforms like Twitter, Facebook and Reddit offer researchers a trove of user-generated content, increasingly used to train AI tools for detecting signs of depression. Getty Images

    Artificial intelligence models used to detect depression on social media are often biased and methodologically flawed, according to a study led by Northeastern University computer science graduates.

    Yuchen Cao and Xiaorui Shen were graduate students at Northeastern’s Seattle campus when they began examining how machine learning and deep learning models were being used in mental health research, particularly following the COVID-19 pandemic. 

    Teaming up with peers from several universities, they conducted a systematic review of academic papers using AI to detect depression among social media users. Their findings were published in the Journal of Behavioral Data Science.

    “We wanted to see how machine learning or AI or deep learning models were being used for research in this field,” says Cao, now a software engineer at Meta.

    Social media platforms like Twitter, Facebook and Reddit offer researchers a trove of user-generated content that reveals emotions, thoughts and mental health patterns. These insights are increasingly being used to train AI tools for detecting signs of depression. But the Northeastern-led review found that many of the underlying models were inadequately tuned and lacked the rigor needed for real-world application.

    The team analyzed hundreds of papers and selected 47 relevant studies published after 2010 from databases such as PubMed, IEEE Xplore and Google Scholar. Many of these studies, they found, were authored by experts in medicine or psychology — not computer science — raising concerns about the technical validity of their AI methods.

    “Our goal was to explore whether current machine learning models are reliable,” says Shen, also now a software engineer at Meta. “We found that some of the models used were not properly tuned.”

    Traditional models such as Support Vector Machines, Decision Trees, Random Forests, eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Logistic Regression were commonly used. Some studies employed deep learning tools like Convolutional Neural Networks, Long Short-Term Memory networks and BERT, a popular language model.

    Yet the review uncovered several significant issues:

    • Only 28% of studies adequately adjusted hyperparameters, the settings that guide how models learn from data.
    • Roughly 17% did not properly divide data into training, validation and test sets, increasing the risk of overfitting.
    • Many relied heavily on accuracy as the sole performance metric, despite imbalanced datasets that could skew results and overlook the minority class — in this case, users showing signs of depression.

    “There are some constants or basic standards, which all computer scientists know, like, ‘Before you do A, you should do B,’ which will give you a good result,” Cao says. “But that isn’t something everyone outside of this field knows, and it may lead to bad results or inaccuracy.”

    The studies also displayed notable data biases. X (formerly Twitter) was the most common platform used (32 studies), followed by Reddit (8) and Facebook (7). Only eight studies combined data from multiple platforms, and about 90% relied on English-language posts, mostly from users in the U.S. and Europe.

    These limitations, the authors argue, reduce the generalizability of findings and fail to reflect the global diversity of social media users.

    Another major challenge: linguistic nuance. Only 23% of studies clearly explained how they handled negations and sarcasm, both of which are vital to sentiment analysis and depression detection.

    To assess the transparency of reporting, the team used PROBAST, a tool for evaluating prediction models. They found many studies lacked key details about dataset splits and hyperparameter settings, making results difficult to reproduce or validate.

    Cao and Shen plan to publish follow-up papers using real-world data to test models and recommend improvements.

    Sometimes researchers don’t have enough resources or AI expertise to properly tune open-source models, Cao says.

    “So [creating] a wiki or a paper tutorial is something I think is important in this field to help collaboration,” he says. “I think that teaching people how to do it is more important than just helping you do it, because resources are always limited.”

    The team will present their findings at the International Society for Data Science and Analytics annual meeting in Washington, D.C.

    Science & Technology

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  • Microsized robots swarm to break up bacterial biofilms

    Microsized robots swarm to break up bacterial biofilms

    When bacteria infect our bodies, they sometimes form sticky mats of sugars and proteins called biofilms to protect themselves. This viscous layer makes it difficult for antibiotics and immune cells to reach the invading microbes, rendering usual therapies less effective. Researchers, led by Li Zhang at the Chinese University of Hong Kong and Ben Wang at Shenzhen University, demonstrated that magnet-driven, light-activated microrobots can cut through this goo and fight biofilms in the sinuses of animals (Sci. Robot. 2025, DOI: 10.1126/scirobotics.adt0720).

    “We saw microrobots as a promising way to physically navigate into these hard-to-reach spaces” and attack bacteria directly, says Zhang in an email.

    Other scientists have previously proposed using microrobots, which are smaller than 1 mm, to target and disrupt biofilm formations, either mechanically or by delivering chemicals that kill bacteria. But biofilms in the sinuses present a unique challenge for microrobots because our natural immune response to a sinus infection produces a viscous pus that’s hard to get through.

    The researchers got around this sinus buildup problem by designing their bots to stir up the goo. External magnets placed near the sinuses guide the robots to align into chains and form spinning swarms that create a mechanical force to break up both thick sinus fluids and biofilms.

    The microrobots themselves have a magnetic core and a shell of copper-doped bismuth oxoiodide (BiOI), a light-sensitive material. When exposed to visible light delivered by an optical fiber guided magnetically into the sinuses, electrons in the BiOI jump to a higher energy level, leaving behind positively charged holes. In this electron-hole pair, the excited electrons can react with oxygen to form superoxide radicals, while the holes react with water to produce hydroxyl radicals—both species are toxic to bacteria.

    When the BiOI absorbs light, it also heats up, which further breaks down mucus and biofilms.

    In live rabbit sinuses, the robots cut through thick mucus and destroyed bacterial biofilms without damaging healthy tissue. In pig sinus tissue, which is more anatomically like human sinus tissue, the microrobots also destroyed biofilms, with only 3% of bacteria surviving the treatment.

    “Any piece [of the system] is not particularly novel, but the combination is certainly an advancement,” says Edward Steager, an expert in microrobots for medical applications at the University of Pennsylvania.

    After the treatment, cilia in the sinuses, which are tiny hair-like structures that move mucus, can clear out the microrobots.

    The researchers think the treatment, with some modifications, could be expanded to treat biofilms in other parts of the body, like the gastrointestinal or urinary tract.

    Zhang plans to conduct larger-scale animal studies with the robots and says the team is also exploring prototype development for human clinical trials.

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  • Secrets of Rapid Scarless Mouth Healing Uncovered via scRNA-Seq – Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology News

    1. Secrets of Rapid Scarless Mouth Healing Uncovered via scRNA-Seq  Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology News
    2. Preclinical study unlocks a mystery of rapid mouth healing  Medical Xpress
    3. Fresh understanding of how mouths heal may lead to a ‘scar-free world’  New Scientist
    4. Science seeks to tap amazing healing powers of the mouth’s interior  upi.com

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  • RSV vaccine access expanded to some people in their 50s, according to CDC website

    RSV vaccine access expanded to some people in their 50s, according to CDC website

    The Trump administration appears to be expanding RSV vaccinations to some adults starting at age 50, down from 60, following the advice of a recently fired panel of government vaccine advisers.

    The decision appears on a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention webpage but as of Wednesday wasn’t on the agency’s official adult immunization schedule.

    RSV, or respiratory syncytial virus, typically is a coldlike nuisance, but it can be severe, even life-threatening, for infants and older adults. The CDC recommends vaccination for certain pregnant women and a onetime shot for everyone 75 or older. But people as young as 60 with health problems that increase their risk can also get it.

    In April, the CDC’s influential Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended expanding RSV vaccination to high-risk adults as young as 50, too. But the CDC lacks a director to decide whether to adopt that recommendation and Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. didn’t immediately act.

    Last month, Kennedy fired all 17 members of that panel and handpicked seven replacements that include several vaccine skeptics.

    The new panel alarmed doctors’ groups last week by ignoring settled science on a rarely used flu vaccine preservative and by announcing a probe of the children’s vaccine schedule. It didn’t revisit RSV vaccination for older adults.

    Kennedy already had taken the unusual step of changing COVID-19 vaccine recommendations without consulting the committee.

    On Wednesday, a page on CDC’s website said that on June 25, Kennedy had adopted the ousted panel’s recommendation to expand RSV vaccination to high-risk 50-somethings and it is “now an official recommendation of the CDC.”

    That move was first reported by Endpoints News.

    ___

    The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Department of Science Education and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

    Lauran Neergaard, The Associated Press


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  • GLP-1s a good start to treat obesity, but patients need nutritional counseling and more, experts say

    GLP-1s a good start to treat obesity, but patients need nutritional counseling and more, experts say

    Patients hoping to treat weight-related medical conditions need more than just antiobesity medications that are effective, but that also pose challenges for successful use.

    That means food counseling should be part of a comprehensive treatment plan for obesity, according to experts who summarized the state of the research on the issue.

    A group of 18 researchers came together to publish “Nutritional priorities to support GLP-1 therapy for obesity: a joint Advisory from the American College of Lifestyle Medicine, the American Society for Nutrition, the Obesity Medicine Association, and The Obesity Society.” It came out this month in the organizations’ respective journals.

    The 24-page guide acknowledges that for some patients, the new glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist drugs (GLP-1s) amount to weight loss via injection. But treatment success depends on a patient-centered approach involving more than a prescription.

    Patients need counseling — and then must integrate into their lives — elements ranging from management of gastrointestinal side effects, to prevention of nutrient deficiencies, to preservation of muscle and bone mass.

    “Despite the efficacy and growing utilization of these medications, real-world challenges are increasingly evident,” the paper said.

    “All these challenges may be partially mitigated by an evidence-based, structured lifestyle program, particularly around food, when prescribing GLP-1s for obesity,” the advisory said. “However, practical guidance for clinicians to implement such an approach is limited.”

    Medical effects

    Studies have produced results showing GLP-1s have helped patients reduce their weight. But real-world efficacy generally has been lower, and weight regain is common when patients discontinue use of the medications, the advisory said. Research also has demonstrated clinical benefits for conditions ranging from heart failure to sleep apnea to chronic kidney disease to substance use disorders.

    Gastrointestinal irritation is common, but not likely to lead to discontinuation. With a loss of appetite and lower energy intake, patients may develop vitamin and mineral deficiencies and symptoms such as fatigue, hair loss, skin flakiness, muscle weakness, poor wound healing and bruising, the advisory said. Muscle mass and bone density also may decrease.

    Financial effects

    Adherence to the drugs is relatively low for reasons that are unclear, although cost may be a factor. Based on current list prices, the drugs may cost up to $16,000 a year. Prices are lower with manufacturers’ rebates, dropping to $7,000 to $8,000 annually, and lower still with compounded versions, that still cost up to $3,000 a year.

    While patients may experience improved quality of life, the GLP-1s have not provided a long-term financial return for health care overall. Several studies “have found that GLP-1 treatment costs exceed health care savings,” and one found patients using GLP-1 drugs had significantly higher health care costs than patients with obesity, but not using the drugs.

    “Considering cost-effectiveness, i.e., health gained per dollar spent, most studies find that GLP-1s, even at currently discounted prices, do not meet accepted thresholds for cost-effective therapy,” the study said.

    All those factors indicate something more is needed.

    “These high costs, lower adherence in practice, and frequent weight regain after discontinuation, each highlight the importance of complementary nutritional and lifestyle counseling to help maximize overall efficacy and cost-effectiveness,” the advisory said.

    Barriers to care

    The researchers cited a number of difficulties in current practice:

    • Visits with primary care physicians and non-obesity medicine specialists are usually short and centered on acute illness or needs, screening discussions, and medication management.
    • Access is limited to lifestyle medicine approaches for obesity and its comorbidities. “For example, the Diabetes Prevention Program is known to reduce the risk of progression to diabetes and is covered by major payers, but has not been meaningfully scaled due to regulatory and implementation barriers,” the advisory said.
    • There is no American Medical Association approval of category I Current Procedural Terminology codes for health coaching, so that remains a barrier to reimbursement.
    • Private and public payer coverage for medical nutrition therapy for obesity remains limited, preventing broad utilization in practice.

    “These pressures, alongside a frequent lack of practitioner education about integrating lifestyle management in medicine, have created a dearth of implemented behavioral and lifestyle counseling, accessible and effective referral programs, and integration into existing care delivery systems,” the authors said.

    Getting started

    The researchers suggested using a 5As Framework — assess, advise, agree, assist, and arrange — to guide physician-patient interaction toward a successful long-term plan. There also will be at least eight elements or nutritional priorities to support GLP-1 therapy for obesity.

    • Initiation of GLP-1 therapy with a patient-centered approach.
    • Completion of baseline nutritional assessment and screening.
    • Management of gastrointestinal side effects.
    • Navigation of dietary preferences and intake.
    • Prevention and mitigation of nutrient deficiencies.
    • Preservation of muscle and bone mass.
    • Maximization of weight reduction efficacy.
    • Promotion of other supportive lifestyle measures.

    Under “arrange,” the experts noted physicians likely won’t go it alone with patients. Registered dietitian nutritionists, behavioral therapists, social workers and case managers all may be part of a team.

    Along with medications, food counseling and a new menu, the authors emphasized the need for patients to take up resistance training and other physical activities. Good sleep, stress management and substance use cessation all will be part of the treatment plan.

    More research is needed

    The GLP-1 drugs still prompt questions and need more research. The researchers note physicians, other clinicians and patients refer to GLP-1s, but there is no widely accepted terminology to describe the medications. There also is room for research on measuring obesity and adopting definitions and treatments for clinical and preclinical obesity.

    “In conclusion, although GLP-1s alone can produce significant weight reduction and related health benefits, several challenges limit its long-term success for individuals and populations,” the advisory said.

    “Careful attention to evidence-based nutritional and behavior modification can help mitigate the adverse effects of these challenges,” the authors said. “Thus, all clinicians prescribing GLP-1s for obesity management should establish a thoughtful plan of care that includes thorough nutritional and lifestyle counseling before, during, and after the weight reduction period.”

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  • Study links particulate air pollution to increased mutations in lung cancers among nonsmokers-Xinhua

    LOS ANGELES, July 2 (Xinhua) — Exposure to fine particulate air pollution is strongly associated with increased genetic mutations in lung cancer tumors among individuals who have never smoked, a new study led by the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH) has found.

    The study, published Wednesday in the journal Nature, represents the largest whole-genome analysis to date of lung cancer in nonsmokers, offering new insights into how environmental pollutants may drive cancer in the absence of tobacco use.

    Researchers from NIH’s National Cancer Institute and the University of California San Diego examined lung tumors from 871 nonsmoking patients across 28 regions worldwide as part of the Sherlock-Lung study.

    They found that air pollution exposure — particularly from traffic and industrial sources — was linked to cancer-driving mutations, including alterations in the TP53 gene and other mutational signatures typically associated with tobacco-related cancers.

    The study also revealed that air pollution was related to shorter telomeres, which are sections of DNA found at the end of chromosomes. Shorter telomeres are associated with aging and reduced cellular replication capacity, potentially accelerating cancer progression.

    Understanding how air pollution contributes to the mutational landscape of lung tumors helps explain the cancer risk for nonsmokers and highlights the urgent need for stronger environmental protections, the study suggested.

    Lung cancer in nonsmokers accounts for up to 25 percent of all lung cancer cases globally, according to the study.

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  • Nontoxic sprayable coating prevents fungus growth in 2 ways

    Nontoxic sprayable coating prevents fungus growth in 2 ways

    Fungi have a reputation for appearing where humans don’t want them: on crops, in basements and cold storage rooms, and in the human body. Worse, fungi are getting better at resisting conventional defenses, meaning we need to either use even more fungicides—which would exacerbate the resistance problem—or innovate our tools.

    Researchers have now developed a spray that can keep fungi at bay. The nontoxic solution forms an extremely hydrophobic surface coating that makes it harder for fungi to latch on to a surface and kills them if they do take root.

    Boaz Pokroy, a materials scientist at Technion—Israel Institute of Technology, and his colleagues decided to leverage their previous work with antibacterial fatty acids to develop a novel “dual mode” agent that is very difficult for the fungi to become resistant to. First, stearic acid, with its inherent hydrophobicity, keeps fungi from sticking to the surface. This alone reduced the growth of gray mold, Botrytis cinerea, by more than 60% on filter paper.

    Second, the addition of a shorter-chain fatty acid, such as caprylic acid, provides fungicidal power against any fungi that manage to anchor themselves. With the combined fatty acids, the researchers were able to achieve total inhibition of the mold.

    Pokroy and his team explain that after spraying, stearic acid forms crystal nuclei, which caprylic acid adsorbs onto. As the spray’s solvent evaporates, stearic acid crystals assemble into clusters, thus producing a rough surface imbued with adsorbed liquid layers of caprylic acid, which is primed to kill fungi. The caprylic acid leached out of the coating after about a week, thereby diminishing the potency of the coating.

    Pokroy points to ventilation ducts as a prime location to use the new spray. Air ducts often become breeding grounds for fungi due to their damp, dark, and cold interiors. These fungi release fungal spores into the air. In hospital settings, those spores raise the risk of infection for already vulnerable people. Since conventional fungicides are toxic to humans and the environment, stringent limits exist on the site, quantity, and duration of their use.

    Jonathan C. Barnes, a chemistry professor at Washington University in St. Louis who wasn’t involved in the study, commended the work and found the technology “very scalable,” as the same fatty acids are common ingredients of food and cosmetics.

    “The fact that the dual-purpose coating was successfully applied to both glass slides and cellulose filter substrates is an indication that the technology could be used on a variety of surfaces and thus in many different applications,” he says. One potential application he saw was spraying this coating on medical implants, where a quick burst release of the medium-chain fatty acids may prevent infections during surgery.

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  • Studies Explore Control of Thrombotic Events in High-Risk PV

    Studies Explore Control of Thrombotic Events in High-Risk PV

    Patients with polycythemia vera (PV) require treatment to reduce hematocrit and maintain quality of life over a significant span of time living with the disease. In a recent in-person Community Case Forum event in Santa Monica, California, Mojtaba Akhtari, MD, professor of medicine at Loma Linda University, discussed the trials in high-risk disease that not only looked at response to treatment but showed promise in reducing thrombotic events that represent the greatest risk to patients’ survival. Trials that have been ongoing for several years are now producing longer-term data that provides guidance on how to manage treating patients with PV most effectively and what trends indicate worse outcomes.

    This article is part 2 of a 2-part series from a Community Case Forum event.

    Targeted Oncology: Could you describe the design of the MAJIC-PV study [ISRCTN61925716]in patients with higher-risk PV?

    Mojtaba Akhtari, MD: The MAJIC-PV study was done in the United Kingdom; Claire N. Harrison, MD, of St. Thomas’ Hospital in South London, did the MAJIC-PV study for patients with PV with a 1:1 randomization of 190 patients: one group received ruxolitinib [Jakafi] and the other group received best available treatment. They looked for complete or partial response, and if they had complete or partial response, they continued ruxolitinib as long as they had a partial response for up to 5 years, and in the other arm they were allowed to change the treatment.

    A complete remission was getting hematocrit below 45%, white blood cell [WBC] count below 10,000/μL, platelet count less than 400,000/μL, no phlebotomy, and normalization of spleen size. Looking at those given ruxolitinib, they did better [HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.24-0.61; P < .001].1 Looking at the event-free survival [EFS], they did better [HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.35-0.94; P = .03]. The patients on ruxolitinib had fewer thrombotic events. This is the first time that an intervention has shown it reduces the risk of thrombosis.

    What data support the long-term use of ropeginterferon alfa-2b (Besremi) in high-risk PV?

    The PROUD-PV and CONTINUATION-PV studies [NCT01949805; NCT02218047] enrolled adult patients with PV who were [either] naive patients in need of cytoreductive [therapy] or some patients pretreated with hydroxyurea with a 1:1 randomization. One arm received ropeginterferon, the other one received hydroxyurea, and patients were able to continue through 12 months, and then for up to 3 to 5 years, they continued with either ropeginterferon or best available treatment.

    For ropeginterferon alfa-2b, the rate of complete hematologic response and normal spleen size at 12 months was 21% [vs 28% in the control group].2 The rate of complete hematologic response only at 12 months was 43% [vs 46%], and molecular response at 12 months was 34% [vs 42%].

    Hydroxyurea is very like old-fashioned chemotherapy. Interferon is more like targeted treatment that works through the immune system. We are not treating patients with chronic myeloid leukemia with hydroxyurea anymore, unless you want to control severe leukocytosis…so I’m not sure why we should give hydroxyurea to patients with PV, but it’s good to have discussions. Patients can have adverse events, but it’s usually well tolerated; the discontinuation rate is low.

    In the long term, in year 6 of treatment for ropeginterferon, 81.4% were keeping the hematocrit below 45%; in the control arm, it was 60%.3 EFS was better for ropeginterferon, so patients would have fewer complications if they were on ropeginterferon.

    What did the REVEAL study (NCT02252159) show about disease outcomes of PV?

    This is the largest prospective observational study of PV in the United States. More than 2500 patients were enrolled, and 2200 patients were eligible. A total of 142 thrombotic events were observed: 100 were venous thrombotic events and 42 were arterial traumatic events.4

    If we look at what the [lower-risk] patients were given as treatment, 54.3% only had phlebotomy, 18.1% had hydroxyurea only, 15.7% had phlebotomy and hydroxyurea, 7% other, and 5% watchful waiting. I don’t think I have patients with PV on watchful waiting because they need phlebotomy or they need to be on aspirin.

    Looking at cumulative incidence of thrombotic events for these patients, high-risk patients had more thrombotic events vs low-risk patients [5.2% vs 2.78%]. Heart attack and stroke were what killed these patients. They looked at blood values to see which patients could get more blood clots. Patients whose hematocrit was more than 45% had more trouble. Patients whose WBC count was more than 11,000/μL and patients whose platelet count was more than 400,000/μL did worse. This is another study showing that leukocytosis and thrombocytosis matter in patients with PV.

    Looking at the thrombotic events in the high-risk patients, those with erythrocytosis or hematocrit of more than 45%, leukocytosis with WBC count more than 11,000/μL, or thrombocytosis with platelet count than 400,000/μL were associated with worse outcomes.

    DISCLOSURES: Akhtari previously reported consulting or advisory roles with Abbvie, BMS, Incyte, Karyopharm Therapeutics, Pfizer, and Takeda; and speakers’ bureau with Incyte, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, and Novartis.

    References:

    1. Harrison CN, Nangalia J, Boucher R, et al. Ruxolitinib versus best available therapy for polycythemia vera intolerant or resistant to hydroxycarbamide in a randomized trial. J Clin Oncol. 2023;41(19):3534-3544. doi:10.1200/JCO.22.01935

    2. Gisslinger H, Klade C, Georgiev P, et al. Ropeginterferon alfa-2b versus standard therapy for polycythaemia vera (PROUD-PV and CONTINUATION-PV): a randomised, non-inferiority, phase 3 trial and its extension study. Lancet Haematol. 2020;7(3):e196-e208. doi:10.1016/S2352-3026(19)30236-4

    3. Gisslinger H, Klade C, Georgiev P, et al. Ropeginterferon alfa-2b achieves patient-specific treatment goals in polycythemia vera: final results from the PROUD-PV/CONTINUATION-PV studies. HemaSphere. 2022;6:97-98. doi:10.1097/01.hs9.0000843676.80508.b5

    4. Gerds AT, Mesa R, Burke JM, et al. Association between elevated white blood cell counts and thrombotic events in polycythemia vera: analysis from REVEAL. Blood. 2024;143(16):1646-1655. doi:10.1182/blood.2023020232

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  • Lung cancer screening hopes to save lives. But we also need to watch for possible harms

    Lung cancer screening hopes to save lives. But we also need to watch for possible harms

    There is much to commend about Australia’s lung cancer screening program, which started on July 1.

    The program is based on gold-standard trial evidence showing this type of screening is likely to reduce lung cancer deaths.

    Some people will have their life prolonged due to this screening, which involves taking low-dose CT scans to look for lung cancer in people with a significant smoking history.

    In some of these people, cancer will be detected at an early stage, and they can be treated. Without screening, these people may have died of cancer because it would have been detected at a later, incurable stage.

    However, for some people, screening could also harm.

    How can screening harm?

    Screening for disease, including cancer, can cause harm – during screening, diagnosis and treatment.

    With lung cancer screening, a positive scan can prompt an invasive lung biopsy. This is where a sample of lung tissue is obtained with a special needle guided by imaging, or through surgery under anaesthesia.

    If, after examination under the microscope, the pathologist thinks there is lung cancer, then more extensive surgery and other treatments will likely follow, all of which have a risk of side effects.

    The diagnostic label “lung cancer” itself is distressing, and the stigma attached to the diagnosis may worsen this distress.

    These harms and risks may be considered acceptable if the treatment prevents the person’s cancer from progressing.

    However, as with other cancers, screening is likely to also cause overdiagnosis and overtreatment. That is, some of the lesions picked up through screening and diagnosed as cancer, would have never caused any trouble if they’d been left alone. If these lesions were left undetected (and untreated), they would never have caused symptoms or shortened the person’s life.

    But all patients with a cancer diagnosis will be offered treatment – including surgery, radiotherapy and cancer drugs. Yet patients who really have an indolent (non-lethal) lesion have the same risk of harm from diagnosis and treatment as others, but without potentially benefiting from treatment.

    A related issue is that of “incidental findings”. Reports from lung cancer screening programs overseas show there is a large potential to find things other than cancer on the CT scan.

    For instance, some people have lung “nodules” (small spots on the scan) that fall short of being suspicious for cancer, but nonetheless need close monitoring with repeat scans for a while. For these people, we need to make sure health-care workers follow protocols that prevent unnecessary intervention in a nodule that is not growing.

    The scans can also pick up other conditions. These include calcium in coronary arteries, small aneurysms of the aorta (bulges in the body’s largest artery), or abnormalities in abdominal organs such as the liver.

    Some of these “incidental findings” may lead to early detection of disease that can be treated. However, in many cases the findings would not have caused any issues if they’d been left undetected, another example of overdiagnosis. These patients experience risks from further cascades of interventions triggered by the incidental finding, but without these interventions improving their health.

    The potential for overdiagnosis and overtreatment is greater if screening extends beyond the high-risk group with a history of heavy smoking. Some people who don’t meet the eligibility criteria may still want to be screened. For example, lung cancer awareness campaigns may lead to people who don’t smoke requesting screening. If screening staff decide to refer them for imaging, this may result in unofficial “leakage” of the screening program to include people at lower risk of cancer.

    For example in the United States, an estimated 45% of scans done in its screening program are for people who do not meet eligibility criteria. In China, about 64% of those screened may be technically ineligible.

    We see the results of this in a number of Asian countries with widespread, non-targeted screening, including of people who do not smoke. This has resulted in high rates of cancer diagnosis – much higher than we would expect in this low-risk group – and even higher rates of lung surgeries.

    These surgeries, which involve cutting into the chest wall to remove lung tissue, carry significant operative risks. They may also cause longer-term impacts by removing normal lung tissue.

    Regular independent evaluation needed

    In Australia, for the eligible population with a significant smoking history, we anticipate net benefit, on balance, from the screening program.

    However, if unintended consequences from screening are higher in real life than in the trials, then this could tip it the other way into net harm.

    So, regular independent re-evaluation of the program is needed to ensure anticipated benefits are realised and harms are kept to a minimum.

    This should include analysis of data across the population to look for signs of benefit, such as decreases in rates of advanced-stage lung cancer and deaths.

    These data should also be scrutinised for signs of harm from overdiagnosis and overtreatment – including of both cancer and non-cancer conditions.

    There is much excitement about the potential for lung cancer screening to prevent some Australians from dying from this devastating disease. We too have cautious optimism the program could make a real difference.

    But we can’t let this optimism blind us to the potential for harm.


    This is the next article in our ‘Finding lung cancer’ series, which explores Australia’s first new cancer screening program in almost 20 years. Read other articles in the series.

    More information about the program is available. If you need support to quit smoking, call Quitline on 13 78 48.

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  • Catch-up needed after non-COVID vaccination plunges in first 2 pandemic years

    Catch-up needed after non-COVID vaccination plunges in first 2 pandemic years

    Jernej Furman / Flickr cc

    Seven in 10 respondents to a 2024 US survey said they would still reach for a home COVID-19 test if they thought they were infected, UMass Chan Medical School researchers report in JAMA Network Open.

    The team used the Ipsos KnowledgePanel to ask 2009 adults whether they would test and, if not, the reasons for not testing, from October 31 to November 7, 2024. The average participant age was 51.5 years, 51.2% were women, 60.7% were White, 18.0% were Hispanic, and 12.1% were Black. 

    The investigators noted that COVID-19 remains a threat, with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimating 28,000 to 46,000 related US deaths and 230,000 to 390,000 hospitalizations from October 2024 to April 2025.

    “Early identification of infection enables prompt care and steps to reduce spread,” they wrote. “Timely initiation of oral antiviral medications is associated with lower hospitalizations, deaths, and long-COVID incidence among adults at high risk.” 

    Older, healthy respondents more likely to test

    Most participants (70.0%) said they would test if they suspected a COVID-19 infection. Factors tied to intent to test were age older than 60 years, excellent health status, trust in the healthcare system, reliance on data to make health decisions, previous completion of a home test, and Black, Hispanic, or mixed race.

    Test hesitancy may delay oral antiviral initiation and could result in missed opportunities to limit transmission.

    The proportion endorsing each reason for not testing were perceived lack of a reason to test (53.6%), a belief that a positive test result wouldn’t be useful (30.1%), lack of trust in tests (20.7%), forgetting that testing is an option (19.4%), preference of not knowing the results (9.1%), lack of awareness of where to procure a test (5.8%), inability to pay for testing (4.9%), and other reasons (8.3%).

    The authors called for raising awareness of the value of testing. “Nearly one-third of US adults would not or might not test for suspected COVID-19, largely because they do not see value in testing,” they wrote. “Test hesitancy may delay oral antiviral initiation and could result in missed opportunities to limit transmission.”

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